A rebound after hitting bottom is bound to face pressure again.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold rebounded after falling to around 3997, forming a V-shaped pattern and has now largely recovered its Asian session losses. However, judging from the timeline, the mid-term correction is not yet completely over. During the NY session, we should continue to pay attention to the 4000-3980 range. Only a break below this level can open up further downside potential. Similarly, as I mentioned before, the market is expected to remain volatile before the data release, so the short-term upside resistance level to watch is 4055-4060, and the key resistance level is 4080-4090. If gold prices first touch 4055-4060 and encounter resistance during the NY session, consider shorting gold with a small position.
Commodities
GBPUSD Buy Strategy: From Safe Zone to the TopGuys,
I have prepared a GBPUSD analysis for you.
📌 When GBPUSD reaches the 1.31642 - 1.31495 zone, I will open a buy position, aiming for the 1.37937 level as my target.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. I sincerely thank all of you who support me with your appreciation.
Gold remains bearish.Gold traded sideways yesterday before breaking out of a converging triangle pattern and falling to a low of around 4006, marking its third consecutive day of decline on the daily chart. In the short term, the 4090 level has become effective resistance. While the highs are consistently lower, the market isn't extremely weak; each rebound has its strength but is quickly suppressed and falls again. Continue to wait for a rebound before selling today!
Although there was a technical rebound after yesterday's sharp drop, its strength was limited. As long as the key resistance level of $4100 cannot be broken, any upward movement is a selling opportunity. In the short term, pay attention to whether the 4000 support level can hold. My view remains unchanged: the resistance after a rebound is in the $4100-$4090 range; look for selling opportunities within this range.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4020, Second Support: 4006, Third Support: 3995
First Resistance: 4055, Second Resistance: 4073, Third Resistance: 4090
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
Buy: 4000-4005, SL: 3990, TP: 4025-4035;
Sell: 4080-4085, SL: 4095, TP: 4060-4050;
More Analysis →
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4045 Area
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
USOIL : LIVE TRADEHello friends
Given the price growth, you can see that buyers have repeatedly tried to break the resistance but were unsuccessful and the weakness of the trend is quite clear.
Now we can trade with capital and risk management and account management.
This is not a buy or sell offer.
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EUR/USD | Euro Preparing for a Bearish Reversal Zone! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 6H timeframe, we can see the price trading around 1.1590. I expect a small push upward first, followed by a potential rejection from the 1.16085–1.1640 zone. If we get a strong rejection there, a powerful bearish move could follow.
This bearish scenario only fails if the price breaks above 1.1660.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD(xauusd): Structure Breaks Suggest Deeper Correction AheadHi!
Gold has shown clear signs of weakening after failing to sustain its push toward the recent highs. The market engulfed the last major low before the top, signaling a structural shift, and has already broken below the secondary ascending trendline. This confirms that bullish momentum is fading.
Price is currently retesting the first demand zone, but if buyers fail to hold this level, the chart suggests a potential continuation to the downside. The key level to watch is the horizontal support around $4,000. A clean break below this zone would likely open the door for a deeper move toward the major demand area highlighted around $3,560 – $3,520.
As long as Gold remains below the broken structure and fails to reclaim the upper zone, the broader bias leans bearish, with lower highs forming and liquidity sitting below.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD H1 – Hawkish Fed Pressure Ahead of Key NFP Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (18/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a bearish corrective channel as markets react to hawkish Federal Reserve commentary and positioning ahead of this week’s U.S. NFP data.
• Fed officials signaled a stronger stance against premature rate cuts, keeping USD supported and limiting gold’s upside.
• Price continues to hover near $4,080, reflecting uncertainty as traders balance Fed tone with upcoming labor-market reports.
Institutional order flow shows controlled downside pressure, with engineered liquidity sweeps forming around both channel extremes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price remains inside a Bearish Correction Channel, creating consecutive BOS points, confirming distribution.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4107–4105 aligns with a previous mitigation block + internal liquidity.
• Discount Buy Zone: 3983–3985 sits at the lower boundary of the channel + liquidity sweep zone.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity above 4107 (clean equal-high pocket).
