Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Movement Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement From : 3665
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Commodities
Global Gold at a Turning Point: Fed Policy, Yields, GeopoliticGold has once again captured global attention. Spot prices are trading around $3,690–$3,705/oz, hovering near historic highs. A weaker U.S. dollar, falling Treasury yields, and widespread expectations of a 25 bps rate cut by the Federal Reserve on September 17 are the three key forces fueling this rally.
Near-Term Outlook: Scenarios Ahead
For the next 1–2 weeks, all eyes are on the Fed:
Base Case (Most Probable): A 25 bps cut with a cautious, data-dependent tone. Under this scenario, gold is likely to consolidate between $3,630 and $3,760, with buyers stepping in on dips.
Bullish Extension: If the Fed surprises with an overtly dovish message (via the dot plot or guidance) and the dollar weakens further, momentum could push gold toward $3,800.
Downside Risk: A “hawkish cut,” emphasizing persistent inflation and data dependence, could lift real yields and drag gold back to $3,590–$3,560, or even the deeper $3,520–$3,500 zone.
Medium-Term Outlook: Upward Bias
Over the 3–6 month horizon, the broader bias remains bullish. UBS projects gold at $3,900 by mid-2026, while Goldman Sachs forecasts $4,000 in the same timeframe. Unless real yields re-price higher in a sharp, unexpected fashion, the path of least resistance continues to point upward—underpinned by a weakening dollar and slowing economic growth.
Geopolitics: The Silent but Powerful Driver
Beyond Fed policy, geopolitics is exerting strong influence:
The war in Ukraine continues to threaten Europe’s energy security.
In the Middle East, tensions between Israel, Iran, and regional actors raise the risk of broader escalation.
In Asia, U.S.–China friction over Taiwan and advanced technologies is steadily intensifying.
Together, these flashpoints reinforce gold’s role as the ultimate safe-haven asset, sustaining demand even during corrective pullbacks.
Key Levels and Market Strategy
Short-term trading revolves around critical technical zones:
Resistance: $3,740–$3,760, followed by $3,800.
Support: $3,650–$3,630, then $3,590–$3,560, and deeper $3,520–$3,500.
Institutional players typically deploy two strategies:
Buy the Dip: As long as prices remain above $3,630–$3,650, dip-buying dominates.
Fade the Rally: Should the Fed strike a hawkish tone or the dollar rebound, sellers will look to fade strength near resistance.
Conclusion
Gold stands at a pivotal crossroads. The Fed’s upcoming decision will dictate short-term swings, but the broader forces of dollar weakness and geopolitical instability keep the medium-term bias tilted to the upside. For institutional investors, gold remains the “king of safe-haven assets,” a shield against both monetary and geopolitical risk.
Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls The USDJPY spiked lower following the Fed’s 25 basis point cut yesterday but quickly reversed trajectory as the dot plot projections from the FOMC came in softer than markets had expected.
The updated dot plot showed a narrow majority of FOMC members anticipating two more small rate cuts in 2025, while others leaned toward just one or even none.
This potentially suggests that the Fed is not simply aligning with Trump sycophant and newly appointed FOMC board member Stephen Miran’s aggressive call for repeated 50-basis-point cuts and instead signals an element of independence.
USDJPY (left chart, 1H): The pair has carved out a sharp V-shaped reversal after its Fed-driven dip, showing strong bullish momentum. This suggests buyers remain in control unless a reversal candle (such as a bearish engulfing) forms.
XAUUSD (right chart, 4H): Gold’s rally topped out near 3,707 before pulling back more than 600 pips to 3,646. The most recent candles show shorter bodies with upper wicks — a potential sign of fading momentum and supply pressure. If this develops into a bearish continuation pattern, the channel’s border becomes the next area of focus.
3620 Fortress or 3680 Trap?Hello traders, today gold is caught in a fascinating battle between defense and deception. The higher timeframes still lean bullish, but intraday cracks are showing, and price is now dancing between major walls of liquidity. Let’s map it out step by step 👇
On the Daily chart, momentum is still supported by EMA5 above EMA21, yet the rejection wick from the Premium Supply Wall (3665–3680) signals exhaustion. On H4, a minor CHoCH under 3650 put us in a range between this supply wall above and the Mid-Range Support (3620–3630) below. Meanwhile, H1 shows the swing high at 3670 breaking down into 3640, with the Supply Trap (3660–3665) capping upside and the Defensive Buy Base (3610–3620) holding the floor.
So what’s the play?
