Dow Jones ElliottWave Analysis: Inflection Area Called The RallyHello Traders,
Dow Jones Elliott wave view suggests that the cycle from 08/15/18 (24946) low ended at the peak of 08/29/18 (26186) in red wave 3.
Below from there, it ended the pullback in red wave 4 at 09/11/18 low (25767) and already broke to new highs confirming that the next extension higher has started.
The internals of the red wave 4 pullback unfolded as an Elliott Wave double correction which ended black wave ((w)) at 09/11/18 low (25817), black wave ((x)) pullback at 09/11/18 (26102) and finally black wave ((y)) of red wave 4 at 09/11/18 low (25767).
After breaking red wave 3 peak confirming that the next extension higher has started, it ended the short-term cycle from 09/11/18 low (25767) at the peak of 09/14/18 (26262) in black wave ((i)). Below from there it reached our equal legs extreme (blue box) towards $26061-25963 area, which was the 100%-161.8% Fibonacci extension area of blue wave (a)-(b) where it ended black wave ((ii)) pullback and also where we like to stay long with a risk free position targeting higher targets.
As long as pullbacks stay above 25767 low we expect the index to see more upside. We don’t like the selling.
Dowjonesindustrial
My view on mid-term price action of the DJIAs you may expect, there is always a bullish or a bearish scenario to bet on.
Upside breakout is needed to encourage the bulls to push price higher. However, resistance is evident. 10-year treasury bond is above 3%. There is no new hype around that may inspire positive sentiment, only Trump, tariffs and trade war.
On rule of thumb it is more probable that stocks rise rather than decline. Nevertheless, "being a bear" is always a more risky way of trading.
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
Dow Jones Potential Flat Corrective Structure Intact:?The 4H chart view for Dow Jones might be suggesting that an A-B-C potential flat still remains intact, even after intraday highs at 25720/30 levels today (futures). Looking at the entire wave structure from Jan-Feb 2018, the indie had dropped lower 5 waves to 23,000 levels, forming an impulse. The expected corrective rally turned out to be a complex A-B-C flat as labelled here, after consolidating for several months. Please note that prices can still test up to 25800 levels, where wave A potentially terminated. If the above wave count holds true then we could see a potential bearish reversal from around 25650/750 levels. Probable direction could remain on the south side until prices stay below 26700/800 levels.
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DJI has a nice level to goDJI looking for the blue line (not a trend line). Targets very clear.
Keep in mind: Corrections remain in place until a new high is made.
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Dow Jones: WARNINGWe are at predictable resistance in DJIA. Last Thursday saw the break of a rising wedge, but Friday offered little follow-through. We are now falling moderately in early Sunday trading (at the time of writing).
I was aiming for a test of trendline resistance within the purple box. We can still test this area; either way, I'm betting on a wholesale decline in equities.
THIS IS NOT A CRASH! US equities will not crash. We are simply in a consolidation period of multiple months, possibly years, which will eventually lead to an explosive rally.
My targets are the two trendline support lines. Should we break the second, I will be able to better judge where a buyable low will form - and there WILL be a great buying opportunity. This is a multi-month trade, lasting over the Summer, and possibly beyond.
For now, I'm short, and will add on any intraday rally on Monday, and possibly Tuesday.
Only a solid daily close above the previous swing high in the 25300 area would shift me into neutral. The market is would have to rally beyond the 25800 to make me bullish.
Dow Jones Index (24200 - 24259 is a very important region)Dow Jones,
The market is definitely moving on the sentiment right now, without a proper fundamental backing. The fear of trade war.
I am expecting we might see some rebound near 24250.
In summary, we might be late to short as we have potential rebound on the card.
Press "like" and Follow for accurate and free trade signals.
s0nic
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