Get started

Commodities

GOLD ANALYSIS 12/30/2025Yesterday, gold rose to 4,550 in the early Asian session and then crashed sharply by 250 points. I had already warned about this drop in my early-day analysis. The market in the last days of the year has extremely thin liquidity. Even after a 240-point drop, there was still no buying pressure. During this period, you should look for buying opportunities toward a new ATH. Buy on dips. If 4,309 is broken, then it’s better to rest early. 🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4412 – 4410 • SL: 4416 • TP1: 4404 • TP2: 4398 🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4308 – 4310 • SL: 4304 • TP1: 4316 • TP2: 4322
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Signals_100pips
1
Bullish bounce off?Silver (XAG/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 70.79 1st Support: 68.17 1st Resistance: 80.70 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by IC Markets
XAUUAD READY FOR PULLBACK (READ CAPTION)Hi traders what do you think about gold Gold (XAUUSD) is currently forming a sell retest setup, where price is retracing upward into key resistance zones before a potential bearish continuation. This structure supports a sell-on-retest strategy. 🔹 Resistance Zone: 4527–4531 This is the primary sell zone where price is expected to face rejection. If the market retests this zone and shows bearish price action (rejection wicks or bearish candles), it confirms seller dominance. 🔹 Second Resistance: 4555 This level represents the upper resistance and invalidation zone. A strong rejection from 4555 would further strengthen the bearish outlook, while a sustained break above it may weaken the sell setup. 🔹 Support: 4496 This is the first downside target where price may pause or form a minor bounce. A confirmed break below 4496 signals continuation of bearish momentum. 🔹 Demand Zone: 4457 This is the main downside target and demand area. If price breaks below 4496, Gold is likely to move toward 4457, where buyers may step in for a reaction or short-term consolidation. 📉 Market Outlook (Retest Logic) Retracement into 4527–4531 → Sell opportunity Rejection from resistance → Confirms bearish continuation Break below 4496 → Opens path toward 4457 demand zone Demand zone reaction will determine next move The overall structure favors a bearish retest → continuation setup, unless price breaks and holds above 4555 please don't forget to like comment and follow thank you
TVC:GOLDShort
by fx_hunter99
Is gold undergoing a technical correction or signaling a declineThe OANDA:XAUUSD market just experienced a shock at the most sensitive time of the year. After reaching a historical peak around $4,550/ounce, the spot gold price unexpectedly fell 4.4% in a single session, closing around $4,332. This move was not isolated: silver, platinum, and palladium all plummeted sharply, marking a widespread correction across the entire group of precious metals. The question is not "why did gold fall," but whether this is just year-end profit-taking, or the beginning of a deeper revaluation period? A systemic correction, not an isolated accident. The most notable aspect of the recent decline lies in its synchronicity. • Silver fell nearly 9%, after failing to hold above $80/ounce. • Platinum lost more than 14%. • Palladium fell over 15%, dropping from its 3-year high. This is a familiar pattern of forced profit-taking after a period of excessively rapid growth, especially in the context of weakened market liquidity due to the holidays. Once prices have climbed to extreme levels, even a small psychological shift is enough to trigger a widespread wave of selling. From a market structure perspective, precious metals entered the final week of the year in a clearly overbought state, with highly concentrated speculative capital and large accumulated buying positions. This decline is therefore more of a "pressure relief" than a trend reversal. 2025: A year that will "make history" for OANDA:XAUUSD Despite sharp short-term corrections, the long-term outlook for gold in 2025 remains historically significant. To date, gold prices have risen more than 65% this year, the strongest increase since the late 1970s. The core drivers remain unchanged: • Prolonged global economic instability, • A cyclical weakening of the dollar, • Continued net gold purchases by central banks, • Expectations of a Fed shift to monetary easing. Gold is not rising due to euphoria, but rather because its safe-haven role is continuously activated in an uncertain world. Silver! The growth star, but also the biggest risk factor. If gold is the pillar of stability, then silver is the most volatile variable of 2025. A nearly 150% increase