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AUDUSD – H4 Analysis ....AUDUSD – H4 Analysis (based on My chart) Market Structure Clear uptrend (higher highs & higher lows). Price is above the trendline and above Ichimoku cloud → bullish continuation. Previous resistance zone has flipped into support (yellow zone). 📈 Buy Setup Buy Zone: 0.6680 – 0.6710 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 0.6780 Target 2: 0.6850 (extended / swing target) ❌ Invalidation / Stop Logic A strong H4 close below 0.6640 will weaken this bullish setup. 📌 Summary (Clean Signal Style) Pair: AUDUSD Timeframe: H4 Bias: BUY Trend: Bullish continuation Targets: 0.6780 → 0.6850
by RSI_Trading_point
2
XAUUSD: Rejection from 4,420 Resistance - Pullback Toward 4,350Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action signals a short-term corrective phase. After forming a strong upward impulse, gold established a well-defined upward channel, confirming buyer control. Price then broke above the previous consolidation range, which marked a continuation of bullish momentum. Currently, XAUUSD pushed higher and reached the Resistance Zone around 4,410–4,420, a level that has historically acted as a strong supply area. At this zone, price showed clear rejection, with sellers stepping in aggressively and limiting further upside. This reaction suggests that supply is currently outweighing demand at these highs. As a result, price is now pulling back from resistance and moving toward the Support Zone around 4,350, which aligns with the previous breakout area and the lower boundary of the upward channel. This zone represents a key demand area where buyers have previously defended the trend. The recent breakout above this level followed by a retest further strengthens its importance. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario remains short-term bearish as long as XAUUSD stays below the 4,410–4,420 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from this area. I expect price to retrace toward the 4,350 Support Zone, where the next reaction will be crucial for determining continuation or deeper correction. Therefore, A clean breakdown below the 4,350 Support Zone would confirm a deeper corrective move within the structure and could open the path toward lower demand levels along the channel support. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and buyers may attempt another push toward the resistance highs. For now, the focus is on the corrective pullback, with 4,350 acting as the key level to watch. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
23
XRP/USDT – H4 Analysis....XRP/USDT – H4 Analysis (Based on my chart) Market Structure Price has broken the descending trendline. Strong support zone held near the bottom (yellow demand area). Price is now above the trendline and pushing into the Ichimoku cloud → bullish reversal confirmed. 📈 Buy Scenario Buy Zone: 1.85 – 1.90 🎯 Target Points Target 1: 2.10 Target 2: 2.50 ❌ Invalidation A strong H4 close below 1.80 will invalidate this bullish setup. 📌 Summary Bias: BUY Trend: Bearish → Bullish reversal Expectation: Price to continue upward toward 2.10 first, then 2.50 (as marked on my chart)
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
1
The Christmas Effect: Why Markets Slow Down Before They MoveEvery December, traders ask the same question: Will we get a Christmas rally? But the real lesson Christmas teaches the market isn’t about rallies. It’s about behavior. 1️⃣ Christmas Is a Liquidity Event 🎄 As the year comes to an end: - institutions reduce exposure - desks thin out - volume drops - participation becomes selective This doesn’t make markets weak. It makes them quiet . And quiet markets are where structure forms. 2️⃣ Low Activity Doesn’t Mean No Opportunity During Christmas weeks, price often: - compresses - ranges tightly - respects key levels - moves slowly Many traders mistake this for boredom. Professionals see it differently. Low-volatility environments often act like wrapping paper... they hide the move that comes after the holidays. 3️⃣ Why Breakouts After Christmas Matter More When markets return to full participation in January, two things happen: - liquidity comes back - intent becomes clear That’s why post-Christmas breakouts tend to be: - cleaner - more directional - better sustained The move doesn’t start with fireworks. It starts with patience. 4️⃣ Christmas Rewards the Prepared Trader While most traders look for action, experienced ones: - mark levels - define scenarios - reduce overtrading - protect capital Christmas is not about forcing trades. It’s about preparing for the next chapter. Final Thought 🎄 The market doesn’t move because it’s Christmas. It moves because participants return. And the traders who respect the quiet season are usually the ones best positioned when the noise comes back. So here’s the question: Are you trying to trade Christmas… or preparing for what comes after it? ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
21
