Accumulation Before Expansion or Breakdown Into Liquidity?Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure.
Bitcoin previously delivered a strong bullish impulsive move, establishing clear upside momentum and pushing price into premium territory. Following the peak, the market transitioned into a corrective phase, marked by controlled selling pressure and a gradual loss of bullish momentum rather than panic distribution.
The recent decline brought price back toward a key structural support, where selling pressure has noticeably slowed. Current price action is showing compression and stabilization, suggesting the market is deciding between continuation of the broader bullish trend or a deeper corrective leg.
Major Support / Demand Zone:
The 90,700–91,000 area is a strong support zone, where price has repeatedly reacted and volume has increased. This zone also aligns with previous consolidation and acts as a structural pivot for the broader trend.
Liquidity Range Below:
Below current price sits a liquidity-rich zone near 86,900, corresponding to the prior accumulation range. A breakdown into this area would indicate acceptance of lower prices and a shift toward a bearish continuation phase.
Overhead Resistance Levels:
If price holds support, upside targets are layered at:
- 92,200 – first structure resistance
- 93,200 – prior reaction high
- 94,400–94,800 – major liquidity and range high
These levels define the bullish roadmap if support holds.
Currently, BTC is trading directly on top of a strong support level, with price holding above the EMA and failing to extend lower despite prior sell pressure. This behavior often reflects absorption by buyers, rather than aggressive sell-side continuation.
The market is compressing, not accelerating typically a precursor to expansion.
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 90,700–91,000 support zone, the broader bullish structure remains valid. In this case, current price action can be treated as accumulation after correction, with potential for a push toward 92,200, followed by continuation into the 93,200 and 94,400+ resistance zones.
However, a decisive hourly close below support, followed by acceptance, would invalidate the bullish continuation thesis. That scenario would likely send price into the previous accumulation area near 86,900, confirming a deeper corrective or trend transition phase.
For now, support is holding but it must be respected, not anticipated.
Chart Patterns
ETHUSD – RANGE TO BREAKOUT STRUCTURE | BUYERS IN CONTROLPrice spent significant time in a well-defined range trade, building liquidity above a strong demand zone area. After multiple consolidations, the market transitioned into UTA (Upthrust Action) and successfully broke out of the range, confirming bullish intent. The former buyer zone acted as a base, while the breakout level is now turning into a seller zone flip, supporting continuation. As long as price holds above the breakout structure, the path remains open toward the strong supply zone, which stands as the next upside target.
EURUSD: Downside Pressure Persists as Structure UnfoldsEURUSD continues to trade with clear downside pressure, maintaining bearish momentum after a strong sell-off. Price action suggests the market is still working through a broader corrective phase, with sellers remaining in control for now. This type of movement often reflects positioning adjustments rather than a completed move, keeping focus on how price develops as the structure matures.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
XAUUSD – Structure Holding at the Blue BoxHi fellow traders,
On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential continuation scenario. After a sharp corrective move, price is reacting from the blue box and holding above the key structural level, suggesting the correction may be complete and continuation to the upside remains possible.
I am entering at the current price, with a Stop Loss at 4270.00. My Take Profit is set at 4574.60, targeting continuation within the larger impulsive structure.
If price breaks below the stop level, this trade is no longer valid.
Structure first. Noise second.
Good luck and trade safe!
BTC GOLD ratio: Hidden Predictor hints of BIG SHIFT favors BTC!
BTC GOLD ratio: Hidden Predictor hints of BIG SHIFT favors BTC!
BTC GOLD ratio has always been the less accessed data for the general public because of its indirectness nature of the individual assets as far as price action goes.
Most will opt to disect the main asset data/chart to see the face value of the moving price forgetting that another hidden confluence can bring forth an invaluable advantage.
But with its low key-ness comes a powerful predictor of the market direction. A data that conveys a forthcoming significant rebalance / shift on this two assets.
Based on our long term metrics, BTC GOLD ratio has been respecting its trend curvature since inception from 2013 -- proving that psychological key levels are respected regardless how expansive the data acquired on these timeframes.
Recent 2-year data that started from March 2023 to December 2024 conveyed BTC taking over GOLD in terms percentile momentum growth. From this time space, BTC has parabolically surged from 25k to 100k levels - an impressive X4 price growth. This type of golden milestone explicitly highlights the importance of this unpopular ratio in predicting whats about to transpire in the market in terms of sentiment.
Ratio cycles between contraction and expansion are usually within 1300-1400 day period. So an apparent structural change on this ratio is very special and its foretelling. When this ratio shifts big time it will do what it is bound to DO, no questions asked -- proceed on the intended directional target.
