GOLD ANALYSIS BASED ON REAL SMART MONEY ORDERS (11/10/2025)💛 Welcome to Trade with DECRYPTERS! ( 11/10/2025)
Your trusted source for Smart Money insights, Real-Time Levels & Market Direction.
Let’s decode what’s driving GOLD this week 👇
#GoldSurge #GoldPrice #SafeHaven #PreciousMetals #CentralBankBuy #USDIndex #GoldTrading #GlobalMacro #USChinaTrade #FedWatch #MarketPulse #TradeWithDecrypters
📊 Market Pulse
Gold surged +1.85% to $4,074.92/oz on Nov 10, 2025, rebounding sharply from Friday’s ~$4,000 close.
This move came amid US-China trade talks, geopolitical tensions, and reduced Fed rate-cut expectations — fueling another wave of safe-haven demand.
💹 DXY (~100.20) ticked higher but capped further gains as traders weighed mixed Fed signals and trade optimism.
🏦 Central Banks continued heavy accumulation, with Q3 2025 demand hitting 1,313 tonnes ($146 B) — led by China’s 11th straight month of buying and Poland’s diversification push.
These flows continue to support prices even as the dollar firms.
🌍 Geopolitics & Safe-Haven Demand
⚔️ U.S.–China tensions + Mideast conflicts are boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
📈 ETF inflows stand at +619 tonnes YTD, while physical bar & coin demand jumped +17% YoY to 316 tonnes in Q3.
Investors remain defensive, building exposure across multiple gold-linked assets as volatility picks up.
🔎 What to Watch Next
📅 Nov 12 – U.S. CPI Report (~3.0% core expected)
→ Hotter data = Fed pause → short-term pressure on gold
📅 Nov 13 – U.S. PPI & Jobless Claims
→ Softer labor data = higher rate-cut odds → bullish for gold
⚡ Bonus Triggers:
Any U.S.–China trade breakthroughs or Middle East escalations could spark quick volatility spikes off nearby support zones.
🧭 Technical Framework (Smart Money Map)
💰 Current Price: ~$4,075 (+1.85% / 24h)
📉 Volatility Range: $4,020 – $4,100
Smart Money Sell Area: $4,080 – $4,100
→ Institutional resistance cluster – watch for rejection
Scalp Sell Zone: $4,050 – $4,065
→ Ideal for short-term liquidity fades
Scalp Buy Zone: $4,020 – $4,030
→ Minor bounce region
Smart Money Buy Pool: $3,980 – $4,000
→ Key accumulation zone for institutional bids
🎯 Conclusion – Bullish Bias with Pullback Risks
Gold’s strong rebound shows safe-haven and central-bank support still dominate, even as DXY limits upside.
Trend bias remains bullish, but expect controlled pullbacks within the current consolidation.
📊 Above $4,100 → targets $4,200 +
📉 Below $4,020 → tests $3,980–$4,000 buy zone
💬 Trade Smart — Trade with DECRYPTERS ⚡
Gold surge, safe-haven demand, central-bank buying, USD index, U.S.–China trade, Fed rate-cut expectations, geopolitical risk, ETF inflows, physical bullion, Smart Money map.
Decrypters
The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters!
DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS )
Central Bank Buying
Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026.
ETF Inflows & Sentiment
Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+.
Macro & Geopolitical Events
Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow.
Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI.
Silver Deficit
Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops
Futures & Options Flow
CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes
Fundamentals & Forecast
Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
Gold Fundamentals | Smart Money Buy Zones (10/21/2025)BELOW IS DETAILED ANALYSIS ON GOLD (10/21/2025)
Central Bank Buying Surge 🏦
Central banks, especially from BRICS nations, added 77% more gold reserves in 2025, hitting record highs and pushing prices up amid de-dollarization fears.
🥇 Silver benefits indirectly as industrial demand grows 17% YoY from solar and EVs.
This trend could add $200-300/oz to gold by year-end.
ETF Inflows Hit $41B 📈💸
Gold ETFs saw $38B inflows in H1 2025, strongest since 2020, while silver ETFs added $3.6B (95M oz).
This reflects retail and institutional flight to safety, but overbought RSI warns of 5-10% pullback risk soon ⚠️.
Silver Deficit Deepens ⚙️🥈
Cumulative silver deficit reached 750M oz over 4 years (75% of annual supply), driven by booming industrial use in renewables.
Expect prices to test $55+ if deficits persist into 2026 💥.
Latest Tweets from Key Figures Impacting Gold/Silver 🐦
Influencers warn Trump’s tariffs could spike silver to $60 on supply chain chaos.
highlights Fed dovishness fueling $4,300 gold breakouts amid trade war fears.
Option Inflows💬📊
SLV open interest peaks at Oct 17/Nov 21 expiries, with put IV at 62.9% vs call 53.8% at $46 strike showing downside hedge bets amid tariff buzz.
Net bullish $36M call premium at $49-50 strikes signals $55 targets if squeeze hits 🚀.
Latest Geopolitical Events 🌎🔥
US-China tensions escalate with new export controls on rare earths and batteries, driving safe-haven buys
gold tops $4,300, silver $54.
Russia-Ukraine stalemate and Middle East flares add volatility,
but BRICS de-dollarization supports long-term uptrend 🏦.
Latest Fundamentals 📊💵
Gold up 58% YTD on inflation hedges and $38B ETF inflows;
silver surges 79% from 1B oz supply deficit and 17% industrial demand growth.
Fed rate cuts lower holding costs, targeting gold $4,400 and silver $57 by mid-2026 🎯.
Current Prices (as of Oct 21, 2025) ⏰💰
Gold spot: $4,362 USD/oz, up 0.10% today and 16.41% monthly.
Silver spot: $51.20 USD/oz, down 5.6% from $54.47 record but up 74% YTD.
Conclusion 💎
Gold and silver are in a strong bull run, fueled by trade wars, Fed easing, and supply shortages ideal for safe-haven plays.
XAU/USD | GOLD OVER ALL PLAN ( SMART MONEY ) DECRYPTERS
Welcome to DECRYPTERS !
NOTE:- PLEASE READ FULL DESCRIPTION BEFORE CONCLUDING ANY THING
upon analyzing gold over all trendi is bullish due to several factors
why to buy gold ?
building narrative because of followings:-
1 - geo political situation
2- banks demands for gold
3- inflation issues in us
4- japan currency devaluing issue
5 -brics
6 -infaltonun certanity
7- gold silver ratio
smart money hates uncenrtanity , so they are buying alot of it
over all gold is bullsih in yearly / monthly /weekly charts ( for now)
Previously :-
from 2432 2277 -2295 were called and we took buy live on our yt from those levels
there was little hurdle at the area of 2313-2325 (as shown above in chart)
now the hurdle is flipped overcome we are expecting bullish prices on gold until new all time high
Forecasted gold projections based upon following :-
Gold buying reasons at level of (2360 - 2374)
1 - Downward tredn-line from previous all time high( shown in yellow color)
2- Two green horizontal lines (advanced smart money level)
3 - Bullish parallel channel (which supports the smart money level and trend line)
4- The white line is showing trajectory ( of the expected move)
5- Volume profile and Volume Analysis (VSA) Also supporting buying Auction
CORRELATION:-
1- Dxy losses recover from previous days causing gold to (range + bearish)
2 -us10 y recover its losses previous days causing gold to (range + bearish)
3- cpi and ppi data cool down effect
4 - No major news to make dxy $$ bearish until end of week( important point )
5 -Silver local top adding confluence as well
6- Gold vs silver ratio ( above 80 ) meaning very high demand for gold in metal industry
7- new war or tension news is expected to give gold strentgh soon( in macro picture )
ASTROLOGICAL ASPECT:-
as per astrology we are bullish on gold untill 21st of may ( approximate date)
what will happen after that ? ? will gold fall ? will gold rise ?~
Stay tuned with decrypters for the update
Thanks for reading the post and be with us till now , plz press like button if you like the post
"Regards Decrypters"
XAU/USD | GOLD OVER ALL PLAN ( SMART MONEY ) DECRYPTERS Welcome to DECRYPTERS !
NOTE:- PLEASE READ FULL DESCRIPTION BEFORE CONCLUDING ANY THING
UPON ANALYZING GOLD OVER ALL TRENDI IS BULLISH DUE TO SEVERAL FACTORS
1 - GEO POLITICAL SITUATION
2- BANKS DEMANDS FOR GOLD
3- INFLATION ISSUES IN US
4- JAPAN CURRENCY DEVALUING ISSUE
5 BRICS
6 -INFALTONUN CERTANITY
SMART MONEY HATES UNCENRTANITY , SO THEY ARE BUYING ALOT OF IT
OVER ALL GOLD IS BULLSIH IN YEARLY / MONTHLY /WEEKLY CHARTS ( FOR NOW)
FOR Now gold is moving in 4 H desecnding channel once it Reaches 2215 - 2225 Area we may see rejection from there . in case if its Flip the Area we may see possible up side Even new All time highs too
The down side area 2225 - 2240 we have yearly V WAP Area there as well
The projected path of that is shown in chart Even
Alot of confluences at that area as POI for trade
Thanks for reading the post and be with us till Now , Plz Press Like button if you like the post
"REGARDS DECRYPTERS"
XAU USD | GOLD | DECRYPTERSGREETINGS people Welcome to "TEAM DECRYPTERS"
Lets Get to the ANALYSIS AND DECODE THE MARKETS ;)
FEW TECHNICALS TO CONSIDER :-
1- ELLIOT WAVE CORECTIVE STRUCTURE
2- DECEDNING TRAINGLE
3 - POSSIBLE H & S ON DAILY / WEEKLY
4- BEARISH ORDER FLOW
5 - SMC INDICATIONS FOW DOWN SIDE AS WELL
6- WE Expecting MONTHLY AS BEARISH FOR GOLD
FUNDAMENTALS IN FAVOUR :-
1- DXY TARGET 105 -107 ( So we Are Expecting Gold to Be Consolidating or Bearish )
2- We Are Expecting 1 MORE RATE HIKE OF 25 BPS So gold seems Bearish
3- Rate cuts Surprise Matter will Add Additional Fuel to it ( AS We Expect Rates to be Held MUCH longer At least MARCH - JUNE 2024)
4- Banks Still Need to Book profits on Their positions and also to get GOLD On Cheaper prices In order to USE As collateral
5- Risk of Recession Getting Lower can *PRICED OUT* The effect of Gold bullishness
FUNDAMENTALS FROM COUNTER BIAS :-
1 - BANKS RUNS / COLLAPSE CAN MAKE Counter Move-
2- "Margin call" ( No Data posting on this Matter)-
3 - Any Sort of Geopolitical Dis Order ( EXP :- WAR)-
NOTE :- We Can Retrace 300 - 400 PIPS ON Upside But it still Will be Valid (considering 1900 ISH level ) Hope it Helps you all in Your long Term view and Analysis
DXY | JPY | CREDIT EVENT | DECRYPTERS Hi People Welcome to Team " DECRYPTERS"
SO we Have 3 Main events this Week Lets Get A DEEP DIVE IN TO THEM
1- FED :- FED RATE HIKES ( PRICED IN ) + PRESS CONFERENCE ( HAWKISH )
AS we predicted Last time what Ever Happen Rate hikes will be increased we still stand by our words . Lets go further Either we are Getting 50 BPS This time or We are Getting 25 BPS next time
WHY Is That So ... ??
The Attached Charts shows the overall level of financial conditions in an economy The conditions are on Same levels When FED was ABOUT to hike Rates Meaning .
Further more —Dot plots , Fed curves ,GSUSCFI Index and Bloom Berg Index & Fall in Credit spread "ALL" Indicating ease in financial system Meaning this Data provide Evidence that FED Can increase More Interest Rates As Credit spread also falling to positive signal for economy
— Rise In commodity Prices Like (RBAB Gasoline) Indicates more higher Prices in Energy sectors.
— Lastly Good inflation trading above 20 years average & CPI Also printing higher on Y/Y Basis.
2- EURO RATE HIKES :-
THIS comes With same Expectations Rate hikes + Hawkish Stance with & Lagarde speech.
Lets Discuss JPY NEWS ON FRIDAY
3- BOJ REPORT :-
A surprise can be Expected From Other Side Like
They can Increase the range of "10 -years JGB" 50 BPS TO 75 /100 BPS
( BOND BUYING BACK PROGRAM) This will Cause bonds Prices to Rise / Yields to Fall &
"JPY TO GET WEAKEN"
—Other yield can React Negatively To IT ( LIKE US -10 YEAR)
QQQ | EU | AJ | BTC | DECRYPTERS Hi welcome to Team Decrypters
Here is our Analysis of 4 pairs On how we are expecting the market to Move
1 - BITCOIN
2- NASDAQ
3- AUDJPY
4 - EUR USD
THIS IS OVER AL LBIAS ONLY WE TRADE WHEN THERE WILL BE SETUP , ITS ONLY TO BE TAKEN AS TRADING PLANS
1- NASDAQ is on good level to sell
2- AUDJPY Good levels to Sell
3- Bitcoins good levels to Sell is Near 27k ( US is coming Hard on crypto , Time for the End of Bear market Rally )
4- Aud jpy we wait for this pair to give us Trade ( JPY MONETRY policy will soon be in Favor of currency thats our chance to Enter )
Personal View :- Plz refer to last post description about FED and its Relation to Nasdaq , I Really Think we will go Down but some More Damage is Needed First
I Even Think we will see Crash on NASDAQ sooner or later
XAUUSD | GOLD | DECRYPTERS HI Welcome to Team Decrypters
First of keep this in MIND this analysis is on Daily
Now for this week :-
This Week we have FED meetings + Press conference
This Meeting + Press conference will be the Most important Meeting for this whole year in my opinion so
There are 2 scenarios
1- Either FED Skip JUNE and Increase Rate in next Month -
2- They incre4ase This month and Keep Higher Rate till first quarter of 2024-
Either way they have to Increase Rates as 6 out of 7 of the Fed’s inflation measures are flashing Red
Both will push Recession which is Also immanent in my opinion
MY PERSONAL OPINION:- we see DXY down till FOMC and than we see RIDE to the Up side
In OUR VIP we trade Any thing long / Short what ever Market Gives
EITHER WE GO UP AND THAN DOWN LEVELS |OR| WE GO DIRECTLY DOWN FROM THIS RANGE
GU | NJ | XAG | EU | DECRYPTERS Hi people welcome to Team Decrypters Analysis
We did include DIFF PAIRS
Over all Little correction of JPY PAIRS ( NZDJPY included in chart )
SIGNIFICANT IMPULSIVVE MOVE TO THE UPSIDE IN GBP USD
SIGNIFICANT IMPULSIVVE MOVE TO THE UPSIDE IN EUR USD
SIGNIFICANT IMPULSIVVE MOVE TO THE UPSIDE IN SILVER
EXPERT OPINION FROM DECRYPTERS :- ALL THESE UP SIDE MOVE ARE SELLING OPPORTUNITY AND DOWN SIDE MOVE ON JPY PAIRS ARE BUYING OPPORTUNITY
XAUUSD | GOLD | DECRYPTERS Hi people welcome to Team Decrypters
We are expecting TREND REVERSAL IN GOLD we are sellers in GOLD
Because the Objective of liquidity is yet to come
liquidity is Grabbed it will be distributed
A possible intraday buy should be possible for now from lower levels ( 1962 -1978 )
CHF JPY | LIQUIDITY | DECRYPTERS HI welcome to Team Decrypters
== > We Are Expecting A down ward move for CHF JPY
--Double Top.
--End of Elliot Wave cycle ( So expect Bearish Correction ).
--ABC Corrective Move to Followed.
--DATA Based Bearishness.
--Divergences Along with Initial market structure Shift on HTF.
MY OPINION :- JPY will be Stronger SOON RELATIVELY
XAUUSD | GOLD | DECRYPTERS Hi People Welcome To Decrypters
Last Friday :- Due to News DXY covered Already some losses from Last week
Monday :- will be A recovery move with Respect to Friday Move
Over All it was profit taking move , Not a selling move ( Which SURELY can continue more down side )
It Doesn't mean though you can't sell ,GOLD is Over all bullish in LONG TERM IN EVERY HTF CHART ,SO more positions will be Added on the Down side
(We also added link to previous Analysis as yo can see we posted Analysis before news the 5th wave "SHOULD "be "COMPLETED")
Related to previous Analysis :-
The corrective A wave was played
B will be played as retracement to the Up side
C will be continuous move to the Down side
Fundamentals :-
1- Banks need to buy At Discount
2- They need to close longs for profit taking
3- Banks Effect is already Suppressed for now
4- USD will be save by FED for shorter Term ( AT LEAST FOR 6 - 12 WEEKS OVER ALL )
5- Coming Recession should give GOLD A Down Move As well
IMP SIDE NOTE :- We told you in previous Analysis till 12 APRIL GOLD is in buying Scenario , NOW WE Are telling you to look more in to sells "OVER ALL " ( There will be up Days for sure over all it will be down side in coming 6 - 10 Weeks )
ALSO note The Analysis of APRIL 10 will give you Clear IDEA of whole 6 - 12 Weeks if you read and unds all info you'll be benefited for sure
NAS100 | RECESSION |DECRYPTERSHi Welcome to Team Decrypters
The Chart Aligns completely with "FAMOUS Wall street cheat sheet"
What Features coincides with charts ??
1-It give a proper DIP
2-A HUGE MULTI Y ear Rally
3 -Covid Crash Dip
4-Top Blow
5- Creating low and than Lower LOW
6-Multi months consolidations ( with in a continuation Pattern)
Lastly , Using Pure Technical niche we get Target :- "HEIGHT of Flag" = "Target of Flag"
Surprisingly That Target is Exactly on the top of COVID PEAK
Which further Aligns with FED PRINTING OF MONEY , So FED need to Fill that GAP
For example:- if you input 100kW of Energy and The out put will be Same 100KW ( in Other form)
The printed Money should Be Reversed in Same Way
Fundamental Reason :- We think if Recession comes which will make $$$$ TO RALLY ABOUT 8% -12 %
Fed Agree with recession Also they need Strong $$ to crush economy , making consumer confidence Down and thus making consumer spending Down as well
"CAUSING STOCK MARKET CRASH "
NOTE :- THIS MULTI MONTHS PLAN ONLY USED BE USED AS A "QUARTERLY BIAS"






















