FOMC 100% Breakout (Check) - Key Resistance and 6500 Gamma PinFOMC was in fact a NOISE candle
So I measured the candle, projected a 100% breakout bullish and bearish
Bulls took the bait and ran higher, but still resistance @ 6700 seen today and hopefully
a short-term window to see a bit of a slide lower into some technical levels
EMA support levels
-watching the 21 period daily EMA
-watching the 50 period daily EMA
6550 FOMC candle lows from last week
6500 Gamma Pin with JP Morgan's quarterly collar trade
This is the first day in several weeks where I've seen some actual follow through
in negative gamma option flows
If futures grinds prices lower, the cascade may take hold and we can see a 100-200 point
selloff quickly in the S&P
I still like scooping up premium and buying the dips, but hopefully at more attractive levels
like 4-5% lower or even 8-10% lower
Let's see how it plays out. I'll be in the markets grinding per usual.
Thanks for watching!!!
Contains IO script
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – GOLD ANALYSIS (23/09/2025 – Evening UpdGold is trading around 3,775–3,776, consolidating just below intraday resistance after hitting a session high of 3,791. Momentum is still bullish on higher timeframes, but intraday signals show indecision as price rotates between support and resistance zones.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
Daily (D1):
• Trend remains bullish, holding well above the 21 EMA (3,722) and 50 EMA (3,652).
• Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact.
• Resistance: 3,786–3,791 zone is key supply.
• Support: 3,752–3,745 intraday demand zone.
1H Chart:
• Price is consolidating under 3,786 resistance.
• EMA cluster at 3,768–3,760 acting as immediate support.
• MACD: Bullish histogram fading – showing slowing momentum.
• RSI hovering ~60, neutral but not overbought.
15M Chart:
• Price is ranging between 3,779–3,770.
• Support at 3,770–3,767 holding so far.
• Repeated rejection at 3,779–3,782 signals short-term supply.
• Structure: Sideways, waiting for breakout.
5M Chart:
• Price action chopping between 3,782 resistance and 3,770–3,767 support.
• MACD flatlining, RSI neutral – confirming range conditions.
⸻
🟡 Fibonacci Golden Zone
Using the latest swing low (3,741) to high (3,791):
• 38.2% Fib = 3,772
• 50% Fib = 3,766
• 61.8% Fib = 3,760
➡️ The golden zone is 3,772–3,760, a high-probability demand zone for bullish continuation if retested.
⸻
⚖ High-Probability Entries
Buy Setup (preferred while above 3,760):
• Entry: 3,772–3,760 (Fib zone)
• SL: 3,754 (≈60 pips from 3,760)
• TP: 3,782 → 3,791 → 3,800
Sell Setup (only if rejection holds at resistance):
• Entry: 3,786–3,791 rejection
• SL: 3,797 (≈60 pips from 3,791)
• TP: 3,772 → 3,766 → 3,760
⸻
⚡ Scalping Opportunities (M5 & M15 focus, ≤60 pips SL)
• Buy scalp: 3,767–3,760 → TP 3,775–3,780 (SL 3,754)
• Sell scalp: 3,786–3,791 → TP 3,775–3,770 (SL 3,797)
⸻
📅 Key Breakout Levels
• Bullish continuation: Break & hold above 3,791 → unlocks 3,800–3,808.
• Bearish retracement: Break & hold below 3,760 → exposes 3,752 → 3,741.
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below 3,791 resistance, with the Fib golden zone (3,772–3,760) acting as intraday demand. Bias remains bullish while above 3,760, but sellers may defend 3,786–3,791. Scalpers can trade between the Fib zone and resistance until a breakout defines the next leg.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team
Calculated risky Scalp I had the vision from the XAU-BTC Chart that the retest of the double bottom could be a Wickoff reversal pattern) = Gold outperforming BTC ( some confirmation =+12% Past Month)
I believe that BTC has currently begun a Mark Down process after his last point of supply. It's still resilient tho.
-Currently holding Gold Long and BTC Short for long term.
-For Scalp Play I'm about to try Gold Short and add a bit on my BTC short.
1.There's a probability that this Big Order block on Gold-BTC Chart will be Eaten slowly with a BTC having a bigger drop in %.
2. When I study the Liquidation Level on Gold. There's missing liquidity pool to reach the next Daily Target at 3910$. It's hard to tell exactly where Market would like to stop and accumulate liquidity to reach that pool so will leave margin to enter if Gold push up again (SL 3838$)
3. I see Gold is on the Edge of the Wedge.
4. There's liquidity to grab down low, I would Gold Bulls would definitely like to reach those pools to add on their positions.
Market will continue to eat the current bearish Order blockI had the vision from the retest of the double bottom (Wickoff reversal pattern) that Gold had the possibility to outperform Gold from now on) (+12% Past Month)
I believe that BTC has currently begun a Mark Down process after his last point of supply.
Currently holding Gold Long and BTC Short for long term.
For Scalp Play I'm about to try Gold Short and BTC Short. There's a probability that this Big Order block will be Eaten slowly with a BTC underperforming Gold in % drop.
