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Manipulation: Trading the Pullback Into Institutional ImbalanceH1 Long Setup At the time of analysis, the H1 price is trading at 77,350.95, following a clear bullish impulse on the hourly chart. Rather than chasing strength, the higher-probability play is to wait for a controlled retracement into a zone where institutional activity is already confirmed. This plan focuses on entering long on a pullback into a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) that aligns with an order block and a structure retest, allowing risk to be defined tightly while targeting continuation. Market Structure & Bias (H1) The hourly structure shows a textbook bullish Break of Structure (BOS), followed by a measured pullback. Prior to the impulse, price swept liquidity below a minor swing low, a classic Smart Money Concepts (SMC) signature. The subsequent displacement created an imbalance, confirming institutional participation rather than random retail momentum. SMC logic therefore supports a continuation long, provided price returns to the imbalance in an orderly manner. Any signs of distribution, failed BOS, or aggressive bearish expansion into the zone would invalidate this bias. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Analysis The H1 FVG sits between 76,830 and 77,050, formed by a strong three-candle bullish impulse with a large-bodied middle candle and minimal wicks. The AI-optimized FVG indicator flags this zone as: Bullish Unmitigated Recent and high priority (H1 timeframe) Because of this, the preferred execution is at the upper boundary of the FVG: Entry: 77,050.00 If the FVG is fully mitigated before price reaches the entry, the setup is cancelled. No exceptions. Order Block Confluence Order Block Detection identifies a bullish order block inside the FVG, roughly 76,900–77,050. This block was created by an absorption candle immediately followed by strong bullish continuation, a sign of active accumulation. This confluence tightens execution rules: Entry is only valid on a bullish rejection from the FVG/order block area. If price trades into the zone but fails to print a convincing rejection candle (engulfing, hammer, or strong close off lows), there is no entry and no scaling. The overlap of FVG + order block significantly increases the probability that this zone acts as defended support. Momentum & Trend Filters RSI (H1): RSI is holding in the mid-60s, signaling bullish momentum without overbought conditions. This supports continuation after a pullback rather than exhaustion. Bearish RSI divergence on the retest would be a clear reason to abort the trade. Moving Averages (H1): Price is trading above the 50-EMA (~76,800), and the 50-EMA is above the 200-EMA, confirming a bullish hourly trend. Notably, the 50-EMA aligns closely with the lower edge of the FVG, reinforcing it as dynamic support and justifying the stop placement below the zone. MACD (H1): MACD recently printed a bullish crossover with expanding positive histogram during the impulse that formed the FVG. Ideal entry conditions include a stable or re-accelerating histogram on the rejection candle. A fresh bearish MACD cross during the retest invalidates the setup. Volume Context Hourly volume (~422.8) expanded during the bullish impulse that created the FVG, suggesting institutional participation. On the retrace, volume should contract, showing reduced selling pressure. A valid entry requires volume expansion on the bullish rejection from the FVG. Weak or absent volume on rejection reduces conviction and calls for skipping the trade or reducing size. Support, Resistance & Targets Support / Entry Zone: 76,830–77,050 (FVG + order block confluence) Immediate Resistance: 78,150–78,500 Higher Resistance: 78,900–79,950 Targets are aligned with opposing structure and imbalances, scaled to H1 volatility. Trade Plan (H1) Entry: 77,050.00 (buy limit or enter on bullish rejection inside the FVG/order block) Stop Loss: 76,228.00 (beyond FVG/order block, ~1.07% below entry) Risk per Contract: 822.00 USD Take Profits: TP1 (Exit): 78,283.00 — 1.5R (conservative primary objective) TP2: 78,950.00 — next H1 structure TP3: 79,900.00 — extended target at the next imbalance Execution Rules: Wait for a clear bullish rejection candle inside 76,830–77,050. Confirm Order Block Detection and SMC remain bullish at entry. MACD histogram should be stable or turning positive. Cancel the trade if the FVG is fully mitigated beforehand or if rejection occurs on strong bearish volume. Risk & News Considerations Risk per trade is defined and controlled (~1.07% of entry price), with a 1:1.5 primary reward to maintain discipline. No major macro or crypto-specific events are listed in the next 72 hours, so this setup is driven purely by technical confluence. Any unexpected high-impact exchange or regulatory headlines should pause execution until volatility stabilizes. Final Summary This H1 setup presents a high-quality continuation long built on aligned Fair Value Gap, order block, and Smart Money Concepts signals. A patient entry at 77,050, protected by a well-defined stop at 76,228, and staged targets at 78,283 / 78,950 / 79,900 offers a structured, volatility-aware trade plan. Discipline is key: wait for confirmation, respect invalidation rules, and let the market come to the zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CompsAI
