Commodities
GOLD AnalysisHello Traders! 👋
What are you thinking about GOLD?
Gold is currently moving with a TRENDLINE.
A bullish and bearish reaction is expected at this level.
Probable Scenario:
if breakout happens we will see a big movement towards 4380 or 4280
Don’t forget to support with like and drop your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD📊 GOLD UPDATE.
Gold is showing short-term strength on the chart. Sharing my view based on current price action.
🔓 Entry: 4335
❌ Stop Loss: 4315
🎯 Target: 4348
Risk is clearly defined. The idea is valid only if price holds above the support area. Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk properly.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
GOLD Update|Price Reacting at a Key Resistance Zone.📊 GOLD UPDATE — Key Levels in Focus
Gold is reacting near an important price zone, and this area could define the next short-term move. Price behavior around this level will be critical in determining momentum.
📌 Setup Overview:
🔓 Entry Level: 4342
❌ Stop Loss: 4370
🎯 Target: 4324
If selling pressure holds, price may continue toward the projected target zone. Watching how the market responds near resistance remains key.
What’s your technical view on Gold from here — continuation or reversal?
Share your perspective below 👇
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice; it reflects only my personal market analysis. Please do your own research before trading.This reflects personal market analysis only and is shared for discussion purposes
METAL INDEX (Monthly) — Once-in-a-Generation BreakoutMETAL INDEX (Monthly) — Once-in-a-Generation Breakout
After 17 years, the Metal Index has finally taken out the 2008 high.
CMP ~ 35,000 → this is a structural regime change, not a short-term move.
📈 History lesson:
When multi-decade bases resolve, cycles expand far beyond expectations.
🎯 My cycle projection:
➡️ 90,000+ before 2028 end if this super-cycle plays out.
This is how commodity wealth cycles begin — quietly, then violently.
🔐 I’m tracking sector leaders, accumulation phases & exit signals inside my updates
#MetalStocks #Commodities #SuperCycle #Investing #WealthCreation
Silver bullish rebound support at 6288The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 6288 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 6288 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
6500 – initial resistance
6600 – psychological and structural level
6700 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 6288 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
6190 – minor support
6110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 6288. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold resistance retest, uptrend support at 4254The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4254 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4254 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4354 – initial resistance
4380 – psychological and structural level
4403 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4254 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4230 – minor support
4209 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4254. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD | Another try at supply zone? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, GBPUSD has managed to break free from the 1.3347-1.3367 supply zone. At the moment it is being traded at 1.33860 level and I expect it to challenge the 1.34300-1.34570 supply zone. It has been rejected once, now let's wait and see if it makes it up there and breaks through the supply zone. I expect a drop after reaching the supply zone.
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 56.995.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 57.830.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,337.65
Target Level: 4,266.90
Stop Loss: 4,384.71
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
"A super week" of employment dataNext week will not be a normal trading week. This is the time when the market is forced to answer a big question: will the Federal Reserve's policy pivot be sustainable, or merely a tactical adjustment in a cycle still fraught with uncertainty?
Following its December interest rate decision, the Fed officially cut rates by 25 basis points as expected. However, the market reaction showed that the key wasn't the number, but the underlying message. The dotplot chart indicated very limited, even cautious, room for further rate cuts in 2026. Nevertheless, the less hawkish statements from Chairman Jerome Powell, coupled with the Fed resuming short-term Treasury bond purchases to stabilize liquidity, produced a clear consequence: the US dollar weakened faster and more deeply than anticipated.
Against this backdrop, the upcoming trading week is seen as a "test of resilience" for the USD, as key employment and inflation data are released simultaneously, and the three major central banks in Europe and Asia also come into the spotlight.
Fed: Not overly dovish, but enough to change market expectations
On the surface, the Fed's decision resembles a "soft hawk": cutting interest rates, but the dotplot for 2026 is quite limited. However, the structure of the dotplot reveals a less-noticed fact: no single viewpoint clearly dominates.
Four members are against cutting interest rates in 2026, four support another cut, and four others lean towards two cuts. Overall, this is not a policy consensus.
More importantly, the Fed has proactively restarted short-term Treasury bond purchases as a reserve management tool. While not explicitly called quantitative easing, this move sends a clear signal: the Fed is willing to sacrifice "formal hawkishness" to ensure real financial stability.
Powell's remarks at the press conference, emphasizing the risks of a weakening labor market and viewing inflationary pressures from tariffs as temporary, reinforced the belief that the Fed would prioritize jobs over continuing to push inflation at all costs. This quickly led the market to reassess the likelihood of interest rate cuts next year, with the dollar becoming the first to face pressure.
This week shapes expectations, leaving no room for complacency.
Next week marks a period where global monetary policy expectations begin to diverge significantly. The Fed has taken a step back, but not quite surrendered. The BoE is at a crossroads of easing. The ECB maintains a balanced stance with controlled confidence. The BOJ, meanwhile, is trying to break free from its own shadow.
Against this backdrop, volatility in the foreign exchange, gold, and risk assets markets in general is likely to increase. This is not a time for emotional trading, but rather a time that demands discipline, selectivity, and the ability to correctly interpret the policy message behind the numbers.
