EURUSD is Nearing an Important Support!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.17000 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.17000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Buy
Bitcoin Today: A Controlled Pullback Within a Healthy UptrendHello, I’m Camila.
By closely observing the Bitcoin chart over recent sessions, I see the market moving in line with a very familiar medium-term bullish scenario. After a clear rebound from the lows, price is now trading within a well-controlled bullish structure, forming higher lows along the way. This behavior confirms that underlying buying pressure remains intact, even though short-term momentum has begun to slow as price approaches key supply zones.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has not broken its bullish structure. The current fluctuations are better interpreted as trend-based corrections rather than signs of a reversal. When price was rejected at the upper resistance area, the market responded by pulling back to retest lower support levels—classic price action when larger players reassess the strength and commitment of buyers.
On the fundamental side, the broader macro environment continues to keep Bitcoin in a state of balance. USD-related data and U.S. Treasury yields suggest that markets are still waiting for clearer guidance from the Fed regarding next year’s policy path. Elevated interest rates have slowed the short-term rotation back into risk assets. However, major financial media continue to highlight expectations of monetary easing in 2026, alongside quiet institutional accumulation, which provides meaningful support for Bitcoin at lower price levels.
The key area I am watching closely in the near term is the 86,500 – 88,000 support zone. This level aligns with both the higher-low structure and the lower boundary of the current bullish formation. In healthy uptrends, the market often follows a familiar pattern: a pullback to support to test demand, followed by a decision on whether the trend is ready to expand further. As long as Bitcoin holds this zone and shows a clear buying response, the bullish structure remains fully intact.
Wishing you successful and disciplined trading.
AUDUSD: Bullish Pullback Within Uptrend!!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.66500 zone.
Technically, AUDUSD continues to trade within a well-defined uptrend and is currently in a healthy correction phase. Price is approaching the 0.66500 support zone, which coincides with trend support and a key structure level — an area where buyers have previously stepped in.
As long as this level holds, the broader bullish bias remains valid, with pullbacks seen as potential continuation setups rather than reversals.
Trade safe,
Joe
GBP/USD – A Pullback Before the Uptrend ContinuesHello everyone, my name is Camila.
Observing the GBP/USD chart on the H3 timeframe, I assess that the market is moving in line with the characteristics of a healthy uptrend. Price is trading steadily within an ascending channel, with a clear higher high – higher low structure maintained consistently since the beginning of December. This indicates that the dominant capital flow is still supporting the British pound, and the current pullbacks are more technical corrections rather than signals of a trend reversal.
From a structural perspective, after approaching the resistance area around 1.3520, price has started to face short-term profit-taking pressure and moved into a corrective phase. This is a completely natural reaction when the market reaches the upper boundary of an ascending channel. I do not see clear signs of distribution at this stage; instead, selling pressure appears to be weakening, suggesting that sellers are not strong enough to break the existing trend structure.
The key area to focus on lies at the 1.3420 – 1.3450 support zone. This is a significant confluence area between the ascending channel’s trendline support and a prior demand zone, where price previously consolidated and broke out strongly. If GBP/USD continues to pull back into this area with slowing downside momentum, accompanied by long lower wicks or confirming price action signals, I expect buying interest to return and defend the medium-term bullish structure.
From a fundamental perspective, the current macro backdrop remains slightly supportive of GBP. Recent U.S. economic data have failed to provide fresh upside momentum for the USD, while the market continues to adjust expectations toward a more cautious Federal Reserve rate policy outlook. Major outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg have also noted that the U.S. dollar is lacking strong bullish catalysts as year-end risk sentiment improves. In contrast, the Bank of England has maintained a relatively firm stance on inflation, helping the pound retain a more stable underlying foundation.
