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XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap?XAU/USD Outlook: Will Gold Open with a Bullish Gap? Date Range: 26th – 30th May 2025 Timeframe: H4 (4-hour chart) Market Bias: Short-term bullish 🔍 Fundamental Analysis US–China Trade Tensions: China halting imports of US goods puts pressure on the dollar (gold tends to move inversely). Escalating tensions support gold as a safe-haven asset. Tariff Threats to the EU: Trump proposes 50% tariffs on EU products → potential retaliatory measures raise global uncertainty. Risk-averse sentiment may push capital into gold. Physical Gold Demand: High seasonal demand from India and China ahead of festivals. Inflation fears globally increase gold's appeal. 🌍 Macro Overview Monetary Policy: The Fed may face pressure to cut rates if trade tensions weaken the economy → bearish for USD, bullish for gold. PBOC could devalue the yuan in response to trade friction, boosting gold prices in USD terms. Market Sentiment: A potential rise in the VIX (fear index) may drive investors towards safe havens like gold. Strong demand for physical gold and ETFs, particularly in Asia, continues to support price. Key Events This Week: US Core PCE (inflation indicator) US Consumer Confidence EU and China responses to recent US trade policy 📊 Technical Analysis (H4) Trend: Clear ascending channel Current Price: 3,407.554 Key Resistance Levels: 3,407 – 3,444 (major resistance zone) 3,444.436 = potential all-time high Support Zones: 3,361.648 (channel midpoint) 3,325.347 (lower channel boundary) Fair Value Gaps (FVG): FVG 1: 3,361 – 3,407 FVG 2: 3,325 – 3,340 Price Action Note: A doji candle near resistance suggests a possible short-term pullback before continuation 🔄 Possible Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Scenario (60% probability): Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a bullish gap and extend toward 3,500 Strong fundamental and technical support for upside 🔽 Bearish Scenario: Rejection from 3,444 may lead to a pullback toward 3,361 or even 3,325 for buy setups 💡 Trade Plan ✅ Long Setup: Entry: 3,361 – 3,370 (pullback into FVG or mid-channel support) Take Profit: 3,444 (TP1), 3,500 (TP2) Stop Loss: Below 3,325 ❌ Short Setup (only on confirmed rejection): Entry: On clear rejection at 3,444 (e.g. bearish engulfing or head & shoulders pattern) Take Profit: 3,361 Stop Loss: Above 3,444 ⏰ Optimal Trading Times Monitor market open (Sunday, 26th May) for confirmation of a potential bullish gap Best liquidity during London and New York sessions 📝 Summary: Gold is well-positioned for a bullish move amid escalating trade tensions and USD weakness. Watch closely for a breakout above 3,444 or a retracement to 3,361 as a strategic buy zone. Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy developments to adjust accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
BTC/USD IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD?BTC/USD 24 MAY – IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD? 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Federal Reserve Outlook: Recent statements from Fed officials remain hawkish, signaling that interest rate cuts may not arrive soon. Inflation data remains sticky, adding pressure on risk-on assets like crypto in the short term. Market Sentiment: Investors are cautious, with capital flowing back into safer assets amid global uncertainty. However, long-term sentiment on BTC remains strong, supported by fundamentals. On-Chain Metrics: Wallet activity and hash rate growth continue to reflect strong underlying demand. This suggests accumulation despite short-term price pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (H1 CHART) BTC/USD is currently correcting after reaching the 111,947 resistance area. Price bounced from the 106,831 support zone and is now approaching the mid-range levels again. Chart Formation: A possible "bull trap" pattern is forming. Price may retest the 110,000 – 111,947 supply zone before deciding the next move. EMA Signals: Short-term EMAs have crossed downward on the H1 timeframe, indicating a weakening bullish momentum. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🔻 SCALP SELL ZONE: Entry: 111,800 – 111,950 Stop Loss: 112,200 Targets: 110,000 → 108,500 → 106,800 → 102,567 🔺 BUY ZONE (PULLBACK SUPPORT): Entry: 106,800 – 106,600 Stop Loss: 106,200 Targets: 107,800 → 109,000 → 110,000 🔍 TECHNICAL KEY LEVELS Resistance Zone: 111,947 – 112,000 Support Zone: 106,831 → 106,600 → 102,567 FIBO Key Levels: 0.5 – 109,393 | 0.382 – 108,763 ⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK If BTC breaks above 112,000 with strong volume, expect a bullish continuation toward 114,000+ levels. However, if price fails to hold above 110,000 and drops below 106,800, a deeper correction to 102,500 may follow. 📌 CONCLUSION "BTC is at a decision point, trading between macro hawkish pressure and technical liquidity zones. Stay flexible and wait for confirmation before committing heavily." Watch the US Jobless Claims data tonight for volatility triggers. Avoid emotional trades. Use strict risk management. Follow this profile for more real-time plans and updates.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN?GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 | GEOPOLITICAL RISKS FLARE UP – IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN? 