Silver Price Outlook: H4 Technical Charts Point to Bearish MomenSilver prices are flashing early warning signs of weakness as the 4-hour (H4) technical charts reveal a shift in momentum. After weeks of choppy price action, the metal appears to be setting up for a potential downside move in the coming days. Here’s a detailed look at the key drivers and levels to watch.
Technical Picture: H4 Chart Breakdown
Trend Structure
Silver has slipped below its short-term ascending trendline, signaling a possible break in bullish momentum.
Recent candles show lower highs and lower lows, a classic indication of bearish pressure building.
Key Moving Averages
The 50-period EMA has crossed below the 100-period EMA, reinforcing a near-term bearish bias.
Price is also trading under the 21-period EMA, suggesting that sellers are in control.
Momentum Indicators
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending downward, currently hovering near the 40–45 zone—still above oversold territory, leaving room for further declines.
MACD histogram is widening on the negative side, with a fresh bearish crossover confirming selling momentum.
Commodities
UKOIL H4 | Potential bearish dropUKOIL has rejected the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 66.770, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 67.67, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 65.04, which is a multi swing low support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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GOLD only BullishIn my last gold post, I had updated a few psychological levels; today's trade is based on the simple breakout level of those psychological levels.
i have also marked how perfectly these levels are working.
Thank you for following me and showing support, hope you guys are learning from my post.
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP💡 EURUSD 2H Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play
After a strong bounce from demand, price is now retesting the supply zone around 1.1820 – 1.1840. Structure shows a possible distribution phase forming here, with sellers waiting to step back in.
🔽 Bearish Scenario
If rejection confirms, price could drop toward the demand zone at 1.1720 – 1.1740.
A clean break below 1.1720 would open deeper downside continuation.
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Buyers would need a strong breakout above 1.1840 supply to invalidate this bearish outlook and push toward higher levels.
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1820 | 1.1840
Support: 1.1760 | 1.1720
📊 Current structure favors short setups from supply, with confirmation entries being the safest.
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STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Following the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues to maintain a strong upward trend after breaking out of the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 area and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) is still sloping upwards, confirming that the main upward trend remains intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the most recent rise:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for a short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) aligns with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for growth.
Trading Scenario
Prioritize Buy following the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
Equinox Gold 4H Chart Outlook Bullish ImpulseHere is my current take on AMEX:EQX Equinox Gold Corp. The 4H chart shows an unfolding bullish impulse. I hold this stock and have added to this position numerous times as shown on the chart. As the outlook suggest we could see a pull back in green wave iv at some point, which could provide another potential point to add to the allocation once it has played out. It's correlation to gold hasn't been very strong recently, but that can always change, I'm of the opinion that gold is overdue a pull back, I have linked one potential outlook on OANDA:XAUUSD , I have some other variations which I will work to post out soon. so keeping a close eye on Gold at these levels. More comments on the chart.
Short Arabica Coffee🔍 Setup
Price is approaching a well‐defined supply/resistance zone (red area on chart). Historically this zone has acted as overhead resistance.
Below, there is a green demand/support zone which should act as target support area.
My target on the short is around 7.8% downside from entry, with stop loss placed just above the resistance zone / recent swing high to limit risk.
📊 Fundamental & Sentiment Background (COT & Others)
According to the latest COT report (as of 9 Sep 2025), commercial hedgers are significantly net short in Coffee C.
tradingster.com
However, speculators / non-commercials are heavily net long. This suggests that bullish momentum is still in force.
tradingster.com
Open interest is rising, showing participation in current levels. This makes the risk of a breakout (to the upside) real, if bulls hold control.
⚠️ Risks to this trade
Momentum from speculators could drive price through resistance, triggering stop losses and a strong short squeeze.
Any unexpected fundamental shock (weather, export disruption, currency devaluation, etc.) could reduce supply or boost demand, pushing prices higher.
If volume doesn’t drop on advance into resistance, the upward move may be stronger than anticipated.
✅ Conditions / Trigger For Entry
I will consider entering the short position once:
Price touches or re-tests the red supply zone.
There's a clear rejection (candlestick reversal pattern + bearish confirmation).
Momentum or RSI / MACD divergence is visible.
Speculator net longs show signs of plateauing or declining in the COT (next report).
🎯 Targets & Risk/Reward
Entry: around current price near supply, or after confirmed rejection.
Stop Loss: just above resistance / recent high.
Target: green demand/support zone (approx. 7-8% downside).
Risk-Reward Estimate: aiming for at least 1.5-2x potential reward vs. risk, ideally better.
🧐 My Edge vs What Could Go Wrong
My trading strategy gives me an average short profit of 7.8%, so this is in line with my risk appetite. The probability for a profitable trade for a short position is 75%. However, on average I will lose 12% on a losing short trade.
But I’m aware shorting commodities is riskier when there's strong bullish positioning (as is the case with speculators now).
