Gold 1H – Smart Money Breakdown Targets 4040 Liquidity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold has suffered a sharp breakdown following year-end positioning flows, marking its largest single-day drop in weeks. According to today’s hot ForexFactory update, bearish momentum is accelerating as price decisively breaks below key technical levels, with downside targets now aligning toward the $4040–4050 liquidity zone.
This move appears driven less by fresh macro catalysts and more by portfolio rebalancing, profit-taking, and thin liquidity conditions, typical of late-December trading. Despite some dip-buying interest emerging intraday, the broader flow suggests distribution rather than accumulation, keeping Gold vulnerable to further downside sweeps before any sustainable recovery.
Smart Money behavior in this environment favors sell-side continuation with corrective pullbacks, rather than impulsive trend reversals.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Bearish displacement after HTF distribution
Key Idea: Sell premium pullbacks; buy only at deep discount liquidity
Structural Notes:
• Clear CHoCH confirmed after loss of prior bullish structure
• Strong bearish displacement created inefficiencies below
• Previous bullish trendline invalidated
• Price trading below equilibrium, attempting weak corrective retrace
• Internal liquidity partially cleared; external sell-side liquidity rests below
• Resistance zone aligns with prior supply and breakdown origin
💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300
🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → continuation
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500
Rules:
✔ Pullback into premium resistance / supply
✔ Bearish MSS or CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ Downside BOS with impulsive displacement
✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB
Targets:
4420
4370
4310 – extension if bearish momentum persists
🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300
Rules:
✔ Sell-side liquidity sweep into deep discount
✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms absorption
✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement
✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest
Targets:
4370
4420
4480 – only if structure flips bullish
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Bearish momentum dominates after structural breakdown
• Year-end liquidity increases fake pullbacks and stop hunts
• No trade without MSS + BOS confirmation
• Expect volatility during U.S. session and around USD yield headlines
• Reduce position size if volatility expands unexpectedly
📍 Summary
Gold has transitioned from accumulation to distribution, with Smart Money now favoring downside continuation toward deeper liquidity pools. The plan is clear:
• Sell premium pullbacks at 4480–4490, or
• Buy only at deep discount 4310–4320 after confirmation
Let liquidity be engineered.
Let structure confirm intent.
Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Commodities
Every President TermThe president’s influence is real — but limited.
Markets are forward‑looking. They price in expectations months or years ahead. So even if a president announces a policy, the market may have already reacted long before it becomes reality.
Below numbers are taken from Year Starting January until December of finishing Year.
During Trump 1st Term 2017-2020
SP500 is up 67%
Gold is up 57%
Silver is up 54%
US M2 is up 43%
During Biden Term 2021-2024
SP500 is up 52%
Gold is up 45%
Silver is up 19%
US M2 is up 11%
During Trump 2nd Term 2025-2028 (Dated until 2025 Dec 30)
SP500 is up 19%
Gold is up 50%
Silver is up 130%
US M2 is up 3%
I would expect by the end of Trump Term, SP500 will be moving close to Gold Gains,
May be 30% up from here making SP500 close to 10000
I will look back this post on 2028 January to see if I need to correct my thesis
News Only Matters When It Breaks Market StructureDow × News × Market Structure
In trading, news is not powerful because the numbers are big or small. Most information is already priced in by the market. What truly determines the impact of news is not the headline itself, but whether it forces the market to change its existing structure.
According to Dow Theory, a trend remains in place until there is clear evidence of reversal. This leads to a simple reality: good news will not push price higher if the primary trend is still bearish, and bad news will not crash the market if a bullish structure remains intact.
That is why market reactions to news often look “strange.” Sometimes CPI comes out better than expected and price barely moves. Other times bad news hits and price only shakes briefly before continuing in the same direction. The issue is not that the news is wrong, but that it is not strong enough to break the current structure.
News only becomes meaningful when it does one of two things: breaks a key high or low, or ends an existing sequence of higher highs–higher lows or lower highs–lower lows. When price closes beyond the old structure, the market has accepted new information and entered a different phase of movement.
On the other hand, if price spikes on news and then quickly returns to the prior range, the structure has not changed. These moves are mostly noise—emotionally charged, but trendless. The market is merely releasing energy, not changing direction.
In practice, many of the strongest moves actually come from news that is not particularly surprising. That is because the structure was already in a vulnerable state. The news acts as the final catalyst, not the root cause.
So the real task is not “trading the news,” but reading the structure before the news hits. Define the trend using Dow Theory, mark the key structural levels, and then observe whether the news has enough force to break them. Only when structure changes and price confirms does news truly gain trading value.
The strongest news is not the one that creates the biggest volatility, but the one that forces the market to change how it moves. If structure is not broken, every reaction is just an opinion. Only when structure fails does the market give a real answer.
Gold has given a new high but has dropped back into supportNot an easy situation here on gold but the zones are pretty well defined. We are looking to see how gold treats the bearish supply recently created above the range, as well as monitor how the lows are being treated coming into the new year.
We are expecting much bullish discovery on the horizon as there is no real indication it will slow its growth curve as of yet.
Be sure to subscribe for more clear breakdowns
OKLO: watching for top formation NYSE:OKLO : as long as price remains below the 175–183 local resistance zone, I’m watching for at least a mid-term top formation, with selling pressure likely to start dominating. The first support levels to watch are 135–125.
A confirmed break above 183 would shift the odds toward one more upside leg into the 210 macro-resistance area.
Chart:
Macro view:
Previously:
On macro-bottom potential (May 1): www.tradingview.com
BTC/USDT | Will it make a move? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4-hour chart of BTC, it is still struggling in the same zone it has been for the past 4-5 weeks, going up and down between the IFVG and the Demand zone. BTC will probably fall down to the high of the IFVG, at 86,662. There are no clear indication whatsoever as to when BTC will make a move, but when it does, it'll most likely be a very sharp move.
Current targets for BTC: 88,413, 89,409 and 90,406
Gold Breaks Records This Christmas — What’s Next?For the first time in history, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has reached new all-time highs during the Christmas period, setting a remarkable record.
The question now is whether gold will continue to rise.
It’s important to note that when an asset hits all-time highs, technical analysis can become a bit more challenging, and it’s crucial to consider previous support and resistance levels.
Personally, I find that taking long positions at all-time highs can be risky due to the high likelihood of overbuying, so I tend to be more cautious about entering new long positions.
This period is usually characterized by consolidation or mild directional moves, rather than strong breakouts.
Important trends and decisive moves in Gold often emerge after the holidays, when liquidity returns and institutional positioning resumes in early January.
At the moment, Gold has started to decline with the new week and is moving below the resistance zone($4,513-$4,492).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that the main wave 5 may have completed at these all-time highs, and the wave patterns are clearly visible, so we can wait for correction waves.
I expect that Gold may attempt to retest the support line, and if it breaks that support lines and the support zone($4,448-$4,426), it could potentially drop to around $4,393.
What do you think? Will 2026 be another bullish year for gold, or should we expect a correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts!
First Target: Support lines
Second Target: $4,393
Stop Loss(SL): $4,529(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Gold Going To 5000 in 2026 Here Is Why!Why Gold Is Likely to Rise in 2026 If Rates Fall to 3.0%
Gold historically performs best during periods of declining interest rates, and expectations for two additional rate cuts in 2026 — moving the policy rate from 3.75% down to 3.0% — create a structurally supportive environment for gold.
1. Falling Rates Reduce the Opportunity Cost of Gold
Gold does not generate yield. When interest rates are high, investors are rewarded for holding cash or bonds. As rates fall, the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, making it more competitive versus yield-based assets.
2. Rate Cuts Typically Weaken the US Dollar
Lower interest rates reduce the relative attractiveness of dollar-denominated assets. Historically, rate-cut cycles lead to dollar weakness, which directly supports higher gold prices since gold is priced in USD and becomes cheaper for non-US buyers.
3. Real Yields Are the Key Driver
Gold responds most strongly to real yields (nominal rates minus inflation). If the Fed cuts rates while inflation declines slowly or remains sticky, real yields compress, which has been one of the most consistent catalysts for strong gold rallies.
At a personal level, this is exactly the dynamic I focused on in 2025. I didn’t trade gold because of hype or headlines, but because the macro setup was clear: falling real yields, rising liquidity, and asymmetric upside. By leveraging only at specific moments when momentum aligned with macro conditions, I was able to compound aggressively and ended the year up over 4,300% trading gold alone. Not because gold is easy — but because timing and context matter far more than prediction.
4. Rate Cuts Signal Economic Fragility
Multiple rate cuts are rarely bullish for growth assets at first. They usually signal economic slowdown, stress in credit markets, or financial instability. In these environments, investors seek protection, and gold historically benefits from this shift toward safe-haven positioning.
5. Liquidity Cycles Favor Hard Assets
Lower rates ease financial conditions and expand global liquidity. Increased liquidity tends to flow into hard assets and stores of value, especially when confidence in fiat stability weakens. Gold sits at the center of that liquidity rotation.
Conclusion
If the Federal Reserve delivers two rate cuts in 2026, bringing rates from 3.75% to 3.0%, the macro backdrop strongly favors higher gold prices. Lower opportunity costs, a weaker dollar, declining real yields, and heightened uncertainty together create a high-probability bullish environment for gold, increasing the likelihood of new all-time highs during the 2026 cycle.
So make sure to join my channel where I post trade signals so you can make 2026 your best year ever!
GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H CHART GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H CHART EXPLANATION
Gold earlier showed a strong uptrend, but near the 4550 area price faced heavy selling pressure. This led to a clear breakdown of structure, followed by a sharp bearish move. After this fall, price is now consolidating, which usually indicates a pause before the next move. As long as Gold stays below the broken support (now resistance), the overall bias remains bearish. This is a zone where patience is required, not aggressive trading.
The current price action suggests that the market is deciding its next direction. Fake moves are possible inside this range, so confirmation is more important than prediction. Traders should strictly wait for a 1-hour candle closing before taking any entry. Candle close confirms whether buyers or sellers are in control and helps avoid false breakouts.
TRADING PLAN (SIMPLE & CLEAR)
SELL SETUP (Preferred)
Entry: Sell only if a 1H candle closes below 4350
Stop Loss: 4420
Targets:
Target 1: 4300
Target 2: 4250
BUY SETUP (Only on Strength)
Entry: Buy only if a 1H candle closes above 4475
Stop Loss: 4415
Targets:
Target 1: 4550
Target 2: 4600
FINAL RULE
No candle closing = No trade
Trade only after confirmation, not on emotion.
Risk small and stay disciplined.
WATCH MORE IDEAS @thetradeforecast
2025 Scoreboard: Year’s Top Winners and Biggest LosersIn 2025, money flowed to safety and profits (metals, stocks) 🚀 and away from high risk (altcoins, most crypto) 📉.
Scoreboard: who won 2025? 📊
- 🥈 Silver: +160%
- 🥇 Gold: +65%
- 🧱 Copper: +43%
- 💻 Nasdaq: +20%
- 📈 S&P 500: +16%
- 🧬 Russell 2000: +13%
- ₿ Bitcoin: −6%
- Ξ Ethereum: −12%
- 🪙 Altcoins: −42%
So: metals and stocks = strong green ✅, crypto = mostly red ❌, especially altcoins.
Why metals pumped so hard 🪙🚀
- People wanted safety, not lottery tickets.
When there is fear about inflation, wars, or central banks, investors rush into gold and silver as “real” money that existed for centuries.
- Metals have real‑world demand.
Silver and copper are needed for solar, EVs, electronics etc., so there is constant buying from industry, not just traders.
Result: a huge wall of money moved into metals, pushing them up far more than Bitcoin.
Why stocks did well 📈💼
- Big Tech keeps making real profits.
AI, cloud, chips and software companies are printing earnings, so investors feel comfortable paying higher prices for their shares.
- Easy to access, easy to trust.
Anyone can buy an S&P 500 ETF in their pension account; rules are clear, liquidity is huge. That means constant passive inflows, even when crypto looks scary.
So stocks became the “default” risk trade, while crypto was left aside.
Why BTC and ETH only dipped a bit
- They are the “blue chips” of crypto.
When crypto is out of favor, funds usually sell altcoins first and keep more BTC and ETH, because they are the most liquid and most trusted.
- Still seen as long‑term bets.
Even in a bad year, many investors believe Bitcoin and Ethereum can recover, so they don’t panic‑dump as hard as they do with small caps.
That is why BTC −6% and ETH −12% look “ok” compared with altcoins −42%.
Why altcoins were destroyed 🧨🪙
- Highest risk, so they get sold first.
When people de‑risk, the order is usually: sell altcoins ➝ then BTC/ETH ➝ maybe later reduce stocks. Altcoins sit at the very end of the risk curve.
- Bad tokenomics + unlocks.
Many altcoins still release new supply to VCs, teams, or farmers. In a weak market, those extra tokens just crush price.
- Old narratives, no real users.
A lot of 2021 themes (random L1s, dead metaverse projects, copy‑paste DeFi) lost momentum. With little real usage, there were more sellers than buyers all year.
End result: altcoins became the worst‑performing major asset class of 2025.
The simple lesson for traders 🧠
- In “fear” years, money runs to real assets and profitable companies (metals, strong stocks) 🛡️.
- In those phases, crypto – especially alts – behaves like leverage on risk and gets hit the hardest 💣.
So for the next cycle, think in levels of risk:
cash → metals → big stocks → BTC/ETH → altcoins.
When the macro mood turns defensive again, rotate up this ladder instead of holding the riskiest coins and hoping.
