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Breakout Continuation or Bull Trap Before a Deeper Pullback?Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin has just delivered a strong impulsive bullish expansion, breaking above multiple prior resistance levels with momentum and displacement. This move clearly shifted short-term market control back to buyers. However, after reaching the upper range, price has started to stall and compress, indicating a pause in momentum rather than immediate continuation. The current price action shows overlapping candles and reduced follow-through after the impulse, which is typical behavior when the market transitions from expansion into distribution or corrective consolidation at premium levels. SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES Major Supply / Premium Zone: The 97,800–98,000 area stands out as a strong supply zone, where previous reactions occurred and selling pressure is expected to increase. This zone represents overhead liquidity and is the main barrier for further upside. Key Structural Support (Flip Zone): The 95,800–96,000 region is a critical support area, acting as a structure flip from the recent breakout. This level is currently being tested and will determine whether the bullish impulse can be sustained. Lower Demand & Liquidity Targets: - If price fails to hold above the flip zone, downside liquidity sits around: - 94,800 – prior consolidation base - 92,400 – major demand zone and trend support area These levels define the corrective path if sellers regain control. 🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION Currently, BTC is trading between premium supply and the nearest structural support, placing price in a high-risk decision zone. Momentum has slowed, and buyers are no longer showing the same urgency seen during the breakout, suggesting that profit-taking is active. This is no longer an impulse environment it is a reaction and confirmation zone. My scenario: As long as Bitcoin fails to break and hold above the 97,800–98,000 supply zone, the probability favors a corrective rotation lower. A rejection from supply followed by a loss of the 95,800–96,000 support would confirm short-term distribution and open the door for a pullback toward 94,800, and potentially deeper into the 92,400 demand zone. However, if price can reclaim and accept above the supply zone with strong bullish momentum, that would invalidate the pullback scenario and signal trend continuation toward new highs. ⚠️ RISK NOTE Premium zones often produce sharp reversals and false breakouts. Let price confirm acceptance or rejection at supply, avoid chasing extended moves, and always manage your risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XauMasterNetwork
ETH Trapped Between Supply & DemandEthereum is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range, bounded by a well defined supply zone above and a demand zone below, after a strong impulsive rally earlier. Price was rejected from the supply zone, confirming the presence of strong sellers, and has since pulled back toward the mid-range area. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the market is rebalancing liquidity instead of trending. 🔹 Key Zones to Watch Supply Zone: ~3,380 – 3,410 → Strong rejection, prior distribution area Demand Zone: ~3,260 – 3,280 → Buyers previously stepped in aggressively Lower Support Zone: ~3,150 – 3,170 → High-probability downside target if demand fails 🔹 Market Scenarios 🔴 Primary Scenario – Bearish Continuation (Preferred) Price fails to reclaim the supply zone Break below the demand zone confirms seller control Downside continuation toward the lower support zone 🟢 Alternative Scenario – Range Expansion Price holds above demand and reclaims the supply zone Acceptance above supply could trigger a short squeeze Upside extension only valid after a strong breakout and hold 🔹 Sumary ETH is currently range bound under supply pressure. Until price decisively breaks and holds above the supply zone, upside moves should be treated as corrective, with downside risk still active.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
marketreview Greetings, traders. I’d like to comment on the current crypto market situation to clarify why there has been little analysis published in the group recently. In my opinion, the market is currently in a state of indecision — it lacks a clear directional bias. Consequently, there are no clean charts or structures that would hint at the future trend. For now, we are simply moving sideways with occasional price spikes up and down. However, this volatility is chaotic, and trading it is, in my view, a lottery. I have seen this before, and the only correct decision is to wait for better conditions. This market phase is not eternal; the longer it lasts, the closer its end. I scan the market daily looking for a high-probability setup. But if I don't find anything — I won't publish anything. Better to stay flat than to force a bad trade. The Traders House