My preferred short-term scenario is for GBP/USD to decline and retest the 1.3420 – 1.3450 zone to rebalance supply and demand. From there, if buying pressure emerges as expected, price could rebound toward the 1.3520 area, with further upside potential toward 1.3580 – 1.3600, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
In summary, I maintain a bullish bias on GBP/USD. The current market conditions are not ideal for chasing sell positions at resistance, but rather favor a buy-on-dips strategy at support, trading in alignment with the prevailing structure and the dominant capital flow guiding the market.
Wishing you successful trading!
Why Did XAUUSD Drop Sharply in the Latest Session?I don’t see this decline as abnormal. It is more the result of several factors aligning at the same time.
First, large-scale profit taking. Since the beginning of 2025, gold has gained more than 70%. As price approached the 4.55x area — a very strong psychological level — institutional money began locking in profits. Funds often distribute positions in a concentrated manner to optimize liquidity, which is why price dropped quickly instead of correcting gradually.
Second, the short-term macro backdrop has turned less supportive. The USD has seen a technical rebound, while US Treasury yields remain elevated around 4.1%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. That alone is enough to create pressure when price is already in an overbought state.
Third, thin year-end liquidity. During the December 30–31 period, many funds have already closed their books. In such conditions, a single large sell order can push price much further than usual, making the move appear more aggressive than it actually is.
Finally, technical factors played a role. Price closed below the fast EMA, broke the short-term balance zone, and triggered stop-losses from trend-following long positions. This created a cascading sell effect that quickly dragged price down toward the 4.33x area.
The key takeaway: the larger structure remains intact. Price is still holding above the slower EMA and has not broken the H4 swing low around 4.28x–4.30x. Therefore, this move should be seen as a sharp correction within an uptrend, not a trend reversal signal.
EURUSD Is Not Breaking Out Yet — It’s Still Balancing Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not an immediate bullish breakout, but the fact that EURUSD remains locked inside a clearly defined range, rotating between strong resistance and a well-respected support base.
After multiple attempts into the upper resistance zone around 1.1800–1.1820, price has repeatedly failed to gain acceptance above this area. Each push higher has been met with selling pressure, resulting in sharp rejections and a return back into the range. This behavior confirms that supply remains active overhead and that buyers are not yet strong enough to force a directional expansion.
From a structural perspective, the market is printing overlapping highs and lows, which is a classic sign of balance rather than trend. There is no clean sequence of higher highs to validate an uptrend, and at the same time, sellers have been unable to drive price decisively below support. This tells us that both sides are active, but neither is in control.
The support zone around 1.1750–1.1760 continues to act as a demand area. Every test into this zone has been absorbed, leading to short-term rebounds rather than continuation lower. As long as this support holds, downside risk remains contained, and the market stays in a consolidation phase.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic well: a possible dip into support to test demand, followed by another rotation higher toward resistance. Only a clean breakout and acceptance above the resistance zone would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for a move toward higher levels. Conversely, a decisive breakdown below support would invalidate the range structure and shift the bias bearish.
Until one of those scenarios plays out, EURUSD is not trending. It is rebalancing and building liquidity inside the range, and patience remains essential.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHello everyone, let’s take a look at today’s gold price.
XAU/USD fell more than 4% from its all-time high at 4,555 USD, marking its weakest performance in several months, largely due to thin trading volumes on Monday. However, buyers returned aggressively on Tuesday, with the rebound largely driven by dip-buying activity following the sharp sell-off.
At the moment, the pair is attempting to recover from the 4,300 USD area, supported by a more cautious market sentiment on Tuesday as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate. As long as this support level holds, buyers remain in control. On the other hand, if it fails, waiting for opportunities at lower levels would be a safer approach.
What’s your view on the current XAUUSD trend?
Recovery Attempts Remain Corrective, Not a Trend ShiftOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is trading below a well-defined resistance zone around 4,440–4,460, which previously acted as a structural support area before being decisively broken. The sharp sell-off from the ATH region confirms a clear change in short-term market character, shifting price action from trend continuation into a corrective and rebalancing phase.
