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EUR/USD | Where will it go? (READ THE CAPTION)Hello folks, Amirali here. By examining the hourly chart of EURUSD, we can see that after hitting the low of the NDOG twice, it is consolidating above the NDOG high at 1.19700. I would like to see EURUSD hit the NDOG once again, and after seeing the reaction there, we'll make a move. If it fails to stay above the NDOG, I'd like it to go lower to the C.E. of the wick and then going back up. Bullish targets: 1.19750, 1.19900 and 1.20050. Bearish targets: 1.19500, 1.19420 and 1.19340.
by AmirAliTrading
1
Gold at ATH — Consolidation Before Expansion?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading near $5,539, following a powerful impulsive rally that pushed price into the all time high resistance zone around $5,590–$5,600. The breakout into this region was aggressive and initiative-driven, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control of the broader bullish structure. However, after such a vertical move, the market has naturally transitioned into a pause-and-digest phase rather than immediate continuation. Price is now rotating below the ATH area, with behavior shifting from expansion to short-term consolidation. This reaction is technically healthy. Strong trends do not move in straight lines — they pause near highs as liquidity builds and positions are rebalanced. The visible rejection from the resistance zone reflects profit-taking, not structural failure. On the downside, the gap and support zone around $5,420–$5,450 stands out as the first key technical area to monitor. A controlled pullback into this zone would allow momentum to reset while preserving the higher-low structure. As long as price holds above this level, downside movement should be viewed as corrective digestion, not a trend reversal. Structurally, the bullish bias remains intact above the broader support zone near $5,270–$5,300, which marks the base of the recent expansion leg. Only a decisive breakdown below this area would invalidate the current structure and shift focus toward a deeper consolidation phase. On the upside, sustained acceptance back above $5,600 would confirm that consolidation has completed and open the path toward a new expansion into the $5,680–$5,720 region, where price discovery may again slow. For now, gold is not rejecting higher prices it is absorbing them. ATH tested. Structure intact. Let price behavior at support decide the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
Gold Near 5600: Pullback to 5300 Before Next Liquidity Run AheadXAUUSD | Intraday Smart Money Plan – H1 Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean upside expansion and BOS on H1. Price recently rallied into the 5,550–5,600 region, where momentum started to slow and candles showed hesitation. This typically signals liquidity delivery at highs rather than fresh institutional buying. From an SMC perspective, price is deep in premium. Smart Money often uses these conditions to distribute and rebalance before deciding on continuation. The chart shows a clear H1 imbalance (FVG) and a defined buy zone below, suggesting unfinished business on the downside before any sustainable push higher. Hot Macro Drivers Today Gold remains highly reactive to: • Ongoing Fed rate-path uncertainty and rate-cut timing debate • Mixed U.S. data creating USD volatility • Persistent geopolitical risks supporting safe-haven flows These themes keep the higher-timeframe bias bullish, but intraday flows show rotation and liquidity engineering rather than straight-line continuation. Market Structure & Liquidity • H1 structure bullish with confirmed BOS • Liquidity swept near recent highs • Clear FVG left below current price • Defined demand zone around 5,302–5,300 • Logic: Premium distribution → Discount reload → Potential continuation Smart Money seeks efficient pricing, not emotional breakouts. Key Trading Scenarios 🔴 Premium Sell Reaction (Short-term) Zone: 5,600–5,602 SL: 5,610 Confluence: • Psychological 5,600 handle • Prior liquidity objective • Slowing momentum near highs Expectation: rejection here can drive price into FVG / buy zone. 🟢 Discount Buy Reaction (Primary Setup) Zone: 5,302–5,300 SL: 5,290 Confluence: • H1 demand + prior structure • Liquidity sweep potential • Ideal Smart Money reload area Buy only after bullish confirmation on lower timeframes. 🟢 Continuation Targets Upside: 5,600 → 5,630 external liquidity Valid after a proper discount reaction and shift in order flow. Invalidation Strong H1 acceptance and hold above 5,610 → Signals direct continuation without deeper pullback. Expectation & Bias • Not a FOMO environment • Liquidity comes before direction • Rejection = rotation • Acceptance = continuation • Execution > prediction Gold is at a decision point: Will price mitigate the H1 imbalance and tap 5,300 liquidity first — or accept above 5,600 and run external liquidity?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wendy_Grace
