Cryptomarket
$AVAX – ARBITRAGE DUMP DETECTED – READY TO BALANCE?Traders,
Last time we nailed CRYPTOCAP:AVAX from 22.80 → 30 → 35 almost pixel perfect.
Now the setup may be flipping. Let’s break it down with the THETA method:
🔹 Imbalances
Perps vs Spot: Binance Perps wicked down to $26.83, Spot hasn’t filled it yet → liquidity gap below.
Market Profile: Price swept the 31 Jan weekly high, a “bad high” (too much excess, unstable).
Oscillators: RSI shows bearish divergences on multiple timeframes → momentum fading.
Context: Market is repairing imbalance above to build liquidity, which can later be used to fix the unfinished business below.
🔹 Order Flow & AVWAP
Aggressive buyers stepping in at $34–36 (since CME open).
Price is now trading at the upper band of the HTF AVWAP, a zone that often signals overextension vs volume-weighted positioning.
The unfilled wick imbalance at $26.83 is also the price of the HTF AVWAP itself (blue line) → strong confluence for a revisit.
If downside continues, those aggressive buyers will be trapped, fueling the move lower.
Next key check: At $26.90, we need to watch data + price action to define if AVAX stabilizes there or breaks further.
✅ Conclusion
Price is showing signs of distribution at the HTF AVWAP upper band. Liquidity is being absorbed above, and the confluence of the wick imbalance + HTF AVWAP at $26.83 strengthens the case for a downside move.
👉 Key takeaway: Longs chasing into AVWAP extremes = potentially trapped buyers, with the market likely rotating back to $26.90–26.83 before the next decision point.
AVAXUSDT ; Did the buyers arrive?Hello friends
You see that the price has created a channel and broken it and has had a good growth and has created a channel again that buyers support. Still, and considering the sharp movement that we are seeing, it seems that the price can break this channel.
If it fails to break the channel in the first encounter, it can move to the specified support areas and then grow.
If the channel is broken, the price can move to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin Dominance at Channel Resistance – Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has reached the top of its ascending channel around 58.5%, which is acting as a strong resistance.
🔹 Main Scenario (More Likely):
A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger a pullback toward 57.8% – 58%, giving some relief to altcoins in the short term.
🔹 Alternative Scenario:
If BTC.D manages to break and hold above 58.5%, the next upside target would be around 59%.
⚖️ Conclusion:
• Current levels are risky for further upside.
• Probability of a correction is higher.
• This setup may favor altcoin outperformance if dominance drops.
Bitcoin Price Update and Trading Plan
**Current Situation**:
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a critical level, and its weekly closing price is highly important for traders. A strong bounce from the current price, followed by a weekly close above **$114,500**, is needed to confirm bullish momentum. This could lead to a significant upward move, allowing traders to capitalize on the next strong price movement. However, BTC should first retest its key support level, which it previously broke, to confirm its strength. If rejected at this support, a downward move toward **$108,000** is possible.
**Trading Plan**:
1. **Bullish Case**:
- **Condition**: If BTC bounces from its current level and closes above **$114,500** on the weekly chart, it signals strong bullish momentum.
- **Action**: Enter a long position targeting higher levels, such as **$117,200-$120,000**.
- **Stop Loss**: Place below **$114,000** to manage risk.
- **Rationale**: A close above **$114,500** confirms support and sets the stage for the next upward move.
2. **Bearish Case**:
- **Condition**: If BTC fails to hold above **$114,500** and breaks below the key support, it may retest the **$108,000-$110,000** zone, where it previously found support.
- **Action**: Wait for confirmation of a bounce at **$108,000** for a potential long trade, or short if rejection occurs at this level.
- **Stop Loss**: For shorts, place above **$115,000** to limit risk.
- **Target**: A downward move could target **$108,000**, with further declines possible if selling pressure increases.
- **Rationale**: A rejection at **$108,000** after breaking key support indicates bearish pressure, potentially leading to a deeper correction.
**Key Levels to Monitor**:
- **Support**: **$114,500** (immediate), **$108,000-$110,000** (major support zone).
- **Resistance**: **$117,200-$118,000** (immediate), **$120,000+** (next target).
- **Weekly Close**: The weekly close on September 28, 2025, will determine whether BTC confirms bullish strength or signals a deeper pullback.
**Conclusion**:
For a bullish outlook, BTC needs to close above **$114,500** to confirm a bounce and target higher levels. If it fails, traders should prepare for a potential retest of **$108,000**, where a rejection could lead to further downside. Monitor price action closely and use tight risk management due to BTC’s volatility.
*Disclaimer*: Cryptocurrency trading is highly risky. This is not financial advice; always conduct your own research before trading.
BTCUSD 1H: Short Opportunity on Support Break & EMA Confluence🟨 Main Trend:
Based on the EMA indicator, the BINANCE:BTCUSD market is currently in a short-term downtrend. Pullbacks have only reached the EMA before facing renewed selling pressure.
🟨 Accumulation & Support Zone:
The price is moving sideways around a key support zone at ~112,800 – 113,200. This area has repeatedly attracted buying interest but has not yet produced a clear breakout.
🟨 Entry & Risk Management:
A valid short entry can be considered once a candle closes below the support zone, in confluence with the EMA continuing to slope downward.
Stop-loss should be placed above the EMA zone or the nearest resistance.
🟨 Targets:
Potential downside extension toward deeper support levels around 110,000 – 109,000.
🟨 Scenarios to Watch:
Bearish continuation (primary scenario): Wait for a support break and confirmation with a closing candle.
Alternative scenario 2: If the price breaks out above resistance, wait for confirmation that an uptrend is forming before looking for long opportunities.
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish reversalBitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the buy entry at 111,672.42, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the upside.
Stop loss is at 109,341.87, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 115,035.84, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DOTUSD H4 | Bearish reversal off major resistanceDOT/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse to the downside from this level.
Sell entry is at 4.007, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 4.255, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3.527, a pullback support that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SOLUSD H4 | Bearish dropSOL/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 230.926, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 250.04, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 201, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ETH this week: stabilization after liquidations and ETF flows inFundamental approach
- ETH prices slipped this week amid a broad crypto pullback following a weekend wave of leveraged liquidations and profit-taking, even as prior spot ETF inflows and easing Fed policy supported risk appetite earlier in the week. Sentiment was volatile as traders digested mixed ETF flow signals and macro easing after the Fed's rate cut.
- The main impacting factors included a reported $1.5B in crypto long liquidations, which are pressuring majors. ETH prices posted their weakest two-day stretch since late Aug as risk unwound into Monday's session. Offsetting factors were mid-Sep net inflows into US spot ETH ETFs, led by BlackRock's product, and growing anticipation for Dec's Fusaka upgrade aimed at scaling Layer 2 data capacity.
- In the near term, ETH could stabilize if ETF flows remain favorable and macro conditions stay supportive; however, further deleveraging and data-sensitive risk sentiment could keep swings elevated. Upcoming catalysts include continued daily ETF flow prints, developer communications around the Fusaka timeline, and features that may influence medium-term adoption.
Technical approach:
- ETHUSD is forming a lower high and lower low pattern within the defined range of 4080-4756. The price is awaiting a clear breakout to determine the upcoming trend.
- If ETHUSD breaks below the support at 4080, EMA78, and the descending channel's lower bound, the price may retest the following support at 3384.
- On the contrary, closing above 4260 may help ETH prices gain momentum to retest the descending channel's upper bound.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DOGEUSD H4 | Bullish bounce offBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns wiht hte 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.22383, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.2053, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.25819, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BCHUSD H4 | Bullish reversalBCH/USD is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 548.20, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 527.73, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 584.57, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin appears to be moving within a descending channel. Upon reaching the upper boundary of the channel, which coincided with the major resistance zone at 117,000 – 120,000 USDT (and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ), the price entered a corrective move.
The short-term ascending trendline has already been broken.
As long as the price stays below 118,000 – 120,000, the correction is likely to continue.
Despite the short-term selling pressure, the medium-term trend remains bullish.
The ongoing correction could serve as a healthy pullback before the larger uptrend resumes.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin Long Trade Signal, Buying with the Whales at 110KI noticed large buy orders from market whales and strong buying momentum accumulating around the 110,000 level.
The current drop supports demand accumulation at the same area.
I will enter a long position from 110,000 with quick targets.
Here’s my personal trade plan:
✅ Entry 1: Buy from 110K
✅ Entry 2: If price dips, add another buy at 107K
🎯 Target 1: 111,100
🎯 Target 2: 112,000
Stop-loss: For both entries, a daily close below 107K
Please note:
This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades.
Always do your own research before taking action.
👍 Don’t forget to like if you found this useful, and feel free to follow me for more analysis of this kind.
Best of luck 🌹
BTC Futures market manipulation
Bitcoin sold off today, right after the futures market opened. It could have come down already during the weekend, but it didn’t.
That makes it look like clear futures market manipulation, shaking out weak hands and creating fear so big players can buy from you at lower prices.
Drop looks impulsive, and with no gaps above, there is a riks for more intraday weakness.
ETH Swing Long Idea - RDM is in playETH Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more 0.25% cuts expected in the coming months. Additionally, institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. While inflation remains elevated, the weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, driving more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is in HTF bullish order flow, so I will only be looking for long setups.
ETH made its all-time high and is currently retracing to gather more energy for higher moves.
Price also ran the HTF Range Low liquidity, which contained significant liquidity — an engineered move I expect to lead the market higher.
📘 Range Deviation Model (RDM)
In this model, I define the HTF Range High/Low. I wait for price to run one side of the range liquidity (either Range High or Range Low), then close back inside the range. That becomes the entry trigger, targeting internal range liquidity first. If HTF trend supports, the opposite range liquidity becomes the full target.
📌 Game Plan
I will be playing the Range Deviation Model (RDM) here.
Looking for a daily close above 4065$ as validation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Entry after daily close above 4065$.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4000$
Targets:
TP1: 4484$
TP2: 4700$
TP3: 4965$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
BTC Testing Critical Levels: Will $110K Hold the Line?What we said earlier, I hope many of you are safe.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken down from the rising wedge and already sliced through the $115K support zone. The next major level to watch is the psychological support at $110K. If buyers defend that area, the market could stabilize, but if $110K fails, we’re looking at a deeper correction ahead.
In short: $115K is gone, $110K now becomes the crucial line in the sand.
DOGE Looks Bearish (1D)We tried to show the waves from a larger perspective so you can have a better understanding of the path.
It seems that wave "B" of the higher-degree correction has been completed (wave B was a bullish phase), and now we are entering wave "C", which is bearish at a higher degree.
With the price pulling back toward the red zone, we can look for sell/short positions.
On the chart, there is a liquidity pool marked with "$$$", and the first target of this bearish move is to sweep that liquidity pool.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
3 Altcoins That Could Hit All-Time Highs In SeptemberSAROS price is trading at $0.402, holding firmly above the $0.401 support level. This support has remained intact for over a week, indicating strong investor confidence. The stability provides a foundation for SAROS to attempt recovery.
The altcoin is only 8.6% away from its all-time high of $0.436. With the 50-day EMA positioned well below current levels, acting as support, SAROS has technical strength. A bounce off $0.401 could allow the token to retest the ATH this week, boosting investor sentiment further.
However, risks remain if bullish momentum weakens. SAROS price could slip under $0.401 support and extend losses to $0.377. Such a drop would invalidate the bullish thesis, signaling a potential bearish reversal.