The recent decline shows strong bearish impulse, with consecutive large-bodied candles breaking through prior support and accelerating toward the lower demand area around 4,260–4,280. This type of move is typically associated with forced liquidation and liquidity release, rather than a healthy pullback. As a result, the market is now in a stabilization attempt rather than a confirmed reversal.
From a moving-average perspective, price is trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, and both averages are sloping downward. This alignment reinforces that short-term momentum remains bearish, and any upside movement toward the resistance zone should be treated as a technical retracement, not a bullish continuation signal.
The current bounce from the lower support zone reflects reactive buying, likely driven by short-covering rather than fresh trend buyers. The projected recovery path toward the resistance zone represents a mean-reversion scenario, where price revisits previous supply to test whether sellers remain in control. Without a clean reclaim and acceptance above 4,460, upside attempts are structurally vulnerable to rejection.
From a macro perspective, Gold remains sensitive to USD strength and real yield expectations. In the absence of a clear risk-off catalyst or a sharp drop in yields, the broader environment supports range-to-bearish consolidation rather than immediate trend resumption.
In summary, Gold is currently in a post-impulse corrective phase. The dominant structure favors sell-side control below resistance, with the market likely oscillating between support and resistance until a decisive breakout occurs. Any recovery should be evaluated as corrective price action, not confirmation of renewed bullish momentum.
Gold Is Not Collapsing — It’s Completing a Pullback at H1 DemandHello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the sharp sell-off, but how gold is behaving after breaking below a descending trendline and reacting into a clearly defined support zone. The market has already delivered the impulsive leg down; what matters next is whether sellers can extend or whether price shifts into a corrective rebound.
From the chart, gold completed a lower-high sequence beneath a descending resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure throughout the session. Each attempt to recover was capped by the trendline, keeping price compressed and vulnerable. That structure finally resolved with a strong impulsive breakdown, sending price directly into the 4,270–4,290 demand zone.
This support area is critical. It aligns with prior reaction lows and has already triggered a sharp intraday response, indicating that sell-side momentum is slowing as liquidity is absorbed. The long downside candle into support followed by reduced follow-through suggests this move is exhaustive, not the start of a fresh acceleration lower.
Structurally, price is now in a post-breakdown rebalancing phase. A brief consolidation or marginal sweep below support is possible to complete the downside sequence. However, as long as the market holds this demand area, a corrective rebound becomes the higher-probability scenario rather than immediate continuation lower.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic:
Short-term stabilization inside the 4,270–4,290 zone
A corrective push back toward the descending trendline
Potential extension higher toward the 4,390–4,400 resistance, which marks the next major supply level
Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would reopen the door for deeper downside. Conversely, a decisive reclaim above the descending trendline would signal that bearish pressure has reset and that gold is ready to challenge higher resistance levels again.
Until that confirmation appears, gold is not trending aggressively lower. It is working through a technical pullback after a completed bearish impulse, where patience and level awareness remain key.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Holding Firm at Higher Levels, H4 Structure Remains IntactHello everyone,
On the H4 chart, EURUSD has delivered a clear expansion from the 1.155 area up toward 1.180. After this advance, price did not reverse sharply lower but instead shifted into a sideways consolidation, holding above the key EMA levels. This behavior suggests that current selling pressure is not strong enough to disrupt the short-term bullish structure.
During this consolidation phase, there are no signs of a structural breakdown or meaningful distribution. Pullbacks have been orderly, with narrow ranges and quick absorption, indicating that buyers are still holding positions rather than actively exiting the market.
Overall, the current price action looks more like post-rally consolidation than a weak rebound within a downtrend. As long as price remains above the EMAs, the H4 uptrend is preserved, while the market likely needs more time to rebalance supply and demand before defining its next directional move.
Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
Gold After the Flush — Stabilization, Not ReversalOn the 1H timeframe, Gold (XAU/USD) has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking the prior short-term structure and accelerating downside momentum. The decline was fast and vertical, suggesting liquidity-driven selling rather than a controlled trend transition. This type of move typically exhausts sellers in the short term but does not automatically signal a trend reversal.
