Gold Enters Controlled Consolidation Within a Bullish StructureGold is no longer advancing in an accelerated manner, but is instead entering a phase of controlled consolidation . This is a natural response following a clear impulsive move, as the market needs time to rebalance supply and demand. Despite a cautious overall sentiment amid mixed macro conditions, capital flows continue to maintain exposure to gold.
On the H1 timeframe , the technical structure continues to support the bullish bias. Price is rotating within a narrow range, with higher lows being preserved , indicating that selling pressure is not aggressive and is largely driven by short-term profit-taking. This suggests that buyers remain in control of the primary move .
Current price action reflects a supply absorption phase . If the upper resistance zone is absorbed and price achieves a clear and decisive close above it , the bullish trend will be reaffirmed, opening the path toward the 4,385 area . Conversely, further sideways movement should not be viewed as a negative signal; a well-formed consolidation base often precedes a more sustainable advance. Only a decisive break below support would require reassessing the bullish scenario.
Buy!!
XAUUSD – The Bullish Trend Remains DominantGold prices edged higher in the previous session after the U.S. jobs report showed that the unemployment rate continued to rise , reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain its rate-cutting path . As rate expectations decline, the U.S. dollar weakens, providing a solid foundation for gold to sustain its medium-term bullish momentum.
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD on the H2 timeframe continues to maintain a clear bullish structure . Price is trading above the ascending trendline , indicating that buyers remain in control of the market. The 4,300 level is acting as a key support zone, consistently absorbing selling pressure during pullbacks.
As long as XAUUSD holds firmly above 4,300 , the current retracement is likely purely technical. In this scenario, the bullish trend is expected to resume, with upside targets toward the 4,350 – 4,370 zone.
Overall, gold is being supported by both a favorable macro backdrop and a constructive price structure. While the trend remains intact, the optimal strategy is to stay patient and follow the flow of capital, using pullbacks as opportunities rather than chasing price.
Weak NFP, Rising Unemployment – Is Gold Set to Rally Again?Hello traders, let’s take a fresh look at the current XAUUSD picture.
In the short term, gold is receiving solid support from the news flow . Tonight’s NFP forecast stands at 51K, sharply lower than the previous 119K . At the same time, the unemployment rate is expected at 4.5%, higher than before. These high-impact U.S. data points are likely to put downward pressure on the USD, which in turn continues to support XAUUSD.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact . After the strong prior rally, price is now correcting back toward the 4,270 support zone , where there is a confluence of the Ichimoku cloud and a key demand area . This is a critical zone that allows price to build momentum again, rather than break the trend.
As long as the 4,270 level holds , the most reasonable scenario is for gold to rebound and retest 4,320 (TP1), with a further extension toward 4,350 (TP2) — the upper resistance zone. Only a clear break below 4,270 would call for more caution on the bullish outlook.
In summary, XAUUSD is still in a “pause within an uptrend,” not a sign of weakness. The real question now is not “Will gold rise?” but rather do you have the patience to wait for the right level and follow the trend?
Is AUDUSD Sliding Lower in Silence?If we look at AUDUSD as a tug of war right now, it is clear that buyers are losing momentum before any meaningful breakout can occur.
From a fundamental perspective , the Australian dollar lacks a strong catalyst to push higher. Even though the USD is weakening on expectations of further Fed easing, the market remains cautious about global growth prospects and overall risk appetite. When capital turns defensive, risk-sensitive currencies like the AUD are often left behind.
On the technical side, price action tells a clear story. AUDUSD is gradually sliding within a descending channel, consistently forming lower highs. The pair remains pressed below the falling trendline and the Ichimoku cloud , signaling that selling pressure is firmly in control . The 0.6620 area has emerged as a key resistance, where every rebound is quickly met with renewed selling. If this structure holds, the next logical target sits around 0.6590.
In summary, this is not the phase to expect a sharp rebound , but rather a period where the market is releasing pressure in the direction of the trend. Until the AUD finds a convincing narrative to regain leadership, following the downside remains the safer short-term approach.
Tesla (TSLA) – When the Uptrend Is “Locked In” by the EMA89Hello everyone, this is Domic.
