BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisLooking at the BTCUSD 4-hour chart, the price has recently exhibited a dynamic trend. After a prior upward movement, it underwent a pullback. Now, it has found solid support at the 112,500 level. This support zone appears reliable, as the price has stabilized above it, indicating that buying interest has emerged here to prevent further declines.
In terms of resistance, the 116,000 level is a key hurdle to watch. If the price can successfully break through 116,000 with strong momentum, it would open the door to further upside potential. Before that, the 115,000 level could act as a near-term resistance to test the bulls' strength.
For traders, the strategy could be to monitor the price action around the 112,500 support. If the support holds and there are signs of a bullish reversal , it may be an opportunity to consider long positions with a target towards 115,000 and then 116,000. Conversely, a breakdown below 112,500 would shift the bias to the downside, with the next support level to watch at 110,640
Overall, the near-term trend hinges on the price's interaction with the 112,500 support and the subsequent attempt to challenge the 115,000 - 116,000 resistance zone.
Buy 112500 - 113500
TP 114500 - 115500 - 116000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Btcusdtshort
$100K Remains the Critical Psychological Level for BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC just broke below a key trendline, showing weakness in momentum. The zone that once acted as support has now flipped into resistance, which explains why price is struggling to push higher.
At the same time, there’s a strong demand zone and a big psychological level sitting around $100K. If price pulls back deeper, that’s where buyers are most likely to step in aggressively.
Right now, BTC is consolidating inside a small upward channel. A breakout from this channel will decide the next move, either reclaiming resistance or retesting that $100K demand area.
DYOR, NFA
Stay tuned for more updates
Bitcoin’s 50 EMA Shield — Is the Next Leg Up Loading?CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to respect the 50 EMA on the weekly chart — a dynamic support that has been the backbone of this bullish structure. Every correction so far has found demand at this level before price pushed higher again.
Currently, BTC is once again rebounding from the 50 EMA after a period of consolidation. At the same time, it’s pressing against a horizontal resistance zone that has capped upside moves.
If Bitcoin can break and hold above this horizontal resistance, that level could flip into support and trigger the next leg higher, potentially leading to new highs. As long as BTC stays above the 50 EMA, the mid-to-long-term outlook remains bullish.
DYOR, NFA ✌️
More updates soon.
Bitcoin Rally Entering Final Stages!Bitcoin Bull Cycle Analysis:
Historically, Bitcoin has moved in clearly defined market cycles, each lasting roughly 1,064–1,065 days (about 3 years) from bottom to peak, followed by a sharp correction.
2013–2017 Cycle
🔶Bitcoin bottomed in early 2015 and then entered a strong bull run.
🔶Over the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin surged by more than 12,000%, ultimately peaking in late 2017.
🔶After the peak, Bitcoin experienced an 84% decline over the following year, entering a prolonged bear market.
2017–2021 Cycle
🔶From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin again began a long bull phase.
🔶In the next 1,064 days, Bitcoin gained over 2,000%, reaching a new all-time high in late 2021.
🔶Similar to the previous cycle, the market corrected sharply, with Bitcoin losing around 76% of its value within a year.
2021–2025 Cycle (Current)
🔶The most recent bottom was recorded in late 2022. Since then, Bitcoin has been in a sustained uptrend.
🔶As of today, the cycle has lasted 1,000+ days, during which Bitcoin has appreciated by roughly 675%.
🔶If the historical pattern continues, this bull run may have about two months left before reaching a cycle peak.
🔶Afterward, the market could undergo a significant correction, potentially in the range of 60–70%, though smaller than previous drops.
Conclusion : Bitcoin’s market history shows a repeating cycle of multi-year bull runs followed by sharp corrections. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the consistency in cycle length and the pattern of diminishing corrections suggest that Bitcoin may soon approach its next major peak. If the trend holds, a significant pullback of 60–70% could follow, offering both risks for late entrants and opportunities for long-term investors. This highlights the importance of caution, disciplined risk management, and strategic planning as we near the potential end of the 2021–2025 bull cycle.
