Dxyanalysis
USD Index Technical Outlook – Key Buy & Sell LevelsThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading inside a clear downward channel, showing a bearish market structure. Price is hovering near 98.23, just below the key resistance zone between 98.5 – 99.2, where Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, and 0.618) also align, making it a strong supply area. As long as price remains below this zone, the bias stays bearish, with potential downside targets at 97.5 and then 96.5, in line with the channel support and Fibonacci extensions. However, if buyers manage to push above 99.2, it would signal a possible trend reversal and shift the outlook towards bullish continuation. Overall, the structure suggests that the U.S. Dollar Index is more likely to face rejection near resistance and continue lower in the short term.
🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup)
- 98.50 – 99.20 is a strong resistance area where price aligns with the Fibonacci retracement (0.382 – 0.618) and the upper channel trendline.
- Sell Trigger: If price shows rejection (bearish candles, wicks, or reversal patterns) within this zone.
🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup)
- 97.50 – 96.50 area is the channel support and also near Fibonacci extension levels.
- Buy Trigger: Look for bullish confirmation (bounce, bullish engulfing, or rejection wicks).
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
LIQUIDITY SWEEP ON DXY BEFORE FALLINGIn this weekend dollar index analysis presentation, my thesis is sideways liquidity sweep before a daily bear flag breakout to the downside. Momentum and RSI on the higher timeframe are still to downside suggesting more selling. Price is still trapped below all our moving averages confirming our trend bias. On the weekly time frame we have a couple of inverted candles at a fib 0.618 support zone suggesting a likely reversal from a higher low but I think these inverted candles are liquidity sweeps from the 0.382 fib retrace resistance level. The daily chart has a strong shooting star which initiated selling pressure to the current trendline support level at 97.432 where our last daily candle was a doji indecision or pause.
In the coming first trading week of September, I will be watching for clear break of the trendline on the daily chart and a confirmed breakout of the fib 0.618 support zone at 97.187 for an initial target of 96.702 and final target of 96.155.
Thank you and have a great profitable trading new month. Cheers!!
DXY Strategy Unlocked — Will Bulls Control the Next Swing?⚡ US Dollar Index (DXY) Swing/Day Trade Setup ⚡
💹 Asset: DXY (US Dollar Index)
📈 Plan: Bullish — Pending Order Strategy
📊 US Dollar Index (DXY) Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.55 (+0.56%)
Day's Range: 97.62 – 98.60
52-Week Range: 96.38 – 110.18
🔔 Trade Setup (Thief Plan)
Breakout Entry: 98.800 ⚡ (Set TradingView alarm to catch the move in real time)
Stop Loss: “Thief SL” @ 24,000.0 (only after breakout confirmation).
📝 Adjust your SL based on your strategy & risk appetite, Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s).
Target: Resistance/overbought zone at 100.20
🎩 Escape target: 100.000 (take profits before market flips).
😰 Fear & Greed Sentiment
Index Level: 64 (Greed)
Market Mood: Moderately greedy, driven by:
📉 Net new 52-week highs vs. lows (bullish)
📊 VIX near averages (neutral)
🛡️ Bonds underperforming stocks (risk-on)
📈 Junk bond demand narrowing spreads (greed signal)
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Score
Fed Rate Cut Probability: 90% (Sept 18 FOMC, 25 bps cut expected)
Key Drivers:
✅ Labor Data: NFP (Sept 5) is crucial for direction.
⚠️ Trade Policy: Court ruled Trump tariffs illegal (appeal pending).
⬇️ Consumer Confidence: Michigan Index at 3-month low (58.2).
⬆️ ISM Manufacturing: Ahead of release, possible USD support.
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions supporting USD.
🐂 Overall Market Outlook Score
Bullish (Long): 60%
Bearish (Short): 40%
Bias: Short-term bullish as long as 97.60 holds.
USD rebound + bond yield strength + equity weakness backing USD.
