XAU reverse soon On w1 chart I see the potential divergence , same on D1 chart.
I admit that we are at extreme values. If we start to correct soon, I will consider it the beginning of a bear market for gold. I assume that we are just starting to accelerate and the RSI indicator will overheat much more, and we will see 4300-4500 for gold.
Commodities
GOLD COME BACK BULLISH TREND AND HIT ZONE 3700 - 3705 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 09/22 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊Market Structure
🔤The overall structure is bullish after multiple bullish BOS.
🔤Every pullback has been absorbed at FVG demand zones, confirming strong buyer control.
🔤Current price is around 3692 after a fresh BOS, showing Smart Money is still pushing higher.
💡 Trade Plan
🔼Scenario 1 – Continuation Buy (Main Plan)
Entry Condition: Price retests 3685 – 3688 or 3675 – 3680 with a bullish CHoCH confirmation on M5/M15.
Reasoning: Overall bullish trend, demand zones consistently defended by Smart Money.
Entry: Buy at 3685-3688 or 3675-3680.
🔽Scenario 2 – Short-term Sell (Counter-trend)
Entry Condition: Price taps into 3700 – 3705 and shows bearish CHoCH on lower timeframes.
Reasoning: Supply zone + psychological resistance likely to trigger profit-taking.
Entry: 3702 – 3705.
🔼Scenario 3 – Breakout Buy (Confirming Buyer Strength)
Entry Condition: H1/H4 candle closes above 3705 with strong volume.
Reasoning: Clear breakout from key resistance + new bullish BOS confirmation.
Entry: Buy after a retest of 3700 – 3705.
➡️ Focus on buy setups (Scenarios 1 & 3) in line with the bullish trend.
The sell scenario is only valid for short-term scalping.
DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios💡 DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios
Price is currently testing an important supply zone (97.7 – 98.0) after showing a strong recovery. From here, I’m watching two possible outcomes:
🔼 Bullish Scenario
If buyers manage to hold above the 97.7 – 98.0 supply zone, we could see continuation toward the next major resistance between 98.2 – 98.6.
Break & retest of 98.0 would be a strong confirmation for buyers.
🔽 Bearish Scenario
If the 97.7 – 98.0 area rejects strongly, price could reverse back down toward the demand zone (96.4 – 96.6) for liquidity grab.
This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point.
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 98.0 | 98.2 | 98.6
Support: 97.4 | 96.6
📊 This setup gives both bulls and bears opportunities depending on how price reacts at these zones.
✅ If you enjoy this type of analysis, make sure to follow me so you don’t miss the next updates.
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XAUUSD – Daily Trading Outlook
Good day Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session by holding its structure firmly. The 3708 level will act as the pivotal price marker for today:
A sustained break above this resistance would open the way towards 3750, with potential extension to 3780.
Conversely, failure to overcome 3708 and a rejection at this level could trigger a retracement, with 3650 – or even the 355x region – serving as key buying areas.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s corrective move was largely driven by comments from the Federal Reserve Chair regarding interest rate policy. The Fed is reluctant to implement multiple rate cuts, and this week’s PCE data will be critical in shaping expectations.
Trading Scenarios for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
Stop-loss: 3645
Targets: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
Stop-loss: 3708
Targets: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
Stop-loss: 3746
Targets: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Conclusion
For today, the preferred bias remains to buy on dips in line with the broader uptrend, while carefully monitoring reactions at the outlined key levels.
Follow me to receive timely updates as soon as price structure changes.
WTI(20250922)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Board Governor Milan: Expects continued rate cuts in the coming months and will work to convince other policymakers to cut more quickly; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: Two more rate cuts this year would be appropriate.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
62.58
Support and Resistance Levels:
63.70
63.28
63.01
62.15
61.87
61.45
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 62.58, consider buying, with the first target at 63.01.
If the market breaks below 62.15, consider selling, with the first target at 61.87
Silver is in the Bullish trend after testing ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Moving to the Day's resistanceDaily (D1)
The overall trend is clearly bullish. There has been an upside breakout on the daily timeframe, which could potentially mark the end of wave 3. Price is now consolidating in what looks like a sideways correction, likely forming wave 4.
H1
Price has rebounded from the daily support (lower range of the sideways zone). As long as the short-term uptrend on H1 holds, price should be able to test the upper boundary of the range without much difficulty.
m15
Not the best setup for buying at the moment, since price is already close to the daily range resistance. A valid buy could be considered only if a breakout occurs followed by a retracement with a favorable risk–reward setup.
For selling, it’s better to wait until a clear downtrend structure forms rather than attempting to counter-trade prematurely.
Summary
Price is moving within a range until either a breakout or a clearer correction structure develops. Possible approaches are:
Trade the range (buy near the lower boundary, sell near the upper boundary).
Or wait for a breakout and confirmation of continuation before entering.
Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly TF 2025Overview
This analysis outlines the structural Fibonacci confluences, scenario planning, and macro-aligned projections for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe. It integrates multi-layered Fibonacci extensions and retracements, mapping out key support and resistance levels, and proposes a nuanced primary scenario that includes both intermediate rallies and corrective movements.
Primary Scenario – Multi-Stage Movement Hypothesis
We anticipate that gold may initially extend higher from the current level (~$3,325) to test the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $3,435, with the possibility of a further intermediate peak near $3,500. This level marks a psychological and technical resistance zone and could act as a temporary top.
Following this local peak, a corrective phase may unfold. This pullback could evolve into one of the two outlined correction scenarios:
1 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,950
Basis: 100% Fib extension confluence and prior resistance turned support
Expected Outcome: Price stabilizes at this level and resumes upward momentum
2 TP Correction Scenario
Support Target: ~$2,650
Basis: Strong historical structure + 100% Fib confluence from a broader cycle
Expected Outcome: This zone acts as a long-term demand accumulation area
Upon completion of the corrective structure, we expect gold to reinitiate its primary bullish trend.
Bullish Continuation Targets
TP1: ~$4,050 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
TP2: ~$4,319 (261.8% Fibonacci extension)
These targets align with macroeconomic conditions, central bank accumulation trends, and long-term structural cycles.
Supporting Technicals
RSI: Holding above 50, indicating preserved bullish momentum
MACD: Positive crossover with widening histogram on weekly timeframe
Price Action: Strong support zone between $3,280–$3,300 aligning with 161.8% Fib retracement of the recent minor wave
Macro Fundamentals & Correlations
Central Bank Gold Demand: Sustained net buying by BRICS nations, particularly China and Russia, supports the structural bid on gold
Fed Policy: Market anticipates a prolonged pause or gradual rate cuts, favoring non-yielding assets like gold
DXY & US10Y Yields: Any further decline in DXY or softening yields would add tailwinds to gold
Crypto Correlation: During inflationary hedging or systemic risk periods, gold and crypto may correlate positively, especially with weakening USD
Intermarket Relationships: Gold, DXY, and TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold historically maintains an inverse correlation with DXY. A rising DXY tends to apply downward pressure on gold prices, while a falling DXY enhances gold's upside momentum.
Scenario Interactions:
If DXY breaks below 98, this could validate the bullish scenario for gold toward $3,435–$4,050.
If DXY rallies back above 100, it could trigger the correction scenarios ($2,950 or $2,650) in gold.
Gold vs. TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap)
Gold and TOTAL may show positive correlation during periods of USD weakening and global liquidity expansion.
Scenario Interactions:
If gold rallies toward $3,500 and TOTAL also breaks key resistance (e.g., $1.8T–$2T), this signals synchronized bullish risk appetite.
If gold corrects while TOTAL continues to rise, it could indicate rotation of liquidity from defensive to risk-on assets.
A simultaneous correction in both may occur if DXY strengthens aggressively or if macro shocks reduce global liquidity.
These intermarket relationships should be monitored continuously to assess the evolving macro context and validate the chosen scenario.
In the case of a gold correction toward $2,950 or $2,650, the impact on altcoins will hinge on the prevailing macroeconomic backdrop. If the correction stems from a healthy, technical rebalancing within a risk-on environment—without a concurrent surge in the U.S. dollar—it could signal a shift in capital from defensive assets like gold into more speculative plays, including altcoins. This type of capital rotation often benefits the crypto market, particularly if TOTAL (crypto market cap) holds or advances structurally. However, if the correction is caused by rising dollar strength, tightening financial conditions, or broader risk-off sentiment, altcoins may instead suffer alongside gold, as liquidity is withdrawn across the board. Therefore, the context and drivers behind gold’s correction are crucial in assessing its downstream effects on altcoin performance.
From a philosophical lens, gold's cyclical ascent and retreat mirrors the rhythm of nature and human experience—expansion, contraction, and renewal. Just as rivers carve valleys before surging toward the ocean, the market too must surrender gains to gather force. A correction in gold is not merely a financial event, but a moment of recalibration—an inhale before the next exhale of momentum. It invites reflection: whether wealth seeks refuge or ventures into risk, whether fear contracts or ambition expands. In this interplay, altcoins may inherit the restless spirit of capital in search of yield, as gold, the ancient anchor of value, briefly pauses in its timeless journey.
Conclusion
We present a multi-phased path for gold where:
An initial bullish breakout toward $3,435–$3,500 forms a short- to mid-term peak
A subsequent correction brings gold to either $2,950 or $2,650, depending on macro triggers
A renewed bull rally drives gold toward $4,050 and potentially $4,319 and beyond
This scenario reflects both the cyclical nature of market structure and the macro-fundamental backing that continues to support long-term gold strength.
XAUUSD New ATH!!!The chart might seem to be very confusing, but try an focus on 2 things.
1. Redbox, which is indicating a sideways market
2. Price has perfectly retested on fib levels, which I have marked using an arrow.
On Friday's closing, the price has shown a huge move, and I am expecting a bullish move to continue because of price action and fundamental news. Later, the U.S. dollar is weakening, and although the Fed rate cut move trapped all the buyers and sellers, I am still expecting a bullish move on gold
Platinum fundamental and technical analysis reportPlatinum: Data Overview.
1. Supply–Demand Imbalance
- 2025 mine supply: 7,000,000 oz
- 2025 total demand: 7,900,000 oz
- Annual deficit: 900,000 oz
- Q2 price change: +35 %
2. Price & Ratio
- Spot price: 1,402.00 current USD/oz
- Gold–Platinum ratio: ~2.0× (long-term norm: 1.2×)
3. Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe
- Support at 1,360 USD
- Resistance at 1,420 USD
- Confirmed triple-bottom pattern
- Scenario 1 target: 1,460 USD (Fibonacci extension)
- Scenario 2 downside risk: 1,360 USD
Four-Hour Timeframe
- Local support at 1,380 USD
- Immediate resistance between 1,390–1,400 USD
- Scenario 1 target zone: 1,440–1,460 USD
- Scenario 2 retest level: 1,380 USD
4. Elliott Wave Projection
- Current count: Wave 3 of 5
- Wave 3 completion target: 1,480 USD
- Wave 4 corrective zone: 1,420–1,440 USD
5. COT & CFTC Positioning (NYMEX Platinum)
- Non-Commercial (speculators):
- Long: 53,057 contracts
- Short: 38,701 contracts
- Net: +14,356 contracts
- Commercial (hedgers/producers):
- Long: 20,511 contracts
- Short: 40,721 contracts
- Net: −20,210 contracts
- Non-Reportable (small traders):
- Long: 84,081 contracts
- Short: 89,935 contracts
- Net: −5,854 contracts
- Total open interest: 94,804 contracts
6. NYMEX On-Warrant Warehouse Inventory
- Platinum inventory: 42,500 oz
- Month-over-month change: −3.2 %
7. Key Watchpoints
- US Federal Reserve policy developments
- Chinese automotive demand and emissions regulations
- PGM lease rates and futures curve dynamics
- ETF flows and physical investment into platinum
US100 Key Levels & Trend OutlookUS100 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Nasdaq is consolidating just above the 24,516 – 24,488 support zone, which now acts as the key base for continuation.
Key levels:
24,516 – 24,488 → critical short-term support. Holding above confirms continuation of the uptrend.
24,603+ → current resistance. A clean breakout and hold above this level would extend bullish momentum and push toward new highs.
Downside risk: If price breaks back below 24,488, the next support sits around 24,158. A deeper breakdown from there could open a correction toward 23,404.
Cycle support: 19,407 is the major cycle uptrend level. Nasdaq must stay above this to keep the long-term bullish structure intact.
📌 Summary
Above 24,516 – 24,488 → bullish continuation in play.
Break & hold above 24,603 → signals further upside.
Below 24,488 → correction risk, first support at 24,158, then 23,404.
19,407 → cycle-level support for the long-term trend.
XAU/USD UpdateXAU/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Gold is showing strength after reclaiming the 3,664 – 3,657 zone, turning it into a support.
Key levels:
3,664 – 3,657 → support zone. Holding above this confirms continuation of the uptrend.
3,684 → current resistance being tested. A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum and open the way for a move toward higher targets (3,720+).
As long as price stays above the support, Gold remains bullish in structure.
Risk scenario: If price falls back below 3,657, downside pressure may return, with 3,463 as the next major support.
Cycle support: 3,267 is a critical long-term level. Gold must hold this area to maintain the broader green cycle trend.
📌 Summary
Above 3,664 – 3,657 → bullish continuation confirmed.
Break above 3,684 → opens further upside targets.
Below 3,657 → downside risk increases, watch 3,463 as key support.
3,267 → major cycle support for long-term trend.
Copper – Gearing Up for Higher LevelsAs long as Copper continues to hold above the $4.00 handle, the structure favors continuation to the upside. A clean break of $5.00 sets the stage for a strong bullish leg, with medium-term targets around $7.40 and, eventually, the possibility of Copper extending into double digits above $10.
> Key Levels:
Major support: $4.00 – $4.20 zone
Resistance / breakout level: $5.00
TP1: $7.39
TP2: $11.04
Beyond the chart, the future demand outlook for Copper remains extremely strong. With accelerating trends in electrification, renewable energy, EV adoption, and global infrastructure expansion, Copper is set to play a critical role in the next decade. This positions the metal as not just a strong technical play, but also a strategic long-term investment.
TL;DR
Copper is building momentum technically, while future demand drivers add strong tailwinds. Above $5, the path toward $7+ and potentially $10+ becomes increasingly realistic.
USOIL: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 62.657 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Intraday & Swing Outlook🛢️ USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉
Asset Class: USOIL (SPOTCRUDE / WTI CASH)
Last Closing Price: $62.796
Date/Time: 20th Sept 2025 – 12:50 AM UTC+4
🔍 Market Context
Crude oil remains in a volatile zone as macro factors like OPEC+ policy, global demand recovery, and geopolitical risks continue to steer momentum. Traders must prepare for short squeezes, traps, and breakout plays this week.
📊 Technical Overview
Chart Theories Applied:
📈 Elliott Waves – corrective Phase B nearing end.
🔄 Wyckoff – signs of re-accumulation spotted.
🔺 Head & Shoulders (Inverse) – potential bullish reversal.
🔮 Gann Angles & Time Cycle – short-term resistance clustering near $64.50.
🛠️ Indicators
🔵 RSI (H1) → Neutral zone (48–52).
📏 VWAP Anchored → $62.20 (support pivot).
📉 EMA 20 / EMA 50 → Bullish cross on H4 confirmed.
🎯 Bollinger Bands → Expansion phase → Expect high volatility.
🕒 Timeframe Strategies
📌 Intraday (5M / 15M / 1H / 4H)
Buy Entry (Scalp): $62.20 – $62.50 🟢
TP1: $63.20 🎯
TP2: $63.85 🎯
SL: $61.80 ❌
Sell Entry (Scalp): $63.80 – $64.20 🔴
TP1: $63.00 🎯
TP2: $62.40 🎯
SL: $64.70 ❌
📌 Swing (Daily / Weekly)
Buy Zone: $61.50 – $62.00 🟢
Targets: $65.20 / $67.40 / $70.00 🎯
Stop Loss: $60.50 ❌
Sell Zone (Rejection): $67.40 – $68.00 🔴
Targets: $64.50 / $62.20 🎯
Stop Loss: $68.80 ❌
⚠️ Risk Management
Volatility expected due to Fed rate guidance & OPEC+ commentary.
Stick to 2–3% capital risk per trade.
Watch for bull/bear traps near breakout zones.
📌 Summary
Intraday: Range $62.20 – $64.20 ⚖️
Swing: Upside bias if $61.50 holds strong 💹
Key Resistance: $64.50 / $67.40
Key Support: $61.50 / $60.50
🔥 Bias: Short-term sideways → Medium-term bullish above $61.50.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
GOLD is BACK with a new potential move... so I m back to it tooCommodities have such a good time time this month. After a period of ranging and no specific direction, I secured over 9R in the last 21 days with a +8.85R on XAGUSD, a loss on XPTUSD, a BE on US2000, a +2.64R on COFFEE and another loss on JP225.
Gold Forecast (XAUUSD)🟡 GOLD – 1H Breakdown
Alright traders, here’s the scoop 👀
We’re chopping around mid-range after that last BOS. Liquidity is literally everywhere — BSLs chilling above the highs, SSLs hiding under the lows. Market’s teasing both sides like it’s fishing for stops 🎣.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred snack stop): 3,600 – 3,620 🍫
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper dip special): 3,560 – 3,580 🥤
Trendline liquidity just waiting to get grabbed… you know how it goes 😏
Upside target: 3,700+ — where the big liquidity bags are stacked 🎯
🛠 Possible Plays:
Quick liquidity sweep under the lows → tap into Buy Zone 1 or 2 → rocket launch 🚀
If demand fails, we’re diving into the swing range 3,530 – 3,550 for a bigger reload.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect a cheeky stop-hunt under the lows.
Mid-term: Bulls still in control, eyes on that juicy 3,700+ grab.
Bias : Liquidity sweep down → Buy for continuation 📈✨
XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast✨📊 XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook ✨💰
Asset Class: XAUUSD (GOLD CFD)
Closing Price: 3,685.11 📍 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Multi-Lens Technical Analysis
🕯 Candlestick & Patterns
📉 Head & Shoulders → Watching neckline at 3,660
📈 Bull Trap/ Bear Trap → Possible fakeouts near 3,700 zone
🔄 Harmonics + Fibonacci → Reversal signals align around 3,640 – 3,650
🌊 Theories in Play
Elliott Waves → Wave 5 completion likely near 3,710 – 3,725
Wyckoff → Distribution phase signs visible 🔔
Gann → Time/price square shows resistance 3,720 – 3,730
Ichimoku → Cloud support at 3,655
📊 Indicators & Tools
RSI: 64 → Near overbought ⚠️
Bollinger Bands: Upper band at 3,710 = overextension risk
VWAP: Anchored VWAP support at 3,660
Moving Averages:
EMA20 (H1) = 3,662 ✅
Golden Cross intact (Bullish bias)
⏱ Trading Time Frames
Intraday Focus: 5m / 15m / 1H / 4H
Swing Focus: 4H / Daily / Weekly
🎯 Trading Strategy
Intraday Plan (Sept 20 – 23)
🟢 Buy Zone: 3,655 – 3,665 (Target: 3,690 – 3,705)
🔴 Sell Zone: 3,710 – 3,725 (Target: 3,670 – 3,650)
Swing Plan (Sept 20 – 27)
🟢 Swing Long Entry: 3,640 – 3,655 (Target: 3,720 – 3,745)
🔴 Swing Short Entry: 3,730 – 3,745 (Target: 3,660 – 3,640)
🌍 Market Context
📰 Fed policy & USD strength will remain key drivers
⚔️ Geopolitical tensions = higher volatility expected
🛡 Gold remains safe-haven bid during risk-off
✅ Conclusion
📊 Gold (XAUUSD) trades in critical resistance zone near 3,700.
Short-term bias → Bullish, but cautious of traps
Swing bias → Range-bound 3,640 – 3,745
🎯 Traders should buy dips & sell rallies within zones
⚡Stay sharp, manage risk! ⚡
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Gold Analysis and HighlightsHi Traders
The market is expected to start the week with an upward move toward the resistance zones at 86 (buyers’ TP, which hasn’t been touched yet), resistance at 3688, and the 1H breaker block. Upon reaching these areas, I expect the first pullback toward the broken 15-minute equilibrium candle (zone 65.72 with 69 as the midpoint). If this zone holds as support, the market could target 2703 (hunt line that hasn’t had its pullback yet) before moving back toward lower liquidity points such as 3639 (sellers’ TP is positioned below – liquidity hunt) and 3626 liquidity, with support at 3623–3618 below it. From there, the market will decide its direction. If the 1H closes below this level, we’ll likely see a correction; otherwise, with just a shadow wick, it could still take out the daily liquidity above the high wick again