CADJPY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅CADJPY forms a bullish structure after reclaiming the demand level, signaling Smart Money interest in premium buys. Liquidity sweep below 108.800 confirms accumulation before a move toward 109.460 target.
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Entry: 109.051
Stop Loss: 108.664
Take Profit: 109.460
Time Frame: 7H
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LONG🚀
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CADJPY
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.39754
💰TP: 1.40513
⛔️SL: 1.39279
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
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💬 Description: The bullish potential is still alive for USDCAD. Currently, we are seeing active price accumulation near short-term resistance at 1.39580, which indicates buyers are taking the initiative. A potential buy trade is being considered based on a breakout of the upper accumulation boundary. In the mid-term, growth to 1.42000 and 1.43000 is expected.
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Could we see a bearish reversal?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 109.28
1st Support: 107.99
1st Resistance: 109.75
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CADJPY Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.608.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.447 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CADJPY - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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CADJPY Set for October Crash? Institutions Bet Big on Yen 📊 Multi-Factor Analysis – CADJPY
COT Data
JPY: Net long positions are strongly increasing → Non-Commercial long +14.7K, Commercial long +12K. Institutional flows favor the Yen, confirming a bullish bias on JPY.
CAD: Heavy liquidation → Commercial longs -49K, shorts -59K, Non-Commercial longs decreasing (-2.9K). Net positioning shows bearish sentiment on CAD, with a clear prevalence of short exposure among speculators.
👉 Interpretation: Institutional flows point toward a strong JPY and weak CAD → bearish bias on CADJPY.
Seasonality
CAD: Historically weak in October (negative averages in 20Y and 15Y, worsening in 5Y and 2Y).
JPY: Historically strong in October, especially on short-term frames (5Y and 2Y very bullish).
👉 Interpretation: Seasonality supports a bearish scenario on CADJPY during October.
Retail Sentiment
90% Long vs 10% Short on CADJPY.
👉 Extreme retail long positioning = contrarian bearish signal → potential for further downside pressure.
Technical Analysis
CADJPY broke below the descending trendline.
Currently trading inside the weekly demand zone (105–106), acting as short-term support.
RSI oversold → likely technical bounce toward 106.8–107.2 (supply + trendline) before continuation lower.
Primary structure remains bearish, with medium-term targets at 104.80–105.00.
CAD/JPY: Recovery in Progress with Key Resistance Levels AheadCAD/JPY has bounced from the 105.25 low following a recent selloff and is now climbing back within the ascending channel. Price action is forming a recovery structure, with momentum building toward the 106.50–107.00 resistance zone.
Maintaining support above the 105.60–105.80 area is crucial for the bullish outlook to remain intact. If momentum holds, the pair may extend the move into a broader reversal, targeting the higher 107.90 resistance level in the sessions ahead.
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.39703
💰TP: 1.40349
⛔️SL: 1.39065
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The price compression toward the 1.39500 resistance area indicates a potential upside breakout. Given the recent breakout of the 1.37305 - 1.38760 accumulation, a more significant upward movement to 1.4, 1.41, and then 1.43 is also expected. A conservative entry would be best looked for after the price immediately closes above 1.39500.
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❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
CADJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.266.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 106.211 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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CADJPY Forming Ascending TrendlineCADJPY is currently trading around 105.50 after breaking below its long-term ascending trendline on the daily chart. This bearish breakdown signals potential continuation toward lower levels, with sellers gaining momentum after several failed attempts to sustain above 107.00. The rejection at higher levels indicates exhaustion from buyers, leaving room for the pair to retrace deeper toward the 102.00–101.00 support zone in the coming weeks.
From a fundamental angle, the Canadian dollar is under pressure as oil prices face renewed volatility due to uncertain global demand and fluctuating supply dynamics. At the same time, the Japanese yen is drawing safe-haven demand, especially as global investors remain cautious ahead of central bank guidance. With the Bank of Japan signaling a gradual shift from ultra-loose policy and the Bank of Canada holding a cautious stance due to softer economic data, the yen has an edge in the current risk environment.
Technically, the clean break of the ascending trendline confirms a potential trend reversal, and the bearish momentum is expected to strengthen if the pair stays below 106.00. Sellers will be eyeing the 103.50 and 101.00 zones as profit targets, while any pullback toward 106.80–107.30 is likely to attract fresh supply.
Traders should remain alert to upcoming Canadian employment and inflation data, as well as BOJ policy remarks, which could bring sharp volatility. For now, downside setups remain favorable while price action holds below the broken trendline, offering solid profit opportunities toward key support levels.
CADJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
CADJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 106.74 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 107.03
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY: Bulls Will Push
Balance of buyers and sellers on the CADJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY Momentum Stalls, Sellers Look for ControlCADJPY has tested the 107.40 zone but failed to sustain a breakout, suggesting fading bullish momentum. With oil prices struggling to find direction and the yen attempting to stabilize after weeks of weakness, sellers are circling. The chart structure points to a potential corrective leg lower if the pair breaks under near-term support.
Current Bias
Bearish – the pair shows signs of exhaustion near resistance, with downside levels now in focus.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Bank of Japan: Still accommodative, but the risk of verbal intervention increases as yen weakness deepens.
Bank of Canada: Expected to lean dovish after weak GDP and labor data, leaving CAD vulnerable.
Oil Prices: CAD remains tied to energy performance; lower oil tends to weaken CAD.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: BoC rate cut bets have increased, while BoJ policy remains ultra-loose, although rising JGB yields may offer some yen support.
Growth Trends: Canadian economy shows signs of stagflation risk (weak growth, sticky inflation), reducing CAD’s appeal.