🟦 On the buy side, bulls will look to defend the 3620 Fortress, where OB + FVG + EMA100 meet. If that holds, price could rebound back toward the supply zones above. If it doesn’t, the road opens into the Deep Discount Stronghold (3580–3565), a last-resort H4 demand zone.
🟥 On the sell side, the Supply Trap (3660–3665) is already proving dangerous. Any strong rejection here can drive us lower. And above it, the Premium Supply Wall (3680–3695) remains the ultimate liquidity zone – either a breakout or a deadly trap for late buyers.
But the real key lies in the Decision Zone (3645–3655). This is the battlefield pivot: hold above it, and bulls regain momentum into 3665–3680; stay below, and sellers tighten their grip, driving gold into deeper discount.
👉 In short:
Above 3645–3655 → bulls can fight for higher ground.
Below 3645–3655 → the path opens toward 3620 and 3580.
🔥 Gold is standing between the 3620 Fortress, the 3645 Decision Zone, and the 3680 Trap. Which wall breaks first? Will bulls defend or are we about to dive into discount?
Drop your thoughts below 👇, smash like & follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps, and let’s keep staying two steps ahead of the market 🚀✨
Natural Gas Bearish News TodayNatural Gas crumbled off the inventory report this morning.
Natural gas inventories came in at 90B vs 80B consensus.
This larger than expected build shows a weaker demand for Nat Gas during this seasonal period.
Key things to consider:
1. EU moves to accelerate ban on Russian LNG.
2. New Israel–Egypt pipeline coming online
3. China continues to import from Arctic LNG‑2 despite sanctions
4. Japan’s JERA in talks to buy U.S. shale gas assets
5. Gas storage in Germany & winter supply concerns
6. Western Canada storage nearly full; supply glut
7. Canadian production at record levels, but prices very low
GOLD Resistance Cluster Above!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
Which is now a resistance
Cluster round 3661$ then
Went down and made a local
Pullback on but we are bearish
Biased mid-term so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down this week !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
DOLLAR/GOLD/RATESDXY is sitting at a key monthly support.
Gold is getting extremely hot.
is it time for a flip? majority sentiment feels like gold is going up forever (i agree to an extent, but im not against some pullback/higher lows first)
FED mentioned inflation was a bit sticky.
sharing purely to see how she ages
GOLD = red
DXY = BLUE/BLACK
1911 Gold sitting on a powder kegMet Shaun Heinrichs CEO of TSXV:AUMB at 121 Mining in May, London - best mining pitch I've heard in years.
Proper CEO, proper assets, proper plan.
Started loading at 20 cents that same week while everyone else was chasing whatever shiny object the algo boys were pumping.
Now sitting at 35 cents and we're just getting warmed up.
Here's what everyones missing, gold just smashed all-time highs but junior miners are still priced like it's 2020.
The disconnect is absolutely criminal.
Meanwhile Eric Sprott just led a C$13.2 million financing well above my entry.
When Canada's resource king writes checks at premium prices, you pay attention.
The beauty of this setup, True North isn't some exploration fairy tale. It's a past producer with C$300 million of infrastructure already built and permitted.
Try replacing that today and see what Beijing quotes you.
1.1 million ounce resource. Zero debt. Zero royalties.
Trading at 0.29x NAV while comparable stories sit at 0.70x.
The market's having a proper lie-down.
Underground drilling starts late September.
PEA drops Q1 2026.
Production restart 2027.
The timeline's locked and the catalysts are coming whether Mr. Market's paying attention or not.
Chart shows textbook resistance break at 35-38 cents.
Four months of smart money accumulation creating the perfect powder keg.
Once this ceiling cracks we gap through 40 cents straight to 60 cents by Christmas.
From 20 cents to 60 cents. That's a 200% return while the crowd's still figuring out what junior miners are.
But here's the kicker - 80 cents is just the third target.
With full NAV realization at C$1.01 and infrastructure this valuable, we could be looking at dollar-plus territory once this thing really gets moving.
Stay long. The infrastructure advantage is real. The repricing is coming...
XAUUSD GOLD RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT READ CAPTIONGold is currently holding above the support levels 3640 – 3655. As long as these zones are respected, the market may attempt a bullish move toward the resistance 3695. A successful breakout above this resistance can open the way toward the supply zone 3710. On the other hand, if support breaks, market may show further downside pressure
Support zone: 3655_3640
Resistance zone: 3695
Supply 3710
will gold respect support or break lower?
For more chart updates, you can follow my TradingView profile.
Gold Outlook: Bearish Below 3,676, Bulls Need 3,684 BreakGOLD – Overview
Gold remains sensitive ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision, with volatility also influenced by the potential U.S.–U.K. trade deal.
A Fed rate cut typically supports gold, but
A successful U.S.–U.K. trade deal would reduce safe-haven demand, adding bearish pressure.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish scenario
Price may first test 3,676, then drop toward 3,666 → 3,657.
A sustained break below 3,657 would open deeper downside toward 3,640.
📈 Bullish scenario
A confirmed 1H close above 3,684 would signal bullish continuation.
Upside targets: 3,693 → 3,700 → 3,711.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3,676
Resistance: 3,684 – 3,699 – 3,711
Support: 3,666 – 3,657 – 3,640
📌 Market Context:
Fed Decision: A dovish Fed or larger cut could lift gold toward 3,693+.
U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal: Positive headlines would likely weigh on gold by reducing safe-haven flows.
Do you have the courage to follow me and take a long position?Gold, as expected, reached our target trading range and then fell, hitting our desired profit-taking level, resulting in good profits for our short positions. Just now, gold briefly dipped to around 3627 before rebounding quickly. If the US session tonight sees gold test the support level of 3635-3625 without breaking below it, consider going long on gold; the short-term target could be 3655-3670.
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
4H Chart Update
Yesterday we completed 3655 and 3696, noting that price would likely range between these two levels until we saw an EMA5 cross and lock to confirm the next move.
As expected, we continued to see bounces within this range allowing us to catch clean bounces. Now, we are seeing 3655 being tested with a candle. For confirmation of downside toward 3615, we still need EMA5 to cross and lock below 3655.
⚠️ If the EMA5 fails to lock, we can expect another retest back up toward the higher range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3738
BEARISH TARGETS
3615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3583
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3545
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3545 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3458
3409
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3409 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3360
3320
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
OKLO — when nuclear momentum breaks resistanceSince late 2024, OKLO had been consolidating inside a clear rectangle between $17 and $59. The breakout from this long-term range triggered a new bullish impulse. The price has since returned to retest the breakout zone, now aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $51.94. The retest has completed, and the price is bouncing upward, confirming buyer interest.
Technically, the trend remains firmly bullish. The price closed above the prior range, EMAs are aligned below, and the volume spike during breakout supports genuine demand. The volume profile shows a clean path toward $100, indicating limited resistance ahead. The structure suggests a controlled rally rather than an exhausted move.
Fundamentally, OKLO is a next-generation SMR (Small Modular Reactor) company focused on delivering compact, efficient nuclear power solutions. Following its public debut via SPAC and recent capital injection, OKLO is transitioning from development to implementation. Institutional interest is holding strong, and the broader move toward decarbonization and energy independence places the company in a strategic position.
Target levels:
— First target: $100 — psychological and technical resistance
— Second target: $143 — projected from prior range breakout
OKLO isn’t just another clean energy ticker — it’s a quiet disruptor with nuclear potential. The chart broke out. The volume confirmed. Now it’s time to see if the market follows through.
The trend remains unchanged. Short sell on rebound#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The price of gold fell below the MA5 moving average and the trend turned bearish. In the short term, gold rebounded again. If it touches 3662-3672, you can consider shorting gold again. The short-term target remains unchanged. We can continue to see 3633. If the bears are strong, it is even expected to touch the 3600 integer mark. Just follow and you will make money, let the winning rate and facts speak for themselves.
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedGold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,682 after a strong BOS. Liquidity is now stacked above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the fresh FVG demand at 3,669–3667. With U.S. Retail Sales scheduled today at 19:30 VN time, volatility may spike intraday, but broader positioning remains cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision this week. Expect engineered sweeps into premium before retracements back into demand.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand aligned with retracement into structure, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York open.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 Strong R:R if price hunts stops below structure before Retail Sales data.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Retail Sales may provide short-term volatility, but Fed expectations will dominate the week. Smart money is likely to run both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while protecting buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with reduced size and confirm structure on H1 closes.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bullish Confirmation?!
Update for my yesterday's idea for WTI Crude Oil.
The price retested a recently broken structure and we see a
strong bullish reaction to that today.
A bullish violation of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern
indicates a strong buying pressure.
I think that the market will continue growing and reach 64.65 resistance soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3667.1
Stop Loss - 3675.7
Take Profit - 3651.0
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,666.89 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️