makes silver the highest-performing metal in the group, but also the most vulnerable when capital flows reverse. Unlike gold, silver has two parallel natures: • Safe-haven assets, • Essential industrial raw materials (solar energy, electronics, AI). The shortage of physical supply, particularly in Asia and key reserves, has driven silver prices far ahead of gold's rise. However, with valuations having risen so rapidly, sharp corrections are inevitable. Geopolitics returns to the spotlight: Russia–Ukraine and the Middle East continue to “anchor risks” Recent geopolitical developments show that risks have not disappeared, despite positive diplomatic statements. The Russia-Ukraine negotiations were touted as "near completion," but were immediately overshadowed by accusations of drone attacks, followed by tough statements from Moscow. Simultaneously, tensions in the Middle East remain high, with strong statements from Washington regarding Iran and military actions in Venezuela. These factors are not enough to push gold prices sharply higher, but they are sufficient to limit the risk of a deep collapse. The Fed, US politics, and major variables of 2026 One point of particular interest to the market is the minutes of the Fed's December meeting, along with increasingly harsh statements from President Donald Trump regarding the role and competence of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Trump's hints at announcing a new Fed chairman in the near future add another layer of policy uncertainty, especially given that inflation has not yet returned to safe levels but growth is slowing. For gold, monetary policy uncertainty is always a medium-term catalyst. Correction does not change the trend. The 4.4% drop in gold is a clear reminder that the market doesn't follow a straight line. But considering the overall context: • Unresolved geopolitical instability, • Gradually easing global monetary policy, • Central banks continue to diversify away from the Dollar, The current correction is more technical and cyclical than a long-term trend reversal. With 2026 ahead, gold is unlikely to continue its "straightforward" rise as it did in 2025, but its pivotal role in a defensive portfolio remains intact. The market is entering a more selective, differentiated, and disciplined phase, where opportunities lie not at the peak of euphoria, but in sufficiently deep and calm corrections. Technical analysis and suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Analysis The medium-term uptrend remains intact as the price moves within an upward price channel. After a strong surge, gold corrected downwards from the 0.618 Fibonacci extension zone, but quickly received clear support at the EMA21, indicating that buyers still control the trend structure. Currently, the price is consolidating just above the dynamic support zone, with the RSI remaining above the neutral level, reflecting a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. Prioritize a buy-the-dip strategy, avoiding chasing prices while the uptrend remains dominant. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4438 - 4436⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4442 →Take Profit 1 4430 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4424 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4266 - 4268⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4262 →Take Profit 1 4274 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4280
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off our buy entry level at 4,314.95, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our stop loss is set at 4,266.20, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our take-profit is set at 4,418.33, which corresponds to a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
Gold Just Absorbed a Sharp Sell-Off — This Is a PullbackGOLD (XAUUSD) — 1H Market Analysis Gold remains firmly within a primary bullish structure , despite the recent aggressive bearish candle. The current price action is best interpreted as a technical pullback into dynamic support , not a breakdown. The market is resetting momentum after a strong impulsive leg higher. 1) Market Structure: Bullish Trend Still Intact The broader structure continues to show: - Higher highs and higher lows on the intraday trend - Price still trading above the 89 EMA, which is acting as a medium-term trend support - The recent sell-off failed to break the last structural higher low This confirms that buyers remain in control, and the decline is corrective rather than impulsive. 2) Key Technical Levels (Execution Zones) Support Zone 4,470 – 4,450 Confluence of: - EMA 89 (~4,476) - Prior breakout structure The long lower wick shows strong buy-side absorption at this level. If this zone holds, the bullish trend remains valid. Resistance & Upside Targets - Target 1: 4,505 – 4,520 First reaction zone after the bounce - Target 2: 4,525 – 4,550 Previous consolidation high - Target 3: 4,580 – 4,600 Measured move extension + psychological round number High probability zone for partial profit-taking 3) Momentum & Moving Averages - EMA 34 has been briefly lost but price is attempting to reclaim it - EMA 89 remains unbroken → trend bias stays bullish - Momentum reset is healthy after the prior impulsive rally In strong trends, price often pulls back to EMA 89 before expanding again. 4) Macro Context: Why Gold Is Still Supported - Gold strength is not random it is backed by macro tailwinds: - U.S. Dollar weakness continues to support precious metals - Expectations of future rate cuts keep real yields under pressure - Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty sustains safe-haven demand - Central bank gold accumulation remains structurally supportive These factors limit downside risk and favor dip-buying behavior rather than trend reversal selling. 5) Scenarios Going Forward Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario) Price holds above 4,450 Reclaims 4,500 Extension toward 4,550 → 4,600 Bearish Invalid Scenario Clean breakdown and acceptance below 4,450 Would expose 4,420 – 4,400 Only then would the bullish structure be compromised Final Assessment This move is a controlled pullback within a strong uptrend, not a bearish signal. As long as price holds above the EMA 89 and structural support, the path of least resistance remains upward. Smart money buys pullbacks — not tops — and the current zone is exactly where trend continuation setups usually form.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
2
Gold Just Broke Its Rising ChannelGold (XAUUSD) – H1 Technical & Macro Analysis Gold has shifted from a bullish continuation structure into a clear distribution and breakdown phase . After trending higher inside a rising channel, price failed to sustain momentum near the upper boundary around 4,520–4,540 , forming lower highs and showing repeated rejection. This behavior signals that buying pressure has been absorbed and smart money has begun distributing positions rather than pushing price higher. From a technical structure standpoint, the critical signal was the clean break below the rising channel support near 4,480–4,460. This breakdown invalidates the bullish channel and confirms a short-term trend reversal. The subsequent pullback attempts were weak and corrective, indicating that sellers are now in control. As long as price remains below 4,500, the market structure favors downside continuation rather than a bullish recovery. Key levels to monitor: Broken support /new resistance: 4,480–4,500 Intermediate support: ~4,420 Major downside target: 4,340–4,300 (previous demand & liquidity zone) On the macro side, gold is currently pressured by stabilizing US yields and a resilient US dollar , which reduce the attractiveness of non-yielding assets like gold. Additionally, the absence of immediate geopolitical escalation or aggressive dovish signals from the Federal Reserve has cooled safe-haven demand. With markets pricing a more gradual rate-cut path, gold is losing short-term momentum despite its longer-term bullish narrative. Conclusion: Gold has transitioned from an uptrend into a bearish corrective phase on the H1 timeframe. Any bounce toward 4,480–4,500 is technically a sell-the-rally opportunity, not a trend reversal, unless price reclaims and holds above the broken channel. Until then, the probability favors continued downside toward 4,420 and potentially 4,300 , where stronger demand may re-emerge.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Breaks Structure at a Critical Channel LevelGold is showing clear signs of trend exhaustion after a strong impulsive rally that has been respecting an ascending price channel for several sessions. Price has now broken below the lower boundary of this channel, a technical signal that bullish momentum is weakening and that the market is transitioning from markup to distribution/correction. From a technical standpoint, the repeated failures near the upper channel resistance around 4,550–4,570 formed a series of lower highs, indicating seller absorption at premium prices. The decisive move below the channel support near 4,480 confirms a loss of bullish structure. As long as price remains below this broken support, the channel acts as new resistance, and short-term rallies are likely to be corrective rather than trend-continuing. If downside momentum sustains, the next key support zone lies around 