→ Sell-side liquidity resting around 3985–3976, where prior long positions were removed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,107 – 4,105
• Stop-Loss: 4,117
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,060 (minor imbalance fill)
→ 4,030 (BOS retest)
→ 3,985 (discount zone)
📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 3,983 – 3,985
• Stop-Loss: 3,976
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,030 (short-term structure high)
→ 4,060 (inefficiency midpoint)
→ 4,105 (premium retest)
📌 Valid if price taps channel low + shows bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility as markets digest hawkish Fed remarks before NFP.
• Avoid entering trades inside the 4020–4070 chop region without clear BOS.
• Reduce position size during news hours.
• Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket.
📝 Summary
Gold remains pressured by Fed rhetoric, but liquidity is building at both extremes.
• Sell Zone: 4107–4105 (premium mitigation area)
• Buy Zone: 3983–3985 (discount liquidity sweep)
Price is likely to form a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern within the channel.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
🎁 More insights & gifts on my TradingView profile.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 18Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4110, Support: 3930
4-Hour Resistance: 4095, Support: 4000
1-Hour Resistance: 4055, Support: 4000
In the short term, the gold bull market faces the risk of cooling. However, medium- to long-term bulls do not need to panic. Future tariff inflation risks, the trend of central bank gold purchases, and the prolonged geopolitical economic uncertainties, along with the Fed's declining real interest rates, will continue to support gold's core value as a safe-haven asset. The market is at an inflection point; gold bulls need to patiently wait for clearer inflation data or the triggering of new safe-haven events before resuming the upward trend.
The technical picture is largely in line with recent analysis expectations. The continuous decline on the daily chart strengthens the short-term bearish outlook. After the price broke below the Bollinger Middle Band support, the bears are bound to extend the decline. The 4000 level remains crucial in the short term. A decisive break below this level would warrant a short-term sell signal, targeting 3930 or even a drop below 3900 to around 3880. Conversely, if the price rebounds and recovers 4100 in the short term, a buy signal is also warranted, potentially leading to a return to the 4220/4250 area. We need to pay close attention to the possibility of a December rate cut exceeding 60%, as this could trigger a sharp rebound in gold prices.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, after the European session opened, gold's rebound was met with resistance near the middle Bollinger Band at 4043. It is currently in a downward pressure phase. Watch for resistance at the lower edge of the triangle consolidation range mentioned in yesterday's analysis, around 4050/4055.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4000~3996
SELL: 4050~4055
More Analysis →
Gold Eyes 4,000 — Key Buy Zone Ahead!!Hey Traders,
Today we’re keeping a close watch on XAUUSD, which continues to trade firmly within its medium-term uptrend. Price is currently pulling back in a healthy correction, and the 4,000 zone stands out as a major confluence level — a structural support, previous reaction area, and dynamic trend touchpoint.
A controlled dip into this zone could attract fresh buyers, especially with markets still leaning toward risk caution and demand for safe-haven flows remaining elevated. As long as the broader trend structure holds, Gold may attempt another leg higher from this area.
Trade safe,
Joe.
How to build a Healthy Trading MindsetMany traders underestimate how much psychology shapes their results. This guide outlines the foundations of a strong trading mindset that supports consistent and disciplined decision-making.
1. Understand That Emotional Discipline Is a Skill
Trading naturally triggers emotions such as fear, frustration, greed, and impatience. These reactions are not weaknesses; they are human. What separates consistent traders from inconsistent ones is their ability to recognize emotions without acting on them.
A resilient mindset comes from training, not talent.
2. Create Distance Between Yourself and Your Trades
Do not tie your self-worth to the outcome of a single position. A loss does not mean you failed, and a win does not mean you are skilled. When traders begin to link identity to results, they make impulsive decisions.
Use phrases like “this trade” instead of “my trade” to remove ownership bias.
3. Focus on Process, Not Profit
Most traders sabotage themselves by obsessing over the end result. The market does not reward effort; it rewards alignment with probability.
Instead of thinking “How much can I make?”, think “Did I execute according to my plan?”
Your trading plan should define your entries, exits, risk, and market conditions. Follow it even when it feels uncomfortable.
4. Accept Uncertainty as Part of the Game
No setup is guaranteed. Every trade, no matter how perfect, carries uncertainty. Accepting this prevents you from forcing control where none exists.
When you fully accept uncertainty, you no longer fear it.
5. Build Consistency Through Routine
A stable routine reduces mental noise. Examples include:
• Reviewing your plan before each session
• Limiting how many markets you monitor
• Taking breaks after high-stress situations
• Logging your trades with honest notes
When your routine is consistent, your decisions become consistent.
6. Use Losses as Data, Not Drama
A loss is not a personal attack from the market. It is information.
Ask: “What does this loss teach me about my system or my mindset?”
If you can extract value from losses, they become opportunities instead of obstacles.
7. Master Patience
Most trading errors come from acting too soon, not too late. Patience means waiting for your setup without deviation.
If you need to be in a trade at all times, it is no longer trading; it is compulsion.
8. Protect Your Mental Capital
Mental capital is as important as financial capital. Overtrading, revenge trading, and excessive chart time drain your cognitive energy.
Stop trading when you notice fatigue, frustration, or impulsiveness. A clear mind is an advantage.
9. Develop Long-Term Thinking
Think in terms of series, not individual outcomes. A single win or loss means little. What matters is the overall direction of your equity curve.
Professional traders think in months and years. Amateurs think in minutes.
Conclusion
A powerful trading mindset is built through consistency, self-awareness, and emotional control. By focusing on process and discipline rather than short-term results, you create a stable internal environment that supports longevity in the markets.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,010.78
- Strong pullback support
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 161.8% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 3,928.49
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 4,109.35
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
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GOLD → Retest 4050 in a weak market...FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off support at 4000 and forming a correction towards 4050, an important resistance level. The market's main focus is on the September employment report (NFP), which will be released on Thursday.
Key pressure factors:
The strong dollar is supported by hawkish statements from the Fed and risk aversion. The probability of a rate cut in December has fallen to 42%.
Support for gold: Demand for government bonds has lowered the yield on 10-year Treasuries, allowing gold to rebound to $4045.
A series of negative labor market reports keeps risks alive.
Gold remains under pressure. A break below $4000 will open the way to $3950, while a rise above $4050 will require weak NFP data or dovish Fed rhetoric. The week will determine the direction
Resistance levels: 4050, 4090
Support levels: 4000, 3965
The market is beginning to doubt the local bullish structure. Strong trend support is breaking down and the previously broken level is being retested. If the bears keep the price below 4045-4050, gold could continue to decline. However, it is worth keeping an eye on the news in the second half of this week...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – Watching Reaction at Support ZoneAfter a brief consolidation yesterday, gold dropped into the Support Zone and is currently trading around 4014. Market structure remains bearish, with price sitting below both the MA50 and MA200. The series of rejection wicks shows buyers are trying to push back, but momentum is still with the sellers for now.
The first resistance is at 4027. For buyers to gain traction, we need a clean break above 4027, followed by a break above 4053 — only then could we see an attempt toward 4078.
If price fails to hold the Support Zone and breaks below 3,996, the next downside target becomes the HTF Support Zone — a major area where buyers have reacted strongly in the past.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4027
4053
4078
Support:
3996
3968
3921
USDCAD: Patient Fed & oil drop support iH&S projection to 1.4370USDCAD is building an interesting medium-term setup as crude oil weakness combines with Fed patience and supports dollar strength against the loonie, with an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern pointing to a measured-move target near 1.4370.
Crude oil recently broke below $60, directly pressuring the Canadian dollar since Canada is a major commodity exporter. Meanwhile, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, despite labour market softness ahead of a potential partial NFP on Friday, keeps the buck bid as investors hold dollars for yield.
The technical structure confirms what the macro backdrop suggests: USDCAD has room to run higher from current levels.
Key drivers
Oil breakdown hurts CAD: crude slipped below $60 recently, and every time oil weakens, the commodity-linked loonie follows. This correlation has been tracking cleanly since July, when USDCAD turned higher alongside the energy sell-off.
Fed patience supports USD: Despite labour-market weakness signals from existing data releases, the Fed isn't rushing to cut in December, and a patient central bank typically supports the dollar because investors can hold dollars and earn decent carry while awaiting clarity on policy.
Inverse H&S pattern: The technical setup shows a head near 1.3537, a neckline breakout near 1.3900, and a clean retest at 1.3985 (former 2022 resistance turned support). The measured move from head to neckline brings 1.4370 into play, with intermediate targets at swing levels.
RSI reset above 50: After showing flat divergence at the recent highs, the RSI has reset by bouncing cleanly off the 50 line on the daily chart, suggesting momentum has room for another leg higher before any overbought concern.
Use 1.3985 as your line in the sand, consider longs above this level with the first target at the peak of 1.4145 (validation of the breakout), the second at 1.4250, and trail stops toward 1.4370 if momentum holds. Watch for oil to remain below $60 and Fed messaging to stay cautious, as a daily close below 1.3985 would shift the bias to consolidation, while full pattern invalidation sits at 1.3720.
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GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,168.46
Target Level: 4,053.04
Stop Loss: 4,244.92
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
How to navigate volatile market conditions after the government #XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I mentioned on Friday, if the closing price failed to stabilize above 4110-4120, gold would weaken further on Monday. Sure enough, gold again fluctuated downwards, testing the 4050 support level.
With Friday's panic selling gradually subsiding and the US government reopening, significant fluctuations are unlikely in the short term. Key data such as NFP and PMI may be released this week. Before the data is released, the market may be relatively cautious, and I think the market may tend to fluctuate and recover.
Short-term support levels to watch are 4050-4030. If the price retraces and tests this support again during the European session, we can try to continue going long on gold.
PRE-LONDON CONDITIONS — DXY Range-Bound, Yields Slide, ES HeavyU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds a tight 98.99–99.59 range in a third consecutive inside bar.
U.S. 10-year yield drops ~1.01% in Asia.
U.S. 2-year yield falls ~1.27%.
S&P 500 futures (ES) extend lower toward the 6.571 fractal.
Gold tests support after filling imbalance.
Volatility remains elevated.
DXY — Dollar Index
Dollar stays inside 98.991–99.591.
Inside-bar stack remains unbroken.
Price sits near the 0.6 premium zone.
Neutral until London breaks the range.
Yields — 10Y & 2Y
10Y yield: -1.01% in Asia → long-end compression.
2Y yield: -1.27% → dovish policy tone.
Curve: both ends lower → risk-off positioning.
ES — S&P 500 Futures
ES moves lower toward 6.571.
Yesterday’s high-volatility expansion continues.
Tone remains defensive.
Gold — Safety Premium
Gold fills imbalance and presses into support.
Break = active safety flows.
Hold = passive bid.
Volatility
VIX closed pre-London.
Futures hold elevated regime.
Conditions favor fast intraday expansions.
Calendar Risk
Medium-tier data ahead.
Yesterday’s partial data production repeats → limited visibility.
Expect flow-driven moves until major prints arrive.
Execution View
DXY bias neutral inside range.
Yields down + ES down = risk-off.
Gold support = key inflection.
London expansion outside 98.99–99.59 sets direction.
Trade second move, not first spike.
Summary:
Dollar trapped. Yields lower. ES heavy. Gold at support.
Fragile pre-London environment; London’s first expansion defines the session.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
USOIL Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 59.384.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 61.007 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAU/USD – Bearish Momentum Approaches Key Support ZoneGold continues to trade within a clear downtrend on the H1 timeframe, respecting the descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. Price is now moving toward a major support zone — an area that has previously triggered strong bullish reactions — making it a critical level to watch for today’s session.
Technical Outlook
Trendline: Price continues to respect the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish control.
Support Zone: 3,985 – 3,995 remains the most important demand area. This zone has acted as a reversal base multiple times.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: 4,025 – 4,035 (trendline confluence)
Upper resistance: 4,065 – 4,075
Indicators:
EMA Structure: Price remains below short-term EMAs → indicates sellers remain dominant.
RSI: Approaching oversold territory, suggesting a possible technical rebound.
Fibonacci: The 0.618 retracement aligns closely with the support area, increasing its reliability.
Price Behavior
The chart shows two previous consolidation boxes (accumulation phases), followed by expansions. The current structure is a deep pullback into major support. If selling pressure weakens at this zone, a short-term rebound toward the trendline is likely before the market decides its next major direction.
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound at 3,985 – 3,995
Wait for bullish confirmation candles + increasing volume.
Entry: 3,995 – 4,005
Target 1: 4,025
Target 2: 4,065
Stop-loss: below 3,975
Scenario 2 – Breakdown Below Support
Only trade if price closes clearly below 3,985.
Entry: around 3,980
Target 1: 3,960
Target 2: 3,930
Stop-loss: above 4,010
Final Note
The overall structure still favors the bearish side, but the support zone below is a decision point for the market. Observe price action carefully before entering. Follow for more daily strategies and insights, and save this analysis if you find it helpful.






















