XAGUSD H4 | Bullish RiseMomentum: Bullish
The price has reacted off the buy entry, which is a pullback support.
Buy entry: 50.84
Pullback support
Stop loss: 49.39
Pullback support
Take profit: 54.09
SWing high resistance
145% Fibonacci extension
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Commodities
USOIL trades with a weak oscillatory biasUSOIL is exhibiting a weak oscillatory downward trend today. Despite a slight rebound yesterday, affected by bearish news and technical pressure, the intraday upside momentum remains insufficient, with bearish momentum gradually emerging. Overall, it shows a sluggish pattern of a quick pullback after the rebound.
For the upside, focus on the short-term resistance zone of $59.5 - $60.5 per barrel, among which $59.5 per barrel can be regarded as a key watershed. On the downside, closely monitor the support range of $57.0 - $57.5 per barrel. If this zone is effectively broken down, the price may further decline to around $56 per barrel.
Sell 59 - 59.7
SL 60.1
TP 57.5 - 57 - 56.5
Gold Setup: Breakout Levels MarkedGold is moving inside 4H symmetrical triangle and waiting for a proper breakout. Price is holding above the 4080-4120 and also above the rising trendline so the structure is still slightly bullish. If gold breaks above the upper trendline 4185 it can quickly move toward 4280 and then 4460. But if it breaks below the rising trendline 4060 and the support zone gold can fall toward 4000, 3900 and more to 3800.
Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4080-4120 only if price shows support or a bounce
Breakout Buy: 4185 Above the upper black trendline
Targets: TP1 4280, TP2 4460, TP3 4555
Note
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Gold analysisGold TVC:GOLD primary trend is still bullish despite the current reaction (-6%), with price at 4.144 $/Oz. Since the beginning of November Gold seem to be building a wedge around the 4.050 support area, while the volatility is lowering and momentum is neutral.
For the next few days we expect gold price to continue narrowing inside the 4.275 (resistance) - 4.050 (support) channel, remaining on the bull side for the long run.
If gold were to drop blow 4.050 then the next support area would be at 3.750 .
XAUT (GOLD) long-term TAFolks, those who are waiting for the gold to run higher again, please be patient. The uptrend for the GOLD remains very strong, but mid-term has been in distribution for the last couple of weeks, the blue line shows weekly support if there's a correction to proceed deeper, but current daily support at $3900ish area is keeping fine, if that level is broken it may touch the blue line.
In general, GOLD remains very strong in long-term run.
XAUUSD PPI PLAN: 1000PIPS SELL ZONE IS READY 📈 XAU/USD TRADING PLAN (4H) - SMC LOGIC
Date: November 25, 2025 (Based on chart data) Pair: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 4 Hour (H4)
1. Market Structure Analysis
Overall Bias: Bullish (Uptrend) is maintained as the market structure recently made a higher low (HL) around $4020 and is currently pushing towards the previous high ($4212.741).
Key Liquidity (Indicated as $$$): Liquidity rests below the recent swing lows, suggesting these areas ($4020, $3980) are potential targets for a Liquidity Sweep before a major continuation move.
2. Supply & Demand Zones (Order Blocks)
Primary Supply/Sell Zone (Order Block): $4188 - $4190
Interpretation: This is the institutional Order Block (OB) or area of significant rejection prior to the sharp drop from the swing high. It is a high-probability reversal area.
Immediate Demand/Buy Zone 1 (FVG Mitigation): $4090 - $4088
Interpretation: This is the Demand Zone resting right below the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is expected to return to this area to mitigate the imbalance before continuing the uptrend.
Extreme Demand/Buy Zone 2 (Structural Support OB): $4022 - $4020
Interpretation: This is the most critical Order Block for the current bullish structure. A bounce here would confirm the continuation of the H4 uptrend.
3. Execution Plan
A. SELL SCENARIO (Counter-Trend/Correction)
Entry Zone: SELL GOLD $4188 - $4190 (Limit Order)
Stop Loss (SL): $4192 (Tight SL above the Supply Zone)
Take Profit Targets (TP):
TP 1 (Immediate): $4140 - $4150 (Top of FVG)
TP 2 (Primary): $4090 (Demand Zone 1)
TP 3 (Extreme): $4022 (Demand Zone 2)
B. BUY SCENARIO 1 (FVG Mitigation & Continuation)
Entry Zone: BUY GOLD $4090 - $4088 (Limit Order)
Stop Loss (SL): $4085 (Below the Demand Zone 1 OB)
Take Profit Targets (TP):
TP 1 (Immediate): $4132 (Current Swing High)
TP 2 (Primary): $4188 (Previous Supply Zone)
TP 3 (Continuation): Break of $4212.741 (Break of Structure - BOS)
C. BUY SCENARIO 2 (Extreme Demand/Structural Hold)
Entry Zone: BUY GOLD $4022 - $4020 (Limit Order)
Stop Loss (SL): $4017 (Below the Extreme Demand OB)
Take Profit Targets (TP):
TP 1: $4090 (Demand Zone 1)
TP 2: $4188 (Supply Zone)
TP 3: Break of $4212.741 (BOS)
4. Confirmation (Important)
Always look for a Change of Character (CHoCH) or Break of Structure (BOS) on a lower timeframe (e.g., H1 or M15) upon arrival at the Entry Zones ($4188, $4090, $4020) to validate the institutional order flow shift before execution.
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 4130.2
Sl - 4144.7
Tp - 4106.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USUALUSDT ReadyUSUALUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 40% to 50% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching USUALUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in USUALUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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Gold remains bullish.Gold maintained its bullish structure, closing significantly higher on the daily chart. The New York closing price once again rose above the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 4105, with the 5-day and 7-day moving averages forming a golden cross and trending upwards. The RSI indicator is above the midline. On the shorter-term 4-hour and hourly charts, the Bollinger Bands are widening upwards, with the price maintaining its position in the upper half of the bands, and the moving average system showing an upward crossover. The trading strategy for gold remains unchanged from yesterday: prioritize buying on pullbacks to support levels, and only consider selling at higher levels.
At the Asian open today, gold experienced a rebound, reaching a high of 4144 before retracing. Currently, gold is still in a consolidating upward trend, and our overall bullish outlook remains unchanged. Gold is still developing within a narrowing triangle pattern on the daily chart, with the key level around $4150. A break above this level would open up further upside potential.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4108, Second Support: 4092, Third Support: 4074
First Resistance: 4150, Second Resistance: 4167, Third Resistance: 4183
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4085-4090, SL: 4070, TP: 4110-4120;
SELL: 4170-4175, SL: 4190, TP: 4150-4140;
More Analysis →
Gold Bearish Structure Continues – Sell Levels UpdatedGold remains bearish after rejecting from the upper consolidation boundary and continuing its pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Price has now broken below the triangle-consolidation zone and is retesting the lower boundary around 4038-45 which aligns with previous liquidity. As long as price stays below the triangle resistance and fails to reclaim 4080 momentum favors further downside. The next bearish targets lie below the Strong Low zone aiming toward deeper liquidity and Fibonacci extensions.
✅ Bias: Sell below 4080
- Sell Zone: 4045 - 4055 (Retest of broken consolidation + minor supply)
- Stop Loss: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
- Take Profit: 4025 - 4008 - 3988
- Invalidate: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
Note
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XAUUSD: triangle compression🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) is consolidating within a massive symmetrical triangle, indicating a period of indecision and building volatility. The price action is currently compressing near the lower support trendline of the formation. The Moving Averages (SMA 50, 100, 200) are converging, further confirming the squeeze. The projected trade setup anticipates a bearish breakout below the triangle's support. A confirmed close below the trendline opens the path for a decline toward the immediate support zone at 3,893, with a medium-term target potentially reaching the 3,700 level marked on the chart.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis: The precious metal is under pressure as the market anticipates key US economic data due later this week. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming US GDP (Preliminary) and Core PCE Index figures. Stronger-than-expected data could reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance (or delay rate cuts), boosting the US Dollar and yields, which traditionally weighs on non-yielding assets like Gold. Additionally, liquidity may thin out approaching the US Thanksgiving holiday, potentially leading to sharper, erratic moves upon any breakout.
📉 Trade Parameters (SELL):
Entry Point : Sell on the confirmed breakdown of the triangle support (approx. 4,060 – 4,070).
Take Profit: 3,893, medium-term target at 3,700
Stop Loss: Above the immediate structure or SMA cluster (approx. 4,150).
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a hypothetical trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Don’t Get Trapped: Sell High, Buy LowGold (XAUUSD) – Structural Outlook
Price action continues to develop within a corrective framework, forming a potential A–B–C structure following the recent impulsive advance. The market is approaching a key resistance zone aligned with the 0.786 retracement , where liquidity above the internal swing high may be targeted before a broader downside continuation toward the $3,880–$3,790 demand region. A confirmed sweep and rejection from the upper boundary would strengthen the case for the final leg of the correction, completing wave (C) before a higher-time-frame bullish continuation resumes.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading financial markets involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
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XAU/USD ANALYSIS 11/25/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is slightly weakening due to expectations that the FED will keep rates unchanged and may deliver more dovish signals in speeches this week.
• U.S. Stocks:
Wall Street inched higher last night, with the market leaning toward a risk-on sentiment, which usually weighs on gold. However, the gains were not strong → gold is not under heavy pressure.
• FED:
The FED continues to emphasize a “data-dependent” stance, but the market is starting to believe in the possibility of rate cuts in the coming months. This supports gold in the medium term.
• TRUMP Administration:
The new administration prioritizes economic recovery, deregulation, and tax cuts → which may stimulate the stock market, but geopolitical risks still linger → gold benefits whenever volatility rises.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has been buying and selling alternately with no clear trend. However, recent selling volume is not large → no major bearish pressure on gold. On Nov 24, the fund bought 0.29 tons—small, likely probing while waiting for upcoming news and market reactions.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East remain unresolved; additionally, U.S.–China trade competition still holds the potential for new conflicts → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is slightly risk-on, but within a narrow range and lacking strong momentum → reversal risks are always present.
The “waiting for FED this week” sentiment makes gold move more technically.
2. Technical Analysis:
The 30-minute timeframe gives extremely clear signals:
• Price has broken above the descending trendline extending from the Nov 17 high.
• A new uptrend (short- to medium-term) is forming.
• Extended targets if momentum holds: 4,244 – 4,276.
• RSI is in the mid-high zone but not overbought → still room for upside.
• MA20 has crossed above MA50 nicely, supporting the bullish trend.
Overall: Gold is likely retesting the breakout and continuing the upward trend.
RESISTANCE: 4,193 – 4,244 – 4,276
SUPPORT: 4,096 – 4,040 – 4,029 – 4,000
3. Previous Market Session:
• Gold surged strongly from the 4,040 zone, breaking the descending trendline and the ascending triangle.
• Price closed above all short-term EMAs → buying pressure dominates.
• Volume increased during the breakout → confirming the trend.
4. Strategy for Today (Nov 25, 2025):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4195 – 4193
SL: 4199
TP1: 4187
TP2: 4181
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4084 – 4086
SL: 4080
TP1: 4092
TP2: 4098






