I will monitor upcoming COT reports and fundamentals closely — if speculators increase longs again, I might bail earlier or tighten stops.
Conclusion: The COT data does not overwhelmingly confirm a short at this moment. It offers partial support via hedger short positions, but speculator long bias remains strong. If price shows a credible technical rejection in the supply zone and sentiment shows cracks, I believe this short has good risk/reward.
Cocoa Futures (ICE) – Long Trade Setup🍫 Cocoa Futures (ICE) – Long Trade Setup
Direction: Long Bias
Contract: Cocoa (NY / ICE)
Current Price: ~7,437
🔍 Technical Setup
Price has been consolidating after the sharp run-up and has now pulled back into a key long-term trendline (yellow support).
A downtrend channel breakout is forming – if price clears this, it opens the door to a relief rally.
I’m looking for price to push back toward the 8,500–9,000 zone as a first target (previous structure resistance).
EMA cross (9 vs 19) is flattening, signaling potential shift in momentum.
📊 COT & Sentiment
Speculators remain net long in cocoa, reflecting continued bullish sentiment.
Commercials (hedgers) are still short, but that’s typical for producers – nothing extreme.
Fundamentals remain tight:
Black pod disease in Cameroon hitting yields.
Stockpiles in London/NY at multi-year lows.
Consumer demand holding up despite high prices.
This alignment supports a bullish recovery if technicals confirm.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Current levels around 7,400–7,500, scaling in on confirmation.
Target 1: 8,500 (previous resistance zone).
Target 2: 9,000+ if momentum extends.
Stop Loss: Below 7,000 to protect against breakdown.
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 setup.
⚠️ Risks
Stronger-than-expected supply recovery in Ivory Coast/Ghana.
Weak grind demand data (sign of demand destruction).
Speculators cutting long positions aggressively.
✅ Conclusion
Cocoa has pulled back into long-term support, with positioning and fundamentals still supportive of higher prices. If the descending trendline breaks, I’m positioning for a long swing toward 8,500–9,000.
This cocoa strategy has a profitability rate of 66% and average 9.4% gain on a long position.
SILVER: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 43.945 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 44.526.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The bullish trend remains strong; look for opportunities to buy Gold fluctuated upward today, reaching a new high driven by multiple factors. It was originally expected that gold would retreat to near the inflection point and then rise, but unfortunately the market did not give it an opportunity and the bears had no choice but to stop their losses. From a technical perspective, the gold price stabilized above the MA5 moving average, the hourly moving average spread out upward in a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger Bands opened upward, indicating that the market bulls have completely dominated. Gold is currently retreating. The top and bottom conversion position below 3710-3700 is being watched in the NY market. If the support level is not broken after a pullback, we can consider going long on gold, with the target at 3730-3750.
The latest analysis and trading layout of gold in the evening#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The bulls have completely dominated the current market, and it is relatively difficult to participate in trading at the current point. The prudent approach is to wait for gold to fall back to the lower support before going long on gold. The first point to pay attention to is the previous top and bottom conversion area of 3710-3700. If it falls back but does not break through, you can try to go long on gold. Target price: 3730-3750.
📈 Long
🚀 BUY 3710-3700
🚀 TP 3730-3750
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 22Spot gold surged sharply in Asian trading, rising $20 to a new all-time high. Gold prices continued their upward trend from last Friday, now trading near 3725. Global financial markets are poised for a wave of policy speeches following the end of the Federal Reserve's quiet period. FOMC voting members' frequent statements are a key focus, and gold's upward momentum is expected to strengthen as Fed members explain the reasons behind their rate cut votes.
Technically, gold bulls show no signs of weakening and maintain their rebounding momentum. The weekly chart is trending higher, and the overall trend remains above the previous upward trend channel. Therefore, the bullish outlook remains strong, and a bullish outlook remains the primary strategy. The 4-hour chart shows signs of continued upward movement in the short term. The NY market is focusing on potential resistance in the 3732-3742 range above, and support in the 3700-3693 range below. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 3685! I recommend buying on dips.
Potential Buying Range:
Buy: 3703-3700
Buy: 3686-3690
XAUUSD GOLD RESISTANCE AND SUPPORT READ CAPTIONHi trader's what do you think about gold
Gold market is currently trading above the support level 3702 and holding the demand zone around 3682. This area has acted as a base for buyers to push the market upward.
On the upside, immediate resistance is at 3727, and a stronger resistance zone is placed near 3736. If price struggles here, rejection is possible. However, if momentum stays strong, these levels will decide the next move.
📌 Summary:
Support Levels: 3702, 3682 (demand)
Resistance Levels: 3727, 3736
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XAU reverse soon On w1 chart I see the potential divergence , same on D1 chart.
I admit that we are at extreme values. If we start to correct soon, I will consider it the beginning of a bear market for gold. I assume that we are just starting to accelerate and the RSI indicator will overheat much more, and we will see 4300-4500 for gold.
