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XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after testing the 3.661–3.662 support. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3.684 area, yet the structure still shows clear indecisiveness. The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retesting this area. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed around the 3.613–3.626 area, aligning with the Fibonacci extension, making it a point of interest for deeper pullbacks. The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3.551, which is a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases. The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards buyers but not yet overbought → the current momentum is more of a recovery than a sustainable uptrend. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend: Entry: wait for a retest of 3.673–3.662 SL: below 3.655 TP1: 3.690–3.700 TP2: 3.708–3.715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension) Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure: If the price fails to hold above 3.661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling. Entry: 3.661–3.650 (after confirmation candle) SL: above 3.673 TP1: 3.626–3.613 (FVG + support) TP2: 3.579 TP3: 3.551 (POC Volume Profile) Key Price Levels to Watch 3.708–3.715: extended resistance zone, Fib confluence, key target for buyers. 3.661–3.662: short-term support, boundary to determine the next trend. 3.613–3.626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions. 3.551: volume POC, deep target if the market breaks all support. I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, so give me a follow for motivation to write more!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
PLATINUM | STRONG BUY - PGM Metal Run Moving Average: Blue above Red Fib Retracement: 38.2 reached MACD > 0 Support : Finding additional confluence, bouncing off a moving average. 1st Target = 1464 2nd Target = 1581 3rd Target = 1732 Lots: 0.1 (Plan to pyramid into this one) Entry: 1414 SL: 1340 INSIGHTS: Fed has officially made it first rate cut of 0.25 this week. Stock markets continue to run on American optimism. When the streak runs out of steam and the economy slows at a quicker rate. Money flow into hard assets and precious metals.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by AlphaTauriTrading
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed above the support line📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, holding above the 3630 support and attempting to reclaim 3656 resistance. ● A breakout above 3674 would confirm bullish momentum, opening the path toward 3700 while the lower boundary near 3630 acts as structural support. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold gains short-term support from weaker Treasury yields and cautious Fed outlook, as traders weigh inflation risks against slower global growth. ✨ Summary XAU/USD defends 3630 support and targets 3674–3700 resistance, with momentum favoring a bullish short-term continuation. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
10
DowJones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello Traders, Yesterday I shared a short setup on the Dow Jones using the rising wedge pattern. I entered at 46,267 and exited with a small profit at 46,179. I exited because I did not like the reaction at that level and anticipating a better entry. Today, I’m looking to re-enter if price reaches 46,343, which could form a potential double top on the chart. 🧐 Market Overview: Rising wedges generally act as bearish reversal patterns, that said, the broader market remains bullish following the FOMC, so I’ll be risking less and proceeding with caution. However, the VIX has been sitting near multi-month lows, which often precedes sharp moves. If volatility picks up post-FOMC, rising wedge patterns could act as early warning signs of a pullback. So I am willing to risk a small amount and potentially be rewarded BIG! 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 6.7 Entry: 46,343 Stop Loss: 46,539 Take Profit 1 (50%): 45,000 Take Profit 2 (50%): 45,000 Also, if this plays out, I expect NAS and S&P to fall too which will likely drag crypto with it. Thanks for checking out my post! I would love to hear if you have any rising wedge trading tips? And if you are trading the Dow Jones or S&P today? Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by GTradingMethod
1
Review of Gold's expected rally and why we entered long todayLook at this chart and understand why it was the only move that was likely to happen today: Firstly we already corrected all of the range down (balanced), that was the first key that we're potentially going to correct the drop next. This is how markets work; correction of imbalances and continuations of the master trend direction. The master/macro trend target is always the easiest no brain target for those of us who actually make money trading. Anytime we correct imbalances, we are looking to buy, only degenerates are looking for the short target and never realize where it is or when it's been hit--hello? It's the imbalanced ranges below, write this down: When we are bullish, price will only go down to correct the major imbalanced ranges and then continue bullish. There is no supply zone until the large wick range. I will help you understand this stuff tirelessly even for free although I charge a $100/mo mentorship I don't care if people pay me, I just want you to see the easy truths about the chart most don't see 🫡
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDEducation
by HollywooodTrades
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out: 🔎Analysis summary: After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top. 📝Levels to watch: $3.500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
14
