GBPJPYWelcome to my channel.
This analysis is presented strictly for educational and informational purposes, focusing on price delivery, market structure, and liquidity behaviour as observed on the higher timeframe. No financial advice, trade recommendations, or performance claims are being made.
🔍 Market Structure Context
Price has recently delivered a clear bullish displacement, breaking prior internal structure with strong momentum. This impulsive move signals institutional participation, not retail noise. Such expansion phases typically occur after liquidity has been efficiently collected below recent lows.
Following the expansion, price is now operating in premium territory, suggesting that upside continuation or a corrective retracement is dependent on how price reacts around key institutional levels.
🧠 Demand & Imbalance Consideration
The highlighted demand zone represents the origin of the displacement — an area where buy-side imbalance previously entered the market with authority. From an institutional perspective, this zone is not a “buy signal,” but rather a reference point where price may rebalance if efficiency is sought.
Markets do not move in straight lines. If price revisits this zone, the reaction (or lack thereof) will provide critical information about order flow strength and continuation probability.
⚖️ Risk & Expectation Management
This chart does not predict the future. It outlines probabilities, not certainties.
Price may:
Continue expanding higher if demand remains unmitigated
Retrace into discounted levels to rebalance inefficiencies
Consolidate while institutions redistribute positions
Every scenario remains valid until price invalidates it.
If you value objective analysis, rule-based frameworks, and professional market commentary, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price do the talking
Chart Patterns
YTD 2025 Market Performance Overview by ProjectSyndicate
🟡 1. YTD 2025 Market Performance Summary
Below is a snapshot of major asset class returns through 2025 YTD:
📊 Performance Infographic – YTD Returns (2025)
• Precious Metals
◦ 🥈 Silver: +150%
◦ 🥇 Platinum: +147%
◦ 🪙 Palladium: +92%
◦ 🟡 Gold: +64%
• Equity Markets
◦ 📈 Nikkei: +27%
◦ 📈 DAX: +22%
◦ 📈 QQQ: +22%
• Cryptocurrencies (Risk Assets)
◦ 🪙 Bitcoin (BTC): –4%
◦ 🪙 Ethereum (ETH): –10%
Insight: Classic safe havens precious metals vastly outperformed equities and digital assets through 2025, reflecting both macro uncertainty and the ongoing demand for real assets.
🌟 2. Key Investment Themes for 2025
🔶 A. Precious Metals Rally
Performance Drivers:
• Elevated inflation expectations and rate cut prospects pushed investors into hard assets.
• Silver’s industrial demand (EVs, solar, electrification) amplified its gain vs. gold.
• Platinum & palladium benefited from supply constraints and vehicle emissions tech demand.
• Safe-haven demand lifted gold to multi-decade highs.
🤖 B. AI Technology Sector
While we don’t have precise index returns in this report for AI technology stocks, broad AI adoption drove significant equity performance — especially among semiconductor and AI platform leaders:
• NVDA Nvidia — continued leadership in AI compute.
• AMD — robust gains from data-center and AI client demand.
🧬 C. Biotechnology & Innovation
Biotech remains a structural growth sector due to:
• Aging demographics and healthcare demand.
• New drug modalities and AI-assisted discovery.
• Continued regulatory approvals of new therapeutic classes.
Although biotech performance varies by sub-sector, its role in diversified growth portfolios remains strong.
⚠️ D. Crypto Markets — Flat to Red
• BTC and ETH posted slight declines YTD, contrasting sharply with metals and equities.
• Cryptocurrencies did not act as “digital gold” in 2025 — failing to preserve value relative to hard assets.
Implication: Risk on/off dynamics favored traditional safe havens over digital assets this year.
📅 3. 2026 Gold Price Forecasts — Institutional Consensus
Gold closed 2025 at record highs, and analysts project continued strength in 2026, with a wide range of forecast scenarios:
📈 Gold Price Forecasts for 2026
Forecast Source 2026 Target Notes
J.P. Morgan Global Research ~$5,055/oz (Q4) Strong demand & diversification drivers.
JP Morgan Private Bank / Argonaut ~$5,200–$5,300/oz Elevated institutional demand scenarios.
Goldman Sachs ~$4,900/oz Supported by central bank demand and rate cuts.
Bank of America ~$5,000/oz Broad institutional view.
UBS ~$4,500 (mid-year) Moderately bullish.
World Gold Council (Bear Scenario) ~$3,360–$3,990/oz Bearish if reflation reduces safe-haven demand.
Macro Consensus / Technical Models ~$4,000–$5,300/oz Consensus range based on surveys and models.
Longer-Term & High Estimates $6,000+ More speculative long forecast.
🧠 4. Strategy & Portfolio Implications
📌 Safe Haven Allocation
Given the robust 2025 performance and continued demand drivers, consider maintaining allocations to:
• Physical gold & ETFs
• Silver & industrial metals exposure
• Mining equities and royalty companies
📌 Growth & Innovation Exposure
Balance metals and defensive positioning with growth via:
• AI & semiconductors
• Biotechnology themes
• Select equities in cyclical markets
📌 Crypto Positioning
Given flat/red performance in 2025:
• Reassess crypto allocations relative to risk tolerance.
• Focus on long-term structural adoption catalysts if retaining exposure.
🏁 5. Conclusion
2025 reinforced the case for diversification across asset classes.
• Precious metals delivered standout returns — driven by safe haven demand, supply constraints, and monetary dynamics.
• AI technology and biotech remain secular growth themes, offering upside in equity portfolios.
• Crypto assets lagged traditional hedges, highlighting continued market segmentation in risk assets.
• 2026 gold price forecasts are broadly bullish, though with a wide range of scenarios — from conservative to highly aggressive institutional estimates.
BTC/USD Momentum Shift with Strong Upside PotentialBitcoin is trading within a descending channel after forming consistent lower highs, while strong buying interest is visible near the highlighted support zone around 84,000–85,000. Multiple reactions from this area confirm solid accumulation and strong demand. Price has recently moved above short-term resistance and is pushing toward the Ichimoku cloud, indicating growing bullish momentum. The current structure suggests a possible trend shift if BTC maintains strength above the channel support and the key level near 87,000. A clear breakout above the descending trendline would likely strengthen bullish continuation. If momentum remains positive, price is expected to move toward the first target at 89,120, followed by the second target at 90,350, and extend further toward the third target at 92,210 in the upcoming sessions.
If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
XAU/USD (Gold) Trading Idea – Dreams FXDate: December 28, 2025 | Timeframe: 15-Minute
Market Overview & Bias
Gold remains in a long-term ascending channel, but price swept the upper highs, trapped early longs, and is now showing heavy rejection inside the pink supply zone (~4,530–4,535).
Current candles are bearish with strong selling pressure at the top of the channel. Bias: Short-term bearish scalp (Sell) — quick fade against the higher timeframe trend.
Key Technical Confluence
Supply Zone (Pink): ~4,530–4,535 – strong resistance (SL at top/end of pink box).
Demand Zone (Teal): ~4,487–4,510 – next support area (TP targeted inside this zone).
Ascending Channel: Upper trendline capping price perfectly, creating distribution.
Single Trade: Short-Term Scalp (Sell)
Trade Type: Counter-trend scalp from supply
Entry: Sell on current bearish rejection or sell limit inside pink supply zone
Stop Loss: Top/end of pink box (~4,538–4,540)
Take Profit (Scaled):
TP1 → Mid teal zone (~4,510–4,515) → ~1:1.5–2 RR (partial close)
TP2 → Bottom/end of teal box (~4,487–4,490) → ~1:3 RR (remainder, quick scalp target)
Risk-Reward: Overall 1:2.5+ (blended, fast exit focus).
Risk Management
Small risk only (0.3–0.5%) — this is a short-term scalp, not trend trade. Scale out quickly, move stop to breakeven after TP1. Close fully if no momentum within a few candles.
Why This Setup Has Edge
High sweep induced longs, now heavy distribution at supply inside the channel top. Perfect quick scalp lower while higher timeframe buyers reload at demand. Market whispering short-term downside — in and out fast.
Note: Trading involves substantial risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
Dreams FX
NZD/USD Trading Idea – Dreams FXDate: December 28, 2025 | Timeframe: 15-Minute
Market Overview & Bias
NZD/USD has shown repeated rejection at overhead levels with bearish momentum dominating. Price swept lows earlier, induced buys, then pushed higher only to face strong selling pressure at the pink supply zone (~0.58450–0.58550).
Current action is clear distribution at supply. The overall bias is bearish — both setups are sells targeting downside continuation.
Key Technical Confluence
Supply Zone (Pink): ~0.58450–0.58550 – multiple rejections, current resistance (SL placed at top/end of pink box).
Demand Zone (Teal/Green): ~0.58200–0.58350 – next major support area (TP targeted at bottom/end of green box).
Structure: Lower highs and bearish candle closes confirming seller control after the low sweep.
Primary Trade: Aggressive Bearish Rejection (Sell)
Trade Type: Momentum sell from supply
Entry: Sell on bearish rejection candle or sell limit inside pink supply zone
Stop Loss: Top/end of pink box (~0.58580–0.58600)
Take Profit:
TP1 → ~1:1.5–2 RR
TP2 → Bottom/end of green box (~0.58200) → ~1:3–4 RR (main target)
Risk-Reward: 1:4+ overall.
Secondary Trade: Bearish Retest (Sell)
Trade Type: Retest sell on pullback higher
Entry: Sell limit on retest of pink supply zone if price bounces slightly first
Stop Loss: Same as primary – top/end of pink box
Take Profit:
Same as primary — scale into TP1 and main TP at bottom/end of green box
Risk-Reward: 1:4+ (often cleaner entry on retest).
Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per trade. Scale out partially at TP1, move stop to breakeven, let remainder run to main TP at the end of the green box. Trail on strong momentum.
Why This Setup Has Edge
Classic bear trap: swept lows to take stops, pulled higher to induce longs, now heavy rejection at supply. Pink box top = safe SL, green box bottom = high-probability TP. Market whispering clear downside — both entries lead to the same bearish destination.
Note: Trading involves substantial risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
Dreams FX 🚀
GBP/USD Trading Idea – Dreams FXMarket Overview & Bias
GBP/USD has been consolidating within a multi-day range after a prior downtrend, repeatedly sweeping lows and showing strong buying reactions. Price has now delivered a powerful impulsive move upward from the teal demand zone (~1.34900–1.35150), clearing overhead liquidity and flipping structure to bullish.
Current momentum is clearly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming on the recent leg up. Both potential setups align with the upside — primary continuation buy and secondary buy on pullback.
Key Technical Confluence
Demand Zone (Teal): ~1.34900–1.35150 – multiple liquidity sweeps below lows followed by aggressive reversal and strong bullish candles.
Supply/Resistance Overhead: ~1.35300–1.35500 – previous range highs acting as the next target.
Liquidity Sweeps: Repeated dips cleared sell-side stops, trapping shorts and fueling the current upside breakout.
Momentum Shift: Clean impulsive green candles breaking prior swing highs confirm buyer control.
Primary Trading Idea: Bullish Continuation (Buy)
Entry (Buy):
Aggressive: Buy now on momentum (market entry) or buy limit on minor pullback to 1.35100–1.35150.
Conservative: Wait for small retracement into the upper half of demand zone with bullish continuation candle.
Stop Loss:
Below demand zone – 1.34850–1.34880.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.35300 → ~1:1.5–2 RR
TP2: 1.35400–1.35500 (range highs) → ~1:3–4 RR (main target)
TP3: 1.35700+ on clean range breakout.
Risk-Reward: 1:3+ overall.
Secondary Trading Idea: Buy the Pullback
If price retraces deeper into the demand zone after initial push:
Healthy pullback to 1.35000–1.35050 with no clean break lower.
Entry (Buy):
Buy limit at 1.35000–1.35050 on support retest.
Stop Loss:
Same as primary – 1.34850.
Take Profit Targets:
Same as primary — scale into TP1/TP2/TP3.
Risk-Reward: 1:4+ (better entry on pullback).
Risk Management
Risk 0.5–1% per trade maximum. Scale out at targets. Trail stop to breakeven after TP1 or on strong momentum.
Why This Setup Has Edge
The market has repeatedly defended the demand zone, swept lows, and now launched a strong bullish impulse — classic trap for shorts and fuel for longs. Both paths lead higher: ride the wave now or buy the dip. The pips are whispering upside loud and clear.
Note: Trading involves substantial risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
Dreams FX 🚀
UNI USDT LONG SIGNAL---
📢 Official Trade Idea – UNI/USDT
📈 Position Type: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 5.777
🛑 Stop-Loss: 5.545
🎯 Take-Profit Targets (Partial Exits):
• TP1: 5.939
• TP2: 6.115
• TP3: 6.338
• TP4: 6.538
• TP5: 6.727
📊 Timeframe: 15m
⚙️ Suggested Leverage: 3×5
---
🧠 Technical Analysis
Price has broken above a descending trendline and is holding above a key horizontal support.
The structure shows a higher low, suggesting bullish continuation.
Targets are aligned with nearby resistance and liquidity levels.
---
⚙️ Trade Management Plan
✔️ Take partial profit at TP1
✔️ Move Stop-Loss to Break-Even after TP1
✔️ Secure profits step by step
✔️ If BE is hit → capital protected
---
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.
Always manage your own risk and wait for confirmation.
Capital protection comes first.
---
— mastercrypto2020
Sharing clean, risk-managed trade ideas.
CLO/USDT — Silent AccumulationCLO/USDT is currently moving under the radar while buyers and larger players (whales) are gradually accumulating. Price is not showing aggressive volatility, which is often a key characteristic of smart money positioning before a directional expansion.
Rather than distribution, the market is displaying controlled price action, suggesting preparation for the next bullish leg.
EURUSD Bearish ContinuationQuick Summary
EURUSD started the week with a bearish push, the Price already dropped after performing a sweep of liquidity above the previous high
Further downside is expected toward 1.17368 where price reaction will be monitored
Full Analysis
Following the bearish bias established at the beginning of the week EURUSD has already shown weakness when the Price moved lower after sweeping liquidity above the previous high which confirms that buy side liquidity has been taken
This behavior supports the idea that the market is now in a corrective or bearish phase
As long as price remains below the swept high the probability favors continuation to the downside
The next key level to watch is 1.17368
This area will be important to observe as price reaction there will determine whether EURUSD continues lower or continue the bullish trend
ETHUSDT – 4H Chart Update. ETHUSDT – 4H Chart Update.
Structure: Price is compressing inside a descending wedge, trading near the lower trendline → selling pressure is weakening.
Price reclaimed the short-term 21MA and is testing the 100 MA area — a key decision zone.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880
Resistance: 3,080 – 3,120
Breakout Zone: 3,250 – 3,350+
Sideways grind near support + compression = energy building.
Wait for a clear 4H close above the descending trendline for continuation.
This is a confirmation zone, not a blind entry area.
DYOR | NFA
#BITCOIN SUNDAY UPDATE $BTC Nothing has changed. We are still #BITCOIN SUNDAY UPDATE
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Nothing has changed. We are still moving sideways. I’m holding my short position as explained before.
My focus is simple: protect liquidity. I will short strength if BTC reclaims 98k 1W50EMA and add more short positions around that level or above. If price moves lower, my interest is only spot buying near fair value around 72k. Anything else right now is just noise.
I’m also considering a limit long on #BTC in VIP around 85k, strictly as a tactical move to catch a push toward breaking 98k. That’s it. Simple strategy, no overtrading.
I don’t chase CMP trades in a bear market. I stick to limit orders and patience.
GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/USD with the target of 1.340 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC: Both Scenarios Are Possible! Wait for confirmationBTC: Both Scenarios Are Possible! Wait for confirmation
Over the past two weeks, BTC has had a clear bearish pattern, but recently this pattern has transformed into something more complex.
Today, BTC is between a bearish and an uptrend, although this is not yet clear.
The problem is that it can easily make both moves.
Bearish scenario:
If BTC stays below the red zone 90555, it can fall back to 86775; 84620 and 81870.
Bullish scenario:
If the price breaks above the red zone 90555, then BTC will increase the chances of an upward move with targets at 94000 and 99200.
The bearish move comes without confirmation but you can watch if it shows later, and the upward move will come with more confirmation.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 58.10
1st Support: 53.34
1st Resistance: 62.14
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish bounce?Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6582
1st Support: 0.6404
1st Resistance: 0.6798
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Review and plan for 29th December 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
analysis- MCX.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Heading towards 61.8% Fib resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot point of 156.92, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 156.92
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 156.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
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TRX TRON Technical Analysis and Trade Idea I’m currently watching TRX / TRON 👀💎.
We can clearly see bullish price action developing on both the Daily and 4H timeframes 📈🔥, which keeps TRX firmly on my radar for a potential buy setup.
That said, I’m not chasing price — I have specific conditions that need to be met ✅📊:
🔹 Scenario 1 – Pullback Entry
If price pulls back into a previous support zone from current levels 🔄📉, I’ll be looking for a bullish break of structure as confirmation before considering an entry 🚀📌.
🔹 Scenario 2 – Continuation Entry
If price continues higher from here 📈, I’ll want to see TRX create a higher high, followed by a healthy retracement back into the current level, which would then act as new support for a possible buy entry 🧠📍.
As always, patience is key — I let price come to me and confirm the bias 🔒📈
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage risk at all times.
CAKE/USDT LongTest Strategy
CAKE/USDT Long
— Entry: $1.818 market buy
— Stop: $1.802 — 0.90% (this is the price movement from entry to stop, NOT the percentage of loss)
— Target: $1,963
— Risk per trade: 0.1% of total deposit (this is the percentage of loss)
— Position size: 12% of total deposit
— Risk/Reward: 1:9
ETHUSD bullish fractalEhereum is repeat bullish patterns that did in previous cycles.
-ETH exited the consolidation triangle that started from nov 21, and now is retesting the structure, meaning a bullish continuation is likely to happen.
-In adition, there is an inverted head and shoulders that is taking shape.
I am watching closely this formation of this triangle for any bullish confirmation:






