WTI OIL Strong case for a 2-month rally.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down since the September 28 2023 High. Since then, it as had four Bearish Legs (including the current one), which declined on a range of -25.62% to -31.58%. All subsequent rebounds (Bullish Legs) that followed, hit at least their 0.681 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Given that the price rebounded 2 weeks ago on the 8-month Support (55.20) and the 1W RSI has been on Higher Lows (i.e. Bullish Divergence) since May, we may see a new Bullish Leg emerging now.
The one condition that will confirm that will be the price breaking above the blue Channel Down. If that takes place, we will turn bullish for the next two months, targeting $69.00 (Fib 0.618).
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
USOIL WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅WTI OIL trades into a clear premium supply zone after buy-side liquidity was taken. Weak bullish follow-through and rejection suggest smart money distribution, favoring a downside move toward resting sell-side liquidity below. Time Frame 6H.
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Gold has been moving in a strong bullish channel, but it is now Technical View:
Resistance Zone: The price is climbing towards a significant supply area between 4540.00 and 4633.00 (marked in red).
Channel Top: This resistance zone aligns perfectly with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Expectation: As price hits this upper structure, there is a high probability of a rejection or a pullback. I am watching for bearish reactions from this level to potentially correct downwards (as shown by the arrows).
Trade with care and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD SAXO:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:GOLD
POSSIBLE BUY SETUP XAUUSD 30MN
🟢 Entry Reason
Price has reacted strongly from a higher-timeframe demand zone.
Sell-side liquidity has been swept, weakening sellers.
Bullish reaction suggests potential CHoCH / momentum shift from demand.
Looking for continuation back toward premium liquidity above.
🟢 Entry
Buy on confirmation inside the 4,350–4,365 demand zone
Conservative entry after bullish engulfing / LTF BOS
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Below demand and liquidity low:
4,335–4,330
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
TP1: 4,390–4,405 (internal liquidity / resistance)
TP2: 4,430–4,450 (external buy-side liquidity)
📈 Why This Buy Works
Trading from discount + demand
Liquidity grab completed below lows
Favorable mean-reversion / continuation setup
Clear invalidation below demand
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please see our new Daily chart roadmap and trade idea, following the completion of our previous Daily chart setup.
We’ve also updated the Goldturn channel. We currently have a daily body close above 4507, opening the path toward the 4605 AXIS target. A 5 EMA lock would further confirm this move.
If instead we see a rejection at this level with a close below 4507, this would open 4406. A further close below 4406 would expose the channel half-line, which is a stronger primary support level where a bounce is more likely. Only a decisive break below the channel half-line would open the larger swing range, aligning with the channel floor
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 30Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4550, Support: 4270
4-Hour Resistance: 4430, Support: 4300
1-Hour Resistance: 4400, Support: 4350
Gold experienced a maximum drop of $247 yesterday, breaking through upward trend support lines on different chart levels, reaching a low of 4302. Today, it has entered an oversold rebound phase, but the medium-to-long-term upward trend remains unchanged. The Bollinger Bands are trending upwards, and the overall price action is within an upward channel. The focus is on the sustainability of the rebound. Support during the NY session is expected in the 4310-4300 range, while resistance is currently around the moving averages at 4397/4440.
The 1-hour chart shows a continued rebound with narrowing Bollinger Bands, indicating a potential new directional choice in the short term. Support on the 1-hour chart is expected around 4350/4324, with resistance at 4400.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4324 near
BUY: 4310 near
SELL: 4400 near
More Analysis →
Black Monday: How to get out of a losing position?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold is currently in a slow upward trend, but due to the significant drop at the beginning of the week yesterday, it will be difficult for gold prices to achieve a direct V-shaped reversal. It is expected to gradually stabilize through repeated fluctuations. My strategy remains primarily bullish, with bearish as a secondary approach. Currently, judging from the hourly and 4-hour charts, the short-term support is around 4365-4355. If it pulls back to this level, we can consider taking a small long position with a stop-loss order. Watch for resistance at 4395-4405. If the price rebounds to this level for the first time during the day and encounters resistance, consider a small short position.
Today, a slow, oscillating pattern is expected to continue. Trading should be conducted within the key range, with appropriate stop-loss orders in place. A steady and cautious approach is advised, and short-term traders should look for opportunities to take profits at resistance levels.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis: Gold Pullback After Strong Rally (READ)Today we are posting a new Gold analysis. After our last analysis, gold rallied strongly from $4337 to $4550, delivering more than 2100 pips of profit. After printing a new ATH at $4550, price faced strong selling pressure and has dropped to around $4461 so far.
