Citigroup Trend Continuation Setup Powered by Hull MA Signal🏦💰 CITIGROUP ($C) - The Bank Heist Setup | Hull MA Pullback Confirmed 🎯
📊 CURRENT MARKET DATA (Real-Time Feed: Dec 10, 2025)
💵 Current Price: $109.26 USD
📈 Day Change: +$0.34 (+0.31%)
🔥 52-Week Range: $55.51 - $109.37
🎯 Analyst Target: $114.29 (High: $134 | Low: $90)
📊 Market Cap: $194.82B
💎 Dividend Yield: 2.2%
⭐ Technical Signal: STRONG BUY
🎭 THE HEIST PLAN | Day/Swing Trade Setup
🧭 Strategy: Bullish Hull Moving Average Pullback Entry
Ladies and gentlemen, gather 'round! 👨💼👩💼 We've got ourselves a proper bank heist brewing with Citigroup. The Hull Moving Average just gave us the green light for a pullback entry, and the vault door is wide open. Time to execute the perfect layered entry strategy! 💼🔓
🎯 ENTRY ZONE - The "Thief Layering Strategy" 🥷
Multiple Limit Order Layers (Scale In Approach):
🔹 Layer 1: $106.00
🔹 Layer 2: $108.00
🔹 Layer 3: $110.00
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital allocation and risk appetite. This isn't financial advice—just showing you how the pros layer into positions like a proper heist team! 😎
⚠️ Note: Current price is trading at $109.26, so Layer 2 and 3 are in play NOW! Layer 1 is your safety net if we get a deeper pullback.
🛑 STOP LOSS - The Escape Route 🚪
SL: $104.00 ❌
⚠️ Dear Thief OG's: This is MY stop loss level based on my technical analysis and risk management. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Set your own stop based on YOUR risk tolerance. Remember: preserve capital to fight another day! 💰
💰 TARGET - The Loot Bag 💼
TP: $116.00 🎯✨
🚨 Why $116? Here's the Technical Breakdown:
📍 Strong Resistance Zone - Historical ceiling
📊 Overbought Territory - RSI nearing extremes
Potential Bull Trap - Watch for exhaustion
📉 Correction Zone - Profit-taking area
🏃♂️ THE POLICE ARE WAITING! 👮♂️👮♀️
When we hit that resistance zone with our profit bags, the "market police" (sellers) will be waiting to catch us. Time to be smart—take profits in stages and ESCAPE with the loot! Don't be greedy! 💼💨
⚠️ Dear Thief OG's: Again, this is MY target. You do you! Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your risk! 🎲
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH | Correlation Play 🌐
Keep your eyes on these banking sector correlations:
🏦 Direct Banking Sector:
NYSE:JPM (JPMorgan Chase) - The big daddy of banks, moves similar to C
NYSE:BAC (Bank of America) - Retail banking giant, correlates strongly
NYSE:WFC (Wells Fargo) - Domestic focus, sector momentum indicator
NYSE:GS (Goldman Sachs) - Investment banking correlation
📊 Key Correlation Points:
✅ Sector Rotation: When financials heat up, these all move together
✅ Fed Policy: Interest rate decisions impact ALL banking stocks
✅ Economic Data: GDP, employment, and inflation = banking fuel ⛽
✅ Credit Market: Corporate lending trends affect the entire sector
💡 Why Watch These?
If NYSE:JPM or NYSE:BAC breaks out first, $C usually follows! Smart thieves watch the entire crew, not just their own target! 🎯
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Hull Moving Average: Bullish pullback confirmed ✅
🔹 Volume: Above average, showing institutional interest 📊
🔹 Trend: Strong uptrend since $55 lows, up +97% YTD 🚀
🔹 Momentum: Building bullish momentum post-pullback ⚡
🔹 52-Week High: Just made fresh highs at $109.37 🏔️
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - Don't Be a Rookie! 🎓
🛡️ Never risk more than 1-2% of your portfolio on a single trade
📊 Scale in with layers—don't go all-in at once!
🔄 Trail your stop loss as price moves in your favor
💰 Take partial profits at resistance levels
🧠 Trade what you see, not what you think!
🎬 FINAL THOUGHTS
This setup is clean, technical, and backed by real market data. Citigroup is showing strength, analyst targets support higher prices, and the Hull MA pullback gives us a strategic entry. But remember—this is YOUR money and YOUR decision! 💪
The vault is open, the plan is set, now we execute! But do it smart, do it calculated, and most importantly—do it YOUR way! 🎯💼
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER
🎭 This is the "Thief Style" trading strategy—just for fun and educational purposes!
#Citigroup #C #NYSE #BankingStocks #Financials #HullMovingAverage #PullbackStrategy #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #BullishSetup #TradingIdeas #StockAnalysis #RiskManagement #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #JPMorgan #BankOfAmerica #SectorRotation #FinancialSector #WallStreet #TradingCommunity #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction
Citigroupanalysis
Citigroup Clears Regulatory Hurdle as Stock Breaks HigherCitigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) has cleared another important regulatory milestone, reinforcing its long-running turnaround narrative. U.S. regulators have withdrawn a 2024 amendment tied to a 2020 consent order, easing part of the oversight burden linked to Citi’s historical risk and compliance failures. While the original 2020 order remains in place, the move signals growing confidence in management’s efforts to modernize systems, improve data governance, and strengthen internal controls.
Fundamentally, this development is incremental but meaningful. Citi has spent years under intense regulatory scrutiny, including over $500 million in fines related to operational weaknesses. The removal of the amendment reduces the risk of restrictions on capital distribution, such as dividends and buybacks, provided progress continues. Combined with recent reports that the Federal Reserve has closed several confidential notices related to trading risk management, Citi’s regulatory overhang appears to be slowly lifting. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, large banks like Citi also benefit from net interest income stability, while restructuring efforts aim to improve efficiency and return on equity over the medium term.
Technical Analysis:
The long-term weekly chart shows Citi breaking decisively above a multi-year resistance zone near the mid-$80s, an area that capped price action multiple times since 2018. Price is now trading above the 50-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages, a strong bullish alignment that confirms a structural trend shift.
Momentum indicators remain elevated, reflecting strong buying pressure, though short-term consolidation would be healthy after the sharp rally toward the $110–$115 region. If price holds above the former resistance-turned-support zone ($80–$85), the technical outlook favors continuation toward higher long-term targets. A failure back below that zone would be the first warning of exhaustion, but for now, the trend remains firmly constructive.
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift.
Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight
Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning.
In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically:
Buying the $84 puts
Selling the $80 puts
This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement.
Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings
Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report:
EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY)
Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY)
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts:
EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%)
Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%)
While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts.
Valuation Metrics
From a valuation standpoint:
Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02
PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26
This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings.
Industry Outlook
The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Big Citibank Opportunity Citibank Opportunity - NYSE:C
Company Market Cap: $82.2 billion
Share Price Today: $42.68
Dividend: 0.53c per quarter (Annual Dividend of c.$2.06)
Annual Dividend Yield: 4.82%
Next Earnings Report: Friday 13th October 2023
Citibank (Citigroup) is the 20th largest bank in the world & a member of Global Systemically Important Financial Institutions (G-SIFIs) meaning it has stricter prudential regulation such as higher capital requirements and extra surcharges and more stringent stress tests. under the scheme deposits can be 100% guaranteed in the event of a crisis, which is not the case for smaller banks that are not considered systemically important. This additional security can add weight to a longer term hold for Citibank combined with a good 4.82% dividend yield.
Citibank has recently been in the headlines with negative news for completing a management re-org with substantial lay-offs. Whilst the news is interpreted as negative, the chart appears to reaching a point of exhaustion after 31 months of downward price pressure and a roughly 50% reduction in price from $81 down to $42. We may be forming a 3rd higher price cluster or price launch pad here at $42.
Earnings release is in a 4 and half weeks on 13thOctober and after 13 quarters of positive earnings the trend is green. Its worth noting that upon earnings release, the price can capitulate or ascend aggressively (historically this has been the way), this is why it is important to be placing bids or positions well in advance of the release (now) and on the day of the release we should be nimble and on our toes to capitalize or reduce risk with stop losses. Obviously for long term position players this is not all that important, we have our long term target and stop loss on the chart.
There is a long term trade opportunity with a stop loss at BASE 2 at $34.37. As you can see the trade has a Risk/Reward of 4:1. People who want to play it even safer could wait for a bounce off BASE 2 but for me a retracement this low could mean lower price momentum and a break of the RSI resistance. This is why I am inclined to take a position now off this base well in advance of the earnings release.
This is not my typical style of trade however I could not pass up the chart given the mid-term 31 month 50% reduction and exhaustion in price combined with the higher bases on the longer term trajectory, and to be honest the negative news really got me the contrarian in me rustled. If you look hard enough you can see a potential long term ascending triangle forming out into the 5 year time horizon. As a cherry to the trade, the dividend yield is considerably high at 4.82% for a systemically important institution – to big to fail.
In Summary
- Citigroup is one of the top 20 banks in the world
and is considered systemically important.
- Citigroup share price has been declining 31 months
with an approx. 50% reduction in price.
- Three Price Bases establishing higher lows are
reinforced by a rising RSI support line.
- To fully take advantage of the earnings release on
13th October 2023 positions need to be placed now
as the stock is extremely volatile on the day of
release.
- If the RSI support line fails to hold this could be a
warning signal of a break down into STRONG
SUPPORT ZONE (Red).
- The dividend yield is considerably high at 4.82% for
a systemically important institution offering a little
incentive for a longer term hold.
Citigroup Faces Tough Times: 20,000 Job Cuts, $1.8 Billion Loss
Citigroup, one of the largest banks in the United States, is navigating through challenging times as it grapples with a $1.8 billion loss in the fourth quarter of 2023—the worst in 14 years. The bank's CEO, Jane Fraser, announced a bold restructuring plan, including a significant workforce reduction of at least 20,000 jobs, about 10% of its workforce, as part of a broader effort to streamline operations and enhance returns.
The Financial Struggles:
Citigroup's fourth-quarter results reveal a $1.8 billion loss, attributed to $4 billion in one-off charges and expenses. These charges include $800 million tied to the restructuring, substantial hits from its exposure to Russia, and the devaluation of Argentina's peso. The bank's quarterly performance is the weakest since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, underscoring the magnitude of the challenges it faces.
CEO's Response and Restructuring Plan:
Jane Fraser, Citigroup's Chief Executive, acknowledged the disappointing performance but emphasized the progress made in simplifying the organization and executing their strategic vision. The restructuring plan aims to cut costs and streamline operations, with a focus on reorienting the bank around its lines of business rather than geographical reach. Fraser plans to eliminate five layers of management, reducing them from 13 to 8, with business unit heads reporting directly to her. The cost of these changes is estimated to be as high as $1.8 billion but is expected to yield annual savings of up to $2.5 billion by 2026.
Job Cuts and Organizational Simplification:
Citigroup anticipates reducing its overall headcount to as low as 180,000 by 2025 or 2026, down from 240,000 at the beginning of the previous year. The bank had only cut 1,000 roles by the end of December, and the remaining reductions are expected to follow the completion of organizational simplification by the end of the first quarter of this year. Beyond the restructuring process, Citigroup plans to shed an additional 40,000 workers through exits from its consumer banking business in Mexico and other regions.
Financial Impact and Market Reaction:
Despite the challenging quarter, shares in Citigroup remained flat in early afternoon trading in New York. The bank acknowledges that the unexpected resilience of the U.S. economy has provided some relief, with credit card spending and corporate expenditures boosting revenues in the consumer banking and treasury services divisions, respectively. However, challenges in the corporate lending division, with a 26% drop in revenues, and a 25% plunge in revenue from sales and trading of bonds, commodities, and currencies, underscore the broader economic headwinds.
Conclusion:
Citigroup's announcement of significant job cuts, coupled with its worst quarterly performance in over a decade, paints a challenging picture for the banking giant. The bold restructuring plan led by CEO Jane Fraser signals a commitment to adapting to changing market dynamics and improving the bank's overall performance. As Citigroup navigates these turbulent waters, eyes will be on its execution of the restructuring plan and its ability to emerge stronger in the post-restructuring era. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether 2024 will indeed be the turning point predicted by the bank's leadership.
C Citigroup Options Ahead Of EarningsAfter the last price target was reached:
Now looking at the C Citigroup options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $52.5 strike price Calls with
2023-9-15 expiration date for about
$1.28 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
C Citigroup Medium term OptionsThis bank sell-off looks like a buy opportunity if you think medium to long term.
Looking at the C Citigroup options chain, I would buy the $45 strike price Calls with
2024-1-19 expiration date for about
$5.55 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
C Citigroup Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the C Citigroup options chain ahead of earnings, I would buy the $47.5 strike price at the money Puts with
2023-3-17 expiration date for about
$3.05 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Trade Update #stocksThe Chart: Price has fully reversed from the bottom of the large range (rectangle) and has now broken out of the top end of the range. Despite todays rough down day I am comfortable with my position as long as price can hold above the 59 area.
The Narrative: Banks are taking a bit hit on earnings but the quarterly results we not as bad as the price drop may seem. Given the run most including Citigroup have had, taking some profits into the quarterly results was some what expected. The recent move in interest rates, reopenings, and overall global growth should all be tailwinds for the sector. Unless there is a double dip recession, I think the banks have more room to run especially if we hold the 59 area for Citi specifically.
Citigroup Inc. ideas📈 NYSE:C LONG H4
🛒BUY above = 44.12
🎯Target1 = 46.41
🎯Target2 = 47.83
🛑Trailing Stop loss = 40.45
❌Cancel trade and open reverse trade = 40.45
🙈Recommended risk = 1-2%
📉 NYSE:C SHORT H4
🛒SELL BELOW = 41.85
🎯Target1 = 40.45
🎯Target2 = 39.59
🎯Target3 = 38.20
🛑Trailing Stop loss = 44.12
❌Cancel trade and open reverse trade = 44.12
🙈Recommended risk = 2-3%
#C #Citigroup