After the sell-off, price is now stabilizing above a clearly defined support zone around 4,300–4,320. The current candles show smaller bodies and overlapping ranges, indicating that bearish momentum has slowed. However, this behavior should be interpreted as temporary absorption, not confirmation of bullish control. Structurally, the market remains below the descending trendline that guided the sell-off.
From a price action perspective, the rebound from support is corrective in nature. The market is forming a sequence of short-term higher lows, but these are developing inside a broader bearish leg, not as part of a confirmed trend change. Until price reclaims and holds above the prior breakdown area near 4,380–4,400, upside moves should be treated as pullbacks rather than trend continuation.
In terms of market context, this type of reaction is typical after a high-volatility flush, especially ahead of low-liquidity periods and year-end positioning. With no immediate macro catalyst forcing aggressive dollar weakness, gold lacks the conditions for a clean upside expansion at this stage. As a result, price is likely to rotate between support and the first supply reaction zone before the next directional decision.
In summary, gold is currently in a post-selloff consolidation phase. The support zone is holding for now, but the broader structure remains vulnerable. A sustained recovery would require acceptance back above key resistance levels, while failure to build continuation could expose price to another test of support or a deeper retracement. Patience and level-based execution remain critical in this environment.
GCILGCIL (PSX) – Bullish Continuation Setup 🚀
Fundamental Positives (Recent Quarter) 📊
✅ Earnings Growth: Latest quarterly results showed improved EPS, reflecting better operational performance 💰
✅ Margin Improvement: Gross & operating margins expanded due to better cost control and stable sales mix 📈
✅ Lower Financial Pressure: Finance cost remained controlled, supporting net profitability and cash flows 🏦
Technical View 🔍
📈 Healthy Retracement: Stock completed a controlled pullback from previous top and respected key support
🔼 Higher Highs Structure: Price action is now forming Higher Highs (HHs) & Higher Lows (HLs) clear bullish trend continuation
🔥 Momentum Shift: Buyers stepping in with strength, indicating potential breakout toward new High
Conclusion 🎯
GCIL is showing strong confluence of fundamentals + price action. As long as the HH–HL structure holds, bias remains bullish for upside continuation 🚀
Welcome 2026 — A New Year for Better TradesHappy New Year 2026, Traders.
2025 has been a year that truly tested every trader strong volatility, constant macro shifts, and markets that rewarded discipline while punishing emotional decisions. This year reminded us that profitability does not come from being right once, but from managing risk correctly over hundreds of trades. There were winning trades that built confidence, and losing trades that reinforced an essential truth: the market is always right, and our job is to adapt.
As we step into 2026, I wish every trader a strong and stable mindset. Trade with a plan, respect your stop-loss without hesitation, and never let emotions override structure. May you stay calm during sudden spikes, remain disciplined during winning streaks, and trust your system during drawdowns. Consistent profits are the result of patience and execution not speed or prediction.
May 2026 be a year of clean trading: fewer impulsive trades, less FOMO, more high-quality setups, and a steadily rising equity curve over time. Wishing you good health, mental clarity, and continuous growth as a trader. Happy New Year 2026.
2025 Performance Review: Why Capital Rotated Into Metals 2025 Investment Landscape — Capital Chose Stability Over Speculation
The data in the image clearly shows a decisive shift in capital allocation during 2025. Precious metals significantly outperformed traditional risk assets. Gold delivered a +67.3% return, while Silver (+155%) and Platinum (+137.1%) posted exceptional gains. In contrast, the S&P 500 rose a modest +17.7%, and Bitcoin declined by −9.3%. This divergence reflects a year dominated by macro uncertainty rather than growth-driven risk appetite.