GOLD "lost steam" after the peak because the US Dollar increasedThe world OANDA:XAUUSD fell in the session on Thursday (September 18) after hitting a record high of 3,707.40 USD/ounce the day before. The main reason came from profit-taking activities of investors and the strengthening of the US dollar and treasury bond yields. As of the time of writing on Friday (September 19), spot gold was trading at 3,648 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of 0.12% on the day. New economic data from the US weighed on the market: initial jobless claims fell to 231,000, lower than expected, while the Philadelphia Federal Reserve manufacturing index unexpectedly jumped to 23.2, a sharp improvement from the previous month. This pushed the greenback higher and made gold more expensive. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.102%, while the real yield was close to 1.722%, adding to the pressure on the precious metal. This was largely a technical correction after gold hit a series of new highs. However, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. The precious metal typically benefits when the Fed enters a policy easing cycle. In fact, the Fed just cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although there was no absolute consensus. Chairman Jerome Powell called it a “risk-control” measure for the labor market, but also affirmed that the Fed is in no hurry. In addition, data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China increased 254% in August, reflecting strong demand from Asia. The trend of diversifying foreign exchange reserves of the BRICS bloc continues to be a major support for gold prices. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by nearly 39%, and investors still believe that the target of $ 4,000 / ounce can be challenged in the near future. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has had two sessions of technical corrections, but it still has all the bullish conditions in place, while the initial conditions for a deep correction have not yet appeared. Currently, gold is trying to recover and is still above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can be said to be the closest support at the moment. On the other hand, gold is still in an uptrend channel and is receiving major support from the EMA21. As long as gold remains above the $3,600 base point, the declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a fresh buying opportunity. The relative strength index (RSI) is also moving sideways after testing the 80 level, and a steep RSI break below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible deeper correction. For the day, the overall technical outlook for gold is bullish, and the key points to watch are listed below. Support: $3,614 – $3,600 Resistance: $3,673 – $3,700 – $3,707 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3678 - 3676⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3682 →Take Profit 1 3670 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3664 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3606 - 3608⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3602 →Take Profit 1 3614 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3620
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD – Rebound Holds Above Key 3,655 PivotGOLD – OVERVIEW Gold rebounded in early trade after Thursday’s decline, supported by buyers despite a stronger U.S. dollar and a cautious Fed outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September meeting signaled fewer rate cuts than markets had expected, keeping sentiment mixed but overall supportive for gold. Technical Analysis GOLD is trying to touch the support level before the next bullish movement, which is 3639. 🔹A confirmed 15-min or 1-hour close above 3666 will strengthen the bullish continuation toward 3676 and 3686. 🔹However, a 15-min or 1-hour close below 3655 would trigger a bearish correction toward 3639. 🔹A sustained break below 3639 opens the way for deeper downside to 3628 and 3612. Key Levels Pivot: 3655 Resistance: 3666, 3676, 3686 Support: 3639, 3628, 3612
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Coffee Heist: Are You Ready for the Bullish Layup?🚨☕ "COFFEE" Heist Plan – Swing/Day Robbery 🚨 🌟 Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Dear Robbers & Money Makers 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥 Thief Trading Style Analysis 🔥 here’s our master heist plan to rob the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. 🎯 Plan: Bullish Robbery Entry 📥: Any price level – Thief always sneaks in at any vault door. 👉 But remember: Thief Strategy = LAYERED ENTRY ⚡ Multiple Buy-Limit Layers: (390.00) 🏦 (380.00) 💎 (370.00) 🎭 (360.00) 🔑 (Add more layers based on your own robbery plan) Stop Loss 🛑: This is Thief SL @ 340.00 ⚔️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) – Adjust your SL based on your personal robbery strategy & risk appetite. Target 🎯: ⚠️ Police barricade spotted @ 440.00 🚔 So escape early with the loot @ 430.00 💸 before getting caught! 🏴‍☠️ Thief Notes: Our heist is in the bullish zone 🚀 Layer in carefully, don’t rush 💎 Always manage risk – the cops (market makers) are watching 👮‍♂️ Use alerts, trailing SL & risk management to protect your stolen bags 💰 💥 If you’re riding with the Thief crew – Hit Boost 🚀 & Share Love ❤️ – that fuels our robbery strength! We rob, we trade, we escape – That’s the Thief Way! 🏆🐱‍👤 #ThiefTrader #CoffeeHeist #CommoditiesCFD #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayerStrategy #BuyTheDip #TradingPlan #ForexRobbers #MarketHeist
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEELong
by The-Thief