Just the same, using the same ratio from the last few seasons we have seen the shift favoring GOLD, reflecting the massive price expansion of this favored flight-to-safety asset. Rising generously to 4500 from 1800 levels. Meanwhile, BTC took a hefty trim, correcting back to 61.8 FIB levels from 126k back to 80k -- respecting the curve fit taps of the ratio. Healthy cycles that needed to materialized.
Fresh data from the past few weeks is hinting another BIG FLIP in the market, a massive shift in play. Ratio pre-hints of an impending rebalance of power, this time favoring BTC.
The mother coin is currently in prep work to take over the spotlight soon in terms of momentum growth in the next 1000 days.
The last BULL shift for BTC on this ratio was 1000 days ago, and based on recent data, another big one is about to transpire again -- a rare signal that can't missed.
Prepare for another season of NORTH journey for BTC in the next 1000 days, and it starts this month, January 2026. When the BIG SHIFT happens, get SEEDED, relax and enjoy the view -- you will be rewarded tremendously.
Spotted BTC price at 87k.
Long term target 200k or beyond (1000 days).
TAYOR. Trade mindfully.
Live Life more.
$APP: A Pure-Play AdTech Powerhouse Poised for Continued GrowthAppLovin Corporation (APP): A Pure-Play AdTech Powerhouse Poised for Continued Growth
In the dynamic landscape of digital advertising, AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ: APP) has executed a masterful strategic pivot, transforming itself from a hybrid mobile gaming and advertising entity into a focused, high-growth adtech leader. The company’s decisive move to divest its mobile gaming studio business to Tripledot Studios for $400 million in cash and a 20% equity stake was a watershed moment. This transaction not only provided a significant capital infusion but, more importantly, streamlined AppLovin into a pure-play adtech stock, eliminating the lower-growth gaming studio segment and allowing investors to clearly value its core, high-margin software platform.
The AI-Enabled Engine Driving Exceptional Performance
The catalyst behind AppLovin’s staggering financial performance is its proprietary Axon AI advertising technology. This AI-powered engine optimizes the entire campaign lifecycle—from targeting and bidding to creative analysis and performance prediction—delivering superior returns on ad spend for marketers. The results have been nothing short of spectacular. Through the first three quarters of the last fiscal year, the company reported a 72% surge in revenue to $3.82 billion, while GAAP net income skyrocketed 128% to $2.23 billion. This translates to a formidable profit margin of nearly 60%, a clear indicator of a powerful competitive moat and scalable business model.
AppLovin’s success is no longer tethered solely to mobile gaming. The platform has successfully diversified into high-potential verticals such as e-commerce and live services, demonstrating robust growth in both gaming and non-gaming sectors. This expansion significantly broadens its total addressable market (TAM) and reduces cyclical risk. Furthermore, aggressive international growth, particularly in Asia, and the development of new products like more impactful prospecting tools and Gen AI creative solutions, provide multiple levers for sustained expansion.
Wall Street's Bullish Consensus and Price Targets
The company’s execution has garnered strong and increasing confidence from analysts. Notably, BTIG analyst Clark Lampen reiterated a Buy rating on December 17, raising his price target from $705 to $771, implying a potential upside of approximately 22%. His optimism is rooted in expectations of robust user acquisition trends within the gaming and gambling end-markets for 2026.
Echoing this sentiment, Benchmark & Co. analyst Mike Hickey reaffirmed his Buy rating on December 11, elevating his target from $700 to $775. Hickey highlights AppLovin as a “Best Idea,” citing its potent mix of high profitability, sustainable margins, top-line growth, and TAM expansion. He points to fundamental strengths stemming from the rise of social commerce, effective prospecting campaigns, and savvy management of AI infrastructure spending.
Valuation and Technical Perspective: Balancing Growth with Prudence
AppLovin’s extraordinary growth commands a premium valuation, with the stock trading at a forward P/E ratio around 75. While this is undeniably rich, many argue it is justified by the company’s hyper-growth trajectory, exceptional margins, and the vast runway of the digital ad market. For investors, the key will be the company's ability to continue exceeding growth expectations to justify and potentially expand this multiple.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the stock’s powerful uptrend is well-established. For those monitoring potential entry points during broader market pullbacks, Fibonacci retracement levels from its major rally offer defined zones of historical support:
Primary Support ($571.56): This level aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. A pullback to this zone would represent a shallow, healthy consolidation within the prevailing bull trend and likely attract strong institutional buying interest.
Secondary Support ($464.08): A deeper retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci level would constitute a more significant correction. This zone would represent a high-conviction area for long-term investors to build positions, offering a more attractive risk/reward profile should the core growth narrative remain intact.
