ElDoradoFx – BTCUSD ANALYSIS (09/11/2025, WEEKEND EDITION) (09/11/2025, WEEKEND EDITION)
⸻
1. Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains under bearish pressure around $101,500, extending its correction from the recent $103,800 recovery peak. Price action confirms a sustained rejection at the $102,600–$103,000 supply zone, with downside continuation now favored as sellers maintain control.
The broader market context shows BTC trapped between the $102,600 ceiling and $99,200 floor, forming a descending channel. Unless bulls reclaim $102,600+, momentum remains bearish heading into next week’s macro calendar (CPI & PPI releases).
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
• BTC continues trading below the 20EMA, 50EMA, and 100EMA — confirming sustained bearish structure.
• RSI ~38, indicating weak momentum and no signs of trend reversal.
• MACD histogram continues printing red bars, showing continuous sell-side pressure.
• Price remains within a macro range between $99,000–$108,000, with downside favored until structure shifts.
🔹 H1:
• Strong rejection from descending trendline at $102,300–$102,600.
• CHoCH confirmed to the downside below $101,800.
• EMAs aligned bearish (20 < 50 < 200).
• RSI below 45; MACD momentum fading — signals bearish continuation likely.
🔹 15M–5M:
• Structure shows lower highs and weak pullbacks.
• Minor demand zone at $101,000–$100,900; break of this level could trigger a liquidity sweep toward $99,200.
• RSI near 36 with weak MACD cross — short-term bounce possible but unsustainable without strong volume.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 103,896 → 99,249)
Level Price (USD) Comment
38.2% 101,037 First retracement / initial resistance
50.0% 101,570 Mid-zone equilibrium
61.8% 102,090 Key reaction level within supply zone
🎯 Golden Zone: 101,000 – 102,090 → Acting as intraday supply zone for high-probability sells.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📉 Bearish Continuation Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 101,900 – 102,400 (Golden Zone retest)
• TPs: 101,000 → 100,000 → 99,200 → 98,800
• SL: Above 102,600
• Confirmation: Rejection candle + RSI failure to cross 50
• Rationale: Retest of former support turned resistance within descending structure; EMAs and momentum indicators favor continuation.
💥 Breakout SELL Setup
• Trigger: 1H candle close below 100,900
• Retest Zone: 101,100 – 101,300
• TPs: 100,000 → 99,200 → 98,500
• SL: Above 101,600
• Rationale: Structural break of key demand; confirms continuation of broader downtrend.
📈 Countertrend BUY Setup (Low Probability)
• Entry Zone: 99,200 – 98,900 (Liquidity Sweep Zone)
• TPs: 100,800 → 101,600 → 102,400
• SL: Below 98,700
• Confirmation: Bullish divergence on RSI or MACD + absorption wicks
• Rationale: Potential liquidity collection zone where short covering may occur; low conviction long setup.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Weekend volatility remains thin; potential for stop-hunts before Monday’s open.
• DXY holding above 105 supports bearish sentiment in BTC.
• No major macroeconomic catalysts until early next week — expect range-bound but reactive price behavior.
• CME futures gap near $102,800 could attract a brief fill before resumption lower.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels (USD)
Resistance 102,400 / 102,600 / 103,000 / 105,800
Support 101,000 / 100,000 / 99,200 / 98,900
Golden Zone 101,000 – 102,090
Break Buy Trigger > 102,600
Break Sell Trigger < 100,900
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
BTC is consolidating under the 102K–103K ceiling, showing clear exhaustion from buyers and renewed strength from sellers. The Golden Zone (101,000–102,090) offers the highest-probability sell opportunities for continuation to 99K.
Momentum, EMAs, and trend alignment all support a bearish outlook unless price cleanly reclaims 102,600+ on H1 structure.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
✅ Primary Bias: Bearish below 102K — selling rallies within the 101–102K zone targeting 99K.
⚠️ Secondary Bias: Bullish recovery only if 102,600 breaks with volume and structure shift confirmed.
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Btcusdtupdate
ElDoradoFx – BTCUSD ANALYSIS (08/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)1. Market Overview
BTCUSD is trading around $103,800, posting a strong rebound from the $99,200 liquidity sweep earlier in the week. The bullish momentum is driven by the reclaim of short-term structure and EMA crossovers on intraday charts. While the recovery is technically healthy, BTC now approaches critical resistance between $104,800–$105,400, where rejection or liquidity grabs could occur before continuation.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1):
• The daily structure shows a bullish CHoCH from the 99K demand sweep.
• RSI has recovered from oversold (now 41.2), signaling early trend recovery.
• MACD histogram tightening — selling momentum fading.
• Price is still below the 100EMA (~108K), so overall macro bias remains neutral until 105K–108K is cleared.
🔹 H1:
• Clear BOS confirmed with a sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
• EMAs aligned bullish (20 > 50 > 200).
• RSI near 66, showing strong intraday bullish strength.
• MACD positive, confirming momentum favoring the upside.
🔹 15M–5M:
• Strong intraday trend channel formed with consistent BOS toward 103,800.
• RSI approaching 70 — minor exhaustion likely.
• Pullback to 102,200–101,900 expected before next impulsive wave.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis (Last Swing: 99,249 → 103,895)
Level Price (USD) Note
38.2% 102,200 First retracement area
50.0% 101,570 Mid-zone equilibrium
61.8% 100,940 Strong support confluence
🎯 Golden Zone: 102,200 – 100,940 → Potential re-entry area for continuation buys.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Continuation Setup (Main Bias)
• Entry Zone: 102,200 – 100,940 (Fibonacci Golden Zone)
• TPs: 103,800 → 104,800 → 105,400 → 106,000
• SL: Below 100,600
• Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle or RSI bounce from 50–55
• Rationale: Break of structure + bullish EMA alignment + increasing volume.
💥 Breakout BUY Setup
• Trigger: 1H close above 104,000
• Retest Zone: 103,800–103,600
• TPs: 104,800 → 105,400 → 106,500
• SL: Below 103,200
📉 Bearish Countertrend Setup
• Entry Zone: 104,800 – 105,400 (Major resistance)
• TPs: 103,800 → 103,000 → 102,200
• SL: Above 105,600
• Confirmation: RSI divergence or bearish engulfing candle on H1/H4
• Rationale: Liquidity trap possible at 105K; short-term overextension.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Weekend sessions = low liquidity → prone to manipulation and stop hunts.
• DXY holding above 105, limiting BTC upside in the medium term.
• No major US macro data releases until early next week (CPI & PPI).
• Expect Asian session volatility spikes between 1 AM–5 AM UTC.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Type Levels (USD)
Resistance 104,000 / 104,800 / 105,400 / 106,000
Support 103,000 / 102,200 / 100,940 / 99,200
Golden Zone 102,200 – 100,940
Break Buy Trigger > 104,000
Break Sell Trigger < 101,000
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
BTC shows a clean short-term bullish reversal from the 99K base, supported by strong momentum and structure recovery. However, traders should watch closely the 104,800–105,400 zone — a key liquidity cluster where potential profit-taking or rejection could occur.
Pullbacks into 102,200–100,940 remain ideal buy-the-dip zones, targeting 105K+ extension. A confirmed H1 close below 101K would invalidate this bullish bias and reintroduce downside risk.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
✅ Primary Bias: Bullish above 102K (Buy dips toward 102,200–100,940)
⚠️ Secondary Bias: Bearish only if rejection forms at 105,400 or break below 101K
⸻
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ANFIBO | BTCUSD - $94.000 or $70.000? [11.6.2025]Hi traders, Anfibo's here!
BTCUSD – Technical Outlook
Technical Structure:
Price action currently respects a descending channel, with:
- Upper boundary (resistance): around $106,000 – $107,000
- Lower boundary (support): converging with the D1 trendline and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, located between $94,000 – $95,000
This confluence area at $94,000 – $95,000 will be crucial. It not only represents technical alignment between multiple structures (Trendline + Fibonacci) but also marks the boundary where short-term sentiment could shift from corrective to impulsive.
Trading Strategy:
Our tactical approach remains straightforward and adaptive:
“Trade the trend when touched – reverse the bias if the trend breaks.”
#1 – Rejection at Upper Boundary:
Should BTC retest the 106–107k resistance and fail to break through, short-term sell opportunities may arise targeting the mid-range or lower boundary (95k region).
#2 – Reaction at Lower Boundary:
If price reaches the 94–95k support zone and holds, this area could offer high-probability long entries, particularly if accompanied by bullish divergence or strong volume confirmation.
#3 – Breakdown of Structure:
A clean break below $90,000 would signal structural weakness, exposing BTC to the next major support cluster between $80,000 and $70,000. Such a move would represent a deeper corrective leg in the broader cycle and could reset the market’s medium-term trend.
Trading Plan:
>>> SELL ZONE: (x1000)
ENTRY: 106 - 108
SL: 109
TP: 95
>>> BUY ZONE:(x1000)
ENTRY: 93 - 95
SL: 90
TP: 120
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess bias once the channel is clearly broken.
Conclusion:
BTC is currently in a compressed, corrective phase, moving within a defined range. The key battleground lies between $95,000 and $107,000. Traders should remain flexible, respecting both boundaries of the channel and reacting based on breakout confirmations rather than anticipation.
As long as BTC holds above the $94,000 – $95,000 confluence, the broader bullish structure on the daily timeframe remains intact. However, a decisive break below $90,000 would open the door for a larger-scale correction toward the $80,000 - $70,000 zone—where long-term accumulation could once again become attractive.
GOODLUCK GUYS!!!
BTCUSD – DAILY PROFESSIONAL ANALYSIS (04 NOV 2025)Prepared by: ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Analyst Desk
⸻
🧭 1️⃣ Market Overview
Bitcoin has experienced a strong bearish continuation, breaking decisively below the key structural support at 108,200, confirming a shift in market sentiment. The break of structure (BOS) at 109,600 turned the mid-term bias bearish, with price now testing the psychological level at 100,000.
RSI is at 32 on the daily chart, showing near-oversold conditions, but momentum remains heavy to the downside. Unless bulls reclaim 101,000–102,000, sellers are likely to continue dominating toward 98,600–97,000.
⸻
📊 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
🔻 Daily (D1)
• Price broke below the long-term ascending trendline from August.
• EMAs aligned for bearish continuation (20 < 50 < 200).
• RSI 32 → weak recovery potential but still room for downside liquidity sweep.
→ Interpretation: Bears fully in control until 102,000 is reclaimed.
🔻 1-Hour (H1)
• Descending channel intact; price rejected from supply zone 101,200–101,600.
• RSI hovering around 30–40; possible minor retracement before further drop.
• MACD still printing red histogram bars → bearish momentum active.
→ Interpretation: Look for short opportunities near resistance retests.
⚠️ 15M–5M (Intraday)
• Price formed a small double bottom near 99,550, showing temporary relief bounce.
• RSI rebounding, but no confirmation of reversal.
• EMA50 (H1) around 101,000 acting as dynamic resistance.
→ Interpretation: Possible short-term correction before continuation down.
⸻
📐 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Range: 104,839 → 99,559
Level Price Observation
38.2% 101,455 Minor retracement zone
50.0% 102,200 Key confluence with EMA50
61.8% 102,950 Strong resistance zone for potential short re-entry
✅ Golden Zone: 101,455 – 102,950
This is the ideal sell re-entry area if price pulls back.
⸻
🎯 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🔻 SELL SETUP (PRIMARY BIAS)
Scenario A – Golden Zone Retest
• Entry: 101,455–102,950 (Fibonacci + EMA confluence)
🎯 TP1 → 100,000 TP2 → 99,000 TP3 → 97,000
🛑 SL → Above 103,300
Scenario B – Continuation Breakout
• Trigger: Break & retest below 99,550
🎯 TP1 → 98,600 TP2 → 97,000 TP3 → 95,800
🛑 SL → Above 100,300
⸻
🟢 BUY SETUP (ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO)
Scenario A – Support Reversal Zone
• Entry: 99,550–98,600 (if strong bullish reaction with engulfing candles)
🎯 TP1 → 101,000 TP2 → 102,000 TP3 → 103,000
🛑 SL → Below 98,200
⸻
🕐 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• US yields rising and DXY strengthening above 105.2 → bearish pressure on BTC.
• Market sentiment risk-off due to global equity weakness.
• Watch upcoming US Unemployment & CPI data — could trigger volatility reversal.
⸻
⚙️ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 101,455 / 102,200 / 102,950
Support 99,550 / 98,600 / 97,000
Golden Zone 101,455 – 102,950
Breakout Confirmation Below 99,550 or Above 103,000
⸻
🧾 7️⃣ Analyst Summary
BTC confirmed a bearish structure, with short-term retracements expected toward the Golden Zone (101,455–102,950) before further downside continuation. Momentum indicators still favor sellers, though oversold readings could create minor pullbacks. Until 103,000 is broken to the upside, bias remains bearish.
⸻
📈 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
🔻 Bearish below 102,000 → Targets 99,000 / 97,000 / 95,800
🟢 Bullish only above 103,000 → Targets 104,800 / 106,000
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
BTC/USD POTENTIAL BULLISH REVERSAL SETUPAnalysis:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently consolidating near the $106,800 area after a strong bearish move that broke multiple structures. The chart shows clear Smart Money Concepts (SMC) signals such as Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS), indicating the end of the recent downtrend and the potential start of accumulation before a bullish correction.
After liquidity was collected below the Equal Lows (EQL) near $106,000, buyers have begun to show interest, forming a potential reversal pattern. Price is now reacting to a demand zone and showing early bullish signs.
Key Technical Highlights:
Market Structure: After a strong bearish break, BTC is forming a base with BOS confirmation — signaling possible trend reversal.
Equal Lows (EQL): Liquidity has been swept below $106,000, suggesting institutional accumulation.
Entry Zone: Around $106,600 – $106,800 (after minor pullback and confirmation).
Target Zone: $108,500 – $109,700, aligning with the next supply area and previous structural highs.
Stop-Loss Area: Below $105,500, under the liquidity sweep zone for safety.
Bias:
Bullish (short-term) — as long as price holds above $106,000, BTC is likely to continue toward $109,000+.
BTC/USD is showing early signs of reversal after liquidity collection below key lows. A pullback toward $106,500 could offer an ideal long entry opportunity, with upside targets around $109,700. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation before entering to validate momentum continuation.
ElDoradoFx – BTCUSD WEEKEND ANALYSIS (02/11/2025, US SESSION)
🧭 1️⃣ Market Overview
Bitcoin retraced after testing the intraday resistance near 111,238, facing rejection at the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price remains supported above 110,000, respecting both the dynamic ascending trendline and 200 EMA on intraday charts. Momentum has cooled but the market still holds a mildly bullish structure unless 109,700 breaks. Volatility is expected to remain moderate heading into early-week sessions.
⸻
📊 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown
✅ Daily (D1)
• Structure: Rangebound between 108,300 and 111,800.
• EMAs: Price hovering between 50 and 200 EMA, equilibrium zone.
• RSI (47): Neutral – no divergence.
• MACD: Histogram flattening; momentum loss after prior bullish impulse.
→ Interpretation: Consolidation phase, waiting for directional breakout.
✅ 1-Hour (H1)
• Clean BOS from 109,600 led to impulsive rise to 111,200.
• Currently retracing toward the 50 EMA and trendline support.
• Key support: 110,100–109,900.
→ Interpretation: Market retesting support after profit-taking; potential bullish re-entry if structure holds.
✅ 15M–5M (Intraday)
• Price rejecting 111,238 and forming short-term lower highs.
• RSI rebounding from 35 – possible micro bullish correction.
• MACD showing first red bars, indicating short-term retracement nearing exhaustion.
→ Interpretation: Possible liquidity sweep around 110,000 before upward continuation.
⸻
📐 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis
Swing Range: 109,703 → 111,238
Level Price Observation
38.2% 110,671 Minor support zone
50.0% 110,470 Golden mid-level + EMA confluence
61.8% 110,268 Trendline & structural confluence
✅ Golden Zone: 110,671 – 110,268 (high-probability buy zone)
⸻
🎯 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS (Primary Bias)
Scenario A – Golden Zone Reversal (Ideal Setup)
• Entry Zone: 110,671 – 110,268
🎯 TP1 → 111,000 TP2 → 111,238 TP3 → 111,800
🛑 SL → Below 109,900
Scenario B – Breakout Continuation
• Trigger: Break & retest above 111,238
🎯 TP1 → 111,800 TP2 → 112,200 TP3 → 112,800
🛑 SL → Below 110,800
⸻
🔻 SELL SCENARIOS (Alternative)
Scenario A – Breakdown from Structure
• Trigger: Break & retest below 109,700
🎯 TP1 → 109,200 TP2 → 108,600 TP3 → 108,000
🛑 SL → Above 110,200
Scenario B – Rejection from 111,200–111,400 Zone
• Trigger: Bearish engulfing candle rejection.