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Iran-Israel-US Tension: Iran has warned that if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, the U.S. will also be held responsible. Tehran vows to take “special measures” to protect its nuclear program, and has filed formal complaints with the UN. Markets are reacting sharply to this growing geopolitical risk. Goldman Sachs Alert: Goldman Sachs recommends gold and crypto (Bitcoin) as safe-haven assets amidst soaring bond yields, fiscal crisis fears, and a failed 20-year U.S. Treasury auction. They warn that rising yields are now posing serious threats to equities while the dollar faces longer-term pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (M30): Price has bounced off the 3303 zone, and is showing signs of a bullish breakout if 3360 is taken out. There is a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) above 3360–3380, which has yet to be fully filled. Below, the untested FVG zone near 3274–3250 remains vulnerable if support fails. EMA 13 is trending above EMA 34 and EMA 200 → bullish bias remains valid as long as 3274 holds. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: SELL Side Key Level: 3358–3360 → A breakout above this zone could lead to a retest of ATH near 3400–3450. BUY Side Key Level: 3276–3274 → Losing this zone could push gold back below 3200, targeting deeper correction levels. 📈 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TPs: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TPs: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TPs: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TPs: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS: Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and macro instability. As long as the 3303 support area holds, look for bullish continuation towards FVG highs. Break below 3274 may shift the bias sharply to the downside. Stay alert — volatility is expected to rise ahead of the next U.S. data and developments in the Iran nuclear issue.GOLD XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 23 | GEOPOLITICAL RISKS FLARE UP – IS GOLD READY TO SURGE AGAIN? 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: Iran-Israel-US Tension: Iran has warned that if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities, the U.S. will also be held responsible. Tehran vows to take “special measures” to protect its nuclear program, and has filed formal complaints with the UN. Markets are reacting sharply to this growing geopolitical risk. Goldman Sachs Alert: Goldman Sachs recommends gold and crypto (Bitcoin) as safe-haven assets amidst soaring bond yields, fiscal crisis fears, and a failed 20-year U.S. Treasury auction. They warn that rising yields are now posing serious threats to equities while the dollar faces longer-term pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (M30): Price has bounced off the 3303 zone, and is showing signs of a bullish breakout if 3360 is taken out. There is a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) above 3360–3380, which has yet to be fully filled. Below, the untested FVG zone near 3274–3250 remains vulnerable if support fails. EMA 13 is trending above EMA 34 and EMA 200 → bullish bias remains valid as long as 3274 holds. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: SELL Side Key Level: 3358–3360 → A breakout above this zone could lead to a retest of ATH near 3400–3450. BUY Side Key Level: 3276–3274 → Losing this zone could push gold back below 3200, targeting deeper correction levels. 📈 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TPs: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TPs: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TPs: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TPs: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🧠 FINAL THOUGHTS: Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines and macro instability. As long as the 3303 support area holds, look for bullish continuation towards FVG highs. Break below 3274 may shift the bias sharply to the downside. Stay alert — volatility is expected to rise ahead of the next U.S. data and developments in the Iran nuclear issue.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
3
FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK? 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Overview: 🔺 Breaking Political News: On the night of May 21, two Israeli embassy officials were fatally shot near the Jewish Museum in Washington in what’s being labeled an anti-Semitic terrorist act. → Former President Trump condemned the attack, calling it “disgusting” and demanding an end to extremism. → Events like these typically boost gold as a safe haven, but this time the market appears hesitant. 🔺 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains hawkish, signaling “higher-for-longer” interest rates. → This continues to support USD strength, putting downward pressure on gold. 🔍 Technical Outlook (H1): Gold (XAUUSD) recently topped around 3397, followed by a strong bearish rejection candle at that level. Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are now defining market sentiment: Upper FVG: 3330 – 3356 (partially filled) Lower FVG: 3277 – 3247 → highly likely to be targeted if breakdown occurs. EMA 13 & EMA 34 are flattening out, indicating consolidation within a breakout range. 🧭 Trade Strategy for Today: 🔻 PRIMARY SELL ZONE: Entry: 3395 – 3397 Stop Loss: 3401 Take Profit: 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3358 – 3360 Stop Loss: 3364 Take Profit: 3354 → 3350 → 3346 → 3342 → 3338 → 3330 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3296 – 3294 Stop Loss: 3290 Take Profit: 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3316 – 3314 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3340 → 3350 ⚠️ Key Things to Watch: FBI and White House responses to the DC shooting could ignite renewed risk-off sentiment, pushing gold higher suddenly. A break above 3400 invalidates today’s setup – expect renewed bullish pressure if that happens. 📌 Pro Tip: Don’t chase the market. Let price come to your zones. Respect SL/TP and manage risk – especially on volatile days like today. 📣 Follow this account for live updates, scalping levels, and macro-triggered trading zones in real time!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELSGOLD MARKET UPDATE 21/05 – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE VS. TECHNICAL LEVELS – BIG MOVE AHEAD? Gold’s recent rally has paused as traders weigh the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. Despite geopolitical tensions and softer U.S. economic data, the Fed is sticking with a "higher-for-longer" interest rate policy, which has kept the U.S. dollar strong and put pressure on gold’s price action. 📉 However, the technical outlook suggests a different story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Is It A Bearish Trap Or A Hidden Bullish Opportunity? Looking at the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is consolidating after reaching a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3328–3356. This zone reveals significant volatility and potential liquidity grabs, with two key FVG zones forming above and below the current price levels. There’s a potential bullish scenario if gold retraces to the 3250–3252 support zone, where strong trendline confluence and dynamic support are likely to drive demand. On the flip side, any rejection from the 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could initiate a bearish trend, pushing gold lower to test key structural support levels. 💹 TRADING STRATEGY FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT The Fed’s hawkish stance continues to weigh on gold, but geopolitical uncertainty and ongoing de-dollarization trends maintain gold’s appeal. China, along with other central banks, is still actively accumulating gold, signaling that long-term bullish pressure remains intact. Keep an eye on U.S. data this week, especially PMI and jobless claims, as these could act as short-term catalysts for gold. 📌 KEY NOTES Volatility is increasing, so stay disciplined. Stick to your key levels and manage risk effectively. Patience and strategy will be key as the market moves in the coming days. Stay alert and trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
USDCHF Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? Full Trade Plan TodayUSDCHF – Will the Downtrend Break or Bounce? | Full Trade Plan Today 🔥 🌍 Macro Overview USDCHF remains in a short-term bearish correction, reflecting current macroeconomic uncertainties surrounding US interest rate expectations and safe-haven demand for CHF. USD is under pressure after softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data last week, increasing speculation that the Fed may cut rates in Q3. CHF continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and fragile European growth. However, the key support around 0.8318 has acted as a major demand zone. If bulls react strongly here, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. 📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H2) USDCHF is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows. Price is now testing the lower boundary of the channel around 0.8318, which also aligns with a key liquidity area. EMAs (13 and 34) still slope downward, but momentum is slowing — a possible signal that sellers are losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones: 0.8395 → Recent swing high & supply zone 0.8459 → Medium-term structural resistance 🔻 Support Zones: 0.8318 → Major confluence zone (channel bottom + demand block) 0.8230 → Final support level before deeper drop 🎯 Trade Setups ✅ Scenario A – Bullish Reversal from Support (Preferred): Entry (Buy): 0.8318 – 0.8322 (after bullish rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: 0.8288 Take Profits: 0.8395 → 0.8430 → 0.8459 ✅ Scenario B – Bearish Breakdown Below Support: Entry (Sell): 0.8300 – 0.8310 (only if price closes below 0.8310 on H2) Stop Loss: 0.8340 Take Profits: 0.8260 → 0.8230 → 0.8200 ⚠️ What to Watch Today: Market may see higher volatility during the US session, especially with housing data (Existing Home Sales) and Fed speakers lined up. Watch for clean price action around 0.8318 — no need to rush entries until confirmation appears. This is a reactive market, not a predictive one. Let price speak first. 📌 Follow for real-time market updates and actionable strategies during US trading hours.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
7
GBP/USD Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum FadesGBP/USD Trading Plan – May 20th | Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum Fades 🌐 Macro Overview GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces: USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut. The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation. Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging. 📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart) GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However: 1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term. A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off. EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Major Resistance: 🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top 🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2) Key Support: 🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection 🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support 🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE 🎯 Trading Scenarios 📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation) Stop Loss: 1.3460 Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250 📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest) Stop Loss: 1.3340 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174 📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174 Stop Loss: 1.3140 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility. Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones. 📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP?EUR/USD DAILY PLAN – BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION OR FAKEOUT TRAP? 🧠 Macro Overview This week’s trading landscape is influenced by both European and U.S. developments: EU Side: There are no major macroeconomic releases ahead, but expectations are growing that the ECB may adopt a more dovish tone in upcoming meetings. If inflation continues to cool, the euro may face downside pressure. U.S. Side: Last week’s CPI and PPI data showed signs of cooling inflation, yet not enough for the Fed to shift gears. The U.S. dollar remains supported by the prospect of “higher for longer” interest rates. Global Sentiment: Ongoing U.S.–China tensions and trade policy updates in Europe are keeping risk appetite cautious. The EUR/USD pair is testing a key zone and may break out of the descending channel soon — or reject hard if buyers fail to hold. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart) EUR/USD bounced strongly from the 1.1160 – 1.1180 demand zone and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1237 — a confluence of descending trendline and the 200 EMA on the 1H chart. A clean breakout above and sustained hold of 1.1237 could pave the way toward higher resistance levels at 1.1270 and 1.1325. However, if the pair gets rejected at 1.1237, it may fall back to test the lower support at 1.1160 – 1.1180, possibly forming a range before a larger move. 📌 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Levels: 1.1237 → Key confluence zone (EMA200 + trendline) 1.1270 → Previous swing high 1.1302 – 1.1325 → Upper resistance zone with Fibo confluence 🔻 Support Levels: 1.1180 → Immediate demand area 1.1160 → Critical trendline support A break below 1.1160 could trigger stronger bearish momentum 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1. Bullish Breakout Above 1.1237 🔹 Entry: 1.1240 – 1.1250 🔹 SL: 1.1210 🔹 TP: 1.1270 → 1.1302 → 1.1325 2. Bearish Rejection at 1.1237 🔻 Entry: 1.1230 – 1.1225 🔻 SL: 1.1255 🔻 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1160 3. Buy-the-Dip at Key Support 🔹 Entry: 1.1165 – 1.1170 🔹 SL: 1.1135 🔹 TP: 1.1200 → 1.1230 ⚠️ Key Notes: Avoid entering trades during chop between 1.1215 – 1.1237 unless breakout confirmation appears. Be cautious of liquidity grabs during London and NY session opens. Stick to tight risk management as market remains uncertain and range-bound. 📌 Conclusion: EUR/USD is at a decision point. Whether bulls take control or sellers defend key resistance will determine short-term trend direction. Trade the breakout or the reaction — not the prediction.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊 📊 Market Overview: ✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include: ✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold. ✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold. ✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge. ✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH). 📉 Technical Analysis: ✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout. ✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist. ✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288 💰 Trading Strategy for Today: ✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 ✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 ✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270 💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound?Gold Price Volatility: Will the Market Continue to Sink or Rebound? 💥 Market Outlook: Today’s market is seeing unpredictable movements, with gold making significant drops and then rebounding sharply in the last two days. Are the recent news developments aligning with the price action, or is it just a major coincidence? 🔍 Technical Analysis: Looking at the D1 and H4 charts, you can clearly see the breakdown, but gold quickly bounced back to the 325x area and reacted. The 3254–3256 zone is a key level that holds strong for sellers on both daily and H4 candles. If gold continues to hold below this level, the bearish trend remains strong, and another sharp drop could happen before the weekend. If the 3254–3256 level is broken, the price may push toward the 327x, possibly even the 328x levels. However, this will be dependent on whether this critical support is maintained. Trend Continuation or Reversal? From a technical perspective, gold is still in a downtrend, and the current bounce is likely just a retracement before continuing lower. However, in terms of macro news, the USD is continuously dealing with bad inflation data, affecting the recovery of DXY (USD). The market is very sensitive to trap candles, and there may be false breakouts, so proceed cautiously. There are also some news reports indicating that the US and China have reached a minor détente, but tensions remain around trade restrictions, imports, exports, and the use of rare earth minerals. Things are unpredictable with these two powers. Today, there are updates on tariffs, so keep an eye out! 📊 Key Resistance Levels: 3237 3251 3261 3276 3287 📉 Key Support Levels: 3205 3188 3170 3143 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3172 – 3170 SL: 3166 TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3196 → 3200 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3142 – 3140 SL: 3136 TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3162 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3160 – 3162 SL: 3166 TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 → 3120 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3250 → 3240 ⚠️ Risk Management: With strong volatility today, manage your risk carefully. It’s essential to adhere to your TP/SL to protect your account. Stay cautious, as there is a lot of unpredictability in the market with the upcoming news. Conclusion: Given the unpredictability of the market and geopolitical tensions, it’s wise to trade with caution today. Watch the critical support and resistance levels closely and stay flexible, adapting your strategy based on how the market evolves. 📣 Stay tuned for more updates and trade smart!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
