Currency Market State of Play - Week Ahead StrategyMONDAY MARKET OVERVIEW - Currency State of Play
Starting the week with a clear analysis of major currency pairs and potential trading opportunities.
📊 EURUSD
Bias: Sell opportunity
Key Level: Above 1.1624
Setup: Watching for sell signals above this level for downside continuation
📊 GBPUSD
Bias: Neutral
Status: Noisy price action with no clear directional reference
Strategy: Stay patient, wait for structure to develop
📊 USDJPY
Bias: Bearish lean
Key Level: 154.59
Setup: Sell on 2nd break below 154.59. Buy is technically possible, but overall price action shows weakness—proceed with caution
📊 CADJPY
Bias: Transitional
Friday's Action: Sold off and then reversed to buying
Current Status: Price searching for direction above the last Momentum High (MH)
Strategy: Best selling opportunity below 110.13
This Week's Approach:
This is my Monday overview to frame the week ahead. I'll be posting detailed analysis on individual pairs as price action develops throughout the week.
Key Principle: Wait for a clear structure, react to price behaviour, and let the setups come to you. Patience is part of the edge.
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CADJPY
FINAL TRADE OF THE WEEK: CADJPY Follow-Through ExecutionSetup Analysis:
CADJPY formed a Momentum Low yesterday, followed by a sustained pullback/sideways pattern that established our structural point. This consolidation created the perfect setup for a continuation entry.
Trade Execution:
Entry triggered this afternoon after the break of the internal wave structure, confirming Sellers conviction and follow-through.
Trade Management:
Strong momentum immediately after entry
Target 2 (T2) achieved in under 2 hours
Profit: +50 pips
Exit Decision:
Position closed at T2 after price displayed strong reversal signals. This is mechanical trading—take profits when price action shows the move is exhausted.
Key Lesson:
The best trades are the ones where:
✅ Structure is clear
✅ Entry confirms momentum
✅ Price moves decisively in your favour
✅ You exit with discipline when reversal patterns emerge
This is the WavesOfSuccess methodology in action—patience for setup, precision on entry, discipline on exit.
Result: +50 pips in under 2 hours ✅
Have a blessed weekend! 🙏
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CAD/JPY: Multiple Time Frame Analysis & PlanFollowing a breakthrough of a significant daily structural resistance yesterday.
📈CADJPY is currently consolidating within a horizontal range on an hourly timeframe.
For those seeking an intraday buying opportunity, a bullish breach of the range's resistance, specifically an hourly candle closing above 110.65, would provide a strong bullish confirmation.
A subsequent bullish continuation would then be anticipated, at least to the 111.00 level.
CAD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on CAD/JPY right now from the support line below with the target of 110.285 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY carry trade gains traction with iH&S, targets 118+The CADJPY carry trade is in focus as the yen stays weak and risk appetite lifts CAD toward a bigger breakout from an inverse head-and-shoulders base.
Japan’s new PM, Takaichi, leans pro‑stimulus, while the BOJ signals no December hike, leaving JPY structurally soft. At the same time, Canada benefits from improved risk tone and a stable BOC policy, which supports CAD strength.
Key drivers
Structural JPY weakness: A stimulus-first stance and low-rate BOJ keep carry demand elevated, but intervention talk remains a headline risk.
CAD tailwinds: US reopening-driven risk-on, oil support, and BOC on hold underpin the loonie.
Technicals: An inverse H&S with a neckline projection toward 116–117, with a recent retest near 108–109 holding the line and RSI having room to push higher.
Levels: supports at 110.00, then 109.50/108.30, and resistances at 111.50, 112.20, and 115.10, with the measured move pointing toward 116.5–118 from the neckline break.
Bias stays long above 110. Buy dips, invalidate below 108, and scale targets at 111.50, 112.20, and 115.10, leaving a runner at 116.5–118 if the first neckline peak holds.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.39721
💰TP: 1.41321
⛔️SL: 1.39021
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Strengthening of the USD is expected in the near future, as noted in previous reviews. Against this backdrop, the Canadian dollar could demonstrate one of the most effective moves in favor of the USD. The buying zone is currently located in the range of 1.39400 - 1.40010. The most likely scenario is an upward reversal from this area with a target of resistance at 1.41400.
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Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
CADJPY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅CADJPY swept equal lows and shifted structure bullish after tapping a key discount zone. Price is likely to rebalance inefficiency toward premium liquidity above.
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Entry: 110.512
Stop Loss: 110.239
Take Profit: 110.969
Time Frame: 4H
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LONG🚀
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CADJPY: Two Key Scenarios for the Next Pro-Trend LongAfter breaking out of the global range, the instrument has started a correction on the 4H structure, which could potentially transition to the daily structure.
If the corrective decline continues, there will be two potential reversal levels on the price's path inside the Daily Order Block for a continuation of the uptrend. The minimum target is an update of the January 6 high.
The first scenario involves a reversal from the Daily 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level . Upon reaching it, the price must find acceptance above it.
If this level is broken, the next opportunity to consider a long position will be upon reaching the 78.6% Fib level . The condition for the long setup to form will also be the price finding acceptance above this level upon its arrival.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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Bullish momentum to extend?CAD/JPY is declining toward the pivot level, which has been identified as a pullback support. A rebound from this area could target the first resistance level, aligning with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 109.24
1st Support: 108.8
1st Resistance: 111.03
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CADJPY Downtrend Continuation - WavesOfSuccess MethodologyTrade Execution:
Wednesday, 11th November 2025 @ 09:35 GMT
Entry triggered after price closed below the Momentum Low bar at 110.01, confirming downtrend continuation.
Trade Management:
Entry: 110.01
Stop Loss (Invalidation): 110.08
Risk: -8.6 pips
Target: 109.73 (Fibonacci 76.4% retracement to -23.6% extension)
Risk: Reward Ratio: 3.06:1 (Risking 8.6 pips to capture 26.1 pips)
Result:
Target achieved at 13:28 GMT after New York session open. ✅
The Psychological Edge - How to Behave While in Trade
This is MORE important than technical analysis. Master these five fundamental truths:
1️⃣ Anything can happen in the market
2️⃣ Every moment is unique
3️⃣ An edge is just an indication of higher probability
4️⃣ There will be random distribution between wins and losses
5️⃣ I don't need to know what happens next
The key: Follow your mechanical rules, manage your risk, and let probability work in your favour over time.
This is mechanical trading. This is the WavesOfSuccess methodology.
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CADJPY: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell CADJPY.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SHORT ON CAD/JPYCAD/JPY has pulled back to a major supply area and is currently showing bearish pressure/momentum on the lower timeframe.
The Jpy index is also starting to rise from a demand are which will impact cad/jpy falling more.
I am looking to catch 300-400 pips this week selling cadjpy to the next demand zone.
CADJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
CADJPY
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell CADJPY
Entry Level - 108.83
Sl - 108.98
Tp - 108.55
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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CADJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the CADJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 109.12
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 108.83
My Stop Loss - 109.30
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY: Stalking a Pro-Trend Long from the Demand ZoneThe instrument is in an uptrend and is showing the beginning of a potential correction on the 4H structure. If the correction continues its downward movement, long positions can be considered from the DEMAND zone in conjunction with a reaction from one of the Fib levels.
The entry condition will be the price finding acceptance above the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6% levels upon reaching them.
If a long setup forms, the target will be the high of January 6, 2025 .
The invalidation for the long scenarios in this trade idea will be a break of the 78.6% local level . In that case, the correction will transition to the higher structure, and long positions could then be considered from the daily Fib levels and the daily order block located below.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
► Follow me on TradingView for timely updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Bullish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 107.92
1st Support: 106.86
1st Resistance: 109.49
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CADJPY - The Trio Retest Setup!📈CADJPY has been on a strong bullish run lately, but price is now approaching a critical confluence zone, the perfect Trio Retest Setup.
