DOGE Bullish Structure in Play (4H)Market makers have aggressively dumped and pumped the price in sharp moves. They don’t want you to easily ride profitable waves; instead, they aim to stop you out or lure you into entering at a point where, after getting in, you’ll feel psychological pressure. The goal is to make you uncomfortable so that during the next bullish move, you exit the trade prematurely before the real bullish expansion begins due to stress or doubt.
That’s why patience is essential when entering a position. You need to wait and select optimal entry zones. Even if the price moves higher and doesn’t give you a clean entry, that is still far better than chasing the market emotionally and then suffering psychological pressure afterward.
You need to think more strategically. The natural behavior of candles and price action is constant movement up and down. The key is to enter positions intelligently, not emotionally.
At the moment, the price is trading above key levels, and we’ve recently seen a strong bullish move with solid momentum on the chart. In addition, there is a bullish CH (Change of Character) present. Both the price structure and momentum clearly support buy/long positions.
There is also a liquidity pool above the current price action, which DOGE can potentially sweep. For this reason, we are looking for buy/long opportunities around support zones.
We have identified two potential entry points for buy/long positions, where we should enter using a DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) approach directly on the chart.
The targets have already been clearly marked on the chart as well.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will negate this analysis.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
Dogecoin
BTCUSDT | Current targets! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 2H chart of BTCUSDT, it has been going up and down between the IFVG and the Demand Zone, no clear view of how and when it'll make a move.
In a prior analysis, I had mentioned that the bullish target were 88400, 89000 and 90400. BTC reached the first 2 targets but failed to go for the 3rd one.
For the time being, these are the bullish targets for BTC: 88,225, 88700, 89200 and 89700.
Bearish targets: 87,700, 87,250, 86,700 and 86,250.
DOGEUSDT | On a bullish run! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, same as the other cryptocurrencies, DOGEUSDT has been on bullish run, going from 0.11782 all the way to 0.14498, and reaching the low of the Supply Zone and a little bit of correction afterwards. Currently Doge is being traded at 0.14270, and I expect it to test the supply zone again.
Targets for Doge: 0.14350, 0.14500, 0.14650 and 0.14800.
ROAD TO 15 CENTS (4h)ROAD TO 15 CENTS
We can be hopeful that after breaking out of the wedge, we will see significant price growth.AB=CD
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DOGEUSDT – 4H Chart UpdateDOGEUSDT – 4H Chart Update
Still bearish, but momentum is weakening
The price is holding a strong demand zone (0.120 – 0.115) after a prolonged downtrend.
Descending trendline is being tested
Volatility compression near support → decision zone
Repeated rejections from lower levels show selling pressure exhaustion
Support: 0.120 – 0.115 (critical)
Invalidation: Below 0.112
Resistance: 0.135 – 0.150
Breakout zone: 0.160+ → opens room toward 0.20
⚠️ Extreme fear environment = patience > prediction
DYOR | NFA
#DOGE/USDT is about to blast off! Study internet bubble stocks.#DOGE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.2520, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.2658
First target: 0.2727
Second target: 0.2835
Third target: 0.2947
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
TON/USDT | Weak momentum (READ THE CAPTION)In the 4H chart of TONUSDT we can see that after it hit the Bullish Breaker, it went up and it is now being traded at 1.635. However, the bullish momentum is still weak and we are yet to see a strong move from TON.
Current bullish targets: 1.693, 1.761 and 1.830.
7 period fractals, the real CycleThe concept of 7 isn’t new, it has been identified it all kinds of assets for Gold to S&P 500. Bitcoin followed the stock market, pivot at similar price points with a decimal shift. The pivots up and down seem to occur in fractals of 7. Go check the charts yourself. The 7 seems to moreso align with time frame from tops to bottoms, and bottom to tops. Bitcoin double tops in 2021 occurred 7 months apart. Dogecoin topped 7 months before bitcoin, lagged 7 months before bitcoin, and took 7 months to top starting from the start of its macro Elliot Wave 1. Since the 4 year cycle is waning, a drift to a 7 year cycle from bottom to top seems the mostly likely shift. Here I show how Dogecoin seems to be following the same fractal pattern.
DOGE/USDT: Consolidation Resolves LowerHi!
Market Structure:
Dogecoin remains in a well-defined descending channel, confirming a sustained bearish trend. Price continues to print lower highs and lower lows, indicating that sellers are still in control on the 4H timeframe.
Pattern Development:
Within the channel, price consolidated into a bearish rectangle, which typically acts as a continuation pattern. The breakdown from this range aligns with the dominant downtrend and reinforces the bearish bias rather than signaling accumulation.
Trend & Momentum:
Repeated rejections from the upper channel boundary and the median line show weak bullish follow-through. Each corrective bounce has been sold aggressively, suggesting distribution rather than reversal.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Upper channel/rectangle top
Support: Channel lower boundary near 0.117–0.118
As long as DOGE trades below the descending channel resistance, downside pressure remains dominant. A continuation toward the lower channel support is favored. Only a confirmed breakout above the channel would neutralize the bearish structure.
DOGE - Descending Channel at $0.127
Executive Summary
COINBASE:DOGEUSD is trading at approximately $0.127 on Christmas Day, down 58% YTD and trapped in a descending channel on the 4H timeframe. The performance metrics are brutal: -60.92% over the past year. However, multiple analysts are pointing to a cycle fractal that suggests DOGE may be in the "golden pocket" for accumulation before a major bull run. The key level to watch is $0.138 - a reclaim above this Fibonacci level could signal the start of a significant rally. Meanwhile, futures trading volume has surged 53,000% to $260 million, and spot DOGE ETFs are boosting demand.
BIAS: NEUTRAL - Bullish Potential with Current Bearish Structure
The chart structure is bearish (descending channel), but the cycle fractal and accumulation signals suggest this could be the calm before the storm. Wait for confirmation above $0.138 before turning bullish.
Current Market Context - December 25, 2025
Dogecoin is at a critical juncture:
Current Price: $0.127 (-1.22% in 24h)
Market Cap: $19.39 billion
52-Week Range (Market Cap): $15.59B - $64.11B
Volume: 590.15M (below 30D average of 1.13B)
Open Interest: $1.51 billion (11.8 billion DOGE)
Rank: #9 by market cap
Performance Metrics - MOSTLY RED:
1 Week: +0.83% (Green)
1 Month: -15.91% (Red)
3 Months: -42.45% (Red)
6 Months: -19.67% (Red)
YTD: -58.30% (Red)
1 Year: -60.92% (Red)
The numbers are ugly. DOGE has lost nearly 60% of its value this year. But is this the bottom?
THE BULL CASE - Cycle Fractal Points to Imminent Rally
The Dogecoin Cycle Fractal
Crypto analyst Cryptollica has identified a cycle fractal that shows DOGE may be at the point before it begins its bull run. The fractal has repeated itself at the macro level with four distinct structural points:
Zone 1 & 2: "Boredom phases" where volatility died and smart money accumulated
Zone 2: Was the launchpad for the massive 2021 parabolic run
Zone 4 (CURRENT): Same rounding-bottom formation playing out
Price is stabilizing and forming a heavy base just like before previous explosions
Key Insight: The analyst states this is the "Golden Pocket" for accumulation. If the fractal plays out as it did in 2020 (Zone 2), the current price action is simply the calm before the storm.
RSI at Historical Support
Weekly RSI at 32 level - acts as historical floor
DOGE has formed a macro bottom every time RSI touched this baseline
RSI has reset to this critical support level
Indicates sellers are exhausted
Momentum is primed to flip
The $0.138 Level - Key to Recovery
Analyst Kevin has identified $0.138 as THE critical level:
Must be reclaimed on 3-day to weekly timeframe closes
Would place DOGE back above macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement
This Fib level divides bearish and bullish market phases
Also aligns with 200-week Simple Moving Average
A move above would signal long-term buyers regaining control
Next major target after reclaim: $0.46 (liquidity/resistance zone)
Futures Volume Surge - 53,000%
Dogecoin futures trading volume surged 53,000% to $260 million
Driven by Dogecoin ETF activity and derivatives
This surge came before recent price stability
Could be catalyst for upcoming trend reversal
Spot DOGE ETFs launched in late 2025, boosting demand
Analyst Price Targets
Cryptollica: DOGE could rally significantly and possibly exceed $1
Kevin: Next major resistance at $0.46 after $0.138 reclaim
Current resistance targets: $0.148 and $0.196
Support expected in $0.11 range
THE BEAR CASE - Descending Channel Still Intact
Current Technical Structure
The 4H chart shows a clear descending channel:
Lower highs and lower lows dominating
Price trapped between declining trendlines
Channel resistance capping rallies
Channel support providing temporary bounces
No confirmed breakout yet
Bearish structure until proven otherwise
Concerning Metrics
YTD: -58.30% - Massive underperformance
1 Year: -60.92% - Lost more than half its value
Market cap down from $64.11B high to $19.39B
Volume below 30-day average (590M vs 1.13B)
Open interest dropped 4.03% in last 24 hours
Lost crucial $0.13 support level
Market Headwinds
Broader crypto market in risk-off mode
Total crypto market fell below $3 trillion to $2.94 trillion
Fed rate expectations pushing out (rates on hold until April)
Holiday trading with thin liquidity
DOGE utility discussions (sidechains, L2) progressing slowly
Technical Structure Analysis
Price Action Overview - 4 Hour Timeframe
The chart shows a descending channel pattern:
Descending Channel Characteristics:
Upper trendline: Connecting lower highs (resistance)
Lower trendline: Connecting lower lows (support)
Channel slope: Bearish (declining)
Price oscillating between boundaries
Current position: Mid-to-lower channel
Recent Price Action:
Dec 19 surge to $0.134 high
Failed to break channel resistance
Pulled back to current $0.127 level
Now trading in tight range ($0.126-$0.135)
Consolidation setting stage for next move
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
$0.134-$0.135 - Immediate resistance / recent high
$0.138 - CRITICAL LEVEL (Fibonacci 0.382 + 200-week SMA)
$0.148 - Next resistance target
$0.196 - Secondary resistance
$0.46 - Major liquidity zone (if $0.138 reclaimed)
$1.00 - Analyst moon target
Support Levels:
$0.126 - Immediate support / range bottom
$0.125 - Key support (must hold for bullish setup)
$0.12 - Psychological support
$0.11 - Major support zone
$0.10 - Deep support / psychological
Range Analysis
Current consolidation range:
Range high: $0.135
Range low: $0.126
Range width: ~$0.009 (7%)
Breakout direction will determine next major move
Above $0.138 = Bullish confirmation
Below $0.12 = Bearish continuation
Moving Average Analysis
Price below major moving averages
200-week SMA at ~$0.138 area - key resistance
MAs sloping downward on shorter timeframes
Need to reclaim MAs for trend reversal
Currently bearish MA structure
RSI Analysis
4H RSI at 42 - showing growing buyer interest
Weekly RSI near 32 - historical support level
RSI breakthrough would boost momentum
Target resistance at $0.134 if RSI breaks higher
Oversold conditions on higher timeframes
Bitcoin Correlation - Key Catalyst
Analyst Kevin notes that DOGE's recovery is tied to Bitcoin:
Bitcoin needs to reclaim $88,000-$91,000 range
This would require BTC to rally 2-6% from current levels
BTC strength would support bullish momentum across crypto
Without BTC confirmation, DOGE may continue consolidating
Watch BTC as leading indicator for DOGE direction
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
BULLISH SCENARIO - Breakout Above $0.138
Trigger Conditions:
3-day or weekly close above $0.138
Bitcoin reclaims $88,000-$91,000
RSI breaks above 50 on weekly
Volume surge on breakout
Descending channel breakout confirmed
Price Targets if Bullish:
Target 1: $0.148 - First resistance
Target 2: $0.196 - Secondary resistance
Target 3: $0.46 - Major liquidity zone
Moon Target: $1.00+ (cycle fractal projection)
Bullish Catalysts:
Cycle fractal pointing to bull run
RSI at historical support (32 level)
"Golden Pocket" accumulation zone
Futures volume surge (53,000%)
Spot DOGE ETFs boosting demand
Smart money accumulation phase
Rounding bottom formation
BEARISH SCENARIO - Breakdown Below $0.12
Trigger Conditions:
4H close below $0.12
Bitcoin weakness below $85,000
Volume spike on breakdown
Descending channel continues
Open interest continues declining
Price Targets if Bearish:
Target 1: $0.11 - Major support zone
Target 2: $0.10 - Psychological support
Target 3: $0.08-$0.09 - Extended downside
Bearish Risks:
Descending channel still intact
YTD: -58.30% - Severe underperformance
Lost $0.13 crucial support
Volume below average
Open interest declining
Broader crypto market weakness
Fed rate expectations pushed out
Utility development slow
NEUTRAL SCENARIO - Continued Range Trading
Most likely short-term outcome:
Price continues in $0.126-$0.135 range
Consolidation before next major move
Wait for Bitcoin direction
Wait for $0.138 reclaim or $0.12 breakdown
Holiday trading keeps volatility low
MY ASSESSMENT - NEUTRAL with Bullish Potential
This is a genuinely mixed setup:
Bearish Factors (Current Reality):
Descending channel intact
YTD: -58.30%, 1Y: -60.92%
Below all major moving averages
Lost $0.13 support
Volume declining
Open interest dropping
Bullish Factors (Future Potential):
Cycle fractal pointing to bull run
RSI at historical support
"Golden Pocket" accumulation zone
Futures volume surge 53,000%
Spot ETFs boosting demand
Analysts targeting $0.46 to $1.00+
Rounding bottom forming
My Stance: NEUTRAL - Wait for Confirmation
The current structure is bearish, but the accumulation signals are compelling. This is NOT the time to short, but also not the time to go heavy long without confirmation.
Strategy:
Wait for $0.138 reclaim for bullish confirmation
Or wait for $0.12 breakdown for bearish confirmation
Small accumulation positions acceptable in $0.125-$0.127 zone
Don't chase - let the market show its hand
Watch Bitcoin for direction
Trade Framework
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade
Entry Conditions:
3-day or weekly close above $0.138
Volume confirmation
Bitcoin above $88,000
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $0.138-$0.142 on confirmed breakout
Stop Loss: $0.125 below recent support
Target 1: $0.148 (Risk-Reward ~1:0.5)
Target 2: $0.196 (Risk-Reward ~1:4)
Target 3: $0.46 (Extended)
Scenario 2: Accumulation in Range
Entry Conditions:
Price tests $0.125-$0.127 support
Bullish rejection candle
RSI holding above 30
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $0.125-$0.127 at range support
Stop Loss: $0.118 below $0.12 psychological
Target 1: $0.134-$0.135 (range high)
Target 2: $0.138 (key Fibonacci level)
Target 3: $0.148+ (if breakout occurs)
Risk-Reward: ~1:1.5 to first target
Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown Trade
Entry Conditions:
4H close below $0.12
Volume confirmation
Bitcoin weakness
Trade Parameters:
Entry: $0.118-$0.12 on confirmed breakdown
Stop Loss: $0.128 above recent consolidation
Target 1: $0.11 (Risk-Reward ~1:1)
Target 2: $0.10 (Risk-Reward ~1:2)
Target 3: $0.08-$0.09 (Extended)
Risk Management Guidelines
Position sizing: 1-2% max risk per trade
DOGE is highly volatile - use appropriate size
Wait for confirmation before large positions
Respect the descending channel until broken
Watch Bitcoin correlation closely
Holiday trading = thin liquidity
Scale into positions rather than all-in
Take profits at targets
Invalidation Levels
Bullish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes below $0.11
Descending channel breaks down further
Bitcoin crashes below $80,000
Weekly RSI breaks below 25
Bearish thesis invalidated if:
Price closes above $0.138 on weekly
Descending channel breaks to upside
Bitcoin reclaims $91,000
Volume surge on breakout
Conclusion
COINBASE:DOGEUSD is at a critical inflection point. The current structure is bearish with a descending channel and -58% YTD performance. However, multiple analysts are pointing to a cycle fractal that suggests this could be the "golden pocket" for accumulation before a major bull run.
The Numbers:
Current Price: $0.127
YTD Performance: -58.30%
1-Year Performance: -60.92%
Market Cap: $19.39 billion
Key Level: $0.138 (Fibonacci 0.382 + 200-week SMA)
Key Levels:
$0.138 - CRITICAL (reclaim = bullish confirmation)
$0.134-$0.135 - Immediate resistance
$0.127 - Current price
$0.125-$0.126 - Immediate support
$0.12 - Psychological support (breakdown level)
$0.11 - Major support
The Setup:
Dogecoin is consolidating in a descending channel with the cycle fractal suggesting accumulation. The $0.138 level is THE key - a reclaim would signal the start of a potential rally to $0.46 and beyond. Without that confirmation, the bearish structure remains intact.
Strategy:
NEUTRAL stance - wait for confirmation
Small accumulation acceptable at $0.125-$0.127
Bullish above $0.138 (targets $0.148, $0.196, $0.46)
Bearish below $0.12 (targets $0.11, $0.10)
Watch Bitcoin for direction
As analyst Cryptollica says: "Ignore Dogecoin now, chase it later." The spring is loading - patience is required.
Will Dodge reach the moon?Back when everyone was saying that **Dogecoin was headed “to the moon”** and would eventually reach **$1**, few people believed that we would ever revisit price levels like the ones we are seeing today. However, in recent months—alongside ongoing discussions about **ETF approvals** and **Solana successfully passing this tough test**—rumors surrounding the potential **approval of a Dogecoin ETF** have started to grow louder.
In this context, **21Shares** has submitted another update to the **U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)**, stating that it plans to purchase **$1.5 million worth of DOGE** at the time of the ETF’s launch. This comes despite the fact that existing DOGE-related ETFs have so far recorded **no capital inflows**.
As the launch of a Dogecoin ETF approaches, **trading volume and market liquidity** have increased, creating conditions that could support **fast and aggressive price moves**. Now that a DOGE ETF appears to be on the horizon, the key question is whether this development could **fundamentally change the game for Dogecoin**.
This month, the number of **active Dogecoin addresses** has risen sharply, even exceeding levels seen over the past several months. This surge may point to **greater accumulation and strengthening underlying demand**.
At the same time, **whales and large holders** have been accumulating **millions of DOGE**, which could signal **strong potential buying power** or even the early stages of a **bullish market setup**.
Despite all of this, my personal approach is to look for buying opportunities either **at the defined pattern support** or **after a confirmed breakout**. In both scenarios, the **price target for this move is around $0.15**.
So… what do you think, **Elon**? 🚀🐶
BTC/USDT | More Downside Ahead? Let's Discuss in the Comments!Bitcoin climbed back to $90,500, tapped resistance, and is now trading around $87,800. This bounce looks more like a classic liquidity grab than a trend reversal. I’m still leaning bearish. As long as $90,000 doesn’t flip into solid support, we’re likely heading lower. My next downside targets: $85,000 → $82,700 → $80,500
Nothing’s changed, structure is still weak, and the pressure’s on the bulls.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
ETH/USDT | Ethereum Weekly Update Key Demand Zone Still in Play Ethereum rallied up to $3,450, but failed to hold and is now trading near $2,900. This correction could deepen, and I’m watching the $2,100–$2,700 demand zone closely.
It remains one of the strongest institutional zones on the chart. If price returns there, a sharp bullish reaction is highly likely.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC/USDT | Dropping further in price (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the Hourly chart of BTCUSDT, yesterday it managed to break through the IFVG, going above 90,000 level again and taking the BSL up there at 90,365, it faced a massive drop all the way to 87,142 and now is being traded at 87,180.
I believe another drop in price to the demand zone and the FVG there at 85,950-86,835 zone and then making an upwards move is possible.
DOGE: The Cycle Repeats (1W) FRACTAL DOGE: The Cycle Repeats (1W Timeframe)
The Macro View: We are looking at a textbook fractal setup. The chart highlights four distinct structural points (1, 2, 3, 4). We are currently at Point 4, and the structure is rhyming perfectly with the pre-bull run accumulation phases of the past.
1. The Rounding Bottoms (Accumulation):
Zones 1 & 2: These were the "boredom phases" where volatility died, and smart money accumulated. Zone 2 specifically was the launchpad for the massive 2021 parabolic run.
Zone 4 (Current Price Action): We are seeing the exact same rounding bottom formation. The price is stabilizing, forming a heavy base just like it did before the previous explosions.
2. RSI
Look at the RSI indicator at the bottom. The red line (~32. level) acts as a historical floor.
Every single time the weekly RSI touched or hovered near this baseline (Points 1, 2, and 3), it marked a macro bottom.
Right Now: The RSI has reset back to this critical support level. It indicates that the sellers are exhausted and the momentum is primed to flip.
3. The Verdict: This isn't just random noise; it's a cyclical reset. The chart suggests we are in the "Golden Pocket" for accumulation. If the fractal plays out like it did in 2020 (Zone 2), the current price action is simply the calm before the storm.
Summary:
Technical Structure: Bullish Rounding Bottom.
Indicator: RSI at historical oversold support (Buy Zone).
Outlook: The spring is loading. Patience is required, but the setup points to a major impulsive move incoming.
Wavetrend
DOGE Dominance
DOGE/BTC
DOGE Buy/Long Signal (4H)Based on the bullish CH on the chart, we can say that we have the first sign of a bullish move.
There is a liquidity pool above the chart, which we have marked. This liquidity pool may be swept soon.
If price breaks through the supply zone, it can reach higher targets.
We have two entry points, and entries should be taken using DCA.
targets : 0.13312$ _ 0.14119$_ 0.1560$
top-loss have also been marked on the chart.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
DOGE/USDT — Market UpdateSince the last review, the structure has slightly changed.
Price has once again reached the midline of the channel, and buyers are reacting again — a bullish engulfing pattern is forming.
Last time, the bounce from the channel midline produced ~100% upside.
During the flash crash, the rebound was around 80%.
This creates a favorable risk/reward setup:
— entry at current levels,
— stop-loss below the local low,
— targets: 0.17 → 0.20 → near the downtrend resistance.
SOL/USDT | Struggling! (READ THE CAPTION!)As you can see in the daily chart of SOLUSDT, it dropped out of the Demand zone and is now struggling to go back in. Based on the previous analysis, should Solana fail to go back in the demand zone and above, It can drop all the way to $105, to the Bullish Rejection Block, and then make a comeback up.
ETH/USDT | Struggling to make a real move (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4H chart of ETHUSDT, after the CPI news, ETHUSDT managed to bounce up from the Daily Bullish OB, going as high as 2997, just a bit short of 3000. However, after the initial surge, ETH experienced a major drop in price and dropped all the way to 2775. At the moment it's being traded at 2950, there's hope for it to go through the 3000 level, but it needs a strong, meaningful move to the upside, something that it's lacking at the moment. Pay close attention to the 3017-3125 FVG zone, as it's likely to see yet another reaction there.
BTC/USDT | No clear movement! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the Hourly chart of BTCUSDT, it surged in price after the CPI news, going as high as 89,477, before dropping to the demand zone again. However, this drop came with BTC going as low as 84,450, reaching the Bullish Rejection Block, and then going upwards towards the IFVG, reaching 88,449 before dropping again in between the demand zone and the IFVG.
So far, BTC is yet to make a strong move towards up or down, consolidating in the range with no clear motif.






















