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Chuck's coin teetering on the brink of a dramatic plunge to 9cCardano, along with many other high market cap tokens, certainly stands out. As we find ourselves in the crypto bear market, I would argue that we have actually been in one for quite some time now. The rapid declines can catch newcomers off guard. Meanwhile, those who have weathered several cycles tend to quietly withdraw and wait for BTC to undergo its usual year-long downturn. Will BTC hit a bottom again next November, similar to the previous four-year cycles? The odds still seem to favor a yes. Even with the influx of institutional capital. This situation simply means that the OGs finally have the liquidity to cash out completely. And they have been doing so with great intensity since the summer. Unfortunately, altcoins do not benefit from this liquidity, and there are hardly any profitable wallets aside from those of founders and VCs who essentially created the coins or acquired them for a pittance. Retail investors will likely bear the brunt of falling for the hype once more.
KRAKEN:ADAUSDShort
by BallaJi
5
Crypto & Bitcoin Do or Die!In this video we show you the mother of all trendlines on BTC and why we think it will likely catch a dead cat bounce. The total crypto market cap is at an inflection point. If this level doesn't hold we have a failed weekly bullish pattern. A failed bullish pattern of results in extreme downside pressure. BTC is retracing to a key 618 Fib level from your tariff low selloff so there is some support here. Its also hitting a monthly chart trendline going back several years. I like crypto for a long here on a risk to reward basis. If we lose this area keep in mind our next major support is $85k which is another 10K lower.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trading-Capital
2
ETHUSDT RETEST & REVERSAL AHEAD📉 Technical Analysis: Ethereum (ETH/USDT) The price action is currently showing a downtrend following a significant drop from the highs around $4,800. A major 4-hour Support zone, previously established around $3,700 to $3,800, was decisively broken to the downside in early November. This support now acts as strong resistance. Following the breakdown, the price has entered a consolidation phase, forming an Ascending Triangle pattern between approximately $3,200 and $3,500. This is typically a continuation pattern in the direction of the preceding trend (which was down), but a breakout above the flat resistance can signal a reversal. The chart shows that the price has recently broken above a Key Level that represented the flat top of the Ascending Triangle and the immediate overhead resistance. The current price is around $3,589.94. 🧭 Projection The breakout from the Ascending Triangle and the Key Level suggests bullish momentum in the short term, aiming for the next significant resistance. The most critical resistance zone is the area of the previous 4-hour Support, now a Resistance Zone (marked on the chart between roughly $3,700 and $3,800). This resistance is strengthened by the convergence of the 4-hour Trendline (a major downtrend line) in the same general area. Short-Term Bullish Scenario (Projected Move) The price is projected to continue its climb toward the $3,700 - $3,800 Resistance Zone. The area where the 4-hour Trendline and the old 4-hour Support/New Resistance meet is identified as the prime target for a Possible Retest and Reversal on Trend. A strong rejection at this confluence of resistances would confirm the continuation of the overall downtrend, pushing the price lower, potentially back toward the lows around $3,200. Long-Term Reversal Scenario For a significant bullish reversal to be confirmed, the price would need a decisive, high-volume break and close above both the $3,800 Resistance Zone and the 4-hour Trendline. This would invalidate the major downtrend and open the path for a move back toward the $4,200 - $4,400 area. However, the chart's current setup favors the retest and continuation of the bearish trend unless this major resistance is overcome. In summary, the immediate move is projected to be up to the $3,700 - $3,800 zone, where the market will face a major test that will determine the mid-term direction.
Short
by wolftradx
BTCUSDT BREAKOUT HINTS BELOW $100KThis Daily chart of Bitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) shows the price action breaking down from a consolidation pattern, suggesting a likely continuation of selling pressure. The price has been trading around the $107,000 to $111,000 range for a period, forming what could be interpreted as a potential ascending triangle pattern or, more recently, a flag/pennant consolidation after a drop from the October high. Crucially, the chart highlights a decisive breakout below a solid black short-term trendline and the 'Yearly trendline Support' (dashed blue line). The breakdown occurred near the $107,000 area, which previously acted as a significant support zone (the upper grey shaded box). The current candle shows the price trading at $103,957.19, significantly below this resistance-turned-support zone. 📉 Projection and Key Levels The immediate projection is for the selling to continue towards the next major horizontal support level. This is the 'Monthly Support' zone, represented by the lower grey shaded box, which is approximately in the $100,000 to $102,000 range. This area is psychologically significant due to the round number and has historically been a strong area of demand (support). Near-Term Projection: A move down to test the $100,000 - $102,000 Monthly Support zone is highly probable following the confirmed trendline and pattern break. Continuation Risk: If the price fails to hold the $100,000 mark and breaks below the lower bound of the Monthly Support, it would signal a much deeper correction, likely targeting areas around the July/August lows near $97,000 or lower. Resistance: The broken support level near $107,000 will now act as immediate resistance on any bounce attempts. The technical setup, marked by the breakdown and the descending arrow, strongly favors a move to the downside in the short to medium term.
Short
by wolftradx
I see no INCentive for holding Richard Hearts INC token.As cryptocurrency investors grapple with the realisation that the four-year cycle has indeed unfolded, we find ourselves pondering, that all of 2025 was a distribution year for the entire industry. (especially when considering the BTC/GOLD ratio) Richard's Hearts Pulsechain ecosystem has faced numerous challenges and obstacles. From legal confrontations with the SEC To a cult founder who operates from the sidelines instead of leading the charge at the forefront. The ETH price has been stagnant, constrained by early investors who are locking in multi-cycle gains. Pulsechain has largely remained an isolated, siloed pool of capital for a small group of investors who cling to the hope that their leader will return and guide them to Valhalla. There is indeed a possibility for this to happen in the next cycle, once the dust settles from this bear phase in crypto. The INC token is particularly vulnerable as it lacks a real use case. It does not provide yield. As RH once mentioned, it is the token he cares about the least. It was intended as a reward for providing liquidity on his DEX. However, those rewards have been significantly reduced as the Heart man has attempted to prevent economic energy from leaving his chain, which has been hindered by a small group of large whales that have capped price growth in the past. Therefore, I believe that #INC, #HEX, #PLSX, and #PLS will all experience significant new lows in 2026. With INC potentially trading as low as 5 cents due to this inverted HVF pattern that has formed and triggered.
by BallaJi
NEAR Protocol - Ready for $8? NEAR has been stuck in a 10-month range between $3.50 and $1.80. Recently, price pumped nearly 80%, followed by a 25% correction, and now it has returned to a crucial support zone at $2.30–$2.40. This level is extremely important: ✅ If $2.30–$2.40 holds: Price can bounce and potentially break the top of the range. The first upside target is $4.50–$5.00, and if that breaks, the next mid-term target is $8–$9. ❌ If this level fails: The next support is $1.80–$2.00, the bottom of the long-term range. Right now both NEAR and the crypto market are struggling, but if Bitcoin stabilizes or retraces upward, NEAR could gain the momentum needed to push higher. For now, the key is whether buyers defend $2.30–$2.40.
Long
by Trading-Temple-
XAUUSD: Bounce from Support Zone Targets $4,280 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain a bullish market structure after successfully recovering from the Support Zone near $4,090–$4,100, where buyers stepped in to defend a key demand area. Following a fake breakout to the downside in late October, price regained momentum and established a new Upward Channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows — a strong sign of renewed buying pressure. Currently, gold has already completed two major breakout phases, first reclaiming the support range and then extending toward the mid-channel zone. The current consolidation suggests a temporary pause before another impulsive leg upward. Price is now trading between the $4,190 support and the $4,350 resistance area, where previous reactions indicate strong liquidity. This resistance has acted as a cap for prior rallies, making it a crucial target zone for bulls. As long as the metal holds above the channel’s lower boundary, the short-term trend remains bullish. A minor pullback toward the support area could serve as a healthy correction before another rally unfolds. However, a confirmed break below $4,190 could temporarily weaken the bullish momentum and lead to a deeper retracement. My Scenario & Strategy I expect XAUUSD to maintain its bullish trajectory while respecting the ascending channel structure. Buyers may look for potential long setups near the $4,190–$4,200 support zone, targeting the $4,320–$4,350 resistance area (TP1). A breakout and close above $4,350 would open the path toward $4,400+ levels, confirming further continuation of the bullish cycle. Conversely, a strong bearish break below the channel and support zone could signal a short-term correction toward $4,100 before buyers attempt to regain control. For now, sentiment remains optimistic, and gold continues to look poised for another bullish leg higher within its well-defined upward channel. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
12
ETH Bullish Reversal Setup - $2800ETH Bullish Reversal Setup ⸻ 🔍 Quick Summary Ethereum is bouncing from a major weekly demand zone around the 0.618 retracement and is holding a strong ascending trendline. I expect ETH to reclaim the $3,600–$4,000 region before making a move toward the weak high above $5,200 as the next liquidity target 🔥. ⸻ 📊 Deep Analysis On the weekly chart, ETH has tapped into a clean confluence zone: • 0.618 retracement from the larger swing • Strong historical demand zone ($2,750–$2,850) • Ascending trendline support • A clear CHoCH signalling early bullish shift Each of these factors reinforces the likelihood of ETH forming a higher low before pushing higher. The red zone between $3,600–$4,000 is a previous distribution region, but if ETH can reclaim it, momentum shifts decisively bullish. Above this level sits the Weak High at ±$5,230, a typical liquidity magnet. The blue projection path on your chart makes sense: pullback → reclaim → expansion toward the next liquidity pool. Volume shows initial absorption at support, and the last strong rejection wick near the green zone suggests buyers are stepping in. As long as ETH holds above $2,750, the macro bullish structure remains intact. ⸻ 📰 News Supporting My Bias • ETF flows have been strengthening, with Ethereum-related funds showing renewed inflows as institutional interest returns. • ETH staking continues to rise, tightening supply and supporting price appreciation. • Developers are preparing for Pectra upgrade phases, which aim to improve wallet UX and account abstraction — bullish for long-term network adoption. • Ethereum’s L2 ecosystem (Arbitrum, Base, Optimism) continues growing in TVL, increasing overall activity. All of this fundamentals momentum aligns with the bullish chart structure. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Idea Scenario Bullish Scenario • Entry: Current region or any pullback into $2,750–$2,850 • TP1: $3,600–$3,800 (first structure zone) • TP2: $5,200+ (Weak High liquidity target) • SL / Invalidation: Below $2,280 (breaks trendline, strong low threatened) Bearish Scenario Only activated if ETH loses the ascending trendline and breaks below $2,750 with weekly closes — that opens downside toward $2,200. At the moment, structure supports the bullish case. ⸻ 📌 What I’m Watching Next I’m watching how ETH behaves around $3,600–$3,800. A weekly close above this zone confirms momentum and likely sends price toward $5k+. Weakness or heavy wicks here could delay the breakout, but the broader structure still favours upside. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully 📉📚.
Long
by KhaleelSuliman
EURUSD Breaks Channel Resistance — Rally Toward 1.1660 in FocusHello traders! Let’s analyze the current EURUSD market structure. After an extended downtrend within a descending channel, the pair has recently shown the first signs of potential bullish reversal. Throughout the decline, price consistently respected the resistance line of the channel, making lower highs and lower lows. However, buyers have now stepped in strongly near the 1.1500–1.1530 Buyer Zone, which coincides with both the horizontal Support Level and the lower boundary of the previous structure — confirming it as a major demand area. Following a fake breakout below this support, EURUSD quickly recovered, forming a turnaround pattern and breaking above the descending resistance line. This move indicates that sellers are losing control while bullish momentum is gradually building. The pair has now established a short-term ascending structure, where price is developing higher highs and higher lows. Currently, EURUSD is retesting the breakout zone near 1.1580, which acts as dynamic support inside the new bullish channel. As long as the pair holds above this level, the outlook remains constructive, and buyers could push the price higher toward TP1 at 1.1660, which represents a key Resistance Level and former Seller Zone. A confirmed breakout above 1.1660 would reinforce the bullish bias and open the door toward the next resistance area near 1.1720. On the other hand, a rejection from this level might trigger a temporary pullback back to the 1.1580–1.1550 Buyer Zone before a new upward wave emerges. Overall, the structure has shifted from bearish to bullish, with the ascending Support Line now serving as a key level for maintaining the positive outlook. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
15