I will be more aggressive on BTC short and and will leave some margin on Gold if it climb a bit up.(up to my SL 3839)
Outlandish XRP IdeaI took a fractal from the 2017 XRP Bull Run and took the 50 moving average and the 250 moving average and found a pattern. A similar flush happened before extreme take off. Not saying the same thing will happen, cause my base case idea is posted, but just wanted to put it out there cause it would be awesome if it did.
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) Update🚨 BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) Update 🚨
After completing the bearish wave I mentioned in my last analysis, BTC.D has now started retracing. The timing is very important here, because it happened exactly when Bitcoin was rejected from its bullish move. ⚡
👉 This is dangerous for altcoins – if Bitcoin falls while dominance rises, alts can face heavy pressure.
📌 Key retracement levels (Arrows):
* Arrow #3 → First retracement level. If dominance breaks this, expect continuation.
* Arrow #2 & Arrow #1 → Next important levels.
* Arrow #1 is the MOST important because it aligns with both weekly & daily retracement zones from the bearish move.
💡 But as I always remind: Monday is not a pattern day. We need the daily candle close to confirm the real direction.
✅ What to do if analysis confirms?
* Take profits on alts and park liquidity to re-enter later when reversal is confirmed.
* If you still want to hold, at least scale out partially to protect gains.
⚠️ Second Scenario: If BTC.D breaks Arrow #4 and the 58% level on the daily, that’s the bearish confirmation for alts.
🚀 Stay sharp, stay disciplined! The key is preserving profits and being ready for the next golden entry. Market always rewards patience.
BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead!🚨 BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead! 🚨
Bitcoin has just made a very dangerous move on the weekly chart. We’ve closed with a Doji candle right at a major weekly resistance level – and price already broke down from that candle’s range. ⚠️
Why is this dangerous?
👉 Because the market has only done a shallow retracement on the higher timeframe so far. If BTC had broken above the yellow line (Arrow #1), it would’ve been a strong bullish signal. But since the breakout failed, rejection here could send price back for a deeper retracement.
📍 The deeper retracement zone sits near 100k (Arrow #5) – a level to watch very closely.
At the same time, I’ve marked two critical decision points on the chart:
* 116,310 (Arrow #1)
* 113,460 (Arrow #2)
✅ Breaking above/below these levels will be the real decision point for Bitcoin’s next big move – whether we go higher or prepare for a deeper correction.
⚡️ Reminder: Mondays are usually manipulation-heavy days in crypto. Best strategy is to wait for today’s candle to close before deciding on a buy or sell.
Next step 👉 I’ll also publish the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart to see how altcoins might react. Stay patient, stay sharp – the market is about to reveal its hand!
🔥 Discipline + Patience = Profit 🔥
Bitcoin | Falling Wedge Breakout – Bulls Eye $123K📖 Bitcoin has been consolidating inside a falling wedge on the 4H timeframe.
A breakout has just occurred, with the first target zone near $117,000.
Multiple CHoCH + BOS signals hint at a possible bullish trend reversal.
If momentum holds, upside continuation toward $123K is on the table.
🔹 Invalidation: Below $107K (wedge low).
🔹 Confluence: Liquidity sweep + market structure shift.
Solana's short-term pullback resets Overbought RSISolana's 1st attempt to break out from the $252 Multi-year resistance failed and triggered a short-term bearish reaction, causing the price to fall all the way to $213.87. A long wick was created due to a quick bounce from $213.87; it is also showing good support on the Fib .618 ($220.49) level.
The pullback also resets the overbought RSI of Solana, which is a healthy move, seeing it as an opportunity to gather strength for another leg up. The over-extended MA20 has also crossed the daily candle, showing another sign of good retracement gearing for another bounce.
The weekly cup-and-handle pattern was still intact, targeting a measured move of $520.
From a fundamental perspective, given that Solana has institutional adoption and pending ETF approvals in October 2025, Solana is still considered highly undervalued.
Silver 3 Month chart📊 Silver 3M Long-Term Chart Analysis
🚀 Price has once again approached historical resistance levels near $45 - $47.9 after decades of consolidation.
🔹 Major Support: $37.90
🔹 Resistance Zone: $47.90 – $49.83
🔹 Next Psychological Level: $55.70
Disclaimer (SEBI guidelines):
This chart and analysis is shared only for educational and informational purposes. It should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not a SEBI registered advisor.
Avantis Breakout Targets $2.17 After Apex ResolutionAfter consolidating in an apex formation of higher lows and lower highs, Aventis has broken out decisively. Strong bullish influxes backed the move, confirming that buyers are in control of the trend.
Key Technical Points
- Apex Zone: Breakout from dynamic support and resistance convergence.
- Measured Move: Target calculated at $2.17.
- 55% Upside: Potential gains from current trade location.
The equilibrium pattern reflected tightening price action before pressure resolved to the upside. The breakout aligns with rising demand and volume, both essential for continuation. The technical target of $2.17 is measured from the preceding pole of price action before equilibrium formed.
This suggests that momentum could carry Aventis significantly higher if inflows persist. Failure to maintain volume could lead to a retest of the breakout zone, but structure currently favors bulls.