The upcoming data week will not only answer the question of “what happened,” but more importantly, it will reveal who is truly controlling the global monetary policy narrative in 2026.
Technical Analysis and Suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD
The daily chart of gold prices shows a new uptrend being relatively fully confirmed, both in terms of price structure and momentum.
After a sharp correction from the previous peak, gold did not break the long-term uptrend structure, but only retreated to test important dynamic support zones. The price quickly held firm at the 0.236 Fibonacci level around $4,120–$4,130 per ounce, while continuing to move within the medium-term uptrend channel. This indicates that active buying pressure remains in control of the market, and selling pressure is more profit-taking than a trend reversal.
Short- and medium-term moving averages maintain an upward slope, acting as a "price cushion" during corrections. After a cooling-off period, the RSI has returned to equilibrium, leaning toward an uptrend, reflecting that upward momentum is being re-accumulated rather than weakening.
Structurally, the continuous formation of higher lows, accompanied by shallow corrections, is a typical sign of a strong uptrend. If the resistance zone around $4,330/ounce is decisively broken, the market could enter a new phase of extended upward movement.
The next technical targets are identified at:
• $4,380–$4,400/ounce: an extension zone within the ascending price channel and Fibonacci extension.
• In a scenario with stronger momentum, the price could head towards the $4,500/ounce region in the medium term.
The risk of a downward correction lies in the scenario where the price fails to break above $4,330/ounce and reverses to break the support zone of $4,200–$4,180/ounce. In that case, gold could retreat further to the $3,970–$3,850/ounce area (Fibonacci 0.382–0.5). However, as long as the price remains above this zone, the major uptrend is not yet invalidated.
Given the overall upward trend, current corrections should be viewed as opportunities for repositioning, rather than hasty reversal signals.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4366 - 4364⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4370
→Take Profit 1 4358
↨
→Take Profit 2 4352
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4168 - 4270⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4264
→Take Profit 1 4276
↨
→Take Profit 2 4282
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for December 15thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4382, Support: 4175
4-Hour Resistance: 4355, Support: 4265
1-Hour Resistance: 4353, Support: 4309
Gold has been rising since the market opened today, with almost no pullback, further strengthening the confidence of those holding long-term bullish positions.
The daily chart shows strong performance for gold, with five consecutive days of gains. Moving averages are crossing upwards, support is gradually moving higher, and the Bollinger Bands are widening upwards, indicating the price is within an upward channel. Short-term support is around 4309.
The 1-hour chart shows a "V-shaped" rebound. The price is watching the resistance around last Friday's high of 4353. The Bollinger Bands are widening, and the moving averages are in a bullish alignment. Today, a bullish trend is recommended. However, be aware of the risk of a pullback after a divergence in the MACD/KDJ indicators. Resistance is seen around last Friday's high of 4353 and the previous historical high of 4381. The market is awaiting news data; if it cannot surpass last Friday's high, it will likely continue its consolidation phase.
Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4306~4309
Selling is not currently being considered; we need to wait for confirmation of a double-top pattern before selling.
More Analysis →
GOLD | Correctional Movement before bullish trend GOLD – Technical Overview
Gold prices continue to strengthen as investors position for looser U.S. monetary policy in 2026 and respond to rising geopolitical uncertainty.
The metal is supported by:
Expectations of further rate cuts after the Federal Reserve’s latest reduction and Jerome Powell’s softer-than-expected tone.
Escalating tensions in Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and parts of Latin America, boosting safe-haven demand.
Sustained inflows into gold-backed ETFs and strong central-bank purchases.
Concerns over the Fed’s future policy independence, adding to macro uncertainty.
Technical Analysis
Gold NOW is undergoing a correctional pullback toward 4323, where buyers are expected to re-evaluate momentum.
Above 4323: Bullish trend resumes with targets at: → 4347 → 4379
Below 4323: Bearish pressure increases, with downside continuation toward: → 4300
A breakout above 4347 strengthens bullish continuation toward: → 4367 → 4379
The zone around 4323 is the key decision area for short-term direction.
Pivot Line: 4347
Support: 4323 · 4300
Resistance: 4367 · 4379
WTI Oil: Key levels for long-term buyingThis analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello traders and investors!
I reviewed the higher timeframes for oil, and the 2-month chart shows an interesting structure. Price is moving within a very wide sideways range, roughly from $11 to $147.
The lower boundary of this range has already been defended by buyers in the past — in 2016 and again in 2020-2021.
At the moment, seller initiative dominates within this range, with a potential target around 48.52.
The 48.52 level represents the upper boundary of a buyer zone that has not yet been tested. This zone was formed by a high-volume candle, which adds to its significance. The base of that candle — the 47.071–48.52 range — is an area where it makes sense to look for long-term buying patterns.
The 42.206 level is even more attractive for identifying long-term buying opportunities.
The first target for long-term long positions, if this scenario plays out, is 95.501, which corresponds to a test of the seller zone.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Crude Oil Pattern Formation: Breakout or BreakdownCrude Oil – 1 Hour Timeframe Analysis
Crude Oil is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel between 5130–5150.
Price action is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a key support zone near 5180–5200.
Breakdown Scenario:
If the price breaks below the pattern support, Crude Oil may first test the 5130–5150 support zone. A sustained breakdown could extend the downside move towards 5050–5030.
Upside Scenario:
If the support zone holds and price sustains above the pattern, an upside move towards 5300–5330 can be expected.
Thank You !!
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,281.87
- Pullback support
- 50% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 4,238.93
- Pullback support
- 78.6% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 4,347.77
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
XAGUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Overlap SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 61.439
- Overlap support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 161.8% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 59.974
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 63.815
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
XAUUSD Short: Bears Aim for Pullback Into $4,260 Demand ZoneHello, traders! The current XAUUSD price action is showing early signs of bearish pressure after failing to sustain momentum above the upper resistance zones. Earlier, the market formed a strong Double Top inside the major Supply Zone, which triggered a sharp downside reversal and highlighted the presence of active sellers at the top of the structure. This rejection pushed gold back toward the mid-range levels, signaling a shift in market sentiment. After that decline, XAUUSD entered a prolonged Range phase, where price consolidated and accumulated liquidity for the next move. Although buyers attempted to regain control, the Trend Line breakout attempts showed weakening bullish strength, as each move higher was met with increased selling interest. The second consolidation Range formed near the upper supply boundary, confirming that the market was losing upward momentum.
Currently, gold broke out above the Range high but quickly faced resistance near $4,330, where sellers stepped in aggressively. Price is now pulling back and showing signs of returning toward the $4,260 level — a key decision zone that aligns with previous structure and where demand has recently weakened. As long as XAUUSD remains below the $4,330 resistance and fails to reclaim the local high, the bearish scenario becomes the primary outlook. A sustained move back into the Range and a breakdown below $4,260 would confirm stronger seller dominance and open the path toward deeper corrective movement.
My scenario is a continuation to the downside toward the $4,260 Demand Zone, especially if price breaks below $4,260 and loses the ascending structure. A clean breakdown of this level may trigger a broader bearish continuation. Manage your risk!
EUR/USD | EURUSD Approaching Key Supply Zone, What's Next ?By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 6 hour timeframe, we can see that price is currently trading around 1.174. I expect EURUSD to first push up toward the 1.178 to 1.182 zone, and once price reaches this supply area, a bearish reaction is likely.
We need to watch how EURUSD behaves when it taps this zone. All other important supply and demand levels are already marked on the chart, so make sure to monitor price reactions closely.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD → Consolidation before reaching ATH FX:XAUUSD has been rising for the fifth consecutive day amid a weakening dollar and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. The market is testing intermediate resistance before reaching ATH.
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market expects two cuts in 2026, not one, as stated in the regulator's forecasts. The possible appointment of a new “dovish” Fed chair is putting pressure on the dollar. The increase in US unemployment claims (to 236K) confirms fears of a slowdown in the labor market.
Tomorrow, US employment (NFP) and retail sales data will be released, followed by inflation (CPI) data on Thursday. Friday: Bank of Japan decision.
The results could significantly adjust expectations for interest rates.
The upward trend in gold continues, but its stability will be tested by macro data. Weak employment and inflation figures will support growth, while strong data could trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 4353, 4380, 4400
Support levels: 4329, 4305
The market may consolidate before breaking through the nearest resistance. Locally - 4333, 4329, 4318. The bullish trend may continue afterwards.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Strong impulse, now hesitation - is gold pausing....Market context
Gold printed a strong impulsive leg from the 4,240–4,260 base, accelerating into the 4,350–4,360 supply area before facing a sharp rejection. Since then, price has transitioned into consolidation, holding above the prior breakout region rather than unwinding the entire move.
This behavior suggests short-term balance after expansion, not immediate trend failure.
Current structure
- Supply zone: ~4,350–4,360, where the impulsive leg was capped
- Range mid / current price: ~4,320–4,330
- Demand zone: ~4,280–4,290, aligned with the last breakout and rising EMA support
Price remains above the rising EMA 34 (~4,292) and EMA 89 (~4,258), keeping the intraday structure constructive despite the loss of momentum. Candles are overlapping, reflecting indecision and rotational flow rather than directional commitment.
Scenarios
➡️ Primary scenario:
If buyers continue to defend the 4,280–4,290 demand area, price may remain rotational before attempting another push toward the 4,350–4,360 supply zone.
⚠️ Risk scenario:
A sustained break below 4,280, followed by acceptance under the EMA structure, would weaken the bullish bias and expose a deeper pullback toward the 4,240–4,250 liquidity area.
Gold Bulls in Control | XAUUSD Trade IdeaXAUUSD remains bullish 📈 Price is consolidating above key support after a strong impulsive move. A healthy pullback into demand could offer buy opportunities, targeting previous highs and the upper supply zone. Bias stays bullish unless support breaks. Trade with proper risk management.






