2
GPSUSDT.P: long setup from daily resistance at 0.008500SETUP SUMMARY BINANCE:GPSUSDT.P is holding well below the level, considering yesterday’s strong rally. Usually, a correction is expected, but we see the asset sticking nearly to the level and consolidating clearly and calmly, without sharp moves — this is a sign of a confident buyer. About 2 hours ago, there was a false breakout, and this is now the key factor to watch: whether a correction follows it. If not, it is a strong long signal. If a correction occurs, it means sellers are blocking the upside, and we will need to wait for a new approach and re-evaluate the overall picture. Therefore, the shallower the correction and the faster the re-test of the level, the better. PRO-THESIS FACTORS: volatility contraction on approach impulse absorption at the level close retest price compression (Squeeze) (4h) lack of rejection after false break at-level close ADVERSE FACTORS: overhead congestion lack of accumulation Leave your thoughts on the setup in the comments. Follow this profile to monitor all upcoming ideas
Long
by The_Traders_House
CHZUSDT – All Eyes on Vision Reveal: Key Levels to WatchChiliz (CHZ) rallied +142% off November’s lows, sweeping May’s highs and triggering stop runs on the bears. But momentum has cooled — price has now retraced over 50% ahead of the highly anticipated vision reveal scheduled for Tuesday. Is this the calm before another leg up — or the setup for a classic "sell the news" move? 🟩 Support Zones to Watch 🔹 $0.04429 – Key support where bulls stepped in on Jan 31, rejecting bears after a stop raid below the Jan 6 swing low at $0.04253. This aligns with Dec 29’s bullish weekly void and the midpoint of last week’s long lower wick — strong confluence. 🔹 $0.04091 – Higher-timeframe support: the bullish monthly void from December, overlapping with an unfilled portion of Dec 29’s weekly void. Inside this zone: $0.04091 – $0.03982: Weekly void from Dec 31. $0.03948 – $0.03827: Weekly void from Dec 30 — possible last line of defense if selloff deepens. 🟥 Resistance & Upside Targets 🔸 $0.04672 – Resistance from Jan 30’s distribution zone at the 40-day EMA, overlapping Jan 5’s now-invalidated bullish weekly void. Breakout scenario: If the vision reveal beats expectations, price could push into: $0.05061 – Jan 29 bearish daily void, confluent with: Jan 25 accumulation Jan 27 distribution
by Richtv_official
ENA / USDT – Daily OutlookENA remains in a bearish higher timeframe structure, continuing to respect the descending daily trendline. Price is still forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating no confirmed trend reversal. The previous daily support has been cleanly broken and is now acting as resistance. Market Structure HTF structure remains bearish No daily MSS to the upside Current price action is corrective within a downtrend Key Observations October downside wick has been fully filled Price is trading back inside the lower range The 50% retracement aligns perfectly with the broken support This level now acts as a clear S/R flip Trend Context Price remains below the daily descending trendline No daily close above resistance No acceptance above reclaimed structure Key Levels HTF Resistance / 50% Retracement: 0.18 – 0.19 Trendline Reclaim: ~0.25 HTF Support: ~0.12 Invalidation: Daily close above trendline + reclaimed support Bias HTF Bias: Bearish Expectation: Corrective moves only until structure shifts As long as price remains below the trendline and reclaimed resistance, upside moves are considered corrective. Will ENA manage to reclaim structure, or is this just another lower high? MrC
by Mrctradinglab
XMR Trade Setup – Eyes on the Reversal ZoneXMR is currently ~50% below its ATH, with recent price action unable to hold above the critical $410 resistance. This breakdown has opened the door to further downside, with the next major support zone becoming a key area to watch. If sentiment improves, this zone could act as a reversal base. 🔍 Potential Entry Zone: $323 – $343 This range aligns with historical demand and may attract fresh buyers. It's where I'm looking for a reaction before confirming any setup. 🎯 Targets: TP1: $410 TP2: $480 TP3: $620 🛑 Stop-Loss: $296 Below key structure – protects against deeper breakdowns. Waiting for confirmation in the zone. Risk management is key. 🕒 Patience wins. Let price come to you.
