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Unlock MACD Mastery: Catch Trends Before They ExplodeThe Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. It consists of: MACD Line: 12-period EMA minus 26-period EMA Signal Line: 9-period EMA of the MACD Line Histogram: MACD Line minus Signal Line MACD helps spot buy/sell signals, trend strength, and reversals – essential for Forex, Crypto, and Stocks. How MACD Works (Quick Setup) Add MACD(12,26,9) on TradingView. Positive histogram = bullish momentum 📊. Negative = bearish 📉. Key Strategies 1-Line Crossovers Bullish: MACD crosses above Signal → Buy signal. Bearish: MACD crosses below Signal → Sell signal. 2-Divergences Bullish: Price lower lows, MACD higher lows → Potential reversal up. Bearish: Price higher highs, MACD lower highs → Potential reversal down. 3-Zero Line Crossovers Above zero = Bullish trend strength. Below zero = Bearish trend strength. Real Examples Right Now (Dec 27, 2025) Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) *** In the chart which you see, I I have highlighted key points including MACD Line, Signal line, Crossover, Divergence and Histograms. *** ⚠️As you can see in the chart, MACD send the bearish signal in BTC'S ATH (All Time High) on around 6th October. Pro Tips Combine with RSI or support/resistance for confirmation. In trending markets like Stocks, focus on crossovers; in ranging markets like Forex, use divergences. Adjust periods for volatility (e.g., MACD(5,35,5) for Crypto). Always backtest – don't trade blind! Level up your charts with MACD today and ride the trends! What's your go-to MACD setup? Share below! 👇
Education
by Master_Hunter
18
Silver - Next StopSilver has moved sharply higher, and the explosive upward trend is still ongoing. The move from March to August 2020 can be considered wave 1 and the start of this bullish phase. The question now is: where will we stop and potentially reverse? In other words, where might the next corrective phase begin. Fibonacci levels drawn from the first wave and from the last significant corrective wave point to several key areas: 77 - the nearest level, which we have already passed without stopping 89 - the next most probable target 96 - applicable only to the current wave Time will tell where the next stop occurs. --- Please subscribe and leave a comment. You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
COMEX:SI1!Long
by NotBoringTrading
Gold % Gain vs SPX Since 1971Debt wasn’t the problem in 1971 or 1980. It became the system after 2000. In 1980, the U.S. owed ~30% of its GDP. In 2000, ~55%. In 2025, ~125%. This isn’t inflation theory. It’s arithmetic! I have long been a critic of MMT (Modern Monetary Theory) Or, as I like to call it more accurately, OCG (Old Currency Guess), because it deliberately confuses a Gov. currency payment system & units of account as wealth. The more we borrow, the more wealth Gov creates, according to OCG. "No sovereign currency issuer can default in its own currency," they cry out daily. So print and play give us more free stuff! We will become richer and solve all the problems of the world! Right!! Note that Gov becomes the source of wealth, not the private sector, which actually creates wealth with our blood, sweat, tears, innovation, and risk-taking. So-called ‘printing’ isn’t printing at all. It’s borrowing existing dollars, recycling them through spending, and stacking permanent debt claims on future output. When growth goes to servicing past promises, the economy eventually gets consumed by its own debt and collapses. Currently, Japan is on the path to economic ruin. With a debt-to-GDP ratio of 250% double that of the US. The thing with debt is that it works great at masking the problem right up to the point it doesn't! It's that "DOESN'T" part that really matters. When creditors lose confidence and run away, that is more subjective than an objective point in economics, which makes it difficult to calculate accurately. People use that subjectivity against economics and conclude it's not science and schitt all over it. My take is different. While I literally subscribe to no economic standalone theory, I do believe all economists should be financial experts and fully understand markets. No theory or model can deal with the real-world complexity. Definitely not MMT! They are the cancer of economics. While people are focusing on Gold/Silver and soon start talking about Japan with 250% debt/GDP, I will urge you to look at the US instead. While US debt-to-GDP is half of that of Japan. The US has 4 times the amount of debt as Japan! Quantity is a quality of its own! It is much easier to find creditors for $9 trillion than $38 trillion. Believe that schitt! With Trump waging a trade war against the world and taking over the FED wanting lower rates, that is F disaster in the Making! After a Nuclear war, Inflation is the absolute worst thing that could happen to humanity! A Global Currency crisis is on the horizon, and 99.9% of the people are unaware of it. CAUTION! Is in Order! If you enjoy the work: 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
FX:SPX500Short
by RealMacro
11
Silver: Major Surge Following Triangle Breakout.Hello there, I am a professional trader and investor. I have traded for several years and could realize thousands of successful trades. Likewise, I use several indicators to spot the best assets and trading opportunities in the market. My focus lies on pivot-based momentum analysis to spot the best timing to enter the trade for a maximum of profit through a total-return trading approach. Today, taking a close look at silver, we saw a massive surge in bullish volatility within the previous weeks and month. After a strong consolidation, silver broke out of this huge triangle. Considering this, fundamental indicators also supported this breakout and the bullish build-up. We see a lot of supply chain shortages making industry-specific precious metals like silver massive. Silver is now printing several highs after the other, and with this momentum it is likely that the main target will be reached. The main target of this huge triangle is within the 140 to 150 zone. It is not unlikely that with such bullish momentum established, further targets above this initial zone will be reached. Thank you very much for watching.
