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Davos

Silver have more room to surgeSilver briefly surged to a new record high, exceeding 116 USD/ounce, before consolidating around 110 USD/ounce, propelled by escalating geopolitical tensions initiated by the US. Markets anticipate a "polycrisis" as the new paradigm, disrupting the post-World War II global order. Consequently, investors are diversifying away from Gold into other precious metals, such as Silver and Palladium. The Gold/Silver ratio collapsed from a peak of 110 to 46, trending toward the 2011 low of 32. Persistent geopolitical risks could drive prices to the 160–200 USD/ounce range. Silver maintains a high correlation with Gold but exhibits a higher standard deviation, which may amplify price gains—particularly as supply deficits loom due to surging demand from the energy transition and AI infrastructure. Technically, XAGUSD retreated to test the EMA21 before rebounding above both expanding EMAs, signaling a continued uptrend. If price surpasses the recent swing high, XAGUSD could target the 227.2% Fibonacci extension at 131. Conversely, failure to sustain levels above the EMA21 may trigger a retest of the lower trendline boundary. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by WiseLeoTrading
1
EUR/USD rally: "Sell America" targets 1.18 – Buying Wave 4 dip?We are witnessing a strong repricing in EUR/USD, driven by a "Sell America" trade that is crushing the dollar across the board. The pair is up 1.6% this week alone, breaking out of a bullish flag and confirming a vertical impulsive move. But the question is: with Wave 4 near the 100% extension as support, is it time to buy the dip? We analyse the shift driven by President Trump's tariff threats at Davos, which has intensified the selling pressure on the greenback. We overlay this geopolitical risk with a classic Elliott Wave setup on the 4-hour chart, mapping out the path to 1.1800 and potentially 1.1900. Key topics covered : "Sell America" intensifies: How Trump's double-down on the February 1st tariff deadline at Davos triggered a second wave of dollar weakness, sending gold to $4,850 and the euro soaring. ​ Elliott Wave analysis : Wave 3 peak: The impulsive leg from Monday's open was rejected exactly at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (1.1767), signalling a temporary top. Wave 4 entry: We are now looking for a corrective pullback to the 100% Extension and 50% Retracement near 1.1700—a major psychological support and our "buy zone." Wave 5 targets: If 1.1700 holds, the net distance projection targets 1.1784, 1.1807, and potentially 1.1830. Risk Factors : Tomorrow's US PCE data (expected steady at 2.8%) is the wild card. A hot print could deepen the correction, while an in-line result supports the higher grind. Are you buying the Wave 4 dip at 1.17 or fading the rally? Let us know in the comments! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
2
Time to think out of the box 💡INVESTMENT CONTEXT Equities failed to sustain May 23 uptick, with bears firmly in control of the market sending Nasdaq in the low 11k bracket U.S. retailer Best Buy (BBY) missed EPS forecasts, but downplayed recession fears S&P Global’s Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a measure of the services and manufacturing industries, fell to 51.8 in May, its lowest level since February 2021; meanwhile, new home sales in the U.S. fell 26.9% on a yearly basis At Davos, Davos, George Soros remarked that “Indeed, the Russian invasion may turn out to be the beginning of World War III, and our civilization may not survive it“ After taking a leading role in Netflix (NFLX) one-day 30% slump, hedge fund manager Bill Ackman tweeted "Inflation is out of control (...) Markets are imploding because investors are not confident that the (Fed) will stop inflation. If the Fed doesn’t do its job, the market will do the Fed’s job" PROFZERO'S TAKE Tensions in Ukraine remain high after Russia's capture of the port-city of Mariupol. As EU's resolve is being tested by the concerns of some member States (Hungary in particular) on energy security, analysts see the conflict in Donbas dragging in a protracted war of attrition. ProfZero hasn't failed to notice the regained momentum of RUB in the wake of the growing fringe of European energy companies bowing to Moscow's request of supplies being paid in its own currency - yet the catch 22 is becoming thornier by the hour now that soft commodities vehemently entered the picture, escalating the crisis to a global level Russia may in fact be nearing default, as the U.S. Treasury Department said it would end as of May 25 a waiver that allowed Russia’s central bank to process payments to bondholders in USD through U.S. and international banks, on a case-by-case basis. The first tranche of interest on debt is scheduled for May 27, when EUR 100mln are due on two bonds. ProfZero has long been reporting the eventual default of Russia as a further aggravating catalyst to the overall macro scenario - now that the moment of truth nears, ripples from the eventual default also must be accounted for, starting from the consequences to soft commodities Buffett binging on U.S. equities while Soros calling the possible end of our civilization. Coincidence? As much as Bill Ackman, ProfZero only believes in the inescapable, cold efficiency of the market. Greed has all it takes to eat inflation's lunch ProfZero is starting to feel uneasy about the prolonged range-bound trading pattern drawn by BTC. Whilst impressed by the resilience of the entire blockchain space to the broader turmoil, and even more so by the rebound after LUNA's demise, ProfZero argues the current trading structure conjures fears of sudden, major drops should bears launch a short attack on the segment (much akin to the meltdown on April 29)
CME:BTC1!
by ProfZero
ORBEX: BOJ Triggers Yen Longs, All Eyes Turn to Davos WEF ThoughThe BOJ held interest rates unchanged overnight, however, the policymakers decided to push 2020's growth forecast up on the back of the sales tax introduced back in October. Yen was supported overnight, offering some USDJPY shorts. Markets wait for the UK’s jobs numbers and also EA’s ZEW release to find intraday opportunities of GBPUSD and EURUSD. Meanwhile, Trump will speak at Davos' WEF in a few hours on his #impeachment trial opening day. Let's see how this one is going to pan out... Trade safe Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
2
ORBEX: Equities Continue Recording All-Time Highs!US Retails Sales, corporate earnings and now Chinese consumer data add on to the equities rally! Despite US equities having reached overbought levels, phase one seems to be working well on global #indices. All eyes will turn to Davos this week, central banks' decisions and also the widely anticipate Trump’s impeachment trial. Let’s see how equities will pan out. Trade safe Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Orbex