Why Metals Outperformed in 2025
Gold’s strong appreciation was driven by a combination of persistent inflation pressure, declining real yields, and rising geopolitical risk. Central banks globally continued to diversify reserves away from fiat currencies, reinforcing structural demand for gold. Silver and platinum benefited not only from monetary hedging flows but also from industrial demand tied to energy transition and supply constraints. Metals, unlike equities or crypto, offered both capital preservation and asymmetric upside.
Risk Assets Lagged — A Market Defined by Caution
The S&P 500’s gains were largely multiple driven rather than earnings-led, making returns vulnerable to tightening liquidity conditions. Bitcoin, despite prior cycle optimism, struggled as speculative capital rotated out amid regulatory pressure, reduced liquidity, and lower risk tolerance. The underperformance of BTC relative to metals highlights a clear preference for tangible, inflation-protective assets in this phase of the cycle.
Key Investment Lesson from 2025
Markets rewarded discipline, macro awareness, and defensive positioning. Capital flowed toward assets with intrinsic value, limited supply, and global monetary relevance. Gold acted as both a hedge and a performance asset not merely a safe haven, but a core portfolio driver.
Strategic Outlook for 2026 — Positioning with Structure, Not Emotion
Heading into 2026, the priority is balance and selectivity. Precious metals particularly gold should remain a foundational allocation, especially during periods of monetary easing or geopolitical stress. Tactical exposure to equities should focus on sectors aligned with real assets and cash flow resilience. High-volatility assets like crypto require strict risk control and confirmation from broader liquidity conditions before meaningful allocation.
Conclusion
2025 was a year where markets clearly signaled what they value in uncertain environments: protection, scarcity, and macro alignment. Traders who respected structure and capital flow thrived. As 2026 begins, the edge will belong to those who continue to follow capital not narratives.
Gold at a Crossroad: Correction Phase Still in ControlHello Traders,
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading in a critical transition zone following a sharp rejection from the all-time high (ATH) near 4,550. The sell-off from this level was impulsive and decisive, indicating strong profit-taking and distribution at premium prices. However, the subsequent price action shows stabilization rather than continuation, suggesting the market has entered a rebalancing phase after extreme volatility.
From a market structure perspective, the breakdown below the former support zone around 4,430–4,450 marked a short-term structural shift. This zone now acts as a key resistance, where prior demand has turned into supply. Price is currently trading below this level, confirming that the market has not yet regained bullish control. At the same time, sellers have failed to extend price significantly lower after the initial breakdown, which limits immediate downside momentum.
The rebound from the 4,300–4,320 support zone is technically significant. This area aligns with a higher-timeframe demand zone where buying interest has previously emerged. The reaction here shows that buyers are still active at discounted prices, but the recovery remains corrective in nature, characterized by overlapping candles and measured upside moves rather than impulsive expansion.
Dynamic indicators support this neutral view. Price remains below the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, both of which are flattening after a prior bullish slope. This behavior typically reflects a loss of directional momentum and the development of a range. A sustained move above these moving averages would be required to shift momentum back to the upside, while rejection below them would reinforce resistance.
From a macro standpoint, gold is currently influenced by mixed drivers. U.S. Treasury yields have stabilized after recent volatility, while the U.S. dollar is holding firm but not accelerating. This macro balance reduces the probability of an immediate directional breakout and instead supports range-bound price behavior, especially as markets approach year-end liquidity conditions.
In conclusion, gold is not confirming a bullish continuation, nor signaling a bearish expansion at this stage. The market is trading between defined support at 4,300–4,320 and resistance at 4,430–4,450, with ATH supply overhead near 4,550. Until price either reclaims resistance with strong acceptance or breaks support with follow-through, gold remains in a neutral, level-driven environment, where discipline, confirmation, and risk management are more important than directional bias.
Holding Support — The Range Is Still in PlayEURUSD remains in a range-to-reaccumulation structure, with price holding above a well-defined support zone around 1.1745–1.1750. Buyers continue to defend dips, while upside attempts are capped below the 1.1805–1.1815 resistance zone, keeping the market in consolidation rather than expansion.
