DEC.21,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION BEARISH: Weekly closing with a strong Bullish hammer candle suggests resistance block as shown could be broken for further upside. However due a hidden bearish divergence on RSI supported by the 21 EMA crossover resistance zone gives Bears an equal opportunity for reversal. I am personally watching a 5 wave pattern to bring the dollar index to a target around 96.961 This will ultimately close the gaps that occurred on October 5th to October 7th which also corresponds to the daily chart double tops target.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, BTC has consolidated for the last 4 weeks now in a channel consolidation suggesting a bearish continuation rather than an accumulation for reversal. On the daily chart price has now exited the Bearish Flag pattern and I think based on the daily double tops rejection of the fib 0.382 retrace level within the bear flag formation, this week price action could gains momentum for the downtrend to test the liquidity zone of $80,524 and put the next target around $74k zone.
NAS100 & SPX500 WIDE RANGE TRADE: Both indices closed last week with a strong Bullish candles. Whiles our lower targets from last week wasn't achieved we got close enough. The setup this week spells caution as the gaps from last week's trade could now be filled as price is poised to test the all time high resistances again.
GOLD & SILVER ALMOST TOPPING: Gold on the weekly chart has hit a perfect double top with divergences on indicators like RSI and MACD. However, we still closed the week with a green candle suggesting that price could move towards $4,475 before getting rejected. The divergences don't give me a comfortable long position and so I will stay on the sideline and wait for confirmations for pullback trade towards the weekly 21 EMA.
Silver is still in a last wave and also ending so there is not much reward for the risk. My up target is about $68.38 before the major pullback. There are already divergences on the both daily and weekly chart but these divergences don't make the risk reward attractive for a long trade.
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Dollarindexanalysis
DEC.14,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY BEARISH: Weekly closing with a strong bearish candle for continuation to the downside after a small bounce to about 98.186 from the support zone of 97.820 or most likely sideways consolidation for this coming week. Ultimately, the gaps that occurred on October 5th to October 7th will be filled putting our next fall target to about 97.200 which also corresponds to the daily chart double tops target.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, BTC has consolidated for the last 3 weeks and I think based on the daily double tops rejection of the fib 0.382 retrace level within the bear flag formation, this week actually gains momentum for the downtrend to resume with initial target at the liquidity zone of $80, 524 and a clear breakdown of the Bear flag trend line will put the next target around $74k zone.
NAS100 & SPX500 BEARISH: Both indices closed last week with a strong bearish engulfing candles. This confirms the retrace towards the highs is now completed and next leg down to targets of about $23,169 for Nas100 and $6,418 for SPX500 is highly probable this week.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: Gold on the weekly chart has hit a double top with divergences on indicators like RSI and MACD. With a green closing candle on the weekly it's likely the tops of $4,381 could be tested before the pullback. Momentum is flat hence price could stays sideways first before the pullback. However, the daily chart is giving us a rejection candle from the previous high so I think a double tops could form unless a clear breakout occurs. Silver is in a last wave and also ending so there is not much reward for the risk. My up target is about $68.38 before the major pullback. There are already divergences on the both daily and weekly chart but these divergences are not confirmed until next week's candle print.
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NOV.23,2025 ANALYSIS- DXY, BTC, NAS100, SPX500, XAUUSD & XAGUSDDXY CAUTION: at weekly resistance but Uptrend with a huge bullish candle suggests continuation to the upside. I expect some sideway price action potential pullback to 99.365 level and then continuation to the upside target of 100.608. A break below 99.365 will invalidate upside targets.
BITCOIN: STILL BEARISH, All my initial bearish targets from previous analysis got smashed. BTC is now in a new bearish territory only finding support at the fib extension 1.618 from the $126,296 high. RSI is very oversold and potentially there could be a sideways price action around this level re-testing $80,524 this week. Ultimately the next bearish target is between $70k and $78k.
NAS100 & SPX500 BEARISH: Both indices closed with a strong bearish candle but found support around their 21EMA on the weekly chart. I observed some unconfirmed hidden divergence plus daily stochastics cycle lows so I expect some sideways consolidation and next leg down to targets of about $23,169 for Nas100 and $6,418 for SPX500.
GOLD & SILVER SIDEWAYS: Gold on the weekly chart showed only a doji candle consolidating price action but lower high of($4,194) confirmed on the chart. I envisage that this consolidation will continue into next week and finally breakdown to the $3,826 target. Silver has maintained the double tops on the weekly and daily charts. The lower high of $52.98 also suggest more downside price action with the initial target of $45 - $47 zone.
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Weekend Analysis: DXY, BTC, Gold, Silver, Nas100 and SPX500In this video presentation I am expecting the dollar index to continue its uptrend on the lower time frame towards the liquidation level target of 99.500.
Bitcoin is still in a distribution range and currently correcting the sharp sell off from $126,296. I am observing an A-B-C corrective pattern potentially to targets of either $115,044 or $117,653. These are confluence of resistance level and will be expecting a sell off from these levels. If these levels gets invalidated then potentially the all time highs of $126k is in view. However that's not my expectation so a breach of the target level will invalidate the bearish analysis on Bitcoin.
I think Gold and Silver have peaked out for now and smart money is off loading to FOMO retail traders. I am expect Silver to sell off much faster than Gold.
Nas100 and SPX500 clinched to a breakout of new highs but the buying volume is fading out and seems to be a fake out. I will be watching if the breakout levels gets support or breakdown on pullback to decide a long position or short position.
This is my opinion on the market this week and I thank you for your time to visit my publications.
Have a great trading week and don't forget risk and money management is your first job as trader or investor. Cheers!!
Dollar Index: Bullish Momentum Builds Above $12,545FenzoFx—The dollar index rose from $12,545.0 after a liquidity sweep below July's low. The index is up by 0.33% today, while the bullish FVG at $12,601.0 hasn't been tested or filled. This indicates the bullish momentum is strong.
From a technical standpoint, we expect the price to fill the bearish FVG with resistance at $12,686.0. Furthermore, if the price closes above this level, the uptrend could extend to the equal highs at $12,740.0.
Please note that the bullish outlook should be invalidated if the price closes below $12,601.0.
Dollar Index Analysis [DXY]Market has show upper wicks for last 3 days which is the sign that there is still sell pressure. The daily candles for this week are range bound. 4H chart is showing short term uptrend which is maintaining higher highs and higher lows. We can use this range to have scalps in this range.
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.550) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
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📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.800) Day trade basis.
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🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Support & Resistance Levels
As the bull run continue on Dollar Index,
here are the significant resistance zones to pay attention to.
Resistance 1: 104.45 - 105.12 area
Resistance 2: 106.05 - 106.14 area
Resistance 3: 106.37 - 106.52 area
Support 1: 101.65 - 101.92 area
Support 2: 100.14 - 100.56 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DXY Daily TA Neutral BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash.
* FOMC WATCH . US November CPI was estimated to come in at 0.3% but instead came in at 0.1% , compared to October's 0.4% it's fair to say that it eased a bit. Meanwhile Core CPI rose 0.2% in November compared to 0.3% in October. The last FOMC rate hike is expected to be announced tomorrow, though there is still a chance for another 75bps rate hike, the majority of speculators are anticipating 50bps. If they go with 50bps, it's reasonable to expect volatility tomorrow followed by further downside to DXY; however, if they go with 75bps, DXY should see a bit of a reversal in the short/medium-term. In a surprising move which is likely due to national security interests, China banned exports of their Loongson military grade processors to Russia ; Russia had apparently been testing them for a while as opposed to Intel and AMD processors due to Western sanctions. The USA is preparing to send their Patriot Air Defense system to Ukraine in response to Russia continuing to bombard key energy infrastructure as Ukraine approaches their coldest parts of winter.
DXY, Cryptos, US Equities, US Equity Futures, JPYUSD, HSI, NI225, N100 and Short-Term US Treasurys are up. While Commodities, GBPUSD, EURUSD, CNYUSD, Long-Term US Treasurys and VIX are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 12/15; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price is currently attempting to bounce here at $104.06 before retesting the uptrend line from May 2021 at $103.15 support for the first time since February 2022. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $105.27, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up slightly at 34, the next resistance is at 39.43 and the next support at 23.34. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing 29.40 support. MACD remains bullish and is on the verge of crossing over bearish as it trends sideways at -1.21 support; if it breaks below this support level it would be a bearish crossover. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 33 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the 200MA at ~$105.80 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely retest the uptrend line from May 2021 at $103.15 support . Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $105.80.
DXY Daily TA BearishDXYUSD daily guidance is bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% DXY, 95% Cash.
*Cryptos and Commodities markets are signaling a bullish open to a week of mute economic data before CPI on 12/13 and the last FFR hike announcement of 2022 on 12/14. More volatility is to be expected with increased supply chain disruptions due to reduced exports from China weighing on Big Tech ( Apple in particular ). While certain major cities like Beijing, Shenzhen and Shanghai are loosening Covid restrictions in effort to quell protests and reinvigorate dampening domestic demand. A price cap imposed by the G7 + Australia on Russian oil took effect today, the $60/barrel price cap applies to any third-party countries who intend to use G7 or EU tankers, insurance companies or credit institutions to ship Russian oil . Russia responded by saying they would cut production while OPEC+ reiterated their commitment to a 2m output reduction until 2023 . This will likely push the price of oil higher. Ukraine has also mentioned that Russia hasn't launched any large missile offensives in the past two weeks and that they are likely gearing up for another significant strike on Ukrainian energy infrastructure in attempt to break Ukrainian citizens down during the winter.
Commodities, Cryptos, US Treasurys, HSI, CNYUSD, GBPUSD and EURUSD are up. DXY, US Equity Futures, N100, NI225 and JPYUSD are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November PPI 830am EST 12/09; US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price has broken below the 200MA at $105.57 as support and is currently trending down at $104.22 as it approaches $103.15 support which coincides with the uptrend line from May 2021. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $106.83, this margin is mildly bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down slightly at 32, the next support is at 23.34. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing max bottom. MACD remains bearish and is currently trending down slightly at -1.45 as it breaks below -1.21, the next support is at -1.66. ADX is currently trending up at 30 as Price continues to fall, this is bearish.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the 200MA at ~$105.60 as resistance . However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $103.15 support which would coincide with the uptrend line from May 2021. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $105.60.










