BTCUSD – Post-ATH ABC Correction, Upside Push in Play(Unfortunately, my original post with the exact entry was hidden due to a house rule violation. This repost only shows a later entry, as I had to publish it again after the fact.)
After reaching its all-time high, BTCUSD formed an ABC retest on the daily, with an internal ABC correction inside the daily C-wave. This structure may trigger a new upside push to retest ATH areas.
For now, I’m only interested in a quick long setup on the 4H chart:
• Target: 1 ATR
• Stop loss: 2 ATR
Confluences supporting the setup:
• Trend breaks confirming upside momentum
• Major support levels (not drawn here, but aligned in analysis)
• Elliott wave count aligning with bullish continuation
• Oscillators (RSI, MACD, Stoch) pointing to market strengthening
This bias gives me a high-probability entry, with my 0.5R target strategy consistently delivering over 80% win rate.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
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ETHUSD | Reversed 0.5R ATR Setup(Unfortunately, my original post with the exact entry was hidden due to a house rule violation. This repost only shows a later entry, as I had to publish it again after the fact.)
Setup: 0.5R target | 2 ATR stop | 1 ATR take profit
Entry idea:
Multiple confluences line up for a quick trade. Price found support at a major level, broke several trendlines to the upside, and is now retesting resistance. A safe 0.5R target is in play.
Confirmations:
• RSI trend break to the upside → market showing strength
• Elliott: 1D 5-wave structure completed, followed by an ABC correction → points to continuation higher
//This setup follows my high-probability reversed approach.
I focus on consistency with 80%+ win rate instead of chasing 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward trades.
Why?
Because a 0.5R target reduces trade time dramatically — no need to sit in positions for hours or days. Less time in trades = less stress, fewer mistakes, more consistency.//
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
XAUUSD | ATH Hit – Wave 5 Complete, ABC Correction Ahead?Gold has completed its Elliott 5th wave, reaching a new all-time high. A smaller ABC correction is now expected. While the main upside trendline is still intact, it has already been tested 3 times — giving high probability that at least a short-term break could occur. Targeting wave A’s resistance level could form a bull flag for continuation higher.
Possible correction zones:
• 3550–3580 area, where multiple supports and trendlines align
Additional confluences:
• RSI trend breaks to the downside across multiple timeframes, dipping below 50%
• Stochastics have stayed overbought for an extended period
• MACD showing a potential double-top formation, failing to reach new highs
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6600.Colleagues, the main idea is still the upward movement in the impulse of the middle wave “5”.
Wave “4” is likely to take place, because the bulls need to gain strength to update the local maximum of 6512.
The most important thing here is that the target of 6600 is a round number, which is quite attractive for buyers and limit sellers.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
S&P 500: What Is the Chart Impact of the Fed on 09/17?The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 17, will be decisive for the trajectory of U.S. equity markets at the end of 2025. Depending on Jerome Powell’s choice, scenarios range from a stock market crash to a new all-time high, with more neutral consolidation phases in between. Five possible options emerge, each with specific implications for the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000, which I describe below.
First case: no pivot.
If the Fed decides to keep rates unchanged throughout 2025 due to overly resilient inflation, then the scenario is clearly bearish. The lack of monetary support would suffocate market momentum, triggering a 20–30% crash in the S&P 500, dropping it to between 4,800 and 5,000 points. The Russell 2000, more fragile and sensitive to the macroeconomic environment, would retreat toward its critical support zone of 1,600–1,700 points.
Second case: a limited technical pivot.
The Fed might opt for just one rate cut in September or October, justified by a temporary adjustment to the labor market. In this case, markets would not see it as a strong easing signal but rather as a circumstantial gesture. Result: the S&P 500 would decline toward the 6,000–6,100 area, with a parallel correction of the Russell 2000 around 2,000 points.
Third case: a real and healthy pivot.
This is the most favorable scenario for Wall Street. Disinflation is confirmed near 2%, employment remains under control, and the Fed initiates a genuine rate-cutting cycle starting in September or October. In this context, the underlying bullish trend would regain full strength: the S&P 500 would head toward 6,700–7,000 points, while the Russell 2000 would break out of its consolidation to surpass its November 2021 record.
Fourth case: an unhealthy pivot.
Here, the Fed cuts rates in a more fragile environment: inflation remains near 3%, but it is primarily labor market deterioration that drives the decision. Markets could still find support from lower credit costs. The S&P 500 would preserve its former record at 6,200 points and likely aim for 6,700 points. The Russell 2000, more sensitive to financing conditions, would fully benefit from this easing, also surpassing its 2021 high.
Fifth case: the emergency Fed Put.
Finally, in the darkest scenario, a shock to employment would trigger a brutal Fed intervention, with a “jumbo cut” and a series of rapid rate reductions. While this support might contain the recession, the immediate reaction would be a sharp drop: the S&P 500 would plunge into bear market territory before a potential recovery tied to monetary easing. The Russell 2000 would follow the same trajectory.
