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BITCOIN NETWORK ACTIVITY INDEX. GUIDE DOG THAT STILL ISN'T BLINDWere you still fantasy dreamed about super-duper hyped Crypto and Tech names, or recently were wiped out already when prices changed each second on Friday, October 10, 2025 even faster rather then video clips do it in TikTok Reels or for example YouTube Shorts?.. ...but there're several important issues that you should know. Well.. lets talk about Bitcoin Network Activity Index, and why this one is guide dog that helps you to alive, not staying blind in the Galaxy of uncertainity. Green Light. Red Light. Both Colours Blind. Guide dogs (colloquially known in the US as seeing-eye dogs) are assistance dogs trained to lead people who are blind or visually impaired around obstacles. Although dogs can be trained to navigate various obstacles, they are fully red–green colour blind and incapable of interpreting street signs. The human does the directing, based on skills acquired through previous mobility training. The handler might be likened to an aircraft's navigator, who must know how to get from one place to another, and the dog is the pilot, who gets them there safely. Understanding Network Activity Index. While time to time crypto candles change colours on your monitors even faster rather then video clips do it in TikTok Reels or for example YouTube Shorts, there should be a comprehensive metric designed to measure the overall safety and health of the Bitcoin network. That is Bitcoin Network Activity Index specially designed by CryptoQuant by aggregating several important blockchain indicators. These indicators include the number of active addresses (sending, receiving and both together), transaction counts, unspent transaction outputs (UTxOs), average block size, and other on-chain transactional data. This index provides a quantifiable overview of how much usage and engagement the Bitcoin blockchain is experiencing at any given time. Bictoin Network Activity Index. How it works The index serves as an important tool for understanding the fundamental dynamics of Bitcoin beyond just price movements. It captures the transactional activity and network participation that underpin Bitcoin’s value as a decentralized digital asset. For example, increases in the Network Activity Index often coincide with periods of rising Bitcoin price and heightened market enthusiasm, while decreases can indicate slowing demand, bearish sentiment, or periods of consolidation where market participants are holding rather than actively trading. Significantly, the CryptoQuant Network Activity Index has been shown to correlate historically with Bitcoin's price action. When transaction volume, active addresses, and other network engagement measures rise, it can signal growing adoption and usage, which creates natural buying pressure and supports price increases. Conversely, sharp declines in network activity have often preceded or occurred alongside Bitcoin price drops, reflecting waning market interest or corrections. Relations with Bictoin price action. An example of network activity importance is the noted 600,000 daily transactions threshold highlighted by CryptoQuant analysts. This activity level appears to act as a “price engine” trigger, where surpassing it tends to lead to continued price rallies. Thus, rising transaction counts robustly indicate rising underlying demand on the network, which is a bullish sign for Bitcoin’s price. However, it is important to note that network activity by itself does not determine price direction in isolation. Bitcoin’s price is influenced by a mix of factors including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, market speculation and institutional activiry. And yet, network activity remains a key fundamental indicator that helps market participants gauge the genuine level of usage and interest in Bitcoin, providing insights about market sentiment and potential price trends. Conclusion. In summary, the Bitcoin Network Activity Index is crucial because it quantifies Bitcoin’s on-chain operational health and user engagement, which are leading indicators of the asset’s intrinsic demand and valuation. Monitoring this index allows investors, analysts, and traders to make more informed predictions about Bitcoin’s future price action by understanding shifts in real network usage and investor behavior rather than relying solely on price charts or external market narratives. Were you happy about it or not, but Bitcoin Network Activity Index still sits shy under its 52-week SMA, all the year 2025, while average number of active BTC addresses recently reached 52-week lows (compare with BTC price, that is still far above its 52-weeks lows). -- Best 'be careful in the night' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
INDEX:BTCUSD
by PandorraResearch
PALLADIUM GOES 'HIGH FLY' MODE, DUE TO STRONG SAFE-HAVEN DEMANDPalladium surged above $1,400 an ounce for the first time since June 2023, supported by strong safe-haven demand and expectations of interest rate cuts. The US government shutdown added to market uncertainty, prompting investors to reassess dollar-denominated assets in favor of bullion. Weak US labor market data strengthened bets on further Federal Reserve cuts, with markets pricing in 25 bps reductions at each of the final two meetings. France’s political crisis also supported prices, as President Macron faces pressure to call early elections or resign after PM Lecornu’s surprise resignation. On the supply side, the World Platinum Investment Council projected palladium output to decline 1.1% annually through 2029. Additionally, China established new financial infrastructure to serve as a precious metal custodian for foreign markets, further supporting prices. With nearly 63 percent year-to-date return, the main technical graph for Palladium futures NYMEX:PA1! indicates that further upside is still quite possible. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NYMEX:PA1!