Looking at Tesla’s recent price action on the 4H timeframe, the market is telling a fairly clear story. TSLA is not just moving higher — it is rising in a very “textbook” manner: supported by leading capital flows, reinforced by macro expectations, and confirmed by a constructive technical structure. The approach toward the 490 USD area is therefore not a random spike, but the result of a deliberate accumulation and breakout process.
On the macro layer, the narrative remains familiar yet still valid: expectations that the Fed may begin a rate-cutting cycle next year are driving capital back into growth stocks. Assets that are highly sensitive to “cheaper money,” such as Tesla, naturally become primary destinations for this flow. What stands out is how the capital is participating: volume expands sharply on breakouts, while pullbacks remain shallow and are quickly bought up. This behavior suggests not just retail interest, but clear involvement from active, institutional-style flows.
At the same time, the market appears to be gradually re-pricing Tesla’s growth story. Margins are showing signs of recovery after the aggressive vehicle price cuts, while long-term themes such as FSD and robotaxi continue to be viewed as core drivers that are not yet fully reflected in the stock price. In a broader market recovery, Tesla maintains its role as a central name within the EV sector — a stock that investors find hard to ignore as risk appetite returns.
In short, Tesla is not rising on expectations alone. Price, capital flow, narrative, and structure are all aligned on the same side. And as long as EMA89 continues to hold, this uptrend remains the primary story the market is following.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — Base Forming Ahead of a Bullish BreakoutBitcoin is approaching a critical moment . After a prolonged decline downside momentum has clearly slowed and price is beginning to stabilize , which is a common sign that selling pressure is being gradually absorbed . On the macro side market sentiment has improved slightly as investors grow more comfortable with expectations of easier financial conditions ahead , giving risk assets some room to recover.
On the H1 chart , the technical picture is turning constructive . BTC is forming a double bottom within a descending structure , showing strong buyer participation around the same support zone . At the same time price is pressing against the descending trendline , suggesting that seller control is weakening . This combination typically appears near transition phases rather than during strong bearish continuation.
The key now is confirmation . A clean breakout and close above the descending trendline would activate the double bottom target near 90000 , signaling a shift from corrective price action into a new bullish phase . Until that breakout occurs patience remains essential , but the technical risk to reward is starting to favor the upside .
Gold (XAUUSD) May Repeat Recent Bullish Pattern of 12 Dec 2025Gold OANDA:XAUUSD May Repeat Recent Bullish Pattern 🔄
What Happened Before (Dec 12, 2025 - 5:41 AM PKT):
Gold formed a very specific pattern that caught my attention. After consolidating in a tight range, it exploded upward with strong momentum, rallying approximately 770 pips from 4,276 to 4,353
The price action showed clear accumulation before the breakout, with bulls stepping in decisively.
What's Happening Now:
Previous:
Here's where it gets interesting - Gold is forming an almost identical pattern at the current price level of 4,341.
The similarities are striking:
- Similar consolidation structure
- Comparable price compression
- Volume patterns showing accumulation
- Technical indicators aligning in the same way
My Expectation:
Based on this pattern repetition, I'm watching for a potential bullish move from 4,339 to 4,416 - roughly 770+ pips of upside.
Invalidation: A break below the consolidation zone would negate this setup
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*Remember: Past patterns don't guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and trade with a plan.*
AUDCAD | Short ideaLooking for AUDCAD to continue it's downtrend for the week.
Next Pio where I am interested in for looking into short positions is the Asia high.
Looking for a test and a nice close under this level.
If I see this I am planning on placing stop well above the wick that candle would have and a target somewhere above the PDL.
I have placed a random stop loss for now just so you could see what I would be looking for RR wise.
If I don't see any rejection I don't enter and will look for setups on other pairs.
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
GBPJPY | Long IdeaLooking for GBPJPY to make a move up this week to continue it's brutal uptrend.
GBPJPY bounced from Monday low this morning and making a nice move up.
Retest could still be possible if you haven't entered yet.
