DJIA bull flagging ahead of 45KThe Dow has opened lower, but with all eyes on the Fed's Powell tomorrow the weakness can be explained away in part by profit-taking. Whether this turns into something more signifcant remains to be seen.
For now, the bullish trend is intact. The 45,000 level has been tested multiple times since November 2024, and this level has held as resistance every single time. Most recently, it was Friday when it finally looked like the bulls were given the all-clear. But the index turned lower to close below that hurdle and again frustrated the bulls.
So far, though, the downside has been limited on this latest failed breakout attempt. This suggests that the index is still gearing up for a potential breakout.
Short-term support at 44,750 has held so far this week, and was being tested again at the time of writing. Below here, 44,500 and then 44,300 are the next key short-term support levels. Even if we see renewed weakness here, so long as the long-term support in the range between 42,800 to 43,150 holds, the path of least resistance would still remain to the upside in so far as the slightly longer-term is concerned. Here, we also have the 200-day average residing.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