The recent higher low suggests demand is still active. As long as price holds above support, upside continuation toward the upper range remains the favored path.
Resistance: 1.1805 – 1.1815
Support: 1.1745 – 1.1750
Range focus: 1.1750 – 1.1815
➡️ Primary: support holds → higher lows → rotation toward 1.1805–1.1815.
⚠️ Risk: clean break below 1.1745 → deeper pullback before buyers reassess.
BITCOIN STUCK in Accumulation ZoneBITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains in a range reaccumulation structure after rejecting the upper 89,800–90,300 resistance zone. The sharp impulse was followed by a pullback into the 87,000–87,500 support, where buyers are defending and price is stabilizing above the EMA cluster. Structure favors consolidation and rotation rather than immediate trend reversal.
As long as support holds, this looks like rebalancing before the next expansion, not distribution.
Resistance: 89,800 – 90,300
Support: 87,000 – 87,500
Range focus: 87,000 – 90,300
➡️ Primary: hold 87k → higher lows → rotation back toward 89.5k–90k.
⚠️ Risk: clean loss of 87k → deeper pullback toward the lower demand zone.
This Is Distribution — Not a PullbackOANDA:XAUUSD has shifted into a bearish structure on H1 after failing at the 4550 supply. The strong impulsive sell-off broke prior higher lows, confirming a clear change in market character.
Price is now consolidating inside the 4320–4380 reaction zone, suggesting distribution and rebalancing rather than a simple pullback.
Resistance: 4370–4380, 4450–4480
Support: 4320–4300, 4280–4265
➡️ Primary: lower highs → sell rallies → continuation toward 4300 → 4280.
⚠️ Risk: strong reclaim above 4380 on H1 opens a corrective rotation toward 4450.
If this idea resonates with you, traders, share your view in the comments.
Gold’s Sharp Sell-Off Is a Reset, Not the Start of a Bear TrendHello everyone,
Price OANDA:XAUUSD has now reacted strongly from the 4.30x–4.32x demand zone, which aligns with a previous base and marks the end of the impulsive leg down. The current bounce should be viewed as a technical reaction, not a trend reversal. Structurally, this fits well with the early stages of an ABC corrective structure.
4.38x–4.40x: first resistance zone, previously broken support and near EMA34. This is a high-probability reaction area for sellers (wave A).
4.34x–4.35x: potential pullback zone (wave B) if price fails to reclaim structure.
4.46x–4.48x: corrective upside extension (wave C) if momentum sustains, but still within a corrective context.
Price continues to rebound to retest the 4.40x – 4.41x zone (short-term resistance / Wave A).
- A corrective phase B may occur here before:
- If buying pressure is strong enough → price continues wave C, heading towards a higher zone (4.48x – 4.50x).
- If the price fails to break through zone A and is strongly rejected, the market will return to a sideways consolidation phase within the Liquidity range, needing more time to absorb supply.
Only a clean reclaim above EMA89 and acceptance back above the broken channel would signal that buyers have regained control and reopen the path toward the 4.55x–4.60x region. Until that happens, any upside movement on H1 should be treated as corrective rebalancing after a completed trend, not a fresh impulsive advance.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
XAUUSD – A Healthy Reset Before Trend ContinuationHello, I’m Camila.
Observing the XAUUSD H4 chart, I believe the market is unfolding exactly as a technical correction within a well-defined uptrend. After price was rejected at the upper resistance of the ascending channel, gold deliberately pulled back to retest the channel’s dynamic support. This move should not be interpreted as a trend reversal, but rather as a natural and rational response following a steep and extended rally.
What stands out to me is how price behaves upon reaching the support zone. Selling pressure has not expanded further; instead, downside momentum has clearly slowed, accompanied by signs of supply absorption at the highlighted support area. This is classic price behavior in a healthy uptrend: the market retraces to lower levels to assess whether buyers remain committed to defending the underlying structure.