3
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING? 🧠 Market Context: After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum. The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer. Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves. 👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend. 📊 Trade Scenarios for Today: ✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%): Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone. ⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline) 🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100 🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200) 🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%): Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal. 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume) 🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350 🛑 SL: 1.1215 🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA: Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247 Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110 🎯 Execution Strategy: Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume. Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation. Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels. ⚠️ News to Watch: No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines. Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction. ✅ Final Thoughts: The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers. Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions. Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming? Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend. 🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone? 📌 Support Zones to Monitor: 3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure. 3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur. ⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops. As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today. Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet! 📊 Key Resistance Levels: 3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330 📊 Key Support Levels: 3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158 🎯 Scalping BUY Zones: BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220 BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190 🎯 Scalping SELL Zones: SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259 SL: 3263 TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220 SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230 🔎 Key Insights: The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold. 💡 Conclusion: Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease Technical Analysis Overview: Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market. From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill. Current Viewpoint: At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying. We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee. Short-Term Strategy: In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328 Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156 Buy Opportunities: Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220 Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190 Sell Opportunities: Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240 Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330 SL: 3334 TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280 Upcoming Key News: In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market. Important Notes: Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions. Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GBP/USD Set for a Big Move! Will It Break the Channel or Reboun📈 GBP/USD DAILY PLAN – 12/05/2025 🔍 Technical Overview: The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating in a descending channel, with clear resistance and support levels. After forming a short-term high at 1.32507, the price is showing signs of retracing and looks set to continue the downward move. Key Resistance Levels: 1.32507: The latest high, still unbroken. This is a key resistance level in the short term. 1.31690: The next resistance level, which could provide bearish momentum as the price touches it. 1.31417: A strong resistance level if the price continues to rise. Key Support Levels: 1.32474: A strong support zone, likely to be tested if the price dips. 1.32169: A short-term support level for potential reversal. 1.31216: A key support level in case of a sharp decline, potentially a strong BUY zone. 🎯 Trade Scenarios: 1. Bearish Breakout Scenario: SELL Zone: 1.32507 – 1.31690 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3300 Take Profit (TP): 1.31417 → 1.31000 → 1.30500 2. PullbackScenario – Reversal at Support: BUY Zone: 1.31216 – 1.31417 Stop Loss (SL): 1.31000 Take Profit (TP): 1.31800 → 1.32100 → 1.32400 ⚠️ Notes: Market Sentiment: The market is highly sensitive to ongoing political and economic developments, especially comments from ECB and Fed officials. Watch the key support and resistance levels carefully before making any trades today. Risk Management: Be sure to manage your SL/TP levels carefully and avoid chasing signals during volatile market moves. 📣 Important: Today is a key day with important macroeconomic data that could shift market sentiment, particularly from Fed officials and trade talks. Be cautious and wait for confirmation signals before entering any trades.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
