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Bitcoin Today: A Controlled Pullback Within a Healthy UptrendHello, I’m Camila. By closely observing the Bitcoin chart over recent sessions, I see the market moving in line with a very familiar medium-term bullish scenario. After a clear rebound from the lows, price is now trading within a well-controlled bullish structure, forming higher lows along the way. This behavior confirms that underlying buying pressure remains intact, even though short-term momentum has begun to slow as price approaches key supply zones. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has not broken its bullish structure. The current fluctuations are better interpreted as trend-based corrections rather than signs of a reversal. When price was rejected at the upper resistance area, the market responded by pulling back to retest lower support levels—classic price action when larger players reassess the strength and commitment of buyers. On the fundamental side, the broader macro environment continues to keep Bitcoin in a state of balance. USD-related data and U.S. Treasury yields suggest that markets are still waiting for clearer guidance from the Fed regarding next year’s policy path. Elevated interest rates have slowed the short-term rotation back into risk assets. However, major financial media continue to highlight expectations of monetary easing in 2026, alongside quiet institutional accumulation, which provides meaningful support for Bitcoin at lower price levels. The key area I am watching closely in the near term is the 86,500 – 88,000 support zone. This level aligns with both the higher-low structure and the lower boundary of the current bullish formation. In healthy uptrends, the market often follows a familiar pattern: a pullback to support to test demand, followed by a decision on whether the trend is ready to expand further. As long as Bitcoin holds this zone and shows a clear buying response, the bullish structure remains fully intact. Wishing you successful and disciplined trading.
Long
by Camila_Roja
14
XAUUSD – Geopolitical Rally, Market Near Trend ConfirmationHello everyone, this is Domic. During the Asian session, gold rebounded sharply from the 4.33x area to above 4.39x, signaling a clear return of defensive flows after news that the US launched a military operation in Venezuela and detained President Maduro. Although the military action itself has concluded, Washington’s announcement of a temporary takeover to stabilize the country and oversee oil production has kept geopolitical uncertainty in Latin America elevated. In this context, gold continues to be favored as a safe haven rather than higher-risk assets. Another notable factor is crude oil pulling back toward the 57 USD/barrel area. This suggests the market is viewing the Venezuela situation primarily through a geopolitical risk lens rather than as an immediate threat to energy supply. Rising uncertainty without a corresponding spike in oil-driven inflation expectations creates a more supportive short-term backdrop for gold. On the H4 timeframe, technical signals are turning more constructive. Price remains above the slower EMA and has reclaimed the faster EMA after the year-end pullback. In hindsight, the decline from the 4.55x area down to 4.28x appears corrective rather than distributive. The strong reaction from the demand zone and the ability to sustain the rebound indicate that buyers have regained short-term control, placing the market in a phase where the uptrend is being confirmed rather than challenged. Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
6
Technical Breakdown – Silver (XAGUSD)Market Structure Price is currently correcting after a strong impulsive leg. The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, while the current move is a short-term correction. The structure suggests a controlled pullback rather than trend reversal. Chart Patterns • Falling Trendline: Price is respecting a descending corrective trendline. • Corrective Structure: Classic impulse → correction setup is forming. • Demand Reaction: Strong reaction from the 72.0–71.9 demand zone. Liquidity & Key Levels • Sell-side liquidity has been swept below recent lows (~72.0). • Buy-side liquidity is resting above 75.80 and 76.75 (prior highs / rejection zones). Trade Idea (Bullish Continuation Scenario) 1% (High Risk) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 75.80 TP2: 76.75 ❌ Invalidation: – Acceptance below 71.90 📝 Summary As long as price holds above demand and reclaims structure, this move is considered a corrective pullback within a larger bullish framework. This is not financial advice. Always manage risk.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GForecast
1
Gold Bullish Outlook | Dollar Weakness & Geopolitical Risks!Hey Traders, In the coming week, we are closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong bullish trend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and 4,280 support & resistance zone, which could act as a high-probability demand area. From a macro perspective, the recent weakness in the US Dollar continues to support upside momentum in Gold. Additionally, last night’s escalation of US tensions with Venezuela has increased geopolitical uncertainty, further boosting safe-haven demand for Gold, which strengthens the bullish bias. As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
36