Gold holds firm at 3,63x | Caution for Friday session🟡 XAU/USD – 19/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.9%, while holding rates is only 8.9% → almost certain FED will continue easing. US News : No major data today, market remains quiet. Gold : Sharp moves in Asia session, but support 3,632 – 3,630 held strong. Yesterday’s Buy at 3,62x delivered 200 pips , confirming this zone as a “fortress” support. Note : Today is Friday – end of the week session, unexpected volatility may occur before the weekly close → strict risk management required. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold remains bullish, but caution is needed with end-of-week swings. Golden Harbor around 3,63x continues to be a solid anchor. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,661 – 3,663 (intraday resistance) 3,683 – 3,685 (strong OB, likely profit-taking zone) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) 3,602 – 3,605 (FVG zone – deeper support if 3,63x breaks, waiting for strong demand) Market Structure After rebounding from 3,62x, Gold consolidated around 3,65x – 3,66x. Main trend stays bullish, but needs support retest to confirm buyers’ strength. 3,66x is the pivot barrier: • Breakout → targets 3,68x • Rejection → retest 3,64x – 3,62x 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Entry: 3,602 – 3,605 SL: 3,588 TP: 3,629 – 3,661 – 3,683 ⚡ Sell (short scalp) Entry: 3,683 – 3,685 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,665 – 3,645 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The 3,63x fortress continues to hold, keeping the Golden ship safe on its northward journey. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,602 – 3,605) remains the main dock for sailors to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,683 – 3,685) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . Today is Friday – the sea can shift unexpectedly, so keep the sails full but hands steady on the helm.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold After Fed Decision: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) seems to have caught many traders by surprise, as many thought it would continue to create new daily All-Time High(ATH) with the Federal's interest rate announcement , but Gold followed the adage " Buy the rumour, sell the news ". Gold started moving emotionally yesterday after the US interest rate announcement and made a new ATH($3,707.555) . Given the volume of yesterday's candle , it seems that Gold is having a hard time creating a new ATH. Gold is currently breaking the Support lines , which is a sign of weakness in the bullish trend of Gold . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 5 and we should wait for corrective waves . Do you agree with me!? I expect Gold to at least decline after the pullback of the Support lines to the First target($3,614) . Second Target: $3,599 Third Target: $3,577 Stop Loss (SL) = $3,677 Note: To enter a short position, it is better to wait for an upward correction, but depending on the movement of gold and your strategy, you can open a short position. Do you think Gold can create a new ATH anytime soon? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
19
Oil Market Update📢 NFX TVC:USOIL Market Update 🛢 GBEBROKERS:USOIL 📊 ECONOMICS:USCOI EIA Crude Oil Inventories – Sep 17, 2025 Actual: -9.285M Forecast: +1.400M Previous: +3.939M ⚡ Huge bullish surprise – sharp drawdown vs forecast. 📍 Current Price: 64.3 Holding above 200-day SMA Trading at key resistance, but zone already weakened from repeated tests. 🔀 Implication: Given the bullish inventory print, I now lean towards Path B → liquidity push above 64.3 toward 65.0 (38.2% Fib level) before any meaningful bearish retracement. ⚠️ Keep in mind: ECONOMICS:USINTR decision still ahead → volatility risk.
GBEBROKERS:USOILShort
by niclaxfx
Natural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecastsNatural Gas fell on bearish EIA data and cooler forecasts October natural gas tumbled on August 18 after the EIA reported a larger-than-expected 90 bcf storage build, pushing inventories more than 200 bcf above the five-year average. XNGUSD remains under pressure from core fundamentals including supply-demand balances, weather trends, geopolitics, macro conditions, and competing fuel prices. Further downside came as forecasts showed fewer cooling degree days over the next two weeks. Analysts warned the market is running out of time for late-summer heat to tighten balances, with October often bringing cooling demand offset by weaker heating needs. Losses accelerated on August 18 as late-September forecasts turned cooler, reducing air-conditioning demand. Meanwhile, near-record U.S. output and elevated rig activity continue to weigh on prices.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
XAU/USD | GOLD ATH at $3,707, Then Heavy Dump – What Happend?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after the Fed rate cut announcement, the price first dropped from $3,686 to $3,649, stopping out many buyers. Then, gold rallied sharply, gaining 570 pips up to $3,707 and printing a new ATH, which stopped out sellers. After that, the market turned again, with another heavy drop that stopped out fresh buyers too. As I mentioned yesterday, this move was expected. Many asked why gold dropped despite the rate cut — the reason is that the news was already priced in last month. The market had anticipated the cut, which is why gold had already rallied earlier, and that’s why we saw this sharp drop after the announcement. Currently, gold is trading around $3,637 after falling to $3,627. I expect this decline to continue toward the next target zone at $3,612–$3,622. Once price reaches that level, we’ll review the next scenario. The key supply zones to watch are $3,667, $3,677, $3,684, and $3,691. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
33
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 19 SeptGold on the 15M timeframe is showing a short-term bullish structure after forming a series of higher lows, with the price now retesting the ascending trendline support near 3647–3650. This area also aligns with a minor demand zone, suggesting buyers are stepping in to defend it. If the trendline holds, momentum could push the market back toward recent highs, with the first target at 3674 (TP1) and extended target at 3685–3690 (TP2). However, if price closes below 3638, it would signal a break of structure and potential continuation of the bearish leg, so a stop loss below this level is crucial. Overall, the market is offering a favorable risk-to-reward long setup as long as the trendline is respected and no strong bearish candle closes below support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
XAUUSD – Bearish Setup After Liquidity Grab at All-Time HighsAfter the recent rate cut and the sweep of liquidity above the $3,707 ATH , gold has started developing a bearish market structure . On the daily chart , RSI has been hovering in the overbought region for an extended period and has now confirmed a bearish crossover , signaling potential downside momentum. Sellers have been stepping in aggressively since the top, and a corrective move looks increasingly likely. 🔹 Trade Plan Short entries: Aggressive: 3665 – 3673 Conservative (golden pocket): 3677 – 3684 Targets: TP1: 3600 TP2: 3580 TP3: 3530 Stop Loss: Above 3718.50 (protective buffer above liquidity zone). ⚠️ Risk Management Always size positions carefully. A break and daily close above 3718 would invalidate this setup.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by uzumaki_sasuke
1
Next Week's Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy: 1. Market Core Logic Analysis News (Negative): Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Chairman Powell's comments were hawkish (no rush to ease policy and warning of inflation), cooling market expectations for aggressive rate cuts in the future. This move triggered a rebound in the US dollar and a rise in US Treasury yields, directly pressuring dollar-denominated gold, causing prices to surge (reaching a record high) before retreating. Technical Analysis (Bull-Bear Game): The daily chart showed two consecutive declines, the first time since the rally from 3311, indicating weakening short-term bullish momentum and a technical correction. However, the price remains above key trend support at 3615, indicating that the broader bullish trend has not been broken. The current decline should be viewed as a "high-level oscillation correction within the bullish trend." 2. Key Price Level Analysis Upward Pressure: Primary resistance: 3672-3675 (a high tested multiple times this week). This is the key dividing line between strength and weakness at the beginning of next week. If the rebound fails to break through this area, it indicates that bearish pressure remains and the market will fluctuate weakly. Core resistance: 3707 (historical high). This is the strongest bastion for bulls to conquer. Until it effectively breaks through and holds, gold will struggle to gain new upside potential. Downward Support: Short-term support: 3643-3633. This is the first line of defense after the opening of next Monday. If it breaks below, it will retest this week's low. Core Support: 3628 (this week's low) and 3615 (a key trend point). 3615 is the lifeline that determines the future market direction. If the price breaks below this level, it means that the current correction will deepen, potentially targeting the 3600 or even 3580 areas. If it can hold, the bullish trend will be secure. 3. Next Week's Trading Strategy and Layout Key Strategy: Invest in dips on pullbacks to key support levels, and supplement with high-shorts on rebounds to strong resistance levels. Specific Operational Plan: Low-to-Long Opportunities (Primary Strategy): Ideal Entry Area: 3633-3643 (test long positions with a small position), or when the price falls back to 3628-3615 (focus on long positions). Stop-Loss: Below 3610 (A break below the 3615 trend line invalidates the strategy and requires decisive exit). Targets: First target 3660-3670, second target 3680-3690, ultimate target 3707. Position Management: This strategy is a swing-trend strategy, aiming for profits from the continuation of the trend after a correction, requiring patience. High-Level Short-Selling Opportunities (Secondary Strategy): Ideal Entry Area: The first rebound of the price to the 3670-3675 resistance zone, if a clear resistance signal (such as a bearish candlestick pattern) appears. Stop-Loss: Above 3680. Target: 3650-3640 (short-term profit taking). Strategy: This is a short-term counter-trend strategy designed to capture profits during periods of volatility. Enter and exit quickly, and avoid lingering. 4. Market Forecast and Timing Early Week: Focus on the opening price. If it opens below 3650, it will likely test the 3643-3633 support area, or even retest the 3628 low. Opportunities for dips and long positions can be sought after a pullback. Mid-Week: Observe price reaction to support levels. If it stabilizes and rebounds, successfully breaking through the 3672-3675 resistance zone, the short-term weakness will reverse, and prices are expected to launch another push towards the 3700 level. Weekend and Market Outlook: The correction may continue until the end of September. Closely monitor the defense of the key support level of 3615. As long as it remains above, the market correction is expected to end in early October, ushering in a new uptrend. Summary and Risk Management Tips Trend and Rhythm: Understand the relationship between long-term bullishness and short-term corrections. Don't assume that the trend is reversing because of a short-term decline, and don't ignore the strength of the adjustment. In terms of operation, we should follow the general trend (upward trend), but we need to grasp the rhythm of small cycles (small cycle fluctuations).
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Compas