Bitcoin Crash Incoming?Bitcoin Cycle Analysis – Are We Nearing the 2025 Peak?
The above chart highlights Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, which have shown a remarkable pattern of consistency over the past decade. Each bull cycle has lasted roughly 1,064 days from the cycle bottom to the cycle peak, followed by a sharp correction phase.
Historical Cycles
- 2013 Peak → After the 2011–2012 bottom, Bitcoin rallied for ~1,064 days before peaking in late 2013. This was followed by a deep bear market.
- 2017 Peak → From the 2015 bottom, Bitcoin surged over 12,000% in ~1,064 days, peaking in December 2017 before dropping 84%.
- 2021 Peak → From the December 2018 bottom, Bitcoin rallied for 1,064 days again, gaining over 2,000% and peaking in late 2021. The following year saw a 76% correction.
Current Cycle (2021–2025)
- The most recent bottom was established in late 2022, marking the start of the current cycle.
- We are now over 1,000 days into this bull run, and Bitcoin has gained approximately 675% so far.
- If the historical cycle length repeats, the 2025 peak could occur around late October 2025.
Price Projection Based on Curved Support & Resistance
- Bitcoin’s price action has respected a curved support–resistance channel across the past three cycles.
- If the same pattern continues, the current cycle could see Bitcoin touch the curved resistance around the $130K–$140K level in October 2025.
- Historically, October has been a bullish month for Bitcoin, with strong momentum in previous cycles. Notably, in October 2021, Bitcoin printed a powerful bullish candle that led to the cycle peak.
- If history repeats, we could see a similar October rally in 2025, potentially marking the cycle top.
After the peak, a correction in the range of 60–70% is expected, consistent with the pattern of diminishing drawdowns (84% → 76% → projected 60–70%). This would place the potential next cycle bottom in the $50K–$60K range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is nearing the end of its 2021–2025 bull cycle, with a potential peak around $130K–$140K in October 2025. Historically, October has been a bullish month, and past cycles suggest a 60–70% correction could follow, likely bringing prices back to the $50K–$60K range. With diminishing corrections each cycle, the market shows signs of maturity, but caution and risk management remain essential as we approach the cycle top.
Cheers
Hexa
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
#BTC/USDT Bullish Divergence on 1H, Low Risk Trade#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is poised to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 108062, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 108450
First target: 108959
Second target: 109541
Third target: 110325
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTCUSD 15M Setup – Short-Term Bearish StructureBitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after testing resistance near 111.4K. The reaction at this level will decide the next major move.
🔹 Bearish Scenario (Main Bias)
Price tapped into a supply zone / resistance cluster and failed to break higher.
Market structure suggests a potential series of lower highs → lower lows forming.
Key downside targets to watch:
110.68K → 110.20K
109.90K → 109.30K
Deeper liquidity levels around 108.70K → 107.70K
🔹 Bullish Contingency (Alternative)
If BTC breaks and sustains above 111.43K, shorts are invalidated.
A clean break and retest could open the way toward 111.9K+.
⚡ Trading Plan
Stay patient: look for a rejection and confirmation at resistance before shorting.
Manage risk tightly — this zone could still produce a fakeout for liquidity grabs.
Shorts are favored unless bulls reclaim 111.43K convincingly.
Bitcoin last leg down before going back up ?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD faces strong resistance near 110,100 – 110,650. Failure to break above increases the probability of continuation to the downside, with the Fibonacci levels acting as the next bearish targets.
📉 Bearish Confluences
Price is currently testing the mid-zone of the Bollinger/Keltner channel and struggling to break above the red resistance zone.
Previous upward attempts have been rejected around the 38.2% Fib retracement (110,100), showing weakness.
Structure still shows a lower-high pattern, keeping the short-term bias bearish.
