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Dax30

German DAX 30 Rally Ahead? Strong Pullback Signals Momentum💎 DE30 (German DAX 30) — Thief Trader’s Market Profit Playbook! 💎 📈 Bias: Bullish Play Confirmed ⚙️ Strategy Type: Layered Limit Order Entries (Thief’s Signature Style) 🧠 Game Plan: The German DAX 30 (DE30) shows strong bullish momentum after a clean moving average pullback — confirming a short-term continuation setup on the 4H and daily charts. We’re loading our Thief-style layering entries to ride this momentum wave! 🏄‍♂️ Layered Entry Zone (Buy Limits): 💰 23,800 | 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,100 (Add more layers if you’re managing dynamic scaling — this is the Thief style of playing smart, not hard!) 🛑 Stop Loss (Protective Zone): 🚨 23,700 (Thief’s guard line!) ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this SL is not a must-follow — manage your risk wisely. This is an educational plan — trade at your own discretion. 🎯 Take Profit Zone: 🎯 24,500 — realistic first exit zone. 💥 24,700 — Electric Shock Resistance Wall ⚡️ (strong resistance area + overbought + potential trap zone). ⚠️ Note: Again, dear Thief OGs — take your profits when you’re happy! Targets are reference points, not financial advice. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Strong MA Confluence: 20EMA and 50EMA crossover support the bullish bias. Volume Uptick: Smart money rotation visible on hourly accumulation bars. Momentum Recovery: RSI rebounding from mid-zone (40–50), eyeing bullish breakout potential. 🌐 Correlated Assets to Watch: Stay sharp — DAX often dances with global indices and major USD flows: CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) — correlated risk sentiment, bullish tone confirmation. FX:FRA40 (CAC 40) — follows European equity momentum. 💵 FX:EURUSD — inverse correlation with DE30 strength during USD volatility. Tracking these helps confirm whether the bull party 🎉 continues or the market bouncer 🚫 shows up early. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #DE30 #DAX30 #ThiefTrader #IndexTrading #GermanDAX #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #ThiefStyle #ForexCommunity #RiskManagement
ICMARKETS:DE30Long
by The-Thief
DAX/GER40, technical analysis 1DHello traders, We bring you another important technical analysis on the DAX index. We can see that according to Elliott Wave theory we have completed corrective ABC structure, also taken liquidity and started the bullish 12345 structure in smaller timeframe as u can see on the chart. So the next outlook is that the value of the DAX index will increase. But be careful! It is necessary to respect the invalidation level in this case. We also have to take into account the war in Ukraine, all of President Trump's statements, interest rates, and other stimuli that can change the market instantly! WavePulse
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by WavePulse
GER30 Trading Plan: Pending Orders, Breakout Levels, and Targets📉 GER30 (Germany Index) – Market Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏦 Hey Traders 👋, Here’s a swing/day trade plan I’m watching on the GER30 (Germany Index). This setup is designed with a layered pending order strategy once confirmation hits. 🔑 Trading Plan Bias: Bearish (waiting for sellers to breach the 4H Moving Average ✅ confirmation needed) Entry Trigger: Breakout of MA @ 23300 ➝ after breakout confirmation, entries can be considered at different price levels. Layered Entries (Sell Limits): 23500 23450 23400 23350 23300 (You can expand layering based on your own strategy) ⚠️ Important Note: Only activate sell limit layers after breakout confirmation. No confirmation = no entry. 🛑 Stop Loss Suggested SL: 23650 But remember: risk management is personal! 🎯 Set your SL at your own comfort level. 🎯 Target Exit Zone: 22900 Why? SMA acting as strong dynamic support, plus oversold conditions & potential liquidity traps. Again ➝ this TP is optional. You’re in control of your profits. 💰 📌 Core Notes (Read Carefully!) This plan uses multiple layered sell-limit entries (cash flow layering style). Don’t jump in blindly! Wait for the moving average breach on 4H to confirm bearish momentum. SL & TP are not recommendations, just references. Trade at your own risk. 🔗 Correlation / Related Pairs to Watch FX:GER30 – Core instrument XETR:DAX – Same Germany Index benchmark (futures) FX:EURUSD – Often inversely correlated with DAX strength when EUR reacts to macro events SP:SPX / CAPITALCOM:US30 – Global equity indices; U.S. flows can impact German equities OANDA:XAUUSD – Gold as a hedge; risk-off flows sometimes push capital out of equities and into gold Watching these pairs can give better context to the strength/weakness of GER30 📊. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #GER30 #DAX #Germany30 #IndexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockIndices #MarketFlow
FX:GER30Short
by The-Thief
2
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Analysis & Trading OutlookCurrent Price: 23,397.40 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW & STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS The DAX40 is trading near all-time highs, displaying robust bullish momentum following the breakout above 23,000. The index is currently in a consolidation phase after an extended rally, suggesting potential for either continuation or a corrective pullback. Key Market Context: Trend Structure: Primary uptrend intact across all major timeframes Market Phase: Late-stage expansion with decreasing momentum divergence Volatility: Moderate; Bollinger Bands showing compression on 4H/Daily charts Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent highs suggests potential exhaustion 🎯 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS MONTHLY CHART - Long-term Perspective Elliott Wave Count: Currently in Wave 5 of a larger impulse structure from 2022 lows Gann Analysis: Price approaching the 1x2 Gann angle from the 2022 pivot; resistance expected at 23,450-23,500 Ichimoku Cloud: Trading well above the Kumo; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish crossover sustained Key Support: 22,800 (monthly pivot) | 22,400 (cloud base) Key Resistance: 23,500 (Gann resistance) | 23,850 (Wave 5 projection target) WEEKLY CHART - Swing Trading Perspective Pattern Recognition: Potential Bull Flag formation developing (consolidation after strong rally) Wyckoff Analysis: Phase D (markup) transitioning to possible Phase E (redistribution) RSI: 67.2 - approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme VWAP (Anchored from Jan 2025): 22,950 - price trading above, bullish bias confirmed Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on upswings suggests weakening buying pressure DAILY CHART - Swing & Position Trading Harmonic Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern completion zone: 23,450-23,550 (PRZ) Head & Shoulders Watch: No clear reversal pattern yet, but right shoulder formation risk if rejection occurs above 23,500 Bollinger Bands: Price at upper band (23,420); squeeze pattern suggests breakout/breakdown imminent Moving Averages: 20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 23,050 (critical support) 200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend support) RSI: 64.8 - neutral to slightly overbought MACD: Bullish but histogram showing declining momentum 4-HOUR CHART - Intraday/Swing Bridge Trend: Short-term consolidation within ascending channel Ichimoku: Price above cloud; flat Kijun-sen at 23,350 = pivot zone VWAP: 23,365 - current price trading slightly above, marginally bullish Support Levels: 23,350 | 23,280 | 23,200 Resistance Levels: 23,450 | 23,520 | 23,600 Pattern: Ascending Triangle forming between 23,280 support and 23,450 resistance 1-HOUR CHART - Intraday Focus Candlestick Pattern: Indecision candles (doji/spinning tops) suggesting hesitation RSI: 58.4 - neutral zone Bollinger Bands: Mid-band at 23,370; price oscillating around mean Volume: Below average - lack of conviction Gann Square of 9: Next resistance at 23,445 (45° from current pivot) 15-MINUTE & 5-MINUTE CHARTS - Scalping Micro Structure: Range-bound between 23,370-23,420 VWAP: Acting as dynamic support/resistance at 23,385 Volume Spikes: Watch for breakout confirmation with volume >120% of 20-period average RSI (15M): Oscillating between 45-60 (neutral range) 🔍 CRITICAL TECHNICAL SIGNALS Bullish Indicators: ✅ Price above all major moving averages (20/50/200 EMA) ✅ Ichimoku Cloud bullish alignment across all timeframes ✅ Higher lows pattern maintained since September ✅ Golden Cross intact (50 EMA > 200 EMA) ✅ Volume-weighted averages showing institutional support Bearish Warning Signs: ⚠️ Declining volume on rallies (distribution concern) ⚠️ RSI bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily charts ⚠️ Approaching Gann resistance and harmonic PRZ ⚠️ MACD histogram declining (momentum weakening) ⚠️ Potential Bull Trap risk if rejection occurs above 23,450 Neutral/Watch Factors: 🔶 Bollinger Band squeeze on daily chart (breakout pending) 🔶 Wyckoff redistribution signs require confirmation 🔶 No clear Head & Shoulders pattern yet (monitoring right shoulder) 📈 INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (Next 5 Trading Days) SCENARIO A: BULLISH BREAKOUT (Probability: 45%) Trigger: Break and hold above 23,450 with volume confirmation Entry Points: Aggressive: 23,455 (immediate breakout) Conservative: 23,470 (retest of breakout level) Targets: T1: 23,520 (short-term resistance) T2: 23,600 (Gann 1x1 angle) T3: 23,750 (measured move from triangle) Stop Loss: Below 23,350 (4H Kijun-sen) Time Frames: 5M, 15M, 1H entries | Hold 4H-Daily for swing Risk:Reward: Minimum 1:2.5 SCENARIO B: RANGE-BOUND CONSOLIDATION (Probability: 35%) Range: 23,280 - 23,450 Long Entries: 23,280-23,300 (lower range support + 20 EMA) 23,350-23,365 (4H pivot + VWAP) Short Entries: 23,430-23,450 (upper range resistance) 23,520-23,535 (false breakout rejection) Targets: Range midpoint: 23,365 Opposite range boundary Stop Loss: Longs: Below 23,250 (range invalidation) Shorts: Above 23,480 (breakout confirmed) Strategy: Mean reversion scalping on 15M/1H charts SCENARIO C: BEARISH CORRECTION (Probability: 20%) Trigger: Break and close below 23,280 (20 EMA + ascending trendline) Short Entry Points: Aggressive: 23,275 (break confirmation) Conservative: 23,300 (retest as resistance) Targets: T1: 23,200 (minor support) T2: 23,050 (50 EMA + psychological level) T3: 22,900 (weekly VWAP + gap fill) Stop Loss: Above 23,370 (failed breakdown) Confirmation Signals: RSI breaking below 50 MACD bearish crossover on 1H/4H Volume surge on breakdown 📊 SWING TRADING STRATEGY (1-4 Weeks Outlook) BULLISH SWING SCENARIO Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (pullback to 20 EMA support) Position Sizing: Build in 3 tranches 40% at 23,280 30% at 23,200 30% at 23,050 (if deeper correction) Targets: T1: 23,750 (Elliott Wave 5 target - partial profit 40%) T2: 23,950 (Measured move + Gann extension - 30%) T3: 24,200 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension - runner 30%) Stop Loss: Below 22,950 (daily close basis) Hold Duration: 2-4 weeks Ideal Setup: Bullish engulfing candle on daily chart at support RSI bounce from 40-45 zone Volume increase on bounce BEARISH SWING SCENARIO (Hedge/Counter-trend) Entry Zone: 23,480-23,550 (harmonic PRZ + Gann resistance) Confirmation Required: Bearish reversal candlestick (shooting star, evening star) RSI bearish divergence MACD bearish crossover on daily chart Break below 23,350 on closing basis Targets: T1: 23,050 (50 EMA - 40% cover) T2: 22,800 (monthly pivot - 35% cover) T3: 22,400 (200 SMA + cloud base - final 25%) Stop Loss: Above 23,650 (daily close) Risk Management: Tight stops; favor bullish bias unless clear reversal ⚡ ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS Current Count: Primary Wave: Wave 5 of larger impulse from 2022 lows Intermediate Wave: Subwave 5 of Wave 5 (terminal phase) Minor Wave: Possible wave (iv) consolidation completing Wave Projections: Wave 5 Target (Equal legs): 23,750-23,800 Wave 5 Target (1.618 extension): 24,150-24,250 Corrective Wave A Target (if reversal): 22,800-22,900 Wave C Target (full correction): 22,200-22,400 Key Insights: Wave structure suggests uptrend continuation likely Terminal wave characteristics: decreasing momentum, longer time Watch for five-wave completion signals near 23,750-24,000 zone 🔮 GANN ANALYSIS Square of 9 (from 23,000 pivot): 45° Resistance: 23,445 ⚠️ (approaching) 90° Resistance: 23,667 180° Major Resistance: 24,000 (psychological confluence) 45° Support: 23,111 90° Support: 22,889 Gann Angles (from September 2024 low): 1x1 Angle: Currently at 23,580 (equilibrium) 1x2 Angle: 23,450 (major resistance) ⚠️ 2x1 Angle: 23,100 (support) Time Cycles: Next significant Gann time window: October 8-10, 2025 (21 trading days from last pivot) Potential reversal/acceleration zone Price & Time Squaring: Price at 23,400 squares with October 7th time projection Suggests potential turning point early next week 🌊 ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO ANALYSIS Current Status (Daily Chart): Tenkan-sen (Conversion): 23,350 (flat = consolidation) Kijun-sen (Base): 23,280 (critical support) Senkou Span A: 23,100 Senkou Span B: 22,850 Chikou Span: Above price (bullish confirmation) Cloud Analysis: Price well above cloud = Strong Bull Trend Cloud thickness = robust support structure Future cloud (26 periods ahead) shows slight thinning = potential volatility increase Key Signals: TK Cross: Tenkan approaching Kijun from above (watch for bearish cross) Price vs Kijun: Trading above = bullish, but proximity suggests correction risk Chikou Span: Clear of price = trend continuation likely Ichimoku Trading Signals: Buy Signal: Pullback to 23,280-23,300 (Kijun support) with bullish rejection Sell Signal: Daily close below Kijun (23,280) with bearish TK cross Strongest Support: Cloud base at 22,850-23,100 📉 WYCKOFF MARKET CYCLE ANALYSIS Current Phase Assessment: Late Phase D (Markup) / Early Phase E Watch Characteristics Observed: Accumulation (Complete): Built solid base 22,000-22,500 (July-August) Markup Phase D: Strong advance from 22,500 to 23,400 (September-October) Distribution Signs (Emerging): Declining volume on rallies Buying Climax (BC) potential near 23,500 Automatic Reaction (AR) risk if sharp rejection occurs Secondary Test (ST) of supply likely Wyckoff Price Levels: Creek: 22,900-23,000 (major demand zone) Spring Potential: 23,480-23,550 (if false breakout occurs) Sign of Weakness (SOW): Break below 23,200 would signal distribution Trading Implications: If Markup Continues: Target 23,750-24,000 (Phase E) If Distribution Begins: First support 23,000-23,050, major 22,800 Volume Confirmation Critical: Breakouts require 30%+ above average volume Composite Operator Behavior: Likely testing supply at current levels Watch for shake-out below 23,280 to trap weak longs Absorption of supply above 23,450 needed for continuation 🎪 HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Active Pattern: Potential Bat Pattern Completion Pattern Structure: X: 22,450 (September low) A: 23,150 (interim high) B: 22,850 (retracement) C: 23,350 (rally) D (PRZ): 23,450-23,550 (reversal zone) ⚠️ Fibonacci Ratios: AB: 0.382-0.500 retracement of XA ✓ BC: 0.382-0.886 retracement of AB ✓ CD: 1.618-2.618 extension of BC (target: 23,480-23,550) XD: 0.886 retracement of XA (23,520) ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Bearish Reversal Zone: 23,450-23,550 Entry: Short on bearish reversal confirmation in PRZ Targets (if pattern activates): 38.2% CD: 23,200 61.8% CD: 22,950 100% CD: 22,650 Stop Loss: Above 23,600 (pattern invalidation) Alternative Patterns: Bullish Butterfly target at 23,750 if breakout sustains above 23,550 Gartley Pattern support at 23,050 on any correction 📊 INDICATOR SYNTHESIS RSI (Relative Strength Index): Daily: 64.8 (neutral/slightly overbought) 4H: 61.2 (neutral) 1H: 58.4 (neutral) Divergence: Bearish divergence forming on 4H/Daily (price higher highs, RSI lower highs) ⚠️ Key Levels: Overbought: >70 (not yet extreme) Oversold: <30 (correction target) Support: 50 level = trend strength gauge Bollinger Bands: Daily: Squeeze pattern (low volatility = breakout imminent) 4H: Price at upper band (23,420) = short-term extended Bandwidth: Narrowing significantly = explosive move coming (direction TBD) Strategy: Wait for band break + close outside, then enter in direction of break VWAP Analysis: Session VWAP: 23,385 (dynamic pivot) Weekly VWAP: 23,290 (critical support) Anchored VWAP (Jan 2025): 22,950 (major support) Volume Profile: Highest volume node at 23,300-23,350 (strong support/resistance flip zone) Moving Average Confluence: 20 EMA: 23,280 (immediate support) 50 EMA: 23,050 (medium-term support) 200 SMA: 22,400 (long-term trend) Alignment: Bullish across all timeframes Golden Cross: Active since August 2024 (50>200) = long-term bullish MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Daily: Bullish, but histogram declining (momentum loss) 4H: Approaching zero line (neutral) Signal: Watch for bearish crossover on 4H as early reversal warning Divergence: Confirming RSI bearish divergence on daily chart 🚨 TRAP IDENTIFICATION & AVOIDANCE BULL TRAP Risk (HIGH ALERT): ⚠️⚠️⚠️ Scenario: False breakout above 23,450-23,500 followed by sharp reversal Warning Signs: Breakout with declining volume (no conviction) Quick spike to 23,500-23,550 with long upper wicks Inability to hold above 23,450 for more than 2 hours (1H chart) RSI divergence + MACD histogram declining Break below 23,350 after failed breakout Protection Strategy: Wait for retest of breakout level before entering longs Require volume confirmation (>120% of 20-period average) Set tight stops below 23,380 if entering on breakout Reduce position size by 50% if entering in potential trap zone Bull Trap Target (if triggered): 23,000-23,050 (trap participants' stops) BEAR TRAP Risk (LOW-MODERATE): Scenario: False breakdown below 23,280 followed by sharp recovery Warning Signs: Break on low volume Quick recovery above 23,280 within 1-2 candles Strong bullish reversal candlestick at support RSI showing bullish divergence at lower levels Protection Strategy: Wait for daily close below 23,250 before aggressive shorts Watch for volume confirmation on breakdown Be ready to cover shorts if price reclaims 23,300 quickly Don't short against major support zones without confirmation 🌍 MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS Macroeconomic Considerations: ECB Policy: Dovish stance supporting equity markets German Economy: Manufacturing PMI showing signs of stabilization EUR/USD: Correlation with DAX; watch 1.08-1.10 zone US Markets: S&P 500 correlation strong; US data impacts DAX sentiment Geopolitical: Middle East tensions = safe-haven flows (moderate risk) Earnings Season: German corporate earnings (October) = potential volatility catalyst DAX constituent reporting: watch for sector rotation Seasonal Patterns: October historically volatile for European indices End-of-month portfolio rebalancing (October 31st) = potential volatility Volatility Indicators: VDAX (DAX volatility): Currently moderate ~15-16 Complacency risk if volatility spikes above 18 🎯 COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN INTRADAY TRADERS (5M - 1H Charts): Monday-Wednesday Outlook: Primary Strategy: Range trading between 23,280-23,450 Scalp Zones: Buy: 23,300-23,320 | Target: 23,380-23,400 | Stop: 23,275 Sell: 23,430-23,450 | Target: 23,370-23,350 | Stop: 23,475 Thursday-Friday Outlook: Breakout Watch: Decision time for triangle pattern If Bullish: Long 23,460+ | Target: 23,550 | Trail stop If Bearish: Short <23,270 | Target: 23,150 | Stop: 23,320 Risk Management: Maximum 1% risk per trade 2:1 minimum risk:reward No more than 3 active positions simultaneously Daily loss limit: 2% of account SWING TRADERS (4H - Daily Charts): PRIMARY SETUP: Buy the Dip Entry Zone: 23,200-23,280 (expect pullback next week) Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or hammer on daily chart Position Size: 2-3% risk per trade Targets: 23,750 (T1) | 24,000 (T2) | 24,250 (T3) Stop Loss: 22,950 (daily close basis) Time Horizon: 2-4 weeks SECONDARY SETUP: Breakout Long Entry: Break and hold above 23,480 (daily close) Confirmation: Volume >1.5x average + consecutive closes above Targets: 23,750 | 24,000 | 24,300 Stop Loss: 23,350 Hold: Trail stop to 20 EMA on daily chart HEDGE SETUP: Short from Resistance Entry: 23,500-23,550 with reversal confirmation Confirmation: Shooting star + RSI divergence + MACD cross Targets: 23,200 | 23,050 | 22,800 Stop Loss: 23,650 (strict) Position Size: 50% of normal (counter-trend) POSITION TRADERS (Weekly - Monthly Charts): Long-Term Bullish Thesis: Entry Strategy: Accumulate on corrections to 23,000-23,200 Core Position: Build over 2-3 weeks Targets: 24,000 (3-month target) 24,500 (6-month target) 25,000 (12-month psychological) Stop Loss: Weekly close below 22,600 Rationale: Elliott Wave 5 completion + breakout from multi-year consolidation Portfolio Allocation: 60% long exposure at current levels 20% cash for pullback buying 20% hedges if approaching 23,800-24,000 zone 🔔 ALERT LEVELS & NOTIFICATIONS Critical Price Alerts to Set: ✅ 23,480 (Breakout level - LONG signal) ✅ 23,450 (Harmonic PRZ - Watch for reversal) ✅ 23,350 (4H support - Breakdown warning) ✅ 23,280 (Daily 20 EMA - CRITICAL support) ✅ 23,200 (Buy zone activation) ✅ 23,050 (50 EMA - Major support test) ✅ 22,950 (Stop loss trigger for swings) Indicator Alerts: RSI crossing 70 (overbought) or 50 (weakness) MACD bearish crossover on 4H/Daily Bollinger Band break (either direction) Volume spike >150% of average 📌 CONCLUSION & BIAS Overall Bias: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH 🟢 (60% probability) Bullish Case (60%): The primary trend remains intact with price above all major moving averages and strong cloud support. The consolidation near highs is healthy, and a resolution to the upside targeting 23,750-24,000 is the path of least resistance. Elliott Wave structure suggests one more push higher to complete Wave 5. Bearish Case (20%): Declining volume, RSI divergence, and approach of major resistance (Gann, harmonic PRZ) suggest caution. A failed breakout above 23,500 could trigger a correction to 23,000-22,800. Wyckoff distribution signs require monitoring. Neutral/Range Case (20%): Continued consolidation between 23,200-23,500 for 1-2 weeks is possible as the market digests recent gains and awaits economic catalysts. Best Trading Approach: Intraday: Range trade 23,280-23,450 until breakout Swing: Wait for pullback to 23,200-23,280 for optimal risk:reward longs Position: Maintain core long exposure with stops below 22,800 Key Success Factors: Patience: Wait for high-probability setups at defined levels Discipline: Honor stop losses without exception Flexibility: Adapt to price action; market is always right Confirmation: Require volume and indicator alignment before major trades 🎓 FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS For Aggressive Traders: Trade both sides of the range Quick profits (50-100 points) Tight stops (50-80 points) High frequency (5-10 trades/week) For Conservative Traders: Wait for 23,200-23,280 pullback Larger position size with better risk:reward Wider stops (150-200 points) Target 23,750+ for 1:3+ reward Low frequency (1-2 trades/month) For Long-Term Investors: Accumulate on any dip toward 23,000 Hold through minor volatility Target 24,500+ over 3-6 months Stop only on weekly close <22,600 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX: Sideways at ATH, Q3 Coil → Q4 Pop?Since May the DAX has moved sideways at/near all-time highs. Q3 has been chop as expected, but momentum hasn’t broken—buyers keep defending the 23.4–23.7k shelf. I’m leaning into seasonality and prior behavior: staying long for a push into quarter-end, then I’ll reassess. Plan on scaling out into 24,500 → 24,600 → 24,700 (ATH supply), with risk tucked below the recent range floor. Technicals • Structure: Multi-month range at the highs; no decisive lower-low. The 4H view shows repeated rejections of a minor descending supply line while the base at ~23,6xx keeps holding. • Entry zone: 23,620–23,720 (range support / prior VWAP shelf). • Invalidation: daily close below 23,200–23,300 (range break). • Targets: 24,000 (psych), 24,300 (mid-supply), 24,600 (ATH line from your chart). • Breadth/rotation clues (dashboard): Financials firm, tech mixed, autos soft; overall market still balanced rather than risk-off—consistent with consolidation, not reversal. • Tape feel: Repeated “muted opens” with buyers showing up later in the session fits the grind-higher playbook into month/quarter end. Fundamentals • Macro tone: US risk appetite improved after the Fed’s first cut, even as Powell tempered hopes of an aggressive path—enough to cap deep corrections but still supportive of equities. European desk notes point to a restrained start, not a bear impulse. • Germany specifics: Headlines flag auto-sector warnings (VW/Porsche) weighing on sentiment, but banks and select industrials offset—matching the mixed sector board rather than broad deterioration. • Flows/seasonality: Quarter-end & Q4 seasonality often favor indices that have consolidated at highs; with DAX still ~1k points off the record, a range breakout toward 24.3k–24.65k is a reasonable path before re-calibrating. • Risks to thesis: Another round of negative guidance from autos, hotter-than-expected US data re-pricing fewer cuts, or a clean daily close below 23.2k (range failure). Trade what’s on the chart, respect the invalidation, and pay yourself into strength. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by AR33_
GER40 Critical Level: Which Way Will It Break?📊 GER40 Critical Breakout Analysis Hello Guys, By popular demand, I’ve prepared a GER40 analysis. Every single follower matters to me, and that’s why I’m sharing this breakdown with you. 🔹 Buy scenario: Price needs to break above 23,895 and close a candle there. 🔹 Sell scenario: Price needs to drop below 23,278 and close a candle under it. I’ll be watching both levels closely. Once a breakout happens, I’ll update you right away. Every like is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks to everyone supporting me!
ICMARKETS:DE40
by TraderTilki
3
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsCAPITALCOM:US100 The trendline I drew on the lower timeframe yesterday worked perfectly, and price is still respecting it. We did see a break, but right after that, a Bearish FVG and a Breaker Block formed. This trendline will remain my pilot line for analysis. NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊 On the daily chart, the FVG formed on Sep 15th has been revisited, but price couldn't hold in this zone and was quickly rejected. The trendline I've drawn is still active and guiding the move. ⚡️Volatility note: Daily volatility is starting to compress (blue print on my model), meaning the next breakout move could expand strongly. If price breaks above the trendline with momentum, buyers may look beyond 24,650 toward 24,720–24,800 before reevaluating. If rejection holds, compressed volatility could fuel an accelerated drop into the 24,520 → 24,440 FVG zone, and possibly 24,300. 🦖 If a bullish candle closes back above the trendline, I’ll be looking at 24,650 as a buy trigger. A confirmed break here could open the door toward 24,720 → 24,780 liquidity levels. 🐼 If sellers keep control below the trend, downside targets remain at the FVGs around 24,520 → 24,440, and potentially 24,300 (Discount PD Array). ⚡️ Bottom line: Today’s US data (Chicago PMI, JOLTS, Consumer Confidence) + multiple FOMC speeches will likely decide direction. 📉 Hot data or hawkish tone → sellers push deeper. 📈 Softer numbers or dovish Fed comments → bulls may retest higher levels.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by iamtradingdon
DAX (GER40) – New Short SetupThe DAX is currently trading around 24,150. On the 4-hour chart, price has dropped below the 10 EMA (red line) and failed to reclaim it, which is a bearish signal. The short-term EMAs (yellow and green) are flattening and starting to turn down, showing weakening bullish momentum. Trade Setup Entry: Around 24,150 – 24,160 Stop Loss: Above 24,224 (recent local high) Target 1 (T1): 24,000 Target 2 (T2): 23,488 Target 3 (T3): 23,053 Why I’m Short Price is now trading weak, also Nasdaq shows signs of a drop - which usually signals bearish momentum. Multiple failed attempts to reclaim the moving averages show that buyers are losing strength. The targets are based on clear historical support levels that have been tested multiple times. Summary I’m looking for a short entry around 24,150 – 24,160, with targets at 24,000, 23,488, and 23,053. If price breaks above 24,224 with conviction, the setup becomes invalid. No financial advice – just my personal trade idea.
VANTAGE:GER40Short
by Maxxchineee
10
DAX/GER - PREPARE TO SHORT on DAX market opening Team, We all know that the European Union and the United States agreed on Sunday to a broad trade deal that sets a 15 per cent tariff on most E.U. goods, including cars and pharmaceuticals. The 27-nation bloc also agreed to increase its investment in the United States by more than $600 billion above current levels. If the DEAL does not go through, it would be nasty to the market—especially to the Europeans, who are likely to get hurt by the export cost to the United States, especially the Car. The EUROPEAN is currently facing many challenges from Chinese car manufacturing. We have been trading very well with the DAX in the past. We expect that when the market opens, we should short-range at 24530-60 - GET READY. Stop loss at 24620-50 Please NOTE: once the price pulls back toward 24475-50, bring our STOP LOSS TO BE (Break even) Our 1st target at 24425-24400 2nd Target at 24350-24300 Last Friday, in OUR LIVE TRADING, we mentioned that LONG DAX at 24100
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
8
DAX/GER30 - TIME TO SHORT AT CURRENT PRICETeam, great win for the US30 on trade surplus 26 billion last month expect to have great trade surplus over 300 billion the Japanese went crazy 3.5% due to tariff drop from 25% down to 15% The whole market has been pumping We find an opportunity to SHORT THE DAX/GER 30 at the current level 24543-24556 STOP LOSS AT 24650 WITH TARGET at 24360-24320 PLEASE NOTE: once the price drop below 24500, bring stop loss to BE to protect your trade. STICK TO THE PLAN.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
DAX / GER TIME TO PRINT MONEY ON SHORTTeam, i have not been posting DAX/GER for almost 3-4 weeks now it is time to attack the DAX. I have set two different target , ensure you take 60% and bring stop loss to BE I also want to give you the time frame for target to hit.. do not expect today, however we could see the target for tomorrow or early next week Sometimes i wait for the right moment to trade. DAX is very sophisticated to trade with, but if you have the patience, you can make money on them.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
2
Surprising ups and downs in global indicesJune brought contrasting moves across global stock markets: while the U.S. and Asia posted gains, Europe struggled under pressure. Rising tensions between Iran and Israel, political instability in the EU, and shifting rate expectations fueled volatility. In search of stability, investors turned to U.S. tech and exporters — pushing the S&P 500 (#SP500) and Nasdaq 100 (#NQ100) higher. Key market movers in June: • #SP500 (+0.96%), Dow Jones (#DJI30) (+0.89%), #NQ100 (+0.94%) – buoyed by dovish Fed tone and Iran’s restrained response to U.S. strikes. #Tesla surged 8.2%, with #IBM also among top gainers. • Hong Kong 50 (#HSI) (+3%) – lifted by strong retail data and hopes of new stimulus from China. • Australia 200 (#ASX) (+1.25%) – boosted by RBA rate cut expectations and strong tech sector performance. • France 40 (#CAC40) (–2.76%) – weighed down by political risks and weakness in luxury stocks. • Europe 50 (#ESTX50) (–1.8%) – hurt by soft ECB tone and weaker business activity. • DAX 30 (#DAX30) (–3%) – pressured by weak industrial data and fading Chinese demand. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 continue to rise on solid macro data, a softer Fed stance, and strong earnings from major tech players. Analysts at FreshForex believe investor confidence in the U.S. recovery supports the ongoing bullish trend.
NYSE:IBM
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DAX/GER - TIME TO KILLHi everyone, I have been very patience on DAX last week, we kill them nicely and now we are waiting for them to hit our short zone and kill more when you look at the chart, ensure to add extra short at those price ranges. There will be two target 70-110 points - take 50% profit and bring stop loss to BE Aim for second target between 120-230 points Today we did LIVE trading on NAS and very profitable. In fact everyday we kill the market well. Hope everyone making millions
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
From Euphoria to Exhaustion: DAX 8H Short LoadedAfter an impressive rally, DAX has now returned to its previous highs. But this upward move looks more like an engineered push rather than a healthy breakout. From a technical and sentiment-based perspective, it feels overextended. That’s why I initiated a short position from this level. No need to predict the top—just follow the setup and manage risk. Technicals: • Price has returned to previous highs after a sharp V-shaped recovery. • The rally lacks structure—no clear consolidation or volume support. • We’re also near a historical EQ level that has acted as a turning point before. Fundamentals: • Philips cut its 2025 profit margin forecast citing U.S. tariffs as a major drag—this isn’t an isolated signal. • Hugo Boss and other exporters confirmed revenue weakness due to U.S. trade tensions, adding to the bearish bias for European equities. • President Trump’s warning about additional tariffs on pharmaceuticals could severely affect key European sectors. • Global trade uncertainty and tariff retaliation fears have returned. These external shocks are significant for export-heavy indices like the DAX. • With the Fed’s policy decision pending and no concrete trade deals, markets are shaky. Sentiment remains fragile. This isn’t just a chart move — it’s a narrative setup. Markets can push higher on euphoria, but engineered rallies without backing tend to snap. I don’t need to catch the top perfectly — just be in when reality bites back. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by AR33_
2
DAX GE40 on the Move! Bullish Trend Breakdown + Trade PlanI'm currently watching the GER40 / DAX 🇩🇪📈 and can see it’s been in a strong bullish trend on the weekly timeframe 🕒🔥. Price is pushing into new highs 🚀, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity based on this bullish momentum 💪. However, since we don’t have previous structure levels to work from 📉⛔, we're using the Fibonacci extension tool 🔢📐 — focusing on two key levels for potential take profit targets 🎯💰. In the video, we break all of this down — including the trend, price action, market structure, and the full trade idea 🧠📊: entry 🎯, stop loss 🛑, and targets 🎯✅. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by fxtraderanthony