THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with price following our path and red boxes to pave it's way into our target levels as well as giving buyers opportunity to get that long trade into the immediate EXC target which is now complete.
Now, with FOMC tomorrow we would expect this to want to hover around here and attempt the lower support levels which stand at 4002 and below the 4195. 4190 is the key level and price needs to stay above that to continue higher. A break below will confirm the move for us.
For us, the plan is working so we'll stick with it.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Commodities
Will this be the final Defense from BUYERS to LIFT Crude ?NYMEX:CL1!
Becoming Profitable in the Auction, is a choice only chosen by the 'PROFITABLE'...
As of December 14, 2025, the (front-month) WTI crude oil futures contract (CL1) has declined by approximately 18% to 20% this year (year-to-date). Now currently we have a Daily Demand zone that ranges from $57.00-$55.00 p/b, will this be the final defense from buyers to lift the offer higher here in the auction or will sellers over power and tank the auction lower? There has been gr8 talks in the Energy Markets that Crude OIL is expected to go into a strong BULL MARKET PHASE starting 2026, what are your thoughts? Lmk in the comments...
Continued Success,
TreyHighPwr
#BHM500K
GOLD Update (Before/After) & What's next?✅ GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD moved exactly as expected.
You can check our previous forecast here:
If you followed the plan with proper risk management, we hope you banked profit and stayed disciplined through the move.
The macro backdrop we highlighted remains supportive overall, and we’ll keep sharing clean, structured analysis like this so you’re not guessing, you’re executing.
What's next? We are expecting Gold to keep pushing up after a corrective structure. So make sure to look for your buy setups after a pullback or complete correction.
And don't forget WTW 4 Golden rules!
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Take with care,
WTW Team
USOIL UPDATE📊 USOIL UPDATE — Key Levels in Focus! 🔥
Price is testing an important zone, and traders are closely watching for the next move. Momentum around these levels could indicate short-term strength or weakness in the market.
🔓 Entry Level: 57.48
❌ Stop Loss: 56.91
🎯 Target: 58.03
Keep an eye on how price reacts here — structured levels like these help spot potential opportunities while managing risk effectively.
💬 What’s your outlook on USOIL?
Bullish or bearish? Share your thoughts below and join the discussion! ⬇️
Your engagement helps this post reach more traders and boosts visibility on feeds 👍
Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only. It reflects personal chart observation and is not financial advice. Please do your own research before trading.
CRUDE OIL Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has delivered a clean sell-side liquidity sweep into a well-defined horizontal demand area, followed by a strong bullish reaction. This displacement suggests smart money mitigation and absorption, favoring a corrective push higher toward the next liquidity pool.Time Frame 5H.
--------------------
Stop Loss: 56.98$
Take Profit: 58.07$
Entry: 57.47$
Time Frame: 3H
--------------------
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading Point
Technical analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) 1-hour chart shows a bullish "SMC" (Smart Money Concept) analysis with these key points:
1. Structure: Price breaks out of an ascending channel and forms a consolidation zone (blue shaded area). The breakout suggests potential continuation upward.
2. EMAs
- EMA(200) is at 4,222.79.
- EMA(50) is at 4,270.71.
- Price (4,299.91) is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum.
3. Fibonacci levels:
- 0.62, 0.705, and 0.79
retracement zones are marked for potential support.
4. Entry: Long position considered after breakout above the consolidation, with price aiming for the "target point" around 4,355.40.
Mr SMC Trading Point
5. Target: Upside target set at ~4,355.40, offering roughly a 1.3% move from current price.
6. Stop Loss: Place below the support zone (near 4,270 or EMA 50) to manage risk.
7. Confirmation: Look for strong bullish candles or volume spike post-breakout to validate the move.
Please support boost this analysis
$VGZ: The Alpha Goat is Staring at the Ceiling🐐 This chart is screaming "hidden gem." While everyone is chasing the giants, AMEX:VGZ is quietly flexing distinct relative strength against almost the entire market. It’s knocking on the door of a massive breakout, but the door is still locked.
WHAT THE CHART SAYS
The Vibe: Pure compression. We have a solid impulsive move up, followed by a "high and tight" consolidation. It’s coiled like a spring.
The Ceiling (Resistance): That red line is the "No Fly Zone." Price keeps wicking up there and getting rejected. We need a clean break through that roof to start the party.
The Floor (Support): Buyers are stepping in higher and higher. The lows are rising, which tells us the bulls are impatient.
