DXY Ending Soon The Elliott Wave Flat Correction?!DXY short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the index is doing a Flat correction coming from 8/28/2018 low within cycle red wave II. Meaning that the internal distribution of cycle from that low is showing the sub-division of 3-3-5 wave structure. Where black wave ((A)) ended in 3 swings at 95.73 on 9/04 peak. Down from there the decline to 93.81 low ended black wave ((B)) lower as double three structure with the sub-division of 3 wave corrective sequence in blue wave (W),(X) & (Y).
The initial decline to 94.43 low ended blue wave (W) as zigzag structure. Up from there, the bounce to 94.99 high ended blue wave (X). Down from there, the decline to 93.81 low ended blue wave (Y) as zigzag structure & also completed the black wave ((B)) as well. Above from 93.81 low, the rally higher is taking place as an impulse in black wave ((C)) of II with the sub-division of 5 waves structure in blue wave (1),(3) & (5).
Where the first leg higher to 94.40 high ended blue wave (1). And pullback to 93.95 low ended blue wave (2).
A rally to 95.36 high ended blue wave (3). Then a pullback to 94.99 low ended blue wave (4). Near-term bluee wave (5) remain in progress and may or may not extend higher 1 more time within the blue box area by holding below the 95.93 invalidation level before ending the Flat correction in cycle red wave II.
Afterwards, the index is expected to resume the downside or should react lower in 3 swings at least. We don’t like buying the index.
Dollar_index
Dollar Index on its way to 93I've been bearish Dollar for a while now.
I've recognize the Dollar's weakness and was glad to get a confirmation when the Dollar broke below the rising channel.
Today, we get another bearish confirmation signal as the Dollar breaks below the neckline of a Head and Shoulders pattern
The US dollar can't go up forever.*** THIS IS NOT AN ADVICE, DO YOUR RESEARCH AND TRADE WITH YOUR OWN RESPONSIBILITY***
The US dollar index has been going up but seems to be losing stream and has formed topping patterns as well.
I see a lot of people not looking at it, but often good traders will always keep an eye on all sorts of correlations.
MONTHLY ANALYSIS ON DXY(US DOLLAR INDEX)I believe that the Dollar Index is still bullish on the monthly perspective at the present moment @15/09/2018(UK DATE) but it is losing steam and will look to reverse around the 98 -100 region. This will give traders an opportunity to go long for the time being i'm expecting in the upcoming months. As we reach the levels of resistance i will expect a reversal and price should look to fill more of the market inefficiency to the downside( along the way turning support into resistance).
I will be updating it as price goes along in the upcoming months...
Dollar is testing support as Investors wait for Draghi and CPIThe Dollar Index is back near support after a failed rally that we saw in August.
The support zone includes the bottom of a rising channel, MA line and a structure zone (previously resistance, now potential support)
On Thursday we will have the ECB meeting and the U.S CPI data - Two events that can (and probably will) impact the Dollar.
The bearish scenario shows potential to reach 93
The bullish scenario shows potential to reach back to the top of the channel
What do you think?
DXY-SHORT AT BREAK RULE WAVEAfter falling to X (94.90), rising to XI (95.68), then reversing to the reversal point at 120% (94.60), confirming the bearish trend.
At present, the H4 wave group (1) (2) (3) has the rule of recovery at wave (2), according to symmetry wave theory waiting for adjustment of waiting zone (80-100%: 95.08-95.32). Hit down the Weekly timeframe
The 3 Elliot rule targets are:
- 38.2 fibo: 93.64
- 23.6 fibo: 92.85
- 0 fibo: 91.57
stop loss: at wave (2) 95.74
Dollar index - 95 level critical+Fundamentally US macro data is supportive for $, just as Fed communication.
+Trump comments could not harm the greenback.
+100% Fib level retested after breakout
+50D EMA holds as support
-USD rally seems to get stretched a bit
-Uncertainty around Trump persists -> uncertainty for USD
DXY breaks below 21-EMA, eyes 23.6% FibDXY extends declines for the 4th straight session.
U.S. President Donald Trump said he disagreed with the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates.
Possibility that the Fed might slow down the pace of tightening in response to criticism from the White House weighing on the dollar.
Technical indicators are biased bearish. RSI and Stochs have rolled over from overbought levels.
We see -ve DMI crosover on +ve DMI and MACD is on verge of a bearish crossover on signal line.
Price has taken support at 21-EMA, decisive break below will see further weakness.
Scope then for test of 50-DMA at 94.94 ahead of 38.2% Fib at 93.65.
Support levels - 94.97 (50-DMA), 94.92 (23.6% Fib), 93.65 (38.2% Fib)
Resistance levels - 95.57 (21-EMA), 96.13 (5-DMA)
Stay short on upticks, SL: 95.75, target 95
$AUDUSD | Long Term Analysis | Coming Into Major SupportHello Traders,
Long term analysis shows AUDUSD coming into major support. Idea invalidates if new low is made on Weekly time frame. This is not so much a trading idea as it is an overall market perspective. Support zone is defined by my model and supported by structural support.
DXY short opportunity The US dollar index has retraced from 13-month highs at 96.98.
Shooting star formation seen on daily charts and price has dipped below 5-DMA at 96.49.
Intraday charts have turned bearish. Price action has dipped below hourly cloud and we see bearish divergence which adds to downside bias.
Shooting star formation seen on daily charts and price has dipped below 5-DMA at 96.49.
Price is holding support at 1H 100-SMA at 96.42. Break below will see further weakness.
Next immediate support is seen at 96.31 (23.6% Fib) ahead of 1H 200-SMA at 95.84 and then 21-EMA at 95.50.
Good to go short on break below 1H 100-SMA, SL: 97, TP: 95.84/ 95.50
GBP/USD counter trend buy tradeGBP/USD fell into what I call a double zone. First falling into the weekly demand zone and within that a smaller time frame (8 hour chart) demand zone. My entry was at 1.3105 with a stop market order in at 1.2699. I've decided to risk 2% of my account size on this trade and looking to take off 2/3 once it hits 3:1. Dollar has been very strong recently so I may be a bit more aggressive with taking profits. If you like my info guys please give me a thumbs up or follow me. Would love to hear more of your thoughts on my analysis as well. Thanks for viewing guys and gals :)