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US30 (Dow Jones CFD) Forecast📊 US30 (Dow Jones CFD) Forecast 🔮 Closing Price: 46,279.7 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) 🔥 Technical Outlook (Intraday + Swing) ⏱ Intraday Analysis (5m – 4H) ✅ Buy Zone: 46,050 – 46,150 🎯 🚀 Upside Targets: 46,420 → 46,580 → 46,750 🏆 ❌ Sell Zone: 46,600 – 46,700 📉 📉 Downside Targets: 46,380 → 46,200 → 45,950 ⚠️ 🔔 Watch for MA Golden Cross & VWAP bounce intraday. 📆 Swing Trading Analysis (Daily – Weekly) 🛡 Major Support: 45,800 – 45,500 🪙 📈 Swing Buy Entry: 45,600 – 45,800 🎯 Swing Bullish Targets: 46,950 → 47,320 → 47,900 🌟 📉 Swing Sell Entry: Below 45,480 ❗ 🎯 Swing Bearish Targets: 45,200 → 44,780 → 44,350 🕳 📚 Methodology Applied 📌 Chart Patterns: Head & Shoulders ⚠️, potential Bull Trap 🚨. 📌 Harmonics & Fib Levels: 0.618 pullback aligns near 45,950. 📌 Elliott Wave Count: Wave 3 extension may still be active 🔄. 📌 Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo = bullish bias ☁️✅. 📌 Wyckoff: Distribution signals visible at 46,700 zone 🏦. 📌 RSI: 63 intraday → nearing overbought, but not extreme. 📌 Bollinger Bands: Upper band hit near 46,750 = resistance 🎯. 📌 VWAP: Anchored VWAP support ~46,100 = key intraday pivot. ⚖️ Market Context 📰 US Fed stance & inflation numbers remain catalysts. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions add volatility risk. 💵 Dollar Index strength can cap upside. 🎯 Trading Plan Summary 📊 Intraday Bias: Range-bound → Scalps between 46,100 – 46,700. 🚀 Swing Bias: Bullish above 45,800, bearish below 45,500. 🔑 Risk Mgmt: Always apply SL 80–120 pts (intraday) & 200–300 pts (swing). ⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes 📚. Trade with discipline, risk management, and DYOR 🔍. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 📝 TRADING CHECKLIST Before entering any position: - ✅ Confirm volume supports move - ✅ Check RSI for divergences - ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment - ✅ Set stop loss before entry - ✅ Calculate position size - ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX - ✅ Check economic calendar - ✅ Assess market sentiment ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by sunya
DOW JONES The Cyclical Pivot that MUST hold.Last week (Sep 03, see chart below) we gave a buy signal on Dow Jones (DJI) right at the bottom of its medium-term Channel Up, which quickly hit our 46100 Target: This time we switch to a much wider and longer term outlook on the 1W time-frame as we are just a day before the Fed Rate Decision. The index has been trading within a strong Channel Up ever since the April 07 2025 market bottom, product of the Trade War correction early in 2024. The 1D MA100 (red trend-line) crossed above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) forming a peculiar Bullish Cross, which interestingly enough, it is the 3rd time we see it since September 2020. As a result, it is highly critical and as you can see, after such cross, the 1W MA50 has historically led the index higher. What is perhaps even more critical however is the Pivot trend-line, which is essentially the former All Time High (ATH) turned into Support for the Channel Up pattern that have pushed the market higher since 2020. As you can see, that level always held and the two rallies that we've had on the pattern like the current one, completed +25% and +22% rallies above it before an eventually correction that broke below the 1W MA50. As a result, we could see another +20% rise at least, translating into a 54000 long-term Target, as long as both the 1W MA50 and the Pivot hold. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
US30 At a Monumental High - Parabolic or Poised to Pull Back?US30 Technical Analysis: 🏭 At a Monumental High - Parabolic or Poised to Pull Back? 📉 Asset: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD) Analysis Date: September 5, 2025 Current Closing Price: 45,411.3 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4) Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐 The US30 is trading at an all-time high in a powerful, near-parabolic advance. 🚀 While the trend is unequivocally bullish, the index is displaying extreme overbought conditions and is testing a major psychological barrier at 45,500. This represents a classic FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) zone. A decisive breakout could see an extension of the rally, but the risk of a sharp, profit-driven pullback is significantly elevated. 📊 Prudence suggests waiting for a better risk-reward entry rather than chasing the move. This analysis outlines key levels for intraday traders 🎯 and swing traders 📈. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart): Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish. Price is miles above all key moving averages, which are fanned out bullishly. Momentum: 🟡 Exhaustion Signs. The rally has been almost vertical. Such moves are unsustainable in the short term and often conclude with a volatile correction. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories: Parabolic Rise 📈➡️📉: The chart structure is parabolic. While bullish, these patterns are notoriously fragile and prone to sharp reversals as traders take profits. Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: The rally is a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This implies the completion of a cycle and warns that a larger, more complex corrective phase (Wave A-B-C or a deep Wave 4) is increasingly probable. A typical retracement target would be the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the entire Wave 3 rally. Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is extremely far above the Cloud on all timeframes, indicating massive bullish momentum but also a severe over-extension from equilibrium. A mean reversion pullback towards the Cloud is a high-probability event. Gann Theory ⏳: The 45,500 level is a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break above could target the next Gann angle, but rejection here is a significant risk. 3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance (R1): 45,500 - 45,600 (Key Psychological & Parabolic Resistance) 🚨 Resistance (R2): 46,000 (Projected Target if breakout occurs) Current Closing Price: ~45,411 Support (S1): 44,800 - 45,000 (Immediate Support & Prior Breakout Zone) ✅ Support (S2): 44,200 - 44,400 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & 21-day EMA) 🛡️ Support (S3): 43,500 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement) 4. Indicator Consensus: RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is well above 75 on both timeframes, signaling severely overbought conditions. 📛 This is the strongest sell signal the RSI can give and warns against new long positions. Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is consistently piercing the upper band. A reversion to at least the middle band (20-period SMA) is a matter of when, not if. Moving Averages: The bullish alignment is perfect but stretched. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart is critical short-term dynamic support. Volume & VWAP: Volume may be declining on the most recent highs (a bearish divergence), suggesting the rally is running on fumes. 📉 Price is extremely extended from any logical Anchored VWAP level. Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯 A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts): Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: This is the highest probability play. Watch for bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star 🌠, Doji) at or near the 45,500 resistance. Entry: On confirmation of rejection (e.g., a break below a small consolidation low). Stop Loss: Tight, above 45,600. Target: 45,000 (TP1), 44,800 (TP2). Bullish Scenario (Breakout Fade) ⚠️: Chasing a breakout here is high-risk. If price breaks above 45,500, it's safer to wait for a pullback to that level for a support re-test before considering a long. B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts): Strategy: WAIT FOR A PULLBACK. The risk/reward for new long entries at this altitude is terrible. 🚫 Ideal Long Zones: Wait for a dip to 44,200 - 44,400 or even 43,500. This would provide a much healthier entry to ride the next potential leg up in the primary bull trend. ✅ Bearish Risk: A daily close below 44,000 would signal a deeper correction is underway, potentially targeting the 43,000 zone. Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️ Key Risk Events: All US economic data (especially jobs and inflation reports) and Fed speaker comments are potential catalysts for a volatility explosion. 🔥 The market is priced for perfection. Position Sizing: Extreme caution is advised. This is a low-probability environment for new entries. Risk should be halved (e.g., 0.5% of account) due to the high volatility and unpredictability at peaks. Conclusion: The US30 is in a spectacular bull run but is in a High-Risk Zone. 🎲 This is a time for profit protection for existing longs, not for FOMO buying. 🚫📈 Swing traders must be patient for a pullback. Intraday traders can look for short-term reversal signals. The most likely outcome is a healthy and necessary correction to recharge for the next move. 📉 Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 44,200 | 🔴 Caution/Correction likely between 45,000-45,600 For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
Dow Jones (DJI) – 1H Technical OutlookDow Jones (DJI) – 1H Technical Outlook Bias: Bearish while below 45,450. Key Resistance: 45,350 – 45,450 (failure to break above keeps sellers in control). Immediate Supports: 45,100 44,980 – 44,860 Major support at 44,700 📉 Primary Scenario: If price remains capped below 45,450, a downward move towards 44,700 is likely after a minor corrective bounce. 📈 Alternative Scenario: A breakout and sustained close above 45,500 would invalidate the bearish view and open the door for a rally towards 45,800 – 46,000.
SPREADEX:DJI
by crptfxtrader
US30 Technical Analysis Report - Dow Jones Industrial Average# US30 Technical Analysis: Dow Jones Industrial Average Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy Executive Summary Current Price: 45,572.6 (August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4) Market Sentiment: Cautiously Bullish with Fed Policy Tailwinds Primary Trend: Strong Uptrend with Consolidation Characteristics Key Catalyst: Powell's Jackson Hole Speech Signaling Potential September Rate Cuts The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to exhibit remarkable strength, trading near all-time highs following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish pivot at Jackson Hole. The index benefits from renewed optimism around rate cuts while maintaining its traditional value-oriented composition that typically outperforms during monetary easing cycles. Market Context & Fundamental Backdrop Federal Reserve Policy Landscape Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech marked a significant shift in policy stance, with Powell indicating that conditions "may warrant" interest rate cuts. The Fed's dual mandate balance is shifting, with labor market risks now potentially outweighing inflation concerns. Markets are pricing in high probability of a September rate cut, with the current federal funds rate maintained at 4.25%-4.5%. Economic Environment Assessment The US economy has shown resilience despite policy uncertainties, though Powell warned of "unusual" labor market behavior that could become concerning. Recent inflation data has provided some reassurance to investors, with the consumer price index rising 2.7%, though tariff impacts remain a wildcard for future inflation trajectory. Dow Jones Composition Dynamics The Dow's 30 blue-chip constituents, including industrials, financials, and consumer staples, are well-positioned to benefit from lower interest rates. The index's price-weighted structure means high-priced stocks like