🎯 TP1 → 110,600 TP2 → 110,000
🛑 SL → Above 111,500
⸻
🕐 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch
• Weekend volatility lower than average; price reactive to liquidity sweeps.
• DXY steady near 104.8 – neutral macro tone.
• ETF accumulation flows remain supportive for mid-term trend.
• Watch US macro data midweek (PMI & NFP) for volatility spikes.
⸻
⚙️ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels
Type Levels
Resistance 111,238 / 111,800 / 112,200
Support 110,268 / 109,900 / 109,700
Golden Zone 110,671 – 110,268
Breakout Confirmation Above 111,238 or Below 109,700
⸻
🧾 7️⃣ Analyst Summary
BTC continues consolidating within a controlled retracement phase, currently resting in the Golden Zone (110,671–110,268) that aligns with the ascending trendline. Holding above this range favors bullish continuation, while a confirmed break below 109,700 would open downside space. Short-term trades favor long positions within the zone, targeting 111,200–111,800.
⸻
📈 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary
🟢 Bullish bias above 110,200 → Targets 111,200 / 111,800
🔻 Bearish bias below 109,700 → Targets 108,800 / 108,000
⸻
BTCUSD SHORT OPPORTUTY FOR THE WEEKENDBITCOIN SUPPLY ZONE TARGETED - SELL LIMIT SET 🔥
BTC/USD has made a strong move upward but is now approaching a major supply zone, where a Sell Limit is placed at 110997. This level aligns with previous highs and signs of distribution, signaling a potential reversal ahead.
With current price action consolidating around 109034, we are watching for rejection and a possible drop towards the next demand zones at 108551 and 106178.
This setup is ideal for smart traders looking to short the top and ride the retracement. As always, risk management is key. Let’s see how the market reacts.
Precision over prediction. Strategy over emotions.
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Still bullish, it is recommended to focus on going long.Earlier, Bitcoin reached a weekly high of $106,518 before pulling back due to market liquidation, with total market liquidations exceeding $669 million. Bitcoin has closed higher for five consecutive weeks on the weekly chart, forming a "higher highs and higher lows" upward pattern, rising nearly 43.75% from its recent low. However, it encountered resistance near the all-time high of $109,588 and failed to break through. Currently, Bitcoin is trading in the $100,000-$110,000 range, with strong support at $100,000 and $90,000, and key resistance at $110,000.👉👉👉
After Bitcoin previously broke through $105,500, the moving averages showed an upward trend, and the RSI was in the overbought zone, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Overall, under the combined influence of news and technical factors, the Bitcoin market on May 19th showed a short-term volatile but long-term optimistic trend. Investors need to closely monitor changes in key support and resistance levels, as well as the impact of market news, and make investment decisions cautiously.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 102500-102700
sl 101000
tp 103800-104000
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
Bitcoin remains in high-level fluctuationsThe price of Bitcoin has generally remained above $103,000 today, demonstrating strong support. In the short term, after experiencing previous fluctuations, Bitcoin is currently in a relatively stable upward trend and continues to move towards higher prices.👉👉👉
Global economic events have contributed to the rise of Bitcoin. The decision between China and the U.S. to temporarily reduce tariffs has improved investor confidence and encouraged market risk appetite, making funds more willing to flow into risky assets like Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is in a strong upward trend. The RSI is above 70, indicating that Bitcoin may be in an overbought state in the short term. This could lead to a slight pullback or sideways consolidation in the upcoming market to digest excessive buying pressure. Investors need to pay attention to potential pullback risks, while closely monitoring factors such as macroeconomic data, policy changes, and market capital flows to adjust investment strategies in a timely manner.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 102700-103000
sl 101000
tp 104000-104200
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
Summary of Bitcoin Last WeekThe overall trend of the Bitcoin market shows a pattern of "first decline and then rise". The price has continuously broken through several key technical resistance levels, strongly breaking through the psychological barrier of the $100,000 mark and reaching a new stage high.👉👉👉
With the rise in price, the hash price of Bitcoin has steadily rebounded and is approaching the high range of the past month, rising for several consecutive days, indicating that the market demand for computing power resources remains robust.