by The_Traders_House
2
ETH - is it time for a correction?ETH is starting to look over-bought. Price is currently hovering around a strong intersection between the orange supply zone and the upper red trendlines. This is not just any resistance, it’s a zone where momentum has historically cooled off. As long as this area holds, a bearish correction is expected, with price likely rotating back toward the lower blue trendlines, where buyers previously stepped in. This doesn’t change the bigger picture... it’s simply a reset within structure. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
14
Ethereum (ETHUSD) – 4-Hour Timeframe Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends, greetings, I have prepared an Ethereum-ETHUSD analysis for you. My friends, if ETHUSD manages to close a candle above the levels of ( 3027.3-2964.1 ) on the 4-hour timeframe, I will open a buy position. My target will be the 3,450 level. My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you. Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨ Thank you to all my friends who support me with their likes.❤️
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by TraderTilki
37
$ETH 1W Update: Looking good here, taking off againETH update. ETH is pumping again on the weekly, and the move is constructive, but it’s important to keep the larger context front and center. Price has pushed back above the mid-range and is reclaiming the $3,300–3,500 area, which has acted as a major pivot throughout this cycle. What’s encouraging is the character of the move. After the sharp pullback from the highs, ETH didn’t collapse into deeper support. Instead, it held above the $2,700 region, formed a higher low, and is now rotating higher with expanding momentum. That’s a sign buyers are still active on higher timeframes. That said, ETH is still very much inside a broad range. The upper boundary near $4,700 remains the level that actually matters for trend continuation. Until price can reclaim and hold above that zone, these rallies should still be viewed as range expansion rather than a confirmed breakout. The $3,500 area is the key short-term test. Acceptance above it would increase the odds of another push toward the range highs. Failure here would likely mean more chop and rotation, potentially back toward the mid-$2,000s before the next attempt higher. Overall, ETH pumping here is a positive development and confirms the market isn’t rolling over. But structurally, this is still a range market on the weekly. Buying dips and managing expectations matters more than chasing strength, until ETH proves it can break and hold above the top of the range.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog
Ethereum Reclaims Structure from Support Ethereum on the H1 timeframe is showing clear signs of structural stabilization after completing a prolonged corrective phase. Following a sustained downtrend, price found firm support within a well-defined demand zone, where sell-side momentum was absorbed and downside continuation failed to materialize. This base-building process reflects accumulation rather than further distribution, setting the stage for a potential recovery sequence. Price action has since transitioned from compression into a gradual bullish rotation, with higher lows forming above the support zone. The recent push higher signals improving buyer control, as ETH begins to reclaim short-term structure and distance itself from the demand area. This behavior suggests that the market is no longer in liquidation mode, but instead shifting toward a corrective-to-bullish phase. If Ethereum continues to hold above the support zone and maintains higher lows, the first upside objective aligns near the 3,180 region, where prior intraday structure is located. Acceptance above this level would strengthen the recovery narrative and open the path toward the next resistance around 3,220, representing a more meaningful structural hurdle from the previous decline. Beyond that, sustained bullish momentum could allow ETH to extend toward the upper resistance near 3,300, where higher-timeframe supply is expected to come into play. Reaching this area would confirm a broader mean-reversion move rather than a simple bounce, signaling that buyers have successfully regained control after the corrective phase. However, failure to hold above the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and shift focus back toward range-bound behavior or renewed downside pressure. Until such a breakdown occurs, Ethereum appears technically positioned for a step-by-step recovery, with the current structure favoring continuation as long as demand remains defended.