Boeing, Goldman Sachs, and UnitedHealth Group carry significant influence on movements. Recent Performance Context The Dow has demonstrated exceptional strength, with recent sessions showing solid gains. The index reached fresh record highs during August, powered by strong performances from components like Home Depot. The index closed at 45,418.07 on August 26, showing consistent upward momentum throughout the month. Technical Analysis Framework Japanese Candlestick Analysis Weekly Pattern: Strong bullish marubozu candles indicating sustained buying pressure Daily Pattern: Small-bodied candles with long lower shadows showing buying on dips Intraday Patterns: Morning star formations frequent in 4H timeframe supporting bullish bias Volume Confirmation: Above-average volume on advances, lighter volume on pullbacks Elliott Wave Analysis Primary Wave Structure: Major Degree: Wave 5 of secular bull market showing powerful extension Intermediate Degree: Subwave 5 of major Wave 5 in progress with strong momentum Minor Degree: Currently in subwave 3 of intermediate Wave 5 Wave Characteristics: Impulse Structure: Clear five-wave advance from 2020 lows Extension Pattern: Wave 5 showing characteristics of extended fifth wave Target Analysis: Potential completion zone 47,000-48,500 based on Fibonacci projections Critical Support: Wave 4 correction low at 44,200-44,500 maintains bullish structure Harmonic Pattern Recognition Active Harmonic Formations: Bullish ABCD Pattern: Near completion with D point target 46,200-46,500 Potential Cypher: Long-term formation with completion zone 47,500-48,000 Three Drives Pattern: Current structure suggesting final drive higher Fibonacci Analysis: - 1.272 extension: 45,800 (approaching) - 1.414 extension: 46,400 (intermediate target) - 1.618 extension: 47,200 (major target) - 2.0 extension: 48,500 (extended target) Wyckoff Method Analysis Phase Assessment: Markup Phase C - Strong hands control Accumulation Evidence: - Successful test of support zones showing institutional buying - Sign of Strength (SOS) on Fed policy optimism - Last Point of Support (LPS) established around 44,500 - Backup to Edge of Creek (BUE) showing minimal selling pressure Markup Characteristics: - Sustained advances on increasing volume - Minor pullbacks on light volume - No climactic selling evident W.D. Gann Technical Analysis # Square of 9 Application Current Position: 45,572.6 = 213.48° on the Gann wheel Critical Resistance Levels: - 45,796 (214°) - immediate geometric resistance - 46,225 (215°) - intermediate resistance zone - 46,656 (216°) - major resistance confluence Key Support Levels: - 45,369 (213°) - immediate geometric support - 44,944 (212°) - strong support zone - 44,521 (211°) - major support level # Time Theory Application Critical Time Windows: - September 2-6: 45-degree time angle from recent high - September 20-23: Autumn equinox natural turning point - October 14-21: 90-degree time cycle completion - November 11-18: 144-degree major cycle # Price and Time Squaring Analysis Square Root of Price: √45,572.6 = 213.48 Next Significant Square Levels: - 214² = 45,796 (immediate resistance) - 215² = 46,225 (key target zone) - 216² = 46,656 (intermediate target) - 220² = 48,400 (major target) Support Square Levels: - 213² = 45,369 (immediate support) - 212² = 44,944 (strong support) - 210² = 44,100 (major support) # Gann Angle Analysis Primary Angles from Major Low: - 1x1 Angle: Providing dynamic support around 45,200 - 2x1 Angle: Resistance trend line near 46,000 - 1x2 Angle: Long-term support at 44,500 Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Cloud Configuration: Tenkan-sen (9): 45,580 - Price slightly below, neutral to bullish Kijun-sen (26): 45,420 - Price above, confirming bullish bias Senkou Span A: 45,500 (cloud top) Senkou Span B: 44,800 (cloud bottom) Chikou Span: Above price action 26 periods ago (strongly bullish) Assessment: Price trading above bullish cloud with all components aligned for continued strength. Multi-Timeframe Technical Indicator Analysis 5-Minute Chart (Scalping Focus) RSI(14): 58.2 - Bullish momentum without overbought conditions VWAP: 45,568 - Price trading slightly above VWAP showing strength Bollinger Bands: Middle band at 45,570, upper band at 45,620 Stochastic: 62.1 in bullish territory with room for advancement Volume: Steady participation with no unusual spikes Scalping Levels: Micro Resistance: 45,590, 45,615, 45,640 Micro Support: 45,545, 45,520, 45,495 15-Minute Chart (Scalping Focus) MACD: Positive momentum with bullish crossover potential Williams %R: -38% showing healthy pullback from overbought Moving Averages: EMA(20) > SMA(20) confirming short-term strength Volume Profile: High volume node at 45,520-45,580 Key Trading Ranges: Bullish Zone: 45,550-45,580 (buying opportunities) Neutral Zone: 45,520-45,550 (range trading) Bearish Zone: Below 45,520 (short opportunities) 1-Hour Chart (Day Trading) RSI(14): 61.3 - Strong bullish momentum with room for extension VWAP: 45,485 providing dynamic support trend ADX(14): 34.2 indicating strong trend conditions Parabolic SAR: Below price at 45,420 (bullish signal intact) Day Trading Structure: Primary Resistance: 45,650-45,700 Secondary Resistance: 45,800-45,850 Primary Support: 45,450-45,500 Secondary Support: 45,350-45,400 4-Hour Chart (Swing Trading) RSI(14): 65.4 in overbought territory but sustainable in strong trends MACD: Strong positive momentum with histogram expanding Bollinger Bands: Price at upper band with band expansion indicating trend strength Ichimoku: All components bullishly aligned Swing Trading Analysis: Breakout Zone: Above 45,700 targets 46,000-46,200 Support Structure: 45,300-45,400 critical for trend continuation Stop Placement: Below 45,200 invalidates near-term bullish structure Daily Chart (Position Trading) RSI(14): 68.7 showing strong momentum but approaching overbought MACD: Robust positive momentum with room for extension Volume: Consistent above-average participation