TVC:SILVERLong
by VincePrince
2
1 Year / 12M Silver Chart AnalysisDid take a look at 1-Year candle chart of $ilver and try to put the peak of 1979/80 in rough relation to this year 2025. 79/80 the overshoot went up +70% in relation to the prior years close. So if this repeats the same way the overshoot for 2026 would be ~60% with top at 126$ 2025 is the largest freaking candle on this chart. Huge candles often come with follow up.... The measured overshoot for the peak of 2010/2011 amazingly (!) is 61% as well... So from what I see here - a huge 1 Year candle is often followed by a +60% overshoot in the following year. 2010 closed at 30$ - 2011 peaked at 50$.
TVC:SILVERLong
by FJW_Trading
6
Silver Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:XAGUSDShort
by ShahedZare
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
TVC:USOILLong
by ShahedZare
Technicals dont matter hereI had some idiot with a similar last name to my first name they to call me an idiot because he said to short silver at $70ish. Then he saw my other 2 post and claimed he's a trader for 5 yrs and I'm an idiot because I didn't include any technicals. I'd be mad to I'm sure he cleaned out his daddy's money gambling on options for 5 yrs. Enough of that idiot. To everyone looking at the charts and basing things off of rsi, over extension, yadayadayada etc. The price of silver is not going to follow those indicators how other stocks might. The silver price is based on the actual metal in physical form...short at your own risk. Buy physical because it looks like non of the deliveries are going to be fulfilled! The paper price and the actual price will part ways soon!
TVC:SILVERLong
by hussainjali8786
The Next Metal Sitting on the Launch Pad - CopperDemand Drivers, electric vehicles (EVs) using up to four times more copper than traditional cars, renewable energy infrastructure like solar and wind, and power grid upgrades. AI data centers, electrification projects, and defense spending add further pressure, while emerging markets like India saw 9.3% demand growth to 1,878 KT in FY25 from infrastructure and renewables. Supply Challenges, Mine disruptions, declining ore grades, and long lead times (10-15 years) for new projects create structural shortages, with the IEA warning demand could outstrip supply by 30% by 2035 without action. China's demand growth is slowing to 52% of global consumption by 2031, shifting reliance to U.S. and India expansions It's multiyear breakout with volume expansion 40-50% Upside is possible in coming year.
MCX:COPPER1!
by OK_Rane
The Impact of Overtrading on Trading PerformanceMost traders don’t lose because they lack knowledge. They lose because they trade too much. Overtrading is one of the most common, yet least talked-about reasons why trading performance slowly deteriorates over time. Overtrading is not about skill – it’s about behavior Overtrading doesn’t mean you don’t understand the market. In fact, many traders who overtrade know quite a lot. The problem starts when: You stay in front of the screen for too long You feel the urge to always be “in a trade” You confuse activity with productivity At that point, trading becomes reactive , not strategic. More screen time does not equal better performance. Often, it leads to fatigue, impulsive decisions, and emotional trades that were never part of the original plan. Avoid impulsive decisions – the real damage of overtrading One of the biggest impacts of overtrading is impulse trading. This usually shows up when: You enter trades without a clear setup You chase price after missing a move You trade just to feel involved Impulsive trades rarely come from a strong edge. They come from emotions : fear of missing out, boredom, frustration, or the desire to “do something.” And emotions are the fastest way to destroy consistency. Prioritize your trades, not the number of trades Professional traders don’t aim to trade more. They aim to trade better . That means: Selecting only high-quality setups Ignoring average or unclear conditions Accepting that most market movements are not worth trading Every trade should earn its place. If a setup is not clear, not aligned with your plan, or not offering a real edge, it should be skipped. Fewer trades, but better trades, lead to better performance. Learn from mistakes instead of repeating them Overtrading often creates a dangerous cycle: Trade too much → Make small mistakes → Lose confidence → Trade even more to fix it. Breaking this cycle requires stepping back and reviewing: Why you entered certain trades Whether they followed your rules What emotional state you were in Mistakes are not the problem. Failing to learn from them is. Trading improves when reflection replaces reaction. Why reducing screen time improves trading performance One of the most effective changes I ever made was simply reducing screen time. Less screen time means: Fewer impulsive entries Better emotional control Clearer decision-making You don’t need to watch every candle. You only need to be present when your setup appears. Sometimes, the best trade is no trade at all.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Camila_Roja
21
