CADJPY Sellers Target Key Support as Momentum FadesCADJPY has slipped after failing to sustain momentum above the 107 handle, and the price action now leans toward renewed downside pressure. The chart structure shows repeated rejections and lower highs forming, which opens the door for a deeper pullback. With oil prices struggling to hold gains and JPY catching periodic safe-haven bids, this cross looks vulnerable to further declines.
Current Bias
Bearish – CADJPY is showing weakness with sellers eyeing lower support levels.
Key Fundamental Drivers
CAD: Weak Canadian labor market data and rising BoC rate cut expectations pressure CAD. Oil prices remain soft, removing an important support pillar.
JPY: The yen continues to benefit from safe-haven demand, especially during global risk-off waves and BoJ’s gradual steps toward yield control adjustments.
Yield spreads: Narrowing spreads between CAD and JPY rates reduce CADJPY’s carry appeal.
Macro Context
Interest rates: The BoC is leaning dovish after weak jobs and growth numbers, while the BoJ’s cautious shift away from ultra-loose policy provides structural support to the yen.
Growth trends: Canada faces slowing growth amid weaker domestic demand, while Japan’s growth remains modest but steady.
Commodities: Oil weakness weighs on CAD.
Geopolitical: Risk-off events (tariff disputes, Middle East tensions) tend to favor JPY strength, amplifying CADJPY downside.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp recovery in oil prices or a stronger-than-expected Canadian economic release could lift CAD and cap downside momentum in this pair.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Canada CPI and retail sales for confirmation of BoC’s dovish outlook.
BoJ policy commentary for clarity on yield control and inflation stance.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
CADJPY tends to act as a lagger, often following broader risk sentiment and oil price movements. It also reacts to USDJPY moves, meaning JPY flows largely set the pace.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 105.95, 104.98
Resistance Levels: 106.93, 107.54
Stop Loss (SL): 107.54 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP): 104.98 (major support)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
CADJPY bias is bearish, with SL set at 107.54 and TP aimed at 104.98. Oil weakness, dovish BoC expectations, and resilient JPY flows all lean in favor of further downside. The key watchpoints are Canada’s CPI/retail sales and BoJ commentary. Unless oil rebounds strongly, sellers are likely to stay in control, with price action favoring a test of 105.95 and potentially 104.98.
Cadjpybuy
CADJPY Momentum Stalls, Sellers Look for ControlCADJPY has tested the 107.40 zone but failed to sustain a breakout, suggesting fading bullish momentum. With oil prices struggling to find direction and the yen attempting to stabilize after weeks of weakness, sellers are circling. The chart structure points to a potential corrective leg lower if the pair breaks under near-term support.
Current Bias
Bearish – the pair shows signs of exhaustion near resistance, with downside levels now in focus.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Bank of Japan: Still accommodative, but the risk of verbal intervention increases as yen weakness deepens.
Bank of Canada: Expected to lean dovish after weak GDP and labor data, leaving CAD vulnerable.
Oil Prices: CAD remains tied to energy performance; lower oil tends to weaken CAD.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: BoC rate cut bets have increased, while BoJ policy remains ultra-loose, although rising JGB yields may offer some yen support.
Growth Trends: Canadian economy shows signs of stagflation risk (weak growth, sticky inflation), reducing CAD’s appeal.
Commodity Flows: Oil volatility directly impacts CADJPY, with recent weakness adding to pressure.
Geopolitics: Energy trade flows and Middle East tensions could ripple into oil and CAD sentiment.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp rebound in oil prices or BoJ hesitation to tolerate further yen strength could invalidate the bearish case.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Canada GDP and inflation reports
BoJ commentary/intervention signals
OPEC-related oil output headlines
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
CADJPY often acts as a lagger, following moves in oil and broader yen crosses like USDJPY and EURJPY. Watch USDJPY for early signals on yen direction and oil prices for CAD momentum.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 106.45, 105.95, 104.98
Resistance Levels: 107.44, 108.05
Stop Loss (SL): 108.05 (above recent highs)
Take Profit (TP): 106.45 (first target), 105.95 (secondary target), 104.98 (extended target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
CADJPY carries a bearish bias as resistance holds at 107.40–108.00 and sellers push for a move toward 106.45 and below. Stop loss sits just above 108.05 to protect against false breakouts, while take profit levels extend toward 105.95 and 104.98. The pair remains heavily influenced by oil and yen sentiment, making it more of a lagger than a leader. Watch oil headlines and BoJ remarks closely, as they could shift momentum quickly.
CADJPY - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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CAD/JPY: Thief’s Playbook or Trap Zone? A Full Technical + Macro🚨 CAD/JPY – “Loonie vs Yen” Bank Heist Plan 🏦💸 (Swing/Day Trade)
📊 Market Overview (02 Sept 2025, Real-Time Data)
Daily Change: +0.26% ⬆️
52-Week Range: 101.24 – 111.57
📈 Technical Snapshot
RSI (14-Day): 47.9 (Neutral zone)
Moving Averages: Price trading below 50 & 200 SMA → bearish bias on higher TF
Volatility: Low (0.35%) = Possible breakout setup
Technical Signal: Mixed, leaning SELL from MA cluster
🧠 Sentiment & Positioning
Retail Traders: Split views (mixed long/short positions)
Institutions: Increasing net-long JPY exposure for 3rd consecutive week
Fear & Greed Index: 61/100 (Greed mode)
🏦 Fundamental & Macro Heist Briefing:
Like every great “operation,” CAD/JPY’s moves depend on central banks, commodities, and macro flows:
🇯🇵 Bank of Japan (BoJ)
Gradually exiting ultra-loose policy, supported by stronger wage growth & sticky inflation.
A hawkish BoJ = stronger yen = tighter barricades for our heist 🚔.
🇨🇦 Bank of Canada (BoC)
Balancing rate cuts with sticky inflation & housing concerns.
CAD remains highly correlated with oil prices → if crude rallies, it reloads the Loonie’s ammo 🛢️💥.
🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Impact
Markets pricing a 91% chance of September rate cut.
A softer USD can spill into CAD pairs, but safe-haven flows may still favor JPY.
Commodities & Oil Connection
CAD has high sensitivity to oil. WTI stability above $75 supports the Canadian dollar.
Falling crude = weak CAD = smoother entry route for JPY “detectives.”
Risk Appetite / Global Macro
Equities in greed mode (S&P 500 holding above 125-day MA).
Low VIX (14.2) → calm environment, but lurking volatility traps ahead.
Junk bond demand signaling investors willing to take risk → CAD benefits in risk-on.
Macro Score → Neutral to slightly bearish for CAD/JPY, as JPY strength from BoJ policy may outpace CAD support from oil.
Macro:
BoJ staying hawkish ⚔️ (inflation + wage growth)
Fed tilting dovish 🕊️ (rate cut odds ~91% in Sept)
CAD/JPY Macro Score → Neutral to Slightly Bearish
🎯 Thief’s Playbook (Educational Trading Blueprint)
This is a “layering / DCA style” plan 🧩 – using multiple limit orders like setting up escape routes in a heist:
Layer Entries (Example levels):
💰 106.000
💰 106.500
💰 106.800
💰 107.000
(you can adjust & add more “layers” based on risk appetite)
Risk Management:
🛑 “Thief Stop” suggested around 105.500 (always adjust to your own risk model)
Profit Objective:
🎯 Potential upside checkpoint near 109.000 (take the bag & escape before the police barricade 🚔)
🌍 Macro & Outlook
Short-Term → Bearish tilt (JPY strength risk)
Medium-Term → Neutral range (106 – 111)
Long-Term → Potential pressure from broader JPY cycles
🐂🐻 Final Take
CAD/JPY sits in a cautious zone – sentiment is mixed, with short-term JPY strength possible. But with layered entries, disciplined SL, and planned exits, traders can map their “heist strategy” like a pro.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
FX:USDJPY
OANDA:EURJPY
OANDA:GBPJPY
OANDA:AUDJPY
OANDA:CADCHF
#CADJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #PriceAction #Yen #Loonie #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingCommunity #MarketOutlook
CADJPY Sellers Defend Resistance, Bears Eye Deeper CorrectionCADJPY is stalling once again at the 107.10–107.50 resistance zone, where sellers have stepped in multiple times over the past sessions. Price is forming a clear rejection pattern after retesting supply, suggesting that momentum is shifting in favor of the bears. With crude oil volatility weighing on CAD and safe-haven demand supporting JPY, this setup looks poised for a potential downside leg.
Current Bias
Bearish — short-term rejections at resistance open the door for a move lower toward 106.30 and 105.20.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Crude oil dynamics: CAD’s correlation with oil remains strong; lower oil prices weaken CAD and reinforce downside risk in CADJPY.
BoJ normalization risks: Any hint of a shift in Japanese monetary policy or discussions around yield control tends to boost JPY.
Risk sentiment: Risk-off flows typically drive JPY higher, while CAD suffers under global growth concerns.
Macro Context
Interest rate expectations: BoC is seen as close to its peak rate, with limited room for further hikes, while the BoJ is slowly signaling normalization steps.
Economic growth: Canada’s growth is vulnerable to commodity fluctuations, while Japan’s economy, though modest, is gaining traction from external demand and JPY’s relative undervaluation.
Commodity flows: Oil weakness puts pressure on CAD, while defensive flows boost JPY.
Geopolitical themes: Tariffs, trade disruptions, or Middle East tensions could amplify demand for JPY as a safe haven.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A strong rebound in crude oil or dovish BoJ messaging could support CADJPY and push the pair back above 107.50 resistance, invalidating the bearish setup.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Canada CPI / Retail Sales (key for BoC policy outlook)
BoJ statements on monetary policy or FX stability
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
CADJPY often trades as a lagger, following oil and USDJPY trends.
It tends to be influenced by WTI crude prices and USDJPY moves, which dictate directional bias.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 106.35, 105.95, 105.20
Resistance Levels: 107.10, 107.50
Stop Loss (SL): 107.55
Take Profit (TP): 106.35 (first target), 105.20 (extended target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
CADJPY is showing rejection at a major resistance zone, with sellers stepping in to cap upside momentum. The bearish bias remains valid as long as the pair stays below 107.50, with downside targets set at 106.35 and 105.20. A stop loss above 107.55 protects against a breakout reversal, while oil price fluctuations and BoJ rhetoric remain the most important watchpoints. Unless crude oil rallies sharply or Japan signals dovish backpedaling, the path of least resistance appears to favor the bears.
CAD/JPY Entry Uncapped – Loonie Robbery in Motion🔐CAD/JPY Heist Activated: Thief Breaks Into the Bullish Vault📈💰💥
📌 Asset: CAD/JPY "Loonie-Yen" Forex Bank
📌 Plan: Bullish
📌 Entry: Any price level
📌 Stop Loss: 106.600
📌 Target: 109.200
📌 Method: Multi-limit orders using Layering / DCA Strategy
👋🏼 Hello Money Movers & Market Robbers!
Welcome back to the battlefield — this time we’re breaching the vault of the CAD/JPY Loonie-Yen Forex Bank with a bullish masterplan. This isn't just a trade, it’s a planned heist using Thief Trader Strategy. Precision entries, layered orders, and sharp exits — that’s how we roll! 🏦💣
🔓 ENTRY — The Vault Is Open!
💸 Swipe the loot at any price — but the real pros place Buy Limits near recent swing lows (15min/30min TF) to catch price pullbacks.
⚠️ Only Long — Short is off-limits unless you’re surrendering your loot.
🛑 STOP LOSS — Lock Before They Catch You!
📍 Place SL at 106.600, or below your last entry layer if you stack orders.
Let your lot size, risk %, and DCA levels guide the SL placement. Safety first, profit always.
🎯 TARGET — The Exit Door: 109.200
📈 That’s where the loot gets stashed! Trail it smart if the price gets hot. Escape early if market mood shifts.
🧠 STRATEGY BREAKDOWN:
☑️ Style: Layered Grid / DCA Method
☑️ Trade Type: Scalping 🔹 Day Trade 🔹 Swing
☑️ Market Condition: Bullish momentum pushing through resistance — fundamental & sentiment align.
📚 MARKET INTEL:
📰 Stay ahead — read the COT reports, scan the macros, dive into quant flows & sentiment indexes.
Want the full picture? Click the 🔗 in proo file for the research vault.
⚠️ Avoid entries during high-volatility news. Set trailing SLs to protect your robbery bag. 🎒
🚨 THIEF TIPS:
🔹 Don’t panic — layer in, scale smart.
🔹 Use M15/H1 TF to plan sniper entries.
🔹 Let profits run, but never let them bleed.
💥 BOOST THIS IDEA if you support the Thief’s mission 💥
Every like powers up the next robbery!
Your support lets me share more free trade ideas with real planning & real money in mind.