on advances Moving Averages: All major MAs aligned in bullish configuration Position Trading Framework: Trend Channel: Upper channel resistance near 46,500 Support Trend Line: Rising support around 44,800-45,000 Pattern Analysis: Ascending channel with room for upper channel test Weekly Chart (Long-term Analysis) RSI(14): 72.1 approaching overbought levels (caution warranted) MACD: Strong weekly momentum with positive histogram Long-term Trend: Powerful secular uptrend since 2009 lows intact Major Resistance: 47,000-47,500 based on measured moves Monthly Chart (Strategic Perspective) RSI(14): 74.3 significantly overbought (distribution risk increasing) Long-term Structure: Multi-decade bull market showing maturity signs Secular Targets: 50,000-52,000 based on long-term projections Major Support: 40,000-42,000 represents significant correction zone Comprehensive Support and Resistance Analysis Primary Support Structure 1. 45,450-45,500: VWAP and Kijun-sen confluence (immediate) 2. 45,350-45,400: Previous consolidation zone with volume 3. 45,200-45,250: Rising trend line and minor swing support 4. 45,000-45,100: Psychological level and major trend confluence 5. 44,800-44,900: Cloud bottom and structural support 6. 44,500-44,600: Elliott Wave support and institutional interest 7. 44,200-44,300: Major correction low and key trend defense Primary Resistance Structure 1. 45,650-45,700: Immediate intraday resistance and breakout level 2. 45,800-45,850: Short-term resistance and measured move target 3. 46,000-46,100: Major psychological level and Gann confluence 4. 46,200-46,300: Harmonic pattern completion zone 5. 46,500-46,600: Channel resistance and intermediate targets 6. 47,000-47,200: Major resistance zone and long-term targets 7. 47,500-48,000: Extended targets and secular resistance Weekly Trading Strategy (September 2-6, 2025) Monday, September 2, 2025 (Labor Day - US Markets Closed) Market Environment: US equity markets closed for Labor Day holiday Strategy Focus: Pre-positioning analysis for Tuesday's open International Impact: Monitor global markets for overnight developments Pre-Market Preparation: Gap Analysis: Assess any gap formation from Friday's close Overnight News: Monitor for Fed communications or economic releases Global Sentiment: Track international markets for risk appetite cues Tuesday, September 3, 2025 Market Environment: Return from holiday with potential catch-up volatility Primary Strategy: Trend continuation with careful gap management Volatility Expectation: Above normal due to holiday return dynamics Intraday Trading Strategy: Gap Scenarios: Gap Up: Above 45,600 suggests continued strength Gap Down: Below 45,500 may offer buying opportunity No Gap: Normal trading within established range Long Setup (Primary): 45,520-45,550 - Stop Loss: 45,480 - Target 1: 45,620 (1:2 R/R) - Target 2: 45,700 (1:3.5 R/R) Short Setup (Secondary): 45,680-45,720 - Stop Loss: 45,750 - Target 1: 45,600 (1:1 R/R) - Target 2: 45,520 (1:2.3 R/R) Wednesday, September 4, 2025 Market Environment: Mid-week momentum with potential economic data Primary Strategy: Breakout preparation with volume confirmation Focus: Fed speakers and economic indicators impact Trading Approach: Bullish Breakout: Above 45,750 with volume - Entry: 45,760-45,780 - Stop: 45,700 - Targets: 45,850, 45,950, 46,050 Range Trading: Within 45,500-45,700 - Long: 45,520-45,540, Target: 45,650-45,680 - Short: 45,670-45,690, Target: 45,550-45,580 Risk Considerations: Reduce position sizes if range-bound continues Thursday, September 5, 2025 Market Environment: High-impact day with jobs data potential Primary Strategy: Economic data trading with technical confirmation Key Factor: Employment data ahead of Friday's NFP Economic Data Strategy: Strong Employment: May delay Fed cuts, potential negative Weak Employment: Supports Fed cut narrative, likely positive Mixed Data: Technical levels become primary focus Technical Breakout Setup: Major Breakout: Above 46,000 - Volume Required: 150% of 20-day average - Initial Target: 46,200-46,300 - Extended Target: 46,500-46,600 - Stop Loss: 45,850 Breakdown Scenario: Below 45,400 - Target: 45,200-45,100 - Extended: 45,000-44,900 - Stop Loss: 45,500 Friday, September 6, 2025 Market Environment: Non-Farm Payrolls day with weekly close focus Primary Strategy: News trading with weekly positioning Critical Importance: NFP data impact on Fed policy expectations NFP Trading Strategy: Strong NFP (>200K): - Potential negative for rate cut hopes - Technical resistance becomes more significant - Focus on short opportunities near 46,000 Weak NFP (<150K): - Strengthens rate cut case - Bullish breakout potential increases - Target 46,200-46,500 on strength In-Line NFP (150-200K): - Maintains current Fed expectations - Technical levels drive trading Weekly Close Analysis: Bullish Close: Above 45,700 sets up next week advance Neutral Close: 45,400-45,700 maintains current structure Bearish Close: Below 45,400 suggests correction risk Advanced Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Matrix Risk Allocation by Strategy: 5M Scalping: 0.3-0.5% of capital per trade 15M Scalping: 0.5-0.8% of capital per trade 1H Day Trading: 1-1.5% of capital per trade 4H Swing Trading: 2-3% of capital per trade Daily Position Trading: 3-4% of capital per trade Dynamic Stop Loss Framework Volatility-Based Stops: Current ATR: ~180 points daily average Low Volatility: Stops at 120-150 points Normal Volatility: Stops at 180-220 points High Volatility: Stops at 250-300 points Timeframe-Specific Stops: 5-Minute Charts: 60-80 points maximum 15-Minute Charts: 100-140 points maximum 1-Hour Charts: 180-250 points maximum 4-Hour Charts: 350-450 points maximum Daily Charts: 600-800 points maximum Profit-Taking Methodology Systematic Profit Distribution: Target 1 (40%): 1:1.5 Risk/Reward ratio Target 2 (35%): 1:2.5 Risk/Reward ratio Target 3 (25%): 1:4+ Risk/Reward ratio Trailing Stops: Implement after Target 2 achievement Portfolio Risk Controls Maximum Exposure Limits: Total Account Risk: 6% maximum across all positions Single Trade Risk: 4% maximum concentration Sector Concentration: 50% maximum in related trades Daily Loss Limit: 3% account drawdown triggers review Geopolitical and Economic Risk Assessment Federal Reserve Policy Implications September FOMC (17-18): High probability of 25bp cut based on Powell's signals Policy Trajectory: Market expectations for 2-3 cuts through Q4 2025 Communication Risk: Any hawkish surprises could trigger significant correction Independence Concerns: Trump administration pressure on Fed policy creates uncertainty Economic Data Dependencies Labor Market Dynamics: Powell's noted "unusual" behavior requires close monitoring Inflation Trajectory: Tariff impacts creating uncertainty for price stability GDP Resilience: Economy showing strength but policy impacts unclear Consumer Health: Holiday spending season critical for Q4 performance Political and Policy Risks Tariff Implementation: Broad tariff policies could spike inflation and delay cuts Trade Relations: China trade dynamics affecting multinational Dow components Fiscal Policy: Government spending and tax policies impacting corporate earnings Regulatory Environment: Industry-specific regulations affecting key sectors Global Economic Factors International Growth: Global slowdown impacts for multinational corporations Currency Dynamics: Dollar strength/weakness affecting overseas earnings Commodity Prices: Input cost inflation affecting manufacturing components Geopolitical Tensions: Regional conflicts creating safe-haven demand for US assets Sectoral Analysis and Dow Components Sector Weight Distribution Industrials (20%): Boeing, Caterpillar, 3M leading weight Financials (18%): Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, American Express Technology (15%): Microsoft, Apple, Intel Healthcare (12%): UnitedHealth, Johnson & Johnson, Merck Consumer (15%): Home Depot, McDonald's, Nike Other (20%): Utilities, materials, energy components Rate Cut Beneficiaries High Sensitivity Sectors: 1. Financials: Yield curve steepening benefits net interest margins 2. Real Estate (REITs): Lower rates increase property valuations 3. Utilities: Bond proxy sectors benefit from rate environment 4. Consumer Discretionary: Lower borrowing costs boost spending Potential Underperformers Rate Cut Challenges: 1. Insurance: Lower investment yields pressure profitability 2. Banks: Net interest margin compression risks 3. Dollar-Sensitive: Strong international exposure may face currency headwinds Component-Specific Analysis Key Drivers: Boeing: Recovery story and rate environment benefits Goldman Sachs: Trading revenue and investment banking activity Home Depot: Housing sector sensitivity to interest rates Apple: Consumer spending and international exposure Advanced Technical Patterns and Setups Ichimoku Advanced Strategies Cloud Breakout Setup: - Price above cloud with expanding bands - Tenkan above Kijun with widening gap - Chikou Span clearing resistance - Volume confirmation on breakouts Kumo Twist Analysis: - Future cloud turning bullish through Q4 2025 - Cloud thickness indicating strong trend support - Senkou Span crossovers providing early signals Gann-Based Trading Systems Square of 9 Implementation: Long Trades: Buy at 212° (44,944) targeting 215° (46,225) Short Trades: Sell at 216° (46,656) targeting 213° (45,369) Breakout Trades: Above 215° targets 220° (48,400) Time and Price Confluence: - Major resistance at time/price squares - Natural reversal zones at geometric intersections - Seasonal time cycles confirming geometric levels Wyckoff Accumulation/Distribution Analysis Markup Phase Characteristics: Sign of Strength: Fed policy optimism driving advances Last Point of Support: 44,500 zone established Backup to Edge of Creek: Minimal selling pressure evident Secondary Test: Any pullback to 45,200 should hold Distribution Warning Signs: Climactic Volume: Heavy selling on any approach to 47,500 Weakness Signs: Inability to hold gains on positive news Phase A Risk: Sharp reversal from major resistance levels Market Microstructure and Execution High-Frequency Trading Impact Algorithm Concentration Zones: 45,000 Level: Major HFT support algorithm activity 46,000 Level: Significant resistance algorithm presence Round Numbers: Enhanced activity at 500-point intervals Optimal Execution Timing: 9:30-10:00 EST: Opening volatility and opportunity 10:30-11:00 EST: Post-opening continuation patterns 14:00-14:30 EST: European close overlap effects 15:30-16:00 EST: Final hour institutional positioning Liquidity Analysis High Liquidity Zones: 45,400-45,700 with tight bid/ask spreads Reduced Liquidity: Above 46,500 requiring careful position sizing After-Hours Considerations: Limited liquidity requiring smaller sizes Order Flow Characteristics Institutional Patterns: Accumulation Evidence: Large block buying 45,200-45,500 Distribution Monitoring: Watch for heavy selling above 46,200 Momentum Algorithms: Active participation on breakout moves Technology Integration and Trading Infrastructure Essential Trading Platforms 1. TradingView: Advanced Dow Jones charting and technical analysis 2. Interactive Brokers: Professional execution and margin capabilities 3. E*TRADE: Retail-friendly interface with advanced tools 4. Charles Schwab: Commission-free trading with research integration Critical Alert Configuration Price-Based Alerts: Breakout Levels: 45,750 (bullish), 45,400 (bearish) Psychological Levels: 46,000, 46,500, 47,000 Gann Squares: 44,944, 46,225, 46,656 Volume-Based Monitoring: Unusual Volume: >150% of 20-day average Block Trades: >$20M institutional transactions Index Rebalancing: Quarterly component changes News and Event Alerts: Fed Communications: FOMC members speeches and interviews Economic Releases: Employment, inflation, GDP data Component Earnings: Major Dow constituent results Policy Announcements: Trade, fiscal, regulatory changes Advanced Analysis Integration Options Market Analysis: Monitor Dow options for unusual activity and sentiment Futures Market Positioning: Track YM futures for institutional positioning ETF Flow Analysis: Monitor DIA and other Dow ETFs for flow patterns Cross-Market Correlation: Track relationships with bonds, commodities, currencies Calendar and Seasonal Considerations September Seasonality Historically challenging month for equities, though current Fed policy support may override seasonal weakness. Dow's defensive characteristics may provide relative outperformance during seasonal stress periods. Federal Reserve Timeline September 17-18: FOMC Meeting with high cut probability November 6-7: Next FOMC Meeting December 17-18: Final 2025 FOMC Meeting with year-end implications Earnings Calendar Impact Q3 2025 Reporting Season: October-November critical for Dow components Key Reporters: Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Boeing, Apple reporting schedules Guidance Analysis: Management commentary on rate environment benefits Holiday and Event Calendar Labor Day (Sep 2): US markets closed Columbus Day (Oct 14): Bond markets closed, equity markets open Election Considerations: Political developments affecting policy expectations Year-End Positioning: Institutional rebalancing effects in Q4 Conclusion and Strategic Outlook The Dow Jones Industrial Average stands at a pivotal moment, benefiting from Fed Chair Powell's dovish pivot while trading at historically elevated levels. The index's composition of blue-chip, dividend-paying companies positions it well for a potential rate-cutting cycle, though elevated valuations require careful risk management. Strategic Investment Themes: 1. Fed Policy Tailwind: Rate cutting cycle benefiting rate-sensitive components 2. Value vs Growth: Dow's value orientation may outperform in rate cut environment 3. Dividend Aristocrats: Quality dividend payers attractive in lower rate environment 4. Economic Resilience: Defensive characteristics providing downside protection Trading Strategy Priorities: Trend Following: Primary bias remains bullish with Fed support Breakout Trading: Monitor 46,000 level for significant upside potential Risk Management: Elevated levels require disciplined position sizing Component Selection: Focus on rate-sensitive sectors for maximum benefit Medium-Term Outlook (3-6 months): Technical and fundamental analysis converges on a constructive outlook for the Dow through Q4 2025. The combination of Fed accommodation, resilient economic data, and strong corporate balance sheets supports advancement toward 47,000-48,000 targets, though any hawkish Fed surprises or geopolitical shocks could trigger corrections to 44,000-44,500 support. Risk Management Focus: Overbought Conditions: Monthly RSI above 74 suggests caution at higher levels Policy Risk: Fed policy error or hawkish surprise major downside risk Valuation Concerns: Historical high levels warrant selective positioning Correlation Risk: High correlation with broader market during stress periods Long-Term Strategic Considerations: The secular bull market remains intact, supported by American economic dynamism and corporate innovation. However, demographic trends, debt levels, and policy uncertainty create longer-term challenges requiring ongoing assessment and strategy adjustment. Traders and investors should maintain flexibility while capitalizing on the current favorable environment, with particular attention to the Fed policy trajectory and its impact on the interest rate-sensitive components that comprise significant portions of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. --- *This comprehensive analysis integrates multiple technical methodologies with current fundamental drivers affecting the Dow Jones Industrial Average. All recommendations should be implemented within individual risk tolerance parameters and adapted to evolving market conditions. The blue-chip nature of Dow components provides some defensive characteristics, though elevated levels require enhanced risk awareness.* --- For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade --- Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
ARIASWAVE MARKET UPDATE - NASDAQ 400K - DOW 200K...In this major market update, I’m sharing fresh analysis that signals the beginning of a powerful new uptrend. Years of excessive money printing have fueled what appears to be a massive incoming bull market—one that could surpass all previous trends in strength, thanks to the extraordinary liquidity injected into global markets. We may be entering a modern-day “Roaring 20s 2.0,” but eventually, this cycle will run its course. For now, the key is to capitalize on the opportunities ahead by making well-informed decisions.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by AriasWave
Technical Analysis for US30 (Dow Jones) Closing Price: 44,935.4 (16th Aug 2025, 12:50 PM UTC+4) Analysis Methods: Japanese Candlesticks, Harmonic Patterns (ABCD, M/W), Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Gann Theory (Time/Square of 9/Angles), Ichimoku, RSI, Bollinger Bands, VWAP, Moving Averages (MA/EMA/SMA/WMA). 1. Long-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly) Elliott Wave: US30 is in Wave 5 of a bull cycle (Wave 3 peak: 45,500, Wave 4 correction to 42,800). Target: 46,200–46,800 (1.618 extension of Wave 1). Gann Price Forecasting: Square of 9: √44,935.4 ≈ 212.00 → Key resistance: 213² = 45,369, 214² = 45,796 Critical support: 211² = 44,521, 210² = 44,100 Break above 45,369 targets 46,000 (psychological level). Ichimoku (Monthly): Tenkan (9): 43,800 > Kijun (26): 43,200 → Bullish crossover. Price above thick Senkou Span (42,500–43,000) – structural bullishness. Moving Averages: Weekly EMA(100): 43,000 (major trend support). Swing Outlook: Bullish. Wave 5 targets 46,200–46,800. 2. Medium-Term Swing (4H/Daily) Harmonic Patterns: Bearish ABCD on Daily: A: 45,200 → B: 44,300 → C: 44,900 → D: 45,050–45,150 (1.272 BC extension). Bullish Crab (W Pattern) near 44,400 (0.886 XA retracement). Wyckoff Phase: Distribution above 44,900: Upthrust rejection at 45,000 (16th Aug) on fading volume. Weakness in rallies above 44,950. Gann Theory: Time Window: Aug 19–22 (Square of 9 reversal cluster). Gann Angle: 1x1 support at 44,800 (45° angle from Aug 14 low). Price-Time Squaring: 44,935 aligns with Aug 16 – consolidation expected. Indicators: RSI(14) + Bollinger Bands (Daily): RSI: 65 (neutral-bullish, no divergence). Price testing upper BB(20,2) at 45,050 → band expansion signals volatility. VWAP (Weekly): 44,600 (swing support). Swing Trade Setup: Short near 45,050–45,150 → Target 44,500. Stop-loss: 45,300. Long near 44,400 → Target 45,500. Stop-loss: 44,200. 3. Intraday Outlook (5M–4H) Key Levels: Resistance: 45,000 (psychological), 45,100 (Gann 1x1), 45,200 (ABCD target). Support: 44,850 (VWAP), 44,750 (Ichimoku cloud), 44,600 (200-EMA). Indicators: Ichimoku (1H): Tenkan: 44,920, Kijun: 44,860 → Price above both (short-term bullish). Cloud: Bullish (44,780–44,840) – intraday support zone. RSI + Bollinger Bands (4H): RSI(14): 61 (neutral). Price near mid-BB(20,2) at 44,900 → break below signals bearish momentum. VWAP + MAs: VWAP: 44,880 (intraday pivot). EMA(20): 44,940 (resistance). Candlestick Patterns: 4H Shooting Star at 45,000 → Bearish reversal signal. 1H Bearish Harami below 44,950 → Confirms selling pressure. Gann Intraday Squaring: Time Cycle: 14:00–16:00 UTC+4 (NY open) for volatility surge. Price Harmony: Close below 44,900 targets 44,800 → 44,700. Intraday Trade Plan: Sell below 44,900 → Target 44,800 (VWAP) → 44,700 (Gann support). Buy above 45,050 only if RSI <65 → Target 45,150. Stop-Loss: 40–50 points. Summary of Key Signals Time Frame Bias Entry Target Stop-Loss Intraday Bearish <44,900 44,880–44,900 44,700–44,800 45,000 Swing Bullish 44,400–44,450 45,200–45,500 44,200 Swing Bearish 45,050–45,100 44,500–44,600 45,300 Critical Events: Gann Reversal Window: Aug 19–22 (watch for Fed minutes/retail data). Daily Close >45,200 invalidates bearish patterns and targets 45,796. Risk Note: US30 is sensitive to Dow components’ earnings and USD moves. Use tight stops during NY session. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by sunya
Proprietary SupportIn this slowly but continuously updating idea I will be posting an interesting way to analyze charts. It is something old but also new, like duality. We all know that the stock market continuously grows. But it doesn't always grow. For markets lie between worlds. The reasonable and the unreasonable. The free choice and the illusion of free choice. Let me explain... In micro scale, we seem to believe that the markets follow the "support / resistance" rule. An (over)simplification necessary for us to comprehend the infinities of the quantum world. There are lots of stories told in the picture above... - Prices are chaotic and completely incomprehensible. - We have to smooth-out to get a clearer picture. - Is Support / Resistance real or a result of crowd psychology? - At what point horizontal action "ceases" to exist and "trend" takes over? Either we call it a "power law" or a Lin-log regression, charts in macro scale seem to trend. So prices sometimes move with one "law" (support) and sometimes with another (trend). Do we remember / know what is the foundation of price movement? A century ago, Wyckoff came up with his theory of accumulation and distribution. We can safely say that his research was not a result of crowd psychology. He backtested countless price charts, in a period (1920s) when trading was purely psychological, with traders having little experience to modern ideas of "trend", "support" etc. Just like the new modern technology design principles, ahem aapl, technological information lies inside bubbles. Transparent but distorted. Clear but fuzzy. Duality once again. Modern trading is a self sustaining loop. The "freedom" of our actions is trapped inside a bubble. Most of us "trade" with similar strategies, and end up in the mass pool of barely-profitable-investors. Unconventional strategists like Hedge Funds must have "alien" technology to overcome such psychological traps. Back to the main chart: It is one attempt to bring a new dimension to chart analysis. To merge these two worlds of "support" and "trend". I cannot possibly reach the expertise of massive corporations, but I can bodge something out, and I did. Price charts can be analyzed with unconventional / proprietary methods to conclude into the chart above. It is a little rough but bear with me. I had to perform complex calculations which I couldn't compile into a Pine Indicator. There is a reason that the top lines are not exactly straight. Their calculations depend on a blend between micro and macro movements. A couple of interesting charts to conclude the first update of this idea: BTC Daily BTC Weekly A Perfect Fractal. I hate bubbles. Mental ones, Soapy ones, Stock ones and UI ones. - An angry Father Grigori.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by akikostas
3
US STOCK MARKET PUMP AND DUMP.My view on the U.S. economy: The U.S. stock market is ready for a blow-off top (similar to Bitcoin in 2017, but a larger fractal of the same psychology). This will lead to a Great Depression 2.0. The smartest thing you can do is buy assets like crypto now, get rich, take profits on everything, and prepare to buy the dip in the housing market, land market, stock market, and everything else during the upcoming crash. I believe this will top out in 2029, marking a 100-year cycle from the last stock market peak in 1929. Crypto will follow it both up and down. This is the official High Altitude Investing position on what’s coming for crypto and the world markets. As always, stay profitable. - Dalin Anderson
TVC:DJI
by High_Altitude_Investing
6
DOW JONES Holding the 1W MA50 can push it to 50900.Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a massive 3-year Channel Up (almost) and following the April 07 2025 rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), it's been unfolding the new Bullish Leg. Having established also the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support in recent weeks, the pattern should now aim for its new Higher High long-term. Every time the index broke and stayed above its 1W MA50 during both previous Bullish Legs, a strong sustainable rally took place. Given the similarities between their 1W MACD sequences as well as the fact that +39.51% has been a common long-term rise, we expect Dow to top next around 50900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
US30 Robbery Blueprint: Breakout, Pullback, Escape Setup💎 Dow Jones Robbery Blueprint: The US30 Vault Crack Plan 💎 (Maximized for reach — within TradingView title limit) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Market Robbers & Money Movers 🕵️‍♂️💰🚨 This ain't your average analysis — it’s a Thief Trader-style 🔥tactical mission🔥 aimed at the mighty "US30/DJI" (Dow Jones Industrial Average). We're talkin' about a precision heist with a full blueprint: entry zones, trap setups, and escape exits. Read carefully — this ain’t for the faint-hearted traders! 🧠🦾 🧠 Entry Zones (The Break-In) 📈 🛠 ENTRY 1: Crack the wall near 44700.00 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation. 🎯 ENTRY 2: Sneak in at the Market Makers’ Trap around 43500.00 – a dirty zone where retailers get baited. Perfect time to strike long! 🧱 DCA/Layering strategy recommended. Stack those buy orders like a thief layering explosives on a safe. 💣💸 🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss) 🔊 "Listen up, vault raiders! Never drop your SL until breakout is confirmed. If you jump early, you might land in a bear trap! 🪤" 🔐 Stop Zones (Based on Strategy): 📌 Swing Buy SL (2H TF): Place at 44100.00 for the stealth buy. 🏦 Institutional SL (Swing Zone): Drop it around 43000.00 🔐 Max Risk SL (3H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 39200.00 ☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler. 🎯 Heist Target (Profit Exit) 🏁 Escape Point: 46200.00 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰 🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On "US30/DJI" is bullish AF — thanks to: 📊 Macro-Economic Wind at Our Back 📈 Institutional momentum 📰 Strong sentiment and intermarket flows Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢 ⚠️ Tactical Reminder: News Can Jam the Plan 📵 Avoid new entries during major economic releases 🛡 Use trailing SLs to protect running trades Stay alert, stay alive. 💡 ❤️ Support the Robbery Crew Hit that 💥BOOST💥 — your love fuels our next mission. Join us and ride daily heist plans with Thief Trading Style 🏴‍☠️🚀💰
FX:US30Long
by The-Thief
7
DOW JONES Strong rebound on its 4H MA50.Dow Jones (DJI) is having a strong rebound exactly on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is taking place just after the price broke above the Bull Flag that served as the accumulation pattern following the previous Channel Up. This is a repetitive pattern and most likely we will now see the new Channel Up starting. The technical Target on such formations is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 48000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
Quick take on DJIACurrently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI is trading within a short-term downside channel. However, could it just be part of a correction, before another possible leg of buying? Let's dig in. MARKETSCOM:US30 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US30
by Marketscom
DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders! The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level. The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight. Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically. In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs. This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well. Best of luck on your trading journey!
TVC:DJILong
by natef1
1
Dow Could Be Gearing Up for a Run Toward 50,000We’ve seen it before—and we might be seeing it again . The Dow Jones is showing a familiar pattern, and here’s what’s happening: The index has been repeatedly hitting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from previous ranges. Right now, we’re approaching the 100% extension between the last swing high (~45,000) and swing low (~36,600). If the Dow breaks above that previous high at 45,000, there's a good chance we’ll see the pattern repeat—with 50,000 as the next target. It’s all about that breakout confirmation. Until then, we watch and wait. This market has a memory—let’s see if it chooses to repeat it again.
DJ:DJILong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
5
Dow Jones in Long-Term Fibonacci Channel📈 Dow Jones Weekly | Fibonacci Channel in Play Since 2020 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trending within a well-defined Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe since the 2020 lows. 🔹 The price has consistently respected the Fibonacci levels as tilted support and resistance lines—a technical behavior that adds weight to this structure. 🔹 Three major horizontal support/resistance zones are clearly active and validated multiple times (highlighted on the chart). 🔹 Currently, the index is approaching the upper boundary of the downtrend resistance. 📌 The setup suggests it's only a matter of time before we retest this dynamic resistance zone, with potential rejection or breakout to follow. 🎯 Target zone around 45,000 as marked—aligning with previous highs and the upper resistance confluence. Stay tuned—momentum is building. #DowJones #DJI #FibonacciChannel #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #StockMarket #Resistance #Support #Trendlines #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #US30 #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
DJ:DJILong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName