BTCUSDT (H1) – Trading ScenariosScenario 1 – Rebound from Demand Zone
The demand area at 108,500 – 108,700 remains the strongest short-term support.
If bullish reversal patterns (Pin Bar, Bullish Engulfing) form here with confirming volume, a rebound is likely.
Trade Setup: Enter long around 108,600 – 108,700, targeting 109,800 (PoC) as the first objective, and 111,900 – 112,100 (VAH) as the second.
Stop Loss: Below 108,300.
Scenario 2 – Consolidation around PoC
The PoC area at 109,400 – 110,200 represents the equilibrium zone where price may consolidate.
In this case, short-term scalping strategies can be applied: buying near the lower bound (109,400) and selling near the upper bound (110,200).
Take Profit: Quick targets of 30–50 USD.
Stop Loss: 0.3–0.5%, depending on position sizing.
Scenario 3 – Breakout above VAH
A decisive close above the 111,900 – 112,100 (VAH) zone would confirm bullish continuation.
This breakout would likely attract momentum buyers and trigger stop orders.
Trade Setup: Place buy stops at 112,150 – 112,200, aiming for 112,800 as the first target and 113,500 (liquidity zone above) as the second.
Stop Loss: If price falls back below 111,700.
Scenario 4 – Breakdown of Demand Zone
If price closes firmly below 108,500 with high volume, it signals bearish continuation.
Such a breakdown opens the path to lower liquidity levels.
Trade Setup: Enter short via sell stops at 108,450 – 108,500.
Targets: 107,800 initially, followed by 106,500.
Stop Loss: Above 108,900.
✅ Summary
Bullish setups: Buy from 108,600 – 108,700 (Demand Zone) or on breakout above 112,100.
Bearish setups: Sell if 108,500 breaks, or look for rejection signals near 113,000.
Chartanalysis
Solana: Target Zone in FocusSOL has dropped more than 20% from last Thursday’s high. In light of this, we now believe that last week’s high—reached on Thursday—marked the top of wave i in orange, and that price is currently undergoing a wave ii corrective phase. This correction should play out as a downward, three-part move labeled - - in green, ultimately targeting our orange zone between $155.80 and $113.20. We expect the low of this wave ii to occur within that Target Zone, which should set the stage for a bullish reversal. The following wave iii in orange is projected to push SOL to new all-time highs, breaking through resistance at $295.31.
XAUUSD - MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/26/2025- Gold is still consolidating inside a triangle pattern with two trendlines: H1 downtrend (dynamic resistance) and H1 uptrend (dynamic support).
- Current price is 3746, right at the POC + Reject Zone, showing a balance between supply and demand.
Key technical levels:
VaH Zone: 3751–3753
POC Zone: 3740
VaL Zone: 3731
Deep Demand Zone: 3717–3720
🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BUY AT SUPPORT (PREFERRED WITH UPTREND HOLDING)
Entry conditions:
Price holds above H1 uptrend line.
Rejection candles (Pinbar, Engulfing) appear at 3731–3740 (POC + VaL zone).
Rationale:
Confluence of POC + VaL → strong liquidity.
H1 structure still forming Higher Lows → favoring trend-following buys.
🎯 Entry: 3731–3740
🛑 SL: Below 3720
✅ TP1: 3751 (VaH Zone)
✅ TP2: 3775 (Old High)
🔴 SCENARIO 2 – SHORT-TERM SELL FROM RESISTANCE
Entry conditions:
Price retests 3751–3755 (VaH Zone) but fails to break out.
Strong rejection signal forms.
Rationale:
VaH zone + dynamic resistance confluence.
If buying momentum weakens, this level could trap breakout buyers.
🎯 Entry: 3751–3755
🛑 SL: Above 3762
✅ TP1: 3740 (POC)
✅ TP2: 3731 (VaL Zone)
⚠️ SCENARIO 3 – WAIT FOR BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION
BUY breakout: If price clears 3775 with strong volume → new bullish leg opens, target 3790–3800.
SELL breakdown: If price breaks 3731 → potential retest of Demand Zone 3717 → 3700.
📌 RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
Main priority: BUY at support 3731–3740 in line with the uptrend.
Only consider short-term SELL if clear rejection appears at 3751–3755.
If market stays in tight range, stay out and wait for confirmation.
Crude Oil (H1) – Key Supply & Demand Scenarios I SEP/26/2025📌 Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (High Probability)
Condition: Price holds above demand 64.7 – 64.8.
Entry signal: H1 bullish candle closes above 65.4 with volume → Buy.
TP: 66.0 – 66.2
SL: below 64.6
📌 Scenario 2: Pullback then Bounce
Condition: Price gets rejected at 65.3 – 65.4, pulls back to retest 64.7 – 64.8.
Entry signal: Pinbar / Bullish engulfing candle at demand zone.
TP: 65.4 → 66.0
SL: below 64.5
📌 Scenario 3: Bearish Correction
Condition: Price breaks below demand 64.7 – 64.8.
Entry signal: Retest of broken zone with bearish rejection → Sell.
TP: 63.8 – 64.0
SL: above 65.0
📌 Scenario 4: Deeper Reversal
Condition: Price breaks below 63.8 – 64.0.
Entry signal: Retest supply flip + bearish confirmation candle.
TP: 63.0 – 63.1
SL: above 64.2
S&P 500: Rally Stalls, but Further Upside LikelyMidweek, the S&P 500 struggled to find the momentum needed to extend its climb within the magenta wave (3). However, our primary outlook still calls for this wave to reach a somewhat higher high. Afterward, wave (4) of the same color is expected to take over, guiding the index into the magenta Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In wave (5), another upward phase is anticipated, which should ultimately complete the broader uptrend of the blue wave (III) at an even higher price level.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Projection – Bullish Setup AheadBitcoin has recently completed a corrective ABC pattern, with the C leg finding strong support in the highlighted buy zone. At Level (A), a small bullish divergence appeared, signaling that the correction was nearing its end and a new impulsive cycle was likely to begin.
Wave Structure
Wave 1 has already formed, showing the first sign of strength after the correction.
Wave 2 is currently unfolding, retesting the buy zone and offering a strong accumulation opportunity.
The next major move is expected to be Wave 3, which is projected to extend toward 128300.
After a corrective pullback in Wave 4, the final push of Wave 5 could carry Bitcoin toward 134200.
Key Levels
Buy zone: 110000 – 112000
Wave 3 target: 128300
Wave 5 target: 134200
Summary
The bullish divergence, combined with the completed ABC correction and the developing impulsive wave structure, suggests that Bitcoin is preparing for a strong continuation to the upside. Holding above the buy zone keeps this bullish outlook intact, with significant upside potential in the coming weeks.
SET UP TRADE I SEP/25/2025🕯 SELL GOLD: 3765 – 3768
⚠️ SL: 3770
✔️ TP: 3761→ 3758→ 3755
👉 In trading, not entering a trade is also a decision. We only act when the market provides clear confirmation.
⏳ Patience not only protects you from liquidity sweeps, but also optimizes your risk-to-reward ratio (R:R).
EUR/USD Outlook: Key Buy & Sell Levels on H1 I SEP/25/2025🔎 Market Context
After testing the Supply zone 1.1820–1.1825, EUR/USD dropped sharply and has been forming a Lower High – Lower Low structure on H1 → confirming short-term bearish pressure.
Currently, price is testing the Demand zone 1.1730–1.1740, right at the downtrend line. This is a key decision zone: either a rebound or a breakdown for further decline.
Volume Profile highlights:
POC zone: 1.1800 → strong resistance.
VAH zone: 1.1812 → heavy supply area.
Demand zone: 1.1730–1.1740 → important support.
🟢 Scenario 1 – BUY at Demand zone 1.1730–1.1740
If reversal signals appear on M15–H1 (Pin Bar / Engulfing) at Demand → consider BUY.
This is a key support zone, high chance of a technical rebound.
🎯 Entry: 1.1730 – 1.1740
🛑 SL: below 1.1715
✅ TP1: 1.1780
✅ TP2: 1.1800 – 1.1812
🟡 Scenario 2 – BUY on deeper correction at 1.1715–1.1705
If the first Demand zone breaks, wait for price to drop into 1.1715–1.1705 support.
Look for absorption signs (slowing downside, bullish engulfing/fakey) to enter long.
🎯 Entry: 1.1715 – 1.1705
🛑 SL: below 1.1690
✅ TP1: 1.1755
✅ TP2: 1.1800+
🔴 Scenario 3 – Short-term SELL at POC/VAH zone 1.1800–1.1812
If price rebounds from Demand and climbs into POC/VAH zone but shows clear rejection (H1 Pin Bar / Bearish Engulfing) → SELL short-term.
Strong supply zone with high probability of buyer traps.
🎯 Entry: 1.1800 – 1.1812
🛑 SL: above 1.1825
✅ TP1: 1.1780
✅ TP2: 1.1740
⚡ Scenario 4 – BUY breakout above 1.1825 (Supply Zone)
If H1 closes decisively above 1.1825 with strong volume, short-term bearish structure is invalidated.
Potential new bullish wave starts.
🎯 Entry: 1.1825+ after successful retest
🛑 SL: below 1.1808
✅ TP1: 1.1850
✅ TP2: 1.1875 – 1.1885
📌 Strategy Summary
BUY priority: at Demand 1.1730–1.1740 or deeper support 1.1715–1.1705.
SELL short-term: at POC/VAH 1.1800–1.1812 if rejection appears.
BUY breakout: if price holds above 1.1825.
Manage risk strictly, avoid FOMO as liquidity sweeps may occur before direction is confirmed.
MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/25/2025SHOULD BE BUY OR SELL TODAY ?
- After forming a top around 3786–3790 (H1 VaH zone), gold has pulled back and is now consolidating in the 3735–3740 range.
- The main structure still maintains Higher Lows – Higher Highs on H1 and H4, confirming the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
- However, the current price is sitting right at the H4 Trendline + Liquidity zone 3737–3739, a sensitive area: either a bounce higher or a breakdown for a deeper test.
🟢 Scenario 1 – BUY at 3737–3739 (Liquidity zone + H4 Trendline)
Entry Conditions:
Reversal candles (Pin Bar/Engulfing) appear on M15–H1.
Price bounces immediately upon testing H4 trendline + liquidity zone.
Reason:
Key confluence zone: uptrendline + liquidity.
Market still in Higher Low – Higher High structure → bias remains bullish.
🎯 Entry: 3737–3739
🛑 SL: below 3724
✅ TP1: 3752
✅ TP2: 3778–3786
🟡 Scenario 2 – BUY on deeper correction at 3724–3717 (Key H1+H4 Support)
Entry Conditions:
Price hits 3724–3717 with absorption signals (declining volume on pullback).
Bullish confirmation candles (Engulfing/Fakey).
Reason:
Major support zone on both H1 and H4.
Pullback here could form another Higher Low for trend continuation.
🎯 Entry: 3724–3717
🛑 SL: below 3705
✅ TP1: 3752
✅ TP2: 3780+
🔴 Scenario 3 – Short-term SELL at 3780–3786 (VaH zone + Supply zone)
Entry Conditions:
Clear rejection (Pin Bar / Bearish Engulfing) on H1.
Weak breakout volume, no strength to push higher.
Rationale:
Strong resistance zone (VaH + old supply) with multiple reactions.
Suitable for quick SELL if buyer trap signs appear.
🎯 Entry: 3780–3786
🛑 SL: above 3795
✅ TP1: 3760
✅ TP2: 3740
⚡️ Scenario 4 – BUY breakout if price clears 3786
Entry Conditions:
Strong H1 close above 3786 with solid volume.
Successful retest of 3786, holding above.
Reason:
Breakout of VaH confirms a new bullish wave.
Opens the door toward 3800+.
🎯 Entry: 3786+ after retest
🛑 SL: below 3772
✅ TP1: 3804
✅ TP2: 3815–3820
📌 Strategy Summary
Priority: BUY at supports (3737–3739 or 3724–3717) if confirmation signals appear.
SELL: Only consider if strong rejection shows up at 3780–3786 resistance.
Breakout Plan: If price holds above 3786 → switch bias to BUY breakout.
Manage risk strictly, avoid FOMO as liquidity sweeps may occur before direction is chosen.
CHART SPEAKS- PSU BANKS#NiftyBank - PSU Banks have been rallying over a week. News came in Today. Was someone already aware of this?
The NEWS
UPDATE ON PSU BANKS: GOVT CONSIDERING TO RAISE FOREIGN INVESTMENT LIMITS IN PSU BANKS FROM THE CURRENT 20% -ET NOW
That's why I am Strong believer of Price Action. #Chartspeaks #chartsabkuchboltahai
Tesla: Upward Momentum PersistsTesla’s upward momentum has persisted, with the beige wave x still having some room to run. However, we expect the corrective top to form well below resistance at $532.92, which should then trigger the final selling phase within the broader correction. Ultimately, wave y is projected to approach our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, completing the large blue wave (II) in that range. Afterward, we anticipate a new wave (III) uptrend. That said, there remains a 40% probability that price may not reach the blue zone, as wave alt.(II) could have already completed at $215.01. In this scenario, TSLA would already be developing a magenta upward impulse and could break above the $532.92 level directly and sustainably.
Disney: Wave [iv] Still UnfoldingAfter an extended period of sideways trading, Walt Disney has come under renewed pressure, indicating that the low for magenta wave has likely not yet been reached. To better contextualize the recent price action, we have incorporated a blue WXY three-part corrective pattern within this wave, which should continue down to the support level at $108.78. Afterward, the magenta impulse wave is expected to complete turquoise wave 1 above resistance at $124.90. We then anticipate a wave 2 correction, which should bottom out within our long Target Zone between $97.18 and $85.12. On the other hand, our alternative scenario suggests that turquoise wave alt.1 may already be finished. A break below the $108.78 level would confirm this outlook and immediately shift focus to the Target Zone (probability: 40%).
US100 Key Levels & Trend OutlookUS100 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Nasdaq is consolidating just above the 24,516 – 24,488 support zone, which now acts as the key base for continuation.
Key levels:
24,516 – 24,488 → critical short-term support. Holding above confirms continuation of the uptrend.
24,603+ → current resistance. A clean breakout and hold above this level would extend bullish momentum and push toward new highs.
Downside risk: If price breaks back below 24,488, the next support sits around 24,158. A deeper breakdown from there could open a correction toward 23,404.
Cycle support: 19,407 is the major cycle uptrend level. Nasdaq must stay above this to keep the long-term bullish structure intact.
📌 Summary
Above 24,516 – 24,488 → bullish continuation in play.
Break & hold above 24,603 → signals further upside.
Below 24,488 → correction risk, first support at 24,158, then 23,404.
19,407 → cycle-level support for the long-term trend.
XAU/USD UpdateXAU/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Gold is showing strength after reclaiming the 3,664 – 3,657 zone, turning it into a support.
Key levels:
3,664 – 3,657 → support zone. Holding above this confirms continuation of the uptrend.
3,684 → current resistance being tested. A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for a move toward higher targets (3,720+).
As long as price stays above the support, Gold remains bullish in structure.
Risk scenario: If price falls back below 3,657, downside pressure may return, with 3,463 as the next major support.
Cycle support: 3,267 is a critical long-term level. Gold must hold this area to maintain the broader green cycle trend.
📌 Summary
Above 3,664 – 3,657 → bullish continuation confirmed.
Break above 3,684 → opens further upside targets.
Below 3,657 → downside risk increases, watch 3,463 as key support.
3,267 → major cycle support for long-term trend.
Texas Instruments: Rebound Underway, But Downside Still in PlayTexas Instruments initially continued its decline but has recently shown early signs of a rebound. Nonetheless, we still see greater downside potential in magenta wave (3), and expect the broader bearish magenta impulse to ultimately extend into the beige zone between $130.04 and $107.75. Should a new (corrective) high occur in green wave alt. above $221.79, it could temporarily postpone the anticipated sell-off. However, even in this 30% likely scenario, price would likely reverse no later than at the higher resistance level at $240.67.
Crude Oil Trading Levels – Plan Your Move!CRUDE OIL – Daily Timeframe Update
Crude Oil is trading within a well-defined parallel channel on the daily chart.
The price is currently taking support near the 5460–5490 zone and moving within an ascending channel.
Support Zone: 5460 – 5490
Resistance Zone: 5700 – 5720
If these levels sustain, we may see higher prices ahead in Crude Oil.
Thank you!!
Momentum Rebuilds: Can M&M Hit Recent Highs...?On 8th September, M&M broke the previous day’s high and rallied nearly 4%. However, it soon entered a gradual downtrend on the hourly timeframe, holding the ₹3575 level (the high of 5th September, now acting as support).
After a day of consolidation, the stock broke below ₹3575 and closed beneath it. In the following session, it faced resistance at the same level but later broke above it again, suggesting a false breakout.
Currently, the stock is retesting this zone. The Volume Profile indicator shows a significant high-volume cluster around ₹3600, adding importance to this level.
📊 Trade Setup
* Entry: ₹3585
* Target: ₹3700 (recent swing high)
* Stoploss: ₹3526
⚠️ Note
Due to uncertainty around the US-India trade deal and developments in the auto sector, volatility may increase. Trade cautiously and manage risk effectively.
Gold's Movement in the Current Market: A Technical PerspectiveGold has been experiencing some fluctuations recently. Currently, the price hovers around 3,653 USD/ounce, with slight movements observed. Based on recent patterns, gold appears to be trapped in a downward channel, which could signal further downward pressure unless key support levels hold.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: Prices have been testing the 3,660 USD level and could face challenges breaking through this area.
Support Zone: The price is now testing a critical support region near 3,640 USD. A breakdown below this could signal further declines.
Short-Term Outlook:
If the support at 3,640 USD breaks, the price of gold could fall towards 3,630 USD, possibly reaching the next lower level of 3,600 USD. However, as always, traders should keep an eye on market sentiment, as external factors like economic data and geopolitical events can shift the trend quickly.
What do you think about the current direction of gold prices? Let us know your thoughts!






