Long
by Richtv_official
ETH at Big Support: Hold or Break?ETH is now retesting the $2000 support zone, a level that has acted as a major decision point multiple times in the past. Each time ETH reached this area, the market paused, reacted, and chose its next direction carefully. From a structure perspective, this is not a random level. It’s a long-term support that previously flipped roles between resistance and support, making it a key battlefield between buyers and sellers. As long as this support holds, the focus remains on stabilization and potential recovery attempts from this zone.📈 But if this level fails, the door opens for a deeper move toward the lower demand area highlighted below.📉 Will buyers defend it one more time… or is this where the structure finally gives way? 👀 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr.
by TheSignalyst
9
Solana: ready for a bounce? key levels and targets to watchSolana. Tired of watching this thing bleed or are you secretly hunting that oversold bounce? Altcoins have been under pressure lately as traders de-risk on macro jitters and rotate back into majors, and SOL got hit extra hard after the recent run-up. That flush cleaned out a lot of late longs, which is exactly where bounces often start. On the 4H chart price is parked around 102-105, right on a chunky volume node that acted as support before. RSI is still near oversold but curling up, and we have a small sideways range after the waterfall - classic pause after panic. I lean to a corrective move up toward 112-118 as long as this local base holds, with sellers likely waiting at the previous breakdown zone. I might be wrong, but this looks more like quiet accumulation than a dead cat to me. ✅ My plan: watch for a sweep of 100 and quick reclaim as a long trigger, targeting that 112-118 pocket where I’d start taking profit. If 100 breaks and price starts closing below 98 with momentum, the idea is invalidated and opens room to 92-94, where the next demand zone sits. For now I’m flat and waiting for either a clean reclaim for longs or a breakdown to fade the bounce.
by Trade_Logic_AI
GBP/USD Chart Pattern..Overall downtrend (descending trendline respected) Price reacted from a demand zone (yellow box) Now attempting a trendline break / pullback Ichimoku cloud still acting as dynamic resistance This looks like a corrective move up, not full trend reversal yet. 🎯 Targets (Buy-from-demand → correction) ✅ Upside Targets (if holding buy) 🎯 Target 1 (TP1): 1.3775 – 1.3785 Previous structure + minor resistance Good partial profit zone 🎯 Target 2 (TP2): 1.3830 – 1.3845 Major resistance / trendline retest Matches My drawn “Target Point” 👉 I would book most profits here ❌ Invalidation / Risk Area If price breaks and closes below 1.3640 Demand fails → continuation down likely 🔄 Alternative Scenario (If rejection happens) If price rejects strongly from: 1.3780 or 1.3830 Then downside targets reopen: 1.3680 1.3640 (demand retest) 📌 Quick Summary Bias: Pullback bullish, overall trend still bearish Main Target: 1.3780 Extended Target: 1.3835 Trend traders: sell near upper target Scalpers: partial at TP1, trail rest
Long
by XAUxBTC_Pro
6
BTCUSDT Long: Breakdown, Fakeout & Potential Rebound To $79,300Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (3H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT was previously trading within a well-defined ascending channel, where price consistently respected rising support and resistance, printing higher highs and higher lows. This structure confirmed strong bullish control and healthy trend continuation. However, as price reached the upper boundary of the channel near the pivot point, buying momentum started to fade. After failing to sustain above the channel resistance, BTC broke below the lower channel boundary, marking the first clear breakdown of bullish structure and signaling a potential trend shift. Following the channel breakdown, price entered a consolidation range, where the market paused and volatility compressed. This range acted as a distribution phase rather than accumulation, as buyers failed to reclaim previous highs. Eventually, BTC broke down from the range, confirming bearish continuation and accelerating the