DeGRAM | GOLD will reach the $4380 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Gold remains within a rising channel, pulling back toward the mid-range support near 4145–4130, where price previously rebounded and maintained bullish structure.
● A continuation pattern is forming above the trendline, and holding this support zone should trigger a move toward 4211 and the upper channel boundary near 4380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● According to FXStreet, softer US yields and dovish Fed expectations continue to support demand for safe-haven metals in the short term.
✨ Summary
Support: 4145–4130. Targets: 4211 → 4380. Bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above trendline support.
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Commodities
XAUUSD 14 Nov – Bullish ContinuationGold is likely to move lower toward the 4139.97 level, where a potential rebound may occur. There is an inducement positioned just before this level, which increases the probability of a liquidity sweep before buyers step in.
Once this liquidity is taken, gold may resume its overall bullish trend and continue pushing higher.
Gold Near Channel Support – Bulls Preparing for Another Leg Up?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) and the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Gold is completing the main wave 4 .
I expect Gold increase from the Support zone($4,193 – $4,137) to Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance zone($4,316 – $4,270) .
First Target: $4,253
Second Target: $4,297
Stop Loss(SL): $4,133
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Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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GOLD FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅XAUUSD momentum shifted sharply after tapping the supply block, driving price into a clean displacement swing. With liquidity resting below, continuation toward the lower imbalance remains likely. Time Frame 1H.
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Entry: 4084$
Stop Loss: 4110$
Take Profit: 4050$
Time Frame: 2H
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SHORT🔥
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XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,030.94
- Strong pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 127.2% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 3,963.75
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 4,111.7
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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GOLD Local Short! Sell!
GOLD is sliding away from the horizontal supply zone, with bearish displacement hinting at continuation toward the next liquidity pocket below. Any minor pullback may simply serve as distribution before the markdown resumes. Time Frame 1H.
Sell!
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XAUUSD Retests Resistance — Pullback Toward $4,060 SupportHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). After a prolonged bullish movement within a well-defined ascending channel, price reached a significant Resistance Level near $4,200, where sellers stepped in to regain control. This resistance coincides with the upper boundary of a descending resistance line, confirming its importance as a reaction area. Following this rejection, Gold experienced a sharp correction, forming a Range structure near the top before breaking below it — marking a shift in short-term sentiment. The breakout from this range confirmed the beginning of a downward phase, where price continued to move inside a new descending pattern. Currently, XAUUSD is testing the resistance line once again after a breakout retest from below. This area aligns with a former pivot zone where several reversals occurred in the past. The overall structure suggests that buyers are losing momentum, while sellers are preparing to defend this key zone. As long as price remains below the $4,160–$4,200 resistance, a corrective pullback toward the $4,060 Support Level (TP1) looks likely. This area also aligns with the ascending support line, which may act as the next major decision point. A clean break below $4,060 could extend the decline toward the $3,950–$3,970 zone, while a confirmed breakout above $4,200 would invalidate the short scenario and potentially trigger another bullish continuation phase. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold :)Why does the SELL direction have a higher probability of success?
For the following reasons:
Both H12 and H4 are in a bearish correction phase (higher-timeframe momentum favors Sell).
H1 has shifted from an uptrend to a downtrend and has stabilized below the MA60.
M15 shows a pullback toward the moving average, preparing for the next downward move.
Stochastic has turned down from overbought levels in higher timeframes ⇒ indicating continuation of the correction.
Strong bearish reversal candles appeared at the 4230 top (sellers dominated).
Final Conclusion
The primary direction with the highest probability of success = SELL
A valid and logical sell signal becomes active after the break below 4160.
This signal aligns with the higher timeframes and therefore has strong probability.
Possible Cup and Handle for SilverSilver likes forming cups then breaking them, I saw them many times. A possible new one is forming but complete yet. I'm thinking about entering the trade early. It might decreases the chances of a winning trade but also increases the risk reward ratio and possible total loss. I did not decide how to proceed yet myself.
GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 4,235.87.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 4,172.53 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 4172.5
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 4195.5
Safe Stop Loss - 4159.1
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD – Breakdown Structure SignalsXAU/USD – Breakdown Structure Signals Potential Deeper Correction on H1
Gold is showing early signs of a structural breakdown on the H1 timeframe after failing to sustain the recent bullish momentum. Price rejected strongly from the upper resistance zone and has since shifted into a corrective bearish structure. The current movement suggests that sellers may continue pushing price toward lower support levels.