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US30 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 45,509.9
Target Level: 43,969.8
Stop Loss: 46,527.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.527
Target Level: 0.524
Stop Loss: 0.530
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZDCHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on NZD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.471 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/NZD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/NZD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.111.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURUSD awaiting newsToday at 1:15 PM (London), the ECB will announce its interest rate decision.
Just 15 minutes later, U.S. inflation data will be released.
These are key events that are expected to trigger strong market moves.
It’s advisable to reduce risk on all open positions and avoid opening new ones before the news.
Once the data is out, clearer entry opportunities will appear.
Chronex | AUDUSD - BUY - A new high ahead🚀 Yo Chronex — Bias for today is live!
🎯 100 % model-driven.
No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open
CHECKLIST
H4 Structure:
H4: Order flow:
H1 Structure:
H1 Order flow:
m15 Order flow:
Entry Model:
Context Today:
🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view)
- Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session.
- Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data.
- Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list.
- Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*.
📍 Today’s Playbook:
Risks
1. Do we have economic high impact news release?
2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones?
3. Has better zone above/below?
Verdict:
💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
Gold swings violently after PPI data📊 Market Movement:
After the news, gold spiked to 3657 then quickly dropped to 3641. It is now recovering and trading around 3648, showing a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
🧭 Technical Analysis (H1):
• Resistance: 3652 – 3657
• Support: 3641 – 3638
• EMA20 is still pointing upward, but the strong wick candle shows high volatility.
• Break below 3641 → likely down to 3632 – 3628.
• Break above 3652 → likely retest 3660 – 3665.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is moving sideways in the 3641 – 3657 range.
🔻 Selling pressure is strong at the top.
🔺 Buyers are still defending around 3640.
👉 The next move depends on a breakout from this range.
Trading Strategy:
• 🔺 BUY: 3642 – 3645 | SL 3638 | TP : 40/80/200 pips
• 🔻 SELL: 3660 – 3657 | SL 3663 | TP : 40/80/200 pips
🟡 Focus on scalping within the range, wait for breakout to follow the bigger trend.
SPX500 – Retest of ATH, Bullish Flag in FormationSPX500 reached a new all-time high today and has since pulled back to retest the previous ATH level. The structure remains intact, and price is shaping up into a potential bullish flag, signaling continuation higher.
Confluences:
• Oscillators showing bullish momentum
• No major trends broken
• Small pullback likely enough for a bounce toward retesting the new ATH
On the 1H chart, this lines up with a quick 0.5R setup:
• Target: 1 ATR
• Stop loss: 2 ATR
Unfortunately, I didn’t notice the post was set to private instead of public.
Here’s the private link where you can view the original setup:
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
EUR-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD went down
And made a retest of the
Horizontal support level
Of 1.9656 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish reaction so a
Further move up is to
Be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ORCL – Historical +40% Move to ATH, Wave 5 CompletedMy original post was hidden due to a house rule violation, but I’m sharing the setup again here:
Oracle just made a historical one-day gain of over 40% with a gap-up at market open — the largest single-day move in its history. This instantly fulfilled Elliott Wave 5 and pushed price to new all-time highs.
From here, consolidation is expected with an ABC correction, which has not yet started but is likely to begin from this ATH level. At minimum, a 23.6% retracement is highly probable for the first leg, with further direction depending on market structure. The open gap also sits below the 23.6% retracement and will need to be filled at some point.
This is considered a high-probability concept even against the trend, as the plan is to aim for a tight 0.5R trade (1 ATR target, 2 ATR stop loss on the 4H chart). Oscillators don’t play a role here — all are overbought in the uptrend without trend breaks — but this is a different type of entry setup under the Trading Unicorn approach.
Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do not place trades solely based on this setup.
USDCAD: Bullish For The Near Term?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USDCAD
Last Week I was looking for weakness in the USDCAD. It traded through the bearish FVG on the Daily, moving higher as the CAD turned out to be even weaker last week.
Look for this to continue for the upcoming week, as there is internal range liquidity (IRL) drawing price higher for a short term gains.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
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Oracle’s surge mints new richest man & Traders eye 50bps cutOracle’s shares jumped 35% after reporting a surge in cloud bookings driven by AI demand. The rally propelled CEO Larry Ellison above Elon Musk to the top of the global wealth rankings.
In contrast, Apple fell 3% as its iPhone 17 launch failed to impress. Its new AirPods Pro 3, which can translate languages in real time, has generated some buzz and excitement though.
On the economic front, U.S. producer price inflation (PPI) declined 0.1% in August, defying expectations for a 0.3% increase.
It was the first monthly drop in four months and added momentum to the view that disinflation is back on track ahead of Thursday’s consumer price index (CPI) report.