by PandorraResearch
DISNEY STOCK GOTTA GO TO TRAMPLING AS 2026 NEARSDisney stock faces several bearish pressures likely to persist through the end of 2025. The company is contending with declining subscriber growth for Disney+, which has seen a drop of 700,000 subscriptions amid stiff competition and price increases. Advertising revenues remain under pressure, and consumer spending shifts post-pandemic have made the theme parks’ revenue outlook ambiguous. Structural vulnerabilities, such as weak liquidity—a current ratio of just 0.72—and low momentum after Q3 2025, underline financial fragility despite revenue increases. Additionally, Disney’s brand is exposed to risks from ongoing political polarization, which was highlighted by market reactions to high-profile controversies and programming changes in 2025. The rollback of DEI policies may increase near-term stability but risks alienating younger demographics, putting long-term brand equity at risk. Analysts project an overall bearish trend, with some forecasts predicting a correction phase and a year-end share price between $95 and $109 as negative momentum persists despite isolated rebounds. Finally, Disney shares have underperformed broader market indices in 2025, dropping about 9% in the face of tariff threats and investor uncertainty under President Trump’s administration, making the short-term investment case weak compared to industry peers. In technical words, Disney stock shined bright in May and June, 2025 but then later (after many bearish attempts) turned back to major support 26-week SMA (100-day low), shed positive intra year returns back to flat line. Well, in any case of 26-week SMA breakthrough we still consider to achieve our initial target i.e. fill the gap around $92.17 per share (see relative idea). -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NYSE:DIS
by PandorraResearch
GOLD NEARS THE HIGHEST [0 - 5000 RANGE] QUARTILE. WHAT IT MEANSWere you still a 'TikTok - style' trader searching your next '5-minutes maid' trade, or still stay shy to become a Gold Bug, but Gold spot this session on September 22, 2025 prints new all the history high , and nears to $3750 per troy ounce mark, i.e. the highest quartile. Gold’s summer 2025 recent stagnation stemed from a confluence of fundamental and technical factors, reflecting both macroeconomic uncertainty and price action signals that have defined the gold market through 2025. The outlook came clear above $ 3500 per troy ounce, overbalancing upside catalysts vs resistance and correction risks. Fundamental Reasons Federal Reserve and Interest Rates. With markets closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve, current gold prices reflect anticipation of imminent rate cuts (two extra 25 b.p. cuts in 2025, and one more 25 b.p. in 2026). Speculation that the Fed extends pivot to a dovish stance has reinforced support, whule the pause' expectations shed, sending prices higher. Uncertainty and Safe Haven Demand. The primary fundamental support for gold in 2025 has been record global economic and policy uncertainty—comparable to pandemic-era highs—driven by trade policy threats, tariffs, and geopolitical risks. This uncertainty spiked gold to new highs above $3,500 in September 2025. Inflation and Macro Risks. Still sticky real estete' inflation and soft commodities (coffee, cocoa, eggs, orange juice) inflation, concerns over U.S. debt, and shifting global central bank reserves have all added underlying support, and all of that have resulted in a sustained breakout beyond historical resistance levels. Technical Aspects and Further Price Action Outlook Key Trading Range. After jumping above $3,500/oz, gold has traded in a defined highway channel ($3,500–$3,750/oz), nearing to the highest quartile of range. Support and Resistance. Current strong support lies at $3,500, and resistance around $3,700–$3,750/oz. Technical tops at these levels, coupled with declining MACD readings and steady On-Balance Volume, could reinforce the near-term pullback bias. Risk appetite after post-April crater' recovery may cool down shortly, on US and global stock markets. The September seasonality for the S&P 500 index refers to the historical tendency for the stock market to weaken during September. Over nearly a century, September has been the worst-performing month on average for the S&P 500, often showing negative returns. This phenomenon, sometimes called the "September Effect," is considered a market anomaly as it challenges the efficient markets hypothesis. In brief, S&P 500 index September's average performance is the weakest compared to all other calendar months, that could lead to surging demand for safe-heaven assets like Gold that could primarily fill the next range in such cases. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