move to the downside. The sell-off gained strength with successive breakdowns, pushing price toward the lower part of the chart. Currently, BTCUSDT is reacting around a key Demand Zone near 75,700, where a fake breakout below demand suggests that selling pressure is temporarily weakening. Buyers have stepped in aggressively from this area, triggering a short-term rebound. Above the current price, the 79,300 Supply Zone stands out as a major resistance level, aligning with previous support turned resistance and acting as a critical decision point for the market. My primary scenario favors a corrective bullish rebound as long as price holds above the 75,700 Demand Zone. A sustained defense of this level could allow BTC to recover toward the 79,300 Supply Zone as a first upside target, representing a technical pullback within a broader bearish structure. However, strong rejection from the 79,300 supply would likely confirm that sellers remain in control, potentially leading to another bearish continuation leg. A decisive breakdown and acceptance below the Demand Zone would invalidate the bounce scenario and open the door for further downside expansion. For now, BTC is at a key reaction area, and confirmation from price behavior near supply and demand will be crucial. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
13
EURUSD Short: Rally Stalls at Supply - Key Reaction Near 1.1800Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD has recently completed a notable structural shift after trading within a well-defined descending channel. During this phase, price consistently respected the falling resistance and printed lower highs and lower lows, confirming short-term bearish control. This bearish structure eventually reached a key pivot low, where selling pressure weakened and buyers began to step in. From this pivot point, EURUSD broke out of the descending channel, signaling the end of the corrective phase and the start of a bullish recovery. Currently, EURUSD is pulling back from the supply area along the descending supply line, indicating a corrective retracement rather than a full trend reversal. Below the current price, the Demand Zone near 1.1800 stands out as a key level. This zone represents previous resistance turned support and aligns with the base of the impulsive move, making it a critical area for buyers to defend. My primary scenario favors a pullback toward the 1.1800 Demand Zone while price remains below the descending supply line and the 1.1880–1.1900 Supply Zone. A controlled retracement into demand could provide a healthy correction within the broader bullish recovery structure, potentially setting the stage for another upside attempt. However, a strong rejection from the supply line followed by a clean breakdown and acceptance below 1.1800 would invalidate the bullish recovery scenario and signal a return to bearish pressure. Conversely, a decisive breakout and acceptance above the 1.1900 Supply Zone would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside expansion. For now, EURUSD is at a key decision point, and patience is required as price reacts between supply and demand. Manage your risk!
Short
by heniitrading
27
BNB: are sellers finally tired? key levels and targets aheadBinance Coin. Who else is watching this post‑crash chop and wondering if the sellers are finally tired? Exchange tokens are still under pressure after the latest regulatory headlines, and BNB just printed a proper elevator‑down move, so everyone’s nerves are fried. On the 4H chart price got smashed through the 840 support and is now ranging in the 750‑780 pocket where we’ve got a fat horizontal volume node. RSI bounced out of oversold with a small bullish divergence, so I’m leaning toward a relief pop into the first supply band around 810‑830. I might be wrong, but this looks more like capitulation than the start of Armageddon. My base plan: look for longs on dips while BNB holds above 760, with targets into 810‑830 and a tight invalidation below 740 ⚠️. If 740 gives way on strong volume, I drop the long idea and expect a slide toward 700‑680 with shorts on a clean retest of broken support. I’m waiting for a clear 4H candle confirmation before committing size.
by Trade_Logic_AI
USDT: are we due for a relief rally? key levels to monitorMarket Cap USDT Dominance. Ready for a crypto relief rally or is fear just getting started? While majors cooled off after the latest macro jitters and profit taking, traders have been hiding in stables, and dominance spiked hard according to market data. Now price is stalling right at the local highs, so this level suddenly matters a lot. On the 4H chart we’ve got a vertical pump into 7.1–7.3% plus RSI sitting in overbought and already curling down – classic “too much, too fast” vibes. Biggest volume shelf is down around 6.3–6.4%, so any unwind of fear can send dominance back into that value zone, which usually means a bounce for BTC and alts. I might be wrong, but current structure looks more like a blow‑off than the start of a calm uptrend. My base case ✅ rejection below 7.2% and a pullback toward 6.4% and possibly 6.2%, where I’d look to add risk on strong coins. Trigger for me is a 4H close back under 7.0% with RSI dropping from overbought. ⚠️ If buyers smash through 7.3% and hold above, then I’ll respect the squeeze, expect 7.5%+ on dominance and stay defensive on alt exposure.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Trade_Logic_AI
USDCAD Breakout DoneUSDCAD is showing a bullish reversal structure after breaking out of a sustained descending channel, with price reclaiming short term resistance and forming higher lows, signaling a shift from bearish control into accumulation and early trend transition. The recent upside momentum aligns with firm US dollar demand driven by resilient US economic data, elevated Treasury yields, and cautious risk sentiment, while the Canadian dollar faces mixed pressure from fluctuating crude oil prices, softer growth expectations, and a more measured Bank of Canada stance compared to prior tightening cycles. Technically this breakout and consolidation above former supply suggests a classic breakout retest scenario, where the market is building acceptance before continuation, favoring bullish momentum, trend reversal, liquidity grab recovery, and higher high expansion setups as long as price holds above the reclaimed zone, keeping upside targets in play with dip buying interest and sustained USD strength supporting further gains.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
AUDUSD Still PumpingAUDUSD is trading in a strong bullish continuation phase after a clean impulsive breakout, with price currently consolidating above the previous resistance zone that has now flipped into short term support, signaling healthy price acceptance rather than exhaustion. The sharp rally reflects improving risk sentiment, sustained weakness in the US dollar, and supportive fundamentals from Australia including stable RBA policy expectations, resilient labor data, and strength in commodity-linked currencies, while recent US macro data continues to fuel speculation around future Fed easing which keeps downside pressure on USD. Technically this structure favors a pullback and continuation scenario, where shallow retracements are being absorbed by buyers, momentum remains intact, and higher highs with higher lows confirm trend strength, making bullish continuation, trend following, breakout retest, and buy the dip strategies favorable as long as price holds above the key support area and maintains bullish market structure toward higher targets.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Bitcoin: mean-reversion play? key levels and targets aheadBitcoin. Who survived that liquidation nuke and who’s still coping with the PnL trauma? After the latest cascade of longs getting wiped and headlines about cooling ETF flows and tighter liquidity, sentiment flipped from euphoria to “get me out.” That’s exactly when I start hunting for mean‑reversion plays. On the 4H chart we just bounced off a chunky demand block around 76–77k, with a clear volume spike on the low and RSI crawling out of oversold. Price is now camping under the first supply zone near 79.5–80k, right where the last dump accelerated. That combo looks like a classic relief‑rally setup, so I’m leaning short‑term long, aiming back into the 81–82.5k high‑volume area. My plan: I want a small dip toward 77.5–78k to join buyers, with invalidation under 76k. Base case – squeeze into 81–82.5k, maybe even a wick toward 83.5k, where I’d start scaling out. If 76k breaks on strong volume, I drop the long idea and look for the next flush into 74–75k support. I might be wrong, but fading a freshly washed‑out Bitcoin has rarely aged well. ✅
by Trade_Logic_AI
Smart Money Reload: Bullish Accumulation After the SweepSMC Overview (M30): Smart Money Concepts on M30 show a clean Bullish Break of Structure (BOS) at ~78,900, followed by a liquidity sweep to ~78,050 and a strong bullish rejection. Price then defined a bullish Order Block (OB) at 78,150–78,250, backed by 1.7× average M30 volume, signaling an unmitigated accumulation zone. Trade Framework: Entry: 78,220 (limit, inside OB) Stop Loss: 77,437.80 (1.0% below entry, beneath OB and sweep) Risk (R): 782.20 Targets: TP1 (1.5R): 79,393.30 TP2 (3R): 80,566.60 TP3 (5R): 82,131.00 Trade is cancelled if the OB is fully mitigated (engulfed). Confirmation Checks: Order Block Detection — PASS AI-optimized OB detection confirms a bullish, unmitigated OB at 78,150–78,250 with 1.7× volume. Execution requires patience: limit entry only on return to the OB, not market buys above it. Optional scaling: 50% on first touch, remainder on a re-test or confirmation candle. Cancel if volume drops below 1.5× avg. Liquidity Intelligence — PASS Liquidity Intelligence flags a structured sweep to ~78,050 (equal lows), followed by absorption and bullish rejection—classic stop-run accumulation. The sweep validates the OB but is not an entry by itself; entry remains the OB retest. No sweep or signs of distribution would invalidate the setup. Momentum & Trend Filters: RSI (M30): ~58 → bullish continuation bias, not overbought; room to TP1/TP2. EMAs (M30): Price above 50-EMA (~78,300) and 200-EMA (~77,500) confirms short-term bullish bias and dynamic support into the OB. MACD (M30): Line above signal with a rising positive histogram; crossover preceded the BOS, reinforcing accumulation. Structure, Levels & Volume: Support: 78,050 (sweep low), 78,150–78,250 (OB/discount) Resistance: 79,200 (local high), 80,500 (next supply) TP1 clears 79,200; TP2 aligns with 80,500; TP3 targets higher structure. Volume: 1.6–1.8× spike on rejection confirms institutional buying. Sustained volume on OB retests supports entry; thinning volume warrants cancellation. Fundamentals: No relevant news or macro events provided. This is a pure structure/flow trade—monitor execution-time flow. Final Synthesis & Plan: Consensus: Bullish BOS + unmitigated OB (1.7× vol) + liquidity sweep/absorption + aligned RSI/MACD/EMAs. Signal Quality: Strong → Confidence ~72%. Action: LONG (M30) via limit at 78,220; manage risk via R-based targets. Invalidate if: OB is mitigated, LI flips to distribution, or OB volume < 1.5× average.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CompsAI
1
ONE Chart. SIX targets. Thats HYPE!The hyperliquid chart is showing signs of a head and shoulders pattern. #HYPE has certainly garnered significant attention and acclaim for being one of the few altcoins to experience a surge this cycle. This is due to the development of an innovative product: a decentralized perpetual DEX. It has achieved product-market fit. Receiving considerable attention on X. However, it is not larger than the ongoing cycle. At one point, they were purchasing $83M worth of tokens each month—this is why it has created a distorted head and shoulders pattern with multiple necklines. Yet, in the world of crypto, if you develop something useful, the code, idea, or platform will inevitably be replicated. This highlights the fundamental issue with altcoins: the absence of a competitive moat and long-term sustainability. Recently, they began unlocking a substantial amount of tokens, and it is likely that the team is offloading them through OTC transactions. While innovation and profitable dapps are commendable... they can also become problematic. Here are some bear targets for your consideration. Which you can use to your advantage on their perp DEX ;)
CRYPTO:HYPEHUSDShort
by BallaJi
2
Bitcoin topped versus Gold 11 months ago.On the bright side the cyclical bear market of #BTC vs #GC is actually closer to the end, rather than just starting. Bitcoin has already lost tremendous value vs the Analog SOV With previous cyclical Bears lasting maximum 14 months. Which by that time I believe one if not both of these targets will be met. The troubling aspect is. If BTC achieves target 2 --- then once could argue a Double top has formed. And any subsequent bounce/recovery rally should be treated with suspicion. And furthers declines and retest of this target 2, could open up the trapdoor for a SECULAR Bear market taking us into 2027 before any meaningful recovery can begin. This is a merely observation of what has happened and what is currently unfolding with early (pre-coinbase launching) BTC investors unloading supply most of 2025 into their perceived six figure objective. $100K was always the dream! Will they buy back next bear? I suspect only if it becomes cheap enough. What is cheap for an OG?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BallaJi