The red circle highlights the intersection of two upper trendlines (the rising channel and the short-term wedge) together with a major horizontal resistance at 111.00.
⚔️This trio intersection creates a powerful technical barrier, suggesting that the pair is overbought in the short term. From here, I’ll be looking for signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns to catch the next corrective leg down.
🔎A potential retracement could send CADJPY back toward the 106.00–105.00 support zone, which also aligns with the lower boundary of the main ascending channel.
Until the trio zone is broken decisively to the upside, the bears might step in to cool off the momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
CAD/JPY Profit Plan – How to Layer Entries Professionally!🎯 CADJPY: The Maple Syrup Robbery Setup 🍁💴 | Multi-Layer Entry Zone Active!
📊 Market Overview
Asset: CAD/JPY (Canadian Dollar vs Japanese Yen)
Trade Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Strategy: "The Thief Method" - Multi-Layer Limit Order Accumulation
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH
🔍 Technical Analysis
The CADJPY pair is showing bullish confirmation following a textbook triangular moving average pullback and successful retest. The price structure suggests accumulation before the next leg up, making this an optimal zone for strategic layered entries.
Key Technical Confluences:
✅ Triangular MA pullback completed
✅ Support zone retest confirmed
✅ Higher lows forming on the daily timeframe
✅ Bullish momentum building above key support
💰 The Thief's Playbook: Multi-Layer Entry Strategy
Instead of a single entry point, this setup utilizes multiple limit orders (layering strategy) to build positions at favorable levels while managing risk.
🎯 Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 106.800
Layer 2: 107.000
Layer 3: 107.250
Layer 4: 107.500
Layer 5: 107.750
Note: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk appetite. The beauty of this method is flexibility—enter at ANY price level within this range.
🛡️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: 106.500
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is the Thief's suggested SL. However, YOU are the captain of your own ship! Set your stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Trade at your own risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
🎯 Profit Targets:
Primary Target (TP1): 108.600 (+100 to +180 pips depending on entry)
Secondary Target (TP2): 109.600 (+190 to +280 pips depending on entry)
💡 Pro Tip: Consider scaling out at TP1 (take 50-70% profit) and letting the rest ride to TP2 with a trailing stop.
⚠️ Reminder: These are suggested targets. Lock in profits when YOU feel comfortable. It's YOUR money—make money, take money! 💸
🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch
Keep an eye on these related pairs for confluence and broader market context:
OANDA:USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦 - Inverse correlation (CAD strength indicator)
FX:USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵 - Direct correlation (Yen weakness/strength gauge)
OANDA:AUDJPY 🇦🇺🇯🇵 - Similar risk-on/risk-off dynamic
OANDA:EURJPY 🇪🇺🇯🇵 - Cross-yen pair sentiment
BLACKBULL:WTI Crude Oil 🛢️ ( NYMEX:CL1! ) - Strong positive correlation with CAD (Canada = oil exporter)
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Safe-haven correlation with JPY (inverse to CADJPY)
Key Point: If crude oil rallies and USD/JPY shows strength, it confirms the bullish CADJPY thesis. Watch for risk sentiment—risk-on = JPY weakness = CADJPY strength! 🚀
📈 Trade Summary
ParameterValueEntry Zone106.800 - 107.750 (Multi-layer)Stop Loss106.500TP1108.600TP2109.600Risk/RewardApproximately 1:2 to 1:4+
🎬 Final Words from The Thief
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) 🎩✨,
This setup is about patience, precision, and proper position sizing. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you. Remember: professional thieves don't rush—they plan, they execute, and they disappear with the bag! 💼💨
Stay sharp, stay strategic, and happy hunting! 🎯
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
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