Silver - Looking To Buy PullbacksH1 - Strong bullish move.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Commodities
USOIL M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 61.202
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 60.900
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 61.660
- Swing high resistance
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USDJPY (4H chart pattern)...USDJPY (4H chart pattern).
Based on the structure and the levels my’ve already marked, here are clean, logical targets (pure technicals, not financial advice):
🎯 Upside targets (if price continues the bounce)
Target 1: 155.60 – 155.70
→ First reaction zone / minor resistance (price already respecting this area)
Target 2: 156.20 – 156.30
→ Strong level (Ichimoku / previous support-resistance flip)
Target 3: 158.40 – 158.60
→ Major resistance / previous high area
→ This is the extended target if momentum really kicks in
⚠️ Downside risk (in case bounce fails)
154.00
153.50 (last demand / swing low)
📌 Market read
The dump was aggressive → impulsive sell
Current candles look like corrective pullback
Expect reaction first at 155.6, then decision
If my want, tell me:
👉 Buy or sell bias?
👉 Scalp, intraday, or swing?
XAUUSD GOLD Monster Trade Idea - Beware The $5000 TrapXAUUSD 🌍 The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by safe-haven flows as geopolitical tensions—specifically the US-Europe tariff threats over Greenland and Middle East instability—drive capital into Gold 🏦. We are seeing a classic Risk-Off sentiment where dips are being aggressively bought by institutions and central banks eyeing the psychological $5,000 level.
We are seeing a Bullish Market Structure on the H1/H4 📈, but I'm looking for a correction.
Key Zone: The confluence of the channel's lower boundary and the Fibonacci 50% - 61.8% Retracement zone ($4,982 - $5,007) is the critical "Buy Zone" 📉. This area represents deep value in a strong uptrend.
We are currently trading near the top of this corrective channel. I am watching for a "Judas Swing" or a stop-hunt lower into that 61.8% Fib level to sweep early buyers before the real expansion leg kicks in 🧹. If price respects the $4,982 region, it confirms the structural integrity of this bullish flag.
XAUUSD H1 – Detailed Market Structure AnalysisGold is currently trading at all-time highs, confirming a strong impulsive bullish trend on the H1 timeframe. The rally into ATH was fast and decisive, leaving behind a clear price imbalance (GAP) around the 4,990–5,010 region, which is a classic sign of aggressive institutional participation rather than exhaustion. This type of expansion typically does not reverse immediately; instead, the market pauses to rebalance liquidity before continuation.
From a structural perspective, the previous demand zone near ~4,900 acted as a successful launchpad, producing a clean continuation leg and validating buyers’ control. The EMA 98 is trending upward and remains well below price, reinforcing that the current move is still in a markup phase, not late distribution. Importantly, there is no confirmed lower high or bearish structure break at this stage.
The most probable path forward is a corrective pullback into the GAP zone, where price can mitigate inefficiency and absorb resting buy orders. As long as this gap holds and price does not accept below it, any retracement should be treated as bullish consolidation, not weakness. Following stabilization inside or above the gap, the structure favors a renewed expansion toward the next upside objective around 5,110–5,140, extending beyond current ATH levels.
Invalidation only appears if price loses the GAP and breaks decisively below the demand zone, which would signal momentum failure. Until that occurs, the dominant narrative remains unchanged: Gold is trending, pullbacks are corrective, and the path of least resistance is higher.
Bullish bounce off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 58.72
1st Support: 56.92
1st Resistance: 62.33
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Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall towards the pivot, then bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,864.86
1st Support: 4,690.83
1st Resistance: 5,111.04
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
XAUUSD - Still In Strong Uptrend, Anticipating Potential Bounce!Price of XAGUSD is in a strong uptrend, moving inside an ascending channel, so bias is bullish.
The green channel shows higher highs and higher lows, signalling continuation to the upside while it holds.
The blue circle marks the lower channel area where the idea is to wait for a pullback and then look for long (buy) entries, not shorts.
As long as price respects that rising support, upside targets are the upper channel and higher levels, while a clean break below would weaken this bullish view.
Gold Is Breaking a 50 Year Pattern And It’s Not by ChanceGold Is Doing Something It Hasn’t Done in Nearly 50 Years And It’s Not Random
Gold is not just “going up.”
What we’re witnessing right now is a structural shift in global capital behavior something that only shows up once every few decades.
Over the past few weeks, gold has accelerated into a price zone that markets have not seen in nearly half a century, breaking multiple psychological levels in rapid succession and establishing a new range around 5,500–5,600 USD/oz. The speed and consistency of this move alone already set it apart from a normal bullish cycle.