1. Market Context
After forming a double rejection at the upper zone around 4208, XAU/USD broke below the short-term trendline and is now retesting the broken structure from below. This behavior often indicates that buyers are losing control while sellers begin to step in.
The loss of momentum is supported by the declining position of the DEMA, which now aligns as dynamic resistance.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone
4200 – 4210
Major rejection area. Price failed to break higher twice, confirming strong seller presence.
Support Zones
4135 – 4140
First target zone if bearish continuation unfolds. This level acted as strong structure support earlier.
3980 – 4000
Major support and the next potential destination if selling pressure deepens.
3. Price Structure Analysis
A clear lower high has formed after the recent rejection.
Momentum shifted from bullish to bearish, shown by the aggressive decline and the corrective pullback.
The market is now forming a classic pullback setup into resistance before possible continuation downward.
The projected arrows on the chart align with a corrective bounce followed by a strong drop toward the deeper support.
4. Trading Scenarios
Primary: Bearish Continuation
Expect price to retest 4180 – 4190.
If price fails to close back above this zone, bearish pressure is likely to continue.
Downside targets:
4135 – 4140,
followed by 3980 – 4000 if the structure fully breaks.
Alternative: Bullish Recovery
Only valid if price closes above 4210 with strong momentum.
This would invalidate the current bearish structure and reopen the path toward recent highs.
5. Outlook Summary
XAU/USD is currently trading in a corrective bearish structure, with lower highs and weakening bullish momentum. Unless buyers reclaim the 4200 area, the market is likely to continue sliding toward the deeper support zones. Monitoring the reaction at the retest zone will be essential for confirming the next directional move.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 14th.Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4275, Support: 4050
4-Hour Resistance: 4245, Support: 4145
1-Hour Resistance: 4210, Support: 4158
Technically, the monthly/weekly charts remain bullish; the daily chart shows a "rounding bottom" pattern, but attention should be paid to the Bollinger Bands' downward pressure around 4190. Historically, the risk of a technical correction and subsequent decline has increased. As those who have read my recent analyses know, I have consistently emphasized the key level of 4080/85; investors should remain vigilant at this level, while also monitoring the trend continuation after an upward breakout from 4290/4300. If the price breaks below 4080, short positions can be initiated with a target of 4000. Friday's gold market requires extreme caution!
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are alternately declining and under pressure, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the MACD/KDJ indicators are crossing downwards, increasing the risk of a short-term technical pullback. Today, Friday, market trading risk is increased, and the short-term market continuity remains to be seen. The key support level to watch in the European and American sessions is around 4145.
Today's trading strategy is to follow the larger timeframe trend and continue buying on dips, but attention should be paid to the resistance level at 4210 as a potential selling opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4170near
BUY: 4145near
BUY: 4130near
SELL: 4210~4218
More Analysis →
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Watching 4153 Support for Next MoveGold failed to break above 4234 resistance yesterday and pulled back to retest the 4153 pullback zone. Market structure has turned temporarily bearish, with price closing below the 50MA.
If the 4153 support holds and price manages to reclaim the 50MA, a retest of 4234 resistance is likely. A clean break above 4234 could open the way toward 4,285.
However, if selling pressure continues and 4153 gives way, we may see 4115 tested next. A break below the pullback zone could extend the decline toward the lower support area at
4074–4027, where buyers may look to re-enter.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
4197
4234
4285
4322
Support:
4153
4115
4074
4027
Is Gold Attempting to go back to Previous ATH?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 4,220 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 4,220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin topped versus Gold 11 months ago.On the bright side the cyclical bear market of #BTC vs #GC is actually closer to the end, rather than just starting.
Bitcoin has already lost tremendous value vs the Analog SOV
With previous cyclical Bears lasting maximum 14 months.
Which by that time I believe one if not both of these targets will be met.
The troubling aspect is.
If BTC achieves target 2 --- then once could argue a Double top has formed.
And any subsequent bounce/recovery rally should be treated with suspicion.
And furthers declines and retest of this target 2, could open up the trapdoor for a SECULAR Bear market taking us into 2027 before any meaningful recovery can begin.
