Further to the earlier idea, we are now seemingly approaching the final extension zone, and with another 15% increase, the odds for mean reversion become much better. The market seems to be in an exciting area and is definitely worth our attention.
Staying tuned for further developments on this one.
Not long ago, BTC exchanged hands at levels above $60k, and now we are seeing it being offered half of that price. This massive decline is the perfect moment for the dip buyers to step in, but caution is advised as this range is new, and an extended chop is probable. I will try to update this once in a while. Let us see how it unfolds.
Further to the last idea on this pair, we are now mapping the next potential wave higher. This wave is very coveted and, consequently, has crippled probability; however, the fractal nature of the post-ATH correctional formation evidenced through the repetitive waves is indeed very fascinating and worth our attention.
DOGE has been nothing short of phenomenal these last few weeks. It has gained over 350% during the previous seven trading days. It is only befitting that it has lost 50% so quickly after such a tremendous extension higher. The chart shows this critical % decrease through the use of Gann box squared at the rate of 0.0035 per 2 hours of trading, the current rate of...
A logarithmic look at the evolution of BTC price since its very early days
The following key takeaways:
BTC tends to extend only about 1/5 of its prior impulse move measured in terms of % increase;
BTC tends to react ≈38.20% on a logarithmic scale to form a correctional bear market;
The sub $80k area is a pivotal area to look for supply inflows.
This pair has shown some resilience to the selling pressure that became evident after touching the sub-60k area. The chart contains all the information that serves as a long signal; nonetheless, it is contingent upon a valid price action once the highlighted key area is reached. Better to avoid sending in the limits to the exchanges, but to consider the 46.8k as a...
The above chart illustrates the performance of different asset classes in % change from Mar'20 low .
The list of included assets is as follows:
For the futures markets, the Jun'21 contracts are used; for DXY, the ICEUS index is used.
As seen in the chart, the best performing commodity is copper, the rise in copper prices is...
Corn seems to be in the final stage of a bullish run here. In terms of % gain, it is almost at the psychological 100% increase area from Mar'20 low. Short risk exposure is becoming more risky at these levels. With another push higher, some decent supply inflows are expected.
Looks like this pair is setting up another impulse move higher — it is building momentum right below the ATH — the further it goes sideways here, the better it is for bullish continuation projection. If the time factor is scaled at the highlighted rate, and if this scale happens to be correct, the target area should be hit by 22 of March 2021.
Bias – bullish
Reference timeframe – 12H
Entry timeframe – 30M
Entry order type – limit
BTCUSD has been working the 30-40k range , with quite a substantial volume traded in the midpoint of that. If bulls manage to absorb the selling in this range, another round of marking up the price is expected. Seems reasonable to be looking for limit...
This is a countertrend setup based on a double top formation coupled with a 50-61.80% retracement of the rejection leg down. The probability works against fading setups but the RR is prioritised for its clear risk profile. The details of the trade are highlighted in the chart. Drop a line in the comments section if there's anything to be added or discussed.
The correctional formation target that was mentioned in the related idea has been met; the highlighted area is now acting as support. It looks like higher timeframes failed to close below this key area; nonetheless, this pair might probe that area as a failure test. In such an event, it is expected that the lower timeframes will turn by printing spring bars. So...
Reasons to consider getting out of short risk exposure if the highlighted area fails:
Break of Structural Gap
These reasons might trigger some traders to short or sell this pair; however, in terms of probability, the market still favours bullish bias, evidenced by the context to the left.
The break of the...
This analysis makes use of the Gann Box tool; however, only certain lines are highlighted. The bars pattern is mirrored to show the potential for symmetry here; a beautiful tendency of markets and nature in general. Looking for higher targets from here.
I am getting a feeling that there could be a 5-0 correctional harmonic formation in its maturity phase, currently. It can also be viewed as an inverse head and shoulders pattern. The highlighted harmonic pattern is the 5-0 pattern with the X being the 1. TV doesn't have a tool for 5-0 patterns, so the Cypher tool is used which lacks one leg. The highlighted...
Further to the earlier idea shared before the splitting of this stock, here's an updated version of the chart showing the same levels but adjusted for the split. The structure of this market suggests a completed 3-wave impulse sequence, which is now being corrected by profit-taking and short selling. The current correctional formation is seemingly completing the A...
The above chart is an attempt at showing BTCUSD's monthly structure. As this market enters a sell rotation, it makes sense to be alert for potential reversals in the sub $10k area. Monitor the $9.2k-$9.8k price range for supply & demand imbalance hints. So far, BTCUSD is printing a correctional formation linked to an overall risk-off attitude that started sweeping...
The most recent BTCUSD pivots on the 2H chart show a potential move to the upside where BTC is expected to meet the Median Line of this pivot set. If, however, BTC price fails in that highlighted key area, it might set up a new pivot set with a down-sloping Median Line that will serve as a potential target area for the next round of selling. The concept is here is...