$BTC is repeating history, and it’s doing it with precision.CRYPTOCAP:BTC is repeating history, and it’s doing it with precision. 📈
In the last cycle, it took Bitcoin 1,044 days to move from the bear market bottom to a new all-time high. This cycle is on the same timeline, and we’re now well into that phase.
Price is staying inside the long-term rising channel, and momentum is building. If this continues, a macro top could form between late October and early November, maybe even by the first week of October if the rally speeds up.
The RSI is also climbing toward the same overbought levels seen before past tops. The cycle pattern isn’t random.
It’s the guide.
Cryptomarket
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #152👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the Bitcoin analysis. Unfortunately, I couldn’t post the analysis yesterday, but starting today, it will once again be posted daily as part of our regular routine so you can benefit from it.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
Yesterday, on the 1-Hour chart, Bitcoin made a strong upward move and set a new all-time high at the 124474 zone.
💥 However, today the US Producer Price Index (PPI) was released, showing an unusual figure of 0.9%. This news is very negative for Bitcoin because it means the Federal Reserve may not be able to lower interest rates, which is bearish for Bitcoin.
⭐ This negative news caused Bitcoin, after the fake breakout of the 122733 zone, to drop, and the price has now fallen back to the 117000 zone. The momentum of this drop has been quite strong.
⚡️ If the 117000 zone breaks, the probability of a decline toward the 110000 zone will increase significantly because a very important resistance has been faked out, which has weakened buyer strength considerably.
🔍 In my opinion, the likelihood of this happening is low because this large candle we see was triggered by news, and the effects of news are more important in the long term rather than immediately at the time of release. However, the news that was released is fundamentally negative for Bitcoin in the long run and could even be the starting point of a bearish trend for Bitcoin.
✔️ So, from a fundamental perspective, it’s better to wait for Powell’s September session.
📊 But if the 117000 zone holds as support, we can consider opening long positions when suitable triggers are activated because the trend is still bullish, and the price could retest the previous high again.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
SUPER | Major Support Retest — Spot Long SetupSUPER is currently testing a significant support zone, potentially setting the stage for a bullish reversal or bounce.
📌 Entry Zone: $0.70 – $0.75
🎯 Targets:
• TP1: $0.90 – $0.95
• TP2: $1.10 – $1.15
• TP3: $1.40 – $1.45
🛑 Stop Loss: Just below $0.66
This support region has held well in the past — if it holds again, we could see a strong upward move. Look for confirmation and volume uptick before entering.
📈 Risk management is key — plan your trade, trade your plan.
ETH/USD: Ethereum on the Edge of History!Ethereum recently surged over 50% in the last month, currently trading near $4,700, approaching its all-time high of ~$4,868 from November 2021.
Weekly momentum remains strong; Ethereum is riding a bullish channel. Some technical indicators hint at potential overbought conditions, but these can persist in strong rallies.
*Support lies between $4,400–4,500, with more substantial support around $4,145 and down to $3,800–3,700 in case of deeper pullbacks
*Most indicators point toward a continuation of the bullish channel, with potential for slight corrections as Ethereum tests key resistance levels.
Ethereum is currently in a strong bullish phase, trading near its all-time high, with momentum supported by institutional inflows, regulatory clarity, and recent protocol upgrades. Short-term projections suggest a possible breakout above $4,800, with targets between $5,200 and $6,000 in the coming weeks. By the end of 2025, most forecasts see ETH reaching at least $7,500, while more aggressive scenarios point toward $10,000 or higher.
In the longer term, Ethereum’s expanding role in stablecoins, decentralized finance, and institutional adoption could drive substantial price appreciation, with major banks forecasting $25,000 by 2028 and some optimistic models aiming for $40,000+ by 2030. However, this growth path is not without risks; potential market corrections, regulatory changes, and competition from other blockchain platforms could affect momentum.
Overall, Ethereum remains one of the most promising digital assets in the crypto market, with both technical and fundamental factors aligning for continued growth, provided broader market sentiment stays positive.