XAUUSD - Macro Tailwinds Align with a Technically Intact UptrendHello everyone, Camila here! From a fundamental perspective, gold continues to receive clear support from macroeconomic factors. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 are keeping downward pressure on U.S. Treasury yields. As yields cool, the opportunity cost of holding gold declines, allowing capital to rotate back into the precious metal. In addition, ongoing geopolitical risks and unresolved global economic uncertainties mean that gold remains a preferred defensive asset. From a technical standpoint, I see no signs of a trend reversal at this stage. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains firmly intact, with a clear sequence of higher lows. The ascending trendline extending from November to the present continues to be respected, indicating that buying pressure still dominates the medium-term market direction. The 4.28x–4.30x price zone plays a critical role in the overall structure. This area previously acted as strong resistance and has now successfully flipped into support after being broken. Repeated price reactions and rebounds from this zone suggest that the market is accepting a higher price base, rather than entering a distribution phase. Following the sharp correction from the recent peak, price behavior indicates that selling pressure has lost momentum. Instead of extending lower, price has begun to consolidate and form a structure resembling an inverse Head & Shoulders. The right shoulder remains relatively tight, signaling weakening bearish pressure and active supply absorption. This phase often represents a “pause” before the primary trend resumes. My preferred short-term scenario is a modest break above the upper resistance, followed by a pullback to retest the newly broken area. If the underlying support continues to hold, this retracement should remain purely technical. In that case, gold would have a solid foundation to extend its advance toward the 4.49x region in the coming sessions. Wishing you successful trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
3
EUR/USD Breakdown Confirmed – The Bearish Trend Comes Into FocusAs we move into early January 2026 , EUR/USD is sending clear signs of weakness , with both macro fundamentals and technical structure aligning in favor of the sellers. Market sentiment remains cautious at the start of the year, while capital flows are gradually rotating back into the U.S. dollar. From a fundamental perspective, the USD is being supported by expectations that upcoming U.S. economic data will remain resilient, whereas the ECB has yet to deliver any fresh policy signals strong enough to support the euro. This divergence in expectations continues to place downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term, especially as markets currently favor safety and stability via the USD. On the technical side, the bearish structure remains intact . Price has attempted several recoveries, but each rally has been firmly rejected at the descending trendline, confirming that selling pressure continues to dominate market structure. Recent upward moves are purely corrective, lacking the momentum required to signal any meaningful trend reversal. The 1.1740 level stands out as a key resistance zone. As long as price remains below this level, the higher-probability scenario favors further downside, with EUR/USD likely to resume its decline toward the 1.1650 support area following a brief corrective bounce. In short, EUR/USD remains a sell-on-rallies market — until the structure clearly proves otherwise.
Short
by Paradise_Noir
Gold Turns at Key Support — Break or Fake Into Resistance?Gold on the H1 timeframe has completed a clean rebound from the major support zone, confirming that buyers are actively defending this area. The sharp rejection from the lows suggests the recent sell-off was corrective rather than the start of a sustained bearish trend. Price is now recovering above the short-term structure and pushing back toward the key resistance zone around 4,425–4,450. This area is critical, as it previously acted as a strong supply region and aligns with prior breakdown levels. The current move should be treated as a reaction leg, not a confirmed continuation yet. Two clear scenarios are in play. Scenario 1: Price holds above the recent pullback level, consolidates, and breaks cleanly through resistance. This would open the path toward higher levels and a potential retest of the upper range and ATH zone. Scenario 2: Price stalls or rejects at resistance, forming a lower high, which would signal ongoing range behavior and a possible rotation back toward mid-range or support. In summary, Gold has turned bullish from support , but confirmation depends on acceptance above resistance. Until a clean breakout occurs, the market remains reactive and range-controlled, with resistance being the key decision point.