On the upside, the convergence of analyst outlooks and the company’s momentum suggests a clear bullish price target near $800. Achieving this level would require continued execution on diversification, international expansion, and the relentless optimization of its Axon AI platform.
Conclusion: A High-Octane Growth Story with Clear Catalysts
AppLovin has successfully shed its former skin to emerge as a dominant, AI-driven force in the global advertising technology sector. Its strategic focus, best-in-class margins, and successful foray into new verticals create a compelling growth narrative. While the stock’s premium valuation warrants attention and suggests it may exhibit higher volatility, the combination of secular tailwinds in digital advertising, proven AI superiority, and unwavering Wall Street confidence positions AppLovin for potentially another year of strong performance in 2026. Investors are effectively betting on a company that has not only harnessed the AI revolution but is actively monetizing it at an extraordinary scale.
Trade idea on xauusd Here is my projection for xauusd for the new week.
Looking at my chart tells you the story
I see price reaching around the 4600 zone this week, especially if price maintains above 4500
The invalidation of this trade idea are around these zones: 4,494.786 - 4,484.929
What's your take? I would love to hear your POV for xauusd this week in the comments below
CADCHF Forming a Solid Base | Slow Pair, Strong Targets 🧱📈 CADCHF Forming a Solid Base | Slow Pair, Strong Targets 🎯
Overview:
CADCHF is showing gradual bullish strength. This pair typically moves slowly, but the current price action indicates a well-established base, often seen before sustained upside moves.
Buy Zone (Focus Area):
🟢 0.5750
This level acts as a strong base where buyers are accumulating with patience.
Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 0.5770 – Initial upside reaction
🎯 Target 2: 0.5790 – Continuation target
🎯 Target 3: 0.5800 – Psychological resistance
🎯 Target 4: 0.5820 – Extended upside target
🚀 Long-Term Target: 0.5850 – Broader bullish objective
Why This Setup Works:
✔ Strong base formation at support
✔ Bullish structure building slowly but cleanly
✔ Slow-moving pair reduces noise and false breakouts
Trade Management Insight:
This setup favors patient position management. Booking partial profits at each target helps secure gains while holding for long-term potential.
Execution Guidance:
Allow price time to develop from the base. Avoid overtrading—this pair rewards discipline and patience.
Final Note:
As long as the base remains intact, the probability favors a steady move toward higher targets.
POLUSDT Relief Bounce vs Bearish ContinuationPOLUSDT remains in a well-defined falling channel, with overall structure still favoring downside continuation. Price is currently staging a relief rally, pushing into a crucial supply zone that will act as a major decision area. A clear rejection from this zone would align with the prevailing bearish structure and favor continuation toward the highlighted downside targets. Conversely, a successful break and acceptance above supply could invalidate the bearish channel and trigger a stronger upside rally.
Reaction at this level will be key in determining the next directional move.
"Bear Flag" - The Lazy Bitcoin Pattern Every Dog KnowsIt always surprises me how lazy technical analysis has become. What has TA turned into? Google image search "bearish pattern" → draw two parallel lines → post for engagement.
Let's go candle by candle since nobody else will:
Within this "bearish pennant" - which depending on how you draw your trendlines is ALSO clearly a rising wedge - there are about 80 different patterns unfolding. But sure, let's talk about the one pattern your dog could identify.
Here's what kills me: Did anyone mention the micro head and shoulders forming inside this structure? No? Just lazy bear flag posts? Nobody's talking about the patterns within the pattern.
THE STRUCTURE:
Cup & Handle, inverses etc forming inside a Rising Wedge
Inside a Rounded Triple Bottom
Forming the right shoulder of a macro Inverse Head & Shoulders
Micro H&S within the current consolidation
Neckline sits at 97.5K
Broken uptrend now acting as a MAGNET - price will hug this line on the way back up
THE LEVELS (since nobody else gave you any):
Invalidation: 94,266 - Break this and the micro H&S fails
Target 1: 95K - Within 7 days
Target 2: 105K - Within 30 days if structure holds
If bearish plays out: 76,556 zone - If that micro H&S breaks down, there's room for one more push lower
THE REALITY:
In this market you have to adapt like water. If 94,266 breaks and the micro H&S plays out bearish, there's room for a final push down. I'm not married to a direction - I'm married to levels and structure. The market will tell you what it wants to do.
But here's what I know: if you're posting bear flags, you better be short. Post your positions or don't post at all. It's complete nonsense if you can't stand on what you post.
I'm long here.
That's the difference. I'm telling you my position, my invalidation, and my targets. Where's yours?
To the bear flag crowd:
Go take your shorts. Post your entries. Show me your stop loss. Explain the logic behind your actual bearish formation beyond "it looks like the picture I googled."
