GOLD MARKET UPDATEHey Everyone,
As we close out the week, price action on the 1 hour chart continues to consolidate within the defined Goldturn range between 4193 and 4233. The 4193 weighted Goldturn has held as a structural support level, generating the rebound that carried price back into 4233.
Earlier in the week, we observed a cross and lock above 4233, which leaves the 4275 gap unfilled. This upside inefficiency will remain on our radar as long as price holds above the mid range structure.
We will return Sunday with a full multi-timeframe breakdown and detailed trade tracking plan for the upcoming week.
Mr Gold
Commodities
XAUUSD: Triangle Breakdown Setup Points Toward $4,160 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold has recently moved out of a strong upward channel, where price previously showed consistent bullish momentum supported by higher lows and clean breakouts. After breaking out of the first channel, XAUUSD formed a consolidation range, signaling temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This range acted as a base for the next impulsive bullish leg, which drove price back into a new upward channel. However, after the strong rally, gold formed a fake breakout near the $4,240 resistance area, which coincides with the upper boundary of the triangle resistance line. This false breakout indicated weakening bullish pressure and exhaustion near the top of the structure. Once price failed to hold above the resistance, it rotated downward and began forming a tightening triangle pattern between the descending resistance line and the rising support line.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading inside this triangle structure, with price gradually compressing. The $4,160 support level remains a key reference point, as it previously acted as a major demand zone during the last correction and is now aligned with the triangle’s lower boundary.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bearish as long as gold stays below the triangle resistance line and continues to respect the lower highs forming within the pattern. If price maintains this structure and fails to reclaim $4,240, I expect a downward move toward the $4,160 support zone.
Therefore, a clean breakdown below the triangle support line would confirm bearish continuation and could open the door for a deeper correction. On the other hand, if price rejects the support and breaks above the triangle resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid, and buyers may attempt another retest of the $4,240 level. For now, the structure favors a short bias with the main objective being a move toward the $4,160 support level, which remains the next significant target for sellers.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold (xauusd): two inverse head and shouldersHi!
Gold continues to show constructive bullish behavior on the 1-hour timeframe, validated by consecutive inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) formations that developed around major support areas.
The first iH&S appeared near 4,173–4,180 USD, where price formed a clear left shoulder, deep head, and right shoulder inside a well-defined demand zone. The neckline was broken cleanly, confirming bullish intent. The projected target for this larger pattern lies in the 4,265–4,272 USD region (pink zone), which remains the ultimate upside objective as long as structure holds.
After the breakout, Gold retraced and created another smaller iH&S nested within the broader pattern. This second structure also built its head inside the same support region, highlighting strong buyer defense. Its neckline breakout signals a nearer target at 4,242–4,250 USD (green zone).
Gold is currently trading above the smaller neckline, retesting the breakout level. A successful retest followed by higher lows would likely fuel continuation toward the green zone, and eventually toward the pink zone, completing the larger pattern’s measured move.
Failure to hold above the neckline may lead to a deeper pullback toward 4,185–4,195 USD, but the bullish pattern remains valid unless the head area is breached.
Overall, structure supports a continuation of the uptrend as long as price remains above the neckline and key support levels.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD → Consolidation above 4220. Bullish structureFX:XAUUSD is trading in a narrow range around $4,200, maintaining sideways momentum ahead of US inflation data. The market confirms a bullish structure...
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at ≈90%.
Mixed US employment data:
– Jobless claims fell to their lowest level since September 2022.
– Layoffs in November reached a two-year high.
The key benchmark today is the PCE index for September (data delayed due to the government shutdown).
Gold is awaiting new signals on inflation. Range trading is likely until the release of PCE data, which may set the direction of movement ahead of the Fed's decision.
Resistance levels: 4238, 4262
Support levels: 4220, 4183
If the bulls hold their ground above local support at 4220, we will have a chance to break through 4238 and retest 4262. However, a breakout of the trading range resistance could trigger a continuation of the rally towards the ATH.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD | Gold Update : Watching 4192 and 4240 Closely!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that price followed the previous analysis perfectly and hit the first target at $4240, even pushing slightly higher to $4242. After that move, gold pulled back and corrected all the way down to $4175. Right now gold is trading around $4192, which is basically a neutral zone with no clear direction yet.
We need to see whether price can climb back above $4240 again or not. One important point: if gold fails to hold above $4192 within the next hour, we might see another heavier drop. Keep an eye on the reaction to these key levels. I will update this analysis again soon.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OIL Is Cheap For A ReasonOil is cheap because the global economy sucks! And it is "sucking" more and more every day. That's why Oil is on sale! Cheap! Cheap! And likely going to get more "cheap! cheap!" Me love you long time! Before I continue, story time.
In 2008, I could not convince anyone for the life of me that "PEAK OIL" was a scam! CNBC had T. Boone Pickens on twice a day, telling people we needed 238948735765374 barrels of oil to extract 1 barrel out of the ground.
Today, I can't convince anyone to skip EV, TSLA, AI, Crypto, the money has been made, GTFO. LOL!
As you can see, Oil is a much better long-term investment than all the hyped up trades pushed on to you daily.
Energy stocks make up about 3% of the S&P 500.
The Magnificent Seven circus? Roughly 36% of the entire index. LOL!
What are energy stocks going to do? Go to 1.5% of the SP500? Let it! Buy more!
BTW, you notice how they keep telling you AI will need all this energy? LOL! Wouldn't energy stocks reflect all that demand? LOL! SUCKA!
Anyway! Just look at the chart. If this makes sense to you and it fits your portfolio to BUILD a position long term, let me know in the comments. ;)
I have more on Oil here
THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent.
On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes
Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160
Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation.
Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252
Rules:
✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15)
✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement
✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement
Targets:
1. 4200 – 4190
2. 4182 – 4176
3. 4170 – 4168
🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160
Rules:
✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up
✔ Displacement candle away from discount
✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm
Targets:
1. 4186
2. 4210
3. 4242+
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent
• No averaging inside compression
• SL = structural invalidation only
• Reduce size during headline-driven spikes
📍 Summary
Two institutional paths today:
• 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170
or
• 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+
Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
XAUUSD Long: The 4,160 Support Holds – Path to 4,260 is OpenHello, traders! The price action for XAUUSD is currently developing within a well-defined ascending trend structure, supported by a rising major Trend Line from the lows. The market previously showed multiple rejections from the Triangle Supply Line, each marked by clear breakout attempts followed by corrective pullbacks. These reactions formed a sequence of higher lows, confirming that buyers remain in control of the broader structure.
Currently, after the last strong impulsive move upward, Gold reacted from the Supply Zone around 4,260, forming a short-term corrective phase while respecting the rising Triangle Demand Line near the 4,160 demand level. Price is now compressing between the descending supply line and the ascending demand line, creating a tightening triangle structure that signals growing pressure for a directional expansion. This compression reflects a balance between profit-taking sellers at resistance and aggressive dip-buyers along demand.
My scenario for the further development is bullish continuation as long as price holds above the Triangle Demand Line and the 4,160 demand zone. I expect a rebound from current levels, followed by a renewed attack on the 4,260 Supply Zone. If buyers manage to produce a clean breakout above this resistance, Gold may accelerate toward higher targets with strong momentum continuation. However, if the supply zone holds and price breaks below the demand line, a deeper corrective pullback toward the main rising Trend Line could develop. For now, the structure favors buyers, with the key focus on a breakout attempt toward 4,260. Manage your risk!
GOLD → Retest of consolidation support on uptrend FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range around $4,200, awaiting new labor market data to determine the Fed's policy trajectory after December's rate cut.
Weak US data (a 32K decline in ADP employment and a slight increase in ISM services to 52.6) did not change market expectations. The probability of a 25 bp Fed rate cut on December 11 is around 90%. Attention has shifted to the trajectory of policy easing in early 2026. Key factors will be data on unemployment claims and sentiment on Wall Street.
The fundamental background is relatively positive, and the dollar has entered a correction phase due to expectations of lower rates, which may support the gold price...
Resistance levels: 4238, 4262
Support levels: 4185, 4175
Gold is testing the support levels of the key trading range. If the bulls keep the price above 4185 and form a bullish reversal pattern, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to intermediate highs.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Eyes 4,207 Rebound as USD Softens & Venezuela Tensions RiseHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,207 zone. Gold continues to trade within a broader uptrend, and the current pullback is bringing price into a key support–resistance confluence aligned with the ascending trend structure.
Fundamentals:
The US Dollar remains under pressure, with markets increasingly leaning toward a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve, reinforcing gold’s classic negative correlation with the USD. A softer Dollar environment typically boosts demand for metals, and this week’s macro flow continues to point in that direction.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela are escalating, increasing global uncertainty and driving markets toward safe-haven assets. Gold is already reflecting this risk premium, and any further escalation could accelerate flows into XAU.
Next Step:
We’re watching price reaction closely around 4,207 for a potential continuation of the broader bullish structure.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Starbucks at Support - Time to Brew a Bullish Move?📈SBUX has been moving inside a clean rising channel for years, respecting both the upper and lower bounds with precision.
⚔️Right now, Starbucks is retesting the lower bound of this long-term channel, a zone that has historically acted as a strong support (blue arrows).
As long as this area holds, we will be looking for trend-following longs, aiming for a continuation toward the mid and upper boundaries of the channel.📈
Nothing is confirmed yet, but this is exactly where buyers have stepped in many times before.
If the structure holds, the next bullish swing could already be brewing. ☕️
Do you think SBUX is ready for its next leg up? Share your thoughts below! 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold - The bullrun top happens now!✂️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is heading for a major reversal:
🔎Analysis summary:
After the all time high breakout back in 2024, Gold has been rallying about +115% until today. During this entire move, Gold did not create any real correction. Considering that Gold is currently retesting a major resistance trendline, the bullrun top happens now.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold Bulls Hold Control — Targeting $4,320 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAU/USD (Gold) based on the current market structure shown on the chart. After a strong bullish impulse earlier in the period, Gold formed a distribution Range below the main Resistance Level, where multiple upside attempts were rejected and the price eventually turned around from the upper range boundary. This rejection initiated a corrective decline that respected the descending Resistance Line, while buyers gradually began to defend the Support Line, leading to a compression structure that later transitioned into a reversal phase. Following this consolidation, Gold successfully broke above both the internal range and the descending resistance, confirming a shift in market structure. Price then entered a well-defined ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows along the rising Support Line. Several clean breakouts inside the channel confirm sustained bullish momentum, with buyers clearly in control as long as the channel structure remains intact. Currently, price is consolidating just above the $4,160–$4,140 support zone, holding above former breakout levels and respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This behavior suggests a healthy bullish pullback rather than trend exhaustion. As long as Gold remains above this support area and holds inside the channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. My expectation is for a continuation move toward the upper boundary of the channel, with the main upside target at TP1 around $4,320, where the previous resistance and projected channel resistance converge. A clean breakout above this level would open the door for further bullish expansion. However, a sustained break below the $4,140 support or a drop out of the channel would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a deeper corrective move. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,223.82
Target Level: 4,205.21
Stop Loss: 4,236.08
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD: A new rise is possible after the pullbackXAUUSD has climbed strongly along a steep uptrend, and based on what I’m seeing on the chart, I expect the price to continue pushing toward the 4,265 area.
This zone could become a decision point where the price either finds support and bounces higher or breaks below and allows the move to extend deeper.
If I had to choose a direction right now, I’d lean toward more upside. But price action will always decide what comes next because the chart always speaks last.
When the price breaks below the trendline with real conviction, the bullish scenario loses validity. That could signal a pause in the uptrend or even a short-term reversal.
This is not financial advice, only my personal thoughts based on what I see on the chart.
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone
1. Market snapshot
On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur.
The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control.
In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points.
2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note
Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart):
This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest.
When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction.
Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move.
Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week.
3. Trading scenario for next week
Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area
Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys.
Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area.
Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below.
Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week.
Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement
If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure:
Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support).
The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend.
In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom.
4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold
Central banks are increasing gold purchases:
In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022.
This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed.
This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold.
Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions.
5. Risk management suggestions
Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy.
Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
Gold Surges on Weak US Data but Momentum FadesHello everyone,
Last night, spot gold on the international market saw a sharp rally of several dozen dollars per ounce after the US released a series of economic reports that came in weaker than expected — particularly labour market data, which strengthened expectations that the Fed may accelerate its rate-cutting path. This is generally positive for gold, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
However, shortly after the breakout, the market witnessed a large wave of profit-taking from institutional investors, causing gold to reverse and drop sharply.
The downside pressure did not come solely from profit-taking; it was also reinforced by a US economic backdrop showing mixed and increasingly unstable signals: weak employment data, slowing growth prospects, and rising expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts. These factors have left capital flows uncertain — torn between holding gold for safety or shifting toward risk assets as US equities recover slightly.
From my perspective, gold is now standing at a critical crossroads:
Weak US data could support another upward leg.
A dovish Fed remains a strong underlying foundation.
But persistent profit-taking may prolong the short-term correction.
Gold’s next move will depend heavily on upcoming US economic releases this week and how the market reacts to shifting expectations around the Fed’s monetary policy.
Wishing everyone a clear-headed and successful trading day ahead!
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4203 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4205 Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall to the pivot, which acts as a pullback support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,146.41
1st Support: 4,085.30
1st Resistance: 4,264.13
Disclaimer:
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Gold Market Flow Points Toward Higher LevelsGold Market Flow Points Toward Higher Levels
Gold continues to display a controlled upward trajectory characterized by steady accumulation and orderly price expansion. The recent sessions show a consistent pattern of demand absorption, where each corrective phase is met with renewed buyer engagement, preventing deeper retracements. This suggests that the market remains comfortably positioned within a bullish environment, supported by ongoing interest from medium-term participants.
Price flow has transitioned away from the aggressive liquidation seen earlier in the month and is now driven by a more balanced rotation between buyers and short-term profit-takers. Despite this rotation, the dominant pressure remains upward, as visible through the repeated failure of sellers to extend declines. Momentum flows indicate that buyers are gradually reclaiming lost ground after every corrective cycle, signaling stable confidence in higher valuations.
Market behavior also reflects a pattern where liquidity beneath short-term swing points is routinely harvested before upward expansion resumes. This action shows that deeper market participants continue to optimize entry points by collecting orders during brief moments of weakness. Once these orders are filled, price rapidly rotates back upward, revealing that underlying demand remains unshaken.
Current positioning suggests that Gold is in a preparation phase for another expansion leg. Price is stabilizing in a compression zone where volatility temporarily narrows before a directional drive. Historically, such compression within an established upward environment often precedes continuation, especially when buyers demonstrate willingness to defend even shallow pullbacks.
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is moving in an ascending channel and creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 4,188.16.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 4,233.29 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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