PALANTIR PLUS GOLD. VOLATILITY + STABILITY = EXPLOSIVE MIXTUREWere you still dream about super-duper hyped crypto/ AI names, which change each other like TikTok Reels or for example Google Shorts?.. .. but shortening Big portfolios or even tight ones, like Magnificent Seven, to just Palantir and Gold can provide a focused approach with compelling performance and risk management, given how both assets have outperformed tech mega-caps in 2025. The process involves strategic decision-making, in-depth performance analysis, and clear rebalancing steps. Magnificent Seven: 2025 Performance Context The Magnificent Seven - Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla - have dominated market attention. But in 2025, their stocks saw significant declines. Tesla dropped by around 38%, Apple and Nvidia by 21%, while the others also posted double-digit losses in a few quarters ago. High market concentration and rising tariffs pressured these tech giants, leading investors to reconsider diversification. This environment sets the stage for seeking alternative performers. Why Focus on Palantir and Gold? Palantir (PLTR) has surged as one of the top S&P 500 performers, gaining over 138% this year, far surpassing the Magnificent Seven ETF, which (in the best case) print low double-digit numbers in 2025. Palantir's edge lies in its government contracts and leadership in AI platforms, making it a market leader during sector disruptions and economic uncertainty. Gold has soared nearly 44% year-to-date, reaching record highs as the most crowded trade on Wall Street. As tech stocks falter, gold's appeal as a safe haven has intensified amid tariffs, a weakening dollar, and economic uncertainty. Major fund managers now see gold as the top-performing asset for 2025. Portfolio Construction: Reducing to Two Securities Capital Allocation. Split proceeds between Palantir (growth/innovation) and gold (risk-off hedge). A typical split could be 50/50 for simplicity or tailored to risk tolerance - higher gold allocation for defensive profiles, higher Palantir for aggressive growth. Risk Management: Hedge Palantir’s volatility plus gold’s stability. Stability.... plus volatility. Two words to explain it all. Rationale and Benefits Concentrating on two uncorrelated assets amplifies both upside (Palantir) and defensive resilience (gold). Diversification outside tech mega-caps mitigates regulatory and single-sector risks, as seen in the recent performance divergence. Enhanced returns: Palantir’s growth-oriented rally and gold’s safe-haven gains both outperformed not only the S&P 500 but the tech elite. By systematically selling underperforming Magnificent Seven stocks and reallocating into Palantir and gold, the portfolio tilts toward assets with strong 2025 track records and complementary risk profiles, aligning with current market realities and future outlook. Have you seen the similar before or not yet, Palantir plus Gold move together... in one-way direction.. for TWENTY straight months in a row. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
PHYSICAL GOLD vs 'DIGITAL ONE'. WHICH WAY YOU GOTTA GO RNCreating custom formulas can put price action into different perspectives. You can think of the search bar on TradingView like a calculator. This chart, for example, shows XAUUSDK - BTCUSD i.e. the difference in prices of one Kilo of Gold FX_IDC:XAUUSDK and 1 BTC coin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD . But we could have expressed many different formulas including: (PLTR + GLD)*2 or TSLA + F + GM and even AAPL^10 🤭 There are countless ways to create equations on TradingView. To get started, type the equation you want to chart into the search bar. When you're ready, press Enter, and the chart will appear. The chart we created shows XAUUSDK-BTCUSD and it paints a picture about low-volatility 1 kilo Gold bar performance compared to 1 BTC 'digital gold' performance (high-volatility, rising or spiking, back-and-forth movements). The channel on the chart demonstrate that the current difference has been tested several times before in the past, all the time around neutral zero-level. Well.. since the difference rn is where it's been 5 years ago... you can clearly see that high volatility and risk does not nessesary bring ypur portfolio to higher return versus low volatility Gold spot. Of course, this is not a recommendation or a signal of any sort. Instead, we are hoping to demonstrate the creativity you can use when building an equation. You can create formulas across all asset classes. 💪 Thanks for reading and please let us know your thoughts in the comments. Press like if you enjoyed this post, then vote in comment box which way you gotta go: A. Mostly Bullish. Physical Gold prevails. B. Mostly Bearish. 'Digital Gold' advanced. C. Range/ Sideways in short to mid-term. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
FX_IDC:XAUUSDK
by PandorraResearch
