USOIL M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 61.202
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 60.900
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 61.660
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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Commodities
XAUUSD H1 – Detailed Market Structure AnalysisGold is currently trading at all-time highs, confirming a strong impulsive bullish trend on the H1 timeframe. The rally into ATH was fast and decisive, leaving behind a clear price imbalance (GAP) around the 4,990–5,010 region, which is a classic sign of aggressive institutional participation rather than exhaustion. This type of expansion typically does not reverse immediately; instead, the market pauses to rebalance liquidity before continuation.
From a structural perspective, the previous demand zone near ~4,900 acted as a successful launchpad, producing a clean continuation leg and validating buyers’ control. The EMA 98 is trending upward and remains well below price, reinforcing that the current move is still in a markup phase, not late distribution. Importantly, there is no confirmed lower high or bearish structure break at this stage.
The most probable path forward is a corrective pullback into the GAP zone, where price can mitigate inefficiency and absorb resting buy orders. As long as this gap holds and price does not accept below it, any retracement should be treated as bullish consolidation, not weakness. Following stabilization inside or above the gap, the structure favors a renewed expansion toward the next upside objective around 5,110–5,140, extending beyond current ATH levels.
Invalidation only appears if price loses the GAP and breaks decisively below the demand zone, which would signal momentum failure. Until that occurs, the dominant narrative remains unchanged: Gold is trending, pullbacks are corrective, and the path of least resistance is higher.
Bullish bounce off?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 58.72
1st Support: 56.92
1st Resistance: 62.33
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Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall towards the pivot, then bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,864.86
1st Support: 4,690.83
1st Resistance: 5,111.04
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Ending bullish GOLD trend ..?! Extended Wave3 doneDue to the chart and as Elliott waves we are in extended w3. It could be done at 3.618 but didn’t!
In my opinion this extended wave will finishes at 5840$= 4.618 .
All indicators and oscillators are overbought!
Gold really exploded,the first title of all news is new highs of gold and all this are Elliot w3 (the biggest sharp wave) properties.
I hope all u good!
Gold-XAU: Watching for deeper correctio after strong expansionFollowing gold’s strong advance from the 2500 area (2024), current price behavior suggests the possibility of a deeper corrective move toward the 5420–5450 range, potentially around a 600-point correction.
Price reaction in this zone will be key.
Lets see
Why Gold Respects Supply and Demand ZonesA Complete Price Action Guide for XAUUSD Traders
Gold (XAUUSD) is one of the most technically respected markets in the financial world. Unlike many instruments that behave erratically, gold consistently reacts to supply and demand zones, making it ideal for price action and institutional trading strategies.
What Are Supply and Demand Zones?
Supply and demand zones are areas on the chart where large orders from institutions (banks, hedge funds, central banks) are placed.
Supply Zone: Area where strong selling pressure enters the market
Demand Zone: Area where aggressive buying absorbs selling pressure
These zones represent imbalances between buyers and sellers, not random lines.
Silver spot price versus the miners...The lag being experienced by the silver miners seems to be caused by market skepticism as to whether the meteoric rise in the price of silver is sustainable.
The miners will be reporting their 4Q25 earnings soon, which should be impressive given the rise in the spot price of silver for that quarter.
High‑Beta Silver Exposure – USAS Swing StructureAmericas Gold and Silver (USAS) operates silver‑focused assets like the Galena Complex in Idaho and the Cosalá operation in Mexico, with additional growth from the Crescent silver mine restart planned around mid‑2026. I’m treating this as a higher‑risk, higher‑reward silver stock, marking out major development milestones, expansion news, and deep weekly demand zones to capture explosive moves during strong silver cycles.
$OIH: The Gushing Cup (and handle) Oil Services 4-Year Breakout!🏗️🏗️🏗️🏗️🏗️
🐂 Fundamental Bull Thesis
Profitability is no longer just tied to spot oil prices, but to a structural deficit in global energy infrastructure.
Geopolitical Tailwinds: Supply constraints driven by geopolitical tensions and renewed U.S. intervention in regions like Venezuela are pushing demand for domestic service providers.
CapEx Supercycle: Large-cap producers are moving beyond "maintenance mode" and into high-spec drilling deployment to ensure long-term energy security.
Operational Efficiency: Top holdings like SLB and Baker Hughes are reporting strong earnings driven by new technology-integrated drilling solutions, allowing for higher margins even if oil prices stabilize.
Liquidity & Flows: Quantitative tightening ended in late 2025, and with the Fed shifting toward easing in early 2026, risk assets like high-beta energy services are seeing massive institutional inflows (+$213M for OIH in the last month).
#SLB Schlumberger N.V. 21.9%. Global leader in digital oilfield and subsea tech.
#BKR Baker Hughes Co. 12.4%. Focusing on LNG and low-carbon tech.
#HAL Halliburton Co. 7.9%. Dominates the North American pressure pumping market.