🎯 Fibonacci Bearish Targets
If the rejection holds, downside Fibonacci extension levels provide potential targets:
38.2% retracement → 108,298
61.8% retracement → 107,742
100% retracement → 106,840
Sep 1, 2025 - BTCUSDT Short ScenarioIn the recent downtrend, each retest of the descending trendline has shown a slight weakening in bearish momentum. Currently, the price is approaching a key daily support at 105,500 .
Since Bitcoin has already broken previous support levels and dropped to this point, a test of this final support zone seems likely. Therefore, once the price reaches the trendline, I will monitor its reaction on lower timeframes. If bearish continuation is confirmed, I will be expecting roughly a 3% downside move.
For opening a position after Bitcoin reaches this area, I will also check Bitcoin dominance to decide whether to short Bitcoin directly or look for setups in altcoins.
If BTC dominance rises, I will focus on short opportunities in altcoins.
The next important reactions will be around 106,500 and 105,500 . As mentioned earlier, we are already seeing early signs of weakness in the current downtrend:
1. Each touch of the descending trendline shows reduced bearish momentum.
2. The bearish waves are getting smaller in size with each touch of the trendline.
Thus, in these final support areas where buyers may step in, the probability of a trend reversal is now higher than at any previous point in this downtrend.
BTCUSD Faces Mid-Band Rejection: Deeper Retracement incoming Price is showing rejection around the mid-range of its volatility bands after failing to sustain above the $112,800 zone, suggesting a potential continuation lower. The setup aligns with multiple bearish signals favoring downside momentum.
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Resistance: Price rejected just below the 38.2% retracement level at $114,619, failing to reclaim higher ground.
Lower High Structure: Market continues to print lower highs, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
Volatility Band Pressure: Rejection from the mid-band area highlights weakening buy-side momentum and strengthens the case for further downside.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $111,016 (38.2%): First support test within the lower range.
TP2 – $109,903 (61.8%): Deeper retracement target in line with bearish continuation.
TP3 – $108,102 (100%): Full measured move completion toward the lower volatility band.
SL: Placed above $114,620 to invalidate the short thesis in case of bullish breakout.
BTC in Trouble if THIS Support Breaks !Hello BTC Watchers
The previous update on Bitcoin was on how we may expect the altcoin market to play out during the next few weeks. (Find it here):
Now, if we look at Bitcoin in the weekly timeframe, the price is trading right on top of a KEY support zone. Here, we can either see a dip - marking the start of the bearish cycle OR the price can maintain this level and perhaps even push towards a higher high. This will all depend on the SUPPORT ZONE, and if the weekly candle will close ABOVE or BELOW this zone.
This would be between these zones:
Interestingly enough, we've extended to a full 2.0 on the Fibonacci retracement level. This will be very helpful in determining major bounce zones during the bearish season:
The next week will be vital! Update to follow at the end on the week on the progress of Bitcoin.
BTCUSD 4H AnalysisPrice has broken below the mid-range support and is currently trading in a bearish structure. Using Fibonacci extension levels, I’ve mapped out three potential downside targets:
🎯 Target 1 – 38.2% (≈ 107,135) – First reaction zone where price may attempt a short-term bounce.
🎯 Target 2 – 61.8% (≈ 106,026) – Key Fibonacci confluence, often acting as strong support.
🎯 Target 3 – 100% (≈ 104,231) – Full measured move projection, aligning with deeper bearish continuation.
As long as price stays below the breakdown zone (≈ 111,800), the bearish bias remains valid. A move back above this level would invalidate the setup.
BTC: Transition from Long to ShortThe market has once again reminded us that trading leaves no room for guesswork. Around $116,000, Bitcoin’s upward momentum began to weaken: volumes were fading, candles were leaving long upper wicks, and the impulse was clearly slowing. The algorithmic model highlighted that holding a long position had become risky. The long was closed before reaching the first target zone, which helped avoid unnecessary losses and secure the gains from the prior move.