SWISS FRANC vs US DOLLAR ESTIMATES HIGHER, DUE TO YIELD CONCERNSFutures on Swiss Franc vs US dollar (mirrored mode of the OANDA:USDCHF forex pair) currently shows a bullish technical outlook, with the price breaking above the key 1.2500 level and testing new highs amid weak US data and ongoing Swiss franc demand. Most popular technical indicators—including moving averages, MACD, and momentum - signal continued upward pressure, reflected in a weekly and monthly “strong buy” consensus for CHF/USD. Trend and Volatility Since peaking near 1.25 in early August, CHF/USD has traded in a compressed sideways range, but recent price action suggests a potential for Bullish expansion. The pair goes to break above medium-term 40-days resistance at 1.2500; moreover, upside triggers at 1.2500 could expose further movement up to 1.2725. Key Technical Indicators All major moving averages (from 10-day to 200-day) are flashing Buy signals, while pivotal resistance zones cluster around 1.2500. Oscillators remain neutral to slightly positive, with RSI above 50, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions, but upside momentum prevails. Yield Spread and Macro Factors A narrowing yield spread between US and Swiss 2-year bonds reduces the attractiveness of USD over CHF, adding further pressure to the pair. With the Swiss National Bank potentially pausing its rate cut cycle, and Swiss economic indicators showing slight improvement, the franc’s position remains fundamentally strong. Overall, CHF/USD technical perspectives favor continued franc strength and persistent Bullish pressure on the pair, especially above the pivotal 1.2500 region. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
CME:6S1!
by PandorraResearch
2
AGG BOND MARKET ETF GOES 'ONE HUNDRED DEGREE' FEVER THRESHOLDThe iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is a broad-based U.S. bond market ETF that provides exposure to investment-grade government and corporate bonds. Examining AGG from technical and fundamental perspectives, especially with anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts in late 2025, highlights several key insights for investors. Technical Perspective Recent technical analyses of AGG presented a mixed picture: Until now, some indicators, like the short-term exponential and simple moving averages (EMAs/SMA), have signaled Buy positions. However, the long-term 200-week moving averages is generally under current prices, highliting medium-to-long-term support and generating 'Buy' signals. Over the past several weeks, technical sentiment overall was characterized as neutral to cautious, with short bursts of bullish momentum but persistent underlying resistance. Upcoming Interest Rate cut event is largely reflecting broader market uncertainty about the timing and magnitude of rate cuts, while AGG jumped above $100 per share in solid manner. Fundamental Perspective Fundamentally, AGG's outlook is heavily tied to macroeconomic factors: With “sticky” inflation and persistent fiscal imbalances, as well as slowing U.S. economic momentum, fixed income portfolios have become more focused on income and carry rather than price appreciation. The “belly” of the yield curve (3-7 year maturities), which makes up a significant portion of AGG, is preferred by asset managers. This segment provides attractive all-in yield while limiting duration risk, especially valuable if rate normalization is gradual. Investment-grade credit within AGG is seen as reasonably robust, particularly in BBB-rated bonds, although tight credit spreads limit further upside from spread compression. Income generation remains the primary draw in this environment. Recent year-to-date returns for the U.S. Aggregate Bond Total Return Index have been moderately positive (nearly 6% in 2025), supported by economic resilience and declining inflation. Impact of Expected Rate Cuts Anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve—potentially beginning as soon as September 2025—carry substantial implications: Lower policy rates typically push up bond prices and benefit bond ETFs like AGG directly. Yet, in 2025, bond ETF prices have sometimes initially dropped even after rate cut announcements, reflecting complex market dynamics and residual uncertainty. As cash yields fall, the relative attractiveness of holding diversified bond funds improves, especially for those seeking steady income with less volatility than equities. The risk/return profile for AGG should strengthen as the Fed moves into an easing cycle, with the possibility for modest price appreciation and improved total returns. However, forward-looking market positioning, tight spreads, and gradual adjustments may dampen immediate “windfall” gains—even as the overall environment turns incrementally more favorable for intermediate-term bond allocations. In summary, AGG offers a balanced, income-oriented fixed income allocation that stands to benefit cautiously from the forthcoming rate-cutting cycle, with technical and fundamental perspectives both supporting a measured, rather than aggressive, overweight in the coming months. The main technical graph for AMEX:AGG ('Total Return' mode) indicates on growth' accelerating, since 'one hundred' fever threshold has been successfully passed.
AMEX:AGG
by PandorraResearch
PALANTIR GOES READY TO 'WHAKA WHAKA' BEARS CORNER╭∩╮( •̀_•́ )╭∩╮Palantir Technologies’ recent stock decline in August 2025 stems from a combination of technical and fundamental factors. After an explosive rally in the first half of the year - driven by strong enthusiasm for AI, record financial results, and a wave of commercial and government contracts - the stock entered a pronounced six-day losing streak, dropping over 17%, with more than $73 billion of market capitalization wiped out from its recent peak. Fundamental Reasons Valuation Concerns. Palantir’s valuation soared to extreme levels, with forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between 193 and 252, dwarfing those of other tech giants like Microsoft and Apple (whose ratios hover around 30). This staggering valuation reflects enormous investor expectations for future growth, creating vulnerability to profit-taking and re-rating if growth moderates or disappoints. Short Seller Critiques. Citron Research’s Andrew Left released a report arguing Palantir is “detached from fundamentals,” suggesting its shares should be valued at $40, compared to recent levels around $158–$190, using price-to-revenue metrics aligned with OpenAI’s $500 billion valuation. His public criticism catalyzed bearish sentiment and led to a surge in short-selling profits. Competitive Landscape. Palantir’s government segment, historically its core business, is facing intensified competition. New Department of Defense contracts awarded to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI signal that the company’s dominance over federal AI budgets may be waning. Growth outside the US has also slowed due to regulatory and competitive hurdles. Earnings Growth but Slowing Trajectory. Palantir delivered its first $1 billion revenue quarter and continues to post robust year-over-year growth. However, concerns remain about the sustainability of this pace. Consensus forecasts now project more moderated annual growth rates, and Wall Street’s consensus outlook shifted from “Buy” to “Hold,” with a bearish 12-month price target of $107—significantly below recent prices. Technical Reasons Overbought Conditions. After rallying 100%+ year-to-date, technical indicators such as the 14-day Relative Strength Index approached “overbought” territory (RSI ~62), suggesting the risk of a near-term pullback. Furthermore, shrinking volumes on continued price increases indicated waning bullish momentum, with buyers becoming more cautious and profit-taking accelerating. Correction from Record Highs. The rapid run-up led Palantir into a vulnerable technical posture; corrections often follow periods of exuberant price action, particularly when coupled with weak underlying volume and stretched technical metrics. Recent technical analysis flagged downside risk if momentum falters and results disappoint relative to lofty expectations. Outlook and Further Price Action. Mid-term, Palantir’s trajectory hinges on whether it can continue to justify and deliver against the premium embedded in its valuation. Sustained AI adoption and successful expansion in commercial sectors could underpin further long-term growth. However, any slowdown in earnings growth, intensifying competition in government contracts, or a sharp marketwide rotation out of high-multiple tech stocks could drive further downside. Short-term, the combination of elevated valuation, technical overextension, and negative headlines from prominent short sellers has increased the volatility. In comparative terms, despite of recent nearly 20 percent decline from all the history peak, in nowadays Palantir' stock demonstates the best of the best year-to-date +104.96% performance in 2025 over the all S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices components. Palantir' stock returns over the past 5 years prevail +1000 per cent. Among all S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices components, only three another great stocks were able to do the same over the past 5 years - MicroStrategy (+2204%), Supermicro (+1489%) and Nvidia Corporation (+1258%). The main technical graph inndicates on major support in Palantir stocks near $160 per share, with further possible price action in the second half of the year 2025. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
5