#FTI TechnipFMC PLC. 5.3%. Major player in offshore/subsea architecture.
#TS Tenaris S.A. 4.9%. Critical supplier of steel pipe (OCTG) for drilling.
#WFRD Weatherford International. 4.4%. Specialized in well construction and artificial lift.
#NE Noble Corp. PLC. 4.3%. High-spec offshore drilling contractor.
#LBRT Liberty Energy Inc. 3.3%. Leader in next-gen fracking and completion services.
SILVER BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 11,406.8
Target Level: 10,517.5
Stop Loss: 12,001.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Technical Outlook - Gold Buy Setup Targeting 5400Gold remains bullish after holding above the rising support line with a clear BOS confirming continuation strength. Price has broken and held above the 5275 showing strong buyer control. As long as gold stays above the 5110-5050 demand zone the upside structure remains valid with room for further extension toward high 5400+. only a decisive H4 close below 5110-5050 zone would signal deeper correction.
Fundamentally gold is supported by expectations of easier monetary policy later in 2026. Ongoing geopolitical tensions steady central bank gold buying and uncertainty around global growth continue to boost safe haven demand.
Any short term USD strength may cause pullbacks but overall fundamentals still favor gold on dips rather than aggressive selling.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 5200 – 5150
Buy Trigger: Strong bullish close above 5275 with continuation
Targets: 5275 → 5402 → 5455
Invalidation: H4 close below rising support
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
NZD/USD | Higher! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the daily chart of NZDUSD, it has been going up for some time now and sweeping the first Buyside Liquidity on its way, and I expect it to go for the 2 buyside liquidity ahead of it, as well as the bearish breaker there. It is currently being traded at 0.60320.
Targets for the time being are: 0.60400, 0.60500, 0.60600, 0.60700 and 0.60800.
Gold Is Not Reversing — This Is the Setup Traders Wait ForHello, I’m Amelia.
Looking closely at the H1 chart, gold is continuing to trade inside a well-defined ascending channel, and the overall structure remains clearly bullish. Price has just completed a strong impulsive leg to the upside and is now trading close to the upper half of the channel. This kind of price behavior tells me one thing very clearly: the trend is still strong, but momentum has temporarily run ahead of its short-term support. In these conditions, the market rarely moves in a straight line — a controlled pullback is often needed to rebuild buying strength before the next advance.
From a fundamental standpoint, the move higher is well supported. According to the latest market focus on Forex Factory, traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming US data and further guidance from the Federal Reserve. While some Fed officials continue to push back against aggressive rate-cut expectations, the broader narrative remains one of policy uncertainty and fragile confidence in the US Dollar. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical risks and persistent demand for safe-haven assets continue to underpin gold, as highlighted across major outlets such as Bloomberg and Reuters. This creates an environment where gold does not need aggressive bullish news to rise — it only needs the absence of a strong bearish catalyst.
The zone I am watching most closely sits around 5,200–5,180. In momentum-driven uptrends like this, the market often follows a familiar rhythm: a sharp expansion higher, followed by a pullback toward dynamic support — typically the midline of the channel or a prior demand area — and then a decision point. If price pulls back into this zone and buyers defend it convincingly, the bullish structure remains clean and intact. Under that scenario, I would expect gold to resume its upward path and challenge the 5,300 area, which stands out as the next psychological and technical objective.
At this stage, I see no technical or fundamental evidence of a trend reversal. Any short-term weakness should be treated as corrective rather than distributive. For me, the priority remains patience — allowing price to come back to value before aligning with the dominant flow.
Wishing you disciplined execution and successful trading.
Gold Pullback or Extension? Smart Money Sets the Trap Near HighsXAUUSD | Daily Smart Money Plan – H1
Gold keeps its bullish structure intact after a strong impulsive leg, but the current price action shows hesitation just below the recent highs. After a clean BOS and aggressive expansion, price is now trading in premium, where buy-side liquidity has already been delivered. The chart suggests Smart Money is no longer chasing higher prices, but managing positions through rotation.
Macro backdrop today remains hot:
Markets are digesting fresh volatility around U.S. data expectations, shifting Fed rate-cut timing, and persistent geopolitical tension. These factors continue to support gold as a safe haven, but intraday execution shows rebalancing behavior, not blind continuation. Headlines may move price fast — liquidity decides where it settles.
Rather than exploding higher, price pulled back from the highs and left a clear imbalance (FVG) below, signaling unfinished business before any sustained continuation.