Soon after, the structure confirmed the shift: the market reversed, and around $112,000, the model marked conditions in favor of a bearish scenario. Since then, the price has dropped below $109,000, showing that sellers continue to dominate.
Now, however, the picture is becoming more nuanced. Additional analysis points to signs of downside exhaustion — the selling pressure is showing signs of overheating. This doesn’t mean an immediate reversal is guaranteed, but such areas often form the foundation for a corrective move upward. For the moment, the short scenario remains valid, but the probability of an incoming shift is growing.
This is exactly where the value of a systematic approach becomes clear. Without defined rules, traders risk closing too early or, conversely, staying in a trade far longer than necessary. Emotions — fear of losing profits or missing out on a move — are the biggest enemy here, pushing traders toward impulsive and chaotic decisions.
An algorithm acts differently. It defines exit zones, highlights potential reversal conditions, and helps guide the trade step by step. This transforms the market from chaos into a structured process: cold calculation instead of guessing, a clear plan instead of panic.
For now, BTC remains in a downward scenario, but the market is already laying the groundwork for a potential change in direction. The only question is who will be prepared when that moment comes.
P.S. This was the largest volume of liquidations of long positions since December.
Powell's Speech Sparks Turmoil: BTC Surges and Pulls BackPowell's speech triggered a sharp surge in both BTC and gold 🚀. Amid such significant volatility, many traders will likely see their accounts wiped out 💥. BTC has pulled back today and may continue to drop to around 112,000 before rebounding ↘️↗️
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 117000 - 11600
🚀 TP 115000 - 114000 - 113000
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
Wait for confirmation and execute SELL BTCUSD signal✏️BTCUSD is trading in a narrow range of 117000 and 114500. It is quite difficult to have a trading strategy in this range. The best is to wait for the sellers to be strong enough to break 114500 to find SELL signals to a stronger support zone. Or wait for the buyers to react around the upper resistance zone of 117000. Because this is a breakout zone in the past with retests.
📉 Key Levels
SELL Rejection 117000
SELL DCA Trigger Break of Support Zone 114500
Target 110000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
BTC: Rebound Imminent, Go LongBTC today broke below 115000, then rebounded right away 📉→📈. The rebound will keep going and retest 120000—now’s a solid chance to go long! 🚀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 115000 - 115500
🚀 TP 117000 - 118000 - 119000
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
#BTC/USDT Bitcoin & STRONG SUPPORT#BTC
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on track to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, at 114600.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 114866, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 115361.
First target: 116202.
Second target: 117481.
Third target: 119106.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTCUSD:The meeting will likely impact further declines.Amidst uncertain news, BTCUSD is less favored than XAUUSD. After the Asian market opened, BTCUSD experienced a significant drop, exceeding 3000p. Assuming the meeting has not concluded, uncertainty will cause BTCUSD to fall further. Short-term short selling is likely to continue.
BTCUSD: buyBTCUSD's performance is consistent with my expectations. It has rebounded slightly from the bottom and is currently trading at 118,200, representing an overall rebound of approximately 1,000p. Based on the trend, it's still at the bottom. It's still a safe bet to buy.
There was no major news in the market over the weekend that had an impact on trading products. While the meeting news wasn't clearly positive or negative, there was some progress in increasing holdings in the world's largest gold ETF, increasing by approximately 4 tons compared to the previous day. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced next week. These two factors appear to be influencing gold prices and warrant our attention.
BTCUSD traders can choose to take some long positions during the holiday. Gold traders can enjoy the holiday and revisit more trading opportunities next week.
BTCUSD: BUYBTCUSD's performance over the weekend was very weak, with fluctuations of only about 1,000p. However, it is currently in the process of bottoming out, and a rebound is possible at any time. Therefore, despite the sluggish market over the weekend, investors who want to trade can still choose to buy BTCUSD and profit.






