GOLD COME BACK BULLISH TREND AND HIT ZONE 3700 - 3705 ☄️ Gold Market Outlook 09/22 (Based on SMC) ☄️
📊Market Structure
🔤The overall structure is bullish after multiple bullish BOS.
🔤Every pullback has been absorbed at FVG demand zones, confirming strong buyer control.
🔤Current price is around 3692 after a fresh BOS, showing Smart Money is still pushing higher.
💡 Trade Plan
🔼Scenario 1 – Continuation Buy (Main Plan)
Entry Condition: Price retests 3685 – 3688 or 3675 – 3680 with a bullish CHoCH confirmation on M5/M15.
Reasoning: Overall bullish trend, demand zones consistently defended by Smart Money.
Entry: Buy at 3685-3688 or 3675-3680.
🔽Scenario 2 – Short-term Sell (Counter-trend)
Entry Condition: Price taps into 3700 – 3705 and shows bearish CHoCH on lower timeframes.
Reasoning: Supply zone + psychological resistance likely to trigger profit-taking.
Entry: 3702 – 3705.
🔼Scenario 3 – Breakout Buy (Confirming Buyer Strength)
Entry Condition: H1/H4 candle closes above 3705 with strong volume.
Reasoning: Clear breakout from key resistance + new bullish BOS confirmation.
Entry: Buy after a retest of 3700 – 3705.
➡️ Focus on buy setups (Scenarios 1 & 3) in line with the bullish trend.
The sell scenario is only valid for short-term scalping.
DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios💡 DXY 4H Outlook – Key Levels & Potential Scenarios
Price is currently testing an important supply zone (97.7 – 98.0) after showing a strong recovery. From here, I’m watching two possible outcomes:
🔼 Bullish Scenario
If buyers manage to hold above the 97.7 – 98.0 supply zone, we could see continuation toward the next major resistance between 98.2 – 98.6.
Break & retest of 98.0 would be a strong confirmation for buyers.
🔽 Bearish Scenario
If the 97.7 – 98.0 area rejects strongly, price could reverse back down toward the demand zone (96.4 – 96.6) for liquidity grab.
This zone has previously acted as a strong reaction point.
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 98.0 | 98.2 | 98.6
Support: 97.4 | 96.6
📊 This setup gives both bulls and bears opportunities depending on how price reacts at these zones.
✅ If you enjoy this type of analysis, make sure to follow me so you don’t miss the next updates.
💼 For those who want account management services (personal or funded accounts), feel free to reach out – I can help you grow consistently with risk management and proven strategies.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Outlook
Good day Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session by holding its structure firmly. The 3708 level will act as the pivotal price marker for today:
A sustained break above this resistance would open the way towards 3750, with potential extension to 3780.
Conversely, failure to overcome 3708 and a rejection at this level could trigger a retracement, with 3650 – or even the 355x region – serving as key buying areas.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s corrective move was largely driven by comments from the Federal Reserve Chair regarding interest rate policy. The Fed is reluctant to implement multiple rate cuts, and this week’s PCE data will be critical in shaping expectations.
Trading Scenarios for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
Stop-loss: 3645
Targets: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
Stop-loss: 3708
Targets: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
Stop-loss: 3746
Targets: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Conclusion
For today, the preferred bias remains to buy on dips in line with the broader uptrend, while carefully monitoring reactions at the outlined key levels.
Follow me to receive timely updates as soon as price structure changes.
WTI(20250922)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
Federal Reserve Board Governor Milan: Expects continued rate cuts in the coming months and will work to convince other policymakers to cut more quickly; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: Two more rate cuts this year would be appropriate.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
62.58
Support and Resistance Levels:
63.70
63.28
63.01
62.15
61.87
61.45
Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 62.58, consider buying, with the first target at 63.01.
If the market breaks below 62.15, consider selling, with the first target at 61.87
Silver is in the Bullish trend after testing ResistanceHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Moving to the Day's resistanceDaily (D1)
The overall trend is clearly bullish. There has been an upside breakout on the daily timeframe, which could potentially mark the end of wave 3. Price is now consolidating in what looks like a sideways correction, likely forming wave 4.
H1
Price has rebounded from the daily support (lower range of the sideways zone). As long as the short-term uptrend on H1 holds, price should be able to test the upper boundary of the range without much difficulty.
m15
Not the best setup for buying at the moment, since price is already close to the daily range resistance. A valid buy could be considered only if a breakout occurs followed by a retracement with a favorable risk–reward setup.
For selling, it’s better to wait until a clear downtrend structure forms rather than attempting to counter-trade prematurely.
Summary
Price is moving within a range until either a breakout or a clearer correction structure develops. Possible approaches are:
Trade the range (buy near the lower boundary, sell near the upper boundary).
Or wait for a breakout and confirmation of continuation before entering.