Following the previous analysis on PEPPERSTONE:COCOA , this is the second try to short this parabolic move for a little risk and big potential reward. Late to send the analysis but here was the setup I took and I will hold as much as I can. I never try more than 2 times to short this kind of parabolic move and with proper risk management. Great Trade !
Currently, the PEPPERSTONE:COCOA (cacao) market has undergone a notable upside rally over recent days, culminating in a significant move towards the $6000 level. Today, we observed a precise hit of this key psychological level, followed by a clean rejection, prompting a short position. The primary objective now is to remain below this crucial $6000 level,...
Cocoa was the best performing commodity in 2023, recording a price increase of 64%1. Cocoa prices have continued to rally in 2024 crossing the threshold of US$5000 Metric Ton (MT) on 2 February 2024. The last time cocoa prices rose to this magnitude was in 1977 when it reached US$5379MT. A similar situation prevailed back then, adverse weather conditions led to...
London Mar 24 Cocoa violated its parabolic advance (linear scale) in recent weeks and was unable to trend higher. Today's decline appears to be a possible failure top roll-over similar to the chart in NY Sugar that led to a precipitous decline in Sugar during December. Could the same type of decline occur in Cocoa? Who knows. Factor Prop Account shorted London...
COCOA is overpriced due to fundaments over the world. A slight correction would be welcomed. We might return back to the trend pattern. What's your opinion about this kind of charts ? Be careful, commodities are volatile !
Cocoa has now risen more than 26% since the low of the magenta wave (4) and still seems to be dominated by the bulls. We now expect one last surge before the price reaches the high of the magenta wave (5), which shouldn't be too far away, completing the white wave (B). After that, the trend should be down again, starting with the magenta wave (1).
After a minor consolidation phase in which the price of cocoa stagnated just below the pink trend line, the next step of the magenta wave (5) was completed: a clear breakout above this line. We now expect a larger upward expansion until the magenta five-wave move and thus the superior white wave (B) is completed. After this top, the price should go down again -...
There has been an active selloff of the 4000 strike for several days. In other words, the former owner of the option contracts sells off his portfolio. A noteworthy and important point is the fact that this happens in a rising market. In the vast majority of cases, this is a bearish sentiment and reflects a major contract holder's fear of a slowdown or, more...
Coffee, Sugar, Cocoa, and all 5 milk futures are listed in this layout. People buy a lot of coffee and milk which is why this chart is of importance. The Sugar, Coffee, and Cocoa are obviously used to make the caffeinated drink.
Weather has always been a key factor influencing the outlook for major commodities, especially agricultural commodities. The arrival of El Niño in June 2023 has led to a wide divergence in the performance across agricultural commodities. As discussed in our previous blog “What does El Niño’s return mean for commodities?”, the effects of El Niño include specific...
The market is favorable to the sellers from August 7 and allowed them to make a small profit. The balance of power is clearly in favor of the bears. A breakdown of the local support level at $3405 will confirm our existing evaluation. We are waiting option market confirmation.
With the recent surge in cocoa prices, we’ve observed the completion of the white wave d as forecasted in our primary scenario. Given this development, our projections suggest an impending decline characterized by a magenta five-part wave, targeting $2900. Nonetheless, it's essential to consider a 40% probability that the price might reach a slightly higher peak...
The El Niño weather phenomenon is back on the radar. A new update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) forecasts that there is a 90% probability of the El Niño event continuing during the second half of 2023. What is the El Niño phenomenon? The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an oceanic-atmospheric phenomenon with origins in abnormal...
Coffee, Sugar, Cocoa, and all 5 milk futures are listed in this layout. People buy a lot of coffee and milk which is why this chart is of importance. The Sugar, Coffee, and Cocoa are obviously used to make the caffeinated drink.
looking for some pullback as you can see in the chart looks juicy for a quick short due to quite serious resistance above your comments are more than welcome
The market rallied for a while. I expect the correction is just a matter of time. My target around 3050, with expiry date for contract 10th August. This is not a trading advice. Trading is risky, always to your own analysis.
This is very much in the same boat as Coffee - out of season, increasingly negative fundamentals, etc.. (Now, even cocoa brokers are entertaining each other tall tales, trying to pass the time and in an attempt to reinvigorate the business. Yeah, how could that not work?! ... ;-) A resumption of a U NYSE:D rally, at any point, will put a further lid on this one...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Are you looking to make a trade out of Easter weekend? Look no further than Cocoa futures, or chocolate. Cocoa is a soft commodity that...