🔐 Catch you on the next break-in… Stay funded, stay dangerous. 🤑🚁💼
#CADJPY:Targeting 130.00 Almost 30,000 Pips Swing TradeThe long-term outlook for CADJPY remains extremely bullish in the coming week. My initial target is 115, followed by 120, and ultimately 130. This would result in a total of 30,000 pips of movement in the swing. Please use this analysis for educational purposes only.
Good luck and trade safely!
Like, comment, and share this idea!
Team Setupsfx_
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"Loonie-Yen Heist: CAD/JPY Bullish Blueprint in Motion"🕶️💼 “Operation Loonie-Yen: The CAD/JPY Clean Sweep Blueprint” 💼🕶️
(Scalp & Swing Strategy by the Thief Trader Guild)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Movers & Strategic Operators, 🤑💰✈️
This blueprint is part of our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 operation—a fusion of technical precision and fundamental edge designed to tactically exploit the CAD/JPY (Loonie-Yen) setup.
🎯 Mission Objective:
Infiltrate the Bullish Zone & secure profits before the authorities (sellers) regroup.
📌 Entry Point:
"The vault's wide open!"
🔓Buy into momentum at any key level OR set a buy limit on recent swing lows using the 15m–30m charts. Wait for a pullback? Perfect—join the crew on the next dip.
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL):
Place it just below the 4H swing low (105.900) candle body wick.
But remember, your SL should match your risk style, position size, and trade frequency. Risk management is part of every successful heist.
🎯 Target Zone:
Aim for 108.500 – but exit smart if market behavior changes. Lock profits and vanish before the trap closes!
⚔️ Scalpers' Game Plan:
Only long-side jobs here. Got deep pockets? Dive right in. If not, team up with swing robbers and ride the trend. Use trailing SLs to secure every coin.
🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment:
CAD/JPY strength is supported by intermarket flow, macro shifts, and trader sentiment. Check reports and correlations to stay a step ahead.
📰 Trading Alerts:
Be cautious around news releases—volatile spikes could trigger alarms. Avoid new entries during major drops and always protect active trades with trailing SLs.
💖 Support the Heist:
Hit that Boost button to power up the crew. Every push fuels another successful strategy. Thief Trading Style isn’t just a tactic—it’s a movement. 🏆💪
Stay alert. More heist blueprints coming soon.
Till then, trade smart. Loot legally. Vanish profitably. 🐱👤📈💸
CADJPY..BUY📈 On the daily timeframe, CADJPY is in a clear uptrend.
🔁 After a healthy correction, price has reached our key support level, and I’m ready to enter a long position here.
⚠️ As always, if this level breaks and the market moves against us,
I’ll open a risky short trade until we reach the next buy zone.
📉 The market does whatever it wants—nothing is guaranteed.
✅ We’re here to use smart risk management and make profit in every possible scenario.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
#CADJPY:1700+ PIPS Swing Concept On The Way,Three Profit TargetsJPY initiated a bearish trend and anticipates a rapid reversal in all JPY pairs, such as CADJPY. We expect a significant swing move, potentially reaching 2000+ pips in the long term. Additionally, we have set three targets based on our analysis, which can aid in identifying potential trade opportunities. Good luck and trade safely.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
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Team Setupsfx_
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CAD/JPY At Great Buying Area , 250 Pips Waiting For Us !Here is my CAD/JPY Long setup , we have a very good 4H Bullish P.A , The price at a very strong support which is we can buy from it , also we have a very good 4H Confirmation , so if the price go back to retest it we can enter a buy trade and targeting 250 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
CAD/JPY At Interesting Supp , Long Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !Here is my Analysis On CAD/JPY , I See that the price starting giving a good bullish Price Action , So we can enter a buy trade if the price back again to my support and give us any good bullish P.A , And we can put our target at high of down trend line , and if we have a closure above we can continue .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
CAD/JPY At Very Interesting Area To Buy , Don`t Miss 250 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
LONG ON CAD/JPY- Falling Channel at major support/demand are with a breakout (Bullish reversal pattern)
- Price Failing to break lows creating triple bottom/support area. (bullish)
- Jpy index has a head and shoulder pattern and is falling. (bullish for xxx/jpy pairs)
I will be buying CAD/JPY expecting price to rise for the rest of the week.
CAD/JPY "THE LOONIE-YEN" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist CAD/JPY "THE LOONIE-YEN" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