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USOIL Breakout Confirmed—Is the Uptrend Ready to Extend?📈 WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) – SWING TRADE SETUP | VWMA BREAKOUT CONFIRMED 🛢️⚡ 🎯 TRADE OVERVIEW Asset: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Energies Market Trade Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Position) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH – Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) breakout confirmed near $61.00 📊 TRADE PLAN 🔹 Entry Strategy: "Thief Layering Method" Primary Entry Zone: Post-VWMA breakout above $61.00 Layered Limit Orders (Multiple Entry Points): 🟦 Layer 1: $59.00 🟦 Layer 2: $59.50 🟦 Layer 3: $60.00 🟦 Layer 4: $60.50 Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. This strategy allows averaging into the position as price pulls back. 🛑 Stop Loss Management Thief's SL: $58.00 ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), This is MY stop loss level. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on YOUR strategy and risk management plan. I do not recommend blindly following my SL – manage your own risk and capital accordingly. 🎯 Take Profit Target Primary Target: $64.00 Technical Reasoning: SuperTrend ATR line acts as strong dynamic resistance Potential overbought zone + bull trap risk Escape with profits before reversal pressure ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), This is MY take profit target. Take YOUR money at YOUR own risk. You are responsible for your profit-taking strategy – trail stops, scale out, or exit fully based on YOUR trading plan. 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD-Denominated) Monitor these related assets for confirmation and risk assessment: 🛢️ Energy Sector: Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL) – Typically trades $2-5 above WTI; if Brent is bullish, WTI usually follows Natural Gas (NATGAS) – Energy sector sentiment indicator 💵 Currency Pairs: USD/CAD – Inverse correlation to oil (CAD = petro-currency). If oil rises, USD/CAD typically falls DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong dollar = bearish pressure on oil. Watch for weakness in DXY to support oil rally 📈 Equity Markets: Energy Sector ETFs (XLE) – Tracks US energy stocks; bullish XLE confirms oil sector strength S&P 500 (SPX) – Risk-on sentiment supports commodity prices ⚡ Key Correlation Points: Oil ↑ + USD/CAD ↓ = Strong bullish confirmation Oil ↑ + DXY ↓ = Supportive macro environment Oil ↑ + XLE ↑ = Energy sector momentum aligned 💬 Engagement Call-to-Action 👍 If you found this analysis helpful, smash that LIKE button! 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments – are you bullish or bearish on oil? 🔔 FOLLOW for more professional trade setups and market insights!
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by The-Thief
XTI/USD Short Bias – Can Sellers Maintain Control?🛢️ WTI/USOIL BEARISH SWING TRADE - ENERGIES MARKET OPPORTUNITY 📊 ⚡ TRADE SETUP: SHORT OPPORTUNITY ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📍 ASSET: XTI/USD (WTI Crude Oil) | ENERGIES ⏰ TIMEFRAME: Swing Trade (4H - Daily) 📈 BIAS: BEARISH ⬇️ 💼 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Use Multiple Limit Order Layers for optimal entry execution: ✅ Layer 1: $60.00 ✅ Layer 2: $59.00 ✅ Layer 3: $58.00 💡 Why This Works: Averages down your entry price Reduces slippage risk Allows gradual position building Maximizes fill probability 🔧 CUSTOMIZABLE: Adjust layers based on YOUR risk management & capital allocation 🛑 STOP LOSS ⛔ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 Recommended SL Level: $61.00 (above supply zone) ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference point only. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on: Your risk tolerance Account size Trading strategy Technical support/resistance 🚨 Risk Management First: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS 💰 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Primary Target: $53.00 ⬇️ 📊 Technical Confluence at $53.00: ✓ Strong support zone (oversold recovery area) ✓ Reversal trap potential ✓ High probability profit zone 💡 Profit-Taking Strategy: Scale out 1/3 at $56.00 (quick gains lock) Scale out 1/3 at $54.50 (momentum confirmed) Scale out 1/3 at $53.00 (final target) ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is guidance only. Your profit targets should align with YOUR strategy, market conditions, and risk/reward ratio. Take profits at YOUR comfort level. ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📡 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. USD/CAD (USDCAD) 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION • Current: ~1.4320 • Why: Canada is oil-exporting nation. Oil ⬇️ = CAD weakens • Action: Watch USD strength - if USD rises, more pressure on oil • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance) 2. S&P 500 (US500) 📊 INVERSE CORRELATION • Current Level: ~6,800+ • Why: Rising energy costs = lower corporate margins = stock weakness • Action: If stocks fall, risk-off → oil likely continues lower • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5 Relevance) 3. US Dollar Index (USDZZ) 💵 STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION • Why: Oil priced in USD. Strong dollar = cheaper oil for foreigners = lower demand • Action: Monitor DXY strength - bullish USD = bearish oil • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance) 4. Natural Gas (NATGAS/TradingView equivalent) ⚡ SECTOR CORRELATION • Why: Both energy commodities, affected by demand • Action: Watch as confirmation signal for energy sector weakness • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance) 5. Russian Ruble (USDRUB) 🇷🇺 COMMODITY-LINKED CORRELATION • Why: Russia major oil producer. Oil prices directly impact RUB • Action: Weak ruble often signals oil pressure from supply concerns • Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance) 📋 TRADE CHECKLIST ✓ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ Check USD strength confirmation ✅ Verify oversold condition on daily chart ✅ Confirm supply zone rejection above $61 ✅ Monitor correlated pairs for confirmation ✅ Set alerts on each layer ($60, $59, $58) ✅ Define your max loss amount (2-3% rule) ✅ Plan exit strategy BEFORE entering ⚡ KEY POINTS SUMMARY 🔑 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 Entry: Layered approach ($60→$59→$58) 🛑 Stop Loss: $61.00 (adjust to YOUR strategy) 💎 Target: $53.00 strong support 📊 Risk/Reward: Define YOUR ratio before entry 🔔 Confirmation: Watch USD, stocks, CAD correlation
THINKMARKETS:WTI
by The-Thief
XCU/USD: Will This Demand Zone Hold for Bulls?🎯 XCU/USD: The Great Copper Heist Strategy | Multi-Layer Entry Setup 💰 📊 Asset Analysis Copper vs U.S. Dollar (XCU/USD) - Metals Market Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid Market Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMATION 🔍 Technical Setup Overview The setup shows bullish confirmation with triangular moving averages converging in a demand zone - a classic institutional accumulation pattern. We're seeing strong support structure forming, making this an attractive risk-reward opportunity for multi-layer entries. 🎯 The "Layered Entry" Strategy Explained This isn't your typical single-entry approach. We're using a multi-limit order layering strategy (what I call the "strategic accumulation method") to build positions gradually: 📍 Suggested Layer Entry Levels: Layer 1️⃣: $4.9000 Layer 2️⃣: $4.9500 Layer 3️⃣: $5.0000 Layer 4️⃣: $5.0500 Layer 5️⃣: $5.1000 💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. The beauty of layering? You average into the position as price dips, reducing overall entry cost. 🛡️ Risk Management 🚨 Stop Loss: Below $4.8000 This level invalidates the bullish structure and protects capital if the setup fails. ⚠️ Important Disclaimer: The stop loss mentioned is based on this specific analysis. You should always determine your own risk parameters based on your account size, risk tolerance, and trading plan. Take profits at YOUR comfort level - your risk, your rules! 🎲 🎯 Profit Targets & Exit Strategy Primary Target: $5.4000 🎊 This represents a solid risk-reward ratio from our layered entries. ⚠️ Long-Term Resistance Warning: There's a major resistance zone around $28.00 (historical supply zone acting as a strong barrier + potential overbought conditions). If you're thinking ultra-long term, be aware that this level has trapped bulls before. 💰 Exit Strategy Note: The targets provided are guideline levels. Always manage your own exits based on price action, momentum, and your personal profit goals. Lock in gains when you're comfortable - trading is personal! 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis) Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the copper move: HG (Copper Futures) - Direct correlation, primary benchmark FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) - Major copper producer, equity proxy DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = stronger copper CL (Crude Oil) - Industrial commodity correlation AUD/USD - Australian dollar heavily tied to copper exports CNY/USD - China is the largest copper consumer globally 💡 Key Point: If DXY weakens and AUD/USD strengthens while industrial commodities rally, this confirms the copper bullish thesis. 📈 Why This Setup Works ✅ Triangular MA convergence in demand zone = strong technical confluence ✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk ✅ Clear invalidation level for risk management ✅ Favorable risk-reward ratio to first target ✅ Industrial metals showing strength in current macro environment ⚡ Final Thoughts This is a methodical approach to capturing potential upside in copper while managing downside risk through layered entries. Remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Build positions strategically, manage risk religiously, and let the market come to you. 🎭 Strategy Style Disclaimer This analysis uses a creative "layered accumulation" approach for educational and entertainment purposes. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. This is not financial advice - trade at your own risk and always do your own research. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ⚠️📉 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #XCU #Copper #MetalsTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #XCUUSD #CopperFutures #MultiLayerEntry