Overall, after the previous fluctuations, the Bitcoin market has demonstrated strong resilience and optimistic expectations under the dominance of the bulls in the recent period. However, the cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and risky, and investors still need to approach it with caution.
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
BTC Forming Bullish Structure — But Wait for the Higher LowAfter months of lower lows and lower highs, Bitcoin has finally broken structure by pushing above the previous lower high, officially forming a new higher high (HH). This is an early sign of a potential trend reversal back into bullish territory.
However, before momentum continues upward, a healthy retracement could occur. The key level to watch is the support zone around $91,200. If price pulls back and forms a higher low (HL) here or slightly lower around the $88,700–$87,500 zone, it would confirm the bullish structure and potentially kickstart the next leg up.
Patience is key here — let the higher low form before looking for long setups.
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BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis is BullishAccording to my momentum analysis, BTCUSD confirmed Bullish trend on April 12, 2025 with entry price at 83624 and stop-loss at 74373. It is likely to continue the trend till 91980 and if breaks and closes above 91980, there is a possibility of hitting the target at 102754.
BTC/USDT Monthly Outlook📊 BTC/USDT Monthly Outlook – Smart Money Perspective
Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,565, with price consolidating after a Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the higher time frame.
🔹 Key Highlights:
A strong bullish impulse led to a break of monthly structure (MSS), creating Fair Value Gaps (FVG) both above and below.
Price is currently within a monthly FVG, showing indecision and potential for either continuation or deeper retracement.
Liquidity buy side rests near $110,000, marking a logical target if price respects current FVG support.
On the downside, a deeper retracement could aim for the lower FVG and sweep sell-side liquidity around $48,000–52,000.
📌 Scenarios:
Bullish case: Rejection from current FVG zone, followed by continuation toward the buy-side liquidity.
Bearish case: Break below current FVG, targeting the next zone and filling imbalances below.
🧠 Watch how price reacts to the current FVG. Smart money will likely seek liquidity before committing to a clear direction.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
BTC Update... What To Expect Now??Currently BTC is facing resistance of major trendline (Blue line)+ wedge resistance+ bearish OB resistance...
For bullish trend, currently Bitcoin have to break above all these resistances along with 89k level for confirmation of bullish trend....
If it fails and retraces back inside Monday high range, then we can expect price dropping below Monday lows where major support level is present+ Bat Harmonic Potential Reversal Zone+ 61.8 Golden Fib Level around 72000-70500 levels.
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 93000
🏁Sell Entry below 84000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers:
Adoption Trends:
Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish.
Regulatory Environment:
The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure.
Halving Impact:
Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025.
Network Usage:
Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value.
Inflation Hedge Narrative:
With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment.
Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000.
2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟
Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD:
U.S. Economy:
Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets.
Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral.
Global Growth:
China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish.
Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish.
Currency Markets:
USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term.
Commodity Prices:
Oil at $68/bbl and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Risk:
Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish.
Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels.
3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟
COT data reflects futures positioning:
Speculative Traders:
Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal.
Commercial Hedgers:
Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral.
Open Interest:
45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish.
Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse.
4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟
On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity:
Exchange Balances:
2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish.
Transaction Volume:
Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish.
HODLing Behavior:
70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term.
Miner Activity:
Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish.
Realized Price Levels:
Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held.
Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse.
5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Correlations with other markets:
USD Strength:
DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term.
S&P 500:
At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish.
Gold:
At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish.
Bond Yields:
U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish.
Altcoins:
ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish.
Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate.
6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Investor and trader mood:
Retail Sentiment:
Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish.
Analyst Views:
Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed.
Options Market:
Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral.
Fear & Greed Index:
At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift.
Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend.
7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟
Price projections across timeframes:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks):
Range: 84,000 - 88,500
Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally.
Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months):
Range: 80,000 - 92,000
Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns.
Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying.
Long-Term (6-12 Months):
Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000
Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability.
Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000
Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability.
Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data.
Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks.
8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟
BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
The momentum of BTC indicates its short-term potentialThe BTC/USD price is currently in a consolidation phase within a specific range.