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — This Is a Pullback Into H1 SupportHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent bearish candles, but how EURUSD is reacting after rejecting from a descending resistance and pulling back into a well-defined support zone. Structurally, the market remains capped by a descending resistance trendline, with price consistently forming lower highs beneath it. The most recent push higher stalled precisely at the EMA cluster and the resistance zone, where sellers stepped in aggressively. This rejection confirms that upside attempts are still being sold and that bullish momentum has not yet regained control. Following that rejection, EURUSD is now rotating lower toward the 1.1720–1.1730 support zone, which has already acted as a strong reaction base in previous sessions. This area is technically important: it marks prior demand and has previously absorbed selling pressure before producing sharp rebounds. The current move lower appears orderly and corrective, rather than an impulsive breakdown. From a price action perspective, there is no confirmed trend reversal at this stage. The decline into support fits well with a pullback within a broader corrective structure, not a fresh bearish expansion. As long as price holds above the support zone, downside follow-through remains limited. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: A test or sweep of the 1.1720 support zone to check demand A technical rebound back toward the mid-range Potential continuation higher toward the descending resistance if buyers regain strength Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would invalidate this pullback scenario and open the door for deeper downside. Conversely, a reclaim above the EMA cluster and descending trendline would be the first signal that bearish pressure is fading and that a larger recovery toward resistance is possible. Until confirmation appears, EURUSD is not trending aggressively in either direction. It is rebalancing after rejection, and patience around key levels remains critical. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Long
by RexTraderGOLD
Gold at a Tipping PointHello Traders, Gold is currently trading within a short-term recovery structure after forming a clear swing low and establishing a rising support trendline. Price has respected this ascending support well, producing higher lows and signaling that buyers are gradually regaining control following the prior impulsive sell-off. At the moment, price is pressing into a clearly defined resistance zone. This area previously acted as supply and now represents a critical decision point for the market. The recent bullish push into this zone suggests growing momentum, but continuation is not confirmed until acceptance above resistance is seen. If price breaks above this resistance and holds, the structure opens the door for upside continuation toward the next higher liquidity levels. In this scenario, the preferred execution is not chasing the initial breakout, but waiting for a pullback that successfully retests the broken resistance as support. This confirms acceptance and provides a cleaner risk-to-reward framework. Alternatively, failure to hold above the resistance could result in a corrective rotation. A rejection here would likely send price back toward the rising support trendline. As long as this support remains intact, such a move would still be considered a healthy pullback within an emerging bullish structure rather than a reversal. The bullish outlook is invalidated if price decisively breaks below the ascending support and accepts beneath the recent swing low. That would signal a structural failure and shift the market back into a bearish or neutral regime. At this stage, Gold is at a decision zone rather than an execution zone. Patience is required. Let price confirm whether it accepts above resistance or rotates back toward support before committing to directional bias. Share your perspective below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
7
EURUSD Is Not Reversing — This Is a Support Reaction Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent bearish push, but how EURUSD is reacting at a clearly defined support zone and attempting to rebuild structure. Price has already completed a corrective leg down; what matters now is whether demand can hold and fuel a measured recovery. OANDA:EURUSD sold off into the 1.1720–1.1730 support area, where downside momentum stalled and price began to stabilize. This zone has acted as a reaction base before, and the current candles show absorption rather than continuation, suggesting sellers are losing follow-through at these levels. Structurally, the market is transitioning from impulsive downside into a corrective recovery sequence. The first objective is a push toward 1.1747, which marks the nearest intraday resistance. A successful reclaim and hold above this level would set up a retest-and-continue move toward 1.1755, followed by 1.1765. These levels align precisely with prior breakdown points, making them natural upside magnets during a correction. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: - Hold above support (1.1720–1.1730) → initiate rebound. - Reclaim 1.1747 → short-term confirmation. - Retest and continuation toward 1.1755 and 1.1765. Only a clean break and acceptance below 1.1720 would invalidate the recovery scenario and reopen downside risk. Importantly, there is no evidence of aggressive distribution at the lows. Price action remains orderly, and rebounds are developing step by step, which supports the view of a technical pullback resolution, not a trend reversal. As long as EURUSD holds above the highlighted support, the path of least resistance is a corrective grind higher toward the marked targets, with patience and level discipline remaining key. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
by Gold_Dominator
1
Gold Is Not Done — H1 Structure Favors ContinuationHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term hesitation, but the fact that gold has successfully transitioned from a corrective phase into a recovery structure and is now reacting constructively below resistance. After the sharp sell-off earlier in the session, price found strong demand inside the 4,280–4,300 support zone, where selling pressure was fully absorbed. The impulsive rejection from this area marked a clear structural low, followed by a steady sequence of higher lows. This confirms that the downside move has already completed and that the market is now in a rebuilding phase. From a structural perspective, gold has reclaimed multiple intraday levels and is currently trading above the 4,350–4,360 area, which previously acted as resistance. This level has now flipped into short-term support, indicating acceptance at higher prices. The current pause just below the 4,400–4,405 resistance zone is therefore a reaction point, not a sign of weakness. The projected paths drawn on the chart reflect realistic scenarios rather than predictions: - A shallow pullback toward the 4,350–4,370 region to retest demand, followed by continuation higher. - If momentum persists, acceptance above 4,405 would open the door for a push toward 4,450–4,480, and potentially higher toward the upper resistance cluster. - Only a clean breakdown back below 4,330 would invalidate the bullish continuation structure and shift the market back into range behavior. Importantly, price action remains orderly, with no impulsive selling and no expansion to the downside. This tells us that current consolidation is part of a trend continuation process, not distribution. As long as gold holds above the reclaimed support levels, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
3
EURGBP Will Go Up! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.870. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.874 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Gap Filled, Momentum Flips — Buyers Take ControlOANDA:XAUUSD has rebounded strongly from the gap support zone, reclaiming the short-term EMA cluster and shifting momentum back to the upside. The impulsive recovery suggests buyers are stepping in decisively after the corrective sell-off, turning the recent drop into a higher-low formation rather than trend failure. As long as price holds above the 4,400 support zone, the structure favors continuation toward higher resistance levels. Resistance: 4,495 → 4,525 → 4,550 Support: 4,400 – 4,410 Key demand (gap): 4,330 – 4,350 ➡️ Primary: hold above 4,400 → pullback buys → continuation toward 4,495, then 4,525–4,550. ⚠️ Risk: loss of 4,400 → revisit the gap support at 4,330–4,350 before reassessment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold’s Bounce Looks Strong — But Is This a Trap Before the Next Gold has staged a sharp rebound from the 4,300–4,310 support zone, forming a sequence of higher lows (HL) after a prior impulsive sell-off. This confirms that short-term selling pressure has eased and buyers are actively defending the lower boundary of the range. However, despite the strong bullish candles, the broader structure remains corrective, not impulsive. Price is still trading below the key resistance band at 4,465–4,476, which previously acted as a major supply zone. Until this area is reclaimed and accepted, upside moves should be treated as retracements within a larger consolidation, not trend continuation. The current rally has stalled near 4,440–4,445, a minor internal resistance where price previously broke down. The projected path on the chart highlights a likely pullback scenario, with price potentially rotating lower to fill the highlighted inefficiency / GAP zone around 4,340–4,360. This zone aligns well with short-term mean reversion and prior liquidity imbalance. Key technical scenarios: - Bullish continuation (lower probability for now): A clean break and hold above 4,476 would invalidate the corrective structure and reopen upside toward 4,520 → 4,550 (ATH area). - Base-case scenario: Rejection below resistance leads to a pullback toward the GAP zone, followed by range trading. - Bearish risk: Loss of 4,300 support would expose deeper downside and confirm the rally as a corrective bounce only. Macro Drivers Impacting Gold From a macro perspective, gold remains highly sensitive to global risk and liquidity conditions: - Geopolitical risk / War premium: Ongoing geopolitical tensions (Middle East, Eastern Europe) continue to provide structural support for gold. Any escalation tends to trigger safe-haven flows, limiting downside but not necessarily driving immediate breakouts unless risk sharply deteriorates. - PMI & growth data: Recent soft PMI readings in major economies signal slowing growth momentum. Weak manufacturing and services data typically support gold through lower real yield expectations, but this effect is gradual rather than explosive. - Monetary policy & USD dynamics: Expectations around the Federal Reserve remain the dominant driver. As long as rates stay restrictive and the USD remains firm, gold upside is capped near resistance. Clear dovish shifts or falling real yields would be required for a sustained breakout. - Risk-on vs risk-off balance: Current market conditions suggest mixed sentiment — enough uncertainty to support gold on dips, but not enough stress to trigger a clean trend breakout. Summary Gold is technically recovering, but strategically still range-bound. The rebound from support is valid, yet price is approaching a high-risk resistance zone where rejection remains likely unless macro conditions decisively shift. Until gold reclaims and holds above 4,476, the higher-probability outcome is consolidation with pullbacks, not a straight-line move to new highs. Traders should remain disciplined and responsive to both price behavior at resistance and incoming macro catalysts.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