3
GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours. 🔍 Market Context: The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe. A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest. This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility. The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in: US inflation expectations FED forward guidance Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan) 🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025): Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear. Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: $3288 $3308 $3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone) 🔻 Key Support Levels: $3262 $3246 $3236 $3200 🎯 Trade Ideas: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: $3246 – $3244 SL: $3240 TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280 Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Main): Entry: $3326 – $3328 SL: $3332 TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300 🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday): Entry: $3306 – $3308 SL: $3312 TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment. Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries. Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you. 📣 Final Note: This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
USD/CHF Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF Weekly Setup – Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF is currently consolidating in a tight range near 0.8300, but under the surface, big moves are brewing. Last week, the pair pulled back as US bond yields dipped lower and the USD weakened. However, this isn’t just about technicals — the bigger story is coming from trade negotiations, central bank signals, and global inflation pressures. 🌍 What’s Driving the Market? 1️⃣ US-China Trade Talks Return to Spotlight Early signs of progress in global trade relations helped stabilize market sentiment. President Trump confirmed a preliminary trade agreement with the UK and hinted at cautious talks with China this weekend in Switzerland. While no breakthroughs are expected, any surprise deal or tariff easing could lift the USD. 2️⃣ SNB Dovish Tilt Pressures CHF SNB Chairman Schlegel has opened the door for more rate cuts if the Swiss economy continues to show weakness. April CPI came in flat, and core inflation dropped, adding to the dovish case. 3️⃣ Fed Uncertainty While the Fed held rates steady, markets are still debating the next move. The bond market suggests rate cuts are now less likely in the short-term, which could offer near-term support to the USD. 📊 Technical Picture – H4 Outlook Price is forming a sideways accumulation just under the 0.8310 level. A deeper FVG (Fair Value Gap) still exists overhead from the recent drop. If USD strength returns, a clean break toward this imbalance zone is likely. We're also seeing lower shadows and absorption wicks near support zones, signaling buyers are active at the bottom of this range. 📌 Key Levels BUY ZONE: → 0.8265 – 0.8245 SL: 0.8200 TP targets: → 0.8325 → 0.8365 → 0.8425 → 0.8585 🧠 Strategy Notes This setup is range-to-breakout biased. If the market responds positively to US-China trade headlines or US bond yields recover, USD/CHF could launch higher into the imbalance zone. Watch for a confirmed H4 breakout candle above 0.8320 for added confidence. Keep in mind the SNB meeting on June 19th — markets may start pricing in policy shifts earlier than expected. 📣 Final Thoughts USD/CHF is at a turning point — and what happens next will depend less on indicators and more on trade diplomacy and central bank tones. As always, let the market show its hand. ✅ Wait for price to come to your zone. ⛔ Don’t chase moves in this volatility. 🔔 Stay alert to any headlines from the US, China, or SNB this week.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
5
Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues Hey traders! 👋 After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery? 🔎 What’s going on? Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments: He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US. There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September. Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe. These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.1278 – First level to break for bulls 1.1301 – Near-term resistance 1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds Support: 1.1240 – Holding well so far 1.1198 – Key BUY zone 1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls 🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th) ✅ BUY IDEA: Buy Zone: 1.1198 SL: 1.1138 TP Targets: → 1.1235 → 1.1285 → 1.1325 ❌ SELL IDEA: Sell Zone: 1.1301 SL: 1.1360 TP Targets: → 1.1265 → 1.1225 → 1.1185 📌 Final Thoughts The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range. Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals. 👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you. Good luck! 🚀
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Friday Volatility – Liquidity SweepsGold Friday Volatility – Liquidity Sweeps & Potential Channel Break Ahead Gold kicked off Friday with intense volatility, triggering sweeping liquidity grabs during the Asian session. Price dropped aggressively into the 327x region, clearing stop zones and vacuuming liquidity — only to quickly rebound and fill the imbalance above. This classic FVG (Fair Value Gap) behavior was especially visible on the M30 timeframe, as price repeatedly left behind inefficient zones and promptly returned to fill them. Volatility remains elevated — and traders should proceed with caution. 📉 Technical Context – End of the Downtrend? Since Thursday, gold has been trading in a clean descending parallel channel, respecting lower highs and pushing downward. However, late in the Asian session today, a bullish momentum surge appears to be testing the upper boundary of this channel. We are now watching the 3324 level very closely. A confirmed breakout above this zone — with candle closure outside the trendline — would suggest a structure shift and open the door for BUY setups on the retest. Until then, we observe. Let price confirm. We trade the reaction, not the assumption. 🌍 Macro Risk – Trade Tensions & Weekend Volatility The market remains extremely reactive to: Geopolitical risks: Military tensions are still simmering. US–China tariff discussions: President Trump is expected to make remarks on tariff policy. Any surprise here could heavily impact USD and gold. ⚠️ Liquidity sweeps are common on Fridays — especially into London and NY sessions — so risk management is critical today. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance: 3345 → 3364 → 3395 🔻 Support: 3280 → 3270 → 3256 → 3244 → 3225 The 3324 and 3366 zones are particularly critical. If price closes firmly above these zones, bullish continuation becomes more likely. If price gets rejected, we stay within range and look for sell opportunities. 🎯 Trade Plan – Friday, May 10 🟢 BUY ZONE Entry: 3280 – 3278 SL: 3274 TPs: 3285 → 3290 → 3295 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 🔴 SELL ZONE Entry: 3364 – 3366 SL: 3370 TPs: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330 🧠 Final Thoughts: Friday often delivers unexpected liquidity traps. With news expected from the White House and technical structure on the verge of a break, this session could offer both risk and reward — if approached with discipline. ✅ Use clear levels. ✅ Respect TP/SL. ✅ Stay sharp as NY volume enters. 📣 Let’s end the week strong. Drop your charts and ideas below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease — Is War Risk Losing Grip? The spotlight has shifted. As geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan continue to simmer, gold has surprisingly failed to respond with the expected safe-haven spike. Instead, the market’s attention has turned sharply toward global trade negotiations — particularly the latest developments between the United States and the United Kingdom. 🌐 Global Trade Truce: Why It Matters Recent headlines confirm the UK is one of the first nations to sign a new trade and tariff agreement with the US — easing pressure from global tariff wars and restoring market confidence. ➡️ Result? The US Dollar (DXY) has staged a meaningful recovery, limiting gold’s upside and reducing short-term bullish sentiment. While the war narrative is still present, it's the economic diplomacy that’s dominating headlines and price action this week. 📉 Market Reaction: Mixed Signals & Wild Volatility Recent gold movements have been erratic — sweeping liquidity zones of nearly $100 per ounce in single sessions. This type of behavior reflects deep uncertainty and makes short-term directional trading highly risky. For now, the priority should be on key H2–H4 zones, with reduced exposure to scalp trades until structure stabilizes. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch (H4 Anchored) 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 SL: 3,370 TPs: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 🔻 SELL ZONE (Breakout Rejection Area) Entry: 3,380 – 3,382 SL: 3,386 TPs: 3,376 → 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,350 🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Support) Entry: 3,322 – 3,320 SL: 3,316 TPs: 3,326 → 3,330 → 3,334 → 3,340 📌 Strategy Notes: The European session open has triggered bearish candles — be cautious on BUY setups during London hours. If you’re holding long positions from earlier this week, consider scaling out around the 3,355 zone. Keep an eye on upcoming comments from Donald Trump, especially around the new trade framework. These could trigger short-term volatility spikes or broader trend shifts. 🧠 Final Thoughts: Gold is no longer driven solely by geopolitical unrest — macro narratives are back in control. With tariff tensions easing and stronger-than-expected USD recovery, traders need to remain flexible, disciplined, and reactive — not predictive. ✅ Focus on clear levels. ✅ Trade with confirmation. ✅ Avoid emotional scalps during uncertainty. 📣 Follow this page for real-time zone updates and structured market reads. Let’s finish this week strong.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
4
Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges⚠️ Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges Gold (XAU/USD) is facing a pivotal moment after a dramatic correction from $3,435 down to the 3,360s, triggered by a combination of surprising policy moves and rising macro uncertainty. 🧭 Macro Recap: Why Did Gold Drop? 🇨🇳 China unexpectedly cut interest rates by 10 basis points ahead of a key trade dialogue with the US. ➤ This supports global liquidity sentiment but simultaneously strengthens the USD in the short term. 💵 DXY surged, taking advantage of China's rate cut — adding pressure to gold. ⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in South Asia (India–Pakistan) resurfaced but failed to lift gold. ➤ This hints that the current correction is more dollar-driven than risk-off in nature. 🏛️ All eyes now shift to FOMC later today, where Fed policy will dictate gold’s next major move. Will Powell surprise markets with dovish signals, or does this China cut hint at coordinated central bank play before a wider easing cycle? 📊 Technical Outlook – Gold in Volatile Expansion Despite the macro volatility, gold continues to respect key liquidity zones and high-volume clusters on the chart. However, momentum is broad and inconsistent — requiring traders to react to confirmed breaks, not early assumptions. 