⚠️ Risk: Break below 97.60 → next target 96.55 (bearish).
💡 Key Takeaways
🎯 NFP Report (Sept 5) = decisive catalyst.
⚖️ Fed debates + trade policy = medium-term uncertainty.
📉 Breakout above 98.80 is the key to bullish continuation.
🔍 Related Markets to Watch
FX:EURUSD
FX:GBPUSD
FX:USDJPY
OANDA:XAUUSD
CAPITALCOM:US30
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #DayTrading #SwingTrading #BreakoutStrategy #ThiefTrader #TradingSetup
DXY Intraday Overview- US Dollar Index (DXY) breached the symmetrical triangle downwards and sustained downwards.
- It indicates that sellers are still strong, hence the structure remains downwards.
🔽 If the immediate support level of 97.80 (fib level 0.786) is broken again, then the price will continue its fall to the next support zone between 97.56 - 97.50
🔼 However, if the price manages to recover and break through the resistance level of 97.90, we can expect a further rise to the level of 98.00.
DXY Analysis: Resistances Holding Strong, Is the Downtrend Back?Today, I want to analyze one of the important indices of the financial markets , the U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ), for you, which can be a guide for taking short-long positions in the Forex , Futures , and even Crypto markets.
The DXY index fell by about -1.2% after Jerome Powell began talking about the possibility of a rate cut in September , but as the new week began, the DXY index started to rise again.
If we look at the DXY Index chart on the 1-hour time frame , we can see that the DXY Index reacted well to the Resistances and started to decline.
The Resistances for the DXY Index include:
Resistance zone($98.843-$98.575)
Monthly Pivot Point
100_SMA(Daily)
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that this increase in the DXY Index over the last two days has been in the form of corrective waves . The structure of the corrective waves is Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5). By breaking the Support lines , we can confirm the end of the corrective waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the DXY Index to decline to at least the Support zone($97.989-$97.834) AFTER breaking the Support lines .
Second Target: $97.650
Third Target: $97.450
Stop Loss(SL): $99.000
Note: With the DXY Index declining, we can expect more hope for a weakening of the U.S Dollar's strength in the major Forex pairs .
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
U.S. Dollar Index Analyze (DXYUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gbpusd lond idea I like that we took London sell-side liquidity and then shifted back into the range. I am bearish dollar until we take at least one weekly low.
Right now i want to see some pullback as depicted and then a run on some buy-side liquidity as depicted and maybe PDH.
This will be another simulated trade setup.
BEARISH CONTINUATION FOR DXYBearish Bias for CAPITALCOM:DXY
Weekly context:
The last up-move failed to print a new weekly high. Failing to create a shift in structure , so rallies are suspect.
4H structure:
We had a hard bearish displacement (large down candles) that erased prior price action and kept going without delivering a “full” rebalance. That usually means the price target remains lower .
The key zones on chart
Breaker / sell zone: \~ 97.45–97.75 (teal box). This is the prior bullish OB that failed (now acting as resistance).
Line in the sand: \~ 97.35–97.40 (dashed line through the teal). A decisive 4H close below here signals continuation.
Upside cap / invalidation area: 98.12 (cyan line) up to \~ 98.20 . Above this, the bearish sentiment weakens.
Primary downside draw: 96.478 (orange line). That’s the next obvious liquidity/inefficiency magnet on your chart.
Trade plan
Idea A — Rejection short from the breaker (preferred):
Entry: look for a rejection setup inside 97.45–97.75 (e.g., 15m/1h bearish shift after a sweep).
Stop: above the breaker and the cyan line ⇒ 98.12 (conservative) or 98.20 (safer).
Targets:
T1: 96.84 (take partials; pay yourself)
T2: 96.47.00
Idea B — Continuation after the break (confirmation play):
Trigger: a 4H close below \~97.35 .
Entry: sell the first clean pullback into 97.35–97.45 .
Stop: above 97.85–98.00 (back inside the breaker); conservative stop 98.12 .
Target: 96.478
Management & invalidation
If price rebalances deeper and closes 4H above 98.12–98.20 , the breaker is failing. Flatten shorts; reassess (potential squeeze toward 98.60–99.00 is then on deck).
If price hesitates at 97.00 , trail above the last 1H swing high to protect realized PnL while aiming for 96.478 .
News risk: Your chart flags upcoming US data (icons). Expect wicks; use hard stops and consider sizing down around releases.
Why this makes sense
* The strong displacement leg sets the draw lower.
* The teal box is a bearish breaker created by a failed bullish structure—ideal for “sell on rally.”
* The market rebalanced the prior up-close leg already; the lack of a symmetrical rebalance on the down-leg favors continuation to the next target ( 96.478 ).
One-liner: Bearish while 4H stays under 98.12 ; sell rallies into 97.45–97.75 or sell a 4H close-and-pullback below 97.35 ; scale out 97.20 → 97.00 → 96.80 → 96.478 ; hard stop above 98.12–98.20 .
*Not financial advice. Size appropriately and stick to your stop.*
PLEASE PUA!
The Dollar's Descent: Understanding Historic WeaknessThe U.S. dollar, long considered the world's premier reserve currency and a symbol of American economic might, finds itself in unprecedented territory as it continues to hover near all-time lows against a basket of major currencies. This sustained weakness represents more than just a numerical decline on foreign exchange charts; it signals a fundamental shift in global economic dynamics, monetary policy effectiveness, and international confidence in American fiscal management. The implications of this historic depreciation extend far beyond currency traders and central banks, touching everything from household purchasing power to geopolitical relationships and the future architecture of the global financial system.
The current situation represents a culmination of multiple converging factors that have been building over several years. The dollar's decline hasn't occurred in isolation but rather as part of a complex interplay between domestic fiscal policies, international trade dynamics, shifting reserve currency preferences, and evolving global economic power structures. Understanding this phenomenon requires examining not just the immediate catalysts but also the deeper structural changes that have eroded the dollar's traditional sources of strength.
The Anatomy of the Dollar's Decline
The measurement of the dollar's value against other currencies typically relies on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a weighted basket of six major currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. When analysts refer to the dollar approaching all-time lows, they're observing a sustained depreciation that has pushed this index to levels not seen in decades, with some bilateral exchange rates reaching historic extremes.
The technical aspects of this decline reveal a currency under persistent selling pressure. Foreign exchange markets, which trade over six trillion dollars daily, have witnessed consistent dollar weakness across multiple timeframes and against virtually all major and emerging market currencies. This broad-based depreciation suggests that the issue isn't merely tactical positioning by traders but reflects fundamental concerns about the dollar's intrinsic value and future trajectory.
Several immediate factors have contributed to this weakness. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, particularly its approach to interest rates and quantitative easing, has played a crucial role. While other central banks have moved more aggressively to combat inflation or support their currencies, the Fed's policies have often prioritized domestic economic stability over currency strength. This divergence in monetary policy has created interest rate differentials that make holding dollars less attractive relative to other currencies offering higher yields.
The massive fiscal stimulus measures implemented in recent years have also weighed heavily on the dollar. The expansion of the federal deficit and the dramatic increase in the national debt have raised questions about the long-term sustainability of American fiscal policy. International investors, who must consider currency risk when purchasing U.S. assets, have grown increasingly concerned about the potential for future dollar depreciation as a means of reducing the real burden of this debt.
Trade dynamics have further complicated the dollar's position. The persistent U.S. trade deficit means that more dollars flow out of the country to purchase foreign goods than flow in from exports. This structural imbalance creates constant selling pressure on the dollar as these funds are converted into other currencies. Additionally, the weaponization of the dollar through sanctions and financial restrictions has prompted some nations to seek alternatives for international trade settlement, reducing demand for dollars in global commerce.
