Deere & Company (NYSE: $DE) Stock: Q3 Drop After Earnings Deere & Company (NYSE: NYSE:DE ) traded sharply lower after releasing Q3 CY2025 results that showed strong revenue growth but weakening margins and softer forward guidance. The stock closed at $498.13 and dropped more than 5% after market open, falling to $478.78 pre-market. Management cut full-year earnings expectations, signaling continued pressure across agriculture and construction markets.
Revenue for Q3 reached $12.39 billion, beating estimates and rising 33.6% year over year. EPS of $3.93 also topped expectations but declined from $4.55 last year, highlighting ongoing cost pressures. Deere reduced its FY25 earnings outlook to $4.00–$4.75 billion, well below the market’s $5 billion expectation. Executives cited slow demand, elevated inventory levels, and weakness in large-equipment spending.
Long-term trends show deceleration. Revenue grew at 5.4% annually over the last five years, but the past two years saw declines of 14.4% annually. All segments—Production & Precision Agriculture, Construction & Forestry, and Small Agriculture & Turf—posted year-on-year revenue drops. Despite this, the latest quarter showed a recovery in activity, and analysts expect 14% revenue growth next year.
Margins remain a concern. Deere’s five-year average operating margin of 19.9% narrowed significantly. Q3 margin fell to 10.9%, down from 15.6% a year ago. Free-cash-flow margin also tightened sharply, falling from 47.4% to 14.3%. While buybacks helped EPS growth over the past decade, earnings have weakened for two consecutive years.
Management expects FY26 to mark the bottom of the agriculture cycle, projecting net income of $4.00–$4.75 billion. Markets reacted cautiously as guidance cut overshadowed the Q3 beat.
Technically, DE trades around $471 near an ascending trendline. Key support sits at $413, while major resistance remains at $533. A breakout above $533 would confirm recovery momentum.
Deere
DE Deere & Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DE Deere & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 510usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $8.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
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DE Deere & Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold DE before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DE Deere & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 400usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-23,
for a premium of approximately $4.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DE Deere & Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DE Deere & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 377.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-12-15,
for a premium of approximately $9.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CAT Swing Long Reversal UPDATECAT is now bottoming for a SALE just in time for seasonal construction and agricultural upticks.
The long view is a long uptrend that started in September and ended with a lousy earnings report in
early February. The beatdown is now ending perhaps for fundamental reasons including CAT
has cash and down not need high-interest rate costs.
See the chart for the analysis. See also the previous idea. Check DE.
I see this as an intermediate-term swing long or investment or a good choice for a long expiration
call contract of options.
Double top on Deere & Company (DE)With Caterpillar and Deere both reporting stellar earnings and DE being up 57% in last 5 months, add the double top to the mix, this seems like a great opportunity to start a small size short position for both short term and long term swing traders. Short term, we could see a pullback to 400$, long term, this is going back to minimum 300$ within the next year.
Deere and Co Continues to Meet with Gravity. DEWe are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
$DE Deere and company back to the $200s?Deere and company looks like it's rolling over from a breakout above resistance at $392. If price breaks back below the blue trendline, then it sets up the possibility for sharp downside in the coming weeks.
I think that we'll likely find support at $276 which is the 50% retracement from the move. Let's see how it plays out.
DE Deere weekly short ideaDeere recently reported earnings causing sellers to step in last week for a -6% rejection on an attempted box breakout.
In my opinion, Deere looks like distribution and at the very least, should continue to see more downside in the coming weeks - Typically after a failed breakout price should retest lower box support or $327 zone.
With Russia / Ukraine, CPI and Fed rate hike head winds, I like the R/R on a short trade here.
I'm in APR $350 Puts with -25% premium stop, target is $327 zone.
Deere in HeadlightsOn the monthly, weekly, and daily, DE does not look good. It may seem like a Bull pennant but I believe this is a long distribution. The newest weekly close is a rejection of the top trendline. I expect it to retest the bottom of the trendline and, if the overall market is doing poorly, then DE will fail to bottom out and fall off a cliff. Price action is the biggest determinant here. The RSI, MACD, and moving averages do not suggest a bullish breakout but are more lukewarm in their current status. The newest weekly candle closing bearish is, for me, a signal that DE will now fall.
Oh Deere!!! Option stratBelow the 200ma left out in the cold parabolic sars start shining in the night sky like little pin points of the cosmos crying. The MACD fell below the signal - leaving the little Deere to suffer and ushering in a time of depression - a dark dark place but hey it’s GREAT FOR OUR WALLETS!!! oh yah liking the
8-13 $360 puts. Price Target $353-352
Is DE oversold? Yes!It looks like DE is extremely oversold, and this might be interesting. We have a divergence on the RSI in the 30min chart. It is not the best, but it is a start. We also have a rounded bottom idea, and only DE loses its bottom the trade will fail. Small stop-loss, high reward.
The RSI in the 4h chart is extremely oversold as well, and DE went outside the BB for a moment, and now it is closing inside them again.
All of this is occurring near a support area at 331. It is a very risky “buy the dip” kind of trade, but DE can bounce back to the 350, and this makes a good risk-reward for me. Always remember, it is oversold, but this doesn't mean it can't drop more, so, always protect yourself, and use tight stop-losses!
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See you soon,
Melissa.
$DE pulling back down to Fibonacci support levelsDeere earnings on 5/21
- has fallen in price due to market weakness
- investors likely will runup stock prices to ER and maybe beyond?
- Long-term hold or options play.
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