From a structural perspective, the ascending channel remains intact. Price has not broken below the lower boundary of the channel, and the entire pullback still falls well within acceptable corrective limits. This indicates that the medium-term bullish trend remains unbroken. I see no clear evidence of distribution at this stage; rather, the market appears to be undergoing a temporary rebalancing of supply and demand before the primary trend resumes.
My preferred scenario is for gold to stabilize and consolidate around the dynamic support zone, marked as a BUY area on the chart. If buying interest continues to emerge and price maintains its higher-low structure, the market is likely to form a technical rebound. From there, gold could move back toward a retest of the upper resistance zone previously highlighted. A decisive breakout above that area would confirm trend continuation and open the door to higher targets in the next phase.
From a macro perspective, the broader backdrop continues to support this bullish outlook. Ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainties sustain demand for safe-haven assets, while expectations of a more accommodative Federal Reserve stance help cap U.S. dollar strength and Treasury yields. In this environment, pullbacks in gold are better viewed as strategic opportunities, rather than early signals of a trend reversal.
In summary, based on what the chart is showing, I consider the current decline to be a necessary step back before the next advance. Once the market completes its support test and buying strength is reaffirmed, gold is likely to revisit resistance and continue along the upward path already established.
Wishing you disciplined trading, a calm mindset, and decisions aligned with market structure.
XAUUSD – Retesting Support Before the Next Upside MoveHello, I'm Camila.
Observing the H4 chart, I can see that gold has proactively pulled back to rete afterhow the market is reacting at lower prices. Instead of continued selling pressure, the current candles show a clear loss of bearish momentum, while buying interest is beginning to re-emerge. This is typical behavior in a healthy uptrend, where the market reassesses its foundation before committing to the next move.
From a structural perspective, the bullish trend remains intact. Price is still trading above the ascending trendline, and there are no confirmed signals of a structural breakdown. The recent volatility appears to be more about rebalancing supply and demand than distribution. In momentum-driven uptrends, pullbacks to test support are not signs of weakness; they are often necessary steps to determine whether buyers are still committed to defending higher prices.
On the fundamental side, the broader backdrop continues to favor gold. Ongoing global economic and geopolitical risks remain unresolved, sustaining demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a relatively accommodative policy stance help limit upside pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. However, with a busy U.S. economic calendar ahead, upcoming data releases could generate uneven intraday volatility, making it unlikely for gold to move in a straight line and more likely to continue its familiar “advance-and-pause” rhythm.
The area I am watching most closely is the current support zone, where price is now reacting. If gold continues to hold this area and shows clearer buying responses, the bullish structure will be further reinforced. In such scenarios, the market often completes its base-building process before resuming the broader trend that has already been established.
Wishing you disciplined and successful trading.
Technical Pullback Within an Uptrend, No Reversal Signal YetHello everyone,
On the H4 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term decline, but the fact that gold’s primary uptrend remains intact. After a strong rally that pushed price into the 4.52x–4.55x zone, the market has started to show a corrective reaction. This is a typical development when price has advanced too quickly and needs a pullback to test the strength of buying interest at elevated levels.
From a structural perspective, the uptrend has not been violated. Price is still trading above both EMA34 and EMA89, even though profit-taking pressure has become more visible in recent sessions. The cluster of moving averages below price continues to act as dynamic support, suggesting that the current decline is corrective in nature rather than the beginning of a trend reversal.
In terms of key levels, the 4.45x–4.46x area is the first nearby support to watch, where price may retest and react around EMA34. If selling pressure extends further, the 4.40x–4.42x zone becomes the next important area of interest, aligning with EMA89 and a prior consolidation base. Only a clear breakdown below this region would seriously challenge the bullish scenario. At this stage, price action still fits well with a technical pullback within a dominant uptrend.






