VANTAGE:COPPERLong
by The-Thief
Is Crude Oil Setting Up for a Major Bearish Reversal?🛢️ XTI/USD “WTI” – Bearish Redistribution Zone Incoming (Thief Strategy Inside) 📉 Setup Overview Market: XTI/USD (WTI crude oil) Bias: Bearish confirmed — we’re looking for re-distribution / supply pressure to take control Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid 🎯 Entry Plan (Thief-Layer Strategy) I use a layering / multiple limit order approach (aka “Thief Strategy”). You may use any price level as entry, but here’s my preferred ladder: Sell Limit @ 61.500 Sell Limit @ 61.000 Sell Limit @ 60.500 Sell Limit @ 60.000 Sell Limit @ 59.500 (You may extend more layers if you like) You don’t need to hit all layers — just get partial fills, ride the move downward. 🚫 Stop Loss Thief’s SL: 62.500 ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: I’m not forcing you to follow my SL. You choose what works. Make money, take money — at your own risk. 🎯 Target We see police barricade as a strong support zone + oversold trap possibility. So primary target: 57.000 ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Don’t blindly hold to my TP. If price gives you your gains early, escape with your money — don’t wait for perfection. 🔍 Related Pairs & Correlations AMEX:USO or USOIL (oil ETFs / indices) – real-world crude correlation $BRENT/USD – watch for strength or weakness divergence AMEX:XOP / AMEX:OIH (oil & gas sector indices) – sentiment in energy names Key point: if Brent weakens while WTI breaks down, it reinforces the bias. 📌 Key Technical Notes We’re waiting for ** redistribution / supply zone** to hold — a retest or failure bounce is ideal setup. Oversold conditions + a “trap” candle (fake breakout) strengthen the move. Use layering to average in, not “all-in” at once. Be ready for whipsaws around support zones; partial exits can help. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is Thief-style trading strategy just for fun. I am not giving financial advice. Trade at your own decision and risk. #WTI #CrudeOil #XTIUSD #EnergyTrading #OilStrategy #Layering #SwingTrade #DayTrade #BearishBias #ThiefStrategy
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by The-Thief
Agro Commodity Watch: Soybean Sets Stage for Bullish Expansion🏦💰 SOYBEAN HEIST: The Cash Flow Caper! | SOYBEAN/USD Strategic Entry Plan 🎯 THE SETUP: Agricultural Gold Rush Edition Market: SOYBEAN vs USD (Agro Commodity - Cash Flow Management Strategy) Trading Style: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid Mission Status: 🟢 BULLISH BIAS ACTIVATED 📊 THE MASTER PLAN: Triangular Moving Average Breakout Strategy 🚀 Entry Conditions: Wait for the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) breach to the upside — this confirms our bullish trend validation! Once we see that clean break above resistance, we're ready to "acquire our positions" strategically. ⚠️ CRITICAL: Set price alerts on your trading platform to catch the breakout in real-time! 💎 Layered Entry Zones (Scaling In Like Pros): Strategic accumulation levels for risk management: Layer 1: $10.050 🎯 Layer 2: $10.100 🎯 Layer 3: $10.150 🎯 Layer 4: $10.200 🎯 Pro Tip: You can choose ANY price level entry after the breakout confirmation — these layers simply optimize your average cost basis! 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOL ⛔ Stop Loss Zone: $10.000 Important Disclaimer: This is MY personal risk tolerance level. As traders, YOU must determine your own risk appetite and stop-loss placement. Trade at your own risk and only risk capital you can afford to lose! 🎯 PROFIT EXTRACTION TARGET 💰 Primary Target: $10.400 The "Police Barricade" Analysis: This zone presents multiple confluences: 🔴 Strong resistance acting as psychological barrier 📉 Oversold conditions may trigger reversals Potential bull trap zone — time to secure profits! Exit Strategy: Consider scaling out positions as we approach $10.400. Don't get greedy — secure gains incrementally! Important Note: This target is MY analysis. YOUR profit-taking strategy should align with your personal trading plan and risk management rules. Always secure profits at YOUR comfort levels! 🌾 RELATED AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES TO MONITOR Watch these correlated markets for confirmation signals: CORN ( CBOT:ZC1! ) 🌽 - Direct grain market correlation, often moves in tandem with soybean fundamentals WHEAT ( CBOT:ZW1! ) 🌾 - Grain sector sentiment indicator, affects overall agricultural commodity flows SOYBEAN MEAL ( CBOT:ZM1! ) 📦 - Derivative product, reflects processing demand and crush spreads SOYBEAN OIL ( CBOT:ZL1! ) 🛢️ - Key byproduct, influenced by biodiesel and cooking oil demand DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture ETF) 💵 - Broad agricultural sector strength gauge Dollar Pairs for Macro Context: DXY (US Dollar Index) 💵 - Inverse correlation: weaker USD = stronger commodity prices DX1! (Dollar Futures) - Real-time currency strength affecting agricultural export competitiveness Key Correlation: Soybeans typically exhibit negative correlation with USD strength. Monitor the Dollar Index for macro tailwinds supporting our bullish thesis! 🔑 KEY TECHNICAL CONFLUENCES ✅ Triangular Moving Average breakout confirmation ✅ Multi-layered entry approach minimizes timing risk ✅ Clear risk-defined stop loss below psychological support ✅ Target aligned with technical resistance + overbought zones ✅ USD weakness could provide fundamental tailwinds Risk Warning: Commodity futures and options trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You could lose more than your initial investment. "Thief Style" Context: The playful "heist" terminology is purely thematic storytelling to make technical analysis engaging — it does NOT encourage or endorse any illegal activities or unethical trading practices. All strategies discussed involve legitimate, legal market participation. 📣 COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #SOYBEAN #Commodities #AgricultureTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakoutStrategy #CashFlow #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #FuturesTrading #GrainMarkets #USD #ForexCorrelation #MovingAverages #SupportAndResistance #TradingPlan #MarketAnalysis #CommodityFutures
OANDA:SOYBNUSDLong
by The-Thief
The Undeniable Chart of EverythingJune 2026 – A New Era: $3.2, the Price of No Return This chart speaks for itself. Based on my experience and a clear reading of market dynamics, the rapidly accelerating demand for natural gas represents a structural shift rather than a temporary cycle. Natural gas is no longer merely a bridge fuel; it is becoming a foundational pillar of future energy systems, technological expansion, and global economic stability. Natural gas is essential for powering next-generation data centers and AI infrastructure, where uninterrupted, high-density energy supply is non-negotiable. It plays a critical role in stabilizing renewable energy grids, providing rapid-load backup for wind and solar as electrification accelerates worldwide. In hydrogen production, natural gas remains the primary feedstock for blue hydrogen, enabling large-scale decarbonization of heavy industry long before green hydrogen reaches economic viability. Beyond electricity, natural gas is indispensable in advanced manufacturing, petrochemicals, fertilizer production, and clean steel technologies. LNG continues to reshape global energy security, particularly in Europe and Asia, where long-term supply contracts are locking in demand well into the next decade. Against this backdrop, a price level of $3.2 is not just undervalued — it represents a historical inflection point. As supply constraints tighten and demand growth becomes embedded, this is a price the market is unlikely to revisit. The era ahead is defined by scarcity, strategic relevance, and repricing. The three highlighted danger zones mark areas where multiple sell cycles converge. These zones are historically risky for initiating long positions and instead represent optimal regions for identifying potential short or sell setups. A reversal from the darkest zone can unfold rapidly, often materializing as a single large bearish candle or two consecutive bearish candles on the weekly timeframe. This reflects a personal opinion and general market perspective only. It is not investment, trading, or financial advice, and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by Dr-Nat
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please see our weekly chart timeframe Route map and Trading plans for the week ahead. We are seeing a repeat of the same ranging action again. We still have a long range candle body close gap above at 4294, with 4059 acting as support. We can expect price action to play between these two levels. We now also have EMA5 cross and lock above to strengthen the gap toward 4294. Conversely, a ema5 lock back below 4059 would reopen the broader retracement range. We’ll keep these long timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plan to buy dips. We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds. Mr Gold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
20
Will GOLD (XAUUSD) Update the ATH Next Week? Gold had a very bullish week. The price even managed to reach a resistance based on a current All-Time High on Friday. I think that we may see a further bullish continuation next week. A breakout and a daily candle close above 4380 level will provide a strong signal to buy. A rise at least to 4450 will be expected then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout/Gold Targets for PRZRecently, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) experienced a significant pump following the U.S. interest rate cut announcement, as expected by the market. With the opening of the U.S. markets, gold seems to have found its path again. Following the recent interest rate announcement and Jerome Powell’s comments, gold has re-established its bullish trend by breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 4. Given that wave 4 may have taken the form of a symmetrical triangle, this aligns well with Elliott guidelines. The big question is whether gold can achieve new all-time highs. I expect that after a potential pullback to the symmetrical triangle’s upper line, gold will resume its upward movement toward the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If the bullish momentum persists, we could see gold setting new all-time highs in the coming days. However, given the proximity to these highs, taking long positions could be riskier. Still, short-term timeframes may offer opportunities to capitalize on gold’s bullish trend. What do you think? Will gold reach new all-time highs, or should we brace for a correction? Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) Stop Loss(SL): $4,215(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
1
GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy! Hello,Traders! GOLD strong bullish displacement confirms a successful mitigation of the horizontal demand area, following a clear sell-side liquidity grab. Market structure remains bullish, with smart money defending the zone and favoring continuation toward the next overhead liquidity pool and marked target. Time Frame 5H. Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
Long-Cycle Market Observation-4 steps all we needThis discussion is intended as a personal analytical framework rather than financial or trading advice. Its purpose is to highlight rare, high-impact market opportunities and to avoid unnecessary conflicts between competing scenarios, particularly around the potential double-top region near 6 to 6.4. The focus is on four specific, numbered time windows: 1-January 2-February 3-March 4-June These four periods alone are considered sufficient, from a purely hypothetical and educational perspective, to capture major market movements through 2026, without the need for frequent activity. The underlying idea emphasizes restraint rather than constant engagement. Overexposure and excessive activity are viewed as the primary risks, while patience is regarded as the key factor. Upon reaching the fourth phase, the concept shifts away from short-term realization and toward a long-term, multi-year approach, allowing positions to evolve across multiple cycles instead of being closed prematurely. This framework reflects a personal market philosophy focused on discipline, timing, and long-term perspective, and should be understood solely as a conceptual discussion.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Dr-Nat
Choppy Waters AheadHey traders, hope your charts are treating you better than this choppy gold action! Gold is serving up a classic case of market indecision at $4,329.80, and honestly, this is one of those moments where patience beats forcing a trade. We're sitting in premium territory, which typically favors sellers, but the price action is so lackluster that neither bulls nor bears have control. The ADX at 15.4 confirms what your eyes are probably telling you: this trend has zero strength right now. Let's break down what's actually happening here. Price is hovering just above the EMA20 at $4,328.00 and well above the EMA50 at $4,301.44, which would normally signal bullish momentum. But here's the kicker: we're still below the EMA200 at $4,329.79, creating this awkward middle ground where neither side can claim victory. The RSI at 53.5 is perfectly neutral, and the Stochastic at 54.6 mirrors that same indecision. Even the MACD is showing bearish divergence with the histogram trending down, yet it's not strong enough to trigger real selling pressure. The volume situation is what really concerns me. Current volume sits at $2,367 compared to an average of $13,440. That's an 82% drop, folks. When institutional money isn't participating, any moves we see are likely retail-driven and prone to quick reversals. This explains why we've been range-bound between $4,302.70 and $4,335.00 for the past 24 hours with virtually no net change. From a Smart Money Concepts lens, we've got some interesting dynamics at play. There's a bullish order block (demand zone) sitting between $4,276.39 and $4,307.60 that's been respected so far. This represents an area where smart money previously accumulated positions, and it's acting as a floor. Above us, the HMA55 at $4,358.99 is providing dynamic resistance, and price got rejected from this level recently. The bearish fair value gap from $4,326.50 to $4,339.29 has already been filled, so that imbalance is off the table. The market structure shows a CHoCH bullish signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal to the upside. However, I'm skeptical of this signal given the weak volume and conflicting indicators. For this bullish reversal to have legs, we'd need to see a decisive break above $4,358.99 with a surge in volume. That would open the door to the Bollinger upper band at $4,385.62 and potentially the recent swing high at $4,387.79. On the flip side, if we lose the bullish order block at $4,276.39, that's your signal that the bears are taking control. A breakdown there would target the equilibrium level at $4,233.00, which represents fair value in the current range. Below that, we're looking at the discount zone and potentially the swing low at $4,183.60, though that's a significant move that would require sustained selling pressure. The Bollinger Bands tell an interesting story too. We're trading below the middle band at $4,333.22, which adds to the neutral-to-slightly-bearish bias. The bands aren't particularly wide, suggesting low volatility, which aligns with our weak ADX reading. In these conditions, mean reversion trades often work better than trend-following strategies. Here's my trading plan for this setup. I'm not taking any immediate positions because the risk/reward simply isn't there. If you're itching to trade, wait for one of two scenarios. Scenario one: a break and 4-hour close above $4,358.99 with volume at least 50% above average. That would be your long entry signal, targeting $4,385.62 first, then $4,387.79. Your stop would go below $4,330.00, giving you about a 1:2 risk/reward ratio. Scenario two: a breakdown below $4,276.39 on a 4-hour close. That's your short entry, targeting $4,233.00 initially, with an extended target at $4,183.60 if momentum continues. Your stop would sit above $4,307.60, the top of the order block. This gives you a much better risk/reward of around 1:3 to the first target. The key invalidation level for any bullish thesis is $4,275.00. A close below that breaks the demand zone structure and confirms bearish control. For bears, a reclaim of $4,358.99 would invalidate the short setup and suggest the bulls are regaining strength. One more thing to watch: the wick analysis shows 83.9% lower wick versus 16.1% upper wick on the recent candle. This suggests buyers are stepping in at lower prices, but they're not strong enough to push price higher. It's defensive buying, not aggressive accumulation. That's another reason to wait for clearer signals. Bottom line: this is a WAIT situation. The market is in consolidation mode with weak trend strength, conflicting signals, and terrible volume. Forcing trades in these conditions is how accounts get chopped up. Let the market show its hand first. Either we get a clean breakout above $4,358.99 or a breakdown below $4,276.39. Until then, preserve your capital and wait for a high-probability setup. What's your take on gold right now - are you seeing something I'm missing, or are you also sitting on your hands waiting for clarity?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MonoCoinSignal
GOLD - Distribution phase. Target - ATH (4380), 4400...FX:XAUUSD is rallying after breaking through consolidation resistance. The fundamental background is positive, with the train heading for an all-time high. Expectations of a soft Fed policy remain, with the market pricing in two rate cuts in 2026. India's pension fund regulator has allowed investments in gold and silver ETFs. An increase in US unemployment claims (+44,000) has heightened fears of a slowdown in the labor market. A reversal in the Bank of Japan's policy (rate hike) and a pause by the ECB are boosting the appeal of gold. Any correction is likely to be short-term and will be met with support from buyers. The baseline scenario remains bullish amid soft monetary policy and a weakening dollar. Technically, it is dangerous to sell in the current market; it is worth looking for buying opportunities after corrections or pullbacks... Resistance levels: 4325, 4335, 4380 Support levels: 4300, 4285, 4265 The rally phase is quite aggressive due to the long period of consolidation that the market has been in. All possible factors are supporting growth. In such a market, one can only buy on pullbacks. I expect a pullback from the indicated zone, within which growth to ATH can be considered. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
GOLD Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 4,188.16. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 4,233.29 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
5
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation In PLayMomentum: Bullish Price has reacted off the buy entry and is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud. Buy Entry: 4,205.99 Pullback support Stop Loss: 4,164.10 Pullback support Slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 4,265.40 Swing-high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
XAUUSD M30 | Potential Bearish DropMomentum: Bearish The price has rejected off the sell entry which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Sell entry: 4,216.95 Pullback resistance 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 4,232.07 Pullback resitance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Take profit: 4,180.67 Pullback support 61.8% FIbonacci projection High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu