Macro Monday 50 The Ivory Coast ~ The Cocoa Centre of the World This week we will look at the investment opportunities presenting in the Ivory Coast which is the world’s largest producer of cocoa. This booming economy is expected to continue grow at a 6.6% GDP growth rate which competes with the likes of India (covered on a previous Macro Monday). Today we...
I've been waiting for the trend to break and then backtest a resistance for a huge short. And I got it. After waiting for 7 months.
After a very large and strong bull momentum, it's time for me to start a short position to look for a pullback of at least 50% Fibonacci level. Great Trade !
Following an explosive surge that propelled Cocoa ( NYSE:CC ) to the $1000 mark, the price is now encountering resistance around this significant psychological level. Observing this resistance, there's anticipation for a correction towards the area of interest defined by my TP zone. While a revisit to the $1000 level in the coming days is plausible, it's probable...
The bigger the pattern the bigger the consolidation the more explosive the move how about this Chart Porn? Cup and handle I expect the log tgt not only to be made but surpassed given yesterdays event's in #baltimore Yup Massive east coast supply chain disruptions to be expected Ports jammed Aviation fuel disruptions Major economic ripples could transpire...
Cocoa: Cocoa futures hit $9,400 a ton for the first time ever, marking a 45% increase in March. Poor harvests in key producing countries such as Ivory Coast and Ghana, where adverse weather conditions, including heavy rains from El Niño and subsequent extreme heat, have led to supply shortages. The Ivory Coast cocoa regulator anticipates a 33% decrease in...
Not much of a technical analysis as we can see but there is not much we can do about it. The chart is just parabolic due to the high amount of big companies hedging against the worse-than-expected harvest. The fundamental analysis could not be much of a help either because nothing can resonate with such pricing for the cocoa. This type of trade is just speculative...
Following the previous analysis on PEPPERSTONE:COCOA , this is the second try to short this parabolic move for a little risk and big potential reward. Late to send the analysis but here was the setup I took and I will hold as much as I can. I never try more than 2 times to short this kind of parabolic move and with proper risk management. Great Trade !
Currently, the PEPPERSTONE:COCOA (cacao) market has undergone a notable upside rally over recent days, culminating in a significant move towards the $6000 level. Today, we observed a precise hit of this key psychological level, followed by a clean rejection, prompting a short position. The primary objective now is to remain below this crucial $6000 level,...
Cocoa was the best performing commodity in 2023, recording a price increase of 64%1. Cocoa prices have continued to rally in 2024 crossing the threshold of US$5000 Metric Ton (MT) on 2 February 2024. The last time cocoa prices rose to this magnitude was in 1977 when it reached US$5379MT. A similar situation prevailed back then, adverse weather conditions led to...
London Mar 24 Cocoa violated its parabolic advance (linear scale) in recent weeks and was unable to trend higher. Today's decline appears to be a possible failure top roll-over similar to the chart in NY Sugar that led to a precipitous decline in Sugar during December. Could the same type of decline occur in Cocoa? Who knows. Factor Prop Account shorted London...
COCOA is overpriced due to fundaments over the world. A slight correction would be welcomed. We might return back to the trend pattern. What's your opinion about this kind of charts ? Be careful, commodities are volatile !
Cocoa has now risen more than 26% since the low of the magenta wave (4) and still seems to be dominated by the bulls. We now expect one last surge before the price reaches the high of the magenta wave (5), which shouldn't be too far away, completing the white wave (B). After that, the trend should be down again, starting with the magenta wave (1).
After a minor consolidation phase in which the price of cocoa stagnated just below the pink trend line, the next step of the magenta wave (5) was completed: a clear breakout above this line. We now expect a larger upward expansion until the magenta five-wave move and thus the superior white wave (B) is completed. After this top, the price should go down again -...
There has been an active selloff of the 4000 strike for several days. In other words, the former owner of the option contracts sells off his portfolio. A noteworthy and important point is the fact that this happens in a rising market. In the vast majority of cases, this is a bearish sentiment and reflects a major contract holder's fear of a slowdown or, more...
Coffee, Sugar, Cocoa, and all 5 milk futures are listed in this layout. People buy a lot of coffee and milk which is why this chart is of importance. The Sugar, Coffee, and Cocoa are obviously used to make the caffeinated drink.
Weather has always been a key factor influencing the outlook for major commodities, especially agricultural commodities. The arrival of El Niño in June 2023 has led to a wide divergence in the performance across agricultural commodities. As discussed in our previous blog “What does El Niño’s return mean for commodities?”, the effects of El Niño include specific...
The market is favorable to the sellers from August 7 and allowed them to make a small profit. The balance of power is clearly in favor of the bears. A breakdown of the local support level at $3405 will confirm our existing evaluation. We are waiting option market confirmation.