ETH Long after pull-backEthereum (ETH) price action in August 2025 shows a recent price around $4,567, with a decline of about 3.87% on the day. The price has ranged between roughly $4,450 and $4,790, close to its yearly high for the current year. Market activity suggests volatility with occasional pullbacks and consolidations near key levels around $4,600 to $4,800. Technical outlook indicates bullish momentum is somewhat challenged by periods of consolidation and minor corrections, with resistance levels near $4,800-$5,000 and support around $4,500 and below.
BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025BTC Daily Recap & Game Plan 14.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran to all-time highs and faced rejection there.
The close below the all-time high level indicates that price may now seek opposite-side liquidity (buyers).
Historically, Bitcoin often consolidates within a range after running all-time highs, collecting more liquidity before continuing upward.
📌 Game Plan
I expect two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Run the daily swing low and hit the equilibrium of the range at $118,645, then bounce and move up towards $121,750.
2️⃣ Run the 12H swing low and hit the 0.75 level of the max discount range at $116,325, then bounce and move up.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will be watching for a 4H break of structure when either scenario occurs.
📋 Trade Management
Stop-loss: Below the 4H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: TP1 at $121,750 and possible new highs. Targets will be updated depending on structure.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
BTC/USD Eyeing Breakout Toward $121.5K – Supply Zone Retest ?Current Price: ~$119,872 showing consolidation just above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
Structure: Price has bounced from the supply zone (~118.4K–118.6K) and is currently pushing upward.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trading within a cloud breakout attempt, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Two unfilled FVGs above suggest liquidity targets at ~$120.6K and ~$121.5K.
Support Levels:
Strong Support: ~$115.8K–116.5K.
Local Supply Zone Support: ~$118.4K.
Target: Main upside target sits at $121,533, aligning with a prior high and liquidity pool.
Trade Plan (Long Setup):
Entry: $119,700 – $119,900 (current consolidation zone)
Stop Loss: Below $118,400 (below supply zone)
Take Profit 1: $120,600 (first FVG target)
Take Profit 2: $121,533 (major resistance/liquidity target)
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2.8
Notes: Wait for a bullish confirmation candle or 1H close above $119,900 before entering. Avoid chasing if price spikes without retest.
This plan follows the chart’s bullish structure and aims to ride the move into the untested liquidity areas above.
If you want, I can also give you a short scenario plan in case price rejects here. That would make this a full two-way trade setup.
DOGEUSD H4 | Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluenceDOGE/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection, and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.25718, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit is at 0.2256, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EOSUSD | H4 Bearish reversal off EOSUSD has reacted off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.5656, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop entry is at 0.6210, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5060, which is a pullback suport that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonaccci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRX | TRON Goes BananasTRON Goes Full Banana Mode : Breaking Records and Throwing Peels at XRP!
TRX is up 500% since our first signal , so it’s officially time to party! order some lambos buy some bananas and let’s celebrate like crypto maniacs🎉🚀🍌
Currently priced at $0.38, it’s up a whopping +70% in just 24 hours. That’s the kind of growth that makes even Bitcoin blush. Speaking of records, TRON hit an all time high of $0.43 today, December 4, 2024, but it’s cooled off a bit, sitting just 10% shy of that milestone.
With a circulating supply of 86.29 billion TRX tokens (maxed out at the same number, like an all-you-can-eat buffet that’s finally closed), TRON isn’t playing around. Its 24 hour trading volume? A casual $5.50 billion, mostly on Binance, which is practically TRX’s second home. TRON now claims 0.90% of the entire crypto market, flexing a $33.60 billion market cap!
After altcoins like DOGE, XRP, HBAR, and XLM strutted their stuff, TRX stormed onto the scene and stole the show. Yesterday, it rocketed from $0.23, smashed through its 2018 ATH like a Kool-Aid man, and set its sights on $0.43.
This price explosion wasn’t just luck or hype. TRON’s ecosystem has been buzzing with activity. It’s dominating Tether transactions, launching flashy projects like Sun.Pump (sounds like a cryptocurrency gym), and riding on the relentless promotional energy of founder Justin Sun. He’s been spending cash like a kid in a candy store, including a hefty investment in Donald Trump’s crypto project and yeah the 6.2 million dollar BANANA was the main factor!
Speaking of Sun, he stirred the pot on Twitter by cryptically declaring, “TRX = XRP.” Bold move, Justin. For context, XRP skyrocketed after Trump’s election win and SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s dramatic exit. At one point, it gained over 420% in a month. XRP also hit a multi-year high this week near $3 and climbed to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
TRX’s comparatively “modest” monthly surge of 135% isn’t as flashy, but hey, breaking an all-time high is still a flex. TRON’s market cap is about 5x smaller than XRP’s for now, but in crypto, anything can happen. With this much drama, who needs Netflix?
Always take profits, enjoy your trades, and celebrate your wins
Phemex Analysis #104: Is Phemex Token (PT) Ready to SkyRocket?!Phemex Token (PT), the native utility and governance token of the Phemex exchange, is once again in the spotlight. Currently trading near $0.93 with a market value around $930 million, PT’s recent price action suggests it’s coiling under a critical breakout level.
What’s fueling PT’s momentum?
Utility-driven demand: Staking (vePT), trading fee discounts, Launchpad access, and DAO governance rights keep PT integrated into the Phemex ecosystem.
Deflationary tokenomics: 30% of MemeX and Pilot Trading revenues are used to buy back & burn PT each month—steadily shrinking circulating supply.
Strong community conviction: Over 59% of holders are staking their PT, locking up supply and showing long-term confidence.
With the daily chart showing a solid base forming just below $1.00, PT is at a make-or-break moment that could lead to explosive price action.
Possible Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout Above $1.00
If PT can close decisively above $1.00 with strong volume, it would confirm a bullish breakout and open the door for rapid upside.
Upside Targets: $1.23 → $1.32 → $1.44 (key supply zones).
Pro Tips:
Enter on a confirmed daily breakout or a clean retest holding above $1.00.
Take partial profits at each resistance level to lock in gains while riding the trend.
2. Sideways Accumulation ($0.80–$1.00)
If volume remains subdued, PT may range between $0.80 support and $1.00 resistance—a healthy accumulation phase before the next big move.
Pro Tips:
Use grid or range trading strategies—buy near $0.80, sell near $0.98–$1.00.
Avoid chasing mid-range prices; wait for entries at range extremes.
Watch for volume spikes as early clues to the breakout direction.
3. Bearish Pullback to Deeper Supports
If PT fails to hold $0.80 on strong selling volume, a deeper pullback could unfold.
Downside Supports: $0.73 → $0.65 → $0.60.
Pro Tips:
Exit or reduce positions if $0.80 fails to hold.
Long-term believers can consider DCA only after stabilization at strong supports.
Look for capitulation signals (high volume + price flattening) before re-entering.
Conclusion
PT sits just under a major psychological barrier at $1.00, making it one of the most interesting tokens to watch right now. The setup is clear:
Breakout → Ride toward $1.23+
Range trade → Harvest $0.80–$1.00
Breakdown → Wait for stability at deeper supports
With robust utility, a committed staking community, and a built-in burn model, Phemex Token could be primed for a powerful move—one that might just send it skyrocketing past $1.00.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
BTC and Total Market Cap Daily Wave Count UpdatesIn this video, I have updated my Elliott Wave Counts for #btcusd and #totalmarketcap. My previous expectation for bitcoin to see the zone of 108-107 has now been invalidated while my previous projection for the total market cap is in play as of now.
Make sure to watch the previous videos as well as the one on #ethusdt to gain a better understanding of the logic behind the wave counts.
Crypto Macro Cockpit: Risk-ON Regime ConfirmedThis chart presents a live macro overlay for crypto markets using the new Crypto Macro Cockpit, a Pine Script-based dashboard that blends traditional flow metrics with institutional-era proxies.
We're currently reading a Risk-ON regime as fresh liquidity deploys into the system—confirmed across stablecoin metrics and sector rotation.
🔍 Key Insights
Risk Flow: Stablecoin cap is rising slower than total market cap → suggests active deployment (Risk-ON)
Liquidity Context: StableCap ROC at +7%, confirming real dry powder growth
Rotation: ETH vs BTC and ETHBTC both accelerating upward → ETH/Alts tilt
TOTAL3ES/ETH ratio: Softening short-term → confirms engineered altseason with ETH as the core liquidity channel
Macro Regime: Risk-ON (new liquidity deploying)
🧠 Thesis
This aligns with the Trojan Cycle thesis:
Institutional liquidity enters through safe, regulated channels (e.g. stablecoins), while synthetic altseasons are engineered to engage and extract liquidity from retail participants.
Legacy macro tools like M2 are no longer as effective. In today’s structure, stablecoin metrics offer real-time, blockchain-native liquidity signals.
- Stablecoin Market Cap reflects actual capital inflow (dry powder entering)
- Stablecoin Dominance proxies sentiment: declining = risk-on, rising = risk-off
- Their spread vs Total Market Cap reveals whether capital is being deployed or parked
As institutions and ETFs reshape market dynamics, this cockpit adapts.
M2 is out. Stablecoins are in.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.
This script and dashboard are informational tools meant to support macro-level context and regime awareness—not trade signals.
Always do your own research.
Will ONT Break the $0.17 Wall?$ONT/USDT has bounced strongly from its recent lows, showing short-term bullish momentum.
However, price is now approaching a critical area, a key descending resistance line that aligns with a major resistance zone around $0.16–$0.17.
A breakout above this confluence could signal a stronger trend reversal, but rejection here may lead to another pullback.
DYOR, NFA
Triple Bottom Power – ROSE Eyes Explosive Upside!$ROSE/USDT has formed a triple bottom pattern, signaling strong buying interest at the support zone. Price is now testing the key descending resistance line.
If it manages to close decisively above this level, we could see a strong upside move.
Until then, keep it on your watchlist and monitor closely for a breakout confirmation.
DYOR, NFA
BTC | Long Idea – All-Time Highs LoadingBTC | Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are providing favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price formed a 4H demand zone and immediately retested it, showing a strong bullish reaction.
That retest offered a perfect entry, but there’s still potential for another move back to the demand zone before pushing higher.
The 1H swing low liquidity sits in confluence with both the 4H demand zone and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level — a strong triple confluence.
This alignment occurs around the $120,000 level, making it a key watchpoint.
📌 Game Plan
Wait for price to revisit the 4H demand zone.
Look for a sweep of the 1H swing low liquidity.
See the 0.5 Fibonacci level tapped for maximum discount before continuation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 1H market structure break after price taps the $120,000 confluence zone.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below the 1H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: Direct push towards all-time highs at $123,300.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions.
ETH | Long Idea - All time highs soonETH | Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
Ethereum is approaching all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow. Additionally, rumors of potential SEC approval for Ethereum staking policy could directly boost ETH’s utility — strengthening the long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is climbing steadily after sweeping LTF liquidity.
Retracements have been shallow due to strong momentum and market hype.
All-time highs are now clearly an institutional / smart money target.
📌 Game Plan
Watch for a sweep of 1H swing lows / equal lows at $4,605 followed by a bullish rejection.
Alternatively, 12H FVG at $4,561 could be taken before rejection — both liquidity runs are valid watchpoints.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 1H break of structure after liquidity grabs at the mentioned levels.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 1H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: Direct move towards all-time highs at $4,868.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
$COINBASE:BTCUSD Possible Long SetupAfter a 3% pullback, COINBASE:BTCUSD is now sitting in a key support zone.
We’re starting to see momentum shift out of oversold territory on the Oscillator Matrix, which could spark a bounce from here.
Overall, this looks like a solid trade setup with a strong risk-to-reward potential.
ETHFI | Swing Long Idea - AltcoinETHFI | Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increased global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
ETHFI moves in close correlation with Ethereum’s price action. As ETH approaches all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow, ETHFI is also showing strong bullish potential.
Additionally, rumors about possible SEC approval of Ethereum staking policy could significantly increase ETHFI’s utility in the future — adding conviction to a long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price broke a HTF key resistance and closed above.
The retest of this level confirmed it as strong support.
Price also broke the HTF bearish trendline, followed by a successful retest and bullish rejection.
📌 Game Plan
Long position entered at $1.2730 after rejection from the retest of the broken bearish trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below $1.14
Targets:
TP1: $1.41
TP2: $1.65
Trail stops aggressively to lock in profits as price moves favorably.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!