Gold in Price Discovery: Why Old Trading Logic FailsMost traders are used to trading gold within familiar price zones. In those areas, the market has history — clear support and resistance, prior highs and lows, and “price memory” to anchor expectations. Every move is referenced to something that happened before: where price once reversed, where heavy selling appeared, where a top was previously formed. But there are phases when gold moves beyond all of those known levels. No historical reference ahead, no familiar zone to anchor bias. At that point, the market shifts into a different state — price discovery . And it is precisely during this phase that many traders start losing money, even though the trend looks “obvious” on the surface. Price discovery is not just a strong rally Many people equate price discovery with a breakout. In reality, a breakout is only the moment the door opens. Price discovery is the path beyond that door — when the market has entered entirely new territory. In this state, familiar reference points fade away. There is no clear resistance, no previously tested zone, and no level that truly feels “safe” to label as cheap or expensive. Price is no longer reacting to the past. It is searching for a new equilibrium — a level the market is testing to see whether it can be accepted. What really changes in price discovery The biggest change is not the speed of price, but how capital participates. In familiar ranges, traders react to levels: buy at support, sell at resistance. Expectations are built on what has already happened. In price discovery, large capital no longer reacts to touches. It positions. Decisions are not based on whether price feels high or low, but on whether the market continues to accept the new price zone. That is why profits in this phase do not come from catching exact tops or bottoms, but from the ability to hold positions while the market has not shown rejection. This is also why many traders: – Identify the trend correctly – Exit too early – Or repeatedly sell against it simply because price “feels too high” The most common mistake in price discovery The issue is not technical analysis, but risk assessment. Many traders measure risk by how far price has already moved — how much it has risen, how far it is from the old base, how “high” it looks. In price discovery, that logic no longer applies. High price does not equal high risk. Real risk only appears when the market begins to reject the new price level — something that often has not happened yet in this phase. Applying old logic to a new market regime causes many traders to stand on the wrong side of dominant capital flows. What the market is actually testing? At this stage, the market is not asking, “How much further can price go?” The core question is: Is the current price level being accepted? If it is accepted, price continues to expand. If it is rejected, the market can return to prior zones quickly and aggressively. Many traders lose not because they miss the trend, but because they are answering the wrong question. The right approach during price discovery Trading in this phase is no longer about finding the “perfect” entry. The focus shifts to: – patience – position management – and reading price reaction instead of guessing targets Those who try to appear smart by selling against the move simply because price feels high usually exit the game early. Those who accept that they do not know how far price can go — but clearly understand when the market has not rejected it — are the ones who can stay with the trend long enough. When gold enters price discovery, the question is no longer, “How much higher can gold go?” It becomes: “Has this price level been rejected yet?” If the answer is still NO , everything else is just personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DomicChaina
24
WTIUSD: Bearish Drop to 56?CFI:WTI is eyeing a bearish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price testing the upper boundary of a downward channel after recent rebounds, converging with a resistance zone near cumulative sell liquidation that could trigger downside momentum if sellers defend the highs. This setup suggests a pullback opportunity amid the ongoing downtrend, targeting lower support levels with 1:2.5 risk-reward .🔥 Entry between 59–59.70 for a short position (entry at current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 56 . Set a stop loss at a close above 60.40 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of 1:2.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the channel's bearish bias.🌟 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Short): 59.00 – 59.70 (Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & capital management.) 🎯 Target: 56.00 ❌ Stop Loss: • Close above 60.40 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • ~ 1:2.5 💡 Your take? Does WTI reject channel resistance and slide toward 56.00, or will buyers force a deeper breakout attempt above 60.40 first? 👇
CFI:WTIShort
by Master_Hunter
1
Silver - This metal is blowing up now!💣Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) is rallying even higher: 🔎Analysis summary: Just a couple of months ago, we witnessed another bullish break and retest on Silver. It was quite obvious that Silver will rally accordingly and just recently, we experienced another +150% rally. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Silver is still not done. 📝Levels to watch: $100 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhil
56
USOIL - Symmetrical Triangle at $57 Executive Summary TVC:USOIL (WTI Crude) is trading at $57.23 on December 26, 2025, down nearly 2% as markets react to progress in Ukraine peace talks that could eventually allow more Russian oil to return to global markets. Price is trapped in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4H timeframe, compressing between $55 support and $60 resistance. Despite geopolitical support from the US Venezuela blockade and Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, WTI is heading for its steepest annual drop since 2020 (-18% YTD) as oversupply concerns dominate. BIAS: NEUTRAL - Waiting for Triangle Breakout The symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern that can break either direction. Geopolitical risks favor bulls, but oversupply fundamentals favor bears. Let the breakout determine direction. Current Market Context - December 26, 2025 Oil is at a critical juncture: Current Price: $57.23 (-1.99% on the day) Day's Range: $57.14 - $58.88 Weekly Performance: +3% (best week since October) YTD Performance: -18% (steepest annual drop since 2020) Brent Crude: ~$61.51 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: $58.60 / $59.07 / $60.48 Support: $57.80 / $55.50 / $54.98 Triangle apex approaching - breakout imminent THE BULL CASE - Geopolitical Risk Premium 1. Venezuela Blockade Intensifying President Trump has ordered a "total and complete blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers" going into and leaving Venezuela: US Coast Guard boarded the Centuries tanker in the Caribbean US forces pursuing tanker Bella 1 heading to Venezuela Coast Guard assembling more manpower and weapons to forcibly board vessels Venezuelan exports down to less than 400,000 bpd (half of last year) While global impact is minimal, it's keeping a "bullish tilt to prices" 2. Ukraine-Russia Energy Infrastructure Attacks Ukraine struck Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery (key diesel/jet fuel supplier) Ukrainian drones hit Russian shadow oil tanker in Mediterranean Sea At least 28 Russian refineries targeted in past three months Six tankers attacked by drones/missiles in Baltic Sea since November New US and EU sanctions curbing Russian oil exports Limiting Russia's crude export capabilities 3. US Oil Rig Count at Multi-Year Lows Active US oil rigs fell to 4.25-year low of 406 rigs (Dec 19) Slight recovery to 409 rigs this week (+3) Down sharply from 627 rigs in December 2022 Lower rig count = slower future production growth 4. Inventory Data Supportive US crude inventories: -4.0% below 5-year seasonal average Gasoline inventories: -0.4% below 5-year average Distillate inventories: -5.7% below 5-year average Crude stored on tankers fell -7% week-over-week 5. OPEC+ Production Pause OPEC+ pausing production increases in Q1 2026 Still has 1.2 million bpd of cuts left to restore November OPEC production fell -10,000 bpd to 29.09 million bpd Trying to manage emerging surplus THE BEAR CASE - Oversupply Dominates 1. Record Global Oil Surplus Expected IEA forecasts record 4.0 million bpd surplus for 2026 OPEC revised Q3 estimates from deficit to 500,000 bpd surplus US production exceeded expectations Most major traders expect global surplus next year WTI heading for steepest annual drop since 2020 (-18%) 2. Ukraine Peace Talk Progress Zelenskiy expects to meet Trump to discuss ending war Kremlin reviewing peace proposals Maintaining contacts with US officials Peace could allow more Russian oil to return to markets This news triggered today's -2% drop 3. Rising US Production US crude production at 13.843 million bpd Just below record high of 13.862 million bpd EIA raised 2025 estimate to 13.59 million bpd Production outside OPEC+ also rising 4. Seasonal Weakness 2025 significantly underperforming 2024 and 2023 seasonally Thin holiday trading amplifying moves Year-end positioning adding volatility Expert Analysis Dennis Kissler (BOK Financial): "While the backup of the blockade and sanctions is not decreasing world supplies, the fact that it may be delaying them is keeping a bullish tilt to prices." "Venezuelan oil exports have been less than 400,000 barrels a day the past couple of months, which is half what they were exporting last year. While the U.S. blockade has turned the pressure up on Venezuela, the global impact to crude prices looks minimal at this time." Ritterbusch and Associates: "We feel that excessive optimism regarding a quick peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia has been quelled for now." "Crude fundamentals continue to provide a significant offset against the geopolitical factor." Technical Structure Analysis Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe The chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Characteristics: Upper trendline: Connecting lower highs (descending resistance) Lower trendline: Connecting higher lows (ascending support) Converging trendlines creating compression Price oscillating between boundaries Triangle apex approaching - breakout imminent Neutral pattern - can break either direction Key Zones Identified: Upper resistance zone: $60-$61 (purple shaded) Lower support zone: $55-$55.50 (purple shaded) Major resistance line: $60.48 (red horizontal) Major support line: $54.98 (red horizontal) Current price: $57.23 (mid-triangle) Pattern Implications: Symmetrical triangles typically break in direction of prior trend Prior trend was bearish (down from highs) However, geopolitical factors could override technicals Volume typically decreases during triangle formation Breakout should come with volume confirmation Measured move target = triangle height from breakout point Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: $57.80 - Immediate resistance (analyst target) $58.60 - Secondary resistance $59.07 - Triangle upper boundary area $60.00 - Psychological resistance $60.48 - MAJOR RESISTANCE (red line on chart) $62.00 - Extended resistance Support Levels: $57.14 - Day's low / immediate support $56.50 - Secondary support $55.50 - Triangle lower boundary area $55.00 - Psychological support $54.98 - MAJOR SUPPORT (red line on chart) $53.00-$54.00 - Extended support Triangle Breakout Targets If Bullish Breakout (above $59-$60): Triangle height: ~$5-6 