But the real story isn’t the price it’s why the price is behaving this way.
This rally is not isolated to gold. Other precious metals such as silver and platinum have also surged aggressively, signaling a broader shift toward hard assets. When multiple metals move together, it usually reflects a macro driven reallocation, not speculative hype.
One of the strongest forces behind this move is the rapid weakening of the US dollar. The USD has been sold heavily, while US Treasuries are also under pressure, pushing yields higher. This combination sends a clear message: capital is starting to question the safety and stability of traditional US assets.
At the same time, global uncertainty is expanding rather than contracting.
Geopolitical tensions across Europe and the Middle East remain unresolved. Strategic competition between major powers continues to intensify. Supply chains are becoming more fragmented. These are long-cycle risks, not short-term headlines.
Debt levels in major economies especially the United States are climbing to new historical extremes. In response, many countries continue to rely on monetary expansion and policy flexibility. In this environment, gold naturally regains its role as a store of value, not because of fear alone, but because of mathematics.
Risk sentiment elsewhere is also deteriorating. The crypto market has shown increasing instability, with sharp drawdowns and renewed questions around long-term security and technological risk. When speculative assets wobble, capital often rotates back into instruments with thousands of years of monetary history.
Another key factor is policy uncertainty. Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve, leadership expectations, and the probability of multiple rate cuts in 2026. Add to this growing concerns about central bank independence, and it becomes clear why central banks, institutions, and private capital are increasing gold exposure simultaneously.
This doesn’t mean gold will move in a straight line forever. After such a sharp acceleration, technical pullbacks are normal and healthy. However, most institutional outlooks remain aligned on one point: the medium- to long-term trend is still supported, because the forces driving this move are structural, not temporary.
Final Thought
Gold isn’t rallying because traders are optimistic.
It’s rallying because capital is repositioning in a world that feels increasingly unstable.
Understanding this context matters far more than guessing the next short-term price swing.
If this perspective helped you understand XAUUSD more clearly, feel free to leave a comment or follow.
Let’s keep the discussion focused on simple, practical ways to read the market.
Gold Continues To Set An Impressive Historic RallyHello everyone,
let’s take a look at today’s gold price action.
In the latest move, gold continues to rally aggressively, breaking all previously recorded highs. For the first time, the precious metal has surpassed the $5,500 level and is currently extending gains around $5,525, up more than $100 since the start of the session.
This powerful advance is being driven by strong safe-haven demand amid persistent geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and a weakening U.S. dollar. In addition, central banks and sovereign wealth funds are increasingly rotating away from U.S. Treasury bonds and into gold, further reinforcing the bullish trend.
From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook for XAU/USD remains clearly bullish. The absence of a confirmed new peak suggests that upside momentum has not yet been exhausted. For risk management purposes, waiting for a pullback to confirm support before adding long positions may offer a more prudent approach.
🎯 Near-term target: the $5,550 – $5,600 zone.
What’s your view on gold’s trend from here?
Share your thoughts in the comments.
Roadmap to 3982: Key Long Entries and Profit ZonesThe initial long entry zone is between 3290 and 3275 .
From this range, an uptrend is expected to begin, targeting 3416 , which is our first exit point to close the initial long position.
After that, we wait for the next long entry , ideally around 3333 to 3319 . A new upward movement from this range is expected to reach 3455 . At this level, we continue to hold the position while placing the stop loss at the entry level to protect profits.
The next take profit target is 3650 , which may be reached by the end of 2025 or in 2026.
The final target is 3982 , which is likely to be hit in 2026, as the market may not have enough strength to reach it in 2025.
$QQQ Momentum Fracture Near Highs Similar Conditions To 2022 TopWe are currently trading inside a tight range near highs after a strong trend. What stands out to me is not price itself but momentum behavior.
When I compare this structure to the 2022 topping period I notice three things lining up.
Price consolidated near highs rather than expanding higher
RSI chopped sideways in the mid range instead of making higher momentum highs
MACD compressed and flattened showing loss of directional strength
That same behavior is showing up again now. RSI is not expanding with price and MACD is compressing instead of pushing higher. This is typically what distribution looks like before direction is resolved.
This does not mean price must collapse immediately. It does mean upside is no longer being confirmed by momentum and risk is increasing at these levels.
For me this is an area to be cautious chasing longs and instead focus on reactions. Acceptance above the range with expanding RSI and MACD would invalidate this. Failure and rejection would confirm a topping process.