Market Structure & Liquidity Context
Higher-timeframe bias remains bullish
Strong bullish BOS confirms trend strength
Short-term pullback forms after liquidity delivery at highs
Clear H1 imbalance + buy zone below current price
Market logic favors premium → discount → continuation
➡️ News creates volatility, but Smart Money seeks efficiency
Key Trading Scenarios
🔴 Sell Reaction at Premium (Short-term rotation)
Zone: 5,265 – 5,275
SL: Above 5,300
Confluence:
Buy-side liquidity already tapped
Momentum slows near highs
Rejection here favors a dip into imbalance before continuation
🟢 Buy Reaction at Discount (Primary Long Setup)
Zone: 5,170 – 5,168
SL: 5,160
Confluence:
H1 imbalance mitigation
Prior structure support
Ideal Smart Money reload zone after pullback
🟢 Continuation Target
Upside Objective: 5,300 – 5,310
Next external liquidity pool
Target only valid after discount reaction + confirmation
Invalidation
Strong H1 acceptance above 5,300 without mitigation
Would signal direct continuation, skipping deeper rebalance
Expectation & Bias
This is not a FOMO breakout environment
Liquidity comes before direction
Rejection = rotation
Acceptance = continuation
Execution > Prediction
💬 Will gold respect the H1 imbalance near 5,170 before attacking 5,300 — or will Smart Money surprise with direct acceptance at the highs?
It’s Consolidating Strength for the Next DecisionHello traders,
Gold remains firmly embedded within a well-defined ascending channel, with price currently trading near five thousand two hundred eighty after a sharp impulsive advance. The recent expansion leg was clean and directional, signaling strong initiative buying rather than short-term speculation. Importantly, price has stayed above the rising channel support, preserving the broader bullish structure.
The highlighted demand zone near five thousand continues to act as the technical anchor of this move. Previous reactions from this area were swift and constructive, reinforcing the view that pullbacks into this zone are structural retests, not signs of distribution. As long as price remains above this demand, downside movement should be viewed as corrective consolidation rather than trend failure.
From a structural perspective, the path of least resistance still points higher. However, the market is entering a phase where tempo matters more than direction. Rather than pushing vertically into new highs, price is more likely to rotate within the channel, allowing momentum to reset before the next attempt toward the all-time high region near five thousand four hundred. This behavior would align with healthy trend mechanics, not exhaustion.
Invalidation remains clear and objective. A sustained break below the demand zone and channel support would challenge the current bullish bias and force a reassessment of the broader structure. Until that occurs, the trend remains supported and intact.
Gold is not in a rush it is positioning. Let structure lead, and let price confirm.
Gold Has Completed the Markup — What Happens Next Hello traders,
Gold is currently trading near five thousand two hundred seventy, following a strong impulsive advance that emerged cleanly from a well-defined Wyckoff accumulation range. The prior consolidation phase did its job absorbing supply, compressing volatility, and building the cause required for expansion. Once price exited that range, the resulting markup leg was decisive and impulsive, confirming that control shifted firmly to the demand side.
At this stage, price behavior is transitioning from markup into a higher-timeframe decision zone. The projected structure on the chart highlights a potential distribution range forming near the upper boundary of the advance. This does not imply immediate bearish intent. Instead, it reflects a typical market process: strong trends often pause near highs as liquidity builds and participation is rebalanced. Sideways or overlapping price action in this region would be consistent with absorption and positioning, not weakness.
From a structural perspective, the bullish case remains intact as long as price holds above the prior breakout and does not re-enter the accumulation range. Pullbacks that remain corrective and fail to show expanding downside momentum would favor continued structural health. Only a sustained breakdown below the prior support would open the door for a deeper markdown phase, as outlined in the alternative path on the chart.
In short, gold has already proven strength through structure and follow-through. What matters now is behavior, not prediction. Whether this resolves into continuation after consolidation or transitions into distribution will be revealed by how price reacts around current highs.
Markup is complete. Structure is intact. Let the market reveal its intent.
What do you think about XAUUSD?? Sharing your thoughts in the comment
West Texas Oil (WTI)Those who follow my work know that we have shorted oil multiple times and successfully built profits.
In my previous post, I clearly mentioned the final short target, and price reached it perfectly.
🔁 Now the situation has changed, and I see a buying opportunity on the
chart.
We are traders —
we build profits from opportunities, not from bias.
I entered a long position at lower levels, and in my view, this area still offers a valid buying opportunity.
As I always say:
I’m not a political analyst, not an oil analyst, and not an OPEC member.
I’m simply a trader who follows a clear rule:
Price reaches my level and gives a signal → I buy
The level breaks and gives the opposite signal → I sell
📉📈 I don’t care whether the market goes up or down.
There is no bias here.
An opportunity is identified, execution is done,
and the rest is up to the market.
❗️Never try to stand in front of the market
and tell it where it should go because of a trendline
or an indicator.
The market moves ruthlessly in its own direction —
and if you fight it, you’ll only be left watching.
🎯 Real trading skill is finding a way to move with the market,
even when it doesn’t agree with you.
🌹 Stay safe & stay profitable
XAU/USD | Going strong! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the Hourly chart of Gold, we can see that Gold has been on bullish run and still shows no evidence of slowing down or for a reversal. I expect a little bit of correction before going for the next targets.
For the time being, the targets are: 5111, 5141, 5171 and 5200.






