Gold Just Printed a Buying Climax at All-Time High — Distributio📊Technical Analysis (XAUUSD – 1H) Gold has just completed a textbook Wyckoff cycle into a new all-time high, and the structure now suggests the market is transitioning from Markup into Distribution, not continuation. The impulsive rally from the demand zone / gap around 5,000 was clean and aggressive, confirming strong institutional accumulation. Price then performed a clear Jump Across the Creek (JAC), followed by a successful test, validating the breakout and triggering the final markup phase. However, as price reached the 5,580 – 5,600 area, we saw signs of Buying Climax (BC): - Large bullish candles - Expansion into fresh highs - Immediate loss of momentum after ATH - Tight overlapping candles near the top This is not consolidation for continuation, it is distribution behavior. 🧠 Wyckoff Logic Breakdown Phase A–B: Accumulation - Long base built between ~5,020 – 5,120 - Absorption of supply - Volume compression Phase C–D: Markup - Clean breakout + JAC - Strong impulsive candles - No deep pullbacks - Momentum-driven advance Phase E: Distribution (Current) - Buying climax at ATH - Sideways range with volatility - Smart money selling into strength - Retail chasing highs The market is now deciding whether this range resolves into continuation or markdown and current structure favors distribution → markdown. 🟥 Supply, Demand & Key Levels 🔴 Supply / Distribution Zone - $5,560 – $5,600 - Repeated rejection wicks - Failed continuation attempts 🟢 Demand / Liquidity Magnet - $5,420 – $5,400 (first reaction level) - $5,300 – $5,250 (range low / breakdown target) - $5,000 – $5,050 (major demand zone & gap fill) 📉 Probable Scenarios 🔴 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) - Failure to reclaim and hold above 5,560 - Breakdown below 5,420 - Acceptance below distribution range - Price accelerates into markdown, targeting prior demand and gap 🟢 Bullish Invalidation - Strong impulsive break and acceptance above 5,600 - Follow-through with volume - No upper wicks / no rejection - Only then continuation toward higher expansion Until that happens, bullish continuation is NOT confirmed. 🌍 Macro Context - Gold has already priced in geopolitical risk, rate uncertainty, and USD weakness - Late-stage buyers are entering after an extended rally - Institutions typically distribute at ATH, not accumulate - Liquidity above highs has been cleared — next target is below This is classic “buy the rumor, sell the peak” behavior. ✅ Trader’s Conclusion Gold is not weak it is late. After a full Wyckoff markup into ATH, the market is showing distribution mechanics, not trend continuation. Until price reclaims ATH with strength, rallies are distribution not opportunity. Let liquidity decide. Let structure confirm.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
Cotton Market Analysis Using Dynamic Support Zones📊 COTTON FUTURES (CT) - BULLISH DAY/SWING TRADE SETUP 🎯 Commodities CFD Market Wealth Strategy Map 🚀 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Current Price Level: $0.6385-$0.6455/LBS | Real-Time Status: Trading in 64-65 cents/lb consolidation zone (as of Jan 28, 2026) This setup activates a Bullish Retest Strategy using Simple Moving Average (SMA) as a dynamic support/resistance framework. Perfect for Day Traders & Swing Traders seeking controlled risk-reward entries with technical precision. 💪 📈 SETUP DETAILS TRADING STRATEGY: Bullish Plan Activated 🔥 Method: Simple Moving Average (SMA) Retest + Multi-Level Entry Approach Direction: LONG Position Setup Timeframe: 4H/Daily | Risk Level: Moderate 💰 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF TRADER" MULTI-LAYER APPROACH Smart Limit Order Entry Levels (DCA - Dollar Cost Averaging): Entry Level 1: $62.80/LBS → First Position (30% of capital) Entry Level 2: $63.00/LBS → Second Position (30% of capital) Entry Level 3: $63.30/LBS → Third Position (25% of capital) Entry Level 4: $63.60/LBS → Final Position (15% of capital) WHY THIS WORKS? 🧠 Multi-tier limit entries eliminate FOMO, reduce slippage risk, and provide better average entry pricing. This is the professional trader's secret—patience beats aggression every time. Let the market come to YOU, not the other way around! ⚡ Pro Tip: DON'T chase market orders. Set your limits and monitor. Thief traders WAIT for the prey to step into the trap. 🎣 🎯 TAKE PROFIT TARGETS Primary Target: $64.60/LBS ✅ Rationale: SMA 50 acts as a strong resistance + policing zone. This is where overbought conditions typically trigger corrections. Historical data shows this zone catches profit-takers perfectly. Secondary Targets (Pyramid Scaling): TP Level 1: $64.20/LBS → Exit 40% position (lock in quick wins) TP Level 2: $64.60/LBS → Exit 35% position (primary resistance zone) TP Level 3: $65.00/LBS → Exit 25% position (extended rally - if momentum sustains) IMPORTANT NOTICE: 🔔 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this is NOT a recommendation to use ONLY my TP levels. Your risk tolerance, account size, and market conditions may differ. Make your own decisions. Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. This is YOUR money—YOUR responsibility. The market respects discipline, not wishful thinking. 💯 🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT Primary Stop Loss: $62.40/LBS (Hard Stop) Reasoning: Below this level, the bearish breakdown becomes structural. Your risk = $0.25/LBS per contract Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.04 minimum (conservative) to 1:2.56 maximum (with pyramid targets) CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: ⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), I'm NOT recommending you set your SL only at my level. This is YOUR trade, YOUR account. Set stops based on your pain tolerance and position sizing. Position sizing beats stop loss placement—if your position is too big, NO stop loss will save you. Trade smart. 🎯 📊 FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS & MARKET DYNAMICS (Jan 2026) SUPPLY-SIDE FACTORS: ✅ Global Production Growth: World cotton production 2025/26 = 119.4 million bales (largest in 8 years, up 950k bales YoY) U.S. production: 13.9 million bales (down 13.2% YoY due to production challenges) China leads global production at 29% of world supply ⚠️ Supply Challenges: Brazil: Cotton output ↓ ~10% in 2025/26 (declining yields & acreage) Australia: Expected ↓ 22-23% acreage (water scarcity + low prices) U.S. export sales lag previous years by 15% (as of Jan 1, 2026) ✅ Supporting Supply Factor: India's Cotton Association raised 2025/26 estimate by 2.5% to 317 lakh bales (higher Maharashtra, Telangana production) Approaching U.S. winter storms could create supply disruptions 🌨️ DEMAND-SIDE FACTORS: 📈 Export Activity: USDA reported 412,457 RB cotton sold in week ending Jan 15 (marketing year HIGH) 21% increase from previous week | Notable rise vs. 4-week average U.S. exports forecast at 12.2 million bales 2025/26 (↑300k bales YoY) ✅ Global Mill Use: World mill use remains 118.9 million bales (stable from 2024/25) Emerging demand from Vietnam, Bangladesh, Turkey offsetting losses elsewhere ⚡ Key Trade Policy Risk: India raised Minimum Support Price (MSP) by 8% for 2025/26 (above expected 3-4%) China's Target-Price Support at 18,600 RMB/ton since 2017/18 (backing support) U.S.-China trade tensions remain a pricing wildcard 🃏 MACRO FACTORS: 💵 USD Impact: Weaker dollar = cotton support (CFD pricing) 📉 Stock Market Correlation: S&P 500 shows 0.36-0.69 correlation with cotton (demand proxy) 🌍 Global Economic Uncertainty: Trade policy shifts + tariff concerns = continued volatility 📊 Inventory Levels: World cotton stocks estimated at 74.5 million bales (stable, slight increase) 🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (CORRELATION WATCH) Chinese Cotton Futures (ZCE May) 🇨🇳 — Positive Correlation (0.75+) Price discovery leader. Watch for ZCE breakouts before CT follows. 📈 US Dollar Index (DXY) 💵 — Negative Correlation (-0.60) Weak dollar = Cotton support. Strong dollar = Cotton pressure. Inverse relationship. 🔄 S&P 500 Futures (ES) 📊 — Moderate Correlation (0.55) Risk appetite meter. Strong ES = demand weakness. Market downturn = commodity weakness. ⬇️ Crude Oil WTI (CL) ⛽ — Moderate Correlation (0.45) Energy costs affect cotton production/shipping. Rising oil = margin squeeze. ⬆️ Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) 🇦🇺 — Supply Proxy (-0.50) AUD weakness = cheaper Australian cotton exports (more supply pressure). 📉 Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) 🇧🇷 — Export Competitiveness (-0.48) BRL weakness = Brazilian cotton more competitive in global markets. Watch for export surges. 📤 🎯 Daily Monitoring: Focus on DXY + ZCE. A 2-3% move in either = 0.5-1 cent swing in CT price! Track these religiously. ⚡ 📅 UPCOMING NEWS & ECONOMIC CATALYSTS IMMEDIATE (Feb 2026): ⏰ USDA Weekly Export Sales Report (Every Thu) — Watch for demand signals 🌍 U.S.-China Trade Policy Updates — Critical for export margins 🌤️ U.S. Winter Weather Forecasts — Southern cotton belt risk assessment 📊 COT (Commitment of Traders) Report — Spec positioning (Fridays) MEDIUM-TERM (Feb-Mar 2026): 📈 USDA WASDE Reports — March planting intentions for 2026/27 crop 🚜 Spring Planting Season — Acreage decisions = major volatility catalyst 🇮🇳 India Monsoon Watch — Early rain forecasts affect yields 🇧🇷 Brazilian Harvest Updates — Quality/yield reports as harvest begins KEY WATCH-LIST: Global trade agreement announcements (could trigger 1-2 cent moves) Weather events in major producing regions (U.S., Australia, India) China policy shifts on cotton reserves/tariffs Any major bankruptcy/default in cotton ginning operations 💪 THIEF TRADER MINDSET & MOTIVATION Golden Rules for This Trade: 🎯 Rule #1: Patience is Wealth "Don't chase. Let the market come to YOUR levels. A thief waits for the perfect moment—that's why they never miss." 💰 Rule #2: Position Size > Stop Loss "If your position is too big, no stop loss saves you. Trade what you can afford to lose 3 times." 