What to Expect
Aventis is likely to continue its bullish expansion toward $2.17. Traders should monitor volume, as continuation depends on sustained buying pressure.
SOL: Clear ReversalOn September 15, I opened a short on the 4-hour chart at $237 with 10x leverage. The move down was quick: TP1 was closed at $233 and TP2 at $230. A $7 difference per coin, amplified by leverage, delivered a solid result. The maximum of the trade came exactly at $230 before the market reversed.
The focus here was not on trying to take everything but on following structure. Levels had been mapped in advance, and I executed step by step according to plan. This allowed me to control the trade calmly, without panic or guesswork.
When trading is built systematically, even sharp moves become manageable. It’s clear where to take profit, where to hold, and where to stop. With leverage, this becomes especially critical: risk stays under control, and decisions are made without emotional pressure.
The market will always move in its own way, sometimes offering more, sometimes less. But discipline and consistency make the outcome predictable. Every such trade proves that success comes not from luck, but from a systematic approach and the ability to stay on course.
SOL: Controlled Growth On September 8, I entered a long on the 4-hour chart at $206.16 with 15x leverage. The trade is still active, but the fourth profit level has already been secured at $222. The move was strong: about $16 per coin difference, with the maximum push before reversal reaching $248.
The key in this trade was not trying to squeeze everything out but strictly following the plan. Levels were defined in advance, and each of them worked out clearly. This allowed me to hold the position calmly, even as the market accelerated.
When trading is built on a systematic approach, decisions are made without rush. Clear profit-taking points, well-defined control zones, and structured scenarios guide the process. Even when using leverage, risk stays manageable, and emotions do not interfere with logic.
The market will always deliver moves bigger or smaller than expected. But discipline and structure make the outcome predictable. When trading shifts from chaos to a plan, every position becomes a step in a consistent strategy where results are defined not by chance but by the system.
TON: Precise ExecutionOn September 19, I entered a short at $3.1313 on the 1-hour chart, using 20x leverage. The trade is still active, but the first two profit stages have already been secured. TP1 was closed at $3.0941, and TP2 at $3.0536. The difference of about 8 cents per coin, with such leverage, delivered a noticeable result.
The key here was not prediction but consistency. Levels were marked in advance, and the entire trade unfolded strictly according to plan. This approach makes it easier to handle each price swing calmly and to hold the position without chaotic reactions.
When trading is built on structure, trade management becomes straightforward. Clear profit-taking points, control zones, and development scenarios are already defined. Even with aggressive leverage, risk stays manageable, and emotions do not interfere with the process.
Yes, the move down showed potential for more, but the trader’s task is not to take everything. The real goal is to work systematically and steadily. Discipline and a clear plan turn the market from chaos into a space of opportunities, where results are defined by logic rather than chance.
The IMPORTANCE of a Structure Break - SELL EURAUDAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Fartcoin Faces Breakdown Risk Below $0.93After two failed attempts to reclaim $0.93, Fartcoin has slipped back to key Fibonacci support. The market is at a decisive point where either a bounce occurs or further downside accelerates.
Key Technical Points
- Double Rejection: $0.93 resistance rejected twice.
- 0.618 Fibonacci: Current support under test.
- Breakdown Target: Loss of support opens path to $0.51.
Analysis
Price action highlights clear weakness, with $0.93 acting as a ceiling. Holding the Fibonacci level is critical; a bounce here could rotate price back to retest $0.93. However, if broken, the next logical support lies at $0.51, representing a significant technical breakdown.
Market structure suggests sellers remain in control until price reclaims resistance. Bulls must defend current levels to avoid continuation lower.
What to Expect
Fartcoin sits at a make-or-break level. A rebound keeps $0.93 in play, but a breakdown exposes $0.51 as the next downside target.
Heading North if you study XAU-BTC (TV) we have also a possible Wickoff reversal with that clean retest of the last double bottom.
When I check the cluster of liquidity on BTC we have fuel to start the Mark down.
Remember that the recent drop at 107k 98k and 74k could have strategically made to have a cost efficiency in the next market correction with those daily liquidation pool from the Long. (sell order)
Supports are 100k; 89k and 79k on BTC.
For Gold. I see liquidaiton daily level up to 4500$, I believe we can go higher.
Remember if BTC down abrutly, the chart XAU-BTC will go up if Gold keep Steady or hold better...
Big Market Correction incoming ?if you study the USDT.D we have a possible retest off the double bottom at 3.98 (possible Wickoff reversal) + we have big huge fair value gap around 7%.
I know it sounds a bit impossible to reach at the moment, be careful still.
if you study XAU-BTC (TV) we have also a possible Wickoff reversal with that clean retest of the last double bottom.
When I check the cluster of liquidity on BTC we have fuel to start the Mark down.
Remember that the recent drop at 107k 98k and 74k could have strategically made to have a cost efficiency in the next market correction with those daily liquidation pool from the Long. (sell order)
Supports are 100k; 89k and 79k on BTC






