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin Is Compressing Between Supply & Demand – Expansion Is CoOn the M45 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear equilibrium zone, where price is being compressed tightly between a well-defined demand zone below and supply zone above. This is not random price action it is a classic pause after an impulsive move, where the market is redistributing positions before revealing the next expansion leg. The strong bullish impulse from the demand zone around 90,800–91,000 shows that buyers stepped in decisively, reclaiming control after a period of consolidation. Since then, price has respected this demand area, forming higher lows and maintaining acceptance above the short-term EMA. This behavior signals that downside pressure has been absorbed and that sellers are no longer dominant at discounted prices. At the same time, the 92,400–92,600 supply zone is acting as a temporary ceiling. Price is reacting cautiously here, which is expected supply zones are designed to slow the market, not reverse it immediately. The current structure suggests Bitcoin may first pull back modestly toward the demand zone to rebalance liquidity and test buyer strength, rather than breaking supply impulsively on the first attempt. If the pullback into demand is shallow and quickly bought, it would confirm bullish continuation intent. In that scenario, a second push into supply becomes highly probable, and a clean break with acceptance above this zone would open the path toward 93,000 and beyond, where higher-timeframe liquidity is resting. This aligns perfectly with a typical market cycle: impulse → consolidation → continuation. However, as long as price remains trapped between these two zones, patience is essential. Chasing price inside the range carries unnecessary risk, as both rejection and breakout scenarios are still technically valid. The real confirmation comes only when Bitcoin either defends demand aggressively or reclaims supply decisively. In summary, Bitcoin is not weak it is coiling. The market is building energy between demand and supply, and once this compression resolves, the resulting move is likely to be sharp and directional. Traders should stay focused on the zones, not the noise, because the next expansion phase is already being prepared.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
Ethereum Has Broken Structure — The Pullback Will Decide Hello Traders.... COINBASE:ETHUSD on the H1 timeframe has just completed a clean bullish structure break, marked by a strong impulsive candle that decisively pushed price above the previous consolidation range. This breakout confirms that buyers have taken control after a prolonged accumulation phase, shifting market structure from neutral to bullish expansion. However, following such a sharp move, price is now entering a post-breakout consolidation, hovering just above the broken level a typical behavior where the market pauses to absorb liquidity and rebalance positioning. The highlighted “break” zone around 3,300 now acts as a critical support flip area, and as long as price continues to hold above this level, the bullish thesis remains intact. From a structural perspective, the most constructive scenario is a controlled pullback toward the 3,200–3,180 support zone, where previous resistance and the moving average converge, before buyers step in again to drive continuation. If this pullback is respected, Ethereum has a clear upside roadmap toward the next liquidity targets around 3,400, then 3,475, with potential extension even higher if momentum accelerates. Any short-term retracement should therefore be viewed as healthy price development, not weakness. Only a decisive break and acceptance back below the reclaimed support would invalidate this bullish setup and shift the market back into a deeper corrective phase. what do you think about ETHUSDT?
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
ETH Pauses at Resistance After Vertical ExpansionHi Guys!! On the H1 chart, Ethereum has just completed a strong vertical bullish expansion, breaking decisively above the EMA structure and leaving behind a clear price imbalance. This type of impulsive move typically signals aggressive buy-side participation, but it also creates unfinished business below, where liquidity and inefficient pricing remain. After the surge, price is now consolidating tightly beneath a well-defined resistance zone around 3,360–3,375, showing hesitation rather than immediate continuation. This behavior suggests that buyers are no longer chasing at premium levels, while sellers are beginning to respond into resistance. The current consolidation should be read as a distribution-to-correction phase, not an outright trend reversal. Price