Constructionindustry — Trading Ideas on TradingView

SUNCON - BREAKS DOWNTREND LINE SUNCON - CURRENT PRICE : RM6.13 SUNCON (MYX:SUNCON) is a Bursa Malaysia–listed company under the Construction industry. Key Technical Highlights : 1. Breakout from Downtrend Line Price has successfully broken above the descending trendline, signalling a potential trend reversal and fresh bullish momentum. 2. Price Holding Above EMA 50 SUNCON continues to trade above the EMA 50, showing that buyers are defending the medium-term trend and pullbacks are being absorbed. 3. RSI Turning Bullish, Not Overbought RSI has bounced from the mid-zone and is trending upward, indicating strengthening momentum. Importantly, RSI is still far from the overbought zone, giving room for further upside. ENTRY PRICE : RM6.10 - RM6.13 FIRST TARGET : RM6.50 SECOND TARGET : RM6.90 SUPPORT : RM5.80 Summary: SUNCON is showing a clean bullish setup after breaking out of its downtrend and holding strongly above the EMA 50. With RSI momentum improving and price structure recovering, the stock has potential to retest the all-time high if buying pressure continues.

Why Did Cheap Lumber Become a National Security Issue?Lumber prices have entered a structurally elevated regime, driven by the convergence of trade policy, industrial capacity constraints, and emerging technological demand. The U.S. administration's imposition of Section 232 tariffs - 10% on softwood lumber and up to 25% on wood products like cabinets - reframes timber as critical infrastructure essential for defense systems, power grids, and transportation networks. This national security designation provides legal durability, preventing a quick reversal through trade negotiations and establishing a permanent price floor. Meanwhile, Canadian producers facing combined duties exceeding 35% are pivoting exports toward Asian and European markets, permanently reducing North American supply by over 3.2 billion board feet annually that domestic mills cannot quickly replace. The domestic industry faces compounding structural deficits that prevent rapid capacity expansion. U.S. sawmill utilization languishes at 64.4% despite demand, constrained not by timber availability but by severe labor shortages—the average logging contractor age exceeds 57, with one-third planning retirement within five years. This workforce crisis forces expensive automation investments while climate-driven wildfires introduce recurring supply shocks. Simultaneously, cybersecurity vulnerabilities in digitized mill operations pose quantifiable risks, with manufacturing ransomware attacks causing an estimated $17 billion in downtime since 2018. These operational constraints compound tariff costs, with new home prices increasing $7,500 to $22,000 before builder markups and financing costs amplify the final impact by nearly 15%. Technological innovation is fundamentally reshaping demand patterns beyond traditional housing cycles. Cross-laminated timber (CLT) markets are growing at 13-15% annually as mass timber products displace steel and concrete in commercial construction, while wood-based nanomaterials enter high-tech applications from transparent glass substitutes to biodegradable electronics. This creates resilient demand for premium-grade wood fiber across diversified industrial sectors. Combined with precision forestry technologies - drones, LiDAR, and advanced logistics software—these innovations both support higher price points and require substantial capital investment that further elevates the cost baseline. The financialization of lumber through CME futures markets amplifies these fundamental pressures, with prices reaching $1,711 per thousand board feet in 2021 and attracting speculative capital that magnifies volatility. Investors must recognize this convergence of geopolitical mandates, chronic supply deficits, cyber-physical risks, and technology-driven demand shifts as establishing a permanently elevated price regime. The era of cheap lumber has definitively come to an end, replaced by a high-cost, high-volatility environment that requires sophisticated supply chain resilience and financial hedging strategies.

🔜 bullish move ahead!Technicals The 50 % retracement of the correction from the bullish movement from the high last April was reached. It's a healthy correction so far. We're above the EMA 17 and SMA 30 and 50 on a daily basis. An inverse shoulder-head-shoulder-formation has been built and already broken. As we have cut through the SMA 200 (red) without any major resistance the last time(s), we could consider it not a significant resistance when moving upwards. We've got a bullish seasonal pattern in HEI over the last 15 years considering Seasonality. 80 % win rate in the date range from the 24th of February until the 9th of May. Fundamentals A growth by 1.5 % in 2022 is expected in the construction sector: www.bauindustrie.de Construction volume is growing in 2022: www.tga-fachplaner.de Economic growth is expected in the construction industry: www.deutsche-handwerks-zeitung.de So I'm bullishly invested.