EUR/USD at the Edge — Is This the Final Dip Before a Sharp......Market Structure Overview FX:EURUSD remains in a short-term bearish structure after a sustained selloff, but downside momentum is clearly decelerating. Price has reached a well-defined support zone around 1.1670–1.1680, where selling pressure is no longer expanding aggressively. This suggests the market is transitioning from trend to reaction mode. Support Zone: Where Sellers Are Slowing The current support zone has absorbed multiple bearish pushes without continuation. Recent candles show smaller bodies and overlapping price action, indicating seller exhaustion rather than renewed breakdown intent. As long as price holds above this zone, the probability of further immediate downside is limited. Resistance Zone and Mean-Reversion Path Above price, the 1.1740–1.1760 resistance zone aligns with prior structure and the descending EMA. This zone represents the first major upside obstacle. From a technical standpoint, a rebound toward this area would be a mean-reversion move, not yet a trend reversal, unless price can reclaim and hold above it with acceptance. Scenario Outlook - Primary scenario: Price stabilizes above support and develops a higher low, triggering a corrective rebound toward 1.1720 → 1.1760. - Alternative scenario: A clean breakdown and close below the support zone would invalidate the rebound thesis and open the door for continuation lower. Technical Conclusion EUR/USD is no longer in a high-conviction sell zone. The market is reacting at support, and risk-to-reward now favors patience and confirmation, not chasing shorts. The next directional move will be defined by how price behaves around the current support defense leads to rebound, failure leads to continuation.
Long
by Gold_Dominator
1
Gold Nears $4,440 — Is This a Real Breakout or ........ OANDA:XAUUSD has extended its rebound aggressively, pushing into the $4,430–$4,440 area after a sharp recovery from the prior sell-off. The speed of the bounce is notable, but price is now approaching a technically sensitive zone where upside momentum historically begins to stall. At this stage, the market is no longer trading in “easy trend” conditions; instead, it is transitioning into a decision area where positioning matters more than direction. Key Resistance and Price Reaction The $4,400–$4,440 region is acting as a clear resistance band. This level previously served as a breakdown point and is now being retested from below — a classic role-reversal zone. The most recent candles show reduced follow-through and early signs of hesitation, suggesting that buy-side momentum is slowing as price runs into resting supply. Without a clean impulsive break and acceptance above this level, upside continuation remains questionable. Gap Structure and Mean-Reversion Risk Below current price lies a clearly defined inefficiency (GAP) zone, created by the impulsive upside move. Markets rarely leave such gaps unresolved, especially when they form after emotional rebounds. From a structural perspective, this gap represents unfinished business — an area where price may return to rebalance liquidity before choosing a sustained directional move. The highlighted “fill gap” area aligns well with prior consolidation, increasing its technical relevance. Support Zone and Downside Scenarios The broader support zone around $4,300 remains the key downside magnet. If price fails to hold above $4,400 and begins to roll over, a controlled pullback toward the gap is the first logical scenario. A deeper retracement into the $4,300 support zone would still be considered corrective rather than trend-breaking, as long as buyers defend that area with structure and volume. Trend Structure Assessment Despite the short-term pullback risk, the higher-timeframe structure remains constructive. Higher lows are still intact, and price continues to trade above major dynamic supports. However, from a professional trading perspective, this is no longer a location to chase longs. Risk-to-reward now favors patience — either waiting for confirmation above resistance or looking for reactions at lower, more favorable levels. Technical Conclusion Gold is currently at a crossroads. A clean breakout and acceptance above $4,440 would invalidate the gap-reversion thesis and open the door for continuation higher. Conversely, failure at this level increases the probability of a corrective move toward the gap and potentially the $4,300 support zone. Until one of these scenarios confirms, gold remains in a high-risk, low-conviction zone where discipline matters more than bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