This is a merely observation of what has happened and what is currently unfolding with early (pre-coinbase launching) BTC investors unloading supply most of 2025 into their perceived six figure objective.
$100K was always the dream!
Will they buy back next bear?
I suspect only if it becomes cheap enough.
What is cheap for an OG?
GOLD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 4125.1
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 4139.79
Recommended Stop Loss - 4117.21
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold bullish breakout resistance at 4250The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential breakout rally within the broader trend.
Support Zone: 4120 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4120 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4250 – initial resistance
4297 – psychological and structural level
4350 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4120 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4090 – minor support
4045 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4120. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ChatGPT said: XAU/USD – Key Levels & Trade Plan🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
The gold market is currently grappling with a blend of safe-haven demand from heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and the counter-force of a strong USD and shifting expectations on Federal Reserve policy. For example, soft U.S. data earlier this week reinforced hopes for a rate cut — driving gold higher.
Trading Economics
+3
Reuters
+3
Forex
+3
Analysts note that gold may remain in a corrective or consolidative phase ahead of further major macro prints (inflation, labor, Fed commentary).
Outlook Business
+1
Sentiment snapshot:
Gold benefits when risk-off and real yields fall → bullish.
Gold suffers if USD strengthens or the Fed signals caution → bearish.
Heading into the London → New York sessions, expect volatility and a tug-of-war between liquidity grabs and structural reactions.
Bias today: Conditionally bullish (on demand zones) but ready for bearish rejection from supply.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + Liquidity Structure)
Price appears to be in a wider swing, with identifiable supply clusters above and demand zones below.
Look for structural signals: a BOS (Break of Structure) for continuation, or a CHoCH (Change of Character) for reversal.
Liquidity behaviour:
Supply: zones where price may enter, sweep for stop-losses, then reverse (trap buys then sell).
Demand: zones where price may drop, sweep low liquidity, then bounce → good long setups.
Confirmation: watch for liquidity sweep + rejection candle + smaller-timeframe structure (M5/M15) before committing.
Example logic: If price hits the sell zone (4,343-4,041) and shows a wick above then selling momentum → short scenario. If price retraces into buy zones (4,121-4,123) or lower and shows a reversal pattern → long scenario.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
4,343 – 4,041 ▶️ Sell Zone – major supply cluster; possible reversal trigger.
4,247 – 4,246 ▶️ Sell Zone – secondary supply for shorter term.
4,174 – 4,172 ▶️ Buy Zone – structural demand; medium-term long opportunity.
4,121 – 4,123 ▶️ Buy Zone – lower demand entry; intraday long focus.
Stop-loss levels:
For 4,343-4,041 Sell: Stop-loss at 4,349.
For 4,247-4,246 Sell: Stop-loss at 4,253.
For Buy 4,174-4,172: Stop-loss at 4,166.
For Buy 4,121-4,123: Stop-loss at 4,115.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ BUY SCENARIO 1 – STRUCTURAL DEMAND (MEDIUM)
Entry: 4,174 – 4,172
Stop-loss: 4,166
TP1: ~4,200 TP2: ~4,240 TP3: Open
Logic: Price returns to this demand zone and confirms via sweep/rejection → long bias.
✅ BUY SCENARIO 2 – INTRADAY REACTION DEMAND
Entry: 4,121 – 4,123
Stop-loss: 4,115
TP1: ~4,150 TP2: ~4,190 TP3: Open
Logic: Reactive long from lower demand base; good for London session.
⚠️ SELL SCENARIO 1 – PRIMARY SUPPLY REJECTION
Entry: 4,343 – 4,041
Stop-loss: 4,349
TP1: ~4,200 TP2: ~4,120 TP3: ~4,046
Logic: Price into major supply zone; wait for clear rejection (wick, reversal candle) then short.
⚠️ SELL SCENARIO 2 – SECONDARY SUPPLY
Entry: 4,247 – 4,246
Stop-loss: 4,253
TP1: ~4,200 TP2: ~4,160 TP3: ~4,121
Logic: Shorter-term supply zone; less range but still valid if momentum falters.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
London session: focus on buy setups from 4,121 and 4,174 zones.
New York session: monitor sell setups if price reaches 4,247-4,246 or 4,343-4,041 with rejection.
Avoid trading blindly into zones without confirmation – wait for structure on M5/M15.
Risk management: each trade risking ≤ 2% account; alter size accordingly.