4,420–4,400 , followed by a deeper liquidity area near 4,350–4,320, where previous demand and structural lows are concentrated. A brief pullback toward 4,480–4,500 would be technically normal, but failure to reclaim the channel would reinforce a bearish continuation scenario. On the macro side, gold is reacting to a combination of year-end positioning, declining holiday liquidity, and shifting interest rate expectations. While expectations of Fed easing in 2026 remain supportive for gold in the medium term, the short-term environment is dominated by profit-taking and risk rebalancing after an extended rally. A firmer U.S. dollar and stabilization in Treasury yields have also reduced the immediate safe-haven bid. Conclusion: Gold has lost its bullish channel structure, shifting the bias to short-term bearish/corrective. As long as price stays below 4,480, downside toward 4,420 → 4,350 remains the higher-probability path. A recovery back inside the channel would be required to invalidate this bearish setup. Until then, traders should treat rebounds as selling opportunities, not trend continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
EURUSD – H2 Analysis..EURUSD – H2 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Clear ascending channel → bullish trend intact. Price is holding trendline + Ichimoku cloud support. Current move looks like a pullback before continuation. Buyers are defending the 1.1735–1.1760 area. 📈 Buy Setup (Trend Continuation) Buy Zone: 1.1735 – 1.1760 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 1.1810 Target 2: 1.1840 (upper channel / My marked target) ❌ Invalidation H2 close below 1.1710 → bullish setup weakens. 📌 Trade Summary Pair: EURUSD Timeframe: H2 Bias: BUY Targets: 1.1810 → 1.1840 📍 If price reaches 1.1840, expect partial profit-taking or rejection.
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
1
XAUUSD (Gold) – H4 Analysis...XAUUSD (Gold) – H4 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Overall strong bullish trend (higher highs & higher lows). Price made a healthy pullback into the trendline + Ichimoku support. Current move looks like a bullish continuation after correction. Buyers are defending the 4,360–4,340 zone. 📈 Buy Setup (Trend Continuation) Buy Zone: 4,340 – 4,370 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 4,440 Target 2: 4,520 (major resistance / liquidity high – my marked level) ❌ Invalidation H4 close below 4,300 → bullish structure breaks. 📌 Trade Summary Pair: XAUUSD Timeframe: H4 Bias: BUY Targets: 4,440 → 4,520 🔔 If price reaches 4,520, expect profit booking or short-term rejection. That level is ideal for partial exits.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
1
Gold Isn’t Correcting — It’s Setting a TrapXAUUSD – Market Structure Update & Intraday Strategy (Dec 29) Gold continues to move exactly within last week’s planned scenario, confirming that the broader market structure remains intact. Price is still respecting the established ascending channel, which is critical: as long as structure holds, the advantage belongs to traders who identified the context early rather than reacting emotionally to short-term volatility. This is not randomness it is disciplined price behavior following liquidity logic. From a medium-term perspective, XAUUSD remains in a clear uptrend. Recent pullbacks are technical corrections, not signs of distribution. These retracements are designed to absorb liquidity and eliminate late FOMO entries before continuation. Price is currently hovering around the equilibrium /liquidity zone, a common area where the market generates noise, fake breaks, and emotional traps. Importantly, dynamic support (EMA + structural support) continues to hold firmly, signaling no confirmed trend reversal at this stage. On the intraday timeframe, the primary bias remains re-accumulation within trend. As long as price holds above the key support zone, rebounds should be treated as continuation setups rather than reversal signals. Even a deeper downside sweep should be viewed as liquidity collection for larger capital participation, not structural weakness. According to the weekly directional plan, the primary objective remains higher within the channel, with the next upside expansion targeting the upper boundary. Trader’s Mindset & Execution Price respecting the old structure is not coincidence, it validates correct structural reading and money flow alignment. Professional trading is not about chasing candles; it is about letting price execute within a predefined scenario. While the plan remains valid, the edge lies not in overthinking, but in patience and disciplined execution. The market today is still playing by the same rules as last week. 📌 TODAY’S LIMITED STRATEGY – DEC 29 Intraday Focus: Re-accumulation & liquidity-based entries SETUP 1 – Timing Sell (Short-term counter move) Sell Zone: 4576 – 4579 Take Profit: 4573 – 4568 Stop Loss: 4583 SETUP 2 – Timing Buy (Primary trend continuation) Buy Zone: 4430 – 4433 Take Profit: 4436 – 4441 Stop Loss: 4426 ⚠️ Strict capital management is mandatory. These setups are precision-based, not emotional trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
XAUUSD (Gold) – H1 Analysis....XAUUSD (Gold) – H1 Analysis (based on my chart) Market Structure Strong bullish trend, price riding inside an ascending channel. Price is currently near upper channel resistance. Clear rejection zone → pullback / correction likely before next move. Ichimoku cloud below price → correction, not trend reversal. 📉 Sell (Correction) Setup Sell Zone: 4535 – 4545 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 4440 Target 2: 4340 (strong support & channel lower zone) ❌ Invalidation H1 close above 4560 → sell idea invalid. 📌 Clean Signal Summary Instrument: XAUUSD Timeframe: H1 Bias: Sell (pullback) Targets: 4440 → 4340 After hitting lower targets, buy re-entry will be possible again from demand zone.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
1
USDJPY – H1 Analysis ...USDJPY – H1 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Price is inside a symmetrical triangle (compression). Currently testing the upper trendline with Ichimoku support. Bias is bullish on breakout. 📈 Buy Scenario (Breakout Play) Buy Entry: On H1 close above 156.35 – 156.40 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 156.90 Target 2: 157.60 (main liquidity / my marked target) ❌ Invalidation H1 close below 155.90 → breakout fails, avoid buys. 📌 Trade Summary Pair: USDJPY Timeframe: H1 Bias: BUY on breakout Targets: 156.90 → 157.60 If price rejects the upper trendline, expect range trading back toward 155.80 – 155.60 before next move.
Long
by XAUxBTC_Pro
1
EURJPY – M30 Analysis ....EURJPY – M30 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Price has been moving under a descending trendline. Now we see a break & retest attempt with support from the Ichimoku cloud. Momentum is shifting bullish intraday. This looks like a trendline breakout → upside continuation. 📈 Buy Setup Buy Zone: 183.80 – 184.10 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 184.80 Target 2: 185.40 (major resistance / liquidity zone – your marked target) ❌ Invalidation M30 close below 183.50 → bullish setup fails. 📌 Clean Signal Summary Pair: EURJPY Timeframe: M30 Bias: BUY Targets: 184.80 → 185.40 If price hits 185.40, expect profit booking / possible reversal from there.
Long
by XAUxBTC_Pro
1
BTCUSD – H1 Analysis..BTCUSD – H1 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Price rejected strongly from the upper range / liquidity sweep near 89k–90k. Now trading below the Ichimoku cloud → bearish momentum. Clear range breakdown with continuation to the downside likely. This looks like a sell continuation, not just a small pullback. 📉 Sell Setup Sell Zone: 86,800 – 87,200 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 85,400 Target 2: 84,000 (major demand & liquidity zone) ❌ Invalidation H1 close above 88,200 → sell setup invalid. 📌 Clean Signal Summary Pair: BTCUSD Timeframe: H1 Bias: SELL Targets: 85,400 → 84,000 After 84k, expect a strong reaction / bounce — that area is key for fresh BUY setups.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by XAUxBTC_Pro
1
XAUUSD – Retesting Support Before the Next Upside MoveHello, I'm Camila. Observing the H4 chart, I can see that gold has proactively pulled back to rete afterhow the market is reacting at lower prices. Instead of continued selling pressure, the current candles show a clear loss of bearish momentum, while buying interest is beginning to re-emerge. This is typical behavior in a healthy uptrend, where the market reassesses its foundation before committing to the next move. From a structural perspective, the bullish trend remains intact. Price is still trading above the ascending trendline, and there are no confirmed signals of a structural breakdown. The recent volatility appears to be more about rebalancing supply and demand than distribution. In momentum-driven uptrends, pullbacks to test support are not signs of weakness; they are often necessary steps to determine whether buyers are still committed to defending higher prices. On the fundamental side, the broader backdrop continues to favor gold. Ongoing global economic and geopolitical risks remain unresolved, sustaining demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a relatively accommodative policy stance help limit upside pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. However, with a busy U.S. economic calendar ahead, upcoming data releases could generate uneven intraday volatility, making it unlikely for gold to move in a straight line and more likely to continue its familiar “advance-and-pause” rhythm. The area I am watching most closely is the current support zone, where price is now reacting. If gold continues to hold this area and shows clearer buying responses, the bullish structure will be further reinforced. In such scenarios, the market often completes its base-building process before resuming the broader trend that has already been established. Wishing you disciplined and successful trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Camila_Roja
35
Technical Pullback Within an Uptrend, No Reversal Signal YetHello everyone, On the H4 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the short-term decline, but the fact that gold’s primary uptrend remains intact. After a strong rally that pushed price into the 4.52x–4.55x zone, the market has started to show a corrective reaction. This is a typical development when price has advanced too quickly and needs a pullback to test the strength of buying interest at elevated levels. From a structural perspective, the uptrend has not been violated. Price is still trading above both EMA34 and EMA89, even though profit-taking pressure has become more visible in recent sessions. The cluster of moving averages below price continues to act as dynamic support, suggesting that the current decline is corrective in nature rather than the beginning of a trend reversal. In terms of key levels, the 4.45x–4.46x area is the first nearby support to watch, where price may retest and react around EMA34. If selling pressure extends further, the 4.40x–4.42x zone becomes the next important area of interest, aligning with EMA89 and a prior consolidation base. Only a clear breakdown below this region would seriously challenge the bullish scenario. At this stage, price action still fits well with a technical pullback within a dominant uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
22
SILVER Strong Uptrend! Buy! Hello,Traders! SILVER remains bullish after a corrective pullback into rising trendline support. Sell-side liquidity has been absorbed, and price is holding structure, signaling smart money continuation toward the next buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. Time Frame 7H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
Absolute Insanity in SILVER right Now $4 billion in silver longs get vaporized in 70 minutes. $83.75 to $75.15. Fastest wipeout ever, With current price sitting at $71 American traders panic-dumped at $75, Chinese buyers were paying $90. Ninety. For the same metal. The premium didn’t shrink during the crash—it widened. Let that sink in. This wasn’t a top. This was a heist. China locks silver exports in 72 hours. January 1st. Export licenses only. They control 70% of global supply. COMEX is down 70% on inventory. London’s vaults are bleeding. And Elon Musk just tweeted “this is not good” about the shortage. The gold-silver ratio is 60:1. Historical average is 30. That’s $150 silver just to normalize. Everyone’s calling this 1980. It’s not. The Hunts were speculators playing paper games. This is industrial demand crashing into empty vaults. Solar panels don’t negotiate. AI chips don’t wait. Retail just handed their silver to sovereign wealth funds at a 15% discount. The rumor says a major bank collapsed on a silver margin call at 2:47 AM December 28. I cannot verify that. What I can verify is more interesting. JPMorgan filed an 8K on December 27 disclosing 4.875 billion dollars in unrealized silver losses. They flipped from 200 million ounces short to 750 million ounces long physical. The largest position reversal in the history of the silver market happened in the last 30 days and nobody on financial television said a word. The rumor claims 34 billion in emergency Fed repos. Official data shows routine operations under 7 billion. Either the data is lagged or the rumor is wrong. Why did JPMorgan suddenly need to own three quarters of a billion ounces of physical silver after spending 15 years on the short side. What did they see coming that made them eat a 5 billion dollar loss just to get positioned the other way. The collapse story might be fiction. The position flip is filed with the SEC. One of those facts will matter more in 90 days than the other. Stop chasing the rumor. Start asking why the smartest bank in commodities just switched sides at the worst possible price and seems fine with it.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
TVC:SILVERShort
by rishyrish
5