EURUSD Fake Breakout Signals Pullback to 1.1700 SupportHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish recovery after completing a prolonged corrective phase. Earlier, price broke above a descending resistance line, which marked a clear shift in market structure and signaled that sellers were losing control. This breakout initiated a steady bullish move, supported by a rising support line, confirming higher lows and improving momentum. After the breakout, EURUSD continued to push higher and reached the resistance level around 1.1750, where selling pressure emerged. Price briefly spiked above this level, forming a fake breakout, which indicates weak acceptance at higher prices and potential buyer exhaustion. Following this rejection, the market pulled back toward the previous buyer zone, which now acts as a key support level around 1.1700. This zone aligns with the former breakout area and represents an important demand level. Currently, price is consolidating above support, showing hesitation near the buyer zone, and the reaction here will determine the next short-term direction. A corrective pullback into the support zone remains healthy within the broader bullish structure as long as buyers continue to defend this level. My primary scenario is a short-term correction toward the 1.1700 support level (TP1), followed by a potential bullish reaction from this zone. As long as EURUSD holds above this support, the overall structure remains constructive, and buyers may attempt another move toward the 1.1750 resistance and potentially higher. However, a clear breakdown and acceptance below the buyer zone would weaken the bullish setup and open the door for a deeper retracement toward lower support levels. For now, the focus remains on the 1.1700 area, as this level will define whether the market resumes its upward move or extends the correction. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
20
BTCUSDT – Holiday Range Bounce (Low Volume, Lower Expectations)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around 87.2k during the European morning, once again chilling in the 85–90k “gamma prison” after yesterday’s data delivered exactly… nothing. Most global markets are on holiday mode (or running half-days), meaning: • thinner liquidity • more algos • fewer real humans The only US data point today is Initial Jobless Claims at 14:30 CET — not top-tier macro, but in a thin market it can still create ugly wicks. Conclusion: this is a slow, boring, range day — perfect for one clean trade, terrible for overtrading. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available But only as a low-frequency, holiday mean-reversion setup with reduced risk. No scalping frenzy. One shot. If it doesn’t trigger — fine. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (BTCUSDT Perps) • Direction: Long • Entry (limit): 85,600 • Stop-loss: 84,900 (Below today’s sweep low + key 5M/15M swing) • Take-profit: 87,800 • R:R: ~3 : 1 Time Rules (holiday discipline): • Limit valid until 14:00 CET • If filled, position must be closed or SL moved to BE by 14:20 CET • No exposure into 14:30 CET Jobless Claims ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Makes Sense on a Boring Day) • Macro context: Holiday trading = lower volume, higher algo participation, and more exaggerated wicks. That favors a single pre-event range trade, not multiple scalps. Jobless Claims are medium-impact, but in thin liquidity they can still spike price hard. • Market structure & liquidity: On 4H / 1H, BTC continues to oscillate cleanly inside the 85–90k range, with repeated failures at 90k and consistent reactions from 85–86k. The 85.6k entry sits slightly below the middle of this support zone — exactly where buyers have already stepped in twice. • Gamma & options context: From recent sessions, 85k acts as a gamma / options support area, reinforcing the idea that quick dips below 86k tend to get pulled back toward 87–88k rather than cascade lower. • Derivatives & positioning: BTC open interest remains elevated, but there have been no major OI shocks in the last 24h. After recent liquidations, leverage is somewhat cleaner — reducing the probability of an immediate waterfall through 85k. • Liquidation dynamics: Liquidation heatmaps show long-liq clusters around 85–86k, with short-liq clusters above 90k. This setup aims to catch a liquidity sweep of weak longs, followed by a move back toward mid-range. • Order book (confirmation only): Before entry, Binance/Bybit should still show layered bids at 85.4–85.8k, with relatively light asks up to 87.5–88k. That structure supports absorption of a market-sell flush and a bounce. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (When to Walk Away) Price-based • If a 15M candle closes below 84,900, the idea is invalid. Support failed, gamma defense is gone — respect the stop. • If BTC rallies directly above 88.8–89k without dipping to 85.6k, cancel the limit. Context flips to high-range trading, not a bottom sweep. Time-based • Auto-cancel the limit at 14:00 CET. • If in the trade and price can’t reach 87.2–87.4k by 14:20 CET, close manually. No holding even small PnL through data. Macro-based • Any unexpected Fed / geopolitical headline before 14:30 CET with strong DXY or index movement → don’t enter; if already in, reduce risk immediately (partial or BE). Order-book-based • Do not take the trade if bids disappear near 85.6k and large static ask walls build between 86–87k — that directly contradicts the bounce thesis. • Exit immediately if, after entry, you see aggressive market sells slicing through 85k on thin bids with no absorption. That’s a real breakdown, not a sweep. ⸻ Final Note This is a holiday trade: • low expectations • low frequency • clean execution If it works — great. If it doesn’t trigger — even better. Preserving capital on boring days is a win.
Long
by minno91
NIGHTUSDT – Buying the Dip in a Fresh Listing?Market Context NIGHT is the token of Midnight Network — a privacy-focused L1 connected to the Cardano ecosystem. Translation: serious tech… but still early and volatile. The coin was recently listed on Bybit (spot + Convert + Savings), which brought fresh liquidity and the classic price discovery pump. New listing energy is still in play. On the 4H chart, NIGHT is showing a clean uptrend. We just had a strong impulse move from ~0.085 to ~0.12, and now the plan is simple: 👉 wait for the first real pullback instead of chasing green candles. ⸻ Key Levels (4H + 1H) • Demand zone: 0.085 – 0.09 → Last solid base before the latest leg up • High / TP zone: 0.115 – 0.12 → Current swing high after the listing pump • Limit entry: 0.088 → Right in the middle of the “discount area” • Stop-loss: 0.075 → Where the trend thesis officially breaks ⸻ Trade Plan (aka “Don’t Chase, Let It Come to You”) • Direction: Long • Entry: 0.088 (limit) • Stop-loss: 0.075 • Take-profit: 0.115 – 0.12 • Estimated R:R: ~1 : 2 • Time horizon: 1–3 days • Risk: Max 0.25R (new listing ≠ guaranteed moon) ⸻ Why This Setup Makes Sense • Trend is your friend: Clear 4H uptrend. This is a pullback entry, not a hope trade. • Fresh listing dynamics: Newly listed coins often do pump → pullback → continuation. This setup targets exactly that second phase. • Clean demand zone: The 0.085–0.09 area was a strong base before the last push — a logical place for buyers to step in again. • Risk kept small: Early listings can be wild. Small size keeps emotions under control. ⸻ When to CANCEL the NIGHT Limit Order (Very Important 🌙) • Structure invalidation (too strong): If NIGHT makes a new high well above 0.12 and starts trading in a higher range (e.g. 0.13–0.18) before your limit fills → 0.088 is no longer a discount. Cancel and wait for a new pullback. • Structure invalidation (too weak): If 4H candles start closing below 0.08, the base is broken and the trend thesis is invalid → cancel the limit. • Time invalidation: If 2–3 weeks pass and price builds a completely new structure (new bases, new highs), the old limit becomes irrelevant → cancel and re-evaluate. • BTC / macro ruins the vibe: If BTC flips into a clear downtrend after a macro shock (risk-off), you don’t want to be long a fresh listing hype coin → all NIGHT limits off. • Project-specific risk: Any serious negative news (regulatory issues, exploit, major bug, CEX warning) → cancel immediately, no questions asked. ⸻ Final Thought This is a pro-trend pullback, not a FOMO entry. Let price come to you, size it small, and respect the stop. Fresh listings are fun — just don’t marry them 😄
Long
by minno91
2
PIPPINUSDT - Buying the Dip or Catching a Meme?Market Context PIPPIN is an AI / meme coin on Solana, which basically means: • strong narrative ✔️ • high volume ✔️ • zero chill ✔️ Despite the recent drama, PIPPIN is still in a bigger bullish structure, but for now it’s taking a break and chilling inside a 4H range between ~0.30 and 0.46. BTC is doing its classic “bull market correction” thing, dominance is still high, and alt rotation feels delayed, not dead. Translation: alts might wake up later… or after one more fakeout. 😄 PIPPIN fits perfectly as a high-beta, small-size, speculative long — emphasis on small. ⸻ Key Levels (4H + 15M) • Support zone: 0.30 – 0.32 → Where dip buyers usually show up (or pretend to) • Resistance / TP zone: 0.41 – 0.42 → Where people suddenly remember they’re “long-term investors” • Limit entry: 0.315 → Right in the middle of the danger zone • Stop-loss: 0.280 → Where we admit we were wrong and move on with life ⸻ Trade Plan (aka “The Plan”) • Direction: Long • Entry: 0.315 (limit) • Stop-loss: 0.280 • Take-profit: 0.41 – 0.42 • Estimated R:R: ~1 : 2.5 • Time horizon: Intraday to 1–2 days • Risk: Max 0.25R (this is a meme, not a retirement plan) ⸻ Why This Might Actually Work • Range logic: Price is still respecting the range. Buying near the bottom gives us clean invalidation and a decent shot at the top. • Trend context: Higher-timeframe trend is still up. This looks more like a pullback than a funeral. • BTC vibes: BTC isn’t collapsing — just stretching its legs. As long as that continues, memes can still bounce. • Narrative + liquidity: AI + Solana memes = attention. Attention = volume. Volume = tradable. • Risk management: Small size so you can sleep at night even if this goes sideways. ⸻ When to CANCEL This Trade (Very Important 😄) • Structure says “nope”: If 4H / Daily candles start closing below 0.30 before entry → the range is dead, cancel the order. • Time says “too late”: If price moves into a higher range (e.g. 0.38–0.55) and never comes back to 0.32, this level is old news → cancel and reassess. • BTC ruins the party: If BTC breaks key supports (e.g. ~80k) and turns risk-off, you do not want to be long a high-beta meme → cancel instantly. • Project drama: Rug, exploit, insider dump with real proof? No analysis. No debate. Cancel. ⸻ Final Thought This is a range trade, not a prophecy. Size small, respect the stop, and don’t fall in love with a meme. Good luck traders — may your limit fill and your stop stay untouched 😄📉
Long
by minno91
2
BTCUSDT - Pre-Macro Liquidity Grab (In, Out, No Drama)A) Market Summary BTC is trading around 88.5–89k early Tuesday after getting rejected at 90k (again). Price is stuck inside a wide daily range of 84–95k, basically doing cardio but going nowhere. At 14:30 CET, we get the US macro triple boss fight: • GDP (2nd estimate) • Durable Goods Orders • Corporate Profits Translation: wick city. Big candles, fakeouts, chaos. This is not a “hold and pray” day — it’s a quick liquidity trade before the storm. ⸻ B) Trade Decision ✅ Intraday trade available A conservative mean-reversion long from a liquidity pocket below Asia lows, with a hard time stop before 14:30 CET. We take the bounce — we do not marry the position. ⸻ C) Intraday Setup (BTCUSDT Perps – Binance / Bybit) • Direction: Long • Entry (limit): 87,000 • Stop-loss: 85,600 • Take-profit: 89,800 • R:R: ~2 : 1 Time Rules (non-negotiable): • Limit valid until 14:00 CET • If filled, position must be closed or SL moved to BE by 14:20 CET • No exposure into 14:30 CET macro roulette ⸻ D) Trade Logic (Why This Isn’t Random Gambling) • Macro context (the clock matters): Today’s US data regularly causes violent moves in DXY, yields, and BTC. This trade is designed as a pre-event technical play, not a hero trade through news. • Structure & liquidity: BTC is sitting in the middle of a multi-week range (84–95k). 4H / 1H structure shows lower highs below 90k, with a well-defined support zone around 86.5–87.5k — exactly where short-term long stops are hiding. • Derivatives & liquidations: CoinGlass shows BTC futures OI around $58–60B — still elevated, but partially reset. This favors an intraday stop-hunt rather than a full trend shift. Liquidation heatmap highlights long-liq clusters at 86.5–87.5k, while short-liq clusters sit above 92k. • Funding & sentiment: Funding is slightly positive to neutral, sentiment cautious rather than euphoric. That’s ideal for range behavior: flush liquidity → bounce → back to balance. • Order book (confirmation only): Binance & Bybit order books show stacked bids around 86.8–87.3k and solid asks near 89.5–90k. This supports a scenario where a dip into 87k gets absorbed, followed by a push back toward the sell walls. ⸻ E) Invalidation Rules (Read This Before You Click Buy) Price-based • Setup is invalid if a 1H candle closes below 85,500 → Liquidity support failed, risk shifts toward 84k or lower. • Cancel the 87k limit if BTC breaks and holds above 90,500 on 1H → Context flips to breakout, not mean reversion. Time-based • If the 87k limit is not filled by 14:00 CET, cancel it. • If in the trade and price fails to bounce above 88.5k by 14:20 CET, close manually. We do not babysit trades into macro spikes. Macro-based • Any surprise macro headline (Fed comment, geopolitical shock) before 14:30 CET with aggressive DXY/index moves → trade is invalid, reduce or don’t enter. Order-book-based • Before entry: If bid clusters near 87k disappear and large asks stack aggressively above price → do not enter. • After entry: If price taps 87k, order book stays thin, and BTC slices through 86k with volume → respect the SL. No moving stops. No adding. No coping. ⸻ Final Thought This is a “touch the liquidity, grab the bounce, get out” type of trade. We’re trading time + structure, not vibes. Fast in, fast out — and flat before the fireworks 🎆
Long
by minno91
TRU Retesting Broken Falling Wedge SupportTRU previously formed a falling wedge during a prolonged bearish phase. That structure has now resolved to the downside, with price breaking below the wedge support and accepting lower levels. After the breakdown, price is currently retesting the former wedge support, which has now flipped into resistance. This retest is a critical decision zone, as failed reclaim attempts often confirm bearish continuation. If TrueFi fails to reclaim and hold above the broken wedge trendline, downside continuation remains the dominant scenario. In that case, price may rotate lower toward the next demand zone below current levels. For any bullish recovery, price must reclaim the broken wedge support and show acceptance above it. Without that reclaim, the broader structure remains bearish and any bounce should be treated as corrective. This setup is driven by falling wedge breakdown dynamics, resistance flip behavior, and post-structure retest mechanics. Confirmation at this level will define the next directional move.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
5
GBP/USD – H4 Analysis.....GBP/USD – H4 Analysis (Based on My chart) Market Structure Clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is above the ascending trendline and above the Ichimoku cloud. Recent consolidation breakout confirms bullish continuation. 📈 Buy Scenario Buy Zone: 1.3500 – 1.3520 🎯 Target Main Target: 1.3700 ✅ (marked Target Point on your chart) (If you want split targets) TP1: 1.3600 TP2: 1.3700 ❌ Invalidation A strong H4 close below 1.3450 will weaken/invalid this setup. 📌 Summary Bias: BUY Trend: Strong bullish continuation Expectation: Price to push toward 1.3700 resistance zone
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
1
(BTCUSD, 2H timeframe)...(BTCUSD, 2H timeframe): Current price: ~86,800 🎯 Targets (Upside) Target 1: 90,800 – 91,000 (First resistance / my marked 1st support turned resistance) Target 2: 94,800 – 95,000 (Major resistance / 2nd level on my chart) 🛑 Downside Supports (if price drops) Support 1: 87,800 – 88,000 Support 2: 85,800 – 86,000 📊 Bias Price is below the descending trendline → trend still bearish to neutral A clean breakout and close above ~88,500–89,000 can open the move toward 91k Rejection below trendline → possible retest of 86k zone If my want, tell me: Scalp / intraday / swing trade Buy or sell setup I’ll give my exact entry, SL, and TP levels 🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by XAUxBTC_Pro
11