MULTI-FACTOR READ
The technicals are flashing some interesting signals. Momentum is in a "wait and see" mode—not overheating, but definitely awake. Relative Strength is the real star here; this thing is green against nearly every major asset class. However, Sentiment is getting a little "frothy" (too much greed), so don't be shocked if we chop sideways to cool off the hype before the next leg up.
3 SCENARIOS
A) The "Alpha Breakout" (Bullish)
Trigger: We smash through the red ceiling with big energy.
Vibe: Blue skies. No resistance left overhead.
B) The "Chill & Grill" (Neutral)
Trigger: We keep bouncing between the floor and the ceiling.
Vibe: Boring, but healthy. Let the weak hands get bored and leave.
C) The "Fakeout" (Bearish)
Trigger: We lose the recent higher-low structure.
Vibe: The breakout failed. Back to the drawing board.
EDUCATIONAL EXECUTION BLUEPRINT
Breakout Style: Don't guess. Wait for the candle to actually CLOSE above the ceiling. Wicks don't count.
Dip Buyer: If it pulls back to the floor and holds, that's your low-risk entry , if it dosnt hold the trade is invald.
ENGAGEMENT DRIVER Poll:
Is this a "High Tight Flag" ready to fly, or a "Double Top" trap? share in the comments!
EXAMPLES ON OTHER RELEVANT TICKERS:
AMEX:GDX (Gold Miners): The big brother. If this starts running, AMEX:VGZ gets a tailwind.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar): The villain. Gold hates a strong dollar. Watch for rejection.
AMEX:GLD (Gold Spot): The King. Trading near highs and looking strong.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
DISCLAIMER This is educational technical analysis, not financial advice.
LONG OPPORTUNITY LOOMING ON SILVER!Will silver retest 60 before another rally to the upside?
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#silver
#xagusd
Brent Oil Under Pressure – Key Resistance Zone Holding Strong!🔥 UKOIL / BRENT Energies Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day & Swing Plan) ⚡️
📉 Plan Overview:
Thief is spotting a Bearish Blueprint on UKOIL / Brent — price confirming rejection around the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) zone 📊. A clean pullback and retest structure are forming — time for a layered sell approach to capitalize on energy market volatility ⚙️
🎯 Entry Idea:
Thief enters with multiple limit layers (Layering Strategy) — scaling in smartly with precision entries:
🔹 Sell Limits @ 64.500 / 64.000 / 63.500
(You can increase or adjust the layers based on your own conviction & market timing 🕰️)
🛑 Stop-Loss Guidance:
This is Thief’s SL @ 65.000 💣
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust your stop loss based on your risk appetite and confirmation setups. Risk management is the crown 👑 of consistency.
💰 Target Zone:
Watch out for the Police Barricade Zone @ 60.500 — this level aligns with strong support, potential oversold condition, and a trap + correction scenario 🔦
Escape with profits before liquidity hunts you — take money when you see money 💵
📘 Note to Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending my SL or TP as mandatory levels — it’s your chart, your strategy, your risk, your reward. Trade smart, not emotional 🧠
🧩 Related Market Pairs to Watch:
🔸 WTI Crude (USOIL/USD) – Highly correlated with UKOIL. A bearish structure here often confirms momentum for Brent.
🔸 USD/CAD 💵 – Inverse correlation! A rising USD/CAD often strengthens the bearish sentiment in crude markets.
🔸 XLE (Energy ETF) – Keeps track of energy sector performance; confirmation of trend strength adds confluence to your trade.
📊 Key Market Correlations:
Oil reacts strongly to USD strength, global demand outlook, and OPEC sentiment. Keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) — stronger dollar usually pressures Brent prices lower 💹
🚀 Thief Quote of the Day:
"Patience pays more than panic — layer in silence, exit in profit." 🕶️
#UKOIL #Brent #EnergyMarket #ThiefTrader #BearishSetup #LayeringStrategy #SwingTrade #OilMarket #WTI #USD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis
USOIL The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 57.52
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 57.80
My Stop Loss - 57.35
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Wheat CFD Upside Setup: Tracking Momentum Toward 580📈 WHEAT COMMODITY CFD – Swing Trade Opportunity (Bullish Outlook)
🔹 Market Bias: Bullish
Wheat is showing supportive strength on higher-timeframe structure, with momentum building for the next upside leg.
🔹 Entry Zone
You may take any suitable price level entry based on your strategy, risk model, and timing confirmation.
🛡️ Risk Management (Stop Loss)
Thief SL: 540.0
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is only a reference level.
Adjust your stop loss according to your personal strategy, volatility tolerance, and risk exposure.
Note: I am not recommending you use only my SL. Your money, your rules, your risk.
🎯 Profit Booking (Target)
Police barricade zone is acting as a strong resistance area with signs of overbought pressure + trap behaviour, so take profits wisely.
Our Target: 580.0
Note: I am not recommending you use only my TP. Book profits at levels that match your trading plan and risk appetite.
🔍 Correlated Markets to Watch ($ Pairs)
1️⃣ CORN CFD ( CAPITALCOM:CORN )
Often moves in tandem with Wheat due to agricultural sector correlation.
Rising Corn prices can support bullish sentiment in Wheat.
2️⃣ SOYBEAN CFD ( CAPITALCOM:SOYBEAN )
Part of the same global grain complex.
Strength in Soy can indicate broad demand for agricultural commodities.
3️⃣ US DOLLAR INDEX ( TVC:DXY )
Wheat is priced in USD.
When the dollar weakens, Wheat often gains due to cheaper pricing for global buyers.
4️⃣ CRUDE OIL CFD ( NSE:OIL )
Higher oil prices increase transportation & production costs for grains.
This can push Wheat prices upward over time.
5️⃣ NATURAL GAS CFD ( PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS )
Influences fertilizer costs globally.
Rising NatGas often tightens supply, supporting Wheat prices.
📌 Key Technical Factors Supporting Bullish Bias
Price maintaining above short-term support zone
Higher lows forming on swing structure
Buyers stepping in repeatedly at discount levels
Strong resistance at 580 acting as the next liquidity target
USOIL Breakout Confirmed—Is the Uptrend Ready to Extend?📈 WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) – SWING TRADE SETUP | VWMA BREAKOUT CONFIRMED 🛢️⚡
🎯 TRADE OVERVIEW
Asset: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Energies Market
Trade Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Position)
Bias: 🟢 BULLISH – Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) breakout confirmed near $61.00
📊 TRADE PLAN
🔹 Entry Strategy: "Thief Layering Method"
Primary Entry Zone: Post-VWMA breakout above $61.00
Layered Limit Orders (Multiple Entry Points):
🟦 Layer 1: $59.00
🟦 Layer 2: $59.50
🟦 Layer 3: $60.00
🟦 Layer 4: $60.50
Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. This strategy allows averaging into the position as price pulls back.
🛑 Stop Loss Management
Thief's SL: $58.00
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's),
This is MY stop loss level. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on YOUR strategy and risk management plan. I do not recommend blindly following my SL – manage your own risk and capital accordingly.
🎯 Take Profit Target
Primary Target: $64.00
Technical Reasoning:
SuperTrend ATR line acts as strong dynamic resistance
Potential overbought zone + bull trap risk
Escape with profits before reversal pressure
⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's),
This is MY take profit target. Take YOUR money at YOUR own risk. You are responsible for your profit-taking strategy – trail stops, scale out, or exit fully based on YOUR trading plan.
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD-Denominated)
Monitor these related assets for confirmation and risk assessment:
🛢️ Energy Sector:
Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL) – Typically trades $2-5 above WTI; if Brent is bullish, WTI usually follows
Natural Gas (NATGAS) – Energy sector sentiment indicator
💵 Currency Pairs:
USD/CAD – Inverse correlation to oil (CAD = petro-currency). If oil rises, USD/CAD typically falls
DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong dollar = bearish pressure on oil. Watch for weakness in DXY to support oil rally
📈 Equity Markets:
Energy Sector ETFs (XLE) – Tracks US energy stocks; bullish XLE confirms oil sector strength
S&P 500 (SPX) – Risk-on sentiment supports commodity prices
⚡ Key Correlation Points:
Oil ↑ + USD/CAD ↓ = Strong bullish confirmation
Oil ↑ + DXY ↓ = Supportive macro environment
Oil ↑ + XLE ↑ = Energy sector momentum aligned
💬 Engagement Call-to-Action
👍 If you found this analysis helpful, smash that LIKE button!
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments – are you bullish or bearish on oil?
🔔 FOLLOW for more professional trade setups and market insights!
XTI/USD Short Bias – Can Sellers Maintain Control?🛢️ WTI/USOIL BEARISH SWING TRADE - ENERGIES MARKET OPPORTUNITY 📊
⚡ TRADE SETUP: SHORT OPPORTUNITY
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 ASSET: XTI/USD (WTI Crude Oil) | ENERGIES
⏰ TIMEFRAME: Swing Trade (4H - Daily)
📈 BIAS: BEARISH ⬇️
💼 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 🎯
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Use Multiple Limit Order Layers for optimal entry execution:
✅ Layer 1: $60.00
✅ Layer 2: $59.00
✅ Layer 3: $58.00
💡 Why This Works:
Averages down your entry price
Reduces slippage risk
Allows gradual position building
Maximizes fill probability
🔧 CUSTOMIZABLE: Adjust layers based on YOUR risk management & capital allocation
🛑 STOP LOSS ⛔
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📌 Recommended SL Level: $61.00 (above supply zone)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference point only. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on:
Your risk tolerance
Account size
Trading strategy
Technical support/resistance
🚨 Risk Management First: Never risk more than 2-3% per trade
🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS 💰
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Primary Target: $53.00 ⬇️
📊 Technical Confluence at $53.00:
✓ Strong support zone (oversold recovery area)
✓ Reversal trap potential
✓ High probability profit zone
💡 Profit-Taking Strategy:
Scale out 1/3 at $56.00 (quick gains lock)
Scale out 1/3 at $54.50 (momentum confirmed)
Scale out 1/3 at $53.00 (final target)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is guidance only. Your profit targets should align with YOUR strategy, market conditions, and risk/reward ratio. Take profits at YOUR comfort level.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📡
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. USD/CAD (USDCAD) 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION
• Current: ~1.4320
• Why: Canada is oil-exporting nation. Oil ⬇️ = CAD weakens
• Action: Watch USD strength - if USD rises, more pressure on oil
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance)
2. S&P 500 (US500) 📊 INVERSE CORRELATION
• Current Level: ~6,800+
• Why: Rising energy costs = lower corporate margins = stock weakness
• Action: If stocks fall, risk-off → oil likely continues lower
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5 Relevance)
3. US Dollar Index (USDZZ) 💵 STRONG NEGATIVE CORRELATION
• Why: Oil priced in USD. Strong dollar = cheaper oil for foreigners = lower demand
• Action: Monitor DXY strength - bullish USD = bearish oil
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5 Relevance)
4. Natural Gas (NATGAS/TradingView equivalent) ⚡ SECTOR CORRELATION
• Why: Both energy commodities, affected by demand
• Action: Watch as confirmation signal for energy sector weakness
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance)
5. Russian Ruble (USDRUB) 🇷🇺 COMMODITY-LINKED CORRELATION
• Why: Russia major oil producer. Oil prices directly impact RUB
• Action: Weak ruble often signals oil pressure from supply concerns
• Impact: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5 Relevance)
📋 TRADE CHECKLIST ✓
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Check USD strength confirmation
✅ Verify oversold condition on daily chart
✅ Confirm supply zone rejection above $61
✅ Monitor correlated pairs for confirmation
✅ Set alerts on each layer ($60, $59, $58)
✅ Define your max loss amount (2-3% rule)
✅ Plan exit strategy BEFORE entering
⚡ KEY POINTS SUMMARY 🔑
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 Entry: Layered approach ($60→$59→$58)
🛑 Stop Loss: $61.00 (adjust to YOUR strategy)
💎 Target: $53.00 strong support
📊 Risk/Reward: Define YOUR ratio before entry
🔔 Confirmation: Watch USD, stocks, CAD correlation
XCU/USD: Will This Demand Zone Hold for Bulls?🎯 XCU/USD: The Great Copper Heist Strategy | Multi-Layer Entry Setup 💰
📊 Asset Analysis
Copper vs U.S. Dollar (XCU/USD) - Metals Market
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMATION
🔍 Technical Setup Overview
The setup shows bullish confirmation with triangular moving averages converging in a demand zone - a classic institutional accumulation pattern. We're seeing strong support structure forming, making this an attractive risk-reward opportunity for multi-layer entries.
🎯 The "Layered Entry" Strategy Explained
This isn't your typical single-entry approach. We're using a multi-limit order layering strategy (what I call the "strategic accumulation method") to build positions gradually:
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Levels:
Layer 1️⃣: $4.9000
Layer 2️⃣: $4.9500
Layer 3️⃣: $5.0000
Layer 4️⃣: $5.0500
Layer 5️⃣: $5.1000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. The beauty of layering? You average into the position as price dips, reducing overall entry cost.
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $4.8000
This level invalidates the bullish structure and protects capital if the setup fails.
⚠️ Important Disclaimer: The stop loss mentioned is based on this specific analysis. You should always determine your own risk parameters based on your account size, risk tolerance, and trading plan. Take profits at YOUR comfort level - your risk, your rules! 🎲
🎯 Profit Targets & Exit Strategy
Primary Target: $5.4000 🎊
This represents a solid risk-reward ratio from our layered entries.
⚠️ Long-Term Resistance Warning: There's a major resistance zone around $28.00 (historical supply zone acting as a strong barrier + potential overbought conditions). If you're thinking ultra-long term, be aware that this level has trapped bulls before.
💰 Exit Strategy Note: The targets provided are guideline levels. Always manage your own exits based on price action, momentum, and your personal profit goals. Lock in gains when you're comfortable - trading is personal!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the copper move:
HG (Copper Futures) - Direct correlation, primary benchmark
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) - Major copper producer, equity proxy
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = stronger copper
CL (Crude Oil) - Industrial commodity correlation
AUD/USD - Australian dollar heavily tied to copper exports
CNY/USD - China is the largest copper consumer globally
💡 Key Point: If DXY weakens and AUD/USD strengthens while industrial commodities rally, this confirms the copper bullish thesis.
📈 Why This Setup Works
✅ Triangular MA convergence in demand zone = strong technical confluence
✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk
✅ Clear invalidation level for risk management
✅ Favorable risk-reward ratio to first target
✅ Industrial metals showing strength in current macro environment
⚡ Final Thoughts
This is a methodical approach to capturing potential upside in copper while managing downside risk through layered entries. Remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Build positions strategically, manage risk religiously, and let the market come to you.
🎭 Strategy Style Disclaimer
This analysis uses a creative "layered accumulation" approach for educational and entertainment purposes. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. This is not financial advice - trade at your own risk and always do your own research. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ⚠️📉
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XCU #Copper #MetalsTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #XCUUSD #CopperFutures #MultiLayerEntry
Is Crude Oil Setting Up for a Major Bearish Reversal?🛢️ XTI/USD “WTI” – Bearish Redistribution Zone Incoming (Thief Strategy Inside)
📉 Setup Overview
Market: XTI/USD (WTI crude oil)
Bias: Bearish confirmed — we’re looking for re-distribution / supply pressure to take control
Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid
🎯 Entry Plan (Thief-Layer Strategy)
I use a layering / multiple limit order approach (aka “Thief Strategy”). You may use any price level as entry, but here’s my preferred ladder:
Sell Limit @ 61.500
Sell Limit @ 61.000
Sell Limit @ 60.500
Sell Limit @ 60.000
Sell Limit @ 59.500
(You may extend more layers if you like)
You don’t need to hit all layers — just get partial fills, ride the move downward.
🚫 Stop Loss
Thief’s SL: 62.500
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: I’m not forcing you to follow my SL. You choose what works. Make money, take money — at your own risk.
🎯 Target
We see police barricade as a strong support zone + oversold trap possibility.
So primary target: 57.000
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Don’t blindly hold to my TP. If price gives you your gains early, escape with your money — don’t wait for perfection.
🔍 Related Pairs & Correlations
AMEX:USO or USOIL (oil ETFs / indices) – real-world crude correlation
$BRENT/USD – watch for strength or weakness divergence
AMEX:XOP / AMEX:OIH (oil & gas sector indices) – sentiment in energy names
Key point: if Brent weakens while WTI breaks down, it reinforces the bias.
📌 Key Technical Notes
We’re waiting for ** redistribution / supply zone** to hold — a retest or failure bounce is ideal setup.
Oversold conditions + a “trap” candle (fake breakout) strengthen the move.
Use layering to average in, not “all-in” at once.
Be ready for whipsaws around support zones; partial exits can help.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: This is Thief-style trading strategy just for fun. I am not giving financial advice. Trade at your own decision and risk.
#WTI #CrudeOil #XTIUSD #EnergyTrading #OilStrategy #Layering #SwingTrade #DayTrade #BearishBias #ThiefStrategy
Agro Commodity Watch: Soybean Sets Stage for Bullish Expansion🏦💰 SOYBEAN HEIST: The Cash Flow Caper! | SOYBEAN/USD Strategic Entry Plan
🎯 THE SETUP: Agricultural Gold Rush Edition
Market: SOYBEAN vs USD (Agro Commodity - Cash Flow Management Strategy)
Trading Style: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Mission Status: 🟢 BULLISH BIAS ACTIVATED
📊 THE MASTER PLAN: Triangular Moving Average Breakout Strategy
🚀 Entry Conditions:
Wait for the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) breach to the upside — this confirms our bullish trend validation! Once we see that clean break above resistance, we're ready to "acquire our positions" strategically.
⚠️ CRITICAL: Set price alerts on your trading platform to catch the breakout in real-time!
💎 Layered Entry Zones (Scaling In Like Pros):
Strategic accumulation levels for risk management:
Layer 1: $10.050 🎯
Layer 2: $10.100 🎯
Layer 3: $10.150 🎯
Layer 4: $10.200 🎯
Pro Tip: You can choose ANY price level entry after the breakout confirmation — these layers simply optimize your average cost basis!
🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOL
⛔ Stop Loss Zone: $10.000
Important Disclaimer: This is MY personal risk tolerance level. As traders, YOU must determine your own risk appetite and stop-loss placement. Trade at your own risk and only risk capital you can afford to lose!
🎯 PROFIT EXTRACTION TARGET
💰 Primary Target: $10.400
The "Police Barricade" Analysis:
This zone presents multiple confluences:
🔴 Strong resistance acting as psychological barrier
📉 Oversold conditions may trigger reversals
Potential bull trap zone — time to secure profits!
Exit Strategy: Consider scaling out positions as we approach $10.400. Don't get greedy — secure gains incrementally!
Important Note: This target is MY analysis. YOUR profit-taking strategy should align with your personal trading plan and risk management rules. Always secure profits at YOUR comfort levels!
🌾 RELATED AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES TO MONITOR
Watch these correlated markets for confirmation signals:
CORN ( CBOT:ZC1! ) 🌽 - Direct grain market correlation, often moves in tandem with soybean fundamentals
WHEAT ( CBOT:ZW1! ) 🌾 - Grain sector sentiment indicator, affects overall agricultural commodity flows
SOYBEAN MEAL ( CBOT:ZM1! ) 📦 - Derivative product, reflects processing demand and crush spreads
SOYBEAN OIL ( CBOT:ZL1! ) 🛢️ - Key byproduct, influenced by biodiesel and cooking oil demand
DBA (Invesco DB Agriculture ETF) 💵 - Broad agricultural sector strength gauge
Dollar Pairs for Macro Context:
DXY (US Dollar Index) 💵 - Inverse correlation: weaker USD = stronger commodity prices
DX1! (Dollar Futures) - Real-time currency strength affecting agricultural export competitiveness
Key Correlation: Soybeans typically exhibit negative correlation with USD strength. Monitor the Dollar Index for macro tailwinds supporting our bullish thesis!
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL CONFLUENCES
✅ Triangular Moving Average breakout confirmation
✅ Multi-layered entry approach minimizes timing risk
✅ Clear risk-defined stop loss below psychological support
✅ Target aligned with technical resistance + overbought zones
✅ USD weakness could provide fundamental tailwinds
Risk Warning: Commodity futures and options trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You could lose more than your initial investment.
"Thief Style" Context: The playful "heist" terminology is purely thematic storytelling to make technical analysis engaging — it does NOT encourage or endorse any illegal activities or unethical trading practices. All strategies discussed involve legitimate, legal market participation.
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#SOYBEAN #Commodities #AgricultureTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakoutStrategy #CashFlow #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #FuturesTrading #GrainMarkets #USD #ForexCorrelation #MovingAverages #SupportAndResistance #TradingPlan #MarketAnalysis #CommodityFutures
BTC/USDT | a major drop incoming? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the Daily chart of BTCUSDT, we can see that price has failed to break the 4H FVG at $94000 and has dropped twice from that zone. I expect another try to break through that FVG, but I expect BTC to drop from that zone again and maybe all the way to the bullish OB that is shown in the chart.
If BTC fails to hold above $90000, I expect a drop.
The Undeniable Chart of EverythingJune 2026 – A New Era: $3.2, the Price of No Return
This chart speaks for itself. Based on my experience and a clear reading of market dynamics, the rapidly accelerating demand for natural gas represents a structural shift rather than a temporary cycle. Natural gas is no longer merely a bridge fuel; it is becoming a foundational pillar of future energy systems, technological expansion, and global economic stability.
Natural gas is essential for powering next-generation data centers and AI infrastructure, where uninterrupted, high-density energy supply is non-negotiable. It plays a critical role in stabilizing renewable energy grids, providing rapid-load backup for wind and solar as electrification accelerates worldwide. In hydrogen production, natural gas remains the primary feedstock for blue hydrogen, enabling large-scale decarbonization of heavy industry long before green hydrogen reaches economic viability.
Beyond electricity, natural gas is indispensable in advanced manufacturing, petrochemicals, fertilizer production, and clean steel technologies. LNG continues to reshape global energy security, particularly in Europe and Asia, where long-term supply contracts are locking in demand well into the next decade.
Against this backdrop, a price level of $3.2 is not just undervalued — it represents a historical inflection point. As supply constraints tighten and demand growth becomes embedded, this is a price the market is unlikely to revisit. The era ahead is defined by scarcity, strategic relevance, and repricing.
The three highlighted danger zones mark areas where multiple sell cycles converge. These zones are historically risky for initiating long positions and instead represent optimal regions for identifying potential short or sell setups. A reversal from the darkest zone can unfold rapidly, often materializing as a single large bearish candle or two consecutive bearish candles on the weekly timeframe.
This reflects a personal opinion and general market perspective only. It is not investment, trading, or financial advice, and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please see our weekly chart timeframe Route map and Trading plans for the week ahead.
We are seeing a repeat of the same ranging action again. We still have a long range candle body close gap above at 4294, with 4059 acting as support. We can expect price action to play between these two levels. We now also have EMA5 cross and lock above to strengthen the gap toward 4294. Conversely, a ema5 lock back below 4059 would reopen the broader retracement range.
We’ll keep these long timeframe structures in mind as we continue with our plan to buy dips.
We will keep you all updated as this chart idea unfolds.
Mr Gold
Will GOLD (XAUUSD) Update the ATH Next Week?
Gold had a very bullish week.
The price even managed to reach a resistance based on a current
All-Time High on Friday.
I think that we may see a further bullish continuation next week.
A breakout and a daily candle close above 4380 level
will provide a strong signal to buy.
A rise at least to 4450 will be expected then.
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Symmetrical Triangle Breakout/Gold Targets for PRZRecently, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) experienced a significant pump following the U.S. interest rate cut announcement, as expected by the market.
With the opening of the U.S. markets, gold seems to have found its path again. Following the recent interest rate announcement and Jerome Powell’s comments, gold has re-established its bullish trend by breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 4. Given that wave 4 may have taken the form of a symmetrical triangle, this aligns well with Elliott guidelines.
The big question is whether gold can achieve new all-time highs.
I expect that after a potential pullback to the symmetrical triangle’s upper line, gold will resume its upward movement toward the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
If the bullish momentum persists, we could see gold setting new all-time highs in the coming days. However, given the proximity to these highs, taking long positions could be riskier. Still, short-term timeframes may offer opportunities to capitalize on gold’s bullish trend.
What do you think? Will gold reach new all-time highs, or should we brace for a correction?
Target: Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)
Stop Loss(SL): $4,215(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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GOLD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD strong bullish displacement confirms a successful mitigation of the horizontal demand area, following a clear sell-side liquidity grab. Market structure remains bullish, with smart money defending the zone and favoring continuation toward the next overhead liquidity pool and marked target. Time Frame 5H.
Buy!
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Long-Cycle Market Observation-4 steps all we needThis discussion is intended as a personal analytical framework rather than financial or trading advice. Its purpose is to highlight rare, high-impact market opportunities and to avoid unnecessary conflicts between competing scenarios, particularly around the potential double-top region near 6 to 6.4.
The focus is on four specific, numbered time windows:
1-January
2-February
3-March
4-June
These four periods alone are considered sufficient, from a purely hypothetical and educational perspective, to capture major market movements through 2026, without the need for frequent activity.
The underlying idea emphasizes restraint rather than constant engagement. Overexposure and excessive activity are viewed as the primary risks, while patience is regarded as the key factor. Upon reaching the fourth phase, the concept shifts away from short-term realization and toward a long-term, multi-year approach, allowing positions to evolve across multiple cycles instead of being closed prematurely.
This framework reflects a personal market philosophy focused on discipline, timing, and long-term perspective, and should be understood solely as a conceptual discussion.






















