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EUR/USD — H1 | Elliott Wave Outlook🔎 EUR/USD — H1 | Elliott Wave Outlook — Correction Completed, Bullish Continuation Expected • On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD continues to maintain a bullish Elliott Wave structure, formed after completing a W–X–Y corrective phase (teal). • Wave Y (teal) of the prior corrective structure appears to have завершed around the 1.17026 area. • After completing wave 3 (red) near 1.18021, EURUSD entered a contracting A–B–C–D–E correction (yellow), with wave E terminating around 1.17665. • Price is now forming the initial impulsive advances from this base, indicating fading selling pressure and increasing probability of a bullish continuation. • As long as EURUSD holds above the 1.17665 level, the bullish structure remains intact. 📌 Preferred Scenario (Bullish): • Wait for confirmation signals and look for long opportunities in alignment with the prevailing uptrend, prioritizing structure and momentum-based trades. ⛔️ Invalidation Level: • A break below 1.17665 would invalidate the bullish scenario and require a reassessment of the wave count. 🧭 Trade Philosophy: Do not predict where the market will go — follow where capital is flowing.
Long
by TDVPRE2425
2
AUD/JPY — M30 | 23-12-2025 — Wave 2 (red) completed🔎 **AUD/JPY — M30 | 23-12-2025 — Wave 2 (red) completed, anticipating continuation of Wave 3 (red)** • On the M30 timeframe, AUDJPY continues to maintain a **bullish Elliott Wave structure**, with the primary trend currently positioned within **Wave 3 (red)**. • After completing **Wave 1 (red)** around the **104.619** level, the market entered a corrective phase in the form of **Wave 2 (red)**, unfolding as an **A–B–C correction (yellow)**. • Within **Wave C (yellow)**, **Wave (v) in blue** has fully developed and appears to have completed around the **103.894** area, indicating a clear reduction in corrective selling pressure. • At present, price action suggests the market is entering the **early advancing stages of Wave 3 (red)**, with its internal structure gradually taking shape. 📌 **Preferred scenario (Bullish):** • Wait for the short-term **Wave (ii) in blue** to complete, then look for confirmation signals on lower timeframes to **buy in alignment with Wave (iii) in blue**, riding the impulsive leg within the broader bullish structure and momentum. ⛔️ **Invalidation:** • A breakdown below **103.894** invalidates this scenario and requires a reassessment of the wave count. 🧭 **Trade tips:** **“Trade with the dominant wave — let structure and momentum guide your decisions.”**
Long
by TDVPRE2425
USDIDR – Monthly (1M) Technical Analysis Long-Term Market Structure USDIDR remains in a clear long-term uptrend on the monthly timeframe. Since the Asian Financial Crisis era, price action has consistently formed higher lows, confirming a structurally bullish trend for USD against IDR. The recent move shows a continuation of this multi-decade trend rather than an anomaly. Key Structural Levels Major Resistance Zone - 19,300 – 20,400 Historical resistance Psychological round-number zone Current breakout area A sustained monthly close above this zone would confirm a new structural regime for USDIDR. Major Support Zones - 16,000 – 16,500 → Primary structural support - 14,500 – 15,000 → Long-term equilibrium zone - 12,000 – 13,000 → Macro trend invalidation (very unlikely unless regime shift) As long as price holds above 16K, the long-term bullish bias remains intact. Momentum Analysis (Stochastic RSI) - Stochastic RSI is currently in overbought territory, which is normal for a strong macro trend. - Historically, USDIDR can remain overbought for extended periods without meaningful reversals. - Overbought here suggests trend strength, not immediate bearishness. Short-term pullbacks should be viewed as consolidation, not trend reversal. Price Behavior Insight USDIDR does not behave like a speculative asset. It trends slowly, structurally, and reflects: - Monetary policy divergence - Inflation differentials - Capital flow dynamics Sharp downside moves historically occur only during extraordinary policy intervention or global regime shifts. Scenarios ✅ Continuation Scenario (Primary Bias) - Price holds above 19,000 - Monthly structure confirms breakout - Potential extension toward: 21,000, 22,500 (long-term psychological extension) This scenario aligns with historical USDIDR behavior during prolonged macro uptrends. ⚠️ Consolidation Scenario - Price ranges between 17,500 – 19,500 - Sideways compression before the next expansion - Structurally healthy and expected This would represent absorption, not weakness. ❌ Invalidation Scenario - Sustained monthly close below 16,000 - Would signal a structural shift and require reassessment At present, there are no technical signals supporting this scenario. Conclusion USDIDR remains structurally bullish on a multi-decade timeframe. Momentum, historical behavior, and price structure all suggest continuation rather than reversal. Corrections are expected to be shallow and time-based rather than price-destructive. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk. Always conduct your own research and manage risk according to your personal financial situation.
by x_Akki
Head and Shoulders Pattern on AUD/USD On the AUD/USD chart, we are seeing a clear Head and Shoulders pattern , which is a strong indication of a potential bearish reversal. This pattern consists of three peaks, with the middle peak (the "Head") being the highest, and the two smaller peaks (the "Shoulders") on either side. Key Points: Left Shoulder: Formed , marking the first peak before the minor decline. Head: The highest peak , indicating the strongest upward move before the market turned lower. Right Shoulder: The second smaller peak has formed, suggesting the bearish momentum is resuming. Neckline: The neckline, which connects the two troughs. A break below this line would confirm the bearish reversal pattern.
Short
by WaveRiders2
8
LINKUSD (W1): Buy stop at 1.68 for this year!COINBASE:LINKUSD LINKUSD (W1) shows positive signals. With signs of slight correction after a strong price increase. We can expect a return and stronger growth of Chainlink coin. Specifically, the signs are shown as follows: The level of price increase is fast and strong: Increases nearly 200% after 12 candles or 84 days Volume increases when price is pushed up: Volume is above the 50-session average when price increases sharply Weak bearish correction: Price is always greater than the Fibonacci retracement level 0.382 So, let's set up a buy order when the price reaches 16.8. Stop loss at 13.5 and wait to see how far the market will take this currency exchange rate. Merry Christmas!
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by VNSmartMoney
4
AUDUSD ShortWe are looking at AUDUSD Shorts, We are aware of the BRICKS news going around on Instagram however that's nothing new rn it has been online going around since 2015, and we may or may not see the debasement of the dollar in our lifetimes... Dollar, USA is an "empire" of sorts. They have the ultimate power over their currency allowing themselves to print as much as they need... (Yes we are aware that this is a double-edged sword...) The outflow of peoples savings from deposits to the MFF (Money Market Funds) are the biggest in decades. MFFs are for example the US Treasury (Yanet Jellen)..... Please don't hesitate to discuss with us! We love some good discussion in the comment section!
Short
by FastFx_Ltd
USD/TRY Bulls keep eyes on 14.00 - 15.80 | But when ? USD/TRY yesterday remains range-bound near $12.40 heading into Monday’s European session. The Turkish lira (TRY) pair snapped a two-day downtrend the previous day while staying past a weekly ascending support line. Given the MACD line teasing bullish cross, as the quote remains above the short-term rising support line, USD/TRY buyers are likely to aim for the one-week-old horizontal resistance near $12.70. Following that, the $13.00 threshold may offer an intermediate halt during the run-up to the recently flashed record top of $13.49. Meanwhile, a downside break of the aforementioned support line near $12.30 will aim for a 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) level of the November 18-23 rally, around $12.00. During the USD/TRY weakness below the $12.00 threshold, the previous resistance line from November 23 and 61.8% Fibo., respectively around $11.80 and $11.60, will challenge the bears before October’s peak of $9.85. USD/TRY today advances for the third session in a row at the beginning of the week and trades at shouting distance from last week’s all-time highs past 13.0000 the figure ((November 24). The lira depreciates further on Monday in response to earlier comments by President Erdogan, who once again reiterated its firm opposition to interest rate hikes and sustained his (particular) view that interest rates generate inflation. Erdogan suggested that inflation could grind lower before the election in 2023 and added that the recent high volatility in the exchange rate is decoupled from economic fundamentals. Further selling pressure in the lira came after Turkey’s Economic Confidence Index eased to 99.30 in November (from 101.40). Additional data saw the trade deficit shrinking to $1.44B in October. key levels: So far, the pair is gaining 4.19% at 12.7578 and a drop below 11.5451 (low November 24) would expose 10.7007 (20-day SMA) and then 9.6361 (55-day SMA). On the other hand, the next up barrier lines up at 13.1105 (all-time high Nov.24) followed by 14.0000 (round level). -USD/TRY starts the week on a positive footing. -Turkey’s Economic Confidence dropped to 99.30. -President Erdogan defended once again the low-rate policy. USDTRY can be a profitable investment option. USD/TRY rate equal to 13.0648 at 2021-11-30 (today's range: 12.0455 - 13.0658). ... With a 2-year investment, the revenue is expected to be around +23.60%. Buy & Hold | +ROI Investment Suggestion: LONG-TERM Holding Duration : Min 2 yeasrs Probability: 74% Target: 14.0000-15.8000 INVT Fundamental Report: POSITIVE INVT Technical Report: POSITIVE INVT News Report: POSITIVE - SELLING PRESSURE PRICE 13.0000 - 13.0700 - FAIR BUYING PRICE 12.0000 - 12.3000 - Our option for #USDTRY is LONG TERM HOLDING. It’s important to keep in mind that cryptocurrency markets are extremely volatile, making it difficult to accurately predict what a coin’s price will be in a few hours or a few days and even harder to give long-term estimates. As such, analysts and online forecasting sites can get their predictions wrong. We recommend that you always do your own research and consider the latest market trends, news, technical and fundamental analysis , and expert opinion before making any investment decisions. Be patient and look long term wisely and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Trading & Investing both are the master of RISK. Please comment, like and follow if it was helpful for you. Thank you for your time. Have a profitable day. | Review and analysis by Samadi.Finance |
Long
by AliSamadiTR
11