The combination of softer PPI data and weaker-than-expected NFP data last week has strengthened speculation that the Federal Reserve could deliver a larger-than-expected 50 basis point rate cut next week.
What's up with Altcoins 👀Let's look at the TOTAL3, as you can see from Fibonacci, this cycle of altcoins sold off much stronger, they did not test the 0.5 zone.
Even if we take into account the growth of stablecoins, altcoins still look oversold and I would expect an exit from the 0.23 zone.↗️
🧐Many alt-season skeptics say that #bitcoin dominance still has room to grow, here I can say that stablecoins and a larger alt-season in 2021 should be taken into account, this has not happened before. Therefore, if these factors are taken into account, the dominance of Bitcoin is now at quite high levels. This is also a possible positive for altcoins.
The 5+1 Fears Every Investor Faces And How To Overcome themThe 5+1 Fears Every Investor Faces And How To Overcome them
Trading isn’t just about charts and numbers, it’s about handling emotions.
I would love to read about your fears in trading and how you are overcoming them.
I choose the 5 most common fears, some affected me a lot in the past and others not that much, but I know are all very common in the Traders community.
#1 Fear of Losing Money
The obvious one.
Every loss used to feel like failure . I’d hold trades too long, hoping they’d turn around while loses kept accumulating in the trade.
This is essential, is like understanding that the most important thing when you drive is avoiding a collision! If you have a big accident, you are out. The game is over.
Trading is the same, a big accident means you are out. Your account is wiped and you can’t do anything to reverse tha t.
To stay alive in the market , I learned to risk small (1–2% max), diversify across sectors, countries, tight stops, steady take profits and different trade directions. That way, even if I lose, I can move on without blowing up my account.
This is an example:
Today, If I do a Montecarlo simulation into my account the risk of losing a 25% is under 0,1%. You can learn how to do so in my profile newsletter.
#2 Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
I used to chase breakouts just because everyone else was already in , usually at the worst possible price, on the worst possible day.
Now, if I miss the move, I simply let it go.
I remind myself there are countless stocks, currencies, metals, and cryptos out there waiting for me.
Why waste money on expired opportunities?
My rule is simple: it’s always better to miss a trade that’s already gone than to miss the next one that’s just around the corner.
So I keep searching.
#3 Fear of Being Wrong
This is my favorite !
Once I understood that t rading is about balancing wins and losses in a healthy way, everything changed.
Mistakes stopped feeling like failures and started to look like what they really are, necessary steps forward, even if you can’t see it in the moment.
For me, it’s just like sports : no basketball team wins a game without the rival scoring points. No football team wins a championship without losing some matches. No tennis player wins every single point.
So yes, you must make mistakes . They’re simply part of the process . The key is not to let them wipe out your account and trigger Fear #1.
#4 Fear of Overtrading / Freezing
This is an unknown fear for most traders. But must be a big one for you all.
If you trade so often, you are probably entering at tons of unnecessary trades which are undermining your returns, but if you never decide to trade you are missing big opportunities.
So having clear entry and exit reasons helped me a lot to hold a reasonable investment rithm.
#5 Fear of the next big crisis
The market is rallying … and that little voice kicks in: What if I’m the one who doesn’t see the crash coming? What if I get stuck in a bear market for years? Are we heading toward a crisis worse than 2009, or even 1929?
Trust me, that fear is more common than you think . You are not alone!!
In my case, trading short-term has given me the freedom to hold long-term positions without hesitation. In fact, I actually get excited when markets decline , it means I can move more money into long-term opportunities.
Right now, most of my portfolio is in short-term trades, some of which I’ve already shared with you here. The results? They’re fully transparent and published on my website (coming soon).
An example of short term trade even though knowing it was a super good long term entry.
#6 The Bonus: Fear of Success
Yes, this one is wild.
I was two years knowing exactly how to make money in the market , but somehow, I couldn’t succeed.
I kept sabotaging myself and my investments by doing stupid things outside my strategy.
You need to believe in yourself, and stay cold as ice. Avoid news, avoid gurus. You vs the market!
Follow your rules, and review them regularly. If a rule isn’t adding value, feel free to tweak or remove it, but never change nor break your rules in the middle of a trading day.
Day after day, you’ll start to realize that yes, it is possible to earn money in the market. Gradually, your confidence grows, and eventually, it feels effortless, like riding a bike on a sunny day. Pure joy.
Final Thoughts
Fear doesn’t disappear, but you can manage it.
Taking small risks, following clear rules, and accepting that you’ll never catch every market move may sound obvious, but they’re far from common among traders.
#8392025 | AUDJPY Selling opportunity 1:4 AUDJPY Selling opportunity Appears in H4 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Sell
Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:4
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
"DISCLAIMER" Trading & investing business is "Very Profitable" as well as risky, so any trading or investment decision should be made after Consultation with Certified & Regulated Investment Advisors, by Carefully Considering your Financial Situation.