🔥 Rule #3: Take Profits Like a Pro "Greed buries traders. Take your wins at TP1 and let the rest ride risk-free. Professionals pyramid OUT, not into losses." ⚡ Rule #4: Risk Management is Non-Negotiable "Your account is your temple. Protect it like your life depends on it. Because it does." 🎲 Rule #5: Emotions = Death in Trading "Fear and greed are your worst enemies. Trade your PLAN, not your feelings. Stick to the script or go home." 📱 MOTIVATIONAL CLOSE "Every trade is a test of character. Will you discipline yourself to wait for the perfect setup? Or will you chase like amateurs? Thief traders NEVER chase. We HUNT with precision." 🎯💪 "Cotton $64.60 isn't just a price—it's a promise. The question is: Will you have the courage to hold until you reach it? Or will fear stop you short?" 🚀 "Remember: Making money in trading is 10% strategy, 90% psychology. Master your mind, master the markets." 🧠✨ ⚖️ FINAL RISK DISCLAIMERS 🔴 CRITICAL: This analysis is EDUCATIONAL ONLY. Not financial advice. Not a recommendation to trade. CFD Trading Risk: 71% of retail CFD accounts LOSE money Leverage Risk: CFDs use leverage—you can lose MORE than your deposit Market Risk: Commodity prices are highly volatile; positions can move against you rapidly Slippage Risk: Real-time execution may differ from chart analysis Geopolitical Risk: Trade policy shifts can trigger gap moves YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN TRADES. DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE. 💯 📌 SETUP SUMMARY CHECKLIST ✅ Asset: COTTON CFD (CT) Futures ✅ Direction: BULLISH (LONG) ✅ Entry Strategy: Multi-layer limit orders @ $62.80, $63.00, $63.30, $63.60 ✅ Target: $64.60/LBS (Primary) ✅ Stop Loss: $62.40/LBS (Hard Stop) ✅ Risk-Reward: 1:1.04 to 1:2.56 ✅ Position Type: Day/Swing Trade (4H-Daily) ✅ Status: ACTIVE SETUP 🟢
VELOCITY:COTTON
by The-Thief
THE BRUTAL TRUTH ABOUT GOLD Stop listening to the "price targets." They are all BULLSHIT. 🚫 The current move in Gold is a once-in-history event. Nobody knows where the ceiling is because there is no ceiling in a system that's breaking. 📍 THE NUMBERS: $4k? $8k? $10k? It's all on the table. 📍 THE STRATEGY: If you’re holding, DO NOT LET GO. If you’re out, find your entry NOW. THE WARNING: ⚠️ This isn't a "bull market" celebration. It’s a warning. The aggressive buying tells us that the whales think SOMETHING BIG is coming. This isn't about local skirmishes ( war between Iran and US , or Greenland )—it’s about a global shift that changes everything. 📉🌍 We’ve lived through enough "historic events" from Corona to wars. We all hope for peace, but GOLD is screaming that the storm isn't over. Protect yourself. The numbers don't lie. 💎🙌 #GOLD #XAUUSD #MARKETALERT #THEBIGONE #FINANCE2026 #HOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ash_TheTrader
Gold Just Touched ATH — But This 1H Structure Is Warning a ShortGold has printed a clean all time high, but the 1H chart is flashing a short-term caution signal, not a trend reversal. After a near-vertical impulsive rally inside a well-defined rising channel, price stalled at ATH and immediately shifted into overlapping candles a classic sign of momentum exhaustion and liquidity distribution at premium levels. Structurally, this is not weakness: it’s range acceptance above broken resistance, now acting as intraday support around $5,500–$5,520. The blue path on the chart highlights the highest-probability scenario: a controlled pullback into the demand zone near $5,440–$5,460, where unfilled buy orders and late breakout liquidity sit, before the broader uptrend resumes. From a macro lens, nothing has changed real yields remain capped, geopolitical risk persists, and central banks continue accumulating gold, which limits downside and keeps dips corrective rather than impulsive. Trader logic is simple here: ATHs don’t collapse without distribution, and distribution takes time. As long as price holds the demand zone and the channel structure, this is a short-term sell-the-highs /buy-the-dip environment, not a bearish reversal. Smart money is reloading not exiting.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by XauMasterNetwork
Gold Enters Distribution — Liquidity Will Decide the Next LegGold is no longer in the same phase it was a few sessions ago and this chart makes that transition very clear through a clean Wyckoff Market Cycle lens. After an extended accumulation phase around five thousand to five thousand eighty, smart money built positions quietly while price moved sideways and volatility compressed. That base provided the fuel for the next phase: a sharp and aggressive markup, where price expanded impulsively from the accumulation range and accelerated higher with wide candles and minimal pullbacks. This is classic markup behavior urgency, poor structure, and a clear imbalance between buyers and sellers. That markup leg carried gold directly into the five thousand five hundred to five thousand five hundred eighty region, where price is now stalling around the Point of Control (POC). This is not random. The POC represents the price area where the highest volume has recently transacted in other words, where large players are most active. When price reaches this zone after a vertical move, the market often transitions from expansion to distribution. The current price action inside the highlighted box shows all the early signs of distribution: overlapping candles, failed continuation attempts, repeated swings within a defined range, and increasing time spent at highs without further upside progress. Liquidity-wise, this range is designed to absorb late breakout buyers while allowing stronger hands to gradually offload inventory. Each push higher inside the range invites new longs, and each pullback tests their conviction a textbook process of liquidity harvesting. From a structural perspective, this does not yet mean an immediate crash. Distribution phases often take time. Price can continue ranging, creating multiple false bullish signals, before the market commits to a markdown. However, once acceptance occurs below the lower boundary of the distribution zone roughly below five thousand four hundred the probability shifts decisively toward a deeper corrective move, with downside liquidity resting closer to five thousand two hundred and potentially five thousand one hundred. Macro context strengthens this reading. While gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes due to persistent geopolitical risk, central bank demand, and long-term currency debasement concerns, short-term positioning has become crowded. The recent vertical rally reflects aggressive speculative participation rather than fresh defensive flows. When positioning becomes one-sided, the market’s priority shifts from trending to rebalancing and that is exactly what distribution accomplishes. Market psychology is also aligned with this phase. Sentiment is still optimistic, targets are being raised, and dips are aggressively bought all typical near the end of a markup leg. True bearish phases rarely begin when fear is high; they begin when confidence is excessive and structure quietly deteriorates. Key takeaway: Gold has completed accumulation and markup. It is now rotating in a high-level distribution range near five thousand five hundred. As long as price remains inside this zone, expect volatility, fake breakouts, and liquidity games. A confirmed breakdown below the range would open the door for a controlled markdown toward lower demand zones not as a trend reversal, but as a necessary reset before the next major cycle resumes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Andree_Fx
What's happening in the GOLD market What's happening in the gold market right now isn't just a normal price surge; it reflects a shift in gold's role itself. Gold is no longer simply used as a hedge against inflation or interest rate fluctuations. It has become a safe haven for investors when their confidence in economic policies and monetary systems wanes. The price surge above $5,500 wasn't triggered by a single piece of news or decision, but rather by a general feeling that the financial system has become less stable and less predictable. At this stage, price movements are no longer driven by expectations and speculation. Instead, the high price itself is forcing the market to rethink future expectations. Therefore, price levels are no longer viewed as ceilings or targets from which the price might reverse, but rather as temporary phases in a longer-term trajectory. This reflects investors' shift from short-term thinking to treating gold as a long-term asset for preserving value in an environment of widespread uncertainty. Markets are convinced that a strong dollar policy is no longer an absolute priority at a time when the global desire to diversify away from dollar assets is growing. Therefore, as long as real interest rates remain low and US geopolitical and political uncertainty persists, gold will retain its leading role as an alternative to currencies and bonds.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Walid_Aboeldahab
2
Gold Is Holding the Channel - How Price Reacts at SupportHello traders, Gold is currently trading near $5,560, holding firmly within a well-defined ascending channel after a strong impulsive expansion. The breakout that pushed price into all-time high territory around $5,550–$5,580 was clean and decisive, confirming that buyers remain in control of the broader structure. Following the breakout, price has transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase near the upper portion of the channel. This slowdown is not a sign of weakness. In strong bullish environments, markets often pause to rebalance liquidity and allow late participants to reposition. The projected pullback toward the gap and demand area around $5,430–$5,480, aligned with the rising trendline, represents a logical zone for buyers to defend. Structurally, the bullish case remains intact as long as price continues to respect the ascending channel support and the higher low structure above $5,280–$5,320. Pullbacks that remain shallow and corrective would favor continuation toward the upper channel boundary near $5,800, which stands out as a key technical reference and potential reaction zone rather than a guaranteed target. Invalidation is clear and objective. A decisive breakdown below the support zone around $5,280 and sustained acceptance outside the channel would force a reassessment of the bullish bias and open the door for a deeper corrective phase. For now, gold is not reversing, it is digesting gains within structure. Trend respected. Structure intact. Let behavior confirm the next expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jaddenn
2
XAUUSD: at Key Resistance - Pullback Scenario in Focus To $5,400Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure that previously developed inside a well-defined upward channel. After a prolonged consolidation phase marked by a clear range, price broke to the upside, confirming buyer control and initiating a strong impulsive rally. This breakout from the range acted as a key structural shift, pushing gold into an accelerated bullish phase supported by higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel. As price continued higher, XAUUSD approached a major higher-timeframe Resistance Zone around the 5,580–5,600 area. This zone has historically acted as a strong supply region, and current price action suggests that bullish momentum is starting to weaken near this level. The market is now showing signs of overextension after a near-vertical move, increasing the probability of a corrective pullback. Importantly, price is currently trading at the upper boundary of the ascending channel, where buyers often begin to take profits and sellers look for short-term opportunities. Currently, a clearly defined Support Zone around the 5,380–5,420 area aligns with the prior breakout level and the upper boundary of the former consolidation. This zone represents a key area of interest, as it previously acted as resistance before being broken and now serves as potential support. The structure suggests that a pullback into this zone would be a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario is a short-term corrective pullback from the Resistance Zone toward the Support Zone. As long as price remains capped below the 5,600 resistance and shows rejection from the upper channel boundary, I expect a move lower toward the 5,400 support area (TP1). This short idea is counter-trend and should be treated strictly as a corrective trade within a broader bullish market structure. A clean reaction into the Support Zone could attract fresh buyers and potentially lead to trend continuation afterward. However, if price fails to find support and breaks decisively below the 5,380 level with strong bearish acceptance, a deeper correction toward the lower channel boundary would become more likely. On the other hand, a strong breakout and acceptance above the 5,600 Resistance Zone would invalidate the short scenario and signal bullish continuation. For now, price is at a critical reaction area where a pullback is technically justified. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
4
#XPTUSD PLATINUM - Price Currently In Bullish Trend The overall structure is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, moving within a well-defined ascending channel. Major Breakout: Price has recently broken above a long-term psychological resistance zone at $2,500 (highlighted by the blue box and red arrows). Support Flip: That $2,500 level, which previously capped price action, is now acting as support. The blue arrow indicates a successful "retest" where buyers stepped back in. Trend Alignment: Both the inner (orange) and outer (purple) trendlines are sloping upward, confirming strong momentum. Action: "Look for Longs." The chart suggests buying on dips toward the support zone. Target: The primary upside objective is the $3,000 level (indicated by the red dashed line). Confirmation: The recent bounce from the lower boundary of the inner orange channel suggests the bullish trend is accelerating.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by raiaanko39
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 62.295.Colleagues, earlier I described the upward movement as a full-fledged ABC correction, and the price justified expectations and completed the planned upward movement, but at the moment I think it is worth considering that wave A has been extended. This fits well with both the old and new scenarios. I expect wave “B” to begin its movement soon. I will not set distant goals and will wait for the price to reach the first support area — the maximum of wave “3” of the middle order at 62.295. I admit the possibility of updating the maximum of wave “A” approximately in the resistance area of 65.199. In general, if correction “B” continues too far down, I will return to the old scenario. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
2