Pay close attention to the 82,000 - 83,000 zone. Should the price retrace to this area and demonstrate signs of support, it could be a viable opportunity to initiate a small long position.
Set the target take - profit levels between 84,500 and 86,000. When the price reaches 84,500, it is advisable to consider partially closing the position to secure some profits. If it manages to break through this level, the subsequent target will be 86,000.
Considering the extreme volatility characteristic of the crypto market, prudent management of position size is of utmost importance. It's essential to refrain from overtrading to safeguard your investment capital.
BTCUSD
buy@82000-83500
tp:84500-86000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 93000
🏁Sell Entry below 84000
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 88000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 11000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 68000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a Neutral Trend (slightly Bearish🐼),., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic drivers:
Adoption Trends:
Institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, with $1.5 billion added in Q1 2025. MicroStrategy holds 300,000 BTC, reinforcing corporate adoption—bullish.
Regulatory Environment:
The U.S. signals a pro-crypto stance with talks of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, boosting confidence—bullish. However, global regulatory uncertainty (e.g., EU tax proposals) adds mild bearish pressure.
Halving Impact:
Post-2024 halving (April), supply issuance dropped to 450 BTC/day. Historical patterns suggest price appreciation 12-18 months later, supporting a bullish outlook for 2025.
Network Usage:
Transaction volume is up 10% year-over-year, driven by Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network)—bullish for utility and value.
Inflation Hedge Narrative:
With U.S. inflation at 3.0%, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value grows—bullish, though tempered by short-term risk-off sentiment.
Detailed Explanation: Fundamentals are strongly bullish long-term due to adoption, supply scarcity, and macro trends. Short-term bearish pressures from regulatory uncertainty and profit-taking explain the current dip to 87,000.
2. Macroeconomic Factors⭐⚡🌟
Macroeconomic conditions influencing BTC/USD:
U.S. Economy:
Fed rates at 3.0% with no immediate cuts signal tighter conditions—bearish short-term as capital favors yield-bearing assets.
Unemployment steady at 4.2% supports economic stability—neutral.
Global Growth:
China’s GDP growth slows to 4.2%, reducing demand for risk assets like Bitcoin—bearish.
Eurozone PMI at 47.8 indicates contraction, pressuring global markets—bearish.
Currency Markets:
USD strength (DXY at 106) weighs on BTC/USD, as a stronger dollar reduces Bitcoin’s appeal—bearish short-term.
Commodity Prices:
Oil at 668/BBL
and gold at $2,950 reflect a mixed risk environment—neutral for Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Risk:
Middle East tensions elevate safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin’s correlation with gold is weakening—neutral to mildly bearish.
Detailed Explanation: Macro factors tilt bearish short-term due to USD strength and global slowdown, countering Bitcoin’s long-term bullish fundamentals. This tension explains the current downward trend from higher levels.
3. Commitments of Traders (COT) Data⭐⚡🌟
COT data reflects futures positioning:
Speculative Traders:
Net long positions at 15,000 contracts, down from 25,000 at the 95,000 peak. Reduced bullishness suggests caution—bearish signal.
Commercial Hedgers:
Net short at 20,000 contracts, stable. Hedgers locking in gains indicate no panic—neutral.
Open Interest:
45,000 contracts, down 10% from February highs. Declining participation hints at fading momentum—bearish.
Detailed Explanation: COT data supports a bearish short-term view. Speculators unwinding longs and falling open interest align with the downward trend, though hedgers’ stability prevents a sharper collapse.
4. On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡🌟
On-chain metrics provide insights into Bitcoin’s network activity:
Exchange Balances:
2.6 million BTC on exchanges, up 5% in March. Rising supply suggests selling pressure—bearish.
Transaction Volume:
Daily volume at $10 billion, flat month-over-month. Lack of growth signals reduced buying interest—neutral to bearish.
HODLing Behavior:
70% of BTC unmoved for over a year (13.8 million coins). Strong holder conviction limits downside—bullish long-term.
Miner Activity:
Miners hold 1.8 million BTC, with minimal outflows. Stable miner behavior supports price floors—mildly bullish.
Realized Price Levels:
Realized cap indicates a cost basis of 78,000 for recent buyers, acting as support—bullish if held.