Historical Context and Precedents
To fully appreciate the significance of the dollar's current weakness, it's essential to examine historical precedents and the evolution of the dollar's role in the global economy. The Bretton Woods system, established in 1944, positioned the dollar as the world's primary reserve currency, backed by gold and serving as the anchor for international monetary stability. When this system collapsed in 1971, the dollar transitioned to a fiat currency, deriving its value from the strength of the U.S. economy and the confidence of global markets rather than gold reserves.
Throughout its modern history, the dollar has experienced several significant periods of weakness. The stagflation of the 1970s saw the dollar lose considerable value as inflation soared and economic growth stagnated. The Plaza Accord of 1985 deliberately weakened the dollar to address trade imbalances, demonstrating that currency depreciation could be a policy tool rather than merely a market outcome. The financial crisis of 2008 triggered another period of dollar weakness as the Federal Reserve implemented unprecedented monetary easing.
However, the current situation differs from these historical episodes in several important ways. Previous periods of dollar weakness often occurred within a framework where the dollar's fundamental role as the global reserve currency remained unchallenged. Today, that supremacy faces genuine competition from alternative currencies and payment systems. The rise of the euro, the internationalization of the Chinese yuan, and the emergence of digital currencies all represent potential challenges to dollar hegemony that didn't exist during previous cycles of weakness.
The geopolitical context has also shifted dramatically. During past periods of dollar weakness, the United States maintained relatively stable relationships with its major trading partners and allies. Current tensions, trade disputes, and the fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs have created an environment where dollar alternatives are not just economically viable but politically desirable for some nations. This represents a structural change that could make the current period of weakness more persistent and potentially irreversible in some respects.
Global Economic Implications
The ramifications of the dollar's sustained weakness extend throughout the global economy, creating both opportunities and challenges for different stakeholders. For American consumers, a weaker dollar translates directly into reduced purchasing power for imported goods. Everything from electronics to clothing to automobiles becomes more expensive as the dollar's depreciation increases the cost of foreign-produced items. This imported inflation adds to domestic price pressures, potentially eroding living standards and complicating monetary policy decisions.
American businesses face a mixed picture. Exporters benefit from a competitive advantage as their goods become relatively cheaper in foreign markets, potentially boosting sales and market share. Multinational corporations with significant overseas earnings see those profits translate into more dollars when repatriated, improving their financial results. However, companies reliant on imported inputs face higher costs, and those with international supply chains must navigate increased complexity and currency risk.
The impact on financial markets has been profound and multifaceted. Equity markets have shown remarkable resilience, with some sectors benefiting from the currency tailwind to earnings. However, bond markets face challenges as foreign investors demand higher yields to compensate for currency risk, potentially increasing borrowing costs for the U.S. government and corporate issuers. Commodity markets, traditionally priced in dollars, have seen significant price increases as the weakening currency makes raw materials more expensive in dollar terms.
For emerging markets, the dollar's weakness presents both opportunities and risks. Countries with dollar-denominated debt benefit from the reduced real burden of their obligations, providing fiscal relief and potentially enabling increased domestic investment. However, those nations that have traditionally relied on dollar stability for their own monetary frameworks face uncertainty and potential instability. The shift away from dollar dependence requires careful management and potentially painful adjustments to monetary and fiscal policies.
Developed economies have responded to the dollar's weakness in various ways. The European Union has seen the euro strengthen significantly, creating challenges for European exporters but providing relief from imported inflation. Japan faces particular difficulties as yen strength threatens its export-dependent economy, prompting potential intervention in currency markets. These dynamics have strained international cooperation and raised the specter of competitive devaluations reminiscent of the 1930s.