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3390 → 3402 → 3416 → 3425 → 3432 → 3444 → 3468 🔻 Support Levels: 3365 → 3356 → 3332 → 3314 🎯 Trade Strategy – 7 May 2025 (FOMC Day) 🟢 BUY SCALP Entry: 3355 SL: 3350 TPs: 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3376 → 3380 🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Opportunity) Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3326 TPs: 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3358 → 3365 ⚠️ Key BUY Level: 3314 – 3312 This is a critical level for bulls — aligned with 0.5 FIBO retracement and previous demand flip zone. However, a move here could invalidate structure and signal deeper bearish pressure. Use caution. 🔴 SELL SCALP Entry: 3430 – 3432 SL: 3436 TPs: 3425 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3400 🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Risk Short) Entry: 3468 – 3470 SL: 3474 TPs: 3464 → 3460 → 3455 → 3450 → 3445 → 3440 → 3430 🧠 Final Thoughts: Gold remains range-bound but extremely reactive to macro news. Today’s FOMC meeting could be a game changer. Whether the Fed maintains its current stance or signals dovish pivot will determine the direction for the rest of the week. 🎯 In times like this, it’s not about picking tops or bottoms — it’s about trading the reaction and protecting your capital. ✅ Stick to SL. ✅ Let price confirm. ✅ Be prepared for high volatility spikes. Good luck, traders — and stay sharp.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early SurgeGOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN – Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early Surge Gold opened the week with a strong upside move during the Asian session, gaining nearly $30/oz in early trading. The bounce comes amid a weekend full of heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations of increased central bank activity later this week. 🌍 Geopolitical Backdrop: Rising concerns over Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan flare-ups. No official confirmation from governments yet, but the market is clearly on edge. Former US President Donald Trump is reportedly pushing for an earlier Fed rate cut. All eyes now turn to the FOMC meeting this week, with potential policy shifts that could stir further volatility. These developments have re-ignited safe-haven demand for gold, making this week's opening surge a logical reaction to global uncertainty. 🔍 Key Technical Zones Resistance levels: 3278 – 3288 – 3301 – 3314 Support levels: 3250 – 3246 – 3238 – 3224 – 3204 🎯 Trade Setups – 06 May 2025 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TPs: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 Gold may continue its bullish run into the European session. A clean bounce from this support range could offer a solid risk/reward entry. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302 SL: 3306 TPs: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270 If price rallies into this resistance cluster, look for signs of exhaustion for a potential intraday reversal trade. ⚠️ Weekly Outlook: The FOMC meeting later this week will be key. A dovish tone may extend gold’s rally, while hawkish surprises could trigger sharp reversals. Any new geopolitical flashpoints may also accelerate volatility — stay alert to global headlines. Avoid FOMO — trade the reaction, not the prediction. 📌 Pro Tip: Let price come to your zone. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and manage SL/TP with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3
Gold on Edge – Will NFP Trigger the Next Big Move?🚨 Gold at a Crossroads – Will NFP & White House Comments Trigger a Volatility Spike? ⚡ 🧭 Macro Overview Gold enters the US session with a mild rebound after a sharp selloff, following its historic climb to $3,500/oz. The recent drop was driven less by fundamentals and more by aggressive profit-taking, especially from retail flows in Asia, notably China. Rather than a trend reversal, this correction looks like a healthy technical reset, just ahead of two major catalysts: 1️⃣ US Non-Farm Payrolls (May edition) 2️⃣ White House remarks on tariffs and trade strategy These two factors will likely define gold’s direction heading into next week — either toward deeper support zones or a potential recovery rally into resistance. 📊 DXY & Macro Market Lens The US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off its base near 98.xx, currently testing the 100.00 level. Whether the dollar strengthens further depends largely on today’s labour data and fiscal signals from Washington. Traders should remain tactically neutral, relying on intraday timeframes like H1/H2 and respecting key price structure. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels 3,260 3,275 3,285 3,312 🔻 Key Support Levels 3,244 3,230 3,215 3,200 🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May, 2025 🔵 BUY ZONE A: Entry: 3,232 – 3,230 SL: 3,226 TP: 3,236 → 3,240 → 3,244 → 3,248 → 3,252 → 3,256 → 3,260 🔵 BUY ZONE B: Entry: 3,214 – 3,212 SL: 3,208 TP: 3,218 → 3,222 → 3,226 → 3,230 → 3,235 → 3,240 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 ⚠️ Final Notes Volatility may spike sharply during the NY session as NFP and political news collide. This is the kind of session where traders can either capitalize massively or get caught offside — stay disciplined. Avoid emotional entries — let price come to you, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL. 📣 Conclusion We’re likely in a calm-before-the-storm scenario. Gold hasn’t made its real move yet — but when it does, it’ll be swift. Prepare. Execute. Protect your capital.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading