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GER40 Intraday Technical AnalysisGER40 Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025 DAX 40 trades at 23,866 (12:25 PM UTC+4) with momentum compressing ahead of Europe close. Market Context: Wyckoff distribution after vertical rally; Dow Theory shows secondary correction forming; Gann 1x1 angle rests at 23,820. Daily/4H: 1D spinning top at 23,900 with RSI divergence; 4H broadening wedge between 23,780 support and 23,940 resistance. 1H/30M: 1H forming head-and-shoulders neckline 23,820; 30M Bollinger squeeze plus VWAP flattening signals breakout risk. 15M/5M: 15M descending triangle; 5M falling wedge testing 23,840; Ichimoku Tenkan23,940 with volume +20%; SL 23,880; TP 24,040. Breakdown Short: 1H close <23,760; SL 23,820; TP 23,640. Key Levels: Resistance 23,900/23,940/24,040. Support 23,780/23,760/23,640. Indicators: RSI divergence (4H), BB squeeze (30M), anchored VWAP 23,800, EMA21 flattening, Ichimoku cloud turning neutral. Risk Notes: Watch for bull trap above 23,940; ECB speakers 14:00 UTC elevate volatility; risk ≤1% per setup. Educational analysis only; follow your trading plan and manage risk.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
GER40 (DAX INDEX) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS# 📊 GER40 (DAX INDEX) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🎯 ## Week of November 10-14, 2025 | Intraday & Swing Trade Mastery Close Price: 23,748.9 Points | Entry Point: November 8, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📈 ## 🔍 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - MULTI-TIMEFRAME PERSPECTIVE The DAX (GER40) is trading at a pivotal technical juncture with multi-timeframe alignment suggesting imminent breakout potential. Elliott Wave analysis reveals completion of corrective cycles, positioning for the next impulse leg targeting 24,200-24,500 extension. Bollinger Bands display classic compression pattern —volatility squeeze preceding directional expansion. RSI across all timeframes maintains neutral bullish bias (55-65 range)—optimal momentum positioning without extreme overbought. Volume clustering at 23,700-23,800 represents institutional accumulation foundation. Wyckoff spring tests near 23,500 provide aggressive entry triggers. Harmonic pattern convergence at 23,950-24,050 resistance signals breakout confirmation zone with measured move targets extending to 24,300+. ## 📊 TIMEFRAME-BY-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS ### 5-MINUTE (Scalping Execution) ⚡ Candlestick Formation: Japanese candles reveal micro-consolidation breakout attempts with successive hammer/engulfing patterns at support zones. Evening Star rejection formations detected at 23,850-23,900 intraday resistance. Elliott Wave 5M: Sub-wave completion indicates Wave 4 micro-consolidation finalizing. Wave 5 breakout anticipated above 23,800-23,850 with targets 23,920-24,000 (measured move). Bollinger Bands: Upper compression mode—middle band at 23,750 acts as pivot point. Lower band rejection (23,680-23,710) creates scalp-long setups. Squeeze breakout targets 23,900+ on volume. RSI (14) Analysis: RSI oscillating 44-60 range—neutral with minor divergences forming. Bullish divergence at 23,720 support signals buyer engagement; caution on 60+ resistance approach. Micro Support/Resistance: 23,680 (micro-support) | 23,720 (POC cluster) | 23,780 (pivot) | 23,850 (intraday resistance) | 23,920 (scalp target) Volume Signature: Volume concentrated 23,740-23,760 zone—institutional marker. Breakout volume >40% above average required above 23,850 for sustained move above 23,950. VWAP Alignment: Price oscillating around session VWAP at 23,745—each touch generates scalp opportunity. Upper VWAP band at 23,880; lower support at 23,680. ### 15-MINUTE (Quick Swing Gateway) 🎢 Candlestick Patterns: Engulfing bars forming at support zones—bullish engulfing at 23,710 zone confirms reversal attempts. Three-candle patterns (flag continuation) with 35-55 pip breakout potential. Harmonic Pattern Recognition: Gartley Pattern potential completion near 23,700-23,750 PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). Exceptional risk-reward at 1:3.2 for harmonic traders. Butterfly variant also forming at secondary levels. Wyckoff Accumulation Phase: Classic accumulation evident—small barometer move (SBM) nearing completion. Spring test anticipated 23,580-23,620 zone; markup phase targets 24,050-24,150. Bollinger Bands (15M): Band squeeze intensifying—historical volatility expansion suggests 50-80 pip moves follow. Upper band resistance at 23,920; lower band support at 23,620. Volume Profile (15M): Point of Control (POC) at 23,740—prime concentration zone. Volume surge >50% required confirming breakout above 23,900. Imbalances favor upside probability. Ichimoku Cloud (15M): Price consolidating below cloud edge—Tenkan-sen at 23,880 = resistance pivot. Kijun-sen (23,820) = critical secondary support. Cloud support 23,650-23,700. EMA Structure: EMA 9 (23,745) above EMA 21 (23,715)—bullish alignment confirmed. Price remaining above both = intraday strength maintained. ### 30-MINUTE (Intraday Swing Axis) 🔄 Pattern Formation: Symmetrical Triangle pattern consolidating with apex near 23,950. Ascending triangle variant shows bullish bias—breakout above 23,900 targets 24,050-24,150 extension. Dow Theory Application: Confirming higher highs/higher lows structure. Secondary trend bullish; pullbacks to EMA 20 (23,760) = optimal swing entry zones. RSI Divergence Setup: Positive RSI divergence confirmed—price making lower lows (23,680) while RSI forms higher lows (42 level). Classic reversal setup targeting 23,950 minimum. Exponential Moving Average: EMA 9 (23,760) = core support. EMA 21 (23,715) = secondary support. EMA 50 (23,600) = structural hold level. Bullish ribbon alignment intact. Support Architecture: 23,600 (EMA 50/structural) | 23,680 (demand zone) | 23,720 (volume cluster) | 23,760 (EMA 9 dynamic) Resistance Architecture: 23,850 (triangle formation) | 23,950 (measured move target) | 24,050 (weekly resistance) | 24,150 (extension) Volume Analysis (30M): Increasing volume on recent bars—accumulation signature strong. Buy volume exceeding sell volume confirms institutional interest. ### 1-HOUR (Core Swing Trade Foundation) 🎯 Elliott Wave Structure: Major wave analysis suggests Wave 3 completion near 24,100. Current Wave 4 correction targets 23,750-23,850 support zone. Wave 5 impulse anticipated—target: 24,300-24,450. Pennant Formation: Classic Bullish Pennant pattern forming—breakout confirmation above 23,900 validates pattern. Pole height measured move = 24,200+ target. Bollinger Bands (1H): Upper band at 24,050 = squeeze breakout target. Middle band (23,900) = bullish support. Lower band rejection (23,650) creates premium swing longs with excellent R/R. VWAP Daily: DAX trading above daily VWAP at 23,720—bullish gradient confirmed. Each hourly candle close above VWAP strengthens continuation probability. Volume Profile Hotspot: Heavily traded at 23,720-23,800 (accumulation) and 23,900-23,950 (resistance cluster). Imbalances above 24,000 suggest vacuum-fill potential. Ichimoku Cloud Alignment: Price above Senkou Span A (23,850) & Span B (23,780)—cloud thickness strong support indicator. Chikou Span above candles = bullish confirmation. Cloud color: BULLISH GREEN. Gann Theory Application: 45-degree angle from swing low (23,500) establishes rally trajectory. Resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci extension (23,950) precedes aggressive breakout phase. Support Tiers 1H: 23,600 (structural hold) | 23,700 (EMA support) | 23,750 (Kijun-sen) | 23,800 (accumulation zone) Resistance Tiers 1H: 23,900 (breakout trigger) | 23,950 (extension) | 24,050 (major level) | 24,150 (impulse target) ### 4-HOUR (Swing Trade Thesis Foundation) 💼 Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern: Potential IH&S formation completing—left shoulder (23,450), head (23,350), right shoulder completing (23,550-23,650). Neckline breakout at 23,900 targets 24,100-24,250 extension. Wyckoff Accumulation Deep Dive: Institutional buying signature evident—SBM completion imminent. Spring test to 23,500-23,550 anticipated; subsequent markup phase targets 24,150-24,350. RSI 4H Analysis: RSI at 58-68 range—bullish bias maintained. Room for upside extension without extreme overbought. RSI above 75 targets 24,200+; below 35 = defensive posture required. Cup & Handle Formation: Potential bullish Cup pattern visible—handle stabilization near 23,750-23,850. Breakout above handle (23,950) targets cup depth extension = 24,150-24,250. EMA Ribbon Structure: EMA 8 (23,780), EMA 13 (23,760), EMA 21 (23,715), EMA 50 (23,600), EMA 200 (23,200)—BULLISH ALIGNMENT PERFECT. Compression/expansion cycles identify momentum phases. Support Tiers 4H: 23,500 (structural support) | 23,600 (accumulation) | 23,720 (pivot) | 23,800 (demand cluster) Resistance Tiers 4H: 23,900 (key breakout) | 23,950 (extension) | 24,050 (major target) | 24,150 (weekly projection) Volume Signature 4H: Accumulation volume bars > distribution bars—bullish bias maintained. Volume nodes clustering at 23,720-23,800 indicate institutional support. ### DAILY CHART (Macro Swing Thesis) 📅 Elliott Wave Macro: We're potentially in Wave 3 of larger cycle—aggressive expansion still possible. Wave structure supports break of 24,050 targeting 24,300-24,500 daily close objectives. Double Bottom Recognition: Historical Double Bottom pattern near 23,200-23,350 support—confirmed breakthrough above 23,900 neckline triggered. Second target near 24,200-24,300. Bollinger Bands Daily: Upper band at 24,300 = realistic daily target. Mean (23,950) = healthy pullback support. Band slope indicates volatility expansion—expect 200-350 point daily ranges. Volume Profile Daily: Strong buying volume bar at 23,500-23,700 zone—institutional accumulation marker established. Selling volume decreasing significantly—demand controls trend. Ichimoku Cloud Daily: Cloud thickness growing—bullish trend strengthening substantially. Cloud support around 23,700-23,850 zone. Kumo breakout anticipated—targets cloud top at 24,000-24,100. Harmonic Analysis Deep: Butterfly Pattern potential completion—PRZ at 23,900-23,950 suggests reversal zone OR breakout confirmation. Confluence amplifies probability of extension. Gann Angles & Fibonacci: 50% retracement (23,600) + 61.8% extension (24,100) = key reversal zones. Gann fan angles suggest 24,000-24,100 as structural resistance before continuation. Key Daily Support: 23,350 (psychological/structural) | 23,500 (accumulation zone) | 23,650 (demand level) | 23,750 (midpoint) Key Daily Resistance: 23,900 (breakout trigger) | 23,950 (extension) | 24,050 (measured move) | 24,200 (weekly target) Trend Confirmation: Higher highs & higher lows maintained—uptrend intact. Daily close above 24,000 = strong continuation signal targeting 24,300+ next level. ## 🎪 TRADING SETUP PLAYBOOK - NOV 10-14 ### BULLISH SCENARIO (Probability: 78%) ✅ Trigger: 4H candle close above 23,950 + volume surge (>45% above average) + RSI above 62 Entry Zone: 23,850-23,900 (with breakout confirmation) Target 1: 23,950 (TP1) | Target 2: 24,050 (TP2) | Target 3: 24,200 (TP3) | Target 4: 24,300 (TP4) Stop Loss: 23,700 (below EMA/structural support) Risk/Reward: 1:3.1 (exceptional asymmetric setup) Trade Duration: 18-72 hours (prime swing window) ### BEARISH SCENARIO (Probability: 22%) ⚠️ Trigger: Daily close below 23,800 + volume increase + RSI divergence failure Entry Zone: 23,950-24,050 (short setup) Target 1: 23,900 (TP1) | Target 2: 23,800 (TP2) | Target 3: 23,700 (TP3) Stop Loss: 24,150 (above resistance) Risk/Reward: 1:1.6 (acceptable but lower probability) Trade Duration: Watch for trend reversal confirmation first ## ⚠️ VOLATILITY & OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD CONDITIONS Current Volatility Status: Moderate compression → Expect significant expansion imminent 5M/15M RSI: 44-60 range (neutral)—room for 20-40 point movements | Scalp target zones 30M/1H RSI: 52-68 range (bullish bias, safe zone)—sweet spot for swing entries 4H RSI: 58-72 range—approaching caution zone but room to extend | Safe for core swings Daily RSI: 62-75 range (approaching extremes)—be defensive if daily RSI>78 | Take profits aggressively Overbought Recognition Points: RSI daily >77 combined with upper Bollinger Band rejection = immediate profit-taking Ichimoku cloud top penetration fails (bearish candle rejection) = trend exhaustion signal Volume declining on breakout attempt = false breakout warning signal Harmonic pattern PRZ exact hit without follow-through = reversal likely imminent Oversold Bounce Setups: RSI 1H <32 on support touch = high-probability bounce back to 23,900-23,950 Price below EMA 50 (23,600) + RSI <30 = aggressive accumulation zone Spring test below 23,550 with volume surge = Wyckoff spring reversal trigger Harmonic pattern PRZ support bounce = measured move extension targets activated ## 🎯 ENTRY & EXIT OPTIMIZATION STRATEGY ### OPTIMAL ENTRY TIMING For Scalpers (5M): RSI bounce from 42-48 zone after Band lower touch = 15-25 point scalp (1-3 min holds) For Quick Swings (15M-30M): 15M candle close above 23,850 with 4H alignment = 80-120 point swing (30 min-2 hour holds) For Core Swings (1H-4H): 4H pennant breakout above 23,950 on volume = 200-350+ point target (hold 12-48 hours) For Position Swings (Daily): Daily close above 24,050 = continuation play targeting 24,200-24,300 (hold 5-7 days) Best Entry Windows: Frankfurt open (7:00 CET), London open (8:00 CET), NY open (14:30 CET) ### EXIT STRATEGIES & PROFIT TAKING Take Profit Levels: TP1: Fibonacci 38.2% (23,950) | TP2: Harmonic PRZ (24,000) | TP3: Daily Band upper (24,150) | TP4: Weekly target (24,300) Stop Loss Placement: Always below most recent swing low + 15 points (strict risk management priority) Trailing Stops: Activate at TP2—trail with 35-45 point buffer for 4H+ trades (lock in profits) Breakeven Exit: Move stops to entry after 1:1 risk/reward achieved—eliminate emotional trading Partial Profit Strategy: Close 25% at TP1 | 25% at TP2 | 25% at TP3 | Let 25% run to TP4 (maximize winners) ## 🔔 REVERSAL & BREAKOUT RECOGNITION CHECKLIST ### REVERSAL SIGNALS TO MONITOR: RSI positive divergence (lower price lows, higher RSI lows) = bullish reversal setup high probability Candlestick engulfing patterns at support/resistance zones = trend reversal confirmation strong signal Volume profile breakdowns (declining volume on breakout attempts) = false move warning immediate Ichimoku Cloud rejection (price fails to penetrate cloud layer) = structural resistance confirmed Harmonic pattern completion at exact PRZ = reversal zone probability increases significantly Elliott Wave 5th wave failure (truncation) = impulse completion = reversal imminent trigger Gann angle break through significant angle = trend line break = reversal trigger activated ### BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION RULES: Close beyond resistance with >40% volume surge above average = confirmed breakout signal strong RSI crosses above 60 for bullish breakout, below 45 for bearish breakout confirmation VWAP alignment with directional move = institutional participation confirmation strong Bollinger Band breakout with band expansion (squeeze release) = volatility expansion confirmed immediate Multiple timeframe confluence (5M + 15M + 1H + 4H aligned) = highest probability setup attainable Ichimoku Cloud break (price clears all clouds with bullish candles) = strong continuation signal Volume imbalance (ask volume > bid volume) = directional sustain likelihood increases significantly ## 💡 WEEK FORECAST SUMMARY - NOV 10-14 Monday (10th): 🌍 Consolidation continuation near 23,750-23,850 zone. Range-bound trading anticipated. Early breakout direction watch crucial. Entry setups favor reversal plays at support. Tuesday-Wednesday (11-12th): 📈 Prime breakout window opens —23,900 represents key decision point. Expect 150-250 point daily volatility. Breakout confirmation targets 24,000-24,050 extension. This is the optimal swing trade window. Thursday (13th): ⚠️ Potential profit-taking pullback after breakout (if triggered). Support retest of 23,950-23,850. Buying opportunity if pullback holds above 23,750. Friday (14th): 📊 Weekly close pattern formation critical. Extension run anticipated if above 24,050. If above 24,100 = week target 24,200-24,300 achieved. End-of-week positioning for next week. ## 📍 CRITICAL CONFLUENCE ZONES - KEY TARGETS 23,500-23,550: Major support zone (accumulation marker, Wyckoff spring area, structural hold) 23,650-23,750: Secondary support (EMA 9, demand cluster, psychological level, volume POC) 23,800-23,850: Micro-resistance cluster (consolidation squeeze zone, early breakout resistance) 23,900-23,980: KEY BREAKOUT ZONE (triangle apex, harmonic confluence, all timeframe resistance) 24,000-24,100: Primary upside target (Elliott Wave 5, daily Band upper, measured move extension) 24,150-24,250: Secondary extension target (Gann level, macro resistance, wave projection) 24,300+: Weekly/monthly target (if wave 5 impulse extends beyond base projections) ## 🏆 RISK MANAGEMENT RULEBOOK ✅ 1) Position Sizing: Never risk >2% of account equity per single trade ✅ 2) Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.5 R/R on every entry—1:3+ preferred for swing trades ✅ 3) Profit Scaling: Close 25-50% at 1:1 ratio, let remainder run to 1:2+ targets ✅ 4) Stop Loss Discipline: Place stop IMMEDIATELY on entry—no exceptions (15-20 points tight) ✅ 5) Breakout Confirmation: Avoid FOMO—wait for candle close confirmation + volume surge always ✅ 6) Daily Support Respect: Psychological holds (round numbers 24,000) matter—trade confluence not against ✅ 7) Time Management: Exit losing trades quickly (max 1:0.5 acceptable for educational losses) ✅ 8) Macro Alignment: Always check daily/4H bias before taking 1H or lower trades ## #GER40 #DAX #DAXINDEX #TRADINGSETUP #TECHNICALANALYSIS #ELLIOTTWAVE #HARMONICPATTERN #BREAKOUTTRADING #SWINGTRADER #DAYTRADING #INTRADAY #INDICES #TRADINGVIEW #BOLLINGER BANDS #RSI #ICHIMOKU #VWAP #TRADINGSTRATEGY #WYCKOFFMETHOD #GANNTHEORY #DOWTHEORY #TECHNICALS #ANALYSIS #SUPPORTANDRESISTANCE #VOLUMEANALYSIS #OVERBOUGHT #OVERSOLD #REVERSAL #STOCKINDEXTRADING #GERMANYINDEX #BREAKOUTSETUP #TRADERSOFTWITTER #TECHNICALTRADER #CANDLESTICK #PATTERRECOGNITION #CHARTANALYSIS #DAYTRADER ## 🎁 BONUS: DAILY PRE-MARKET CHECKLIST Use this every morning before market open: ☑️ Check daily RSI (should be 60-70 for bullish bias continuation) ☑️ Identify support/resistance zones (23,700 | 23,850 | 23,950 | 24,100) ☑️ Verify 4H chart alignment (pennant/IH&S pattern status update) ☑️ Check Ichimoku cloud position (above/below = trend confirmation signal) ☑️ Review 1H Elliott Wave count (which wave are we trading exactly?) ☑️ Scan volume profile (POC = likely rejection zone area) ☑️ Set entry orders + stop losses BEFORE Frankfurt market opens ☑️ Plan 3 Take Profit levels before entering any position ☑️ Monitor economic calendar (ECB events, German data releases) ## 🌐 EUROPEAN SESSION NOTES The DAX trades primarily during Frankfurt hours (7:00-17:30 CET) . Highest volatility typically occurs: Frankfurt Open (7:00-8:00 CET): Initial direction breakout—watch for 50-100 point moves London Overlap (8:00-12:00 CET): Prime trading hours —best liquidity + volatility combination NY Open (14:30 CET): Secondary volatility surge—often confirms/reverses DAX direction 💡 Disclaimer: This technical analysis is educational only. Always conduct your own due diligence and implement appropriate risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade responsibly within your risk tolerance. Use stop losses on every position. Not financial advice. Analysis Created: November 8, 2025 | Valid Through: November 14, 2025 | Updated Daily
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX 5-month Rectangle approaching the 1D MA200. Buy Signal.DAX (DE40) has been trading sideways within a large 1D Rectangle for the past 5 months. Since the October 09 High the price has been declining on a Bearish Leg that is about to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 09 2025, the bottom of the Tariff War. Given that this is just above the bottom of the Rectangle, it constitutes a very strong Buy Signal. We have seen 4 Bullish Legs initiating on this level within this pattern and they all reached at least the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, our current Target on DAX is 24350. Notice also how the 1D RSI has also entered its own Support Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradingShot
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor. Technicals • Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding. • Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf). • Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break). • Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart). • Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal. • Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end. Fundamentals • Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse. • Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration. • Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating. • Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure). Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by AR33_
Is Germany's Economic Success Just an Illusion?Germany's benchmark DAX 40 index surged 30% over the past year, creating an impression of robust economic health. However, this performance masks a troubling reality: the index represents globally diversified multinationals whose revenues originate largely outside Germany's struggling domestic market. Behind the DAX's resilience lies fundamental decay. GDP fell 0.3% in Q2 2025, industrial output reached its lowest level since May 2020, and manufacturing declined 4.8% year-over-year. The energy-intensive sector suffered even steeper contraction at 7.5%, revealing that high input costs have become a structural, long-term threat rather than a temporary challenge. The automotive sector exemplifies Germany's deeper crisis. Once-dominant manufacturers are losing ground in the electric vehicle transition, with their European market share in China plummeting from 24% in 2020 to just 15% in 2024. Despite leading global R&D spending at €58.4 billion in 2023, German automakers remain trapped at Level 2+ autonomy while competitors pursue full self-driving solutions. This technological lag stems from stringent regulations, complex approval processes, and critical dependencies on Chinese rare earth materials, which could trigger €45-75 billion in losses and jeopardize 1.2 million jobs.   Germany's structural rigidities compound these challenges. Federal fragmentation across 16 states paralyzes digitalization efforts, with the country ranking below the EU average in digital infrastructure despite ambitious sovereignty initiatives. The nation serves as Europe's fiscal anchor, contributing €18 billion net to the EU budget in 2024, yet this burden constrains domestic investment capacity. Meanwhile, demographic pressures persist, though immigration has stabilized the workforce; highly skilled migrants disproportionately consider leaving, threatening to transform a demographic solution into brain drain. Without radical reform to streamline bureaucracy, pivot R&D toward disruptive technologies, and retain top talent, the disconnect between the DAX and Germany's foundational economy will only widen.
XETR:DAXShort
by UDIS_View
DAX weekly pivot map for 3 to 7 November 2025Why this matters Next week is a sequence market. Final PMIs set tone. Germany prints factory orders and industrial production. The week closes with the U.S. jobs report. That mix often compresses ranges around fair value until something cracks. So the plan is one grid, two scenarios, three rules. Chart to publish Timeframe 1H on GER40. Add a single grid from last week Xetra cash. High 24 348.59. Low 23 922.95. Close 23 958.30. Pivot 24 076.61. R1 24 230.28. R2 24 502.25. R3 24 655.92. S1 23 804.64. S2 23 650.97. S3 23 379.00. Optional helpers. VWAP. Cumulative delta. No extra overlays. Keep it clean so the levels do the talking. What I am watching on tape How price behaves around the pivot during quiet periods. The first pass into R1 or S1 without a fresh release often mean reverts. If a surprise hits, the grid becomes a runway for extension. The job is not to predict. The job is to recognise when ranges are intact and when a genuine break is underway. Catalysts and session notes Germany releases often land near 08:00 CET. Factory orders midweek. Industrial production the day after. The U.S. Employment Situation prints Friday at 08:30 ET. That one moves global curves and the euro which feeds back into exporters. I do not hold risk through the print. I would rather enter the follow through once the first sweep finishes. Levels that matter this week Pivot 24 076 is the magnet. Above it the burden of proof is on sellers. Below it buyers need time to build. R1 24 230 is the first supply pocket. R2 24 502 lines up with prior supply. R3 24 656 sits just under the recent extremes. On the downside S1 23 805 is first support. S2 23 651 is where momentum sellers usually engage. S3 23 379 is the stress zone if the week turns heavy. Two simple scenarios Scenario A soft landing tone PMIs steady. Orders stabilise. Production improves. Payrolls strong enough but wages calm. The tape accepts price above the pivot and north of R1. Tactics. Buy pullbacks into 24 080 to 24 120 with a hard stop under 23 980. First take-profit at R1. Trail into the 24 330 pocket. If R2 breaks on confirmation keep a runner toward 24 650 to 24 770 where supply stacked recently. The idea is to let the market pay you for being patient near the magnet then step aside if the grid stops working. Scenario B growth scare tone PMIs revise down. Orders miss. Production disappoints. Payrolls hot on wages. Sellers defend R1 and the euro wobbles. Tactics. Sell failed bounces close to 24 230 with a stop above 24 330. First target the pivot. Add only on a clean loss of 23 980. Manage into S2 and be pragmatic near S3 because volatility tends to spike there. How to trade the grid Entry I anchor on 1H structure. I drill down to 15m for the trigger. I want acceptance around the level. That means a pause, a clean candle close, and a little confirmation from volume. Chasing the very first touch is optional and usually a worse price unless the day is a trend day. Risk Fixed R works. Use a small stop around the other side of the level. I like 0.5 R stops and 1.0 R first targets. On days with a data print I cut size in half or I skip the first twenty minutes. The easiest way to survive event weeks is to size for the noise and accept that some moves will run without you. Adds and exits Adds only after partials are banked. No martingale. I scale out at the next grid line or at VWAP if the run stalls. I do not marry a view. If the grid stops behaving I go flat and wait for the next high quality test. Why this works These weekly levels attract flow. Dealers manage hedges around them. When the tape is balanced the pivot acts like gravity. When the tape is imbalanced the break through R2 or S2 gives you a repeatable context to join the side that is pressing. You are not forecasting. You are responding with a simple structure. Rules to pin on the chart • Fade the first clean touch of R1 or S1 back to the pivot if no high impact release is due within the next hour. • Trade breakouts only on a firm thirty minute close above R2 or below S2 with volume support and a positive delta profile. • Stay flat into red events. Flat at least five minutes before the U.S. jobs report. Reassess after the first sweep. Instrument GER40 on the 1H chart. If you execute futures on Eurex or a CFD feed, tiny price differences do not change the grid. Rebuild the levels each weekend from the cash high low close so the numbers stay honest. Mindset The grid is a map. It tells you where to look. Your edge comes from taking the same trade the same way every time. Good process first. P and L follows. Education only.
XETR:DAX
by exlux
GER40 at a Crossroads: Parabolic Breakout or Exhaustion Top? 🇩🇪 GER40 DAX INDEX | Premium Technical Analysis & Trading Blueprint | 23,967.9 🇩🇪 📊 INSTITUTIONAL MULTI-TIMEFRAME MASTERCLASS | NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025 FORECAST 📊 Current Level: 23,967.9 | Analysis Date: November 1, 2025, 00:54 UTC+4 Hey, TradingView fam! 👋 The German powerhouse, GER40, has put on a spectacular show, closing the week at a mighty 23,967.9 . After such a vertical ascent, traders are rightfully asking: Is this the start of a new parabolic phase, or are we witnessing a massive exhaustion top in the making? The upcoming week, from November 3rd to 7th, is poised to give us the answer. Let's dissect the charts across multiple timeframes, combining timeless theories with key indicators to map out the strategic path forward for both intraday and swing traders. 🧭 ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ 🎯 STRATEGIC MARKET INTELLIGENCE OVERVIEW The German DAX Index commands attention at 23,967.9 , positioning at a pivotal technical crossroads that will define European equity direction through Q4 2025. Our sophisticated multi-dimensional analysis reveals cautious optimism with breakout potential as the index tests critical resistance near the psychological 24,000 barrier. This week's confluence of ECB policy implications, US election spillover, and technical setups creates exceptional risk-reward opportunities for prepared traders. Institutional Support Architecture: 🛡️ Immediate Foundation: 23,900 - 23,920 (Algo bid zone) Secondary Cushion: 23,850 - 23,870 (Volume-weighted support) Critical Platform: 23,750 - 23,780 (Weekly pivot cluster) Major Fortress: 23,650 - 23,680 (Psychological & structural) Resistance Target Matrix: 🎯 First Hurdle: 24,000 - 24,020 (Psychological barrier) Secondary Wall: 24,100 - 24,120 (Pattern objective) Breakout Zone: 24,200 - 24,250 (Extension target) Major Milestone: 24,350 - 24,400 (Monthly target) ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ 📈 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME (1W) - MACRO STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS Elliott Wave Supercycle Mapping: 🌊 Currently navigating Wave 4 consolidation within larger Wave (5) of the supercycle advance. The shallow retracement (38.2% Fibonacci) suggests underlying strength with Wave 5 targeting 24,500-24,800 . Alternative count places us in Wave B of corrective ABC - monitor 23,650 for bearish confirmation. Primary Scenario: Wave 4 complete, Wave 5 underway to 24,500+ Alternative: Wave B top forming, Wave C decline to 23,200 Invalidation Level: Weekly close below 23,500 Time Projection: Completion by mid-November Wyckoff Distribution/Re-Accumulation: 📚 Critical Juncture - Phase B/C Transition - Preliminary Supply (PSY): 24,100 tested - Buying Climax (BC): 24,150 rejection - Automatic Reaction (AR): 23,750 held - Secondary Test (ST): Current 23,967 - Upthrust pending: Above 24,000 Ichimoku Cloud European Perspective: ☁️ Tenkan-sen: 23,885 (9-period support) Kijun-sen: 23,820 (26-period base) Senkou Span A: 23,950 (cloud resistance) Senkou Span B: 23,780 (cloud support) Chikou Span: Neutral (at price level) Cloud Status: Thin, potential twist ahead Advanced Harmonic Configuration: 🦋 Emerging Bullish Shark pattern with precision measurements: - 0 Point: 23,450 (October low) - X Point: 24,150 (October high) - A Point: 23,650 (retracement low) - B Point: 23,967 (current - 0.618 XA) - C Target: 23,750 (1.13 AB extension) - D Completion: 24,350 (0.886 XC) Gann Master Analysis: 📐 Price respecting 3x1 Gann angle from September base. Critical Gann levels: - Current angle support: 23,920 - 45-degree resistance: 24,050 - Square of 9 target: 24,144 - Time cycle: November 6 (+/- 1 day) ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ 📊 DAILY TIMEFRAME (1D) - SWING TRADING COMMAND Japanese Candlestick Intelligence: 🕯️ Yesterday's Hanging Man at resistance warns of potential reversal. Critical observation for today: - Close above 24,000 = Bullish Engulfing invalidates reversal - Close below 23,900 = Bearish Confirmation - Doji formation = Continued indecision Master Pattern Recognition: Ascending Triangle approaching apex: - Horizontal resistance: 24,000-24,020 - Rising support: Currently at 23,880 - Breakout target: 24,320 (320-point measured move) - Volume requirement: 30% above 20-day average - False breakout risk: High due to round number Bollinger Bands Configuration: 📈 Upper Band: 24,015 (kissing price) Middle Band (20-SMA): 23,870 (dynamic support) Lower Band: 23,725 (oversold boundary) Band Width: Contracting (squeeze alert) %B Reading: 0.89 (upper band test) RSI Momentum Analysis: Daily RSI: 64 (approaching overbought) Bearish divergence forming vs price highs Support trend line: 55 level Resistance: 70 level (6 points away) Volume Profile Insights: 📊 - High Volume Node: 23,850-23,900 - Point of Control: 23,875 - Value Area High: 23,950 - Value Area Low: 23,800 - Low Volume Gap: 24,020-24,080 (breakout zone) ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ ⚡ 4-HOUR TIMEFRAME (4H) - TACTICAL FRAMEWORK Dow Theory Application: ✅ Primary Trend: Bullish (higher highs maintained) Secondary Trend: Consolidation/Distribution question Minor Trend: Testing resistance Volume Pattern: Declining on rallies (caution) Confirmation needed: Break above 24,020 DAX/STOXX correlation: Diverging (warning) Moving Average Configuration: EMA 8: 23,945 (micro support) EMA 21: 23,915 (short-term support) EMA 50: 23,880 (medium support) SMA 100: 23,825 (strong support) SMA 200: 23,750 (major trend support) Golden Cross: EMA 50 above SMA 100 ✅ Chart Pattern Alert: 🚨 Rising Wedge formation - bearish implications: - Upper trendline: 23,980-24,000 - Lower trendline: 23,850-23,870 - Breakdown target: 23,700 - Invalidation: Close above 24,020 ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ 🎪 1-HOUR TIMEFRAME (1H) - PRECISION ENTRY MATRIX Micro Pattern Development: 🔬 Triple Top formation at 23,980: - First top: 23,975 (Monday) - Second top: 23,982 (Wednesday) - Third top: 23,978 (Friday) - Neckline support: 23,920 - Breakdown target: 23,860 VWAP Trading Framework: Daily VWAP: 23,952 Weekly VWAP: 23,895 Monthly VWAP: 23,810 Upper Band 1: 23,985 (resistance) Upper Band 2: 24,018 (strong resistance) Lower Band 1: 23,919 (support) Lower Band 2: 23,886 (strong support) Support & Resistance Precision: R4: 24,050 (Major resistance) R3: 24,020 (Round number) R2: 23,990 (Pattern resistance) R1: 23,975 (Immediate ceiling) PIVOT: 23,967.9 (Current) S1: 23,950 (Micro support) S2: 23,920 (Neckline) S3: 23,890 (Strong support) ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ ⚡ 30-MINUTE SCALPING LABORATORY (30M) Microstructure Dynamics: 🎯 Range-bound channel : - Upper boundary: 23,975-23,985 - Middle pivot: 23,950-23,955 - Lower boundary: 23,925-23,935 - Breakout pending: 70% probability upward European Session Dynamics: 🕐 Frankfurt Open (08:00 CET): - Average range: 40-50 points - Directional bias: First 30 minutes London Overlap (09:00 GMT): - Volatility spike: 60-80 points - Best scalping window US Premarket Impact (13:30 CET): - Range expansion: 80-100 points Scalping Execution Zones: Buy Zones: • Zone A: 23,945-23,950 (VWAP test) • Zone B: 23,925-23,930 (Channel bottom) • Zone C: 23,900-23,905 (Strong bid) Sell Zones: • Zone A: 23,975-23,980 (Triple top) • Zone B: 23,990-23,995 (Resistance cluster) • Zone C: 24,010-24,015 (Major resistance) ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ 🏃 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE ULTRA-SCALPING 15-Minute Momentum Setup: ⚡ Bull Flag micro pattern: - Pole: 23,920 to 23,970 (50 points) - Flag: 23,955-23,965 consolidation - Breakout trigger: 23,968 - Quick target: 24,000 (+32 points) - Stop: 23,950 (-18 points) 5-Minute Algorithm Signals: Long Conditions: RSI(5) oversold (<25) + VWAP bounce = BUY MACD bullish cross + Volume spike = BUY EMA(8) > EMA(21) + Pullback = BUY Short Conditions: RSI(5) overbought (>75) + Resistance = SELL MACD bearish cross + High volume = SELL Failed breakout at 24,000 = SELL Management: TP: 15-20 points | SL: 10-12 points Max hold: 10 minutes | Trail: 8 points ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ 📅 WEEKLY STRATEGIC PLAYBOOK (NOVEMBER 3-7, 2025) Monday, November 3: 🚀 Gap-up potential to 24,000 test Strategy: Sell resistance, buy 23,920 dips Key levels: 23,920 support, 24,000 resistance Expected range: 80 points Tuesday, November 4: 🗳️ US Election volatility spillover to DAX Strategy: Wide stops, reduced size Potential range: 23,750-24,100 (350 points!) Correlation with US futures critical Wednesday, November 5: 💥 Post-election directional resolution Strategy: Trade breakout with conviction Bullish above 24,050 → Target 24,200 Bearish below 23,850 → Target 23,700 Thursday, November 6: 📊 ECB officials speaking + German data Strategy: Fade initial moves Expected consolidation: 23,900-24,000 Focus on European session Friday, November 7: 🎯 Weekly close crucial for next week's bias Strategy: Position for weekly close Above 24,000 = Bullish continuation Below 23,900 = Bearish reversal ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ ⚖️ PROFESSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM Intraday Risk Parameters: 🛡️ Position size: 0.5-1% account risk Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2, target 1:3 Daily stop: -2% maximum loss Consecutive losses: 3 max, then pause Profit protection: Trail at 60% gain Breakeven: Move stop at +15 points Correlation monitor: Watch US futures Swing Position Framework: 💼 Core position: 40% at 23,900-23,920 Scale-in: 30% at 23,850, 30% at 23,800 Stop loss: Below 23,750 (all positions) Target 1: 24,050 (25% exit) Target 2: 24,150 (35% exit) Target 3: 24,250 (25% exit) Runner: 24,350+ (15% hold) ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ 🔴 RISK SCENARIOS & CONTINGENCIES Bearish Triggers: 🐻 30-min close below 23,950 = Micro caution Hourly close below 23,920 = Intraday bearish 4H close below 23,880 = Swing bearish Daily close below 23,800 = Trend concern Weekly close below 23,650 = Major reversal European Risk Factors: 🦢 • ECB policy surprises (100+ point moves) • German economic data shocks • EU political developments • Energy crisis escalation • Banking sector concerns ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ 💎 ELITE CONFLUENCE TRADING ZONES Optimal Buy Zone: ✅ 23,880-23,920 (Multi-timeframe support + Fibonacci 61.8% + VWAP + Moving averages) Premium Sell Zone: ❌ 23,990-24,020 (Triple top + Round number + Bollinger Band + Wedge resistance) Breakout Trigger: 🚀 24,020-24,050 (Pattern completion + Resistance break + Volume confirmation) ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ 🏆 MASTER TRADER'S VERDICT The DAX at 23,967.9 stands at a critical inflection point with the psychological 24,000 level acting as the decisive battleground. Technical indicators suggest cautious bullish bias but with increasing distribution signals. The week ahead demands disciplined execution and nimble position management. Top 3 High-Probability Setups: 🎯 Range Trade: Buy 23,900, Sell 23,980 (Multiple touches) Breakout Long: Above 24,020 → Target 24,150 (Clear skies) Reversal Short: Triple top failure at 23,980 → Target 23,850 Trading Wisdom: 🧠 The DAX rewards patience at extremes. Trade the range until proven otherwise. Respect the 24,000 psychological level. "The European markets dance to their own rhythm - master the tempo, profit from the moves!" 💶 ╔═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╗ 📍 ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING Range-bound action between 23,850-24,020 until catalyst emerges. US election spillover likely to provide directional resolution. Accumulate dips toward 23,900 for upside potential to 24,200+. Trade European hours. Respect correlations. Profit consistently. 💰 ╚═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════╝ #DAX #GER40 #DAX40 #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #EuropeanMarkets #Indices #DayTrading #SwingTrading #ElliottWave #Wyckoff #HarmonicPatterns #ECB #Frankfurt #GermanStocks #STOXX #EuropeTrading #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #Forex #MarketForecast 🔔 Follow for Premium European Market Analysis | Präzision • Disziplin • Profit 📊 Risk Notice: Trading carries significant risk of loss. This analysis is educational only. Past performance does not predict future results. Conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
1
GER30 | Multi-Timeframe Bullish Expansion SetupThe Market Flow | October 27, 2025 Technical Overview Weekly: • The weekly bullish trend remains intact, sustaining above prior structural pivots. • Structure continues its expansion phase, with higher lows forming consistent with the broader bullish bias. Daily: • The daily trend has started its transitioned into bullish after reclaiming and closing above the previous breakdown level. • Wave structure confirms alignment with the weekly expansion path. • Bias continues long as momentum builds toward upper clean H4 structures. H4: • H4 bullish trend confirmed, supported by a sequence of higher pivots. • Current structure originated from the H4 pivot zone, now acting as the foundation for the next expansion leg. • Fibonacci extensions show progressive resistance targets H1: • Previous H1 countertrend was broken from the H4 pivot zone, confirming re-entry into the bullish structure. • New pivot formed and validated by crossing the previous H1 pivot, establishing continuation bias in favor of the higher timeframe trend. Trade Structure & Levels • Bias: Long above 24,219.32 (H4 pivot zone) • Trigger = Break above 24,325.60 (highest clean H1 breakdown - "EXP") • Primary Invalidation = H4 pivot at 24,219.32 • Secondary Invalidation = Daily pivot near 23,990.21 • Path → 24,450.60 → 24,556.25 → 24,625.80 • Phase: Accumulation Risk & Event Context • Index behavior may remain sensitive to European earnings season and macro data releases (inflation, ECB commentary). • Volatility spikes likely around key US macro events. Conclusion Multi-timeframe alignment confirms a resuming bullish expansion above the Expansion level. With both H4 and Daily trends synchronized above active pivots, the path remains upward toward 24,625.80 while 24,218.30 holds as the key structural invalidation.
VANTAGE:GER40Long
by TheMarketFlow
The most audacious forecast DAX gapped up above the trendline on news on trade deals, but there is no follow through. Instead, price is coming down and re-testing the breakout trendline. Price action is bearish, which indicates further downside, thus rendering the trendline support as useless. Will that be the case? No doubt, the overall market is bullish, especially the US markets. But will DAX be the clue that we see a profit taking/sell down for the coming days? And using a simple projection, 23000 will be a 'scary' yet healthy pullback, as good level to go long off.
OANDA:DE30EUR
by FadeMeIfYouCan
DAX40 (GER40) INDEX TECHNICAL MASTERCLASS 💎 DAX40 (GER40) INDEX TECHNICAL MASTERCLASS | Oct 27-31, 2025 | ELITE Trading Roadmap 📊 Current Price: 24,221.9 | Strategy: Intraday Swing Trading | Timeframes: 5M → 1D Analysis ⏰ ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💪 DAILY (1D) ANALYSIS - DAX Swing Trade Framework DAX40 on the daily timeframe is displaying STRONG CONSOLIDATION AFTER BULLISH IMPULSE near 24,100-24,150 support offering CLEAN swing trade entries this week! Gann theory angles from September lows converge at 24,400-24,500 resistance zone = MAJOR BREAKOUT TARGET identified! 🎯 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚡ 4-HOUR (4H) SWING TRADE BLUEPRINT - PRIMARY ENTRY ZONE The 4H timeframe is showing TEXTBOOK BREAKOUT FORMATION SETUP!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX may be at the end of a Bullish Super Cycle.DAX (DE40) has been trading within a historic 16-year Channel Up every since the March 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. This pattern has showcased very distinct technical patterns within it, characterized by an extremely high degree of symmetry. As you can see, we have classified them into four Phases and right now DAX appears to be trading on a Phase 3. That is the phase where following a Phase 2 correction to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (blue) of Phase 1, it enters a Bull Cycle, which supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), it peaks on the 1.618 (blue) and 2.236 (black) Fibonacci extensions (of Phase 1 and 2 respectively). According to this, the index seems to be right at the end of this 'Super Cycle' of Phases 1,2 and 3 and entering Phase 4 of the Channel Up, which (the only data set we have on this pattern) is a period of directionless and volatile trend, loosely supported by the 1M MA50 (red trend-line), which only managed to find support and rebound just before touching the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) during the March 2020 COVID crash. As a result, Phase 4 can be characterized as a true Bear Cycle, lasting 5 years before (April 2015 - March 2020). The 1W RSI patterns of the two fractal phase groups are also identical and highly symmetrical and we are already on the 3rd Higher High, rejection and moving downwards. That is a Bearish Divergence and may explain DAX's mostly neutral price action since June 2025. In any case, the index is possibly ending Phase 3 of this 'Super Cycle' and the next move according to the 2015 sequence is a correction to the 1M MA50. Long-term investors that don't get caught up in the daily volatility, avoid the noise and eventually enjoy the most steady returns on their investments, will most likely seek to wait patiently for this correction and buy low. What would you be willing to do in that situation? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XETR:DAXShort
by TradingShot
1
DAX/GER40, technical analysis 1DHello traders, We bring you another important technical analysis on the DAX index. We can see that according to Elliott Wave theory we have completed corrective ABC structure, also taken liquidity and started the bullish 12345 structure in smaller timeframe as u can see on the chart. So the next outlook is that the value of the DAX index will increase. But be careful! It is necessary to respect the invalidation level in this case. We also have to take into account the war in Ukraine, all of President Trump's statements, interest rates, and other stimuli that can change the market instantly! WavePulse
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by WavePulse
DAX Technical Forecast: Bullish Momentum Faces Key ResistanceGER40 (DAX) Technical Forecast: Bullish Momentum Faces Key Resistance Analysis as of 18th Oct 2025 (Close: 23,971.7) Market Context: The DAX exhibits robust bullish momentum, but is now testing a critical juncture. A confluence of technical factors on higher timeframes suggests the next move will be decisive for both intraday and swing traders. Multi-Timeframe Analysis (Top-Down View) Swing Bias (D1/4H): Bullish Above 23.7k The daily chart reveals a strong uptrend, with price holding firmly above key moving averages (50 & 200 EMA). However, we are approaching a significant Wyckoffian Supply Zone and a potential Bullish Crab Harmonic pattern completion near the 24,200 - 24,300 resistance cluster. The RSI on the D1 is in bullish territory but not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside. Intraday Bias (1H/30M): Cautiously Bullish The 4H and 1H charts show price consolidating in a bullish flag formation. The Ichimoku Cloud on the 1H acts as dynamic support, while the Anchored VWAP from the recent low confirms a strong bullish trend. A break above the 24,050 level could trigger the next leg up. Key Chart Patterns & Theories in Play Elliott Wave: We are likely in a Wave 3 extension on the daily chart. A pullback to the 23,700 support would be a healthy Wave 4 before a final Wave 5 push. Gann Analysis: The Square of 9 highlights 24,200 and 24,450 as potential time/price resistance targets for this swing. Head and Shoulders? No traditional pattern is present. The primary risk is a Bull Trap if price rejects from the 24.3k resistance without a significant volume breakout. Actionable Trade Setups 🟢 Swing Trade (Buy the Dip) Entry: 23,700 - 23,800 (Zone of confluence with 50 EMA & Fibonacci 0.382 retracement) Stop Loss: 23,500 Take Profit 1: 24,200 Take Profit 2: 24,450 🔴 Intraday Long (Momentum Break) Trigger: A confirmed break and close above 24,050 on the 1H chart. Entry: On retest of 24,000 as support. Stop Loss: 23,900 Take Profit: 24,250 ⚫ Intraday Short (Counter-Trend) Trigger: A clear bearish rejection (e.g., Bearish Engulfing candle) at the 24,200 resistance with RSI divergence. Entry: Upon rejection signal on the 30M chart. Stop Loss: 24,350 Take Profit: 23,900 Key Levels Resistance 3: 24,450 (Gann Target) Resistance 2: 24,300 (Harmonic Completion) Resistance 1: 24,050 - 24,100 (Immediate Hurdle) Support 1: 23,850 (Recent Swing Low) Support 2: 23,700 (Critical Bullish Defense) Support 3: 23,500 (Trend Invalidation) Conclusion The DAX remains in a firm uptrend. The optimal strategy is to seek long entries on pullbacks towards key support. Be vigilant for a potential reversal at the 24.2k-24.3k resistance zone. Trade what you see, not what you hope. Risk Warning: Trading carries significant risk. This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk and conduct your own due diligence.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by sunya
1
DAX Bullish as long as the 1D MA50 holds.DAX (DE40) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up and tested today its 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the 3rd time in the last 6 days. As long as this holds, we expect a rebound targeting at least the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 24530. A break (and 1D candle close) below the 1D MA50 however, targets at least the top of the Support Zone at 23480. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by TradingShot
1
GER40-DAX 4H – Waiting like a lion, no move till the level hits📊DAX/GERMANY40 | GER40 - 4H Analysis: Buy Setup Hello Guys, Here’s my 4-hour GER40 analysis for you. These are the exact buy levels I’ll be watching: 🔵BUY level: 23918.2 🔴 Stop level:23590.6 (or adjust based on your own margin) 🟢 TP1: 24046.1 🟢 TP2: 24260.7 🟢 TP3: 24539.6 Risk-to-reward ratio on this setup: 2.00 If GER40 reaches these levels, I’ll definitely take a buy position. Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by TraderTilki
49
DAX break out againDAX held the 24,300 support level we highlighted previous and it has just broken out to a new high on the week and month. It looks like we will get that follow-thru to a new all-time high we were looking for so long as this level now remains intact. If a new high is made, why stop there? Expectations of more German stimulus continues to drive markets higher. So i wouldn't be surprised if the DAX even reached 25K handle in the coming days. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:GER40Long
by FOREX.com
1