Gold’s Next Move Depends on PMIOn the H1 timeframe, the key focus is the clean reclaim and hold above the 4,390–4,405 support zone, which is now acting as the market’s “base” after the recent swing low. Price has already pushed back above the EMA34/EMA89 cluster, and the fact that candles are stabilizing above this green band suggests the move is recovery + acceptance, not a random bounce. Technically, the structure is constructive as long as gold holds this reclaimed support. The chart shows a clear step-by-step pathway: a controlled pullback into support, followed by continuation into the marked targets. The first real test remains the 4,430–4,460 supply area (Resistance zone). If price accepts above that zone (not just a wick), upside targets become well-defined and mechanically consistent with prior swing levels. Support zone (must hold): 4,390–4,405 This is the pivot. A successful retest here keeps the bullish continuation scenario valid. Resistance zone /decision area: ~4,430–4,460 This is where breakouts often fail first. Acceptance above is required for continuation. Targets: Target 1: 4,459.703 Target 2: 4,499.067 Target 3: 4,524.117 Old ATH region: ~4,549.465 How the structure reads - The market is currently in a recovery leg with price holding above a reclaimed support shelf. - As long as pullbacks remain corrective and buyers defend 4,390–4,405, the path of least resistance stays up toward Target 1, then a retest, then continuation toward Target 2 / Target 3. PMI is one of the cleanest short-term drivers for USD + yields, which directly impacts gold. - The US ISM Manufacturing PMI printed 48.2 (below 50 = contraction), reinforcing “growth cooling” and typically supporting gold through softer yields / softer USD when markets price easier policy expectations. - The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI has also been signaling expansion but with recent moderation (December data described as slower improvement / lower reading vs prior month depending on release), which keeps markets sensitive to “surprise risk” in the next PMI prints. - Europe remains in contraction (Eurozone manufacturing PMI 48.8), which can add a risk-off undertone at times another background tailwind for gold if USD strength does not dominate. Practical implication for this chart: Weaker-than-expected PMI → higher probability gold holds 4,390–4,405 and breaks into Target 1 /Target 2. Stronger-than-expected PMI → higher probability of a rejection from the resistance zone and a deeper retest of the support band before continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
GBP/USD H4 Technical Analysis GBP/USD is trading around $1.3425 on the 4H chart, and after failing to get past that $1.3535 resistance zone, it’s slipped back down to the midline of the rising channel. That 50-EMA at $1.3440 is now acting as a short-term resistance level. Next key support is at $1.3358, then $1.3290. RSI is now headed for 40, which would suggest fading momentum – but not quite to the point of overbought conditions. The trade idea is to short the rally near $1.3480 and aim for $1.3350, but set a stop loss above $1.3550.
Short
by Gold_Dominator
EUR/USD: A Healthy Correction Ahead of the Next RallyHello everyone, Camila here! On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure remains clearly intact. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, while the ascending trendline drawn from key swing lows is still being respected by the market. This indicates that the primary buying pressure has not left the market. After breaking out of the compression area and printing a new high, EUR/USD has entered a correction to retest the previous breakout zone. This is a very common technical behavior associated with institutional money flows. The market often returns to recently broken levels to confirm the role shift from resistance to support. The current correction, in my view, represents a healthy pullback rather than a distribution phase. Selling pressure has not expanded, downside momentum remains controlled, and the bullish structure has not been compromised. In particular, the 1.1650–1.1660 area stands out as a key support zone, as it aligns with prior structural support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse. In the scenario I am monitoring, EUR/USD may continue to decline toward the 1.1650–1.1660 area to test demand. If price holds this zone and fresh buying signals emerge, the market is likely to rebound toward the 1.1740–1.1760 resistance zone. A strong break above this resistance would open the door for further upside extension in the medium term. From a news and macroeconomic perspective, EUR/USD is receiving a degree of support. Expectations that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance throughout 2026 continue to put pressure on U.S. Treasury yields, leading to a relatively weaker U.S. dollar. Recent U.S. economic data point to slowing growth, while inflation is gradually easing, increasing the likelihood of monetary policy easing going forward. In Europe, the ECB continues to maintain a cautious stance without signaling aggressive easing, which helps the euro preserve relative stability. Amid ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainty, capital flows are becoming more flexible rather than being concentrated entirely in the U.S. dollar as in previous periods. In conclusion, in my personal assessment, EUR/USD does not appear weak at this stage. Instead, the market is undergoing a necessary phase of consolidation and technical correction. The 1.1650–1.1660 area will be the key zone that determines the next directional move. As long as price remains above the ascending trendline, I continue to prioritize a trend-following long scenario, patiently waiting for confirmation rather than chasing short-term volatility. Wishing you successful trading.