The Market Is Loading Up for a Breakout… Here’s the Exact TargetUltra-Detailed Professional Analysis Based on the visible structure, the chart is showing signs of a local exhaustion of bearish momentum and the early formation of a bullish reversal structure. Here is the full breakdown: --- 1. Market Structure Shift (MSS) The price has been in a continuous downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. However, in the most recent area (where you drew the black diagonal line), the slope of the lows is starting to flatten. This flattening implies: Bearish pressure is weakening Selling is no longer accelerating Buyers are starting to absorb liquidity at the lows This is typically the earliest sign of a possible market structure shift. --- 2. Bullish Divergence Signatures Even though your screenshot doesn’t show indicators, the shape of the price movement suggests a classic divergence setup: Price is making equal lows or slightly lower lows Momentum is decreasing (suggested by slowing downward volatility) This often precedes a short-term bullish push into nearby resistance zones. --- 3. Liquidity Mapping The clustered price action under the descending structure suggests the market is: Gathering sell-side liquidity beneath the recent lows Preparing to use that liquidity for a stop-run and reversal The red arrow you drew aligns with a typical liquidity-based move: break out of the diagonal, collect stops, then push upward into a liquidity pocket. --- 4. Imbalance (Fair Value Gap) Above Price The chart shows a noticeable price void / imbalance above the current level. Markets often retrace to fill these inefficiencies. The blue line at the tip of your arrow sits right inside this imbalance zone, making it a high-probability magnet for price. --- 5. Supply & Demand Mapping You have several purple zones drawn above — these appear to be: Old supply clusters, created during previous sell-offs Untested levels, meaning price hasn’t fully revisited them yet Markets often return to untested supply/demand zones due to: Algorithmic targeting Liquidity replenishment Market maker rebalancing Your blue level aligns with this higher-timeframe supply magnet. --- 6. Break of the Micro-Downtrend Line The black diagonal line you drew marks the local bearish control zone. A breakout above this line often triggers: Short covering Breakout buying Acceleration into the next liquidity pool (your blue line) The chart suggests the market is coiling beneath this line, indicating a possible compression → expansion move. --- 7. Volatility Compression Pattern The price action in the last segment is contracting. Compression almost always leads to explosive directional expansion. Given: A flat support base Weakening bearish momentum Clear imbalance above …the higher probability expansion direction is upward. --- Final Professional Summary The reason the price is expected to move toward the blue line above the arrow is due to a confluence of bullish catalysts: ✔ Weakening bearish momentum ✔ Market structure flattening ✔ Liquidity buildup below & liquidity vacuum above ✔ Imbalance (FVG) acting as a price magnet ✔ Untested supply zones overhead ✔ Volatility compression preceding expansion Together these create a high-probability short-term bullish corrective move toward the level marked in blue. --- If you liked this analysis, leave a like and drop a comment to share your thoughts!
by MoneyMaker_666
1
WIF/USDT - Fresh meme coin. Trading setup in chanal. Popular fresh meme coin – Dogwifhat 📊 CoinMarketCap Rank: #102 🐦 Twitter (X) : 152K followers 💬 Telegram : 50K members ✅ Highly liquid meme coin – traded on many major exchanges, including Binance. After the hype phase , the coin is now declining along with the overall crypto market —no exceptions. Essentially, it broke below multiple channel supports , and the price is now sitting at the support of the outer channel. I also notice a non-textbook Head & Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential -64% breakdown . The last squeeze happened around this level. Currently, we are seeing consolidation with increased volume , along with high-wick price action in this zone. I've marked potential downside support zones as well as upside resistance targets on the chart. Consider this in your trading strategy!
Long
by KECapital
4
Bitcoin Breaks Below $100,000 – The Downtrend Isn’t Over Yet!Bitcoin is entering one of its most vulnerable phases of the quarter, as both fundamentals and technicals strongly point toward a continued downside. The break below the psychological $100,000 level has triggered a wave of widespread fear , pushing the market firmly into defensive mode. Recently, ETF outflows have accelerated , with institutional funds pulling out more than $3.4 billion since October. At the same time, expectations for a Fed rate cut in December have weakened , while the U.S. Dollar rebounds , adding more selling pressure across the crypto market. The Fear & Greed Index plunging into “Extreme Fear” highlights how fragile and cautious overall sentiment has become. On the chart, the downtrend is now unmistakable. Price continues to move within a descending channel , repeatedly getting rejected at the upper trendline. The $100,000 level has flipped into strong resistance . Without substantial buying pressure, BTC is likely to rebound only slightly into the $100,000–$102,000 zone before sellers step in again. The most probable short-term scenario: BTC trades weakly, makes a small bounce into resistance, then continues sliding toward the $90,000 support zone. If this level breaks, the next destination sits near $87,600, where major support aligns with the bottom of the channel. Given the negative news flow, weak liquidity , and bearish technical structure , the dominant trend remains to the downside. This is not an ideal moment to attempt bottom-picking—at least not until the market shows genuine signs of recovery or institutional capital begins flowing back in.
