Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping the historic $3,700 level. Price briefly tapped 3,702 before retreating into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs both sides. With the Fed policy decision due at 1 AM VN time, volatility is expected to spike. Market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tension, but short-term positioning suggests possible liquidity grabs before a directional move.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,685
TP2: 3,695
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,680+
👉 High R:R setup if stops hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but Fed decision risk means smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay nimble: fade extremes at 3,696–3,694 for shorts, and defend demand at 3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638 for longs. Trade lighter size until post-Fed clarity.
Daily Charts
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to hold super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC
📊 Market Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently broken out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is currently trading around 3,684–3,690.
Market is in bullish structure after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS).
However, imbalances remain below current price, suggesting a potential retracement before continuation.
Liquidity pools are forming above 3,721–3,725, creating the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near FOMC.
🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS.
Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited).
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-side liquidity at 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone).
Sell-side liquidity around 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone).
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zone:
3,686.88 (immediate resistance)
3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone)
Support / Buy Zones:
3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest)
3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone)
✅ Priority Scenario – BUY
Entry 1
BUY Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest)
SL: 3,661
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 2
BUY Limit: 3,656 – 3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 3
BUY Limit: 3,626 – 3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity)
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade)
If price reaches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before retesting lower buy zones → watch for rejection patterns.
SELL if bearish confirmation appears.
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Expect high volatility during FOMC – traps around liquidity zones are likely.
Reduce lot size before news release to mitigate risk.
Stick to confirmation entries (avoid blind buys/sells).
Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
EURUSD - Follow The Bulls Indeed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
This week, EURUSD has been retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and orange demand.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?Gold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating below 3,600 after a strong bullish run. Current structure shows price resting near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This suggests engineered sweeps before the next expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone sitting at intraday discount; potential continuation area.
• 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if price rejects.
• 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance zone likely to be rebalanced.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction
• Entry: 3,572 – 3,574
• Stop Loss: 3,565
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,605
👉 Demand block aligned with bullish order flow. Look for liquidity sweep and rejection to resume trend.
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🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction
• Entry: 3,530 – 3,528
• Stop Loss: 3,537
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,520
o TP2: 3,510
o TP3: 3,500
👉 Intraday supply zone and pivot. Best used for quick scalps against trend, targeting downside liquidity.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish overall, but intraday shorts are valid for scalps. The cleaner setup is buying into 3,572–3,574 for continuation toward 3,600+. Smart money may sweep liquidity at 3,530 before reversing higher.
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped into the breakout zone and is now positioned between premium scalp supply and higher liquidity pools. The structure suggests engineered plays into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity toward 3,672–3,674 before expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs targeting 3,645 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection
• Entry: 3,656 – 3,658
• Stop Loss: 3,663
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,640
👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity.
🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,672 – 3,674
• Stop Loss: 3,679
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,614 – 3,612
• Stop Loss: 3,607
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,640
TP3: 3,655
👉 High R:R play if price retraces to protected demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones around the breakout point. Bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658
• Swing sells at 3,672–3,674
• Discount buys at 3,614–3,612
Risk management is critical — expect liquidity sweeps both sides before real expansion.
XAUUSD Pre-Cut Rates!! Will the all time high streak continue??Gold continues to show strength after breaking above the 3,676 resistance and printing a new All-Time High at 3,686. This breakout further confirms the clear uptrend structure across all timeframes, from H4 to daily. Overall, buyers remain in control, although price is currently consolidating near the highs, likely gathering momentum for the next move.
From a technical perspective, the latest candle closed above the key zone at 3,675–3,676, which has now flipped from strong resistance into dynamic support. As long as price holds above this area, the primary bias remains bullish, with potential continuation towards 3,708 and then 3,723 as the next upside targets.
On the other hand, if a deeper pullback occurs and price fails to hold above 3,656, the door opens for a retest of lower support around 3,625. However, unless there is a confirmed reversal on the lower timeframes, the broader trend still favors the upside.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
Buy on dip at 3,656–3,660
SL: 3,625
TP1: 3,678
TP2: 3,686
TP3: 3,708
⚠️ Avoid aggressive SELL positions unless there are clear rejection signals or strong reversal patterns on lower timeframes (M15–H1).
For traders holding long positions from lower levels, consider partial take profit around TP1–TP2 while keeping some exposure for higher targets.
📌 Key Daily Zones
R3: All-Time High
R2: 3,724
R1: 3,687
Pivot: 3,675
S1: 3,637
S2: 3,601
S3: 3,586
⚠️ Notes & CTA Suggestions
Bullish momentum remains dominant, but price is trading far from major MAs, so a short-term pullback remains possible before further upside.
Watch price action around 3,675–3,656. As long as there is no close below this support, the bullish scenario stays intact.
Be cautious of volatility during the US session and use conservative lot sizing to stay protected from sudden swings.
Always adjust SL levels according to intraday volatility to avoid being taken out by temporary moves.
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is ranging around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a potential Fed cut this week and dot-plot guidance in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand inside prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656)
• Entry: 3,658 – 3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,651
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,675+
👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613)
• Entry: 3,615 – 3,613
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before New York session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678)
• Entry: 3,676 – 3,678
• Stop Loss: 3,683
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,645
👉 Expect stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on strong H1 close above 3,683.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favors: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
BE AWARE OF 111K BTC RETRACEMENT IF LARGER H&S STARTS FORMINGMorning folks,
So, our 116.15K target is perfectly met. What's next? First is, some quiet time should be until the Fed meeting. As market hits upside AB=CD, forming daily "222" Sell around resistance area, it is reasonable to suggest a pullback.
Normally, (before BTC proceeds to 119K target here) is to expect the pullback to nearest two levels - 114+K and 112.60-113.17K K-area as it is shown on 1H chart. But, we also do not exclude scenario of a bigger reverse H&S
So, if you will see that market is dropping further - keep an eye on 111K support. This is the last bullish outpost for short-term tendency. Drop to 111K doesn't mean yet that the upside game is over.
So, let's watch first for most common scenario of retracement, but also keep in mind 111K level. We do not consider any bearish trades for now and watch for deeps to buy.
I mark this idea as "bearish" just because of expected retracement. In general we have a bullish view.
SPY's Final Wall: The Bearish ThesisRight now, SPY is facing the most significant confluence of resistance trend lines it has seen in years. Think of this as the ultimate ceiling—a multi-layered wall that the bulls have to smash through.
The market's parabolic move has pushed the price to this critical point. But here's the thesis: the combined strength of these converging trend lines is just too much. The buying power is exhausted.
We believe this is a classic rollover setup. Instead of a breakout to new highs, we expect a strong rejection from this level. The price will hit this solid wall of resistance and turn over, leading to a significant pullback.
The current price isn't a simple pause; it's a test of strength that the bulls are likely to fail.
Day Trade/Swing Trade Idea: Short at red arrow and cover at the green arrow
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,644 after multiple ChoCHs, showing engineered liquidity grabs. Price has defined clear demand footprints at 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is stacked near 3,673–3,680. This structure suggests a possible retracement into discount zones before expansion toward premium liquidity.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep, high R:R demand area.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket for short-term liquidity grabs.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium zones.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Ideal entry for swing traders seeking higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp opportunity at premium supply; bias remains bullish so manage risk tightly.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a dip into 3,620 or deeper 3,593 demand before expansion. Cleaner setups favor buying dips; shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalp plays only.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With CPI news today, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
116.15K is the next BTC TARGETMorning folks,
So, after two solid pullbacks out of 113.5K resistance area, BTC is decided to break it on a background of 50bp cut from the Fed next week. So, both Thu setups has worked nice. You either hold longs or out at breakeven with shorts that we have taken last week...
Anyway, we consider 116.15K as the most probable target for now, because price shape doesn't show signs of acceleration and looks more like AB=CD pullback out from 105-108K support area.
Thus, for short entry we prefer to wait when this target will be met. Long entry now theoretically could be possible, but we do not see good stop order placement that let us to turn probability in our favor. That's why, if you have longs - keep it, but price possession is not perfect for a new one, especially at the eve of CPI release...
Avalanche with a close above the double bottom necklineNot sure whether it will validate the breakout here or go back below the neckline, but that was a very convincing bullish candle close above the neckline on the previous daily candle so it should give it some reasonable probability. *not financial advice*
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyGold on the 1H timeframe is trading above 3,650 after a clean break of structure. Price has left demand footprints around 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance stands near 3,670 and premium supply sits at 3,687–3,689. This suggests a possible engineered retracement into discount zones before a push toward liquidity at 3,688+.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong structural base.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, potential liquidity sweep.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,634
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3,650
• TP2: 3,665
• TP3: 3,680+
👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before resuming bullish move.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3,610
• TP2: 3,625
• TP3: 3,640+
👉 Ideal for swing buyers looking for higher R:R at deeper liquidity sweep.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,687 – 3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,694
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3,670
• TP2: 3,655
• TP3: 3,640
👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels before rotating lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand before expansion. Cleaner setups are buying dips; sells at 3,687 are only scalp plays with tight risk.
BTC "SELL @ 113.5K@ Part IIMorning folks,
So, everything goes just perfect. Sell around 113.5K resistance is done well. If you're in, move stops to breakeven. Now we need just to watch whether 2nd part of our plan will come true or not.
If you remember, we suggest the failure of reverse H&S pattern here and drop below 107K lows.
So we keep the bearish context for this setup for now.
Still, on the right arm's bottom you can see small reverse H&S pattern. If you have an opposite view, or just want to make a scalp trade - it could be useful for this purpose:
Take care
S.
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently building imbalance around intraday highs, while demand sits lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, ideal for liquidity sweep reaction.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expect liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity resting below intraday lows; best for quick shorts.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps remain short-lived opportunities.
Counter-Pattern BTC Idea. Sell @ 113.5KMorning folks,
So, our plan stands in progress, everything is fine, while market is moving with 3-Drive pattern to the upside. It's time to decide what to do next.
BTC will remain under pressure until the mid September, due to big Treasury borrowings. At the same time we see that it is forming reverse H&S pattern, which is potentially bullish. Our idea is to go against it with the most safe way and Sell at the neckline and K-resistance area of 113.5K level.
Because we think that this H&S has more chances to fail rather than to work properly. But, anyway, if even it will work as it should, the right arm deep should let us to move stops to breakeven. So, we think that this trade scenario cares not much risk
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expecting price to pull lower toward demand areas before the next bullish leg.
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📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
1. Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
2. Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
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⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expecting price to pull lower toward demand areas before the next bullish leg.
________________________________________
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
1. Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
2. Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
________________________________________
⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context
Gold maintains a bullish order flow after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. Price is currently consolidating near the 3,533–3,540 zone, with a clear FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market shows potential for liquidity sweep before another leg upward.
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📍 Key Levels
• Resistance (Sell Zones): 3564 | 3575–3576 | 3586 | 3595
• Support (Buy Zones): 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480–3478 | 3468
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🛠️ Trade Ideas
✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing)
• Entry: 3480 – 3478
• SL: 3473
• TP: 3485 – 3490 – 3500 – 3515 – 3520 – 3530
📌 Expectation: Price to mitigate FVG and react from demand zone before continuation upward.
✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction)
• Entry: 3501 – 3503
• SL: 3491
• TP: 3510 – 3525 – 3545 – 3550
📌 Expectation: Short-term liquidity grab above 3500 psychological level leading to bullish push.
❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play)
• Entry: 3575 – 3573
• SL: 3582
• TP: 3565 – 3555 – 3545 – 3530 – 3520
📌 Expectation: Strong supply zone where smart money may hunt liquidity before reversal.
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🔑 SMC Insights
• BOS confirms bullish bias, but price may retrace to fill imbalance (FVG).
• Liquidity likely resting around 3480–3500 before a push to test 3575+.
• High probability of buying dips at demand and selling extreme supply zones.
BTC 3-Drive Pullback. 113.5KMorning folks,
BTC for now is moving accurately from one our target to another. First it was 108.4K, now it is 108K. Next should be 104-105K...
Still, price stands at strong support area and is forming bullish reversal session on daily chart. On 1H chart we have clear 3-Drive Buy pattern. So, chances are above zero that before it keep going down, the pullback happens...
That's why if you want to go short we call you to wait for the bounce and try to sell the rally instead. The minimum 3-Drive target is above 113K top, where we have also K-resistance area. So, just watch for it, if you want to sell.
Also we have no objections against long entry with 3-Drive. Although it doesn't correspond to overall context and we do not include this trade in our plan. But, now this trade has a small risk and could be considered, if you want.
I sign this update with "Long" idea, but only for pullback. Context remains bearish.
Gold 01/09: FVG Retracement – Buy the Dip, Short 3515SMC Analysis for 01/09
Gold continues to maintain a bullish order flow after clear BOS and ChoCH confirmations. Price has created an FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 3463 and is currently moving toward the 3515 supply zone.
✅ BUY Scenarios
• Buy Zone 1: 3418 – 3422
o Demand zone aligned with trendline + liquidity sweep.
o SL 3410
o TP: 3430 – 3445 – 3455 – 3460+.
• Buy Scalp Zone: 3352 – 3350
o Deep liquidity grab area for quick scalp.
o SL 3344
o TP: 3360 – 3380 – 3400.
👉 All buy zones follow the dominant bullish structure. The best strategy is to wait for retracements to enter long.
❌ SELL Scenario
• Sell Zone: 3515 – 3517
o H1 supply zone overlapping resistance.
o SL 3522
o TP: 3500 – 3485 – 3475 – 3465 – 3450.
👉 Short trades are only for quick pullbacks. Larger bias remains bullish unless a strong bearish ChoCH develops.
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📌 Conclusion:
• Main bias: Buy the dip at 3415–3422, 3442–3447, and scalp at 3352–3350.
• Secondary play: Sell 3515–3520 back to demand.
• Keep an eye on FVG 3463 as the key reaction level.
Will Gold Back Again To 3400 ?Market Context
• Price has shown multiple bullish break of structure, confirming short-term bullish order flow.
• A supply zone around 3449 – 3451 may provide liquidity for a reaction.
• The fair value gap between 3360 – 3310 remains unfilled and could attract price.
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Key Levels
• Supply Zone: 3449 – 3451
• Buy Zone 1: 3396 – 3400 (SL 3390)
• Buy Zone 2: 3310 – 3315 (SL 3303)
• FVG Zone: 3360 – 3310
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Trading Scenarios
Primary Buy Setup
• Entry: 3396 – 3400
• Stop Loss: 3390
• Target: 3449 – 3460 liquidity sweep
Secondary Buy Setup
• Entry: 3310 – 3315
• Stop Loss: 3303
• Target: 3396 – 3449
Counter-trend Sell
• Entry: 3449 – 3451 if rejection occurs
• Stop Loss: above 3458
• Target: 3400 demand
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Summary
The main bias remains bullish with two buy zones identified: 3400 for a shallow entry and 3310 for a deeper liquidity sweep. Short positions at supply should only be considered as counter-trend scalps.






















