SILVER - The ATH Retest Opportunity!!!🚀Silver has officially broken above its all-time high - a major milestone for the metal. But nothing moves in a straight line, and healthy trends always correct before continuing higher.
📉Price is now on its way to retest the previous ATH zone in red, which aligns perfectly with the rising trendline. This creates a powerful confluence area where buyers have historically stepped back in with strength.
⚔️As Silver taps into this intersection, we will be looking for trend-following longs, expecting the bulls to defend the zone and push toward new highs.
🏹The structure is bullish. The trendline is intact. The level is clean.
Now we wait for the reaction… will the bulls reload here? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Commodity
XAUUSD - The Golden Retest Zone!📈Gold remains overall bullish , respecting its rising structure and printing higher lows along the way. Each corrective dip has been met with strong buying pressure, keeping the broader trend intact.
📉As price pulls back, it is now approaching a key blue structure zone that aligns perfectly with the lower blue trendline. This intersection forms a high-confluence area where we will be looking for trend-following longs.
⚔️As long as Gold holds this zone, the bullish scenario remains dominant, with the next potential push targeting the previous ATH highlighted on the chart.
🏹A clean reaction here could be the catalyst for the next leg of the uptrend.
Will the bulls defend the golden zone again? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD: Bearish Correction Targets $3822 amidst Uptrend.Scenario: Bearish Corrective Move within a larger Uptrend.
Current Price (Approx.): $4,218.81
Chart Context: Price has already retraced from the recent high of $4,381.73 and is currently hovering near the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,249.74) and above the 0.4 Fibonacci Retracement ($4,158.02).
Key Levels
Key Resistance Zone (Potential Reversal): $4,338 (Close to the recent high/start of the pullback).
Primary Target (Take Profit): $3,822 (Coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci Retracement level of the structure shown, indicating a full retracement of the move from $3,822.46 to $4,381.73).
XAUUSD — Long-Term Bullish Structure Toward 4708.76Market Structure
Gold remains in a strong long-term bullish trend, supported by higher-timeframe momentum and repeated accumulation phases. The current price action is consolidating above major structural supports, keeping the long-term upside target 4708.76 valid.
Key Support Zones
Key Support Zone 1 — 3839
This is the primary structural floor. As long as price holds above 3839, the bullish trend remains intact and the path toward the higher target stays open.
A clean bounce from this zone would reinforce the bullish continuation.
If 3839 Breaks — Key Support Zone 2 — 2775
A decisive breakdown below 3839 would signal a deeper correction toward the secondary support at 2775.
This zone represents a major historical demand area, where large-scale buying interest is expected to reappear. A hold above 2775 would maintain the long-term bullish macro outlook.
Main Target
4708.76
This is the projected long-term extension target based on the broader impulse wave. As long as gold stays above 3839, the probability of reaching this upper target remains high.
CL1! — Bullish Above 58 with Target at 62.22Crude oil maintains a constructive bullish structure as long as price holds above the 58.00 key support zone. This level remains the foundation of the current upward bias.
The next meaningful obstacle for buyers sits at the 60.69 resistance, which aligns with a major Fibonacci cluster and has shown strong rejection in previous attempts. A clean breakout and sustained close above 60.69 would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
Above that resistance, the path opens toward 61.71 followed by the main upside target at 62.22, which represents the completion of the current Fibonacci expansion.
As long as price trades above 58, the bullish scenario remains valid. A failure at 60.69 may trigger a temporary pullback, but the broader structure favors continuation toward 62.22 once the level is cleared.
Crude Oil Has Finally Finished An Intraday Corrective SetbackCrude oil made a very strong rebound back in mid-October with an impulsive move of more than 11%, while the current retracement from 62 is very slow, which still suggests a counter-trend movement despite the weakness now retesting the 78.6% support levels. We can still see three waves down, and ideally subwave c is coming into a potential support zone, so a rebound can still happen while the market trades above 55.96 invalidation.
Looks like Crude oil is finally on the way back to October highs, as we see a sharp and impulsive rebound from the 78,6% Fibonacci retracement after a completed wedge pattern. So be aware of more intraday gians, especially if breaks back above 60 level, just watch out for pullbacks.
Gold Reload Zone… Bulls Waiting Patiently!📈Gold remains overall bullish, respecting both its rising structure and the major support zones beneath current price. After breaking above the light-blue resistance area, XAUUSD is now pushing higher, but a pullback remains very likely before the next impulse.
⚔️On the upcoming retest of the blue structure zone and the rising trendline, we will be looking for trend-following longs. This area has acted as support multiple times and now aligns with the bullish context, making it a high-probability buy zone.
🏹As long as Gold remains above the red demand area and respects the rising structure, the next wave upward toward the 4,385 resistance remains the most likely scenario. Only a clean break below the red zone would weaken the bullish outlook.
For now, patience is key… wait for the retest, then look for longs from structure. 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XAUUSD - Bulls Still Stepping In at Demand… Watching the Retest!Gold remains overall bullish, holding firmly above the major support zone around $4,000–$4,050. This entire red area has been acting as a strong demand zone for weeks, with price bouncing from it multiple times, a clear sign that buyers are defending this level aggressively.
📈XAUUSD is also respecting the rising trendline , forming a clean higher-low structure. As long as Gold remains above both the trendline and the support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. I will be looking for long setups on the next retest of this confluence area.
🏹If buyers step in again, the next move could push toward the previous highs near $4,385. But if price breaks below the support zone and the trendline, the bullish structure would weaken and open the door for a deeper correction.
For now, this zone is the key. Will Gold bounce again… or finally break through support? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bearish reversal off 61.8% FIbonacci resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,147.61
1st Support: 4,093.63
1st Resistance: 4,219.46
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
USOIL H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently moving along a descending trendline and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure.
Sell entry: 60.35
Pullback resitance
Stop loss: 61.42
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.21
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Gold Market Moving Exactly As MappedVANTAGE:XAUUSD tapped perfectly into my OG Demand Zone around
4,020–4,050 and buyers stepped in exactly where the system expected. The bounce carried straight into my upper OG Supply Zone, and today’s wick shows clear hesitation right on the zone border.
The structure is still holding a bullish tone as long as price stays above the OG Trend Zone support at 4,050–4,100.
My X-pattern intersection also acted as a confluence pivot, guiding the move into the current rejection point.
Short-term 🐼 I am watching for a sweep of the supply zone highs and a cleaner reaction.
Mid-term I still prefer long setups only after a pullback into my green demand zone where momentum can reload.
Both OG Zones and OG Trend Zones played this move with precision. The system mapped the bounce, mapped the continuation, and is now catching the rejection area.
📊 Current bias: Neutral to bearish inside supply
🟢 Long interest: Rebuilds on a dip back into demand
🔴 Short interest: Only if supply shows clean rejection
📆 Watching daily close for confirmation
GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish, primarily driven by central bank accumulation. Since 2023, global central banks led by China have been purchasing gold aggressively, creating a durable demand base. With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, I think risk assets like GOLD could outperform as the USD (DXY) weakens. This macro setup continues to support a long term bullish narrative.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has been retracing since October 20, which I think was a healthy correction following a strong expansion. As mentioned in my previous GOLD outlook, price appeared to be retesting the Weekly Value Gap and accumulating within that zone. In my opinion, this accumulation phase seems to have ended, and the market looks ready to continue higher.
📌 Game Plan - Prediction
Price has broken out of the accumulation zone and started expanding upward. I plan to enter after a retest near the key zone around $4060. It may dip toward $4027, which I consider a discount zone. I intend to scale in between $4060 and $3950, with invalidation if the daily candle closes below $3900.
💬 Follow my Substack profile for detailed insights and extended analysis.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
The Dual Catalyst: Why Silver's \$50 Breakout is SustainableSilver (XAG/USD) recently broke the crucial $50 per ounce level, signaling a fundamental shift in its market dynamics. While the price edges lower in the short term, primarily due to a strengthened US Dollar (USD), its long-term trajectory is decisively bullish. This surge is not merely speculative. It is driven by an unprecedented convergence of geopolitical risks, critical industrial demand, and shifting macroeconomic policy. Analyzing these catalysts across multiple domains confirms silver's evolving role from a precious metal to a critical industrial asset.
Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
Silver's price strength reflects global systemic risk and monetary policy uncertainty. Current market expectations strongly favor a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut by December, with a nearly 68% probability priced in by the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding silver, making it relatively more attractive than bonds or cash. This dovish outlook provides a powerful structural floor for the price.
From a geopolitical perspective, ongoing global tensions and elevated political risks, like recent US government funding debates, accelerate safe-haven demand. Investors seek hard assets to hedge systemic risks. While gold often leads as the primary safe haven, silver's lower cost and dual-use nature attract broader retail and institutional flows, pushing it higher. A strong, sustained rally will require the price to hold above $50 and overcome the next major resistance near the historical high of $54.50.
Technology, Science, and Patents
Industrial demand now constitutes over 50% of silver’s total annual consumption, fundamentally redefining its market. Its unmatched electrical and thermal conductivity makes it indispensable in high-growth sectors.
* Renewable Energy: Silver is critical for photovoltaics (PV), specifically in solar cells, which form the conductive paste that harvests electrons. The global push for green energy and solar capacity expansion creates structural, persistent demand that consistently tightens the market.
* High-Tech and EVs: Electric Vehicles ( EVs) require significantly more silver (25–50 grams per unit) than traditional vehicles for inverters, battery management systems, and high-voltage contacts. The expansion of 5G technology, advanced computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT) further relies on silver-based components for seamless connectivity and efficiency.
Geostrategy and Supply Chain Risk
Silver is now recognized as a critical mineral by several major economies. This reclassification acknowledges its essential role in national security, advanced manufacturing, and the energy transition. This status highlights a geopolitical vulnerability: silver's supply chain is increasingly seen as a strategic concern.
The market currently runs a persistent supply deficit, depleting above-ground stockpiles to critically low levels. Mining silver often occurs as a byproduct of copper, lead, and zinc, meaning its supply cannot easily scale up based on price alone. Trade conflicts or export controls imposed by major producing nations could severely disrupt supply, immediately spiking the price due to its non-substitutable role in key high-tech applications.
Cyber and Economics: The Future Nexus
Silver’s unique properties extend into emerging fields like cybersecurity* and advanced computing. Research integrates silver nanoparticles and quantum materials into sophisticated systems. These materials enhance data processing efficiency and bolster the security of financial supply chains. Furthermore, flexible electronics using silver nanowires* will drive the next generation of wearable and flexible displays, creating entirely new demand vectors.
The long-term economic case for a $100 silver price remains dependent on this confluence of factors. Sustained high industrial consumption, a breakdown in global supply chains, and a continued environment of monetary debasement must align. Silver has truly become a dual-catalyst metal, positioned to thrive as both a financial safe haven and a fundamental building block of the twenty-first-century green and digital economy.
GOLD Bounce Incoming?VANTAGE:XAUUSD short-term technicals make it possible. Here’s why:
The downside move already stretched with three impulsive bearish candles, showing an overextended drop.
Price is now sitting right around the trendline + falling channel confluence, which often acts as a reaction zone.
Below, those green FVG/demand blocks remain unfilled meaning the market could grab liquidity from above before revisiting the lower zones.
⚡️A short-term relief bounce can play out first, but the main structure is still bearish unless the market reclaims the upper FVG area with strength.
Price reacting inside the accumulation zone after double CHoCH and unfilled FVG below.
If bulls hold 3,945–3,955, a bounce toward 3,990 → 4,020 remains valid.
Volume shifting blue = early demand confirmation.
Above 4,000 → distribution area may trigger short-term profit-taking.
A close below 3,930 invalidates the setup.
Macro side: Fed’s hawkish tone & rising yields may cap upside,
but weaker USD or risk-off sentiment could fuel the bounce. ⚡️
📊 Daily Outlook (1D)
The long-term trend is still bullish, but after the rejection from 4,300, price is consolidating near the key demand zone around 3,920.
If this level holds, a short-term rebound toward 4,080–4,250 is possible.
However, a daily close below 3,915 could extend the correction down toward 3,820–3,750.
⏱ 1-Hour Outlook (1H)
The medium-term bias remains bearish as price trades below both EMAs.
The 4,000–4,120 region acts as a major distribution/supply zone,
while 3,935–3,950 serves as a short-term accumulation/demand area.
At the moment, gold is ranging between these two liquidity clusters a neutral zone where volatility can expand either way.
💡 15-Minute Outlook (M15)
Price shows a minor recovery move from the lower demand zone.
Liquidity above 3,995–4,015 is the next key target zone.
As long as price holds above 3,940, upside targets sit around 4,015–4,040.
But a new rejection near 4,000 could trigger a retest of the lower accumulation area.
🧭 Overall View
• Mid-term: Trend remains positive, but still in correction phase.
• Short-term: Bounce potential is valid, yet supply pressure sits just above.
• Summary: Accumulation is forming below, distribution remains above best to approach with reactive “confirmation-based” setups from demand zones rather than chasing moves in the middle.
Beyond the Chart - GOLD Market Technicals & Fundamentals🟡 XAUUSD Daily OG FlowMaster Zones
Gold is testing the key 3,930-3,910 demand region after rejecting the 4,250 distribution zone. The market is in a mid-term correction phase within a broader bullish structure.
🔴 Short-Term
If 3,910 breaks, expect a continuation toward 3,750 → 3,500 — next OG accumulation layers where liquidity may build again.
🟢 Mid-Term
Holding above 3,900 could trigger a bounce toward 4,100–4,250 (previous imbalance zone) before the next decision phase.
⚙️ Accumulation / Distribution Map
Distribution: 4,250–4,300
Current Reaction: 3,910
Next Demand Pools: 3,750 → 3,500
📰 Market Data Watch
Upcoming U.S. inflation, bond yields, and Fed tone can sharply impact gold’s volatility and decide if the correction extends or reverses.
Palladium - The Calm Before the Next Surge!🏹Palladium has been on a strong bullish run , riding within a clean rising channel. After a sharp impulse, price is now cooling off — and this pullback might just be the calm before the next surge.
⚔️The metal is approaching a major intersection zone where the rising trendline meets a strong demand and structure area, a confluence that has previously sparked powerful rallies. As long as this intersection holds, I’ll be watching for bullish confirmations to join the trend.
A healthy correction into this zone could set the stage for the next impulsive wave, with potential upside targets around $1,550 and even $1,700 if momentum kicks in.
In short, Palladium remains overall bullish, and this upcoming retest could be the perfect reload zone before the next big move north.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
COPPER - Following Gold?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 COPPER has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising wedge pattern in blue.
At present, COPPER is undergoing a correction phase and it is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a massive support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #COPPER approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold’s Golden Retest?Gold continues to trade within a rising blue channel, maintaining its overall bullish structure.
Currently, price is retesting the intersection between the lower blue trendline and the red structure zone, which has acted as strong support multiple times.
As long as this confluence area holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs targeting the upper boundary of the channel.
A break and close below this zone would temporarily pause the bullish momentum and open room for a deeper correction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Silver Is Extending Impulsively Higher; All-Time Highs SoonSilver Is Extending Impulsively Higher, which can push the price into all-time highs from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave model.
Silver is on the rise and has been outperforming gold quite a lot over the last week, and it looks like an extended leg up is still in progress; seems like wave three of an extended impulse, therefore more gains are possible after next three-leg retracement. Based on the 4-hour chart, there is a chance that price goes towards 50usd, but there can be some new pullback first. Ideally red wave (4) could stabilize near 45.86. Only a sharp impulse down closer to 43 level will be an indication that higher degree wave four has started.
Higher Time frame charts show an ongoing bull cycle that is now targeting the high from April 2011, which could be the next major level and a potential area for a new retracement, maybe sometime in 2026.
UKOIL H1 | Potential Bearish Drop AheadBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from his levle to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 65.70, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 66.69, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 64.03, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.






