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
HINOON📊 HINOON (PSX) – Daily & Weekly Technical Setup
HINOON has made a fresh all-time high and is now retracing to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, forming a textbook continuation setup for HHHL (Higher High, Higher Low) structure 📈
🔹 Daily & Weekly trend: Bullish
🔹 Retracement: 0.5 Fib – healthy pullback
🔹 Structure: Trend intact, continuation likely
🎯 Targets:
TP1 – as marked on the chart
TP2 – as marked on the chart
🛡️ Risk Management:
Strict stop-loss below invalidation
Maintain favorable risk-to-reward
🧩 Fundamental Verdict (Strong Support) 💊
HINOON is fundamentally a strong pharmaceutical company in Pakistan:
✅ Consistent growth in revenue & profit
✅ Attractive margins vs industry peers
✅ Solid dividend history
✅ Ongoing export expansion
📌 Conclusion:
Technical continuation + strong fundamentals = high-probability setup
➡ Trade with discipline, not emotions.
AUDUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.662.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.666 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.171.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.174.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD → Bearish Pressure Builds, But Confirmation Still RequiredHello everyone,
At the moment, gold is being influenced by a relatively sensitive macro backdrop. The U.S. dollar remains firm and U.S. Treasury yields stay elevated, making capital flows into non-yielding assets like gold more cautious. However, these factors are not yet strong enough to trigger a decisive sell-off ; they are mainly causing price to stall and lose momentum.
From a technical perspective , the H1 chart shows that gold has not confirmed a break of the bullish structure . Price is still hovering around the ascending trendline and consolidating after forming a double top near the highs. This reflects market indecision—buying pressure is weakening, but sellers have not fully taken control.
Therefore, the bearish scenario is only activated if price breaks and closes clearly below the ascending trendline . If that happens, the short-term structure would shift from bullish to bearish, opening the door for a move toward 4,262 , and potentially deeper to 4,207 , where demand previously appeared.
Conversely, as long as no breakout occurs , current price action should be viewed as consolidation or a corrective phase within the trend. Selling prematurely without a confirmed break carries higher risk and does not align with disciplined trading.
In summary , macro news is applying downside pressure, but technically gold still requires clear confirmation. The rational approach right now is not to predict, but to wait for the market to confirm . Only when structure is truly broken does the bearish scenario become valid and actionable.
Hello traders, let’s break down the CADUSD pair today!Canada’s CPI came in below expectations , yet CAD is still holding near its three-month highs , showing that the market views the Canadian dollar as stable and not under strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada keeping interest rates at 2.25% helps clarify policy expectations. As long as BoC does not signal further easing , CAD has a solid foundation to maintain relative strength against the USD.
On the U.S. side, the spotlight remains on NFP, the unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings . If these figures come in weaker than expected, the USD is likely to face pressure, creating a favorable scenario for CADUSD to extend higher. Conversely, very strong U.S. data may only trigger short-term volatility, not enough to break the current trend.
From a technical perspective, CADUSD is moving within a clear rising wedge , with price respecting the trendline and being supported from below by the Ichimoku cloud. The 0.7260 area is acting as near-term support, where price is consolidating firmly. The pattern of higher lows confirms that buyers remain in control.
As long as 0.7260 holds, the probability is high that price will continue its upward momentum toward 0.7310, a key psychological resistance . Current pullbacks should therefore be seen as “pauses to build momentum”, rather than signals of a trend reversal.
GBPUSD Is Climbing — Is a BUY Opportunity Opening Up?Hello traders, if you’re looking for a trade that is trend-aligned, clean, and easy to execute, GBPUSD is currently presenting a very solid bullish picture , even though short-term news may still cause some minor volatility.
From a macro perspective, weak UK data (soft GDP) can put pressure on GBP. However, on the other side, the USD is not particularly strong , as the market remains cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data . As a result, GBPUSD is more likely to move in a “slow but steady” bullish manner — pushing higher step by step, pausing, and then continuing.
On the chart, the uptrend remains clearly intact : price is holding above the rising trendline and is well supported by Ichimoku, with the cloud below acting as a strong support base. The 1.3350 zone is a key level — a confluence of trendline support and horizontal demand. As long as this level holds, the bullish structure remains healthy. The preferred scenario is a pullback toward 1.3350, some consolidation, and then a push higher toward 1.3430.
In summary , the preferred strategy remains buying on pullbacks , staying aligned with the prevailing uptrend. And the most important question right now is not “Will it go up?” — but rather: do you have the patience to wait for the 1.3350 zone to execute the cleanest possible entry?