Detailed Explanation: On-chain data is mixed. Short-term bearish signals from exchange inflows contrast with long-term bullishness from HODLing and miner stability, suggesting a correction rather than a collapse.
5. Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Correlations with other markets:
USD Strength:
DXY at 106 pressures BTC/USD inversely—bearish short-term.
S&P 500:
At 5,900, down 2% this week, reflecting risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin’s 0.6 correlation with equities adds downward pressure—bearish.
Gold:
At $2,950, gold rises as a safe haven, decoupling from Bitcoin—neutral to bearish.
Bond Yields:
U.S. 10-year yields at 3.8% attract capital away from risk assets—bearish.
Altcoins:
ETH/BTC ratio at 0.035, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin, reinforcing BTC’s relative strength—mildly bullish.
Detailed Explanation: Intermarket signals are bearish short-term due to USD strength, equity declines, and yield competition. Bitcoin’s resilience versus altcoins offers some support, but broader risk-off trends dominate.
6. Market Sentiment Analysis⭐⚡🌟
Investor and trader mood:
Retail Sentiment:
Social media analysis shows 45% bullish sentiment, down from 60% at 95,000. Fear of further drops prevails—bearish.
Analyst Views:
Consensus targets range from 80,000 (short-term support) to 100,000 (Q3 2025), reflecting uncertainty—mixed.
Options Market:
Call/put ratio at 0.9, with balanced positioning. No strong directional bias—neutral.
Fear & Greed Index:
At 40 (neutral), down from 70 (greed) in February, indicating cooling enthusiasm—bearish shift.
Detailed Explanation: Sentiment has turned bearish short-term as retail investors react to the decline from 95,000. Analysts’ mixed views and neutral options activity suggest a wait-and-see approach, aligning with the current trend.
7. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐⚡🌟
Price projections across timeframes:
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks):
Range: 84,000 - 88,500
Likely to test support at 86,000-84,000 if selling persists; a bounce to 88,500 possible on relief rally.
Catalysts: U.S. economic data (e.g., CPI on March 12), ETF flows.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months):
Range: 80,000 - 92,000
Below 84,000 targets 80,000 (realized price support); above 88,500 aims for 92,000 if risk appetite returns.
Catalysts: BOJ policy update, institutional buying.
Long-Term (6-12 Months):
Bullish Target: 100,000 - 110,000
Driven by halving cycle, adoption, and inflation hedging—65% probability.
Bearish Target: 70,000 - 75,000
Triggered by global recession or regulatory crackdown—35% probability.
Catalysts: U.S. strategic reserve decision, Q3 GDP data.
Detailed Explanation: Short-term downside to 84,000 aligns with current bearish momentum. Medium-term consolidation reflects macro uncertainty, while long-term upside to 100,000+ hinges on fundamentals prevailing over temporary setbacks.
8. Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡🌟
BTC/USD at 87,000 is in a short-term bearish correction within a broader bullish cycle. Fundamentals (adoption, halving) and on-chain HODLing support long-term gains, but macro headwinds (USD strength, global slowdown), COT unwinding, and risk-off sentiment drive the current downward trend. Exchange inflows and declining sentiment reinforce near-term weakness, with support at 84,000-80,000 likely to hold. Medium-term recovery to 92,000 and long-term growth to 100,000+ remain plausible if catalysts align.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
BTCUSDT: $100k is Done, Next $130K? Dear Traders,
As we explained in our previous analysis that we had made on BTC, price have reached successfully 100k since the US Election fuelled up the prices of BTC and other cryptocurrencies. Now we are expecting price to drop 96k and then reverse from there.
Good luck.
Btcusdt still bullish till 32700 or 32900 because Best and A big signal for You
Btcusdt Still bullish till 32700 or 32900
because here we found
1: Deep crab Pattern wich is in Process to complete is D it ll be 1.62 wich is perfect area of nearby 32700 posible it can be 32900
2: another thing is our previous upper Trendline is nearby 32700 it can pushed by a wick 32900
3: on weekly Time frame 33000 is our Wave 1 so now we are in Wave 4 if it happen then our wave 1 cant touch the wave
perfect short ll be 32700 or near by 32900 our stop loss must be 33050
#BTC #btcsoaring #Binance #dyor #btcupdate






















