Long term Dollar DXY Analysis If you fallowed my work i like to base my long term direction based on macro, education and cycles.
Dollar has very predictable cycles, the dollar is early in its current cycles and its very right translated (bullish).
The scenario we have in the world with the WAR on carbon, has made it so people dont look to explore for commodities
that have a bad carbon balance, this has and will creat big shortages. The fundamentals for inflation is there.
What people dont understand is that everything is priced in dollars, when dollars goes up, everything goes down since its
priced in dollars and opposite when it drops everything, specially commodites goes up. Dollar dropping is not a good thing,
this will creat more inflation, and with the terrible energy politics of the west this is can only end bad.
My Ideas are not shorterm its long term, 5-7years into the future, but i usally get them right based on experience, education and cycle work.
In my oppinion the right thing to do now is to wait and get your money ready, when it turns comodites will dropp and we get shorting opportunities,
and when it drops again we get buying opportunities.
Also i advice new traderes to lear about COTs its a good tool to grasp what the big players are doing, the big players move the market,
not technical indicators or pattern of animals on the chart. Its lagging, and we want to be inn before the zoo wathcers get the signal.
Plan, wait, get in early, enjoy the ride and sel high. Rinse and repeat.
Fallow and like if you like my ideas, thanks for the time.
Long