AUDCAD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.912.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.919 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Gold Reload Zone at 4,245 as USD Weakens!!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,245 zone. Gold remains in a well-defined uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective phase, pulling back toward the 4,245 support area, which aligns with the broader trend structure.
Technical context:
The bullish structure remains intact, with price respecting higher highs and higher lows. This retracement toward trend support offers a potential continuation setup within the prevailing uptrend.
Macro & Dollar backdrop:
The US Dollar remains under pressure following the recent 25bps Fed rate cut, alongside signs of cooling US labor market data. With balance sheet expansion resuming and markets increasingly sensitive to incoming employment figures, the risk remains skewed toward further USD weakness. Any additional deterioration in labor data could accelerate expectations for another rate cut, reinforcing the bearish Dollar narrative.
Gold correlation:
A softer USD environment continues to support Gold via its negative correlation with the Dollar, keeping the upside bias intact as long as trend support holds.
Watching price behavior closely around 4,245 for confirmation of renewed buying interest.
Trade safe,
Joe
AUDUSD Breakout Retest as Dollar Weakens!Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.66000 zone. The pair previously traded within a downtrend but has successfully broken out, signaling a shift in market structure.
Price is now in a healthy corrective phase, retracing toward the 0.66000 support zone, which aligns with prior resistance turned support — a classic breakout–retest setup.
Fundamental backdrop:
The US Dollar remains under pressure following softer macro conditions and fading expectations of sustained Fed hawkishness. Recent data continues to point toward a cooling US labor market, reinforcing a weaker USD environment and improving the risk-reward profile for AUDUSD on pullbacks.
Focus: Watching price behavior around 0.66000 for confirmation of bullish continuation.
Trade safe,
Joe
AUDUSD at Decision Point — Trend or Trap?Hey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.66200 zone.
Structure:
AUDUSD remains in a well-defined uptrend, and price is currently undergoing a healthy pullback toward the rising trend structure. The 0.66200 area stands out as a key zone of confluence, acting as both dynamic trend support and a prior reaction level.
Context:
As long as price holds above this level, the broader bullish structure remains intact, keeping the path open for a continuation toward recent highs.
Plan:
Watching for bullish reaction and confirmation around 0.66200 before considering continuation setups.
Trade safe,
Joe
XAUUSD Clearly Bullish – This Is Not a TrapHello traders, let’s analyze XAUUSD today!
With the current setup, XAUUSD is presenting a clean and well-defined bullish picture , without the need for overly complex speculation.
From a fundamental perspective , the environment is clearly leaning toward the bullish side. A weaker USD combined with declining U.S. bond yields is creating a favorable backdrop for gold. In addition, expectations that the Fed may ease monetary policy remain in place, encouraging capital to continue flowing into gold as both a safe-haven asset and a medium-term speculative instrument. At this stage, the market lacks a strong catalyst capable of reversing XAUUSD’s upward trend.
Looking at the chart structure, the bullish trend is strongly confirmed. Price is moving within a well-defined ascending channel , consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. The Ichimoku system fully supports the bulls, with price holding above the cloud and key lines sloping upward, signaling that this move is structurally strong rather than temporary . The recent pullback should therefore be viewed as a healthy technical correction, not a trend reversal.
In terms of scenarios, the area around 4,280 is acting as a key support zone. As long as price continues to hold above this level, XAUUSD has a strong probability of resuming its upward move toward the 4,400 target, in line with the current channel structure. This scenario aligns both technically and fundamentally.
Wishing you all successful and disciplined trading!
Gold Pulls Back from 4,350 as Uptrend Remains IntactAfter reaching a peak at 4,350 USD per ounce, gold quickly corrected to the 4,306 area. This decline appears to be technical in nature, occurring precisely within the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and near short-term resistance, without any clear signal of a trend reversal.
From a broader perspective, profit-taking pressure emerged following an extended bullish run, while market sentiment shifted modestly toward a risk-on stance amid positive signals from Russia–Ukraine negotiations. Although a weaker DXY and falling US Treasury yields around 4.18% typically provide support for gold, short-term profit-taking temporarily dominated price action. At the same time, crude oil prices slipping to around 56.5 USD per barrel eased inflation expectations to some extent, slowing capital inflows into gold in the near term.






