is holding above the short-term base, but the lack of follow-through above resistance indicates that the market may first seek sell-side liquidity resting below the structure. The highlighted liquidity zone around 3,220–3,200 aligns with prior consolidation and the EMA 89 region, making it a natural draw for price to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. A corrective move into this zone would be technically healthy, allowing the market to mitigate the imbalance created by the impulsive rally. If ETH rotates lower into the liquidity zone and shows acceptance with slowing bearish momentum, that area becomes a high-probability region for buyers to re-engage, setting the stage for a renewed push back toward resistance and potentially higher levels. Conversely, only a clean acceptance above the resistance zone with strong bullish displacement would invalidate the corrective expectation and open the door for immediate continuation. Until that happens, Ethereum remains in a post-expansion consolidation, with downside liquidity acting as the primary magnet before the next directional move.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
2
BTCUSD – Intraday Trend Continuation Setup (LONG)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around $97k (yesterday’s close ~96.3–97.0k, +1.8% d/d) and remains firmly in a higher-timeframe uptrend that started in November (~80k → ~97k). The latest leg higher has been driven by a combination of: • ETF and spot demand • CLARITY Act narrative • Softer US macro data (CPI/PPI in line to soft, weaker retail sales) This keeps the broader macro backdrop dovish-leaning. Today’s economic calendar is relatively light, so flows and technical structure are the main drivers. Key short-term risk: after a 6%+ move in ~48 hours, some mean reversion is possible. ⸻ B) BTC Structure Overview HTF Structure (4H–Daily) • Trend: Clean uptrend with a clear sequence of higher lows and higher highs from ~80k. • Key breakout: Sustained break above 94.9k, the upper boundary of a previous ascending triangle. • Key zones: • Support: 94.9k–95k (breakout base), then 93k–93.5k • Resistance: 97–98k (intraday highs), 100k (psychological + options magnet) • HTF Bias: Bullish, but short-term price is somewhat extended (daily +1.8%, weekly ~+5.6%). LTF Structure (15M–1H) • Price action: Consolidation range 96.5k–97.5k with higher lows after yesterday’s retail-sales impulse. • Key average: 1H EMA 50 ~96.2k • Intraday levels: • Support: 96.0k–96.2k (prior close + 1H EMA) • Resistance: 97.5k–98k (Asian + early EU session wicks) • LTF Bias: Bullish consolidation below resistance, no clear distribution patterns yet. ⸻ C) Liquidity & Derivatives (High-Level View) • Liquidity heatmaps: • Long liquidation clusters above 98k–100k • Short liquidation clusters below 95k • Funding: Slightly positive to neutral, no extreme long crowding. • Open Interest: Rising with price, but not at historical extremes yet (mix of new longs and late shorts). ⸻ D) Trade Setup – Trend-Follow Long on Dip Direction: LONG Entry (limit): 96,200 – 96,400 (1H EMA retest / prior daily close) Stop-loss: 95,800 (below intraday structure, ~0.4–0.5%) Take-profits: • TP1: 97,000 (≈1R, first resistance) • TP2: 97,800 (≈2R) R:R: ~1:1.5 to 1:2 depending on partial exits Time validity: EU + US session only (until ~22:00 CET) If entry does not trigger or price goes sideways, the setup is invalid. Key risks: • Unexpected negative headlines around the CLARITY Act or ETF flows • Rapid risk-off rotation from equities sell-off (BTC correlation risk) ⸻ E) Trade Logic Summary Macro alignment • CPI/PPI soft to neutral, retail sales weaker • Market pricing shifts toward earlier rate cuts • No fresh hawkish shock → supportive for BTC and risk assets Structure & liquidity • HTF breakout above 94.9k from ascending triangle favors continuation toward 100k • LTF consolidation just below 97–98k resembles a classic bull flag Derivatives & positioning • Funding positive but not euphoric → room for additional longs • Prior short liquidations reset positioning and provide fuel for another squeeze Order-book logic (inferred) • Strong bids likely near 95k (breakout retest) • Offer clusters expected around 98–100k, aligning with liquidity data Flows / On-chain • ETFs and institutions continue accumulating (AUM ~$123B, 2026 inflows >$1B), supporting structural demand ⸻ F) Invalidation Rules Price-based • Hard invalidation below 95,800 (loss of LTF structure) Time-based • Intraday setup invalid after today’s US session close Macro-based • Strongly hawkish Fed commentary • Sudden risk-off move with equities down 2–3%+ in one day • Negative surprise in CLARITY Act developments Order-book-based • If heavy offers appear at 96.2k–96.4k with repeated absorption and no upside follow-through, avoid long entries.
Long
by minno91
Ethereum Just Exploded Higher — But This Is Where Smart Money 1. Current Market Structure COINBASE:ETHUSD has just printed a strong bullish displacement on the H1 timeframe, breaking out of its prior consolidation with a wide-range impulsive candle. This move clearly shifted short-term structure from neutral to bullish expansion, confirming that buyers have taken control. However, after such a vertical move, price is now transitioning into a post-impulse consolidation phase just below the recent highs. This is not weakness it is a typical pause where the market digests gains, absorbs late buyers, and decides whether to continue higher or rotate lower for rebalancing. 2. Key Zones & Market Positioning Price is currently holding above a critical breakout level around 3,300, which now acts as the first line of support. Above price, the immediate resistance zone is located around 3,370 – 3,375, where supply previously entered and where the market is currently stalling. Below, multiple downside levels are clearly defined as potential reaction zones if a pullback unfolds: Target 1 / First Support: ~3,299 Target 2 / Mid Support: ~3,253 Target 3 / Deeper Support: ~3,180 – 3,140 As long as price holds above the 3,300 zone, the bullish breakout remains structurally valid. 3. Liquidity & Price Behavior The impulsive candle likely swept buy side liquidity and triggered breakout participation. Current small bodied candles near the highs indicate indecision and profit-taking, not aggressive selling. Liquidity is now clearly stacked below the market, making a pullback into lower support zones a natural mechanism to rebalance before any sustained continuation. This behavior aligns with post-expansion rebalancing, not distribution at the top. 4. Today’s Market Scenario 🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation After Pullback The preferred scenario is a controlled pullback into the 3,300 – 3,250 zone, followed by a higher-low formation. If buyers defend these levels, ETH could rebuild momentum and attempt another push toward the 3,370 – 3,380 resistance, potentially extending further if acceptance occurs. 🔽 Alternative Scenario – Deeper Rebalance If price fails to hold above 3,300, a deeper corrective move toward 3,180 or even 3,140 becomes likely. This would still be considered a healthy correction within a bullish structure, provided no strong bearish displacement occurs. 5. Trading Perspective Bias remains short-term bullish, but execution must be patient. This is not an area to chase price after the impulse. The optimal approach is to wait for pullbacks into key support zones and observe buyer reaction. The market is not collapsing it is deciding how much liquidity it needs before the next directional leg. Summary Ethereum has completed a clean bullish breakout, but is now in a decision phase just below resistance. As long as 3,300 holds, the roadmap remains constructive: Impulse → Consolidation → Pullback → Continuation The next move will be defined not by
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by RexTraderGOLD
Fundamental Note: BTCUSD 14 Jan 2026Bitcoin is trading near $95K after a strong bounce, with macro sentiment improving as US inflation data for December came in broadly steady (headline in line, core a touch softer), keeping “Fed pause now, cuts later in 2026” on the table. Regulatory optimism is also helping risk appetite, with traders watching fresh US market-structure discussions around crypto legislation as a potential tailwind for broader participation. Profit-taking pressure has cooled sharply into the new year (realized profit fell to ~$183.8M/day on a 7D basis after running above $1B/day through much of Q4), which helped BTC break out from the ~$87K compression toward the mid-$90Ks. However, BTC is still pushing into heavy overhead supply (recent buyers’ cost basis clustered roughly $92K–$117K), meaning rallies can meet “breakeven selling” as underwater holders get a chance to exit. Short-term holder cost basis near ~$99K is the key reclaim level to confirm recovery; until then, the market remains range-bound and headline-sensitive. Latest data also flags mixed internals: spot liquidity is only modestly rebuilding, ETF flows have been volatile, options skew has leaned more defensive, and the share of supply held by short-term participants remains elevated (higher sensitivity to fast moves). Bottom line: fundamentals look constructive, but the path higher likely requires time to absorb overhead supply and avoid leverage-driven whipsaws. 🟢 Bullish factors: 1. Softer core inflation / “Fed cuts later” narrative supports risk assets. 2. On-chain profit-taking has materially cooled (market less forced to distribute). 3. Early-year options flow tilt toward calls around the $95K area suggests upside participation returning. 4. Network activity and transfer volumes have shown improvement versus late-2025 lows (early signs of engagement rebuilding). 🔴 Bearish factors: 1. Large overhead supply zone ($92K–$117K) can cap rallies and trigger breakeven selling. 2. ETF flow volatility + periodic institutional de-risking keeps breakouts fragile. 3. Rising funding / mixed derivatives positioning increases long-squeeze risk on pullbacks. 4. Defensive options skew implies the market is still paying up for downside protection. 🎯 Expected targets: Slight bullish bias while holding 92,000–90,000. A sustained reclaim above 99,000–100,000 can open 104,000–106,000 first, then 110,000–117,000 as the next major overhead-supply band. If BTC fails to hold 90,000, a pullback toward 87,000 and then 81,000–83,000 becomes the likely “range floor” retest.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Trade8Eight
Total Market Cap - Update Price has now tapped the 3.22T level exactly as anticipated. This area was marked as the 50% Daily retracement + prior liquidity & resistance, so a reaction here was expected. So far, the move still looks corrective, not a clean continuation. We are seeing initial hesitation and reaction, which keeps my higher-timeframe range thesis intact for now. Key points to watch next: • Acceptance above 3.22T → increases odds of continuation toward higher liquidity. • Failure to hold this level → opens the door for a range rejection and potential downside rotation back into the range. No confirmation yet. Patience is key here — let structure and reaction do the talking. If you haven’t seen the previous update, make sure to check the related idea for full context. What’s your bias from this level — continuation or rejection? Drop a like ❤️ if you’re tracking this level and share your view in the comments 👇 MrC
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Mrctradinglab
BTC/USD H4 – Pausing to Consolidate the UptrendHello everyone, Looking at the BTC/USD H4 chart, what stands out to me is not the few recent red candles, but the way the market is slowing down after a very decisive rally. After moving from the 88,000 area up toward nearly 95,000, Bitcoin has started to cool off and pull back into the 92,000–93,000 zone. To me, this is a fairly natural price reaction following a strong advance, as capital needs time to rebalance before the market commits to its next directional move. From a technical standpoint, the medium-term bullish bias has not been compromised. Price is currently pulling back into the confluence zone of EMA 34 and EMA 89 — an area that often acts as a “support base” within a healthy trend. The fact that BTC continues to hold above the slower EMA suggests that bullish momentum has not been broken, and that the current retracement is more consistent with short-term profit-taking than with genuine distribution. A constructive detail lies in the price behavior during the recent pullback. Selling volume has not expanded, while the corrective candles show narrower ranges compared to the prior impulsive advance. This indicates that supply pressure is fading, while buyers have not stepped aside. Historically, this type of price action often leads to a brief consolidation phase before the market resumes its primary direction. Stepping back from the chart to look at the broader context, the current macro backdrop remains supportive for Bitcoin. Recent US economic data point to easing inflation while growth remains moderate. This makes a shift toward a more aggressive monetary stance less likely, helping to preserve a relatively stable “risk-on” environment for risk assets. In addition, early-year market sentiment has improved noticeably after the holiday period. Capital is flowing back into equities and crypto, and Bitcoin is often among the first beneficiaries when risk appetite improves. Reports from international financial media also suggest that institutional money has not exited the market, but is instead repositioning after the strong year-end rally — a narrative that aligns well with what the H4 chart is currently showing.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DomicChaina
24
Is #ETC About to Collapse or Explode? One Side Will Get Wrecked Yello Paradisers! Are you watching #ETC closely enough? While the crowd has been ignoring it due to the boring chop, a textbook falling wedge just completed, and the market might be about to catch them completely off guard. 💎For several weeks, #ETCUSDT has been trading within a clear falling wedge pattern. The price has now reached a critical point, hovering just above a strong demand zone between $12.00 and $12.50, where previous accumulation took place. 💎At the same time, MACD is flashing a strong bullish divergence, while price action continued making lower lows, momentum has been climbing quietly behind the scenes. Just recently, we saw a bullish crossover on MACD, reinforcing that momentum is shifting. This is exactly the type of setup we love: structure + demand + momentum convergence. 💎If this wedge breaks to the upside with conviction, we’ll be targeting $14.00 as minor resistance for #EthereumClassic. It will be followed by a potential move toward the $16.06 zone, which marks moderate resistance. Should the bulls sustain pressure above that, the next big magnet will be the strong resistance at $21.56, where sellers are likely to show up in force. 💎However, if #ETCUSD breaks below the support zone at $12.00, and especially if it closes under $9.17, the bullish thesis will be invalidated. That would open the door for a deeper move, as demand dries up and panic sellers take control. Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
2
BTCUSD at a Decision Point On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear liquidity-driven range, where both upside and downside scenarios remain technically valid, but the market is approaching a decision zone. After the prior impulsive sell-off, price formed a base at the lower range and gradually transitioned into a recovery phase, printing higher lows and reclaiming mid-range value. This behavior suggests that sell side liquidity has already been absorbed, and the market is now actively probing for the next pool of resting orders. At present, BTC is pressing into a key equilibrium area around 92,000–92,500, which acts as a short-term inflection zone. If price can hold above the nearby support band around 91,000 and continue to build acceptance, the bullish scenario becomes dominant. In that case, Bitcoin is likely to expand higher toward the upper liquidity shelves near 93,000 and 94,200–94,500, where prior highs and buy-side liquidity are clearly resting. The projected pullbacks along this path would be corrective in nature, serving as re-accumulation before continuation. However, failure to maintain acceptance above the current support would signal that the recent upside is merely a liquidity grab into resistance. A rejection from this zone could trigger a rotation back into the lower range, with price targeting the 90,500 area first, and potentially extending toward the deeper liquidity pool near 89,200–89,000 if bearish momentum accelerates. That downside path would represent a full range rotation rather than a trend continuation. In summary, BTCUSD is not trending impulsively yet it is coiling within a liquidity box. Acceptance above current value favors upside continuation toward higher liquidity targets, while rejection opens the door for a deeper corrective sweep. The next sustained expansion will be defined by which side of liquidity the market chooses to reward.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
Bitcoin at the Late Cycle CrossroadsLooking at the Bitcoin Daily chart, this structure fits extremely cleanly into the historical 4 year cycle framework, and when combined with macro liquidity conditions, it strongly suggests the market is transitioning from a markup → distribution → corrective phase, rather than preparing for an immediate exponential continuation. Across previous cycles (2013–2014, 2017–2018, 2021–2022), Bitcoin consistently topped within a rising channel, formed a series of higher timeframe bull traps, and then broke down toward the lower bound of macro support zones. The current structure is visually and behaviorally consistent with those historical precedents. From a pure price structure perspective, Bitcoin has already completed a full impulsive expansion from the cycle low, followed by accelerated upside inside a rising channel. The highlighted orange circles on the chart mark exhaustion zones, where price pushed above trend resistance but failed to sustain acceptance. These areas historically represent late-cycle FOMO participation, where retail demand enters aggressively while smart money distributes into strength. The current price action mirrors that behavior: price remains elevated inside a channel, but momentum has clearly slowed, volatility is compressing, and bullish continuation lacks conviction. The most important technical element on this chart is the bull trap zone marked in blue. This zone represents a scenario where price appears to be holding bullish structure but is, in reality, trading above fair value relative to liquidity distribution. In past cycles, these zones repeatedly resolved lower once macro liquidity tightened or sentiment shifted. The projected downside target toward the $60,000–$54,000 support region aligns with prior range highs, long-term demand imbalance, and historical cycle retracement depth. Importantly, this is not a bearish collapse thesis. it is a mean reversion and re-accumulation thesis, consistent with how Bitcoin resets before its final cycle leg. From a macro standpoint, conditions are no longer as supportive as they were during the early phase of the rally. Global liquidity growth has slowed, real yields remain elevated, and central banks are transitioning from aggressive easing expectations to a more cautious stance. Historically, Bitcoin performs best when liquidity is expanding rapidly, not merely stabilizing. At the same time, ETF driven inflows have largely been front-loaded, meaning marginal demand is weakening while supply distribution increases. This combination frequently produces sideways to down corrective price action, rather than vertical upside continuation. When combining cycle theory, macro liquidity, and technical structure, the most logical interpretation is that Bitcoin is likely entering a corrective cycle phase, not the end of the bull market, but a reset within it. A deeper pullback into the highlighted support zone would allow the market to flush weak hands, rebalance leverage, and rebuild a stronger base for the next expansion. Only a sustained acceptance above the upper channel, with expanding volume and renewed macro liquidity acceleration, would invalidate this scenario. In short, this chart does not argue for panic or blind bearishness. it argues for discipline and patience. Late cycle rallies reward sellers, not chasers. The professional trader reads this structure as a warning: risk is asymmetric at the highs, and opportunity improves significantly closer to structural support, not inside premium distribution zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
2
Bitcoin | Grand Finale Printed – Now Enjoy the Ride DownOn this chart I’ve mapped Bitcoin’s full impulsive structure from 2017–2025 as a completed 5-wave advance. We’ve tagged the (V) top, and what’s forming now looks like the early stages of a larger degree A/B/C – with the local (1)(2) already in and real downside still ahead. • The prior rallies were clean impulse legs; this last stretch has all the signatures of an exhaustion wave (extended 5th, blow-off structure, and failed follow-through). • Current bounce fits perfectly as a wave (2) retrace after the first leg down – textbook spot where late bulls feel “saved” while smart money quietly exits. • Ahead of us I’m expecting a multi-year, 5-wave decline (1–5 on the right side of the chart), unwinding leverage, hype, and all the “number go up forever” narratives. This isn’t the end of Bitcoin – it’s the end of this cycle. The next few years are, in my view, for skill-building, capital preservation, and accumulation at true value, not chasing tops. Trade the levels, respect the structure… and enjoy the ride. 🚀⬆️ then 🪂⬇️
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TheCryptoHare
ORDI Update – Key level reactionORDI has pushed back into a key resistance zone after a prolonged range. Price briefly broke above resistance but failed to hold, showing signs of a possible deviation rather than a clean breakout. This level is now critical: Hold above resistance → acceptance and continuation higher Failure to hold → rejection back into the range, potentially towards support This area will decide whether this move has real strength or was simply a liquidity sweep. Will the breakout hold and continue, or will resistance step in again? MrC
by Mrctradinglab
BITCOIN: Huge Bear-Flag-Formation, Confirmation Incoming!Hello There, welcome to my new analysis about Bitcoin from a more local timeframe perspective. Recently the price of Bitcoin has been forming a crucial formational structure that will be highly determining for the future outcome. Therefore, I spotted all the important levels and indications to consider in this pivotal determination. Also, this whole setup is corresponding to the bearish Wyckoff distribution I have spotted previously. As it is seen in the chart, Bitcoin is trading within this massive descending channel formation. In this channel there is a strong resistance formed by the upper boundary of the channel. The fact that Bitcoin already bounced several times to the downside from there makes it a resistance zone, which should not be underestimated in any case. As Bitcoin is approaching this zone again, a pullback from there is highly likely. There are also further indicators and formations that make the range between $100,000 and $105,000 a major resistance zone. The fact that there is also horizontal resistance from where Bitcoin bounced several times to the downside already in the past makes this an additional resistance. Also, the 100-EMA crossed already below the 50-EMA. This bearish crossover is, in most cases, a sure sign that the trend moves forward to the downside. Considering all of these crucial levels and indications, we can watch now that Bitcoin is building this pivotal resistance cluster from where a pullback to the downside is highly likely. Several resistance factors come together within this resistance cluster: the upper resistance boundary of the descending channel, the horizontal resistance, and the EMA resistance. All of these levels confirm the bearishness of the cluster. For the whole bear flag formation, this now means that the formation will be confirmed once the breakout below the lower boundary of the formation happens. As it is marked within my chart, this will provide the final bearish bear flag setup from where Bitcoin is going to continue to the downside. The main target zones of this formation are marked in my chart. Once they are reached, further considerations need to be made. With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming. We will watch out for the main market evolutions. Thank you very much for watching!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by VincePrince
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