Commodity Flows: Oil volatility directly impacts CADJPY, with recent weakness adding to pressure.
Geopolitics: Energy trade flows and Middle East tensions could ripple into oil and CAD sentiment.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp rebound in oil prices or BoJ hesitation to tolerate further yen strength could invalidate the bearish case.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Canada GDP and inflation reports
BoJ commentary/intervention signals
OPEC-related oil output headlines
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
CADJPY often acts as a lagger, following moves in oil and broader yen crosses like USDJPY and EURJPY. Watch USDJPY for early signals on yen direction and oil prices for CAD momentum.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 106.45, 105.95, 104.98
Resistance Levels: 107.44, 108.05
Stop Loss (SL): 108.05 (above recent highs)
Take Profit (TP): 106.45 (first target), 105.95 (secondary target), 104.98 (extended target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
CADJPY carries a bearish bias as resistance holds at 107.40–108.00 and sellers push for a move toward 106.45 and below. Stop loss sits just above 108.05 to protect against false breakouts, while take profit levels extend toward 105.95 and 104.98. The pair remains heavily influenced by oil and yen sentiment, making it more of a lagger than a leader. Watch oil headlines and BoJ remarks closely, as they could shift momentum quickly.
CADJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the CADJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 107.22
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 107.37
My Stop Loss - 107.13
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CAD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CADJPY rejects a horizontal supply area after a fakeout sweep, signaling SMC distribution. Bears aim to drive price lower into liquidity resting near 107.27. Time Frame 2H.
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Stop Loss: 107.616
Take Profit: 107.271
Entry: 107.435
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CADJPY: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The price of CADJPY will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY Breakdown Incoming? Specs Selling CAD, Buying JPY1. Retail Sentiment
68% long vs 32% short → The majority of retail traders are positioned long.
From a contrarian perspective, this increases the risk of a downside move to flush out these long positions.
2. Seasonality
JPY (September): historically tends to appreciate from mid-month onward.
CAD (September): historically weak, with flat to negative performance.
Seasonal Bias: favors strong JPY / weak CAD → bearish CADJPY outlook.
3. Commitment of Traders (COT)
CAD (Sept 16, 2025):
Non-commercials: still heavily net short (128k short vs 21k long).
Commercials: strong long exposure (218k), but speculative flows remain bearish.
Bias: CAD continues to be sold by speculators → bearish pressure.
JPY (Sept 16, 2025):
Non-commercials: net long (161k long vs 100k short).
Commercials: strong shorts (163k), as usual for hedging.
Bias: speculators are accumulating JPY longs, reinforcing strength.
👉 COT View = Weak CAD, Strong JPY → Bearish confirmation for CADJPY.
4. Technical Analysis
Current price: 106.77, trading inside the daily demand zone (106.50–106.00).
Structure:
Well-defined descending channel.
Multiple bounces in the 106.00–106.20 area → key support zone.
RSI neutral, not yet oversold.
Scenarios:
Scenario A (probable): break below 106.20 → extension towards 105.50, then 104.80 (swing low zone).
Scenario B (alternative): technical bounce from demand (106.20–106.00) → recovery towards 107.80/108.00 (weekly supply).
✅ Conclusion: CADJPY shows a bearish setup supported by COT, seasonality, and contrarian sentiment. The technicals highlight a descending channel with potential breakdown below 106.00. Best setups: short on pullbacks with targets at 105.50–105.00.
CADJPY Sellers Target Key Support as Momentum FadesCADJPY has slipped after failing to sustain momentum above the 107 handle, and the price action now leans toward renewed downside pressure. The chart structure shows repeated rejections and lower highs forming, which opens the door for a deeper pullback. With oil prices struggling to hold gains and JPY catching periodic safe-haven bids, this cross looks vulnerable to further declines.
Current Bias
Bearish – CADJPY is showing weakness with sellers eyeing lower support levels.
Key Fundamental Drivers
CAD: Weak Canadian labor market data and rising BoC rate cut expectations pressure CAD. Oil prices remain soft, removing an important support pillar.
JPY: The yen continues to benefit from safe-haven demand, especially during global risk-off waves and BoJ’s gradual steps toward yield control adjustments.
Yield spreads: Narrowing spreads between CAD and JPY rates reduce CADJPY’s carry appeal.
Macro Context
Interest rates: The BoC is leaning dovish after weak jobs and growth numbers, while the BoJ’s cautious shift away from ultra-loose policy provides structural support to the yen.
Growth trends: Canada faces slowing growth amid weaker domestic demand, while Japan’s growth remains modest but steady.
Commodities: Oil weakness weighs on CAD.
Geopolitical: Risk-off events (tariff disputes, Middle East tensions) tend to favor JPY strength, amplifying CADJPY downside.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp recovery in oil prices or a stronger-than-expected Canadian economic release could lift CAD and cap downside momentum in this pair.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Canada CPI and retail sales for confirmation of BoC’s dovish outlook.
BoJ policy commentary for clarity on yield control and inflation stance.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
CADJPY tends to act as a lagger, often following broader risk sentiment and oil price movements. It also reacts to USDJPY moves, meaning JPY flows largely set the pace.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 105.95, 104.98
Resistance Levels: 106.93, 107.54
Stop Loss (SL): 107.54 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 104.98 (major support)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
CADJPY bias is bearish, with SL set at 107.54 and TP aimed at 104.98. Oil weakness, dovish BoC expectations, and resilient JPY flows all lean in favor of further downside. The key watchpoints are Canada’s CPI/retail sales and BoJ commentary. Unless oil rebounds strongly, sellers are likely to stay in control, with price action favoring a test of 105.95 and potentially 104.98.
CAD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CAD/JPY is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 106.590 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the CADJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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