The Reserve Currency Question
Perhaps the most significant long-term implication of the dollar's sustained weakness concerns its status as the world's primary reserve currency. This privileged position has provided the United States with what former French Finance Minister Valéry Giscard d'Estaing called an "exorbitant privilege" – the ability to borrow in its own currency, maintain persistent trade deficits, and exercise significant influence over global financial conditions.
The erosion of confidence in the dollar threatens this special status. Central banks worldwide have been gradually diversifying their reserves away from dollars, increasing holdings of gold, euros, yuan, and other assets. While the dollar still accounts for the majority of global reserves, its share has been declining steadily. This trend, if it continues, could fundamentally alter the global financial architecture and reduce American influence over international economic affairs.
The search for alternatives has accelerated in recent years. The Chinese yuan's inclusion in the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights basket marked a significant milestone in its internationalization. Digital currencies, both central bank digital currencies and cryptocurrencies, offer potential alternatives for international trade settlement and value storage. Regional payment systems and bilateral currency swap agreements have proliferated, creating pathways for trade that bypass the dollar entirely.
However, the transition away from dollar dominance faces significant obstacles. The depth and liquidity of U.S. financial markets remain unmatched, providing essential infrastructure for global finance. The rule of law, property rights protection, and regulatory framework in the United States continue to attract international investment despite currency concerns. No single alternative currency currently possesses all the attributes necessary to fully replace the dollar's multifaceted role in the global economy.
Policy Responses and Future Scenarios
Policymakers face difficult choices in responding to the dollar's weakness. Traditional approaches to currency support, such as raising interest rates or intervening in foreign exchange markets, carry significant economic costs and may prove ineffective against structural pressures. The Federal Reserve must balance its domestic mandate for price stability and full employment with the international implications of its policies, a task made more complex by the dollar's global role.
Fiscal policy presents another set of challenges and opportunities. Addressing the structural factors undermining dollar confidence would require difficult decisions about spending, taxation, and debt management. Political polarization and competing economic priorities make comprehensive fiscal reform challenging, yet the consequences of inaction could be severe. The possibility of a dollar crisis, while still remote, has moved from the realm of theoretical speculation to a risk requiring serious contingency planning.
International cooperation could play a crucial role in managing the transition to a new monetary order. Multilateral agreements on exchange rate management, similar to but more flexible than the Bretton Woods system, might provide stability during a period of adjustment. However, the current geopolitical climate makes such cooperation difficult to achieve. The fragmentation of the global economy into competing blocs may accelerate the development of alternative currency systems, further undermining the dollar's position.
Looking ahead, several scenarios could unfold. A gradual, managed decline in the dollar's dominance might allow for smooth adjustment to a multipolar currency system, with several major currencies sharing reserve status. This outcome would require careful coordination and policy discipline from major economies. Alternatively, a more chaotic transition could occur if confidence in the dollar erodes rapidly, potentially triggering financial instability and economic disruption.
The technological revolution in finance adds another dimension of uncertainty. Central bank digital currencies could reshape international monetary relations in ways that are difficult to predict. The adoption of blockchain technology and smart contracts might enable new forms of international trade settlement that don't require traditional reserve currencies. These innovations could either accelerate the dollar's decline or, if led by the United States, potentially reinforce its position through digital dominance.
Conclusion: Navigating Uncharted Waters
The dollar's hover near all-time lows represents more than a cyclical fluctuation in currency markets; it signals a potential inflection point in the global economic order. The convergence of fiscal pressures, monetary policy challenges, geopolitical tensions, and technological disruption has created conditions unlike any previously experienced in the modern era of fiat currencies. The implications extend beyond exchange rates to encompass fundamental questions about economic governance, international cooperation, and the distribution of global economic power.
For investors, businesses, and policymakers, navigating this environment requires careful consideration of both immediate risks and long-term structural changes. Hedging strategies, diversification approaches, and policy frameworks developed during periods of dollar strength may prove inadequate in a world where the greenback's supremacy can no longer be assumed. The ability to adapt to multiple possible futures, rather than betting on a single outcome, becomes essential for managing risk and capturing opportunities.
The social and political implications of the dollar's decline deserve equal attention to the economic aspects. Currency strength has long been intertwined with national prestige and political power. A sustained period of dollar weakness could reshape domestic politics, alter international alliances, and influence the trajectory of globalization itself. The psychological impact of losing reserve currency status, should it occur, would reverberate through American society in ways that extend far beyond financial markets.
As the world watches the dollar's trajectory with a mixture of concern and opportunism, the need for thoughtful analysis and measured response becomes paramount. The current situation demands neither panic nor complacency but rather a clear-eyed assessment of changing realities and proactive adaptation to new circumstances. The dollar's decline may mark the end of one era and the beginning of another, but the nature of that new era remains to be written by the collective actions of governments, markets, and societies worldwide.
The path forward will likely be characterized by increased volatility, structural adjustments, and the gradual emergence of new monetary arrangements. Whether this transition enhances global economic stability or triggers periodic crises will depend largely on the wisdom and cooperation of global leaders. The dollar's current weakness serves as both a warning and an opportunity – a signal that the old order is passing and a chance to build something better in its place. The challenge lies in managing this transition while maintaining the stability and prosperity that the dollar-based system, despite its flaws, has helped facilitate for decades.
In this context, the dollar's hover near all-time lows should be understood not as an isolated phenomenon but as part of a broader transformation of the global economy. The outcomes of this transformation remain uncertain, but its importance cannot be overstated. The decisions made in response to the dollar's weakness will shape international economic relations for generations to come, making this one of the most consequential periods in modern monetary history.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Rises Ahead of Fed Chair’s SpeechUS Dollar Index (DXY) Rises Ahead of Fed Chair’s Speech
On Monday, we:
→ noted that the US Dollar Index (DXY) was consolidating at the start of a week packed with key events;
→ outlined a descending channel (shown in red);
→ highlighted that the price was trading around the channel’s median line, signalling a balanced market;
→ suggested that a test of one of the quarter lines (QL or QH), which divide the channel into four parts, could take place.
As the DXY chart indicates, since then the balance has shifted in favour of buyers, with the price forming an upward trajectory (shown in purple lines) and breaking through short-term resistance R (which has now turned into support, as marked by the blue arrow). Support line S remains relevant.
Today brings the key event that may have the greatest impact on the US Dollar Index (DXY) this week – Jerome Powell’s speech at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium.
This appearance is particularly significant because:
→ it is likely to be Powell’s last speech after seven years as Fed Chair, with his term expiring in May amid ongoing tensions with President Trump;
→ market participants will closely monitor the tone of his remarks, as a rate cut is expected in September, while recent economic data – namely the rise in the Producer Price Index – suggest that the US economy could face renewed inflationary pressures due to Trump’s tariffs.
Technical analysis of the DXY chart
From a bullish perspective, in the short term the US dollar is advancing within the purple channel, supported by:
→ the lower boundary of this channel;
→ the demand imbalance zone in favour of buyers (shown in green), confirmed by yesterday’s sharp bullish candle.
From a bearish perspective:
→ the RSI has entered overbought territory;
→ bullish momentum may fade after a breakout above the QH line;
→ a key resistance at the 99 level lies nearby – a level that reclaimed its role as resistance at the beginning of August (indicated by black arrows).
A corrective pullback in the US Dollar Index (DXY) could happen after its rally to the highest level since 6 August. However, the further trajectory will largely depend on Powell’s words this evening. According to Forex Factory, the speech is scheduled for 17:00 GMT+3.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥
Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦
Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨
📈 Entry: The Break-In
Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels:
98.00 💸
98.20 💸
98.40 💸
98.60 💸
Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊.
Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨.
🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route
Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️.
Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️.
Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥.
🎯 Target: The Getaway
Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out!
Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃♂️💨.
🧠 Why This Heist?
The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡:
Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍.
Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉.
Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰.
⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp!
News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫.
Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️.
💪 Boost the Heist!
Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style! 🚀 Every like and view strengthens our crew, helping us rob the market with precision. Let’s make money and vanish like pros! 🤑
Stay tuned for the next heist plan, Thief OG’s! 🕵️♂️🎉
DXY ready to drop ?DXY trade setup for today :
Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market.
Monthly: 100.24 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top
Weekly: Bearish engulfed formation with strong liquidity grab
Daily: A sharp rejection with liquidity grab from the resistance
Entry timeframe 4H : Upon retest of the order block, market has got rejected and potentially breaking out of the market structure to continue to drop to support level.
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish entry with SL above sessions high
US Dollar Index (DXY) in Balance Ahead of Key EventsUS Dollar Index (DXY) in Balance Ahead of Key Events
In our previous analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY), we:
→ outlined a descending channel (red) based on a sequence of lower highs and lows;
→ anticipated a move towards the median line of this channel.
As of 18 August, the DXY is trading around the median of the channel and is forming a contracting triangle pattern (blue). The RSI remains close to the neutral 50 level, indicating equilibrium between supply and demand.
This balance may be ruined given upcoming events:
→ Today, discussions at the White House between Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and European leaders will focus on the conflict in Ukraine. The outcome may provide clarity following the Trump–Putin meeting on 15 August.
→ On Wednesday at 21:00 GMT+3, the FOMC minutes will be released. Markets will look for guidance on the likelihood of a September rate cut after last Thursday’s stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) print, which some interpret as a signal of potential inflationary pressures from new trade tariffs.
Market participants should anticipate volatility, with price impulses possible in either direction.
The base scenario for the week is a test of one of the quarter lines (QL/QH) within the channel, consistent with the broader US dollar weakening trend in place since January 2025. A breakout of QL or QH line and sustained move away from the channel median would indicate a shift in sentiment and the potential for a directional move beyond the current structure.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
DXY Comprehensive AnalysisThe US Dollar Index (DXY) on the 4H chart remains under pressure, trading near 97.71 and holding below the key resistance zone of 98.20–98.30, aligned with the 20 SMA (middle Bollinger band) and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (97.78), signaling a firm bearish bias.
Price action might continue to respect the descending trend, with recent candles showing rejection from the upper boundary and pointing toward a possible retest of 97.50–97.10 support levels. However, it will be crucial for prices to breach the fib level 0.786 and sustain lower.
Bollinger Bands are moderately compressed, suggesting controlled volatility, while RSI at 42 indicates weak momentum with a hidden bearish divergence (prices making lower highs and RSI making constant highs), reinforcing downside potential.
Unless the index reclaims 98.30 on strong buying, intraday traders may look for short opportunities on pullbacks, targeting 97.50 and then 97.10.
With no major data releases today, technical levels are likely to drive moves, and continued dollar weakness could support risk assets like equities and commodities, particularly gold and emerging market currencies.
DXY Locked & Loaded: Robber's Gameplan for Profit Pullout💸💼 "DXY Market Heist Blueprint – The Thief's Bullish Escape Plan" 💼💸
Rob the Market, Not the Rules – Trade Smart, Trade Sharp, Trade Thief Style™
🌍 Hey Money Makers, Risk Takers & Market Robbers!
Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🙌
Let’s break into the DXY vault and swipe those profits with precision. 💼💸
🧠💡This Thief Trading Style™ Master Plan is a high-stakes operation backed by technical setups, macro-fundamentals, and robbery-level insights. Follow the blueprint laid out on the chart. Our target? The High-Risk Yellow ATR Zone – where the real treasure is buried.
💼 ENTRY: "The Vault Is Open – Grab the Bullish Bags!"
Enter long as price approaches key pullback levels within a 15–30 min timeframe. Use the most recent candle wick’s swing low/high for sniper-style DCA entries.
🔑 Layer multiple limit orders like a thief stacking getaway bags (aka the DCA / Layering Method). Be patient and precise.
🛑 STOP LOSS: "Don’t Get Caught by the Market Police"
📍 Place SL just below the nearest 4H swing low (example: 97.300) depending on your strategy (scalping/swing).
⚖️ Your SL should reflect your risk appetite, lot size, and how many limit orders you’re running. Thieves don’t risk it all on one job. 🎭
🎯 TARGET: 101.800 (or Escape Before the Sirens)
Once the target zone nears, decide whether to collect full loot or exit before resistance hits. We trade smart, not greedy. 🧠💰
📈 Why This Heist Makes Sense: Market Conditions Breakdown
Bullish momentum supported by macro drivers and intermarket forces
COT report and sentiment leaning in favor of USD
Dollar Index structure showing signs of reversal + trend confirmation
Consolidation trap zones hinting at institutional accumulation
💡 This is not just a blind entry—it's a well-researched and time-tested plan. Check the chart details and refer to:
🔗 Fundamentals | COT Reports | Sentiment Score | Quantitative Outlook
🚨 NEWS & POSITION MANAGEMENT ALERT
Before jumping in, beware of high-impact news!
🗞️ To keep your trades safe and stress-free:
Avoid opening new positions during major news releases
Use trailing SLs to protect gains
Monitor volatility triggers (economic calendar is your best friend!)
🏴☠️💥 BOOST THE ROBBERY – Hit That Like/Boost Button
The more you boost, the stronger the heist crew becomes! 💪🚀
Help fellow traders steal opportunities with the Thief Trading Style™ – calculated, bold, and sharp.
🔥 Let's continue to outsmart the markets and make each trade count. Stay tuned for the next heist update – fresh trades, deeper insights, and bigger bags. 🤑💼
🔔 Disclaimer: This plan is not financial advice. Use it for educational and entertainment purposes. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
📌 Markets shift quickly. Stay adaptable, informed, and always ready to pivot.
DXY ready to drop again?DXY has done false breakout in the beginning of the week with strong rejection to the upside. Upon rejection, price has pulled back to 38.2% fib along with daily resistance retest and price has strongly rejected from 98.70 showing further downside with another wave to 98.32 has rejected with strong liquidity candle that continue to drop as 4h, has formed liquidity candle with false breakout at 98.00, there is higher probability to drop to support.
DXY Analysis - Crucial to Track Overall Market Scenario The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading near 97.75, sitting just above the key 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 97.78.
Current Price Action
Price action shows a bouncing attempt from a descending support zone, with immediate resistance seen at 98.13.
If rise higher, the index has further upside potential toward the 0.618 retracement at 98.33 considering momentum also holds.
Alternate Scenario
On the downside, 97.48 and 97.11 remain critical supports; a break below could invite deeper selling pressure.
Indicator Confirmation
Bollinger Bands are relatively narrow, indicating a potential volatility expansion, while the RSI at 34.17 suggests the dollar is approaching oversold territory, increasing chances of a rebound.
Data Interpretation
Today’s Initial Jobless Claims and PPI releases will be pivotal — stronger-than-expected data may trigger a bullish breakout, while weaker readings could see the index retest lower supports.
The Final Highlight
Traders should watch for intraday breakouts above 98.00 for long entries, or breakdowns below 97.48 for shorts, with data releases likely acting as the catalyst.
US Dollar Index (DXY) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY) from CAPITALCOM. The chart shows the price movement of the DXY from early July to early September. The current price is 98.131 with a 0.28% increase. The chart features a candlestick pattern with green (upward movement) and red (downward movement) bars. A sell signal is indicated at 98.132, and a buy signal is at 98.186. The chart also includes highlighted zones (red and green rectangles) indicating potential trading ranges or areas of interest between approximately 98.621 and 97.379.