The downside momentum is heavy, and my first bearish target is $4430. This level is very important. If price finds support there, we could see gold push higher again and move back toward levels above $4500.
Silver Already Showed The Playbook – Bitcoin Might Be Next!When you compare OANDA:XAGUSD and COINBASE:BTCUSD side by side, the similarity in structure is hard to ignore. Silver spent time consolidating, respected its higher lows, absorbed supply, and then expanded aggressively once the structure was confirmed. Bitcoin now appears to be in a very similar phase.
At the moment, Bitcoin is trading around $88,000. The previous all-time high sits near $126,000. The most recent major November low was formed around $80,700.
Importantly, price has not violated the $74,000 macro support, which remains a key level. This alone keeps the higher-timeframe structure intact and bullish.
What we are seeing right now is not panic or distribution. Pullbacks are corrective, momentum remains controlled, and price continues to hold above key demand zones. This behavior suggests compression and energy build-up, not exhaustion.
Silver already executed this sequence cleanly. Bitcoin has not broken down yet, and structurally, it is still behaving like an asset preparing for continuation rather than reversal.
There is, however, a macro risk that cannot be ignored. Rising geopolitical tensions, especially the risk of escalation between Iran and Israel with potential U.S. involvement, could change market dynamics very quickly. Events like these can override any technical structure.
That said, this analysis is based strictly on current price action and confirmed data, not on hypothetical scenarios. As long as price respects structure, the technical bias remains valid.
From a long-term perspective, if Bitcoin continues to respect its macro supports and resumes expansion, the broader upside zone I am watching lies between $200,000 and $280,000.
This is not a buy or sell signal. This is a structural comparison and a technical roadmap.
The market often looks uncertain right before the next major leg begins.
The real question is simple:
Does Bitcoin follow Silver’s playbook, or does macro risk step in first?
Let me know your view below.
XAU/USD | Gold Sharp Sell-Off After ATH, Liquidity Void in Play!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, price rallied to $4550 and delivered over 700 more pips of profit. After that strong move, gold entered a very aggressive correction. In less than 16 hours, price dropped from $4550 to $4300, which means a $250 or 2500 pips heavy sell-off.
Right now, gold is trading around $4329. This sharp drop has created a very large liquidity void, and I expect this gap to be filled in the short term with a bullish rebound. The expected short-term upside is around 300 to 800 pips, while the medium-term potential could reach 1500 to 2500 pips.
The key medium-term demand zone to watch is $4210 to $4269.This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Silver is all about the 80-handle NowSilver started the week with a bang, and that extended the breakout from last week, at least initially. But it was the 80-level that bulls couldn't hold price above and that led to a massive pullback to start this week.
The daily bar printed as a bearish engulf and those are difficult formations to work with organically as the wide distance from high to candle body close makes for a wide risk outlay, which would require a massive continuation and, essentially, the trader calling a top on the move.
But so far bulls have shown up, defending the 70-level with yesterday's pullback and pushing ahead today to make another run at that 80-level that remains the big spot on the chart for buyers to contend with.
Chasing the move at this point is somewhat daunting given the ~$6 rally from yday's lows, but there's a spot of prior resistance turned support, around 75.15, that sets up for higher-low support potential.
If bulls can gain acceptance above 80 on that next test, the door opens for 85, 90 and perhaps even 100 in 2026 trade. This may seem improbable on its face, especially given the bearish engulf that printed yesterday, but so too would a 60% run in a major market like Silver in a month, such as we've seen since mid-November. - js
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Drawing in on the last day of the year what a move on Gold! Yesterday we said we're not going to long due to our indicators venturing into the extreme territory and usually when we get those double dots it's a clean move, and what a move it was. We managed to stay below the bias level and complete all the targets in one day again!
We then identified a couple of levels for bounce and managed to get in on the RIPs for a couple of decent long trades for those who missed the short.
Now, we have support below at the 4310 level and an undercut low at red box defence which if targeted over the Asia session can give us the retracement needed, otherwise, 4335 is the key level of resistance and above that 4390ish is the level we would want.
RED BOXES:
Break above 4540 for 4555, 4565, 4570 and 4583 in extension of the move
Break below 4520 for 4510✅, 4504✅, 4490✅, 4479✅ and 4465✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
$XPD , PALLADIUM One of my biggest bets for 2026
ENTRY : CMP
SL: Only if you wish
TP: $2927, that´s going to be a coll 75% up , I´ll take something out there
Financial Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This is a technical perspective based on price action and market structure. Always manage risk, do your own research, and never trade solely based on a single chart or scenario.






