Long
by Camila_Roja
Gold doesn’t hate you. Gold just loves… your liquidity.If you’ve ever felt like XAUUSD has a personal grudge against you — price spikes the moment you enter, sweeps your SL perfectly, then runs strongly in your predicted direction right after you exit — take a breath. Pause for a second. The gold market doesn’t move based on emotions. It moves based on liquidity — the fuel behind every major move . 1. Retail traders trade price. Institutions trade orderflow. You look at the chart to find a perfect entry. Institutions look at the chart to find where the most SL and pending orders are stacked. To them, it’s not a “resistance zone” — it’s a liquidity pool. When retail SL gets triggered, it turns into market orders. And those market orders become the free matching engine for big players to enter without excessive slippage. You think you’re protecting your risk with SL. The market thinks you’re placing free orders for them to fill their positions. 2. Gold loves clean levels because SL sits at clean levels. Liquidity sweep zones usually share the same traits: - Recent highs/lows everyone can see - Support/resistance that looks clean and easy to draw - Attractive round numbers like 2,700 – 2,650 – 2,600… These areas are liquidity magnets, not breakout signals. 3. “Sweep then run” is a process, not an exception. A major gold move typically has 2 phases: - Liquidity grab (SL sweep, pending activation) - Expansion (the real trend begins) Most traders lose because they confuse phase 1 with phase 2. Retail sees a spike → fear trend break. Institutions see a spike → mission accomplished, liquidity collected, positions filled. 4. The market doesn’t need you to be wrong — it only needs you forced out. Gold doesn’t need to prove your analysis was bad. It just needs enough volatility to make you: - Hit SL - Or close manually out of panic Either way, the market gets the liquidity you left behind. 5. Trading maturity = not turning yourself into liquidity. You don’t need to remove SL. You just need to: - Place SL where the structure is truly invalidated, not where liquidity is obvious - Enter after liquidity is swept, not before - Keep margin to reposition during pullbacks - Understand: being right isn’t enough — you must be right at the right time.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Paradise_Noir
Gold Breaks Out on Venezuela Crisis and Dovish Fed SignalsGold surged above $4,400 after a U.S. operation captured Venezuela’s president, sparking geopolitical tensions and safe-haven demand. - OANDA:XAUUSD prices surged above the $4,400 region during Asian trading on Monday. This move was because of a US operation that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. This unexpected strike created new geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets. - The market is afraid of further instability in Latin America. U.S. officials hinted at using the leverage of oil for political change. As a result, traders rushed into gold, expecting increased uncertainty and long lasting risk premiums. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance is supportive of gold. However, good U.S. jobs data could boost the dollar and put a temporary ceiling on gold prices. Gold Technical Analysis - The daily chart for spot gold indicates that the price is rebounding from the strong support at an important junction and is looking for higher levels. This important junction is formed by the strong support of the ascending triangle and the ascending broadening wedge pattern. A break above $4,550 will signal further upside to the $5,000 level. However, a break below $4,260 will signal a downside move to lower levels. The 4-hour chart for spot gold shows the price consolidating during thin liquidity and found support at the $4,380 level. The price rebounds higher during a bullish pattern. As long as gold maintains the $4,260 level, the next move in the gold market will likely be higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold