Cisco: Poised for Final Push HigherCisco shares recently established the low of turquoise wave 4 and have since gained fresh upward momentum. Although the stock has since entered a sideways trading phase, we still anticipate a renewed push higher in the near term to complete the final stage of beige wave b in an impulsive move. Only after this move do we expect selling pressure to increase again. That said, it’s possible the high of beige wave alt.b has already been reached. This scenario would be confirmed by a decisive drop below the $52 support level (probability: 35%).
Cscostock
CSCO Earnings Play – Bullish Setup into AI Boom! (2025-08-12)
# 🚀 CSCO Earnings Play – Bullish Setup into AI Boom! (2025-08-12) 🚀
💡 **Cisco Systems (CSCO)** is setting up for a potential post-earnings breakout. Fundamentals, technicals, and sector momentum all align for a **moderate-to-high conviction CALL play**.
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## 📈 Fundamentals Fueling the Bull Case
* **Revenue Growth:** +11.4% TTM – steady demand from enterprise & AI infrastructure
* **Margins Holding Strong:**
* Gross: **65.2%** 🏆
* Operating: **23.3%**
* Profit: **17.6%**
* **Earnings Consistency:** 8/8 quarters beat, avg. surprise **+5.1%**
* **Guidance Strength:** Forward EPS est. \$3.90 – confidence in profitability
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## 📊 Options Market Intel
* **Low Volatility:** VIX at 15.52 → calmer market backdrop
* **Call Bias:** Heavy OI in \$73 & \$75 strikes → institutions loading up
* **Put/Call Skew:** Leaning bullish
* **Gamma Setup:** Low vol = reduced whipsaw risk
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## 🔍 Technical View
* **Trend:** Trading above 20d (\$68.71), 50d (\$67.45), 200d (\$61.68) – clear bullish momentum
* **Resistance:** \$72.55 (52-week high) → breakout trigger zone
* **Support:** \$69.00 – defended by put concentration
* **Pre-Earnings Drift:** Steady climb → accumulation signs
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## 🌍 Macro Tailwinds
* AI & cybersecurity demand surging
* IT spending cycle favorable for enterprise tech leaders like Cisco
* Sector rotation favoring growth & infrastructure plays
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## 🎯 Trade Plan – Long Calls for Earnings Pop
**Type:** Buy to Open CALLs
**Strike:** \$74.00
**Entry Price:** \$0.85
**Expiry:** 2025-08-15
**Confidence:** 75%
📈 **Targets:**
* PT: \$2.00 (+135%)
* SL: \$0.42 (-50%)
* Time Exit: Within 2 hrs post-earnings if PT/SL not hit
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## 🛡 Risk Management
* Max Risk: 1 contract = \$85
* R/R Ratio: \~1 : 2.5 – 4.0
* Avoid overnight hold past expiry
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### 🧠 TradingView Takeaway
This is a **trend continuation earnings bet**. Strong balance sheet, bullish options flow, and favorable macro backdrop make CSCO a prime candidate for an earnings breakout.
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💬 **Question:** If CSCO clears \$72.55, do you see a \$75+ close by Friday?
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