Target 1: $62-$63 Target 2: $65-$66 Would require geopolitical escalation or supply disruption If Bearish Breakdown (below $55): Triangle height: ~$5-6 Target 1: $52-$53 Target 2: $50-$51 Would confirm oversupply narrative SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH SCENARIO - Breakout Above $59-$60 Trigger Conditions: 4H close above $59.07 (triangle resistance) Volume spike on breakout Venezuela situation escalates Ukraine-Russia peace talks collapse Major supply disruption Price Targets if Bullish: Target 1: $60.48 - Major resistance Target 2: $62.00-$63.00 - Measured move Target 3: $65.00-$66.00 - Extended target Bullish Catalysts: Venezuela blockade intensifying Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries US oil rigs at 4.25-year lows Inventories below seasonal averages OPEC+ production pause in Q1 2026 Geopolitical risk premium BEARISH SCENARIO - Breakdown Below $55 Trigger Conditions: 4H close below $55.00 (triangle support) Volume confirmation on breakdown Ukraine peace deal announced OPEC+ increases production US production hits new record Price Targets if Bearish: Target 1: $54.98 - Major support Target 2: $52.00-$53.00 - Measured move Target 3: $50.00-$51.00 - Extended target Bearish Risks: IEA forecasts record 4.0 million bpd surplus for 2026 Ukraine peace talks progressing US production near record highs YTD: -18% (steepest drop since 2020) Oversupply narrative dominant Seasonal weakness NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Continued Triangle Consolidation Most likely short-term outcome: Price continues oscillating within triangle Range: $55.50 - $59.00 Thin holiday trading Wait for breakout confirmation Watch geopolitical headlines MY ASSESSMENT - NEUTRAL with Slight Bearish Lean This is a genuinely balanced setup: Bullish Factors: Venezuela blockade intensifying Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure US rigs at multi-year lows Inventories below seasonal averages OPEC+ production pause Weekly gain of +3% Bearish Factors: Record surplus expected for 2026 Ukraine peace talks progressing US production near record highs YTD: -18% Prior trend was bearish Oversupply fundamentals dominant My Stance: NEUTRAL - Trade the Breakout The symmetrical triangle is a neutral pattern. Geopolitical risks provide support, but oversupply fundamentals cap upside. The prior trend was bearish, which slightly favors a downside breakout, but geopolitical escalation could easily flip this bullish. Strategy: Wait for confirmed breakout Long above $59.07 with volume Short below $55.00 with volume Don't trade the middle of the triangle Watch Venezuela and Ukraine headlines Trade Framework Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Entry Conditions: 4H close above $59.07 Volume exceeds recent average Geopolitical catalyst Trade Parameters: Entry: $59.20-$59.50 on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: $57.50 below recent support Target 1: $60.48 (Risk-Reward ~1:0.7) Target 2: $62.00-$63.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:2) Target 3: $65.00 (Extended) Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Trade Entry Conditions: 4H close below $55.00 Volume confirmation Peace deal progress or supply news Trade Parameters: Entry: $54.80-$55.00 on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: $56.50 above recent support Target 1: $53.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1.2) Target 2: $51.00-$52.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:2.5) Target 3: $50.00 (Extended) Scenario 3: Range Trade Within Triangle Entry Conditions: Price tests triangle boundaries Rejection candle at support/resistance No breakout confirmation Trade Parameters: Buy Zone: $55.50-$56.00 (triangle support) Sell Zone: $58.50-$59.00 (triangle resistance) Stop Loss: Outside triangle boundaries Target: Opposite boundary Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5 Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade Wait for confirmed breakout - don't anticipate Thin holiday volumes = amplified moves Watch geopolitical headlines closely Oil is highly volatile - use appropriate size Scale out at targets Move stop to breakeven after first target Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below $54.98 (major support) Triangle breaks down with volume Ukraine peace deal announced OPEC+ increases production Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above $60.48 (major resistance) Triangle breaks up with volume Major supply disruption Venezuela situation escalates significantly Conclusion TVC:USOIL (WTI Crude) is trapped in a symmetrical triangle at $57.23, caught between geopolitical support and oversupply fundamentals. The pattern is compressing toward a breakout, with the apex approaching. The Numbers: Current Price: $57.23 YTD Performance: -18% (steepest drop since 2020) Weekly Performance: +3% (best since October) IEA 2026 Surplus Forecast: 4.0 million bpd Key Levels: $60.48 - MAJOR RESISTANCE (breakout level) $59.07 - Triangle upper boundary $57.23 - Current price $55.50 - Triangle lower boundary $54.98 - MAJOR SUPPORT (breakdown level) The Setup: Symmetrical triangle = neutral pattern. Geopolitical risks (Venezuela blockade, Ukraine strikes) provide support. Oversupply fundamentals (record surplus expected, US production near highs) cap upside. The breakout direction will determine the next major move. Strategy: NEUTRAL stance - wait for breakout Long above $59.07 (targets $60.48, $62, $65) Short below $55.00 (targets $53, $51, $50) Don't trade the middle Watch Venezuela and Ukraine headlines The triangle will resolve soon. Let the market show its hand.
TVC:USOIL
by officialjackofalltrades
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPPlease see our Daily chart route map that we are tracking. Same as last week we are seeing price play between the longer daily chart range 4259 and 4444, with the channel half-line acting as primary support. Last week we stated that we have a body close above 4259 leaving a long range gap open above at 4444 and will need ema5 lock to further confirm and strengthen this. We now also have the ema5 lock confirmation this week. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
SILVER - Record High $72.70Executive Summary Silver just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH of $72.70 on December 24, 2025, capping off a historic year that has seen the precious metal surge +148.54% YTD - outperforming gold's impressive +70% gain. Currently trading at $71.80, silver is riding a powerful ascending channel on the 4H timeframe with no signs of slowing down. Safe-haven demand, Fed rate cut expectations, inclusion on the U.S. critical minerals list, and rising industrial use have created a perfect storm for silver bulls. BIAS: BULLISH - Strong Uptrend Intact This is one of the most bullish setups I've seen. +148% YTD, record highs, ascending channel intact, and technicals screaming "BUY." The trend is your friend. Current Market Context - December 24, 2025 Silver is having a historic year: Current Price: $71.8050 (+0.50% on the day) Day's Range: $70.2124 - $72.693 52-Week Range: $28.3390 - $72.693 ALL-TIME HIGH: $72.70 (hit today) Technical Rating: BUY Performance Metrics - ALL GREEN (HISTORIC): 1 Week: +12.68% 1 Month: +43.50% 3 Months: +63.61% 6 Months: +96.26% YTD: +148.54% 1 Year: +142.28% This is the best performing major asset of 2025. Silver has more than doubled from its 52-week low of $28.34. THE BIG STORY - Silver Outshines Gold in Historic Rally Record-Breaking Performance Silver has surged more than 150% year-to-date, significantly outpacing gold's impressive 70%+ gain. This is gold's biggest annual gain since 1979, and silver is beating it handily. Key milestones: ALL-TIME HIGH: $72.70 (December 24, 2025) Previous record broken multiple times this month Up 143.56% from 52-week low of $28.94 Up 142.08% from 2025 low of $29.116 (April 4) Month-to-date: +24.87% Three consecutive winning sessions Largest 3-day gain: +9.12% ($5.893) Why Silver Is Outperforming Gold Strong investment demand Inclusion on U.S. critical minerals list Rising industrial use (solar panels, electronics, EVs) Tighter supply dynamics Rotation from gold investment demand Safe-haven appeal in uncertain times FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS - The Perfect Storm 1. Safe-Haven Demand Geopolitical tensions driving investors to precious metals U.S. President Trump calling for regime change in Venezuela Global uncertainty supporting haven assets Investors flocking to tangible assets 2. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Markets pricing in two rate cuts for 2026 Non-yielding assets like silver thrive in low-rate environments Trump wants next Fed chairman to lower rates Falling U.S. dollar supporting precious metals Interest rates ticking lower 3. Industrial Demand Surge Silver added to U.S. critical minerals list Solar panel production driving demand Electric vehicle growth increasing silver usage Electronics and technology applications expanding Industrial use creating structural demand 4. Supply Constraints Tight mine supply globally Limited new production coming online Inventory drawdowns Supply unable to keep pace with demand 5. Broader Precious Metals Rally Gold broke above $4,500 for first time Platinum up ~160% YTD Palladium up ~100% YTD Copper and base metals climbing Entire commodities complex in bull mode Expert Analysis Fawad Razaqzada (City Index/FOREX.com): "The lack of any bearish factors and strong momentum, all backed by solid fundamentals, which include continued central bank buying, a falling U.S. dollar and some level of haven demand" is supporting precious metals. Societe Generale Analysts: "The risk of a major drop in the gold price would seem largely linked to a slowing of outright gold buying, such as by emerging market central banks. Barring such an event, investor positions suggest that the extraordinary surge in gold prices is likely to continue." Gold target: $5,000/oz by end-2026 (Societe Generale) ADM Investor Services: "With the dollar weakening, interest rates ticking lower, and the U.S. President calling for regime change in Venezuela the bull camp has a plethora of bullish themes." Technical Structure Analysis Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe The chart shows a textbook bullish structure: Ascending Channel Pattern: Clear ascending channel established Lower trendline (support) rising from ~$58 area Upper trendline (resistance) at ~$73-74 area Price respecting channel boundaries well Midline (dashed) providing dynamic support/resistance Higher highs and higher lows throughout Recent Price Action: Strong rally from channel bottom Price currently near upper channel (~$71.80) Recent pullback found support at midline Recovery to new highs Momentum remains strong No signs of channel breakdown Key Observations: Price at all-time high territory Channel intact and well-defined Trend structure extremely bullish Pullbacks being bought aggressively Volume supporting the move Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: $72.693 - Day's high / immediate resistance $72.70 - ALL-TIME HIGH $73.00 - Psychological level $74.00-$75.00 - Upper channel resistance $80.00 - Extended bullish target $100.00 - Major psychological target (analyst projections) Support Levels: $71.00 - Immediate support $70.00 - Psychological support / recent breakout level $68.00-$69.00 - Channel midline support $65.00-$66.00 - Secondary support $62.00-$63.00 - Channel bottom support $58.00-$60.00 - Major support zone Channel Analysis Channel width: approximately $10-12 Channel slope: strongly bullish (steep angle) Current position: Near upper channel Midline: ~$68-69 area (dynamic support) Channel bottom: ~$62-63 area (strong support) Channel top: ~$73-74 area (resistance) Moving Average Analysis Price trading well above all major moving averages All MAs sloping sharply upward Golden cross patterns on multiple timeframes MAs providing dynamic support on pullbacks Trend structure extremely bullish Technical Rating The TradingView technical gauge shows "BUY" - confirming the bullish bias across multiple indicators. SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH SCENARIO - Continuation to New Highs Trigger Conditions: Price breaks above $73.00 with volume Channel breakout to upside Gold continues rally toward $5,000 Fed signals more rate cuts Dollar weakness continues Price Targets if Bullish: Target 1: $73.00-$74.00 - Upper channel Target 2: $75.00-$76.00 - Channel breakout target Target 3: $80.00 - Extended target Moon Target: $100.00 (analyst projections for 2026) Bullish Catalysts: Record highs attracting momentum buyers Gold rally continuing ($4,500+, targeting $5,000) Fed rate cut expectations Dollar weakness Safe-haven demand (Venezuela, geopolitics) Industrial demand (solar, EVs, electronics) Critical minerals list inclusion Supply constraints Entire precious metals complex in bull mode BEARISH SCENARIO - Pullback Within Channel Trigger Conditions: Rejection at upper channel ($73-74) Profit-taking after massive rally Dollar strength Fed hawkish surprise Risk-on rotation out of safe havens Price Targets if Bearish: Target 1: $70.00 - Psychological support Target 2: $68.00-$69.00 - Channel midline Target 3: $65.00-$66.00 - Secondary support Extended: $62.00-$63.00 - Channel bottom Bearish Risks: Overbought conditions after +148% YTD Near upper channel (potential rejection) Profit-taking at record highs Holiday thin volumes Potential dollar bounce Fed policy uncertainty NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Consolidation Near Highs Most likely short-term outcome: Price consolidates between $70-$73 Digests recent gains Builds base for next leg higher Healthy consolidation after massive rally Channel midline provides support MY ASSESSMENT - BULLISH The weight of evidence overwhelmingly favors bulls: Bullish Factors (Dominant): +148.54% YTD - Best performing major asset ALL-TIME HIGH just hit ($72.70) Ascending channel intact and well-defined Technical rating: BUY Outperforming gold significantly Multiple fundamental drivers aligned Safe-haven demand strong Fed rate cuts expected Industrial demand surging Supply constraints Entire precious metals complex bullish No bearish factors visible (per analysts) Bearish Factors (Minor): Near upper channel (potential short-term resistance) Overbought after massive rally Holiday thin volumes Profit-taking risk at record highs My Stance: BULLISH - Buy Dips This is one of the strongest trends in any market right now. +148% YTD with no signs of slowing. The fundamentals are aligned, the technicals are bullish, and the channel is intact. Don't fight this trend. Strategy: Buy dips to channel midline ($68-69) Buy dips to $70 psychological support Target upper channel ($73-74) and beyond Tight stops below channel support Don't short this market Respect the trend - it's massively bullish Trade Framework Scenario 1: Breakout Trade Above $73 Entry Conditions: 4H candle closes above $73.00 Volume confirmation Gold holding above $4,500 Trade Parameters: Entry: $73.00-$73.50 on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: $71.00 below recent support Target 1: $75.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1) Target 2: $78.00-$80.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:2.5) Target 3: $85.00+ (Extended) Scenario 2: Buy the Dip at Channel Midline Entry Conditions: Price pulls back to $68-69 zone Bullish rejection candle Channel midline holds Trade Parameters: Entry: $68.00-$69.00 at channel midline Stop Loss: $65.00 below secondary support Target 1: $71.00-$72.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1) Target 2: $73.00-$74.00 (Risk-Reward ~1:1.5) Target 3: $75.00+ (Extended) Scenario 3: Buy at $70 Psychological Support Entry Conditions: Price tests $70.00 level Bullish bounce Volume spike on recovery Trade Parameters: Entry: $70.00-$70.50 at psychological support Stop Loss: $68.00 below midline Target 1: $72.00-$72.70 (ATH retest) Target 2: $73.00-$74.00 (upper channel) Target 3: $75.00+ (Extended) Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing: 2-3% max risk per trade Respect the channel - it's your guide Don't short this market Buy dips, don't chase highs Use channel levels for entries/exits Scale out at targets Move stop to breakeven after first target Holiday volumes may be thin - use appropriate size Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below $62 (channel bottom) Ascending channel breaks down Gold crashes below $4,000 Dollar surges significantly Fed signals no more rate cuts Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above $75 (channel breakout) New all-time highs with momentum Gold breaks $5,000 Industrial demand accelerates further Conclusion Silver is having a historic year. With +148.54% YTD gains, it's the best performing major asset of 2025, significantly outpacing gold's impressive +70% rally. The precious metal just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH of $72.70 and shows no signs of slowing down. The Numbers: Current Price: $71.8050 ALL-TIME HIGH: $72.70 YTD Performance: +148.54% 1-Year Performance: +142.28% 52-Week Low: $28.34 Technical Rating: BUY Key Levels: $72.70 - ALL-TIME HIGH $73.00-$74.00 - Upper channel resistance $71.80 - Current price $70.00 - Psychological support $68.00-$69.00 - Channel midline $62.00-$63.00 - Channel bottom (major support) The Setup: Silver is in a powerful ascending channel with all fundamentals aligned. Safe-haven demand, Fed rate cuts, industrial demand, and supply constraints have created the perfect storm. The technical rating is "BUY" and the trend is undeniably bullish. Strategy: Buy dips to $68-70 support zone Target $73-74 (upper channel) and $75+ Stops below channel support Don't fight this trend Respect the channel Analysts are targeting gold at $5,000 by end-2026. If silver continues to outperform, $100 silver is not out of the question.
TVC:SILVERLong
by officialjackofalltrades
9
XAGUSD (Silver) – Bullish Continuation Setup | 4HSilver remains in a strong uptrend, printing higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe. Price is holding above key moving averages, showing sustained bullish momentum. After the recent breakout, I’m looking for continuation toward the next resistance zone. 🟢 Trade Plan: Buy: 76.425 🔴 Stop Loss: 68.134 🎯 Take Profit: 84.730 📊 Technical Outlook: Trend structure: Bullish (HH/HL) Price above dynamic MA support RSI remains strong, supporting upside momentum Any pullback toward the MA zone could offer continuation entries As long as price holds above the trend support, bulls remain in control. A clean break and hold above recent highs should open the path toward the 84.7 target. ⚠️ Not financial advice. Manage risk and wait for confirmation.
TVC:SILVERLong
by fahimsafdar777
EURUSD – H2 Analysis .......EURUSD – H2 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Overall bullish trend. Price is at upper resistance / supply zone (yellow area). Rejection + long upper wicks → pullback / correction likely. Trendline + Ichimoku cloud below → correction, not full reversal. 📉 Sell (Correction) Setup Sell Zone: 1.1755 – 1.1785 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 1.1680 Target 2: 1.1560 (strong demand & trendline support) ❌ Invalidation H2 close above 1.1800 → sell setup invalid. 📌 Clean Signal Summary Pair: EURUSD Timeframe: H2 Bias: Sell (pullback) Targets: 1.1680 → 1.1560 After these targets, we can look for a fresh BUY continuation from demand
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
3