Give me specific invalidation levels. Tell me where you're wrong. Otherwise you're just posting for likes while real traders are positioning.
95K in 7 days. 105K in 30. I'm long.
Your move.
DraftKings Super Bowl ReboundThe Super Bowl is typically the largest customer acquisition event of the year for sportsbooks, and DraftKings is currently positioning itself to capture massive volume for Super Bowl LX
Customer Acquisition Spike: DraftKings is currently running aggressive "Bet $5, Get $300" promos to lock in new users ahead of the playoffs. This surge in downloads and active users often translates into bullish sentiment in the weeks leading up to the big game.
Handle Growth: Management recently reported that sportsbook wagering was up 17% year-over-year as of late 2025, providing a strong baseline of momentum heading into the peak betting season of Q1 2026.
Revenue Projection: For the current quarter, analysts are projecting massive revenue of $1.94 billion, a 38.95% increase from the previous year, driven largely by the heavy NFL postseason and Super Bowl slate.
2. The New 2026 Catalyst: "DraftKings Predictions"
A unique factor for this year's "Super Bowl madness" is the launch of DraftKings Predictions.
This new platform allows DraftKings to enter states that do not yet have legal online sports betting, significantly expanding their addressable market for the Super Bowl.
Analysts expect this "event contract" model to have higher margins and lower promotional costs than traditional betting, which could be the "X-factor" that drives a breakout.
3. Technical Analysis ($35.17 as of Jan 9)
Your TradingView chart likely shows NASDAQ:DKNG testing a key structural pivot:
Resistance: The stock is currently fighting the $36.00 level. A high-volume break above this would be a "Strong Buy" signal, potentially targeting the $50.00 range seen in early 2025.
Broadening Structure: As of January 9, 2026, the stock is trading in a horizontal trend channel. The "Super Bowl run" usually provides the volume needed to break out of such a range.
BTC following 2022 path?Hello Traders.
Here is an idea based on what BTC did in 2022. Before heading lower it went up and tagged the Daily 200MA. So based on Fib levels and where I expect BTC to tag the Daily 200 MA I show the approx timeline and price. We also have a Solar eclipse and Mercury Retrograde in Feb which ofter aligns with changes in directions as the possible timeframe if we are to continue down another leg like 2022. See what happens.
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 58.78
Target Level: 57.00
Stop Loss: 59.96
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD: Descending After Fake Breakout - Bears in ControlHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD initially spent a prolonged period trading inside a well-defined range, where price respected clear support and resistance boundaries. This range reflected market indecision, with neither buyers nor sellers able to gain sustained control. Eventually, price broke out to the upside, confirming bullish intent and triggering a strong impulsive rally.
Currently, after the rejection, price broke back below short-term structure and started forming a descending triangular structure, defined by a clearly respected descending resistance line. Each bullish attempt toward this trendline has been rejected, signaling that sellers remain in control. At the same time, price is gradually rotating lower toward the 4,350 Support Zone, which previously acted as a key demand and breakout area.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,490 Resistance Zone and continues to respect the descending resistance line, the bearish bias remains valid. Rejections from this trendline favor further downside continuation toward the 4,350 Support Zone, which is the first major downside target. If price breaks and accepts below the 4,350 Support Zone, this would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper corrective move toward lower support levels.
However, if buyers manage to reclaim the descending resistance line and achieve a clean breakout and acceptance above the 4,500 resistance area, the short bias would be invalidated and the market could transition back into bullish continuation. For now, structure favors sellers, momentum is weakening near resistance, and price remains capped below key supply.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD JAN WEEK 3 GOLD (XAUUSD) remains in a strong bullish trend with buyers firmly in control.
Momentum continues to build above key support levels, and as long as price holds structure, the next major upside target sits around 4570.
Dips are being bought aggressively — trend favors further continuation 📈
BITCOIN update Consolidation before bearish continuationBitcoin still make aconsolidation at 98K - 80K range.
At weekly TFs, we could see that it make a base before make a bearish continuation. Bitcoin retracement could make a continuation to retest 74K support. And if 74K support breaks, we could see next support at 67 - 60K level.
Have a great week ahead !
$SOL~ A 10 month prediction still running!
Marked by the Red arrow, we sees the date when this prediction was made. Get the full Solana road map with detailed breakdowns an probable direction on a different platform. Want to find out why this prediction still stands 10 months later? Want in-depth analysis on Bitcoin, Etherium, UkOil, UsOil, Nvidia, Tesla, Google, Microsoft and so many more? We take deep dives on all this and more elsewhere. Market structure is key and Elliott Wave is a tool that should not be overlooked. Here is another example on Tesla.
Months later:






