Short
by Paradise_Noir
12
Price is sliding inside a clean descending channel. Each attemptPrice is sliding inside a clean descending channel. Each attempt to break above the upper boundary has been rejected, and the structure still prints lower highs. As long as price remains inside this channel, the market keeps its corrective tone. A decisive break below the mid-section of the structure may trigger one more push toward the lower boundary of the channel. On the other hand, a clear breakout above the upper trendline would invalidate the local pressure and open space for a fast upside continuation. The chart is at a decision point: either a final sweep toward the lower band before a reversal, or a direct breakout. Confirmation will come only after price leaves the channel with impulsive volume.
by CakirInsights
Will ARUSDT's Hidden Liquidity Grab Spark a Major Bullish Move?Yello, Paradisers — are you watching ARUSDT closely? Because this setup could develop into one of the cleanest short-term opportunities we’ve seen lately, but only for those who remain patient and calculated. The current structure is showing early signs of a potential bullish shift, and here’s what we’re seeing. 💎ARUSDT has displayed a proper bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) along with a Break of Structure (BOS), both occurring right after a clean sweep of seller-side liquidity. This kind of price action generally signals a potential reversal and significantly increases the probability of a short-term bullish continuation. 💎However, while the bias is clearly tilting bullish, jumping in at current price levels doesn't offer an optimal risk-to-reward setup. Entering now would only give about a 1:1 RR, which isn’t ideal for high-probability trading. The more strategic move would be to wait for a retracement back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). If price pulls back into that zone and forms a clear bullish candlestick pattern, the probability of a strong move upward increases substantially, and the RR improves in our favor. 💎That said, the setup isn't without its invalidation. If ARUSDT breaks down and we get a candle close below the invalidation level, the entire bullish scenario becomes invalid. In that case, there’s no reason to force a trade. It’s smarter to stay patient and wait for a clearer structure to reappear. 🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. There will always be another opportunity, but only if you protect your capital and remain disciplined. Stay focused and let the setup come to you — not the other way around. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
7
“BTC Liquidity Sweep → Bounce”BTC Trendline Break Setup ⸻ 🔍 Quick Summary I’m seeing BTC react strongly from the 0.618 retracement + demand zone, and the bearish trendline is losing power with every touch. The next interaction with this trendline looks primed for a clean breakout, and I’m positioning myself for a move toward the liquidity sitting above the weak high 🔥. ⸻ 📊 Deep Analysis Price has tapped into a major area of demand just above 94k–90k, which lines up perfectly with the 0.618 FIB from the larger swing. This zone has previously acted as a strong base for impulsive moves, and I’m seeing that same type of absorption now — long wicks, slowing bearish momentum, and a clear BOS structure forming. The descending trendline has produced multiple rejections, but each reaction is getting smaller. That usually signals seller exhaustion. The BOS at the bottom of the structure confirms a short-term shift, and I expect price to make its way back up to retest the trendline one more time. Above current price sits a Weak High at ±135k, which is almost always a magnet for liquidity. The chart even shows a projected long setup targeting this level with a ~41% move. Given BTC’s market context, this is a realistic target if the trendline breaks. Volume confirms compression, and the recent BOS + CHoCH sequence suggests buyers are slowly regaining control. As long as 87k holds, this bullish structure remains intact. ⸻ 🎯 Trade Idea Scenario Bullish Scenario • Entry: In the 94k–90k demand area (already reacting). • Confirmation: Break + retest of the descending trendline. • TP1: 106k (FIB 0.382 / prior structure). • TP2: 135k (weak high liquidity target). • SL / Invalidation: Below 87k — that would break the demand structure and shift the narrative bearish. Bearish Scenario • Only valid if BTC rejects the trendline hard and closes below 87k. • That would open the path to 80k and possibly to the strong low around 72k. • At the moment, this seems less likely based on the reaction inside demand. ⸻ 📌 What I’m Watching Next I’m watching how BTC behaves when it reaches the trendline again. A strong close above it with volume will confirm the bullish continuation. If price stalls or produces heavy wicks, I’ll wait for clearer structure before adding to the position. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer This is just my personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully 📉📚.
Long
by KhaleelSuliman
Where traders tend to failAfter 25 years playing this game, it is incredible to see the same issues today for new traders as there have always been. In a nutshell, OVERCOMPLICATION!!! New traders will often go looking for as much information as possible, adding instruments, screens, indicators, timeframes, news feeds. Anything looking for an edge. Go back over 100 years and Charles Dow - yes, the same Dow behind the #DJI (The industrial average) laid down a very simple framework for understanding the markets. I have written several posts here on @TradingView about Dow Theory here's one of them. Inside this post, you will see this image. For some of you familiar with either Elliott Wave principles or Wyckoff Techniques, you might recognise some elements of an image like this. Both Richard Wyckoff and Ralph Elliott were onto something. But over the years these techniques have been "added to" creating hybrids and then assumptions are often made. Complex is key... Or so they think. When you try and trade an Elliott wave cycle on a 5-minute chart on some instrument that has not been fully adopted by institutional players, you are asking for trouble. Psychology is more important in trading than, quite possibly 99.9% of other aspects of trading. So whilst people tend to add to the technical analysis part of trading, they often ignore the psychology controlling the market. I am not talking about psychology in terms of simple risk management and high probability moves. I am talking about the piece of the psychology studies that controls the masses. Sentiment is one thing, the psychology that drives sentiment is where the failing and struggling traders simply ignore. I wrote a post - trying to add some humour. Here's a Simpson's post. ========================================= Let me give you an example; People tend to use simple off the shelf indicators; now when millions use the same tools. Why is it that 90% + of traders still lose money? Here is a snapshot of the MACD and RSI side by side. Now look closely at the price action. What additional info are you getting from these lagging indicators (rhetorical question). . Let's look at this in a simple way; no indicators, clean chart, Dow Theory in focus. When price moves up you will often see accumulation, then as price reaches it's next area of interest and starts to pullback (oversimplified) you will see, even on smaller timeframes as this is not always obvious on the same timeframe. a distribution pattern. Overall, the price action has created a simple Elliott Wave move from a zero point, up to one and pushing down for a two. Where this gets interesting, and simple... Is the psychology behind it, The momentum up is often created by early buyers (yes, state the obvious) these buyers have been accumulating. Then, as retail jumps in because RSI says so. The price pulls back. This is often deep into the zone it just left, retail often using small timeframes and tight stops - 5 pips, 10 pips. So you often see a PB of 11 pips (example) and you get that feeling of "why does it always hit my stop and then go in my desired direction"? The momentum from taking these stops, then goes on to create an impulsive 2-3 move in EW terms. This is stops becoming opposing orders. Thus creating momentum to break the high of the 1 move. New stops from shorts get triggered and momentum traders enter positions. All of which fuels a larger rally. Now, when you break this down. You can draw ranges and operate inside these ranges to know the general bias. And just like that, you are on the right side of the market more often than not. Here's a more detailed post on this aspect. To give an example here: The larger swing creates a range. An obvious high and low as marked in this image. Then as the move inside happens; Think Dow Theory; The market is giving a very clear clue. We just took out a fresh high and the market is seeking liquidity. That internal move will have a fractal move inside; let's call that a trigger move. Keep in mind, the larger trend does not change it's directional bias until it breaks the old low or the fresh high. Now, although the price does not have to. The price can pull all the way back to the low and not change the larger trend. Once you get to grips with this, you will stop trying to predict the market and instead work with price action. Less, really, is more! Have a great weekend!!! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
15
Bitcoin is painfully weakBitcoin ATH break at was the first sign of weakness, now relative strength index is at levels bitcoin hasn't been at since early 2023 - big difference in price $96k 3 years in a bull market vs $22k after the horrible painful 2022 bear market. I think 2026 will be bearish for bitcoin. Mid term elections will offer uncertainty and if you look at bitcoin's performance in 2025 under the "pro crypto" administration it has been painfully weak only up around 1% YTD. I think around $75k is a good area to watch. Full global economic meltdown like 2022 and Im looking at $48k region. COINBASE:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by KennedyResearch
1
KASPA Is Compressing Into a Macro Coil — Big Move Approaching?📉➡️📈 KASPA Weekly Falling Wedge – Compression Before a Larger Move _______________________________________________________________________________ KASPA (KASUSD) – Weekly Falling Wedge Analysis Kaspa has been forming a large falling wedge on the weekly timeframe, a structure often associated with decreasing selling pressure and potential bullish reversal setups. The trendlines have held for months, and price continues to compress as it approaches the apex of the pattern. Confidence is medium at this stage: the pattern remains valid, but momentum has not yet confirmed a breakout. _______________________________________________________________________________ 📉 Structure Overview On the weekly chart, price action has been steadily narrowing between lower highs and relatively stable lows. The lower trendline has been tested multiple times, and the aggressive wick on October 6th highlighted strong buying interest at this support. Since the Kraken listing, volume has gradually declined, which is typical behavior in the later stages of a wedge. Based on the current trajectory, a breakout still appears to be several weeks away as the market continues its compression. _______________________________________________________________________________ 🐂 Bullish Scenario If Kaspa continues to respect the wedge support, the first significant move would likely be a push toward the upper boundary of the structure near $0.09. Should price break out of the wedge, the next areas of interest become: 🎯 $0.09 – First touch of upper wedge resistance 🎯 $0.10 to $0.11 – Key structural resistance zone 🎯 $0.13 – A measured-move extension and historical supply area The strong wick reaction at the lower boundary suggests that buyers are active at these levels, which supports the idea that upside continuation is a realistic scenario if structure holds. _______________________________________________________________________________ 🐻 Bearish Scenario A full weekly candle close below the wedge would invalidate the structure and would likely lead to increased bearish momentum. If this breakdown occurs, the next downside levels to watch are: 🔻 $0.032 – First major support 🔻 $0.015 – Broader structural low Although this outcome is technically possible, it currently appears less probable due to the strength of demand visible along the lower trendline. _______________________________________________________________________________ 📐 Why This Pattern Matters A falling wedge represents tightening volatility and a reduction in selling strength as the pattern matures. These conditions often create a coiled-spring effect, leading to significant movement once the structure resolves. On a weekly chart, wedge breakouts tend to result in multi-week or multi-month directional moves, which makes this current setup important to monitor. 💡 Fundamental Tailwinds Supporting Long-Term Strength Kaspa’s fundamentals continue to evolve alongside this technical setup. _______________________________________________________________________________ 🧠 VProgs (Virtual Programs) VProgs introduce customizable, programmable rules directly into transactions. This allows users to define spending conditions, automate certain behaviors, and create more complex logic without relying on a full smart contract engine. They deliver much of the flexibility associated with smart contracts while keeping execution lightweight and efficient. _______________________________________________________________________________ ⚙️ Smart-Contract-Like Capabilities via the BlockDAG Kaspa’s BlockDAG architecture, combined with VProgs, provides room for expressive, rule-based applications while maintaining extremely fast confirmation times and strong Proof-of-Work security. This positions Kaspa to serve as a high-throughput programmable network without the bloat or congestion common in legacy smart contract environments. These fundamental developments support strong long-term potential, even as price compresses in the short term. _______________________________________________________________________________ 📌 Summary and Final Outlook Kaspa is approaching the apex of a clean falling wedge on the weekly chart. Volume is tapering, structure remains intact, and both bullish and bearish scenarios are clearly defined. The next major move will likely emerge once price resolves this tightening pattern. _______________________________________________________________________________ Bullish Targets: 📈 $0.09 → $0.10–$0.11 → $0.13 Bearish Invalidations: 📉 Weekly close below the wedge → $0.032 → $0.015 Overall, Kaspa continues to show long-term promise, supported by both technical structure and evolving fundamentals. Traders should watch closely as price approaches the point of resolution within this macro wedge.
CRYPTO:KASUSD
by toregee