This is a conditions based thesis not a prediction.
Looking at a swing perhaps, if we can consolidate and head lower. Patience for the next few days.
Why Gold Respects Supply and Demand ZonesA Complete Price Action Guide for XAUUSD Traders
Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most technically respected markets in the financial world. Unlike many instruments that behave erratically, gold consistently reacts to supply and demand zones, making it ideal for price action and institutional trading strategies.
What Are Supply and Demand Zones?
Supply and demand zones are areas on the chart where large orders from institutions (banks, hedge funds, central banks) are placed.
Supply Zone: Area where strong selling pressure enters the market
Demand Zone: Area where aggressive buying absorbs selling pressure
These zones represent imbalances between buyers and sellers, not random lines.
Silver spot price versus the miners...The lag being experienced by the silver miners seems to be caused by market skepticism as to whether the meteoric rise in the price of silver is sustainable.
The miners will be reporting their 4Q25 earnings soon, which should be impressive given the rise in the spot price of silver for that quarter.
High‑Beta Silver Exposure – USAS Swing StructureAmericas Gold and Silver (USAS) operates silver‑focused assets like the Galena Complex in Idaho and the Cosalá operation in Mexico, with additional growth from the Crescent silver mine restart planned around mid‑2026. I’m treating this as a higher‑risk, higher‑reward silver stock, marking out major development milestones, expansion news, and deep weekly demand zones to capture explosive moves during strong silver cycles.
$OIH: The Gushing Cup (and handle) Oil Services 4-Year Breakout!🏗️🏗️🏗️🏗️🏗️
🐂 Fundamental Bull Thesis
Profitability is no longer just tied to spot oil prices, but to a structural deficit in global energy infrastructure.
Geopolitical Tailwinds: Supply constraints driven by geopolitical tensions and renewed U.S. intervention in regions like Venezuela are pushing demand for domestic service providers.
CapEx Supercycle: Large-cap producers are moving beyond "maintenance mode" and into high-spec drilling deployment to ensure long-term energy security.
Operational Efficiency: Top holdings like SLB and Baker Hughes are reporting strong earnings driven by new technology-integrated drilling solutions, allowing for higher margins even if oil prices stabilize.
Liquidity & Flows: Quantitative tightening ended in late 2025, and with the Fed shifting toward easing in early 2026, risk assets like high-beta energy services are seeing massive institutional inflows (+$213M for OIH in the last month).
#SLB Schlumberger N.V. 21.9%. Global leader in digital oilfield and subsea tech.
#BKR Baker Hughes Co. 12.4%. Focusing on LNG and low-carbon tech.
#HAL Halliburton Co. 7.9%. Dominates the North American pressure pumping market.
#FTI TechnipFMC PLC. 5.3%. Major player in offshore/subsea architecture.
#TS Tenaris S.A. 4.9%. Critical supplier of steel pipe (OCTG) for drilling.
#WFRD Weatherford International. 4.4%. Specialized in well construction and artificial lift.
#NE Noble Corp. PLC. 4.3%. High-spec offshore drilling contractor.
#LBRT Liberty Energy Inc. 3.3%. Leader in next-gen fracking and completion services.
SILVER BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 11,406.8
Target Level: 10,517.5
Stop Loss: 12,001.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Technical Outlook - Gold Buy Setup Targeting 5400Gold remains bullish after holding above the rising support line with a clear BOS confirming continuation strength. Price has broken and held above the 5275 showing strong buyer control. As long as gold stays above the 5110-5050 demand zone the upside structure remains valid with room for further extension toward high 5400+. only a decisive H4 close below 5110-5050 zone would signal deeper correction.
Fundamentally gold is supported by expectations of easier monetary policy later in 2026. Ongoing geopolitical tensions steady central bank gold buying and uncertainty around global growth continue to boost safe haven demand.
Any short term USD strength may cause pullbacks but overall fundamentals still favor gold on dips rather than aggressive selling.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 5200 – 5150
Buy Trigger: Strong bullish close above 5275 with continuation
Targets: 5275 → 5402 → 5455
Invalidation: H4 close below rising support
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
NZD/USD | Higher! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the daily chart of NZDUSD, it has been going up for some time now and sweeping the first Buyside Liquidity on its way, and I expect it to go for the 2 buyside liquidity ahead of it, as well as the bearish breaker there. It is currently being traded at 0.60320.
Targets for the time being are: 0.60400, 0.60500, 0.60600, 0.60700 and 0.60800.






















