COIN Short Trade Setup — Smart Entry Levels Revealed!🎯 COIN "The Crypto Exchange Heist" 💰
Stock Market Profit Playbook for Swing & Day Traders
📈 Analysis Overview 🔍
Asset: NASDAQ:COIN | Coinbase Global Inc. ⚡
Current Price: $295.22 (Nov 7, 2025) 💵
Market Cap: $79.60B 🏆
Trading Volume: Bullish liquidity ✅
Technical Bias: BEARISH CONFIRMED ⬇️
🎲 The Setup: Bearish Hull Moving Average Breakout
We've identified a critical bearish breakdown pattern with Hull Moving Average (HMA) confirmation. The rejection from the $350 resistance zone combined with oversold conditions creates the perfect "HEIST" opportunity for disciplined traders.
Key Technical Signals 🚨:
✅ Hull MA showing downtrend confirmation
✅ Price rejection from upper resistance
✅ Volume compression into breakdown
✅ RSI divergence in overbought territory
✅ Support trap formation at key levels
🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY: The "Layering Heist" Technique 💎
Method: Multiple Limit Order Layers (Position Stacking Strategy)
Instead of chasing ONE entry, we deploy the Thief OG Layering System — multiple entry levels to average down as the bearish thesis develops:
📍 Entry Layers (Top to Bottom):
Layer 1: $340.00 💎
Layer 2: $330.00 💎
Layer 3: $320.00 💎
Layer 4: $310.00 💎
Pro Tip: Feel free to add MORE layers based on your risk tolerance and account size! The more precise your layers, the better your average entry price. 🎯
🛑 Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management Critical)
Thief OG's Recommended SL: $350.00 🚫
This sits above the rejection zone — if price reclaims $350+, the bearish thesis is invalidated, and we exit.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is YOUR trade. We recommend this SL, but YOU control your risk. Adjust based on your position size and risk appetite. No feelings — just math! 📊
🎁 PROFIT TARGET (The "Escape Plan")
Primary Target: $240.00 🎯
Target Type: Strong Support + Oversold Zone + Trap Confirmation
Why $240?
Historical support confluence 📍
RSI reaching oversold extremes 📉
Previous institutional accumulation zone 🏦
Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level ✨
⚠️ CRITICAL NOTE: This is YOUR profit target decision. Once you're in profit, TAKE YOUR MONEY — don't be greedy! Secure gains at comfortable levels. Risk management > Ego. 💪
📊 Correlation Pairs to Watch 🔗
Keep an eye on these related assets for confluence signals:
Bitcoin (BTC)
Price Action: CRYPTOCAP:BTC is COIN's strongest correlation driver
Why?: Crypto market sentiment flows through BTC first → COIN follows
Watch For: BTC breaking $100K could trigger COIN capitulation 📉
Ethereum (ETH) 💠
Price Action: CRYPTOCAP:ETH directional bias impacts institutional flows
Why?: ETH derivative volume is massive on COIN's platform
Watch For: ETH breaking below $3,500 = bearish acceleration ⬇️
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) 📈
Price Action: NASDAQ:QQQ tech sector health matters
Why?: COIN correlates with tech rallies & risk-off dumps
Watch For: QQQ support breaks = COIN weakness confirmed 🔴
Fear & Greed Index 😨😊
Watch: Extreme Greed (75+) = Potential top | Extreme Fear (25-) = Potential bottom
Why?: COIN is highly sentiment-driven
Action: Lower entries during Fear zones for better risk/reward 🎰
📋 Trade Checklist Before You Enter ✅
Confirm HMA bearish alignment on your timeframe
Check BTC & ETH correlation for confluence
Position size = Max 2-3% portfolio risk per trade
Set alerts at each layer level
NEVER move SL in the red (that's a LOSS, not protection)
Secure profits on the way up (don't wait for PT)
Journal every trade (you learn more from losses)
💡 Pro Trading Tips 🧠
Size Down in Uncertainty — If volume is low, position smaller
Trail Your SL — Once profit doubles, move SL to breakeven
Partial Profits — Take 50% at $280, let the rest run to $240
Never Average-Up — Only add on confirmations going DOWN
Time Your Layers — Don't slam all orders at once; space them out
📢 Join The Community 🚀
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#COIN #Coinbase #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradingStrategy #CryptoExchange #NASDAQ #HullMovingAverage #TradingIdeas #CryptoMarkets #RiskManagement #ProfitPlaybook #ThiefStrategy #EditorPick 🚀✨
Coinbasetrading
COIN | 200 SMA Confluence + Bullish Doji = High-Value Setup🎯 COIN: The 200 MA Heist — Dip Buyers Stacking Bags While Others Panic 💼🔥
📊 Asset Intelligence
Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) — NASDAQ
Strategy Classification: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: Bullish Pullback Confirmation
Risk Profile: Calculated Aggression
🧠 Technical Thesis — Why This Setup Slaps
Listen up, Thief OG's 👀
COIN just pulled back to the 200 Simple Moving Average and did exactly what professional setups do — it respected support and reversed. We got a textbook Heikin Ashi reversal doji candle forming right at the MA, signaling buyer exhaustion turned into buyer dominance.
Translation for the streets: Big money stepped in. Retail panicked. We capitalize.
📈 What We're Seeing:
200 SMA holding like a vault door 🔐
Heikin Ashi doji = indecision flipped to bullish conviction
Volume profile showing accumulation, not distribution
Buyers got the juice to push this higher
This isn't hopium. This is structure meeting momentum at a critical support zone.
💰 The "Thief Strategy" Entry Playbook
We don't chase. We layer. We scale. We steal profits from emotional traders.
Instead of slapping market buy like a degen, we're using layered limit orders to build our position as price moves in our favor. Think of it like planting money traps on the way down.
🎯 Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
Layer 1: $330 💵
Layer 2: $340 💵
Layer 3: $350 💵
Layer 4: $360 💵
You can add more layers if you're feeling spicy 🌶️. The goal is to dollar-cost average into strength, not weakness. Let the market come to YOU.
Pro Tip: Not all layers need to fill. Sometimes you only catch 2-3. That's fine. Better to miss some entry than to get caught in a fake-out.
🛡️ Risk Management — Protect Ya Neck
Stop Loss: $310 🚨
Real talk, Thief OG's: This is MY stop based on MY risk tolerance. You are NOT me. You don't have my account size, my strategy, or my psychology.
Set your own stop based on:
How much you're willing to lose per trade
Your position size
Your personal pain threshold
If COIN breaks below $310, the thesis is invalidated. The 200 MA failed. Buyers lost control. We exit, regroup, and find the next heist. No ego. No revenge trading. Just discipline.
🎯 Target Acquisition — Where We Take the Bag
Primary Target: $430 💎
⚡⚠️ WARNING: Resistance Fortress Ahead
At $430, we're walking into a battlefield:
Historical resistance = sellers have limit orders stacked
Overbought territory = indicators flashing red
Trap zone activated = late buyers will get liquidated here
What smart money does: Lock profits. Don't marry the trade. Don't get greedy.
Potential scenarios:
🟢 Strong momentum? Trail your stop and let winners run
🟡 Consolidation at $420? Take 50-75% off the table
🔴 Rejection at $430? Exit immediately, don't hope
(Thief OG's — again, this is MY target. You might want to exit at $400 for quick profits. You might want to hold for $450. Your rules. Your capital. Your consequences.)
🔗 Correlated Assets — The Bigger Picture
Don't trade COIN blind. Context is king.
Watch These Tickers:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD & BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Correlation: STRONG
COIN is basically a leveraged play on crypto sentiment. Bitcoin pumps = COIN pumps harder. Bitcoin dumps = COIN dumps harder. Always check the crypto market before entering.
⛏️ NASDAQ:MARA & NASDAQ:RIOT
Correlation: HIGH
Fellow crypto-exposed stocks. If they're ripping, COIN usually follows. If they're bleeding, stay cautious.
💳 SET:SQ (Block Inc.)
Correlation: MODERATE
Fintech + crypto exposure. Similar institutional money flows. Good confirmation indicator.
💵 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Correlation: INVERSE
Strong dollar = crypto weakness = COIN weakness
Weak dollar = crypto strength = COIN strength
Simple math. Don't ignore macro.
🔑 Key Insight: If Bitcoin is fighting resistance at $70K while COIN is trying to break out, one of them is lying. Read the room.
📌 Technical Breakdown — The Charts Don't Lie
✅ 200 SMA Support: Holding firm — institutional support level
✅ Heikin Ashi Reversal: Doji + bullish follow-through = momentum shift confirmed
✅ Volume Analysis: Accumulation on dips, not capitulation
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: Solid if stops are honored and targets are realistic
⚠️ Resistance at $430: Real, tested, and dangerous — respect it
⚠️ Crypto Market Dependency: If BTC drops 10%, COIN drops 15%. Stay alert.
📢 Thief OG Community Rules
Never risk more than you can afford to lose — period.
Position sizing > entry price — manage your risk first, profits second.
Stick to YOUR plan — my plan is mine. Yours is yours.
Take profits — unrealized gains aren't real until you close the trade.
No FOMO, no revenge trades — discipline beats emotion every time.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#COIN #Coinbase #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #PullbackSetup #HeikinAshi #200MA #NASDAQ #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrader
Can COIN's $330 Breakout Reach $380? ~ Tactical Entry Plan📈 COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) - Money Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚨 Ready to execute the ultimate heist on COIN? This Money Heist Plan uses the Thief Strategy, a layered limit order approach to catch the breakout at $330.00 ⚡. Below, I've outlined the setup, technicals, fundamentals, and macro insights to help you navigate this trade like a pro. Set your alarms, plan your escape, and let’s dive into the details! 🔒
🛠️ Trade Setup: The Thief Strategy
The Thief Strategy is a tactical approach using multiple limit order layers to enter the trade post-breakout, maximizing flexibility and precision. Here’s how to execute it:
Asset: COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) 💰
Entry Trigger: Breakout above $330.00 ⚡
Set a price alert on TradingView to catch the breakout in real-time! 🔔
Layered Entries (Thief Style): Place multiple buy limit orders to scale in:
$310.00
$315.00
$320.00
$325.00
$330.00
Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and strategy. Confirm entries only after the breakout at $330.00! ✅
Stop Loss (SL): Place at $295.00 post-breakout 🛑
Note: Adjust SL based on your risk management. The Thief Strategy is flexible—manage risk at your discretion, dear Traders (Thief OGs)! 😎
Take Profit (TP): Target $380.00 🎯
Resistance and overbought levels signal a potential police barricade 🚔. Escape with profits before the trap! Adjust TP based on your strategy.
Disclaimer: TP is not fixed—take profits at your own risk and preference.
📊 Why This Plan? Technical & Fundamental Breakdown
🔍 Technical Analysis: The Thief’s Blueprint
Breakout Catalyst: COIN is testing the $330.00 resistance. A confirmed breakout signals strong bullish momentum 📈.
Thief Strategy Advantage: Layered entries reduce risk of false breakouts and allow scaling into the move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $295.00 (SL zone)
Resistance/Target: $380.00 (overbought zone)
Setup Confirmation: Use volume spikes and RSI for breakout confirmation. Set TradingView alerts to stay sharp! 🔔
📉 Fundamental & Macro Insights
Market Cap: $81.47B
PE Ratio (TTM): 30.52 (above industry avg., signaling high valuation)
EPS (TTM): $10.39
Revenue Growth (YoY): +12.36% (2025 est.) 💪
Profit Margin: 42.67% 🔥
Cash Reserves: $7.54B (strong balance sheet)
Risks:
Q2 profit drop to $33.2M vs. $294.4M YoY 📉
High P/E (30.71) and Price/Sales (12.61) raise valuation concerns
Macro Drivers:
Genius Act: Boosted crypto optimism 🚀
Crypto Market Trends: Bitcoin’s record highs in July 2025 fuel COIN’s upside potential
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Current Sentiment: Neutral to Greedy (Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 0-100)
Trend: Mixed emotions due to crypto volatility and regulatory developments
Takeaway: Greed supports breakout potential, but stay cautious of volatility spikes.
🧠 Investor Sentiment
Retail Traders: Cautiously optimistic 😊, holding for long-term crypto growth but cautious of short-term volatility.
Institutional Traders: Mixed 🤔—some see overvaluation, others bet on crypto adoption and regulatory clarity.
🐂 Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook
Bullish Score: 60% 🐂
Why? Strong revenue growth (+13.72% YoY est. for 2026), crypto adoption, and institutional interest.
Bearish Risks: 40% 🐻
Why? Profit volatility, high valuation, and crypto market dependence.
Key Watch: Q3 earnings (Sep 2025) and crypto market trends.
💡 Why Trade COIN Now?
Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bearish due to profit concerns, but the $330.00 breakout could spark a quick swing/day trade.
Long-Term: Bullish on COIN’s role in crypto infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds.
Thief Strategy Edge: Layered entries and disciplined risk management make this setup ideal for volatile markets.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (USD)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : Bitcoin’s momentum drives COIN’s price action.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum’s performance impacts COIN’s trading volume.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Watch for altcoin rallies tied to regulatory news.
AMEX:SPY : Broader market trends influence COIN’s beta (3.69).
📅 Market Data Snapshot (10 Sep 2025)
Previous Close: $318.78
Day’s Range: $315.88 - $328.67
52-Week Range: $142.58 - $444.65
Avg. Volume: 13.43M shares
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #COIN #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeist
Coinbase (COIN) shares fall to a 2-month lowCoinbase (COIN) shares fall to a 2-month low
According to the chart of Coinbase Global (COIN), the stock price of the cryptocurrency exchange is sliding towards the $295 level, a 2-month low.
It is worth recalling that last month we reported that COIN stock had surged to an all-time high around $400. At that time, we:
→ highlighted the long-term grey channel and the short-term blue one;
→ suggested a potential correction from the upper boundary of the grey channel.
Since then, COIN’s share price has declined by more than 20% (yesterday’s drop was fuelled by a broader risk-off sentiment in technology stocks, which we analysed earlier today in the context of the Nasdaq 100 index). If this is indeed a correction from the all-time high, it looks too deep for a bull market. Could COIN shares extend their decline?
Technical analysis of Coinbase (COIN) stock
From a broader perspective, the grey channel remains valid. Following the release of a disappointing earnings report on 1 August, COIN formed a bearish gap and found support near the median of this channel.
Note the price action (highlighted with an arrow) – the bulls attempted to push the price higher but failed. This resembles either a false breakout of the 1 August high or a retest of the gap’s lower boundary – in both cases, a bearish signal. Particularly so given the candlestick with a long upper shadow, forming a gravestone doji pattern.
The MACD indicator suggests “clouds are gathering”: the histogram is approaching zero, while the two lines have turned downward. If the bears manage to build on their advantage, this would imply that:
→ market participants view the psychological $300 level as too high for COIN;
→ the price is moving away from the median of the grey channel and might approach its lower boundary, where buyers typically tend to step in.
If this scenario unfolds, the bears will need to show persistence, given the importance of support at $273.70, where the price rallied strongly in mid-June (a sign of aggressive buying).
It is also worth noting a series of bullish news related to Coinbase (completion of the Deribit exchange acquisition, improved regulatory outlook) – but the stock is already down more than 30% from its record high, which raises concerns.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
COIN Gamma Strom Incoming!!!🚀 COIN Weekly Swing Setup (2025-08-09) 🚀
**Bias:** 📈 **Modestly Bullish** — strong call flow + low VIX, but weak volume tempers confidence.
**🎯 Trade Plan**
* **Ticker:** \ NASDAQ:COIN
* **Type:** CALL (LONG)
* **Strike:** \$350.00
* **Entry:** \$0.90 (open)
* **Profit Target:** \$1.70 (+89%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.45 (-50%)
* **Expiry:** 2025-08-15
* **Size:** 1 contract
* **Confidence:** 65%
**📊 Key Notes**
* Call/put ratio 2.83 → strong bullish options flow ✅
* RSI mixed but recovering from oversold ⚠️
* VIX low → low gamma risk, favorable for option buyers ✅
* Watch volume closely at open for confirmation 🔍
COIN Gamma Storm Incoming!!!## 🚨 COIN Weekly Options Setup (Aug 7, 2025) 🚨
**Massive Call Flow vs. Bearish Momentum — Who Wins?**
> 🔍 Multiple AI models conflicted. Gamma risk rising. One day to expiry. Here's the trade...
---
### 🧠 Key Model Consensus (Across Grok, Claude, Llama, DeepSeek, Gemini):
✅ **Bullish Options Flow** from institutional players
📉 **Bearish Price Momentum** and RSI
⚠️ **High Gamma Risk** into expiration
🤔 **Signal Divergence** = Uncertainty + Volatility
---
### 🟩 **Bulls’ Case (Grok, Claude, Llama):**
* Oversold conditions + call buying = Rebound Setup
* Volume spike confirms institutional interest
* Moderate bullish lean with upside potential
### 🟥 **Bears’ Case (DeepSeek, Gemini):**
* Price action still weak
* Distribution pressure detected
* Recommending no trade or puts
---
### 📊 Trade Setup Summary
| Parameter | Value |
| -------------------- | ----------------- |
| 🎯 **Strike** | \$322.50 |
| 📅 **Expiry** | 2025-08-08 (1DTE) |
| 📈 **Direction** | CALL (LONG) |
| 💵 **Entry Price** | \$0.96 |
| 🎯 **Profit Target** | \$1.44 |
| 🛑 **Stop Loss** | \$0.57 |
| 📏 **Size** | 2 Contracts |
| 🔁 **Entry Timing** | Market Open |
| 🧪 **Confidence** | 65% (Moderate) |
---
### ⚠️ Risks to Watch:
* 1DTE = High volatility swings ⚡
* Momentum still leaning bearish 📉
* Gamma moves could trigger sharp reversals
---
📌 **Final Take**:
**Trade if you’re aggressive. Sit out if you’re cautious.**
This is a classic high-risk/high-reward setup driven by **options flow vs. price action divergence**.
Coinbase (COIN) Shares Reach All-Time HighCoinbase (COIN) Shares Reach All-Time High
According to the chart of Coinbase Global (COIN), the share price of the cryptocurrency exchange has reached a historical all-time high (closing price).
The bullish sentiment has been supported by the following factors:
→ Bitcoin price rally. Yesterday, we analysed the BTC/USD chart and anticipated that bulls might attempt to set a new record. Following the publication, Bitcoin made a strong upward move, breaking above the $118,000 level.
→ Passage of the GENIUS bill in the US , which establishes a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins.
Can COIN stock continue to climb?
Technical Analysis of Coinbase (COIN) Share Price
At the end of June, our analysis of the COIN chart highlighted the following:
→ From a broader perspective, COIN’s price fluctuations over the past year had formed an ascending channel (marked in grey).
→ The ongoing intermediate rally (marked in blue) had the potential to drive the price towards the upper boundary of this grey channel.
This scenario has materialised: today, COIN shares are trading near the upper edge of the grey channel. However, several factors now warrant a bearish outlook:
→ The upper boundary of the channel may act as resistance;
→ The psychological level of $400 could also serve as resistance;
→ Shareholders may be tempted to lock in profits;
→ A potential bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
It is possible that in the near term, COIN bulls will attempt to break through the $400 level. However, if buying momentum weakens, the conditions may favour a price correction — which would appear justified after a nearly 60% rally since early June.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Coinbase (COIN) Shares Hit Year-to-Date HighCoinbase (COIN) Shares Hit Year-to-Date High
As we reported six days ago, shares of Coinbase Global (COIN) received a strong bullish boost after the US Senate approved the GENIUS bill, which sets out regulations for the use of stablecoins.
As the Coinbase Global (COIN) stock chart shows, the rally is ongoing. Yesterday, the price surged by over 12%, once again becoming the top performer in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).
Bullish sentiment is being fuelled by news that:
→ Two funds managed by Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest acquired around 4,200 Coinbase shares;
→ Analysts at Benchmark raised their target price for Coinbase Global (COIN) from $301 to $421.
Could the COIN share price continue to rise?
Technical Analysis of the Coinbase (COIN) Stock Chart
From a broader perspective, the COIN share price has formed an ascending channel over the past year (marked in grey), and only once — in reaction to news about Trump tariffs — did the price briefly fall outside of this channel.
Based on this, it is reasonable to assume that the developing intermediate rally (highlighted in blue) could reach the upper boundary of the grey channel. However, the psychological level of $350 — near the 2024 peak — appears to be a significant resistance point on this path.
It is possible that we will soon see this level act as resistance on the COIN stock chart, leading to the formation of a correction — which would seem appropriate after a nearly 40% price increase since the start of the month.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Coinbase Shares Rise Following Stablecoin Legislation ApprovalCoinbase (COIN) Shares Rise Following Stablecoin Legislation Approval
Shares in Coinbase Global (COIN) surged by 11% yesterday, making the company the top performer in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).
The sharp rise was driven by news that the US Senate has approved the GENIUS stablecoin bill, which sets out a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins — crypto assets whose value is pegged to another currency or financial instrument, such as the US dollar.
The bill (which still requires approval from the House of Representatives) would pave the way for banks, fintech companies, and other financial market participants to use stablecoins. This development acted as a strong bullish catalyst for COIN shares.
Technical Analysis of Coinbase (COIN) Share Price Chart
In our previous analysis of the COIN share price chart, we:
→ identified an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ suggested that the COIN share price could rise towards the psychological level of $300.
That projection has played out — the price is now very close to the $300 mark. So, what comes next?
In a bold, optimistic scenario, buyers may hope for a continuation of the rally, with the share price pushing towards the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel, especially following the recent news. In the medium term, the blue ascending channel may remain relevant, given the strong signal of improved cryptocurrency regulation in the US legislative framework.
However, we also note some vulnerability to a pullback, as:
→ the $300 level may act as significant resistance;
→ the price is approaching the upper boundary of the blue channel, which also shows resistance characteristics;
→ once the initial wave of positive sentiment fades, some investors may look to take profits, especially given the more than 20% rise in Coinbase (COIN) shares since the beginning of the month.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
COINBASE: 3rd Bollinger Squeeze is a pullback buy signalCoinbase is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.834, MACD = 21.140, ADX = 19.909) as it is extending the bullish wave following the S1 rebound. The Bollindger Bands are now expriencing a squeeze, which is the 3rd since the bottom. The 2024 bullish wave also had three Bollinger Squeezes with the 3rd being the last that made the 349.50 High but not before a pullback to the Bollinger bottom. If that takes place, it will be a signal to go even stronger on the bullish side and target the R1 level (TP = 348.50).
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Coinbase (COIN) Shares to Be Added to the S&P 500Coinbase (COIN) Shares to Be Added to the S&P 500
According to media reports, shares of the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global (COIN) are scheduled to be added to the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) on 19 May, replacing Discover Financial Services (DFS), which is in the final stages of being acquired by Capital One Financial (COF). The deal, having received all necessary approvals from regulators and shareholders of both companies, is expected to be completed on 18 May 2025.
As a result, Coinbase Global will become the first cryptocurrency-related company to be included in the S&P 500 index — a development that sent COIN shares surging to their highest level since late February. Inclusion in the S&P 500 is considered a bullish catalyst, as it suggests increased demand for the stock from index funds and signals improved prospects. Analysts have taken note; Rosenblatt Securities raised their price target for Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) from $260 to $300.
Technical Analysis of COIN Stock Chart
In previous analyses of the COIN stock chart, we:
→ drew a descending channel;
→ identified a resistance zone in the $225–240 range (highlighted in purple).
However, the surge in demand triggered by the news of COIN’s inclusion in the S&P 500 has led to:
→ the descending channel appearing to lose relevance entirely;
→ the price gapping above the purple resistance zone;
→ increasing grounds to draw a potential upward trend trajectory (shown with blue lines).
Given the current momentum, it is possible that the COIN share price could rise towards the psychological $300 level, which acted as resistance earlier in 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Coinbase: Catching BreathCoinbase is currently catching its breath in a sideways movement. We still attribute more upside potential to the ongoing wave b in orange, expecting it to rise close to the resistance at $422.11. However, wave c should start below this mark and ultimately complete the blue wave (ii) above the support at $138.45. The subsequent blue wave (iii) should then carry the price significantly above the $422.11 mark.
Why Coinbase (COIN) Shares Are RisingWhy Coinbase (COIN) Shares Are Rising
As the Coinbase (COIN) stock chart shows, trading closed yesterday above the $200 mark — for the first time since March.
Since the beginning of April, COIN's share price has risen by nearly 20%, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has declined by approximately 2%.
Bullish Drivers Behind COIN’s Price Rise
According to media reports, several factors are contributing to the bullish momentum:
→ Yesterday’s announcement that Coinbase and PayPal are expanding their partnership in the areas of crypto payments and decentralised finance (DeFi). The collaboration aims to increase the adoption of the PYUSD stablecoin and integrate it into merchant settlements.
→ The anticipated adoption of US stablecoin legislation, designed to establish a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins. This is being supported by the Trump administration’s progressive stance on cryptocurrencies, including the appointment of crypto-friendly officials, the creation of a strategic crypto reserve, and other pro-crypto initiatives.
Technical Analysis of COIN Stock
The psychological level of $150, which served as strong support in 2024, has proven resilient again in April 2025. However, despite the rapid rise in price from $150 to $200 in under three weeks, there are reasons to believe that bullish sentiment may begin to fade:
→ The COIN share price remains within a downward trend, highlighted by a channel originating in early 2025.
→ The upper boundary of the channel may act as a resistance level.
→ Bears have previously demonstrated control in the $225–240 zone, where the price declined sharply (marked with a red rectangle).
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COINBASE: Reached the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up.Coinbase is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.040, MACD = -17.200, ADX = 47.118) and has hit the bottom of its 1 year Channel Up following a 4H Death Cross. This is typically seen at the end of downtrends and with the 4H RSI already rebounding after turning oversold, we technically have the best buy opportunity since September 6th 2024. The trade is long, TP = 395.00.
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Coinbase: Brief BreakoutCoinbase’s positive earnings initially served as a catalyst for a brief breakout from the previously established range, with shareholders enjoying a nearly 16% gain. However, the euphoria was short-lived, and the stock quickly retreated. We attribute the current fluctuation to the blue wave (v), which should provide further increases and ultimately complete the larger magenta wave above the resistance at $343.92. Adjustments to our wave count will only be necessary if the price falls below the support at $224 (probability: 33%).
Coinbase: Wave (v) of [iii]!At $241, Coinbase recently reached a new local low, after which the price surged an impressive 17% at its peak. Thus, we now consider the blue wave (iv) as complete and locate the stock in the blue wave (v), which should push to new all-time highs to complete the larger wave of the ongoing magenta upward impulse. However, this upward trajectory will be postponed if COIN encounters selling pressure and falls below the support at $224. We assign a 33% probability to this alternative scenario.
Coinbase: ResistanceSo far, Coinbase was unable to decisively break above the resistance at $341.50. Our primary expectation is that the stock should soon make a significant move above this level, as we anticipate the peak of the ongoing wave in magenta well above it. However, our 33% likely alternative scenario suggests that the stock may have just completed the high of the corrective wave alt.(b) in blue. In this case, it would be moving toward the conclusion of the magenta wave alt. between the supports at $160 and $70.76.
COIN: NOW IS TIME TO BUY, NOT LATERNASDAQ:COIN
COIN: NOW IS TIME TO BUY, NOT LATER
Pullback levels are so important because they allow you to understand what is happening to the stock you are trading or investing in.
Typically when a stock pulls back and peoples gains begin to deminish or losses begin to mount they let emotions take over and guide their finger to the SELL button.
But, as you can see on the chart and if you watched my don't FOMO into Coinbase video, you know that 80-90% of breakouts retest and we need to wait for that to happen before entering or adding to our position.
I present to you the pullback with levels: I'm 1/2 into my trading position at this time.
Lvl 1: The cup and Handle breakout point once resistance turned support - $283
Lvl 2: Price GAP fill at $273.50
These are the levels to watch and buy if you want into this trade.
All indicators are still BULLISH and we still have a #HIGHFIVESETUP
See previous video attached to this post if you missed the full thesis.
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COINBASE: Can it survive this brutal -10% selloff ??Coinbase remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.131, MACD = 29.400, ADX = 29.780) despite today's massive selling that is exceeding -10%. This is because the RSI was highly overbought almost at 80.000 on Monday. So far the stock seems to be correcting the insane rally from the start of November and the rebound on the 1D MA50.
Even during COIN's prior rally phases since June 2023, the time when the 1D RSI first turned overbought (above 70.000) was not the end of the rally/ top of the uptrend but merely a technical correction. At most the correction pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is now at 263. With an upcoming Golden Cross on the 1D timeframe, we believe Coinbase can exceed $400 on this rally phase. Our minimum target remains (TP1 = 360.00) and maximum if you seek more risk TP2 = 435.00.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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