Gold - Pullback Soon?Gold TVC:GOLD has not been this extended (light purple band) from the historical mean / simple moving average (green bands) since 1979. What followed was an almost 17% drop thereafter in just a month. Then, 137% parabolic rise in just two months followed by a 45% crash 3 months later.... My point for those trying to hop on the train now: There is a very strong probability of a 10%-20% pullback as the price approaches $5,600+/-. But that's simply my worthless view. This type of extension is what I suspect we'll see with the S&P 500, as described in this write-up
TVC:GOLD
by WorthlessViews
1
XAG/USD: Analyzing the Corrective Phase within an Ascending StruSilver (XAG/USD) is currently displaying a significant technical pattern on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of aggressive bullish expansion that saw the price breakout from its previous consolidation, the market has entered a corrective phase. The current price action is characterized by a series of tests against the upper and lower boundaries of a broad ascending channel. Technical Insights: Trend Context: The primary trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the series of higher highs and higher lows. However, the recent price action near the 120.251 level indicates that the market is currently in a "Price Discovery" phase, attempting to establish a new base for the next impulsive leg. Projected Corrective Path: As indicated by the black forecast trajectory, we anticipate a multi-wave corrective sequence. This pattern suggests a "lower high" formation, followed by a decline to test the strength of the previous breakout zone. Key Support Targets: Primary Objective: 118.000 - 118.500 – This level represents a major previous resistance area and is now expected to act as a significant foundational support floor. Secondary Objective: 114.833 – A deeper retracement target that aligns with a historical institutional supply zone that has now flipped into a major support area. Risk Management: The bullish bias is maintained as long as the price trades above the 114.000 region. A decisive close below this level would signal a potential "Fake-out" and shift the outlook toward a more bearish sentiment. Trading Strategy: The current approach favors "Buying on Dips." Traders should monitor for bullish price action confirmation, such as a strong rejection wick or an engulfing candle at the 118.000 support level, before targeting a continuation toward the 125.000 psychological mark.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by FX_CAM
XAG/USD: Corrective Pullback Following Parabolic ExpansionSilver (XAG/USD) is currently undergoing a technical retracement on the 15-minute timeframe after reaching localized highs near the 124.000 region. Following a powerful bullish breakout that saw the price trade above the primary ascending channel, the market is now seeking to rebalance through a corrective sequence. Technical Deep-Dive: Trend Status: The primary trend remains bullish, as evidenced by the series of higher highs and higher lows established over the last several sessions. However, the current price action (indicated by the black forecast path) suggests a temporary shift in momentum as buyers take profits at these premium levels. Forecasted Trajectory: The projected path indicates a "lower high" formation followed by a multi-wave decline. This is a classic corrective move designed to test the strength of the previous breakout zone. Key Support Targets: Primary Objective: 118.000 - 118.500 – This level represents the previous major resistance area and the most significant pool of buy-side liquidity for a potential "Buy on Dip" entry. Secondary Objective: 116.000 – A deeper retracement that aligns with the lower boundary of the extended ascending structure. Risk Management: The bullish bias for the long term remains intact as long as the price maintains its structural integrity above the 114.833 level. A decisive break below this point would suggest a more significant trend reversal. Trading Strategy: Patience is advised during this corrective phase. Traders should monitor the 118.000 region for bullish confirmation signals—such as a long-wick rejection or a bullish engulfing candle—before considering new long positions toward the next extension target of 125.000.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by FX_CAM
XAG/USD: Bullish Continuation and Breakout Above Multi-Day ResisSilver (XAG/USD) has invalidated the previous bearish distribution thesis by staging a powerful breakout above its multi-day resistance levels. On the 15-minute timeframe, the price has successfully cleared the upper boundary of the long-term parallel channel, moving into a high-momentum "Price Discovery" phase. Technical Deep-Dive: Bullish Breakout & Momentum: The price has decisively breached the 118.000 resistance level, showing no signs of exhaustion. The vertical nature of the current ascent suggests aggressive institutional buying and the triggering of buy-stops above the previous highs. Trendline Integrity: Silver is now trading well above its primary ascending support lines. The previous resistance rail of the blue channel (near 112.000) is now expected to act as a major foundational support floor if a deep retracement occurs. Current Valuation: As of the latest print at 120.251, Silver is exhibiting a strong bullish bias. The market has effectively reclaimed the initiative, and the focus has shifted from finding a top to identifying the next extension targets. Key Levels to Watch: Primary Support: 118.000 (Previous breakout point). Major Support Floor: 114.833 (Previous major resistance and invalidation zone). Psychological Target: 125.000. Risk Management: The bullish outlook remains firmly in place as long as the price maintains its structural integrity above the 114.000 region. A failure to hold above the previous channel's upper rail would be the first sign of a potential "Fake-out." Strategy Note: The bias is now "Buy on Dips." Traders should look for corrective pullbacks toward the 118.000 - 118.500 area to join the prevailing trend. This move confirms a successful accumulation phase that has completely overwhelmed the earlier bearish supply.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by FX_CAM
XAU/USD: Bearish Divergence and Mean Reversion toward Major DemaGold (XAU/USD) is currently exhibiting a textbook corrective structure on the 15-minute timeframe. After an aggressive parabolic move that took the price to extreme premium levels near 5,693, we are now seeing a clear shift in institutional sentiment. The market has entered a distribution phase, characterized by a failure to maintain momentum within the upper supply zone. Technical Breakdown: Supply Zone Rejection: The price has tapped into a major overhead supply barrier (top purple box) between 5,650 and 5,693. This area is being heavily defended by sellers, resulting in a series of bearish rejections. Forecasted Correction Path: As indicated by the black trajectory and the large blue arrow, the market is expected to perform a multi-wave corrective move. We anticipate a "Lower High" formation followed by a sharp impulsive leg lower to hunt for sell-side liquidity. Key Targets: Primary Objective: 5,450 – An immediate structural support and minor demand zone where the first major bounce may occur. Major Objective: 5,250 – This lower purple demand zone represents the ultimate target for this corrective cycle, aligning with the base of the previous accumulation. Risk Management: The bearish outlook is invalidated if Gold achieves a decisive 15-minute candle close above the 5,693 peak. A break above this level would suggest that the market is entering a new phase of price discovery. Trading Strategy: The current bias is "Sell on Strength." Traders should monitor the 5,600 region for bearish confirmation signals, such as an engulfing candle or a rejection wick, before targeting the deeper liquidity pools near the 5,250 psychological level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FX_CAM
XAU/USD: Bullish Expansion and Price Discovery Above Key SupplyGold (XAU/USD) has successfully invalidated the previous bearish distribution thesis by delivering a massive bullish breakout on the 15-minute timeframe. The price has surged past the established institutional supply zone near 5,110 - 5,125, signaling a strong continuation of the primary uptrend and entering a phase of price discovery. Technical Analysis: Trend Confirmation: The aggressive vertical move has completely bypassed the projected bearish "Lower High" structure. This indicates that buy-side liquidity was significantly stronger than anticipated, leading to a momentum-driven rally. Support & Resistance Flip: The previous purple resistance zone (now located below current price action) is expected to act as a major structural support floor if a retest occurs. Current Momentum: Gold is currently trading at a premium level of 5,254, showing no immediate signs of exhaustion. The sharp angle of the ascent suggests institutional participation and a shift in market sentiment toward higher valuation. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: 5,125 (Previous Supply Zone) Psychological Target: 5,300 Risk Management: The bullish bias remains firmly in place as long as the price maintains its position above the 5,100 psychological mark. Any pullback toward the breakout point should be monitored for "buy-on-dip" opportunities. Conclusion: This move confirms a successful "Spring" or accumulation phase that trapped early sellers. The market is now in an impulsive expansion, and the focus remains on the upside until a clear distribution pattern or a break in the intraday market structure occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FX_CAM
2
#EURJPY , Gonna be sweet with us ?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep 🔎 Instrument Focus: #EURJPY ⚠️ Risk Environment: High 📈 Technical Overview: Not a Quality Setup , if it Moves Perfectly will take it , if not .... just let it go 🚀 Trading Plan: • Need Valid momentum Structure over the POI • LTF ENTRY NEEDED • Just and Only for QuickScalp 🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot #Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Long
by Ash_TheTrader