GOLD GOES CLEARIFY THE NEBULA AS 'SCORCHING-RED' SEPTEMBER NEARSGold’s recent stagnation stems from a confluence of fundamental and technical factors, reflecting both macroeconomic uncertainty and price action signals that have defined the gold market through 2025. The outlook remains nuanced, balancing upside catalysts with evident resistance and correction risks. Fundamental Reasons Federal Reserve and Interest Rates. With markets closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve, current gold prices reflect anticipation of imminent rate cuts. Speculation that the Fed may soon pivot to a dovish stance has reinforced support, but the pause in tightening also creates hesitation, keeping prices range-bound. Uncertainty and Safe Haven Demand. The primary fundamental support for gold in 2025 has been record global economic and policy uncertainty—comparable to pandemic-era highs—driven by trade policy threats, tariffs, and geopolitical risks. This uncertainty spiked gold to highs near $3,500 in April 2025, but as those risks became less acute, momentum faded (so far). Inflation and Macro Risks. Sticky inflation, concerns over U.S. debt, and shifting global central bank reserves have all added underlying support, but none have resulted in a sustained breakout beyond historical resistance levels. Technical Aspects Key Trading Range. After peaking at $3,500/oz, gold has traded in a defined sideways channel ($3,180–$3,400/oz), respecting Fibonacci retracement levels and signaling a period of consolidation. Support and Resistance. Current strong support lies at $3,319–$3,346/oz, and resistance around $3,410–$3,450/oz. Technical tops at these levels, coupled with declining MACD readings and steady On-Balance Volume, reinforce the near-term stagnation bias. Volume and Trend Signals. The lack of significant volume breakouts, coupled with price clustering and flat momentum measures, further suggests sideways action rather than a new trend. Further Price Action Outlook Most analysts expect gold to remain in its established range unless a decisive catalyst appears. If the Fed formally announces rate cuts or the dollar weakens, gold could break above $3,450 and target new highs beyond $3,600 into 2026. Overall, the market’s stagnation reflects both diminishing bullish momentum after a multi-year rally and strong but not overwhelming support from global macro uncertainty. The next directional move will likely depend on shifts in Fed communication, real yields, and the trajectory of global risk appetites. Risk appetite after post-April crater' recovery may cool down shortly, on US and global stock markets. The September seasonality for the S&P 500 index refers to the historical tendency for the stock market to weaken during September. Over nearly a century, September has been the worst-performing month on average for the S&P 500, often showing negative returns. This phenomenon, sometimes called the "September Effect," is considered a market anomaly as it challenges the efficient markets hypothesis. In brief, S&P 500 index September's average performance is the weakest compared to all other calendar months, that could lead to surging demand for safe-heaven assets like Gold. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
PALANTIR GOES 'BOMBASTIC', DETHRONES JUGGER BITCOIN SUPERIORITYIt's gone less than a year or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20, 2024 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SPX . Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index. This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in the year 2024. Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer the year 2024 and even in nowadays this Jugger remains 'The Best of The Best' over the whole S&P 500 index, with current +127% YTD return in 2025 (and +697% over the past 12 months), being highlighted at 173.29 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Wednesday, August 05, 2025 at regular session close. What is most important also, nor Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025, nor bearish were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership. Since Palantir stock is rallying, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares. Judge for yourself. All the nearest pursuers in 2025 are still under 100% YTD return while Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is traded with modest +21% YTD return in 2025. What is most important also, Palantir stock was able to outperform S&P500 index within 12 (twelve) straight month in a row. In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from June 2024 to May 2025) were better against broad market index. What is Behind this? On August 4, 2025 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. Palantir reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 48% year on year to $1.00 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.09 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 10.5% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.16 per share was 15.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates. “The growth rate of our business has accelerated radically, after years of investment on our part and derision by some. The skeptics are admittedly fewer now, having been defanged and bent into a kind of submission. Yet we see no reason to pause, to relent, here. It has been a steep and upward climb—an ascent that is a reflection of the remarkable confluence of the arrival of language models, the chips necessary to power them, and our software infrastructure, one that allows organizations to tether the power of artificial intelligence to objects and relationships in the real world,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir stock Alpha What is Alpha? Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk. The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC and accelerate right now, so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and finally dethrone "the new oranges" respectively.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
ELON MUSK SAYS: BYE-BYE 300-ish, FOR TESLA INVESTORSTesla's stock has recently suffered a sharp decline, dropping nearly 7% in a single day to about $294, marking a significant fall from its December peak of over $488—a plunge of roughly 40% since then. This downturn is largely attributed to growing investor concerns over CEO Elon Musk's increasing political distractions, particularly his announcement to launch a new U.S. political party, the "America Party," which has intensified his public conflict with former President Donald Trump. Investors fear Musk's political ambitions could divert his focus from Tesla's core business at a critical time when the company is already grappling with challenges. Tesla recently reported its second consecutive quarterly decline in vehicle deliveries, with a 14% drop year-over-year, and sales slumping amid intensifying competition and production issues. Musk's political entanglements have also alienated key consumer bases, especially in Europe and China, where Tesla's sales have sharply fallen while competitors like BYD have surged. The stock's technical outlook is bleak, with Tesla's price well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling sustained bearish momentum. The combination of disappointing sales, a distracted CEO, and deteriorating investor confidence has made Tesla the worst-performing major growth stock this year, eroding over $80 billion in market value in recent sessions. In previous posts we have already considered short position scenarios (see related ideas), and in Q3-Q4 2025 we are looking at new Elon Louboutins. The technical main chart reflects the dynamics of the July Call option on Tesla shares - OPRA:TSLA250718C275.0 TSLA 18 Jul 2025 Call 275, losing the $30 level, which indicates a continuing loss of the 300 level in Tesla shares. -- Best Labuten wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
T
by PandorraResearch
ELON LABUTENES — BEAR SKETCHES. JUNE 2025 AND HALF A YEAR UPSHOTTesla results in June 2025 draw an alarming picture of the future company. In the second quarter, car supplies were sharply reduced by 14% compared to last year, decreasing to 384,122 units from 443,956 earlier - a clear sign of a decrease in demand and increased competition in the electric car market (EM). Despite the short-term growth of shares after the results, this happened only because the numbers turned out to be less catastrophic than the most pessimistic forecasts, and not because of any real improvement in fundamental indicators. Fundamentally key problems include: The obsolescence of the product line: Tesla cars are increasingly considered as outdated, with minimal innovations in the main models. Widely advertised Cybertruck and Robotaxi programs could not provide a significant volume or excitement, and Model S/X updates could not turn back the drop in sales. Damage to the brand: the polarizing political participation of the Elon Musk pushed a significant part of the client base, which led to the negative perception of the brand and even the loss of incentives in some regions. Institutional outflow: Large institutional investors reduce their shares, and the share of ownership falls below 50%, which indicates a lack of trust from “smart money”. The risks of profitability: due to the fall in sales and reduction of prices undermining the margin, the profitability of Tesla is in jeopardy. Analysts warn of compressing margin and potential negative free cash flow if the trends are preserved. Technical aspects In the technical plan, Tesla’s shares completed June 2025 on a low note, among looser components of the S&P 500 index, with a demonstrative decrease in the price of the 1st trading session of July without any obvious V-shope recovery in the following two trading sessions. In previous publications, we have already examined the scenarios of short positions (see related ideas), and in the III - IV quarters of 2025 we look closely at the new Elon lututs. The technical main schedule reflects the dynamics of the December Call option for Tesla stocks - OPRA:TSLA251219C300.0 TSLA 19 Dec 2025 Call 300 Resume Looking ahead, Tesla is faced with a difficult situation, with the further risk of a deterioration in the situation, if it cannot revive demand or restore the image of the brand. -- With the best Labuten wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
OPRA:TSLA251219C300.0
by PandorraResearch