Be alert for macro data/voxpops from Fed that may trigger stop-runs and false breakouts.
Trail stops once TP1 is achieved; consider reducing position after strong move.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Today’s bias: conditional bullish but remains flexible to bearish reversal.
Primary long zones: 4,174-4,172 and 4,121-4,123.
Primary short zones: 4,343-4,041 (major) and 4,247-4,246 (secondary).
Trade with discipline — entry only after confirmation, strict stop-loss, and clear risk/reward.
GOLD H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data for Directional Clarity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (13/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, with intraday traders now focused on the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release — a key inflation metric that often shapes Fed expectations.
• A hot PPI reading could strengthen the USD and trigger a sell-off from premium levels.
• A softer print may weaken the dollar, encouraging another liquidity grab above 4250.
Institutional order flow shows potential for engineered liquidity sweeps around both extremes before the next directional push.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Still bullish overall, but showing early distribution near the 4250 handle.
• Premium Zone: 4255–4253 aligns with an unmitigated supply and prior buy-side liquidity pool — a prime short setup if price reacts after a liquidity sweep.
• Discount Zone: 4168–4166 sits within the recent FVG and above EMA100 — a valid area for re-accumulation and continuation if price corrects deeper.
• Liquidity: Equal highs at 4255 and lows near 4156 signal potential stop-hunt traps before a decisive move.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,255 – 4,253
• Stop-Loss: 4,265
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,182 (previous BOS zone)
→ 4,148 (mid-range equilibrium)
→ 4,110 (discount reaction zone)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps buy-side liquidity and confirms bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,166 – 4,168
• Stop-Loss: 4,156
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,210 (short-term liquidity pocket)
→ 4,248 (imbalance fill zone)
→ 4,255 (final liquidity target)
📌 Valid only if price mitigates the FVG and reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for PPI volatility before entering trades.
• Avoid trading mid-range (4180–4210) – low R/R zone.
• Scale out partials near liquidity points and trail stops post-confirmation.
• Maintain disciplined risk: 1–2% max per setup.
Summary
Gold is in pre-news equilibrium, with both buy- and sell-side liquidity pools clearly defined:
• Sell zone: 4255–4253 (premium reaction area)
• Buy zone: 4168–4166 (discount re-entry area)
Expect engineered liquidity grabs before a decisive move — patience and structure confirmation remain key.
📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time Smart Money updates ⚡
XAU/USD – Bearish Pullback Suggests a Deeper Correction Ahead Gold is showing clear signs of weakening momentum on the H1 timeframe as price forms a flat-top rejection near 4,232–4,235, a zone where buyers have repeatedly failed to break higher. This signals the early stage of a potential deeper correction.
Current price action shows a weak technical pullback into EMA9, while the newly formed lower high – lower low structure confirms short-term bearish pressure. A descending trendline has developed, indicating sellers are gradually regaining control.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance
4,232 – 4,235: Major rejection zone (flat-top structure).
EMA9 around 4,194: Acting as dynamic resistance during the pullback.
Support
4,115 – 4,120: Critical neckline of the structure; a break opens room for deeper downside.
3,985 – 4,000: Strong support, aligning with the previous major swing low.
Technical Breakdown – Tools & Signals
Fibonacci: Previous decline bounced at the 38.2% level; the weak reaction suggests price may return to test 50%–61.8%, aligning with 4,115.
Trendline: The short-term descending trendline is guiding the correction. Only a clean break above it will shift momentum.
EMA9: Price is testing but failing to reclaim the EMA, showing fading buying strength.
RSI: Bearish divergence from the previous top reinforces the downside scenario.
Trading Strategy
1. Sell the Pullback (Primary Setup)
Entry: 4,205 – 4,215 (EMA9 + descending trendline confluence)
Target 1: 4,115
Target 2: 3,985
Stop-loss: 4,245 (above flat-top resistance)
2. Sell on Breakdown
Condition: H1 candle closes below 4,115
Target: 3,985
Stop-loss: 4,145
3. Short-term Buy (Only with clear reversal signals)
Buy Zone: 3,985 – 4,000
Reason: This is a major demand zone with historical strong reactions.
Market Outlook
Short-term structure is shifting bearish. The current recovery appears corrective, not impulsive—suggesting sellers may soon take over again unless price breaks above 4,215–4,225.
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